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During the last decades, mature economies have tended to experience a divergence between labour compensation and productivity growth. Interpretations of this trend are still under debate. Our article aims at contributing to a sound, evidence‐based understanding. We estimate the magnitude of this decoupling for a panel of 22 high‐income economies (1970–2018) and empirically assess the role of a variety of factors. After providing evidence that casts doubt on the impact of technical change, we adopt a 'political economy' standpoint and focus on the structural effects on real compensation growth of several macroeconomic and institutional dimensions. Our findings indicate that labour market slack and the weakening of pro‐labour institutions have acted as important wage‐squeezing factors. A negative effect is also found for trade openness and international capital mobility, while most financialization variables are not significant. The robustness of our results is supported by a range of tests and specifications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

By connecting the post-Keynesian view of financialization with Comparative Political Economy, we suggest some elements for an updated interpretation of the existing models of welfare. As a main element of novelty, we consider how high-income countries are reacting to the pressures of finance-dominated capitalism, namely by extending, keeping, or retrenching their welfare systems. The contribution of the article is threefold. First, we elaborate on the nexus between welfare and financialization. Second, we introduce a multidimensional index aimed at assessing the degree of welfare of 32 OECD countries for the period 1990–2015. Third, we compare our index with the socio-economic models identified in the literature and with the patterns of financialization. Two trajectories emerge from our exploration: on the one side, Scandinavian and Continental European countries moved toward relatively higher levels of welfare; on the other side, lower levels of welfare feature Anglo-Saxon, Asian, Mediterranean, and Central and Eastern European countries. Besides such divergence, we find that the process of financialization was more intense in countries with stronger welfare, which likely opted for a compensation strategy. Our work highlights the relevance of policies and institutions in shaping different welfare systems and coping with the challenges of the current phase of capitalism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recently, some attempts to increase the stance for fiscal policies in the European budgetary framework have followed the line of reducing the estimated "structural" unemployment rate (NAIRU), with the ensuing increase in the computation of the output gap. A similar effect can be obtained by increasing the actual participation rate. In this paper, we propose the introduction of a deficit-financed conditional minimum income (CMI) to discouraged people which are outside the labor force. By stimulating participation, this measure would bring about an upward revision of Italy's potential output, and this in turn will contribute to generate a greater fiscal stance. We empirically assess the reliability of this measure by using both comparative statics and empirical estimations carried out via the simulation procedure used by the Output Gaps Working Group of the European Commission. Assuming one million newcomers in the labor force, our findings indicate that the measure would have produced a greater fiscal space of approximately €19 billion in 2016 and €12 billion in 2017. We also forecast the impact of the introduction of the deficit-financed CMI on real GDP and public finance indicators. We finally discuss the feasibility and the main criticisms of the proposal. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper elaborates on the Italian North–South divide by endorsing a Kaldor–Verdoorn perspective. To assess the endogenous relationship between labour productivity, capital accumulation and output growth, panel structural vector autoregressive (P-SVAR) modelling is applied to 1980–2017 data on Italian macro-regions and areas. Findings show that territorial disparities exist in both the Verdoorn and the capital accumulation effects throughout the country. Output growth has a larger effect on productivity in the Centre–North, while the investment effect is stronger in the South. That stresses the relevance of public effort in stimulating both output and investment – therefore, productivity – especially in economically depressed areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The apparently never-ending phase of economic slowdown that advanced economies have been experiencing in recent decades has recently contributed to the resurrection of the hoary old argument of 'secular stagnation'. In this paper, situated intellectually within the strand of research documenting the negative impact on growth of inequality and financialization, we elaborate on the idea that such a prolonged period of stagnation is associated with a new paradigm of socio-economic policy, known as 'finance-dominated capitalism'. In this way, we distance ourselves from the mainstream 'secular stagnation' narrative, adopting instead a post-Keynesian perspective that allows us to discuss the links between financialization and inequality, on one hand, and economic performance, on the other. Then, we submit our arguments to empirical scrutiny by undertaking an econometric analysis of 21 OECD countries between 1990 and 2016. The evidence indicates that excessive levels of financialization, along with high inequality and weak labor market institutions, have a negative impact on real growth. Based on our findings, we propose possible demand-side policies, to be implemented through expansionary fiscal measures, which could help sustain GDP growth and employment in the current context of stagnation, mitigating income inequality and sustaining an inclusive recovery at the same time. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Consistent with neoclassical theory, the recent slowdown in labour productivity is generally regarded as one of the main causes of the current phase of economic stagnation. By contrast, post-Keynesian economics looks at productivity growth as positively affected by the rate of growth of output in the long run as well. By focusing on this alternative perspective, in our exploration we deal with an extended version of the Kaldorian technical progress function in which the trend growth rate of productivity is endogenously shaped by the dynamics of both output and capital−labour ratio. We empirically verify such a relationship for the total economy and the manufacturing sector through a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model for G7 countries (1970–2017). Our findings support the validity of a technical progress function, which admits increasing returns to scale, thus indicating that both the rate of growth of output and the process of capital intensification exert positive effects on productivity growth, even beyond the business cycle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]