79 results on '"Korda RJ"'
Search Results
2. Inequalities in life expectancy in Australia according to education level: a whole-of-population record linkage study
- Author
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Welsh, J, Bishop, K, Booth, H, Butler, D, Gourley, M, Law, HD, Banks, E, Canudas-Romo, V, and Korda, RJ
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- 2021
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3. Socioeconomic Inequalities in the Impact of Health Care in Australia: Trend Analysis of Avoidable and Non-avoidable Mortality 1986-2002
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Korda, RJ, Butler, JRG, Clements, MS, and Kunitz, SJ
- Published
- 2006
4. Inequalities in bariatric surgery in Australia: findings from 49,364 obese participants in a prospective cohort study.
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Korda RJ, Joshy G, Jorm LR, Butler JR, Banks E, Korda, Rosemary J, Joshy, Grace, Jorm, Louisa R, Butler, James R G, and Banks, Emily
- Abstract
Objectives: To investigate variation, and quantify socioeconomic inequalities, in the uptake of primary bariatric surgery in an obese population.Design, Setting and Participants: Prospective population-based cohort study of 49,364 individuals aged 45-74 years with body mass index (BMI)≥30 kg/m2. Data from questionnaires (distributed from 1 January 2006 to 31 December 2008) were linked to hospital and death data to 30 June 2010. The sample was drawn from the 45 and Up Study (approximately 10% of New South Wales population aged 45 included, response rate approximately 18%).Main Outcome Measures: Rates of bariatric surgery and adjusted rate ratios (RRs) in relation to health and sociodemographic characteristics.Results: Over 111,757 person-years (py) of follow-up, 312 participants had bariatric surgery, a rate of 27.92 per 10,000 py (95% CI, 24.91-31.19). Rates were highest in women, those living in major cities and those with diabetes, and increased significantly with a higher BMI and number of chronic health conditions. Adjusted RRs were 5.27 (95% CI, 3.18-8.73) for those with annual household income≥ $70 000 versus those with household income<$20,000, and 4.01 (95% CI, 2.41-6.67) for those living in areas in the least disadvantaged quintile versus those in the most disadvantaged quintile. Having versus not having private health insurance (age- and sex-adjusted RR, 9.25; 95% CI, 5.70-15.00) partially explained the observed inequalities.Conclusions: Bariatric surgery has been shown to be cost-effective in treating severe obesity and associated illnesses. While bariatric surgery rates in Australia are higher in those with health problems, large socioeconomic inequalities are apparent. Our findings suggest these procedures are largely available to those who can afford private health insurance and associated out-of-pocket costs, with poor access in populations who are most in need. Continuing inequalities in access are likely to exacerbate existing inequalities in obesity and related health problems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2012
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5. Educational composition effect on the sex gap in life expectancy: A research note based on evidence from Australia.
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Su W, Welsh J, Korda RJ, and Canudas-Romo V
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- Humans, Female, Male, Australia, Adult, Middle Aged, Sex Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Life Expectancy trends, Educational Status
- Abstract
Life expectancy for females has exceeded that of males globally this century. There is considerable within-country variation in life expectancy related to education. Sex gaps in life expectancy can be decomposed into two components: sex differences in education-specific mortality and sex differences in educational composition. We illustrate this using Australian data for 2016, when the sex gap in life expectancy at age 25 was 3.8 years. The sex gap would be as large as 4.5 years if males and females had the same educational composition; however, it is reduced by 0.7 years, given the lower levels of education among women than men. In a hypothetical scenario accounting for recent increases in females' educational achievement (holding the educational composition at all ages constant at that observed at ages 25-39 for both sexes), we estimate a potential increase in the sex gap (to 4.1 years) in favour of females.
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- 2024
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6. Use of pudendal nerve blocks in rubber band ligation of haemorrhoids: an Australia-wide cross-sectional analysis.
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Watson EGR, Ong HI, Proud DM, Mohan HM, and Korda RJ
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- Humans, Female, Male, Australia epidemiology, Adult, Ligation methods, Cross-Sectional Studies, Middle Aged, Pain, Postoperative prevention & control, Pain, Postoperative epidemiology, Aged, Young Adult, Nerve Block methods, Hemorrhoids surgery, Pudendal Nerve
- Abstract
Background: Surgeons vary in their approach to preventing pain post rubber band ligation (RBL) of haemorrhoids, with pudendal nerve blocks (PNB) being one analgesic strategy. No data exists on how commonly PNBs are used in RBL in Australia, and whether use varies by year and patient and hospital characteristics., Methods: Aggregate data from the National Hospital Morbidity Database was obtained for all admissions for RBL in Australia from 2012 to 2021, with and without a PNB, overall and in relation to sex, age group, hospital remoteness, hospital sector, and year of procedure. Adjusted relative risks (adj. RR) of PNB were estimated using Poisson regression, mutually adjusting for all variables., Results: Of the 346 542 admissions for RBL, 14013 (4.04%) involved a PNB. The proportion of patients receiving a PNB increased between 2012-2013 and 2020-2021, from 1.62% to 6.63% (adj. RR 3.99, CI 3.64-4.36). Patients most likely to receive a PNB were female (adj. RR 1.10; CI 1.07-1.14) aged 25-34 years (adj. RR 1.13; CI 1.01-1.26); in major-city (adj. RR 1.25 CI 1.20-1.30) and private hospitals (adj. RR 3.28 CI 3.13-3.45)., Conclusion: This is the first published analysis of the use of PNB in RBL. Pudendal nerve block use has increased over time, with substantial variation in practice. Blocks were more than three times as likely to be used in private compared to public hospitals. If evidence supporting PNB use is established, equitable access to the procedure should be pursued., (© 2024 Royal Australasian College of Surgeons.)
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- 2024
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7. Long COVID in a highly vaccinated but largely unexposed Australian population following the 2022 SARS-CoV-2 Omicron wave: a cross-sectional survey.
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Woldegiorgis M, Cadby G, Ngeh S, Korda RJ, Armstrong PK, Maticevic J, Knight P, Jardine A, Bloomfield LE, and Effler PV
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- Adult, Male, Female, Humans, Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome, Cross-Sectional Studies, COVID-19 Vaccines, Australia epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 epidemiology, Australasian People
- Abstract
Objective: To estimate the prevalence of long COVID among Western Australian adults, a highly vaccinated population whose first major exposure to the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was during the 2022 Omicron wave, and to assess its impact on health service use and return to work or study., Study Design: Follow-up survey (completed online or by telephone)., Setting, Participants: Adult Western Australians surveyed 90 days after positive SARS-CoV-2 test results (polymerase chain reaction or rapid antigen testing) during 16 July - 3 August 2022 who had consented to follow-up contact for research purposes., Main Outcome Measures: Proportion of respondents with long COVID (ie, reporting new or ongoing symptoms or health problems, 90 days after positive SARS-CoV-2 test result); proportion with long COVID who sought health care for long COVID-related symptoms two to three months after infection; proportion who reported not fully returning to previous work or study because of long COVID-related symptoms., Results: Of the 70 876 adults with reported SARS-CoV-2 infections, 24 024 consented to contact (33.9%); after exclusions, 22 744 people were invited to complete the survey, of whom 11 697 (51.4%) provided complete responses. Our case definition for long COVID was satisfied by 2130 respondents (18.2%). The risk of long COVID was greater for women (v men: adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-1.6) and for people aged 50-69 years (v 18-29 years: aRR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.4-1.9) or with pre-existing health conditions (aRR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.4-1.7), as well as for people who had received two or fewer COVID-19 vaccine doses (v four or more: aRR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.8) or three doses (aRR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5). The symptoms most frequently reported by people with long COVID were fatigue (1504, 70.6%) and concentration difficulties (1267, 59.5%). In the month preceding the survey, 814 people had consulted general practitioners (38.2%) and 34 reported being hospitalised (1.6%) with long COVID. Of 1779 respondents with long COVID who had worked or studied before the infection, 318 reported reducing or discontinuing this activity (17.8%)., Conclusion: Ninety days after infection with the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant, 18.2% of survey respondents reported symptoms consistent with long COVID, of whom 38.7% (7.1% of all survey respondents) sought health care for related health concerns two to three months after the acute infection., (© 2024 The Authors. Medical Journal of Australia published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of AMPCo Pty Ltd.)
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- 2024
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8. Relative risks of childhood developmental vulnerabilities in three Australian communities with exposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances: data linkage study.
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Di Law H, Armstrong BK, D'este C, Hosking R, Smurthwaite K, Trevenar S, Lazarevic N, Lucas RM, Clements ACA, Kirk MD, and Korda RJ
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- Aged, Child, Humans, Risk, Child Development, Northern Territory, National Health Programs, Fluorocarbons
- Abstract
Background: Aqueous film forming foams (AFFF) containing per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) caused local environmental contamination in three Australian residential areas: Katherine in the Northern Territory (NT), Oakey in Queensland (Qld) and Williamtown in New South Wales (NSW). We examined whether children who lived in these areas had higher risks of developmental vulnerabilities than children who lived in comparison areas without known contamination., Methods: All children identified in the Medicare Enrolment File-a consumer directory for Australia's universal healthcare insurance scheme-who ever lived in exposure areas, and a sample of children who ever lived in selected comparison areas, were linked to the Australian Early Development Census (AEDC). The AEDC data were available from four cycles: 2009, 2012, 2015 and 2018. For each exposure area, we estimated relative risks (RRs) of developmental vulnerability on each of five AEDC domains and a summary measure, adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics and other potential confounders., Findings: We included 2,429 children from the NT, 2,592 from Qld and 510 from NSW. We observed lower risk of developmental vulnerability in the Communication skills and general knowledge domain in Katherine (RR = 0.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.57 to 0.97), and higher risks of developmental vulnerability in the same domain (RR = 1.49, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.87) and in the Physical health and wellbeing domain in Oakey (RR = 1.31, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.61). Risks of developmental vulnerabilities on other domains were not different from those in the relevant comparison areas or were uncertain due to small numbers of events., Conclusion: There was inadequate evidence for increased risks of developmental vulnerabilities in children who ever lived in three PFAS-affected areas in Australia., Competing Interests: Conflict of interests: MDK worked part-time for the Australian Government Department of Health between 2020–2022 on the national COVID-19 response. The other authors declare that they have no competing interests.
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- 2024
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9. Does use of GP and specialist services vary across areas and according to individual socioeconomic position? A multilevel analysis using linked data in Australia.
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Butler DC, Larkins S, Jorm L, and Korda RJ
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- Adult, Aged, Humans, Multilevel Analysis, National Health Programs, Australia, Educational Status, Semantic Web, General Practitioners
- Abstract
Objective: Timely access to primary care and supporting specialist care relative to need is essential for health equity. However, use of services can vary according to an individual's socioeconomic circumstances or where they live. This study aimed to quantify individual socioeconomic variation in general practitioner (GP) and specialist use in New South Wales (NSW), accounting for area-level variation in use., Design: Outcomes were GP use and quality-of-care and specialist use. Multilevel logistic regression was used to estimate: (1) median ORs (MORs) to quantify small area variation in outcomes, which gives the median increased risk of moving to an area of higher risk of an outcome, and (2) ORs to quantify associations between outcomes and individual education level, our main exposure variable. Analyses were adjusted for individual sociodemographic and health characteristics and performed separately by remoteness categories., Setting: Baseline data (2006-2009) from the 45 and Up Study, NSW, Australia, linked to Medicare Benefits Schedule and death data (to December 2012)., Participants: 267 153 adults aged 45 years and older., Results: GP (MOR=1.32-1.35) and specialist use (1.16-1.18) varied between areas, accounting for individual characteristics. For a given level of need and accounting for area variation, low education-level individuals were more likely to be frequent users of GP services (no school certificate vs university, OR=1.63-1.91, depending on remoteness category) and have continuity of care (OR=1.14-1.24), but were less likely to see a specialist (OR=0.85-0.95)., Conclusion: GP and specialist use varied across small areas in NSW, independent of individual characteristics. Use of GP care was equitable, but specialist care was not. Failure to address inequitable specialist use may undermine equity gains within the primary care system. Policies should also focus on local variation., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2024
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10. Discretion in decision to receive COVID-19 vaccines and associated socio-economic inequalities in rates of uptake: a whole-of-population data linkage study from Australia.
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Welsh J, Biddle N, Butler DC, and Korda RJ
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- Humans, Aged, Australia epidemiology, Middle Aged, Adult, Male, Female, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Decision Making, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, Socioeconomic Factors
- Abstract
Objective: In Australia, first and second compared to third dose of a COVID-19 vaccine were implemented under different policies and contexts, resulting in greater discretion in decisions to receive a third compared to first and second dose. We quantified socio-economic inequalities in first and third dose to understand how discretion is associated with differences in uptake., Study Design: Whole-of-population cohort study., Methods: Linked immunisation, census, death and migration data were used to estimate weekly proportions who received first and third doses of a COVID-19 vaccine until 31 August 2022 for those with low (no formal qualification) compared to high (university degree) education, stratified by 10-year age group (from 30 to 89 years). We estimated relative rates using Cox regression, including adjustment for sociodemographic factors., Results: Among 13.1 million people in our study population, 94% had received a first and 80% a third dose by 31 August 2022. Rates of uptake of first and third dose were around 50% lower for people with low compared to high education. Gaps were small in absolute terms for first dose, and at the end of the study period ranged from 1 to 11 percentage points across age groups. However, gaps were substantial for third dose, particularly at younger ages where the socio-economic gap was as wide as 32 percentage-points., Conclusion: Education-related inequalities in uptake were larger where discretion in decisions was larger. Policies that limited discretion in decisions to receive vaccines may have contributed to achieving the dual aims of maximising uptake and minimising inequalities., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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11. Relative Risks of Adverse Perinatal Outcomes in Three Australian Communities Exposed to Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances: Data Linkage Study.
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Law HD, Randall DA, Armstrong BK, D'este C, Lazarevic N, Hosking R, Smurthwaite KS, Trevenar SM, Lucas RM, Clements ACA, Kirk MD, and Korda RJ
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- Pregnancy, Female, Humans, Risk, Australia, Information Storage and Retrieval, Stillbirth, Fluorocarbons
- Abstract
Introduction: Firefighting foams containing per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) have caused environmental contamination in several Australian residential areas, including Katherine in the Northern Territory (NT), Oakey in Queensland (Qld), and Williamtown in New South Wales (NSW). We examined whether the risks of adverse perinatal outcomes were higher in mothers living in these exposure areas than in selected comparison areas without known contamination., Methods: We linked residential addresses in exposure areas to addresses collected in the jurisdictional Perinatal Data Collections of the NT (1986-2017), Qld (2007-2018), and NSW (1994-2018) to select all pregnancies from mothers who gave birth while living in these areas. We also identified one comparison group for each exposure area by selecting pregnancies where the maternal address was in selected comparison areas. We examined 12 binary perinatal outcomes and three growth measurements. For each exposure area, we estimated relative risks (RRs) of adverse outcomes and differences in means of growth measures, adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics and other potential confounders., Results: We included 16,970 pregnancies from the NT, 4654 from Qld, and 7475 from NSW. We observed elevated risks of stillbirth in Oakey (RR = 2.59, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25 to 5.39) and of postpartum haemorrhage (RR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.13 to 3.33) and pregnancy-induced hypertension (RR = 1.88, 95% CI 1.30 to 2.73) in Williamtown. The risks of other perinatal outcomes were not materially different from those in the relevant comparison areas or were uncertain due to small numbers of events., Conclusions: There was limited evidence for increased risks of adverse perinatal outcomes in mothers living in areas with PFAS contamination from firefighting foams. We found higher risks of some outcomes in individual areas, but these were not consistent across all areas under study and could have been due to chance, bias, or confounding.
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- 2023
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12. Association of individual-socioeconomic variation in quality-of-primary care with area-level service organisation: A multilevel analysis using linked data.
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Butler DC, Larkins S, and Korda RJ
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- Aged, Adult, Humans, Multilevel Analysis, Socioeconomic Factors, Primary Health Care, Semantic Web, National Health Programs
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Rationale, Aims and Objectives: Ensuring equitable access to primary care (PC) contributes to reducing differences in health related to people's socioeconomic circumstances. However, there is limited data on system-level factors associated with equitable access to high-quality PC. We examine whether individual-level socioeconomic variation in general practitioner (GP) quality-of-care varies by area-level organisation of PC services., Methods: Baseline data (2006-2009) from the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study, involving 267,153 adults in New South Wales, Australia, were linked to Medicare Benefits Schedule claims and death data (to December 2012). Small area-level measures of PC service organisation were GPs per capita, bulk-billing (i.e., no copayment) rates, out-of-pocket costs (OPCs), rates of after-hours and chronic disease care planning/coordination services. Using multilevel logistic regression with cross-level interaction terms we quantified the relationship between area-level PC service characteristics and individual-level socioeconomic variation in need-adjusted quality-of-care (continuity-of-care, long-consultations, and care planning), separately by remoteness., Results: In major cities, more bulk-billing and chronic disease services and fewer OPCs within areas were associated with an increased odds of continuity-of-care-more so among people of high- than low education (e.g., bulk-billing interaction with university vs. no school certificate 1.006 [1.000, 1.011]). While more bulk-billing, after-hours services and fewer OPCs were associated with long consultations and care planning across all education levels, in regional locations alone, more after-hours services were associated with larger increases in the odds of long consultations among people with low- than high education (0.970 [0.951, 0.989]). Area GP availability was not associated with outcomes., Conclusions: In major cities, PC initiatives at the local level, such as bulk-billing and after-hours access, were not associated with a relative benefit for low- compared with high-education individuals. In regional locations, policies supporting after-hours access may improve access to long consultations, more so for people with low- compared with high-education., (© 2023 The Authors. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2023
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13. National estimates of occupation-related inequalities in all-cause mortality using linked Census-mortality data.
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Blazevska J, Welsh J, and Korda RJ
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- Male, Humans, Female, Socioeconomic Factors, Australia epidemiology, New Zealand epidemiology, Mortality, Censuses, Occupations
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Objective: This report aims to provide national estimates of occupation-related inequalities in all-cause mortality for Australian residents aged 25-64 years., Method: Data came from the 2016 Census linked to Deaths Registrations, available via the Multi-Agency Data Integration Project. Using negative binomial regression, we estimated age-adjusted relative and absolute inequalities in all-cause mortality rates in the 13 months following Census according to occupation, defined using the Australian and New Zealand Standard Classification of Occupations (eight major groups), using managers as the reference group., Results: Among 10.8M people, there were 20,987 deaths. Age-adjusted mortality rates were lowest among managers and professionals and were generally highest for manual occupations, for example, among men, relative risks (RR) for labourers ranged across age groups from 1.44 (95% CI 1.19-1.75, age 54-64) to 2.99 (1.93-4.65, age 25-34); among women, the RR for machine operators and drivers were 3.95 (1.39-11.21 in age 25-24 and 2.73 (1.66-4.49) in age 45-54, but there was relatively little variation by occupation in women aged 35-44 and 55-64. Around one in five deaths (23% for men, 17% for women) were associated with being in an occupation other than manager., Conclusion: These findings highlight that there is benefit in documenting national mortality inequalities according to occupation in addition to other measures of socioeconomic position. They provide further insights into socioeconomic inequalities in mortality., Implications for Public Health: Methods that aim to reduce mortality for those in manual occupations, particularly among young men, will reduce inequalities and improve population health., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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14. Liver and cardiometabolic markers and conditions in a cross-sectional study of three Australian communities living with environmental per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances contamination.
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Lazarevic N, Smurthwaite KS, D'Este C, Lucas RM, Armstrong B, Clements AC, Trevenar SM, Gad I, Hosking R, Law HD, Mueller J, Bräunig J, Nilsson S, Lane J, Lal A, Lidbury BA, Korda RJ, and Kirk MD
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- Adult, Humans, Cross-Sectional Studies, Bayes Theorem, Australia epidemiology, Liver, Cholesterol, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Alkanesulfonic Acids, Environmental Pollutants, Fluorocarbons
- Abstract
Background: Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) have been associated with higher cholesterol and liver function markers in some studies, but the evidence for specific cardiometabolic conditions has been inconclusive., Objectives: We quantified the associations of single and combined PFAS with cardiometabolic markers and conditions in a cross-sectional study of three Australian communities with PFAS-contaminated water from the historical use of aqueous film-forming foam in firefighting activities, and three comparison communities., Methods: Participants gave blood samples for measurement of nine PFAS, four lipids, six liver function markers, and completed a survey on sociodemographic characteristics and eight cardiometabolic conditions. We estimated differences in mean biomarker concentrations per doubling in single PFAS concentrations (linear regression) and per interquartile range increase in the PFAS mixture (Bayesian kernel machine regression). We estimated prevalence ratios of biomarker concentrations outside reference limits and self-reported cardiometabolic conditions (Poisson regression)., Results: We recruited 881 adults in exposed communities and 801 in comparison communities. We observed higher mean total cholesterol with higher single and mixture PFAS concentrations in blood serum (e.g., 0.18 mmol/L, 95% credible interval -0.06 to 0.42, higher total cholesterol concentrations with an interquartile range increase in all PFAS concentrations in Williamtown, New South Wales), with varying certainty across communities and PFAS. There was less consistency in direction of associations for liver function markers. Serum perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) concentrations were positively associated with the prevalence of self-reported hypercholesterolemia in one of three communities, but PFAS concentrations were not associated with self-reported type II diabetes, liver disease, or cardiovascular disease., Discussion: Our study is one of few that has simultaneously quantified the associations of blood PFAS concentrations with multiple biomarkers and cardiometabolic conditions in multiple communities. Our findings for total cholesterol were consistent with previous studies; however, substantial uncertainty in our estimates and the cross-sectional design limit causal inference., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: Professor Martyn Kirk worked part-time for the Australian Government Department of Health between 2020 and 2022 on the Australian national COVID-19 response., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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15. Psychological distress in three Australian communities living with environmental per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances contamination.
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Lazarevic N, Smurthwaite KS, Batterham PJ, Lane J, Trevenar SM, D'Este C, Clements ACA, Joshy AL, Hosking R, Gad I, Lal A, Law HD, Banwell C, Randall DA, Miller A, Housen T, Korda RJ, and Kirk MD
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- Adult, Humans, Australia epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Environmental Exposure, Water, Alkanesulfonic Acids analysis, Environmental Pollutants, Fluorocarbons analysis
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Background: Environmental chemical contamination is a recognised risk factor for psychological distress, but has been seldom studied in the context of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) contamination. We examined psychological distress in a cross-sectional study of three Australian communities exposed to PFAS from the historical use of aqueous film-forming foam in firefighting activities, and three comparison communities without environmental contamination., Methods: Participation was voluntary following recruitment from a PFAS blood-testing program (exposed) or random selection (comparison). Participants provided blood samples and completed a survey on their exposure history, sociodemographic characteristics, and four measures of psychological distress (Kessler-6, Distress Questionnaire-5, Patient Health Questionnaire-15, and Generalised Anxiety Disorder-7). We estimated prevalence ratios (PR) of clinically-significant psychological distress scores, and differences in mean scores: (1) between exposed and comparison communities; (2) per doubling in PFAS serum concentrations in exposed communities; (3) for factors that affect the perceived risk of living in a community exposed to PFAS; and (4) in relation to self-reported health concerns., Results: We recruited 881 adults in exposed communities and 801 in comparison communities. We observed higher levels of self-reported psychological distress in exposed communities than in comparison communities (e.g., Katherine compared to Alice Springs, Northern Territory: clinically-significant anxiety scores, adjusted PR = 2.82, 95 % CI 1.16-6.89). We found little evidence to suggest that psychological distress was associated with PFAS serum concentrations (e.g., Katherine, PFOS and anxiety, adjusted PR = 0.85, 95 % CI 0.65-1.10). Psychological distress was higher among exposed participants who were occupationally exposed to firefighting foam, used bore water on their properties, or were concerned about their health., Conclusion: Psychological distress was substantially more prevalent in exposed communities than in comparison communities. Our findings suggest that the perception of risks to health, rather than PFAS exposure, contribute to psychological distress in communities with PFAS contamination., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest MDK worked part-time for the Australian Government Department of Health between 2020 and 2022 on the Australian national COVID-19 response team. The other authors declare that they have no competing interests., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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16. Changes in general practice use and costs with COVID-19 and telehealth initiatives: analysis of Australian whole-population linked data.
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Butler DC, Joshy G, Douglas KA, Sayeed MSB, Welsh J, Douglas A, and Korda RJ
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- Humans, Australia epidemiology, National Health Programs, Pandemics, COVID-19 epidemiology, General Practice, Telemedicine
- Abstract
Background: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, general practice in Australia underwent a rapid transition, including the roll-out of population-wide telehealth, with uncertain impacts on GP use and costs., Aim: To describe how use and costs of GP services changed in 2020 - following the COVID-19 pandemic and introduction of telehealth - compared with 2019, and how this varied across population subgroups., Design and Setting: Linked-data analysis of whole-population data for Australia., Method: Multi-Agency Data Integration Project data for ∼19 million individuals from the 2016 census were linked to Medicare data for 2019-2020. Regression models were used to compare age- and sex-adjusted GP use and out-of-pocket costs over time, overall, and by sociodemographic characteristics., Results: Of the population, 85.5% visited a GP in Q2-Q4 2020, compared with 89.5% in the same period of 2019. The mean number of face-to-face GP services per quarter declined, while telehealth services increased; overall use of GP services in Q4 2020 was similar to, or higher than, that of Q4 2019 for most groups. The proportion of total GP services by telehealth stabilised at 23.5% in Q4 2020. However, individuals aged 3-14 years, ≥70 years, and those with limited English proficiency used fewer GP services in 2020 compared with 2019, with a lower proportion by telehealth, compared with the rest of the population. Mean out-of-pocket costs per service were lower across all subgroups in 2020 compared with 2019., Conclusion: The introduction of widespread telehealth maintained the use of GP services during the COVID-19 pandemic and minimised out-of-pocket costs, but not for all population subgroups., (© The Authors.)
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- 2023
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17. Quantifying cause-related mortality in Australia, incorporating multiple causes: observed patterns, trends and practical considerations.
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Bishop K, Moreno-Betancur M, Balogun S, Eynstone-Hinkins J, Moran L, Rao C, Banks E, Korda RJ, Gourley M, and Joshy G
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- Humans, Cause of Death, Causality, Mortality, Atrial Fibrillation, Diabetes Mellitus epidemiology, Hypertension epidemiology
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Background: Mortality statistics using a single underlying cause of death (UC) are key health indicators. Rising multimorbidity and chronic disease mean that deaths increasingly involve multiple conditions. However, additional causes reported on death certificates are rarely integrated into mortality indicators, partly due to complexities in data and methods. This study aimed to assess trends and patterns in cause-related mortality in Australia, integrating multiple causes (MC) of death., Methods: Deaths (n = 1 773 399) in Australia (2006-17) were mapped to 136 ICD-10-based groups and MC indicators applied. Age-standardized cause-related rates (deaths/100 000) based on the UC (ASRUC) were compared with rates based on any mention of the cause (ASRAM) using rate ratios (RR = ASRAM/ASRUC) and to rates based on weighting multiple contributing causes (ASRW)., Results: Deaths involved on average 3.4 causes in 2017; the percentage with >4 causes increased from 20.9 (2006) to 24.4 (2017). Ischaemic heart disease (ASRUC = 73.3, ASRAM = 135.8, ASRW = 63.5), dementia (ASRUC = 51.1, ASRAM = 98.1, ASRW = 52.1) and cerebrovascular diseases (ASRUC = 39.9, ASRAM = 76.7, ASRW = 33.5) ranked as leading causes by all methods. Causes with high RR included hypertension (ASRUC = 2.2, RR = 35.5), atrial fibrillation (ASRUC = 8.0, RR = 6.5) and diabetes (ASRUC = 18.5, RR = 3.5); the corresponding ASRW were 12.5, 12.6 and 24.0, respectively. Renal failure, atrial fibrillation and hypertension ranked among the 10 leading causes by ASRAM and ASRW but not by ASRUC. Practical considerations in working with MC data are discussed., Conclusions: Despite the similarities in leading causes under the three methods, with integration of MC several preventable diseases emerged as leading causes. MC analyses offer a richer additional perspective for population health monitoring and policy development., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.)
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- 2023
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18. Factors related to under-treatment of secondary cardiovascular risk, including primary healthcare: Australian National Health Survey linked data analysis.
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Butler DC, Paige E, Welsh J, Di Law H, Moon L, Banks E, and Korda RJ
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- Australia epidemiology, Data Analysis, Female, Health Surveys, Heart Disease Risk Factors, Humans, Lipids, Male, Primary Health Care, Risk Factors, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control
- Abstract
Objective: To inform national evidence gaps on cardiovascular disease (CVD) preventive medication use and factors relating to under-treatment - including primary healthcare engagement - among CVD survivors in Australia., Methods: Data from 884 participants with self-reported CVD from the 2014-15 National Health Survey were linked to primary care and pharmaceutical dispensing data for 2016 through the Multi-Agency Data Integration Project. Logistic regression quantified the relation of combined blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medication use to participant characteristics., Results: Overall, 94.8% had visited a general practitioner (GP) and 40.0% were on both blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medications. Medication use was least likely in: women versus men (OR=0.49[95%CI:0.37-0.65]), younger participants (e.g. 45-64y versus 65-85y: OR=0.58[0.42-0.79])and current versus never-smokers (OR=0.73[0.44-1.20]). Treatment was more likely in those with ≥9 versus ≤4 conditions (OR=2.15[1.39-3.31]), with ≥11 versus 0-2 GP visits/year (OR=2.62[1.53-4.48]) and with individual CVD risk factors (e.g. high blood pressure OR=3.13 [2.34-4.19]) versus without); the latter even accounting for GP service-use frequency., Conclusions: Younger people, smokers, those with infrequent GP visits or without CVD risk factors were the least likely to be on medication., Implications for Public Health: Substantial under-treatment, even among those using GP services, indicates opportunities to prevent further CVD events in primary care., (© 2022 The Authors.)
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- 2022
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19. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander health checks: sociodemographic characteristics and cardiovascular risk factors.
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Butler DC, Agostino J, Paige E, Korda RJ, Douglas KA, Wade V, and Banks E
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- Adult, Aged, Australia epidemiology, Female, Heart Disease Risk Factors, Humans, Male, National Health Programs, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, Risk Factors, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control
- Abstract
Objective: To quantify Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander health check claims in Australian adults in relation to sociodemographic and health characteristics, including prior cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CVD risk factors., Methods: The study involved analysis of baseline data (2006-2009) from the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study, involving 1753 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander adults in New South Wales, Australia, linked to Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) hospital and death data (to December 2015). The outcome was a claim for receiving a Medicare-funded Health Assessment for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander People (MBS item 715) in the 2 years before December 2015. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for receiving a health check in relation to sociodemographic and health characteristics., Results: One-third (32%) of participants received at least one Medicare-funded health check in the 2-year period. The probability of receiving a health check was higher for women than men (adjusted OR 1.47; 95% CI 1.18, 1.84), for those with lowest education than for those with highest education (OR 1.58; CI 1.11, 2.24), for those in a regional area (OR 1.56; CI 1.22, 2.01) or remote area (OR 2.38; CI 1.8, 3.16) than for those in major cities, for those with prior CVD than for those without (OR 1.80; CI 1.42, 2.27), for those with CVD risk factors than for those without (adjusted OR between 1.28 and 2.28, depending on risk factor), for those with poor self-rated health than for those with excellent self-rated health (OR 3.15; CI 1.76, 6.65) and for those with more than 10 visits to a general practitioner (GP) per year than for those with 0-2 visits (OR 33.62; CI 13.45, 84.02). Additional adjustment for number of GP visits or self-rated health substantially attenuated ORs for prior CVD and most CVD risk factors. When mutually adjusted, use of GP services and poorer self-rated health remained strongly associated with receiving a health check., Conclusions: Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people with the greatest healthcare need and at highest risk of CVD were more likely to receive a health check; however, a significant proportion of those who were eligible had not received this preventive care intervention. Findings indicate that there is greater potential for the use of health checks (MBS item 715) in improving identification and management of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people at high risk of CVD, potentially preventing future CVD events., Competing Interests: None declared.
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- 2022
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20. Reflection on modern methods: statistical, policy and ethical implications of using age-standardized health indicators to quantify inequities.
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Thurber KA, Thandrayen J, Maddox R, Barrett EM, Walker J, Priest N, Korda RJ, Banks E, Williams DR, and Lovett R
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- Aged, Australia epidemiology, Humans, Policy, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, Population Groups
- Abstract
Methods for calculating health indicators profoundly influence understanding of and action on population health and inequities. Age-standardization can be useful and is commonly applied to account for differences in age structures when comparing health indicators across groups. Age-standardized rates have well-acknowledged limitations, including that they are relative indices for comparison, and not accurate measures of actual rates where the age structures of groups diverge. This paper explores these limitations, and demonstrates alternative approaches through a case study quantifying mortality rates within the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (Indigenous) population of Australia and inequities compared with the non-Indigenous population, over 2001-16. Applying the Australian Standard Population, the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander age-standardized mortality rate was more than double the crude mortality rate in 2001 and 2016, inflated through high weighting of older age groups. Despite divergent population age structures, age-standardized mortality rates remain a key policy metric for measuring progress in reducing Indigenous-non-Indigenous inequities in Australia. Focusing on outcomes age-standardized to the total population can obscure inequities, and denies Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples and communities valid, actionable information about their health and well-being. Age-specific statistics convey the true magnitude of health risks and highlight high-risk subgroups. When requiring standardization, standardizing to a population-specific standard (here, an Indigenous standard) generates metrics centred around and reflective of reality for the population of focus, supporting communities' self-determination to identify priorities and informing resource allocation and service delivery. The principles outlined here apply across populations, including Indigenous and other populations internationally., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.)
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- 2022
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21. Education-related inequalities in cause-specific mortality: first estimates for Australia using individual-level linked census and mortality data.
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Welsh J, Joshy G, Moran L, Soga K, Law HD, Butler D, Bishop K, Gourley M, Eynstone-Hinkins J, Booth H, Moon L, Biddle N, Blakely A, Banks E, and Korda RJ
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- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Australia epidemiology, Cause of Death, Educational Status, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Socioeconomic Factors, Censuses, Mortality
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Background: Socioeconomic inequalities in mortality are evident in all high-income countries, and ongoing monitoring is recommended using linked census-mortality data. Using such data, we provide the first estimates of education-related inequalities in cause-specific mortality in Australia, suitable for international comparisons., Methods: We used Australian Census (2016) linked to 13 months of Death Registrations (2016-17). We estimated relative rates (RR) and rate differences (RD, per 100 000 person-years), comparing rates in low (no qualifications) and intermediate (secondary school) with high (tertiary) education for individual causes of death (among those aged 25-84 years) and grouped according to preventability (25-74 years), separately by sex and age group, adjusting for age, using negative binomial regression., Results: Among 13.9 M people contributing 14 452 732 person-years, 84 743 deaths occurred. All-cause mortality rates among men and women aged 25-84 years with low education were 2.76 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.61-2.91] and 2.13 (2.01-2.26) times the rates of those with high education, respectively. We observed inequalities in most causes of death in each age-sex group. Among men aged 25-44 years, relative and absolute inequalities were largest for injuries, e.g. transport accidents [RR = 10.1 (5.4-18.7), RD = 21.2 (14.5-27.9)]). Among those aged 45-64 years, inequalities were greatest for chronic diseases, e.g. lung cancer [men RR = 6.6 (4.9-8.9), RD = 57.7 (49.7-65.8)] and ischaemic heart disease [women RR = 5.8 (3.7-9.1), RD = 20.2 (15.8-24.6)], with similar patterns for people aged 65-84 years. When grouped according to preventability, inequalities were large for causes amenable to behaviour change and medical intervention for all ages and causes amenable to injury prevention among young men., Conclusions: Australian education-related inequalities in mortality are substantial, generally higher than international estimates, and related to preventability. Findings highlight opportunities to reduce them and the potential to improve the health of the population., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.)
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- 2022
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22. The relationship of socioeconomic factors to the use of preventative cardiovascular disease medications: A prospective Australian cohort study.
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Paige E, Banks E, Agostino J, Brieger D, Page K, Joshy G, Barrett EM, and Korda RJ
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- Australia, Cohort Studies, Humans, Lipids, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Socioeconomic Factors, Brain Ischemia, Cardiovascular Diseases drug therapy, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control, Stroke
- Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) events are highly preventable through appropriate treatment and disproportionally affect socioeconomically disadvantaged individuals. This study quantified the relationship of socioeconomic factors to dispensing and persistent use of lipid- and blood pressure-lowering medication following hospital admission for a major CVD event (myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke/transient ischaemic attack). Data from 8285 people with such events aged ≥45 years from the Australian 45 and Up Study with linked medication data were used to estimate relative risks (RRs) for combined lipid- and blood pressure-lowering dispensing at three-months following hospital discharge and for 12-month persistent use, in relation to education, income, and level of medication subsidisation. Overall, 56% were dispensed guideline-recommended medications at three months and 37% persistently used them across 12 months. After adjusting for demographic factors, type of CVD and history of CVD hospitalisation, RRs for lowest (no educational qualifications) compared to highest education level (university degree) were 1.14 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.22) for medication dispensing and 1.15 (1.02, 1.29) for persistent medication use; 1.14 (1.06, 1.22) and 1.17 (1.04, 1.32) respectively for lowest (<$20,000) versus highest (≥$70,000) household pre-tax income; and 1.25 (1.17, 1.33) and 1.28 (1.15, 1.43) respectively for those receiving highest versus lowest subsidisation. There was little to no evidence of a relationship of income and education to medication use after adjustment for medication subsidisation. While preventive medication use is sub-optimal, subsidisation is substantially associated with increased use and accounts for most of the relationship with socioeconomic position, suggesting subsidy schemes are working in the intended direction., (Copyright © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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23. Use of health and aged care services in Australia following hospital admission for myocardial infarction, stroke or heart failure.
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Hsu B, Korda RJ, Lindley RI, Douglas KA, Naganathan V, and Jorm LR
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- Aged, Hospitalization, Hospitals, Humans, Risk Factors, Heart Failure diagnosis, Heart Failure epidemiology, Heart Failure therapy, Myocardial Infarction, Stroke diagnosis, Stroke epidemiology, Stroke therapy
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Background: Cardiovascular diseases (CVD), including myocardial infarction (MI), stroke and heart failure (HF) are the leading cause of death amongst the older population worldwide. The aim of this study is to investigate trajectories of use of health and aged care services after hospital admission for MI, stroke or HF among community-dwelling people not previously receiving aged care services., Methods: The study population comprised people aged 65+ years from the 45 and Up Study with linked records for hospital stays, aged care services and deaths for the period 2006-14. Among those with an index hospital admission for MI, stroke or HF, we developed Sankey plots to describe and visualize sequences and trajectories of service use (none, re-hospitalization, community care, residential care, death) in the 12 months following discharge. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs), for commencing community care and entering residential care (and the other outcomes) within 3, 6 and 12 months, compared to a matched group without MI, stroke or HF., Results: Two thousand six hundred thirty-nine, two thousand five hundred and two thousand eight hundred seventy-three people had an index hospitalization for MI, stroke and HF, respectively. Within 3 months of hospital discharge, 16, 32 and 29%, respectively, commenced community care (multivariable-adjusted HRs: 1.26 (95%CI:1.18-1.35), 1.53 (95%CI:1.44-1.64) and 1.39 (95%CI:1.32-1.48)); and 7, 18 and 14%, respectively, entered residential care (HRs: 1.25 (95%CI:1.12-1.41), 2.65 (95%CI:2.42-2.91) and 1.50 (95%CI:1.37-1.65)). Likewise, 26, 15 and 28%, respectively, were rehospitalized within 3 months following discharge (multivariable-adjusted HRs: 4.78 (95%CI:4.31-5.32), 3.26 (95%CI:2.91-3.65) and 4.94 (95%CI:4.47-5.46))., Conclusions: Older people hospitalized for major CVD may be vulnerable to transition-related risks and have poor health trajectories, thus emphasizing the value of preventing such events and care strategies targeted towards this at-risk group., (© 2021. The Author(s).)
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- 2021
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24. The ATHENA COVID-19 Study: Cohort profile and first findings for people diagnosed with COVID-19 in Queensland, 1 January to 31 December 2020.
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Welsh J, Korda RJ, Paige E, Morgan MA, Law HD, Stanton T, Bourne ZM, Tolosa MX, and Greaves K
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Child, Child, Preschool, Cohort Studies, Female, Hospitalization, Hospitals, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Intensive Care Units, Male, Middle Aged, Queensland epidemiology, Risk Factors, SARS-CoV-2 isolation & purification, Young Adult, COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: To date, there are limited Australian data on characteristics of people diagnosed with COVID-19 and on how these characteristics relate to outcomes. The ATHENA COVID-19 Study was established to describe health outcomes and investigate predictors of outcomes for all people diagnosed with COVID-19 in Queensland by linking COVID-19 notification, hospital, general practice and death registry data. This paper reports on the establishment and first findings for the ATHENA COVID-19 Study., Methods: Part 1 of the ATHENA COVID-19 Study used Notifiable Conditions System data from 1 January 2020 to 31 December 2020, linked to: Emergency Department Collection data for the same period; Queensland Health Admitted Patient Data Collections (from 1 January 2010 to 30 January 2021); and Deaths Registrations data (from 1 January 2020 to 17 January 2021)., Results: To 31 December 2020, a total of 1,254 people had been diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Queensland: half were female (49.8%); two-thirds (67.7%) were aged 20-59 years; and there was an over-representation of people living in less-disadvantaged areas. More than half of people diagnosed (57.6%) presented to an ED; 21.2% were admitted to hospital as an inpatient (median length of stay 11 days); 1.4% were admitted to an intensive care unit (82.4% of these required ventilation); and there were six deaths. Analysis of factors associated with these outcomes was limited due to small case numbers: people living in less-disadvantaged areas had a lower risk of being admitted to hospital (test for trend, p < 0.001), while those living in more remote areas were less likely than people living in major cities to present to an ED (test for trend: p=0.007), which may reflect differential health care access rather than health outcomes per se. Increasing age (test for trend, p < 0.001) and being a current/recent smoker (age-sex-adjusted relative risk: 1.61; 95% confidence interval: 1.00, 2.61) were associated with a higher risk of being admitted to hospital., Conclusion: Despite uncertainty in our estimates due to small numbers, our findings are consistent with what is known about COVID-19. Our findings reinforce the value of linking multiple data sources to enhance reporting of outcomes for people diagnosed with COVID-19 and provide a platform for longer term follow-up., (© Commonwealth of Australia CC BY-NC-ND.)
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- 2021
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25. Differences between men and women in the use of preventive medications following a major cardiovascular event: Australian prospective cohort study.
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Barrett E, Paige E, Welsh J, Korda RJ, Joshy G, Martin M, and Banks E
- Abstract
Most cardiovascular disease (CVD) events can be prevented with appropriate risk management. Existing evidence suggests women are less likely than men to receive guideline-recommended medications, however data on sex-differences in preventive medication use following a CVD event are lacking. Relative risks (RRs) comparing use of blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medications in men and women at 3-, 6-, 9- and 12-months following hospitalisation for myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke from 2012 to 2017 were quantified using linked data from 8,278 participants enrolled in the Australian 45 and Up Study. Overall, 51% of women and 58% of men were using both blood-pressure- and lipid-lowering medications three months after a MI or stroke event, decreasing to 48% and 53%, respectively, at 12 months after an event. Adjusting for potential confounders, women were 9% less likely than men (RR = 0.91 [95% CI: 0.87, 0.95]) to be using both medications and 19% more likely (RR = 1.19 [95% CI: 1.07, 1.32]) to use neither medication three months after a MI or stroke event. At the 12-month mark, women were 8% less likely (RR = 0.92 [95% CI: 0.88, 0.97]) to be using both medications and 14% more likely (RR = 1.14 [95% CI: 1.03, 1.26]) to use neither medication. Women were consistently less likely to use both preventive medications and more likely to use neither medication at each follow-up time point. Overall, there were major shortfalls in basic preventive medication use post-CVD event and sex disparities are likely to further jeopardise efforts to reduce CVD events in the community., Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (© 2021 The Authors.)
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- 2021
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26. Does psychological distress directly increase risk of incident cardiovascular disease? Evidence from a prospective cohort study using a longer-term measure of distress.
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Welsh J, Banks E, Joshy G, Butterworth P, Strazdins L, and Korda RJ
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- Cohort Studies, Humans, Incidence, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Psychological Distress
- Abstract
Objective: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence is elevated among people with psychological distress. However, whether the relationship is causal is unclear, partly due to methodological limitations, including limited evidence relating to longer-term rather than single time-point measures of distress. We compared CVD relative risks for psychological distress using single time-point and multi-time-point assessments using data from a large-scale cohort study., Design: We used questionnaire data, with data collection at two time-points (time 1: between 2006 and 2009; time 2: between 2010 and 2015), from CVD-free and cancer-free 45 and Up Study participants, linked to hospitalisation and death records. The follow-up period began at time 2 and ended on 30 November 2017. Psychological distress was measured at both time-points using Kessler 10 (K10), allowing assessment of single time-point (at time 2: high (K10 score: 22-50) vs low (K10 score: <12)) and multi-time-point (high distress (K10 score: 22-50) at both time-points vs low distress (K10 score: <12) at both time-points) measures of distress. Cox regression quantified the association between distress and major CVD, with and without adjustment for sociodemographic and health-related characteristics, including functional limitations., Results: Among 83 906 respondents, 7350 CVD events occurred over 410 719 follow-up person-years (rate: 17.9 per 1000 person-years). Age-adjusted and sex-adjusted rates of major CVD were elevated by 50%-60% among those with high versus low distress for both the multi-time-point (HR=1.63, 95% CI 1.40 to 1.90) and single time-point (HR=1.53, 95% CI 1.39 to 1.69) assessments. HRs for both measures of distress attenuated with adjustment for sociodemographic and health-related characteristics, and there was little evidence of an association when functional limitations were taken into account (multi-time-point HR=1.09, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.27; single time-point HR=1.14, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.26)., Conclusion: Irrespective of whether a single time-point or multi-time-point measure is used, the distress-CVD relationship is substantively explained by sociodemographic characteristics and pre-existing physical health-related factors., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2021
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27. Comparison of cardiovascular disease risk factors, assessment and management in men and women, including consideration of absolute risk: a nationally representative cross-sectional study.
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Banks E, Welsh J, Joshy G, Martin M, Paige E, and Korda RJ
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- Adult, Aged, Australia epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Diabetes Mellitus epidemiology
- Abstract
Objectives: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is highly preventable and optimal treatments based on absolute risk can halve risk of future events. Compared with women, men have higher risks of developing CVD. However, women can experience suboptimal treatment. We aimed to quantify sex differences in CVD risk, assessment and treatment in Australian adults., Design, Participants, Setting: Cross-sectional analysis of nationally representative data from interview, physical measures, medication review and blood and urine samples, from 2011 to 2012 Australian Health Survey participants aged 45-74 (n=11 518)., Outcome Measures: CVD risk factors, absolute 5-year risk of a primary CVD event, blood pressure and cholesterol assessment in the previous 2 and 5 years and use of recommended CVD preventive medications were compared using Poisson regression to estimate age-adjusted male versus female prevalence ratios (PRs)., Results: Women had a generally more favourable CVD risk factor profile than men, including lower: current smoking prevalence (women=14.5%; men=18.4%, PR=0.78, 95% CI=0.70 to 0.88); body mass index (women (mean)=28.3 kg/m
2 ; men (mean)=28.8 kg/m2 , p<0.01); systolic and diastolic blood pressure (systolic: women (mean)=127.1 mm Hg; men (mean)=130.5 mm Hg, p<0.001); blood glucose (women (mean)=5.2 mmol/L; men (mean)=5.5 mmol/L); diabetes prevalence (women=6.8%; men=12.5%, PR=0.55, 95% CI=0.44 to 0.67); prior CVD (women=7.9%; men=11.3%) and absolute primary CVD risk (absolute 5-year CVD risk >15%: women=6.6%, 95% CI=5.4 to 7.8; men=15.4%, 95% CI=13.9% to 16.9%). Compared with men, women had higher low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein and total cholesterol and sedentary behaviour and lower physical activity. Blood pressure and cholesterol assessment were common in both sexes. Among those at high absolute risk, age-adjusted proportions receiving recommended CVD medications were low, without sex differences (women=21.3%; men=23.8%, PR=0.93, 95% CI=0.49 to 1.78). Fewer women than men with prior atherosclerotic CVD were receiving recommended treatment (women=21.8%, men=41.4%, PR=0.55, 95% CI=0.31 to 0.96)., Conclusion: Women have a more favourable CVD risk factor profile than men. Preventive treatment is uncommon and women with prior atherosclerotic CVD are around half as likely as men to be receiving recommended treatment., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)- Published
- 2020
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28. Education-related variation in coronary procedure rates and the contribution of private health care in Australia: a prospective cohort study.
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Hughes V, Paige E, Welsh J, Joshy G, Banks E, and Korda RJ
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Angina Pectoris economics, Angiography, Australia, Female, Health Facilities, Hospitalization, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction economics, New South Wales, Private Sector, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Social Class, Socioeconomic Factors, Angina Pectoris therapy, Delivery of Health Care economics, Delivery of Health Care methods, Educational Status, Healthcare Disparities, Insurance, Health, Myocardial Infarction therapy
- Abstract
Background: Contemporary Australian evidence on socioeconomic variation in secondary cardiovascular disease (CVD) care, a possible contributor to inequalities in cardiovascular disease outcomes, is lacking. This study examined the relationship between education, an individual-level indicator of socioeconomic position, and receipt of angiography and revascularisation procedures following incident hospitalisation for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or angina, and the role of private care in this relationship., Methods: Participants aged ≥45 from the New South Wales population-based 45 and Up Study with no history of prior ischaemic heart disease hospitalised for AMI or angina were followed for receipt of angiography or revascularisation within 30 days of hospital admission, ascertained through linked hospital records. Education attainment, measured on baseline survey, was categorised as low (no school certificate/qualifications), intermediate (school certificate/trade/apprenticeship/diploma) and high (university degree). Cox regression estimated the association (hazard ratios [HRs]) between education and coronary procedure receipt, adjusting for demographic and health-related factors, and testing for linear trend. Private health insurance was investigated as a mediating variable., Results: Among 4454 patients with AMI, 68.3% received angiography within 30 days of admission (crude rate: 25.8/person-year) and 48.8% received revascularisation (rate: 11.7/person-year); corresponding figures among 4348 angina patients were 59.7% (rate: 17.4/person-year) and 30.8% (rate: 5.3/person-year). Procedure rates decreased with decreasing levels of education. Comparing low to high education, angiography rates were 29% lower among AMI patients (adjusted HR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.90) and 40% lower among angina patients (0.60, 0.47-0.76). Patterns were similar for revascularisation among those with angina (0.78, 0.61-0.99) but not AMI (0.93, 0.69-1.25). After adjustment for private health insurance status, the HRs were attenuated and there was little evidence of an association between education and angiography among those admitted for AMI., Conclusions: There is a socioeconomic gradient in coronary procedures with the most disadvantaged patients being less likely to receive angiography following hospital admission for AMI or angina, and revascularisation procedures for angina. Unequal access to private health care contributes to these differences. The extent to which the remaining variation is clinically appropriate, or whether angiography is being underused among people with low socioeconomic position or overused among those with higher socioeconomic position, is unclear.
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- 2020
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29. Education inequalities in adult all-cause mortality: first national data for Australia using linked census and mortality data.
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Korda RJ, Biddle N, Lynch J, Eynstone-Hinkins J, Soga K, Banks E, Priest N, Moon L, and Blakely T
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- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Australia epidemiology, Cause of Death, Censuses, Death Certificates, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Educational Status, Health Status Disparities, Mortality trends
- Abstract
Background: National linked mortality and census data have not previously been available for Australia. We estimated education-based mortality inequalities from linked census and mortality data that are suitable for international comparisons., Methods: We used the Australian Bureau of Statistics Death Registrations to Census file, with data on deaths (2011-2012) linked probabilistically to census data (linkage rate 81%). To assess validity, we compared mortality rates by age group (25-44, 45-64, 65-84 years), sex and area-inequality measures to those based on complete death registration data. We used negative binomial regression to quantify inequalities in all-cause mortality in relation to five levels of education ['Bachelor degree or higher' (highest) to 'no Year 12 and no post-secondary qualification' (lowest)], separately by sex and age group, adjusting for single year of age and correcting for linkage bias and missing education data., Results: Mortality rates and area-based inequality estimates were comparable to published national estimates. Men aged 25-84 years with the lowest education had age-adjusted mortality rates 2.20 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.08‒2.33] times those of men with the highest education. Among women, the rate ratio was 1.64 (1.55‒1.74). Rate ratios were 3.87 (3.38‒4.44) in men and 2.57 (2.15‒3.07) in women aged 25-44 years, decreasing to 1.68 (1.60‒1.76) in men and 1.44 (1.36‒1.53) in women aged 65-84 years. Absolute education inequalities increased with age. One in three to four deaths (31%) was associated with less than Bachelor level education., Conclusions: These linked national data enabled valid estimates of education inequality in mortality suitable for international comparisons. The magnitude of relative inequality is substantial and similar to that reported for other high-income countries., (© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.)
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- 2020
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30. Identifying long-term psychological distress from single measures: evidence from a nationally representative longitudinal survey of the Australian population.
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Welsh J, Korda RJ, Banks E, Strazdins L, Joshy G, and Butterworth P
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- Adult, Aged, Anxiety diagnosis, Anxiety psychology, Australia, Depression diagnosis, Depression psychology, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Social Class, Stress, Psychological psychology, Health Surveys methods, Health Surveys statistics & numerical data, Mental Health statistics & numerical data, Psychological Distress, Stress, Psychological diagnosis
- Abstract
Background: Single time-point assessments of psychological distress are often used to indicate chronic mental health problems, but the validity of this approach is unclear. The aims of this study were to investigate how a single assessment of distress relates to longer-term assessment and quantify misclassification from using single measures to indicate chronic distress., Methods: Data came from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia Survey, a nationally representative study of Australian adults. Psychological distress, measured with the Kessler10 and categorised into low (scores:10- < 12), mild (12- < 16), moderate (16- < 22) and high (22-50), has been assessed in the Survey biennially since wave 7. Among respondents who were aged ≥25 years and participated in all waves in which distress was measured, we describe agreement in distress categories, and using a mixed linear model adjusting for age and sex we estimate change in scores, over a two-, four-, six- and eight-year follow-up period. We applied weights, benchmarked to the Australian population, to all analyses., Results: Two-years following initial assessment, proportions within identical categories of distress were 66.0% for low, 54.5% for mild, 44.0% for moderate and 50.3% for high, while 94.1% of those with low distress initially had low/mild distress and 81.4% with high distress initially had moderate/high distress. These patterns did not change materially as follow-up time increased. Over the full eight-year period, 77.3% of individuals with high distress initially reported high distress on ≥1 follow-up occasion. Age-and sex- adjusted change in K10 scores over a two-year period was 1.1, 0.5, - 0.7 and - 4.9 for low, mild, moderate and high distress, respectively, and also did not change materially as follow-up time increased., Conclusion: In the absence of repeated measures, single assessments are useful proxies for chronic distress. Our estimates could be used in bias analyses to quantify the magnitude of the bias resulting from use of single assessments to indicate chronic distress.
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- 2020
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31. Variation in coronary angiography and revascularisation procedures in relation to psychological distress among patients admitted to hospital with myocardial infarction or angina.
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Welsh J, Korda RJ, Joshy G, Greaves K, and Banks E
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- Aged, Angina Pectoris surgery, Coronary Angiography methods, Female, Hospitalization, Hospitals, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction surgery, Percutaneous Coronary Intervention methods, Angina Pectoris psychology, Coronary Angiography psychology, Myocardial Infarction psychology, Percutaneous Coronary Intervention psychology, Psychological Distress
- Abstract
Objective: Cardiac patients with psychological distress have a poorer prognosis than patients without distress; which may in part reflect differences in treatment. We quantified variation in coronary angiography and revascularisation procedures according to psychological distress among patients admitted with incident acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or angina., Methods: Questionnaire data (collected 2006-09) from 45 and Up Study participants were linked to hospitalisation and mortality data, to 30 June 2016. Among patients free from ischaemic heart disease at baseline and subsequently hospitalised with AMI or angina, Cox regression was used to model the association between distress (Kessler-10 scores: low [10-<12], mild [12-<16], moderate [16-<22] and high [22-50]) - assessed on the questionnaire - and coronary angiography and revascularisation procedures (percutaneous coronary intervention [PCI] or coronary artery bypass grafting [CABG]) within 30 days of admission, adjusting for personal characteristics, including physical functioning., Results: Proportions receiving angiography and PCI/CABG were 71.4% and 51.7% following AMI (n = 3749), and 61.3% and 31.3% for angina patients (n = 3772), respectively. Following AMI, age-sex-adjusted rates of PCI/CABG were lower with higher levels of distress (test for trend: p = .037), as were rates of angiography and PCI/CABG (p < .01) following admission with angina. After additional adjustment for personal characteristics, associations between distress and procedure rates attenuated substantively and were no longer significant, except that PCI/CABG rates remained lower among angina patients with high versus low distress (HR = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.59-0.99)., Conclusion: Distress-related variation in coronary procedures largely reflects differences in personal characteristics. Whether lower revascularisation rates among angina patients with high compared to low distress are clinically appropriate or represent under-treatment remains unclear., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2019
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32. Psychological distress and medication use for secondary prevention of cardiovascular events: Evidence from a large-scale population-based cohort study.
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Welsh J, Paige E, Banks E, Joshy G, Brieger D, and Korda RJ
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Blood Pressure, Cardiovascular Diseases physiopathology, Cardiovascular Diseases psychology, Cohort Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases drug therapy, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control, Psychological Distress, Secondary Prevention
- Abstract
Objective: Cardiac patients with psychological distress have a poorer prognosis than patients without distress, potentially reflecting differences in preventive care. We aimed to examine distress-related variation in guideline-recommended medication use for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD)., Methods: Baseline questionnaire data from the 45 and Up Study (collected 2006-2009) were linked to hospitalisation, pharmaceutical dispensing and death records (to exclude those who died). Among participants hospitalised with myocardial infarction, angina, stroke/transient ischaemic attack in the six years before the questionnaire, Modified Poisson regression was used to estimate relative risks (RR) for distress (Kessler 10 scores: low[10- < 12], mild[12- < 16], moderate[16- < 22] and high[22-50]) and use of both blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medications, and use of neither medication in the three months following the questionnaire, adjusting for sociodemographic and health characteristics., Results: Among 7598 participants, 34.0% had low, 35.4% mild, 18.3% moderate and 12.3% high psychological distress. Around two-thirds (63.4%) were using both medications and the proportion declined with increasing levels of distress: RRs were 1.01(95%CI:0.97-1.05), 0.95(0.90-1.00) and 0.91(0.86-0.97) for mild, moderate and high compared to low distress, respectively (p(trend) = 0.001). The proportion using neither medication was 9.1% and increased with increasing distress: RRs for mild, moderate and high compared to low distress were 0.99(0.82-1.19), 1.30(1.06-1.59) and 1.60(1.28-1.98), respectively (p(trend) < 0.001)., Conclusion: Patients with psychological distress may need more support to optimise their use of secondary CVD prevention medications. Increasing the use of these medications for distressed patients may improve prognosis for patients with distress and improve population-level secondary prevention of CVD more broadly., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2019
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33. Variation in cardiovascular disease care: an Australian cohort study on sex differences in receipt of coronary procedures.
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Fogg AJ, Welsh J, Banks E, Abhayaratna W, and Korda RJ
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Angina Pectoris mortality, Coronary Angiography statistics & numerical data, Coronary Artery Bypass statistics & numerical data, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Health Care Surveys, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction mortality, New South Wales, Percutaneous Coronary Intervention statistics & numerical data, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Sex Factors, Treatment Outcome, Angina Pectoris diagnostic imaging, Angina Pectoris therapy, Healthcare Disparities statistics & numerical data, Myocardial Infarction diagnostic imaging, Myocardial Infarction therapy, Practice Patterns, Physicians' statistics & numerical data, Procedures and Techniques Utilization statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Objectives: The aim of this study was to quantify sex differences in diagnostic and revascularisation coronary procedures within 1 year of hospitalisation for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or angina., Design: This is a prospective cohort study. Baseline questionnaire (January 2006-April 2009) data from the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study were linked to hospitalisation and mortality data (to 30 June 2016) in a time-to-event analysis, treating death as a censoring event., Setting: This was conducted in New South Wales, Australia., Participants: The study included participants aged ≥45 years with no history of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) who were admitted to hospital with a primary diagnosis of AMI (n=4580) or a primary diagnosis of angina or chronic IHD with secondary diagnosis of angina (n=4457)., Outcome Measures: The outcome of this study was coronary angiography and coronary revascularisation with percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass graft (PCI/CABG) within 1 year of index admission. Cox regression models compared coronary procedure rates in men and women, adjusting sequentially for age, sociodemographic variables and health characteristics., Results: Among patients with AMI, 71.6% of men (crude rate 3.45/person-year) and 64.7% of women (2.62/person-year) received angiography; 57.8% of men (1.73/person-year) and 37.4% of women (0.77/person-year) received PCI/CABG. Adjusted HRs for men versus women were 1.00 (0.92-1.08) for angiography and 1.51 (1.38-1.67) for PCI/CABG. In the angina group, 67.3% of men (crude rate 2.36/person-year) and 54.9% of women (1.32/person-year) received angiography; 44.6% of men (0.90/person-year) and 19.5% of women (0.26/person-year) received PCI/CABG. Adjusted HRs were 1.24 (1.14-1.34) and 2.44 (2.16-2.75), respectively., Conclusions: Men are more likely than women to receive coronary procedures, particularly revascularisation. This difference is most evident among people with angina, where clinical guidelines are less prescriptive than for AMI., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2019
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34. Tobacco smoking and risk of 36 cardiovascular disease subtypes: fatal and non-fatal outcomes in a large prospective Australian study.
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Banks E, Joshy G, Korda RJ, Stavreski B, Soga K, Egger S, Day C, Clarke NE, Lewington S, and Lopez AD
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- Australia epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases mortality, Cause of Death, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Cardiovascular Diseases etiology, Tobacco Smoking adverse effects
- Abstract
Background: Tobacco smoking is a leading cause of cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality. Evidence on the relation of smoking to different subtypes of CVD, across fatal and non-fatal outcomes, is limited., Methods: A prospective study of 188,167 CVD- and cancer-free individuals aged ≥ 45 years from the Australian general population joining the 45 and Up Study from 2006 to 2009, with linked questionnaire, hospitalisation and death data up to the end of 2015. Hazard ratios (HRs) for hospitalisation with or mortality from CVD among current and past versus never smokers were estimated, including according to intensity and recency of smoking, using Cox regression, adjusting for age, sex, urban/rural residence, alcohol consumption, income and education. Population-attributable fractions were estimated., Results: During a mean 7.2 years follow-up (1.35 million person-years), 27,511 (crude rate 20.4/1000 person-years) incident fatal and non-fatal major CVD events occurred, including 4548 (3.2) acute myocardial infarction (AMI), 3991 (2.8) cerebrovascular disease, 3874 (2.7) heart failure and 2311 (1.6) peripheral arterial disease (PAD) events. At baseline, 8% of participants were current and 34% were past smokers. Of the 36 most common specific CVD subtypes, event rates for 29 were increased significantly in current smokers. Adjusted HRs in current versus never smokers were as follows: 1.63 (95%CI 1.56-1.71) for any major CVD, 2.45 (2.22-2.70) for AMI, 2.16 (1.93-2.42) for cerebrovascular disease, 2.23 (1.96-2.53) for heart failure, 5.06 (4.47-5.74) for PAD, 1.50 (1.24-1.80) for paroxysmal tachycardia, 1.31 (1.20-1.44) for atrial fibrillation/flutter, 1.41 (1.17-1.70) for pulmonary embolism, 2.79 (2.04-3.80) for AMI mortality, 2.26 (1.65-3.10) for cerebrovascular disease mortality and 2.75 (2.37-3.19) for total CVD mortality. CVD risks were elevated at almost all levels of current smoking intensity examined and increased with smoking intensity, with HRs for total CVD mortality in current versus never smokers of 1.92 (1.11-3.32) and 4.90 (3.79-6.34) for 4-6 and ≥ 25 cigarettes/day, respectively. Risks diminished with quitting, with excess risks largely avoided by quitting before age 45. Over one third of CVD deaths and one quarter of acute coronary syndrome hospitalisations in Australia aged < 65 can be attributed to smoking., Conclusions: Current smoking increases the risk of virtually all CVD subtypes, at least doubling the risk of many, including AMI, cerebrovascular disease and heart failure. Paroxysmal tachycardia is a newly identified smoking-related risk. Where comparisons are possible, smoking-associated relative risks for fatal and non-fatal outcomes are similar. Quitting reduces the risk substantially. In an established smoking epidemic, with declining and low current smoking prevalence, smoking accounts for a substantial proportion of premature CVD events.
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- 2019
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35. Primary Absolute Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Prevention in Relation to Psychological Distress in the Australian Population: A Nationally Representative Cross-Sectional Study.
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Welsh J, Korda RJ, Joshy G, and Banks E
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People who experience psychological distress have an elevated risk of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the extent to which traditional CVD prevention strategies could be used to reduce the CVD burden in this group is unclear because population-level data on CVD risk profiles and appropriate management of risk in relation to distress are currently not available. The aim of this study was to use nationally representative data to quantify variation in CVD risk and appropriate management of risk according to level of psychological distress in the Australian population. Data were from 2,618 participants aged 45-74 years without prior CVD who participated in the 2011-12 Australian Health Survey, a cross-sectional and nationally representative study of Australian adults. Age-and sex-adjusted prevalence of 5-year absolute risk of primary CVD (low <10%, moderate 10-15%, or high >15%), CVD risk factors, blood-pressure, and cholesterol assessments, and appropriate treatment (combined blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medication) if at high primary risk, were estimated. Prevalence ratios (PR) quantified variation in these outcomes in relation to low (Kessler-10 score: 10-<12), mild (12-<16), moderate (16-<22) and high (22-50) psychological distress, after adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics. The prevalence of high absolute risk of primary CVD for low, mild, moderate and high distress was 10.9, 12.3, 11.4, and 18.6%, respectively, and was significantly higher among participants with high compared to low distress (adjusted PR:1.62, 95%CI:1.04-2.52). The prevalence of CVD risk factors was generally higher in those with higher psychological distress. Blood pressure and cholesterol assessments were reported by the majority of participants (>85%) but treatment of high absolute risk was low (<30%), and neither were related to psychological distress. Our findings confirm the importance of recognizing people who experience psychological distress as a high risk group and suggest that at least part of the excess burden of primary CVD events among people with high psychological distress could be reduced with an absolute risk approach to assessment and improved management of high primary CVD risk.
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- 2019
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36. General practitioners' perspectives on the prevention of cardiovascular disease: systematic review and thematic synthesis of qualitative studies.
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Ju I, Banks E, Calabria B, Ju A, Agostino J, Korda RJ, Usherwood T, Manera K, Hanson CS, Craig JC, and Tong A
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- Clinical Decision-Making, Humans, Physician's Role, Physician-Patient Relations, Qualitative Research, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control, General Practice methods, Practice Patterns, Physicians'
- Abstract
Objective: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally, and prevention of CVD is a public health priority. This paper aims to describe the perspectives of general practitioners (GPs) on the prevention of CVD across different contexts., Design: Systematic review and thematic synthesis of qualitative studies using the Enhancing Transparency of Reporting the Synthesis of Qualitative research (ENTREQ) framework., Data Sources: MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO and CINAHL from database inception to April 2018., Eligibility Criteria for Selecting Studies: We included qualitative studies on the perspectives of GPs on CVD prevention., Data Extraction and Synthesis: We used HyperRESEARCH to code the primary papers and identified themes., Results: We selected 34 studies involving 1223 participants across nine countries. We identified six themes: defining own primary role (duty to prescribe medication, refraining from risking patients' lives, mediating between patients and specialists, delegating responsibility to patients, providing holistic care); trusting external expertise (depending on credible evidence and opinion, entrusting care to other health professionals, integrating into patient context); motivating behavioural change for prevention (highlighting tangible improvements, negotiating patient acceptance, enabling autonomy and empowerment, harnessing the power of fear, disappointment with futility of advice); recognising and accepting patient capacities (ascertaining patient's drive for lifestyle change, conceding to ingrained habits, prioritising urgent comorbidities, tailoring to patient environment and literacy); avoiding overmedicalisation (averting long-term dependence on medications, preventing a false sense of security, minimising stress of sickness) and minimising economic burdens (avoiding unjustified costs to patients, delivering practice within budget, alleviating healthcare expenses)., Conclusions: GPs sought to empower patients to prevent CVD, but consideration of patients' individual factors was challenging. Community-based strategies for assessing CVD risk involving other health professionals, and decision aids that address the individuality of the patient's health and environment, may support GPs in their decisions regarding CVD prevention., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2018. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
- Published
- 2018
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37. Socioeconomic variation in absolute cardiovascular disease risk and treatment in the Australian population.
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Paige E, Welsh J, Agostino J, Calabria B, Banks E, and Korda RJ
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- Aged, Australia epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Health Surveys, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prevalence, Risk Factors, Cardiovascular Diseases diagnosis, Cardiovascular Diseases drug therapy, Healthcare Disparities, Socioeconomic Factors
- Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD), preventable through appropriate management of absolute CVD risk, disproportionately affects socioeconomically disadvantaged individuals. The aim of this study was to estimate absolute and relative socioeconomic inequalities in absolute CVD risk and treatment in the Australian population using cross-sectional representative data on 4751 people aged 45-74 from the 2011-12 Australian Health Survey. Poisson regression was used to calculate prevalence differences (PD) and ratios (PR) for prior CVD, high 5-year absolute risk of a primary CVD event and guideline-recommended medication use, in relation to socioeconomic position (SEP, measured by education). After adjusting for age and sex, the prevalence of high absolute risk of a primary CVD event among those of low, intermediate and high SEP was 12.6%, 10.9% and 7.7% (PD, low vs. high = 5.0 [95% CI: 2.3, 7.7], PR = 1.6 [1.2, 2.2]) and for prior CVD was 10.7%, 9.1% and 6.7% (PD = 4.0 [1.4, 6.6], PR = 1.6 [1.1, 2.2]). The proportions using preventive medication use among those with high primary risk were 21.3%, 19.5% and 29.4% for low, intermediate and high SEP and for prior CVD, were 37.8%, 35.7% and 17.7% (PD = 20.1 [9.7, 30.5], PR = 2.1 [1.3, 3.5]). Proportions at high primary risk and not using medications among those of low, intermediate and high SEP were 10.6%, 8.8% and 4.7% and with prior CVD and not using medications were 8.5%, 6.3% and 4.1%. Findings indicate substantial potential to prevent CVD and reduce inequalities through appropriate management of high absolute risk in the population., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2018
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38. Absolute cardiovascular disease risk and lipid-lowering therapy among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians.
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Calabria B, Korda RJ, Lovett RW, Fernando P, Martin T, Malamoo L, Welsh J, and Banks E
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Algorithms, Australia epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases complications, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control, Cross-Sectional Studies, Humans, Hyperlipidemias complications, Hyperlipidemias drug therapy, Melanesia epidemiology, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Young Adult, Cardiovascular Diseases drug therapy, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Hypolipidemic Agents therapeutic use, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Objective: To quantify absolute cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people and their use of lipid-lowering therapies., Design, Participants: Cross-sectional analysis of nationally representative data from 2820 participants aged 18-74 years who provided biomedical data for the National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Measures Survey component of the 2012-13 Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Survey., Main Outcome Measures: Prior CVD and use of lipid-lowering medications were ascertained at interview. 5-year absolute risk of a primary CVD event was calculated with the Australian National Vascular Disease Prevention Alliance algorithm, with categories low (< 10%), moderate (10-15%) and high risk (> 15%)., Results: Among participants aged 35-74 years, 9.6% (95% CI, 7.2-12.0%) had prior CVD; 15.7% (95% CI, 13.0-18.3%) were at high, 4.9% (95% CI, 3.3-6.6%) at moderate, and 69.8% (95% CI, 66.8-72.8%) at low absolute primary CVD risk. 82.6% of those at high primary risk were identified on the basis of clinical criteria. High primary absolute risk affected 1.1% (95% CI, 0.0-2.5%) of 18-24-year-olds, 4.7% (95% CI, 2.0-7.5%) of 25-34-year-olds, and 44.2% (95% CI, 33.1-55.3%) of 65-74-year-olds. Lipid-lowering therapy was being used by 52.9% (95% CI, 38.2-67.6%) of people aged 35-74 years with prior CVD and by 42.2% (95% CI, 30.5-53.8%) of those at high primary CVD risk., Conclusion: Absolute CVD risk is high among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, and most of those at high risk are undertreated. Substantial proportions of people under 35 years of age are at high risk, but are not targeted by current guidelines for absolute CVD risk assessment, compromising CVD prevention in this population.
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- 2018
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39. Psychological distress and ischaemic heart disease: cause or consequence? Evidence from a large prospective cohort study.
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Welsh J, Korda RJ, Joshy G, Butterworth P, Brown A, and Banks E
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- Aged, Australia, Cohort Studies, Comorbidity, Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic, Depression epidemiology, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Prevalence, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Health Status, Mental Health statistics & numerical data, Myocardial Ischemia epidemiology, Stress, Psychological epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Ischaemic heart disease (IHD) incidence is elevated in people reporting psychological distress. The extent to which this relationship is causal or related to reverse causality-that is, undiagnosed disease causing distress-is unclear. We quantified the relationship between psychological distress and IHD, with consideration of confounding and undiagnosed disease., Methods: Questionnaire data (2006-2009) from 151 811 cardiovascular disease-free and cancer-free Australian general population members aged ≥45years (45 and Up Study) were linked to hospitalisation and mortality data, to December 2013. A two-stage approach estimated HRs for incident IHD (IHD-related hospitalisation or death) for low (Kessler-10 scores: 10-<12), mild (12-<16), moderate (16-<22) and high (22-50) psychological distress, adjusting for demographic and behavioural characteristics, and then restricting to those with no/minor functioning limitations (likely free from undiagnosed disease)., Results: Over 859 396 person-years, 5230 incident IHD events occurred (rate: 6.09/1000person-years). IHD risk was increased for mild (age-adjusted and sex-adjusted HR: 1.18, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.26), moderate (1.36, 1.25 to 1.47), and high (1.69, 1.52 to 1.88) versus low distress. HRs attenuated to 1.15 (1.08 to 1.22), 1.26 (1.16 to 1.37) and 1.41 (1.26 to 1.57) after adjustment for demographic and behavioural characteristics and were further attenuated by 35%-41% in those with no/minor limitations, leaving a significant but relatively weak dose-response relationship: 1.11 (1.02 to 1.20), 1.21 (1.08 to 1.37) and 1.24 (1.02 to 1.51) for mild, moderate and high versus low distress, respectively. The observed adjustment-related attenuation suggests measurement error/residual confounding likely contribute to the remaining association., Conclusion: A substantial part of the distress-IHD association is explained by confounding and functional limitations, an indicator of undiagnosed disease. Emphasis should be on psychological distress as a marker of healthcare need and IHD risk, rather than a causative factor., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2017. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.)
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- 2017
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40. Risk of cancer associated with residential exposure to asbestos insulation: a whole-population cohort study.
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Korda RJ, Clements MS, Armstrong BK, Law HD, Guiver T, Anderson PR, Trevenar SM, and Kirk MD
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- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Australia epidemiology, Cohort Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasms epidemiology, Risk, Asbestos toxicity, Environmental Exposure adverse effects, Housing statistics & numerical data, Neoplasms chemically induced
- Abstract
Background: The health risks associated with living in houses insulated with asbestos are unknown. Loose-fill asbestos was used to insulate some houses in the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). We compared the incidence of mesothelioma and other cancers in residents of the ACT who did and did not live in these houses., Methods: Our cohort study included all ACT residents identified using Medicare enrolment data. These data were linked to addresses of affected residential properties in the ACT to ascertain exposure. We followed up residents by linking data to the Australian Cancer Database and National Death Index. Outcomes were diagnosis of mesothelioma and selected other cancers. Effects were estimated for males and females separately using standardised incidence ratios (SIRs), adjusting for age and calendar time of diagnosis., Findings: Between Nov 1, 1983, and Dec 31, 2013, 1 035 578 ACT residents were identified from the Medicare database. Of these, 17 248 (2%) had lived in an affected property, including seven (2%) of 285 people diagnosed with mesothelioma. The adjusted incidence of mesothelioma in males who had lived at an affected property was 2·5 times that of unexposed males (SIR 2·54, 95% CI 1·02-5·24). No mesotheliomas were reported among females who had lived at an affected property. Among individuals who had lived at an affected property, there was an elevated incidence of colorectal cancer in women (SIR 1·73, 95% CI 1·29-2·26) and prostate cancer in men (1·29, 1·07-1·54); colorectal cancer was increased, although not significantly, in males (SIR 1·32, 95% CI 0·99-1·72), with no significant increase in the other cancers studied., Interpretation: Residential asbestos insulation is likely to be unsafe. Our findings have important health, social, financial, and legal implications for governments and communities in which asbestos has been used to insulate houses., Funding: ACT Government., (Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2017
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41. Burden of Clostridium difficile infection: Associated hospitalization in a cohort of middle-aged and older adults.
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Chen Y, Glass K, Liu B, Korda RJ, Riley TV, and Kirk MD
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Australia epidemiology, Clostridium Infections mortality, Cross Infection mortality, Female, Health Care Costs, Humans, Length of Stay, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Survival Analysis, Clostridium Infections economics, Clostridium Infections epidemiology, Cross Infection economics, Cross Infection epidemiology, Hospitalization
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Background: Clostridium difficile is the principal cause of infectious diarrhea in hospitalized patients. The aim of this study was to describe and compare length of stay (LOS), costs, and in-hospital deaths for C difficile infection (CDI) and non-CDI hospitalizations, in a cohort of middle-aged and older Australians., Methods: We used survey data from the 45 and Up Study, linked to hospitalization and death data. We calculated the average LOS and costs per hospitalization, and the proportion of in-hospital deaths for CDI and non-CDI hospitalizations. We then compared hospitalizations with CDI as a secondary diagnosis to non-CDI hospitalizations by stratifying hospitalizations based on principal diagnosis and then using generalized linear models to compare LOS and in-hospital costs, and logistic regression for in-hospital deaths, adjusting for age and sex., Results: There were 641 CDI hospitalizations during 2006-2012. The average LOS was 17 days; the average cost per hospitalization was AUD 12,704; and in 7.3% of admissions (47 out of 641) the patient died. After adjusting for age and sex, hospitalizations with CDI were associated with longer LOS, higher costs, and a greater proportion of in-hospital deaths compared with hospitalizations with similar principal diagnosis but without CDI., Conclusions: CDI places additional burden on the Australian hospital system, with CDI patients having relatively lengthy hospital stays and high costs., (Copyright © 2017 Association for Professionals in Infection Control and Epidemiology, Inc. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2017
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42. Variation in readmission and mortality following hospitalisation with a diagnosis of heart failure: prospective cohort study using linked data.
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Korda RJ, Du W, Day C, Page K, Macdonald PS, and Banks E
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Comorbidity, Female, Health Status, Heart Failure therapy, Hospitals statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, New South Wales, Odds Ratio, Patient Discharge statistics & numerical data, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Heart Failure mortality, Patient Readmission statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Hospitalisation for heart failure is common and post-discharge outcomes, including readmission and mortality, are often poor and are poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to examine patient- and hospital-level variation in the risk of 30-day unplanned readmission and mortality following discharge from hospital with a diagnosis of heart failure., Methods: Prospective cohort study using data from the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study, linking baseline survey (Jan 2006-April 2009) to hospital and mortality data (to Dec 2011). Primary outcomes in those admitted to hospital with heart failure included unplanned readmission, mortality and combined unplanned readmission/mortality, within 30 days of discharge. Multilevel models quantified the variation in outcomes between hospitals and examined associations with patient- and hospital-level characteristics., Results: There were 5074 participants with a heart failure admission discharged from 251 hospitals; 1052 (21%) had unplanned readmissions, 186 (3.7%) died, and 1146 (23%) had either/both outcomes within 30 days of discharge. Crude outcomes varied across hospitals, but between-hospital variation explained little of the total variation in outcomes (intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) after inclusion of patient factors: 30-day unplanned readmission ICC = 0.0125 (p = 0.24); death ICC = 0.0000 (p > 0.99); unplanned readmission/death ICC = 0.0266 (p = 0.07)). Patient characteristics associated with a higher risk of unplanned readmission included: being male (male vs female, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.00-1.37); prior hospitalisation for cardiovascular disease (aOR = 1.44, 1.08-1.91) and for anemia (aOR = 1.36, 1.14-1.63); comorbidities at admission (severe vs none: aOR = 1.26, 1.03-1.54); lower body-mass-index (obese vs normal weight: aOR = 0.77, 0.63-0.94); and lower social interaction scores. Similarly, risk of 30-day mortality was associated with patient- rather than hospital-level factors, in particular age (≥85y vs 45-< 75y: aOR = 3.23, 1.93-5.41) and comorbidity (severe vs none: aOR = 2.68, 1.82-3.94)., Conclusions: The issue of high readmission and mortality rates in people with heart failure appear to be system-wide, with the variation in these outcomes essentially attributable to variation between patients rather than hospitals. The findings suggest that there are limitations in using these outcomes as hospital performance measures in this patient population and support the need for patient-centred strategies to optimise heart failure management and outcomes.
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- 2017
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43. Factors related to receipt of non-cancer-related transurethral prostatectomy: findings from a large prospective study of 106 769 middle-aged and older Australian men.
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Joshy G, Soga K, Korda RJ, Patel MI, and Banks E
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- Age Distribution, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Chronic Disease, Humans, Income statistics & numerical data, Male, Middle Aged, New South Wales epidemiology, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Socioeconomic Factors, Surveys and Questionnaires, Treatment Outcome, Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms physiopathology, Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms surgery, Transurethral Resection of Prostate statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Transurethral prostatectomy (TURP) is a common surgical intervention for chronic lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS). Little large-scale evidence exists on factors related to receipt of non-cancer-related TURP., Methods: A prospective study of men aged ≥45 years participating in the 45 and Up Study, a large Australian cohort study, without prior prostatectomy and/or bowel/genital/urinary-tract cancer; questionnaire data were linked to hospitalisations and deaths. HRs for TURP were estimated in relation to multiple factors, adjusting for confounders., Results: There were 3416 incident TURPs among 106 769 men (median follow-up 5.8 years), with rates of 1.8, 5.3, 9.1 and 11.4/1000 person-years for ages 45-54, 55-64, 65-74 and ≥75 years, respectively. Age-adjusted rates of TURP varied markedly according to baseline LUTS from 2.2/1000 person-years with no/mild symptoms to 30.7/1000 person-years with severe symptoms. Annual household income ≥$70 000 versus <$20 000, having private health insurance and living in major cities were associated with higher TURP rates; there were no significant differences according to baseline diabetes, stroke, high blood pressure or cardiovascular disease. Men reporting severe versus no physical functioning limitation, high versus low psychological distress or poor versus excellent self-rated health were 36-51% more likely to undergo procedures overall, but were 24-37% less likely to undergo procedures following additional adjustment for need (baseline LUTS)., Conclusions: TURP rates were most strongly related to baseline LUTS and age, consistent with appropriate health services targeting. Lower TURP rates in men experiencing socioeconomic disadvantage and with poor health/disability, after accounting for baseline LUTS, suggest inequity and factors such as frailty and risks related to surgery., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest: None declared., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/.)
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- 2017
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44. Absolute risk of cardiovascular disease events and blood pressure- and lipid-lowering therapy in Australia.
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Banks E, Korda RJ, and Stavreski B
- Subjects
- Antihypertensive Agents, Australia, Cardiovascular Diseases blood, Humans, Hypertension, Lipids, Risk Factors, Blood Pressure drug effects, Blood Pressure Determination
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- 2017
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45. Erratum to: Socioeconomic variation in incidence of primary and secondary major cardiovascular disease events: an Australian population-based prospective cohort study.
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Korda RJ, Soga K, Joshy G, Calabria B, Attia J, Wong D, and Banks E
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- 2017
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46. Socioeconomic variation in incidence of primary and secondary major cardiovascular disease events: an Australian population-based prospective cohort study.
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Korda RJ, Soga K, Joshy G, Calabria B, Attia J, Wong D, and Banks E
- Subjects
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Australia epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases mortality, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Infarction mortality, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Socioeconomic Factors, Stroke mortality, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) disproportionately affects disadvantaged people, but reliable quantitative evidence on socioeconomic variation in CVD incidence in Australia is lacking. This study aimed to quantify socioeconomic variation in rates of primary and secondary CVD events in mid-age and older Australians., Methods: Baseline data (2006-2009) from the 45 and Up Study, an Australian cohort involving 267,153 men and women aged ≥ 45, were linked to hospital and death data (to December 2013). Outcomes comprised first event - death or hospital admission - for major CVD combined, as well as myocardial infarction and stroke, in those with and without prior CVD (secondary and primary events, respectively). Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for each outcome in relation to education (and income and area-level disadvantage), separately by age group (45-64, 65-79, and ≥ 80 years), adjusting for age and sex, and additional sociodemographic factors., Results: There were 18,207 primary major CVD events over 1,144,845 years of follow-up (15.9/1000 person-years), and 20,048 secondary events over 260,357 years (77.0/1000 person-years). For both primary and secondary events, incidence increased with decreasing education, with the absolute difference between education groups largest for secondary events. Age-sex adjusted hazard ratios were highest in the 45-64 years group: for major CVDs, HR (no qualifications vs university degree) = 1.62 (95% CI: 1.49-1.77) for primary events, and HR = 1.49 (1.34-1.65) for secondary events; myocardial infarction HR = 2.31 (1.87-2.85) and HR = 2.57 (1.90-3.47) respectively; stroke HR = 1.48 (1.16-1.87) and HR = 1.97 (1.42-2.74) respectively. Similar but attenuated results were seen in older age groups, and with income. For area-level disadvantage, CVD gradients were weak and non-significant in older people (> 64 years)., Conclusions: Individual-level data are important for quantifying socioeconomic variation in CVD incidence, which is shown to be substantial among both those with and without prior CVD. Findings reinforce the opportunity for, and importance of, primary and secondary prevention and treatment in reducing socioeconomic variation in CVD and consequently the overall burden of CVD morbidity and mortality in Australia.
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- 2016
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47. Mesothelioma trends in the ACT and comparisons with the rest of Australia.
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Korda RJ, Clements MS, Armstrong BK, Trevenar SM, Chalker EB, Newman LA, and Kirk MD
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- Australian Capital Territory epidemiology, Female, Humans, Male, Poisson Distribution, Registries, Mesothelioma epidemiology
- Abstract
Objectives: Inhalation of asbestos fibres is the predominant cause of malignant mesothelioma. Domestic exposure to asbestos is a major community concern in the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) because of loose-fill asbestos home insulation. Little is known about how trends in mesothelioma rates in the ACT compare with those elsewhere. The objective of this study was to describe trends in mesothelioma rates in the ACT and compare them with those for the rest of Australia., Methods: We used de-identified data from the ACT Cancer Registry (1982- 2014), and the Western Australia (WA) Cancer Registry and the Australian Cancer Database (1982-2011). We calculated crude mesothelioma rates, by 3-year periods, for the ACT and for the rest of Australia (excluding WA). We used Poisson regression to analyse mesothelioma trends from 1994 to 2011 (complete reporting period) using an indirect standardisation approach to adjust for age and sex., Results: There were 140 mesothelioma cases reported to the ACT Cancer Registry between 1982 and 2014 - 81% male and 19% female. Between 1994 and 2011, age- and sex-adjusted mesothelioma rates in the ACT increased over time, on average by 12% per 3-year period (relative risk [RR] 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99, 1.26). Compared with the rest of Australia (excluding WA), ACT rates were, on average, lower (RR 0.84; 95% CI 0.69, 1.02), but they increased at a higher rate (RR 1.12 per 3-year period; 95% CI 0.99, 1.27). These results are strongly influenced by the higher rate of mesothelioma observed in the ACT in 2009-2011, when ACT rates became similar to those for the rest of Australia (excluding WA)., Conclusions: Although mesothelioma rates may have increased more in the ACT than the rest of Australia (excluding WA) during the past two decades, there is considerable uncertainty in the trends. More information is needed regarding the health risks associated with living in a house with loose-fill asbestos insulation. This is the subject of further studies within the ACT Asbestos Health Study.
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- 2016
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48. Is poor oral health a risk marker for incident cardiovascular disease hospitalisation and all-cause mortality? Findings from 172 630 participants from the prospective 45 and Up Study.
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Joshy G, Arora M, Korda RJ, Chalmers J, and Banks E
- Subjects
- Aged, Cause of Death, Female, Heart Failure epidemiology, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Myocardial Ischemia epidemiology, New South Wales epidemiology, Peripheral Vascular Diseases epidemiology, Proportional Hazards Models, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors, Stroke epidemiology, Surveys and Questionnaires, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Mortality, Oral Health, Tooth Loss complications, Tooth Loss epidemiology
- Abstract
Objective: To investigate the relationship between oral health and incident hospitalisation for ischaemic heart disease (IHD), heart failure (HF), ischaemic stroke and peripheral vascular disease (PVD) and all-cause mortality., Design: Prospective population-based study of Australian men and women aged 45 years or older, who were recruited to the 45 and Up Study between January 2006 and April 2009; baseline questionnaire data were linked to hospitalisations and deaths up to December 2011. Study exposures include tooth loss and self-rated health of teeth and gums at baseline., Setting: New South Wales, Australia., Participants: Individuals aged 45-75 years, excluding those with a history of cancer/cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline; n=172 630., Primary Outcomes: Incident hospitalisation for IHD, HF, ischaemic stroke and PVD and all-cause mortality., Results: During a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 3239 incident hospitalisations for IHD, 212 for HF, 283 for ischaemic stroke and 359 for PVD, and 1908 deaths, were observed. Cox proportional hazards models examined the relationship between oral health indicators and incident hospitalisation for CVD and all-cause mortality, adjusting for potential confounding factors. All-cause mortality and incident CVD hospitalisation risk increased significantly with increasing tooth loss for all outcomes except ischaemic stroke (ptrend<0.05). In those reporting no teeth versus ≥20 teeth left, risks were increased for HF (HR, 95% CI 1.97, 1.27 to 3.07), PVD (2.53, 1.81 to 3.52) and all-cause mortality (1.60, 1.37 to 1.87). The risk of IHD, PVD and all-cause mortality (but not HF or ischaemic stroke) increased significantly with worsening self-rated health of teeth and gums (ptrend<0.05). In those reporting poor versus very good health of teeth and gums, risks were increased for IHD (1.19, 1.03 to 1.38), PVD (1.66, 1.13 to 2.43) and all-cause mortality (1.76, 1.50 to 2.08)., Conclusions: Tooth loss and, to a lesser extent, self-rated health of teeth and gums, are markers for increased risk of IHD, PVD and all-cause mortality. Tooth loss is also a marker for increased risk of HF., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/)
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- 2016
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49. Body-mass index and all-cause mortality: individual-participant-data meta-analysis of 239 prospective studies in four continents.
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Global BMI Mortality Collaboration, Di Angelantonio E, Bhupathiraju ShN, Wormser D, Gao P, Kaptoge S, Berrington de Gonzalez A, Cairns BJ, Huxley R, Jackson ChL, Joshy G, Lewington S, Manson JE, Murphy N, Patel AV, Samet JM, Woodward M, Zheng W, Zhou M, Bansal N, Barricarte A, Carter B, Cerhan JR, Smith GD, Fang X, Franco OH, Green J, Halsey J, Hildebrand JS, Jung KJ, Korda RJ, McLerran DF, Moore SC, O'Keeffe LM, Paige E, Ramond A, Reeves GK, Rolland B, Sacerdote C, Sattar N, Sofianopoulou E, Stevens J, Thun M, Ueshima H, Yang L, Yun YD, Willeit P, Banks E, Beral V, Chen Zh, Gapstur SM, Gunter MJ, Hartge P, Jee SH, Lam TH, Peto R, Potter JD, Willett WC, Thompson SG, Danesh J, and Hu FB
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Asia epidemiology, Australia epidemiology, Europe epidemiology, Female, Humans, Linear Models, Male, Middle Aged, New Zealand epidemiology, North America epidemiology, Overweight mortality, Prospective Studies, Body Mass Index, Cause of Death, Mortality trends
- Abstract
Background: Overweight and obesity are increasing worldwide. To help assess their relevance to mortality in different populations we conducted individual-participant data meta-analyses of prospective studies of body-mass index (BMI), limiting confounding and reverse causality by restricting analyses to never-smokers and excluding pre-existing disease and the first 5 years of follow-up., Methods: Of 10 625 411 participants in Asia, Australia and New Zealand, Europe, and North America from 239 prospective studies (median follow-up 13·7 years, IQR 11·4-14·7), 3 951 455 people in 189 studies were never-smokers without chronic diseases at recruitment who survived 5 years, of whom 385 879 died. The primary analyses are of these deaths, and study, age, and sex adjusted hazard ratios (HRs), relative to BMI 22·5-<25·0 kg/m(2)., Findings: All-cause mortality was minimal at 20·0-25·0 kg/m(2) (HR 1·00, 95% CI 0·98-1·02 for BMI 20·0-<22·5 kg/m(2); 1·00, 0·99-1·01 for BMI 22·5-<25·0 kg/m(2)), and increased significantly both just below this range (1·13, 1·09-1·17 for BMI 18·5-<20·0 kg/m(2); 1·51, 1·43-1·59 for BMI 15·0-<18·5) and throughout the overweight range (1·07, 1·07-1·08 for BMI 25·0-<27·5 kg/m(2); 1·20, 1·18-1·22 for BMI 27·5-<30·0 kg/m(2)). The HR for obesity grade 1 (BMI 30·0-<35·0 kg/m(2)) was 1·45, 95% CI 1·41-1·48; the HR for obesity grade 2 (35·0-<40·0 kg/m(2)) was 1·94, 1·87-2·01; and the HR for obesity grade 3 (40·0-<60·0 kg/m(2)) was 2·76, 2·60-2·92. For BMI over 25·0 kg/m(2), mortality increased approximately log-linearly with BMI; the HR per 5 kg/m(2) units higher BMI was 1·39 (1·34-1·43) in Europe, 1·29 (1·26-1·32) in North America, 1·39 (1·34-1·44) in east Asia, and 1·31 (1·27-1·35) in Australia and New Zealand. This HR per 5 kg/m(2) units higher BMI (for BMI over 25 kg/m(2)) was greater in younger than older people (1·52, 95% CI 1·47-1·56, for BMI measured at 35-49 years vs 1·21, 1·17-1·25, for BMI measured at 70-89 years; pheterogeneity<0·0001), greater in men than women (1·51, 1·46-1·56, vs 1·30, 1·26-1·33; pheterogeneity<0·0001), but similar in studies with self-reported and measured BMI., Interpretation: The associations of both overweight and obesity with higher all-cause mortality were broadly consistent in four continents. This finding supports strategies to combat the entire spectrum of excess adiposity in many populations., Funding: UK Medical Research Council, British Heart Foundation, National Institute for Health Research, US National Institutes of Health., (Copyright © 2016 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC-BY license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2016
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50. Absolute risk of cardiovascular disease events, and blood pressure- and lipid-lowering therapy in Australia.
- Author
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Banks E, Crouch SR, Korda RJ, Stavreski B, Page K, Thurber KA, and Grenfell R
- Subjects
- Adult, Age Distribution, Aged, Antihypertensive Agents therapeutic use, Australia, Cross-Sectional Studies, Family Practice, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Assessment, Risk Management, Sex Distribution, Cardiovascular Diseases epidemiology, Cardiovascular Diseases prevention & control, Hypertension epidemiology, Hypertension prevention & control, Hypolipidemic Agents therapeutic use, Practice Patterns, Physicians' standards
- Abstract
Objective: To quantify absolute cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and treatment in Australian adults., Design, Participants: Cross-sectional representative study of 9564 people aged 18 years or more who had participated in the 2011-12 Australian National Health Measures Survey (response rate for those aged 45-74 years: 46.5%)., Main Outcome Measures: Prior CVD was ascertained and 5-year absolute risk of a primary CVD event calculated (using the Australian National Vascular Disease Prevention Alliance algorithm; categories: low [< 10%], moderate [10-15%], and high [> 15%] risk) on the basis of data on medical history, risk factors and medications, derived from interviews, physical measurements, and blood and urine samples., Results: Absolute CVD risk increased with age and was higher among men than women. Overall, 19.9% (95% CI, 18.5-21.3%) of Australians aged 45-74 years had a high absolute risk of a future CVD event (an estimated 1 445 000 people): 8.7% (95% CI, 7.8-9.6%) had prior CVD (estimated 634 000 people) and 11.2% (95% CI, 10.2-12.2%) had high primary CVD risk (estimated 811 000 people). A further 8.6% (95% CI, 7.4-9.8%, estimated 625 000) were at moderate primary CVD risk. Among those with prior CVD, 44.2% (95% CI, 36.8-51.6%) were receiving blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medications, 35.4% (95% CI, 27.8-43.0%) were receiving only one of these, and 20.4% (95% CI, 13.9-26.9%) were receiving neither. Corresponding figures for high primary CVD risk were 24.3% (95% CI, 18.3-30.3%); 28.7% (95% CI, 22.7-34.7%); and 47.1% (95% CI, 39.9-54.3%)., Conclusions: About one-fifth of the Australian population aged 45-74 years (about 1.4 million individuals) were estimated to have a high absolute risk of a future CVD event. Most (estimated 970 000) were not receiving currently recommended combination blood pressure- and lipid-lowering therapy, indicating substantial potential for health gains by increasing routine assessment and treatment according to absolute CVD risk.
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- 2016
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