Search

Accurate soil organic carbon storage (SOCS) estimation is crucial for sustaining ecosystem health and mitigating climate change impacts. This study investigated the accuracy and variability of SOCS predictions, focusing on the role of pedotransfer functions (PTFs) in estimating soil bulk density (BD). Utilizing a comprehensive dataset from the Korean Rural Development Administration (RDA database), which includes 516 soil horizons, we evaluated 36 widely-used BD PTFs, well-established formulas that estimate BD by considering soil properties, including soil organic carbon (SOC), soil organic matter (OM), sand, gravel, silt, and clay. These PTFs demonstrated varying levels of precision, with root mean squared errors (RMSE) ranging from 0.177 to 0.377 Mg m−3 and coefficients of determination (R2) from 0.176 to 0.658; hence, the PTFs have been classified into excellent, moderate, and poor-performing groups for predicting BD. Further, a novel PTF based on an exponential function of SOC was developed, showing superior predictive power (R2 = 0.73) compared to existing PTFs, using an independent validation dataset. Our findings reveal significant differences in SOCS predictions and observations among the PTFs, with a p-value

Wildfires increasingly threaten ecosystems and infrastructure, making accurate burn severity mapping (BSM) essential for effective disaster response and environmental management. Machine learning (ML) models utilizing satellite-derived vegetation indices are crucial for assessing wildfire damage; however, incorporating many indices can lead to multicollinearity, reducing classification accuracy. While principal component analysis (PCA) is commonly used to address this issue, its effectiveness relative to other feature extraction (FE) methods in BSM remains underexplored. This study aims to enhance ML classifier accuracy in BSM by evaluating various FE techniques that mitigate multicollinearity among vegetation indices. Using composite burn index (CBI) data from the 2014 Carlton Complex fire in the United States as a case study, we extracted 118 vegetation indices from seven Landsat-8 spectral bands. We applied and compared 13 different FE techniques—including linear and nonlinear methods such as PCA, t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), Isomap, uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP), factor analysis (FA), independent component analysis (ICA), multidimensional scaling (MDS), truncated singular value decomposition (TSVD), non-negative matrix factorization (NMF), locally linear embedding (LLE), spectral embedding (SE), and neighborhood components analysis (NCA). The performance of these techniques was benchmarked against six ML classifiers to determine their effectiveness in improving BSM accuracy. Our results show that alternative FE techniques can outperform PCA, improving classification accuracy and computational efficiency. Techniques like LDA and NCA effectively capture nonlinear relationships critical for accurate BSM. The study contributes to the existing literature by providing a comprehensive comparison of FE methods, highlighting the potential benefits of underutilized techniques in BSM.

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is essential for determining risk regions and guiding mitigation strategies. Machine learning (ML) techniques have been broadly utilized, but the uncertainty and interpretability of these models have not been well-studied. This study conducted a comparative analysis and uncertainty assessment of five ML algorithms—Random Forest (RF), Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LGB), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Support Vector Machine (SVM)—for LSM in Inje area, South Korea. We optimized these models using Bayesian optimization, a method that refines model performance through probabilistic model-based tuning of hyperparameters. The performance of these algorithms was evaluated using accuracy, Kappa score, and F1 score, with accuracy in detecting landslide-prone locations ranging from 0.916 to 0.947. Among them, the tree-based models (RF, LGB, XGB) showed competitive performance and outperformed the other models. Prediction uncertainty was quantified using bootstrapping and Monte Carlo simulation methods, with the latter providing a more consistent estimate across models. Further, the interpretability of ML predictions was analyzed through sensitivity analysis and SHAP values. We also expanded our investigation to include both the inclusion and exclusion of predictors, providing insights into each significant variable through a comprehensive sensitivity analysis. This paper provides insights into the predictive uncertainty and interpretability of ML algorithms for LSM, contributing to future research in South Korea and beyond.

Landslides are a major natural hazard that can significantly damage infrastructure and cause loss of life. In South Korea, the current landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) approach is mainly based on statistical techniques (logistic regression (LR) analysis). According to previous studies, this method has achieved an accuracy of approximately 75.2%. In this paper, we expand upon this traditional approach by comparing the performance of six machine learning (ML) algorithms for LSM in Inje County, South Korea. The study employed a combination of geographical data gathered from 2005 to 2019 to train and evaluate six algorithms, including LR, Gaussian Naive Bayes (GNB), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB). The effectiveness of these models was measured by various criteria, such as the percentage of correct classification (PCC) score, F1 score, and Kappa score. The results demonstrated that the PCC and F1 scores of the six models fell between [0.869–0.941] and [0.857–0.940], respectively. RF and XGB had the highest PCC and F1 scores of 0.939 and 0.941, respectively. This study indicates that ML can be a valuable technique for high-resolution LSM in South Korea instead of the current approach.

Study region: South Korea is situated in the northeastern region of Asia Study focus:: Recent technological developments have enabled multi-source precipitation products (MSPs), including satellite-based and model-based, to be useful data sources for quantifying the spatiotemporal variations in precipitation. Unfortunately, the main limitation of MSPs in potential applications is inheritance errors with high uncertainty. To tackle this problem, the capabilities of six machine learning algorithms (Ridge Linear Regression, k-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Regression, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, Light Gradient Boosting Machine, and Random Forest) to produce new precipitation product by merging MSPs with ground-based data have investigated. Ground-based data from 2003 to 2017 were utilized for train and valid process. The robustness of the ML algorithms was highlighted using several evaluation metrics such as continuous indices (modified Kling-Gupta Efficiency and root mean square error) and categorical indices (probability of detection, false alarm rate, and critical success index). New hydrological insights for the region: The results indicate that (1) the ML approaches can merge MSPs with observed data for accurately estimate rainfall, particularly in basins with sparsely distributed rain gauge stations. (2) The merged precipitation products generated from the six ML approaches showed significant agreement and high accuracy with observation data considering rainfall intensity estimation and improved the capability of detecting rain and non-rain events over South Korea.

Study region: The Ca River basin is located in the North Central Coast area of Vietnam Study focus: This study aims to develop a deep learning framework that is both effective and straightforward in order to forecast water levels in the Ca River basin in advance of multiple time steps for the event scales. We have thoroughly studied and assessed two deep learning models (DLMs), long-short term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU), for their capacity to forecast water levels, focusing on various aspects such as the influence of sequence length or the impact of hyperparameter selection. Besides, two data scenarios were established using hydrological data from eight severe floods between 2007 and 2019 to examine the effect of input variables on model performance. Water level data was employed for both the scenarios (S1 and S2), whereas precipitation data was used only in S2. The cross-validation technique was used dynamically to address the issue of limited data. The inputs were reformatted as tensors and were then randomly divided into subsets. This flexible tuning preserved the sequential nature of the hydrological data while enabling the DLMs to be trained efficiently. New hydrological insights for the region: The findings revealed that both the models exhibited equally excellent performances. The NSE of the LSTM model varies from 0.999–0.971 compared to 0.998–0.974 of the GRU model, corresponding to forecast cases from one to four-time steps ahead. This indicated that the use of multiple-input data types (S2) contrary to only one date type (S1) does not necessarily improve the forecasting performance. LSTM/GRU models with one hidden layer are adequate for delivering high performance while minimizing the data processing time.

Despite satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) providing a worldwide span with a high spatial and temporal resolution, their efficiency in disaster risk forecasting, hydrological, and watershed management remains a challenge due to the significant dependence of rainfall on the spatiotemporal pattern and geographical features of each area. This research proposes an effective deep learning-based solution that combines the convolutional neural network and the benefit of encoder-decoder architecture to eliminate pixel-by-pixel bias to enhance the accuracy of daily SPPs. This work uses five gridded precipitation products, four of which are satellite-based (TRMM, CMORPH, CHIRPS, and PERSIANN-CDR) and one of which is gauge-based (APHRODITE). The Lancang-Mekong River Basin (LMRB), an international basin, was chosen as the research region because of its diverse climate and geographical spread spanning six countries. According to the results of the analyses, the TRMM product exhibits better performance than the other three SPPs. The deep learning model proved its efficacy by successfully reducing the spatial–temporal gap between the four SPPs and APHRODITE. In addition, the ADJ-TRMM product performed the best of the four corrected items, followed by the ADJ-CDR and ADJ-CHIRPS products. This study's findings indicate that each SPP has advantages and disadvantages across LMRB. In the aftermath of the discontinuation of the APHRODITE product in 2015, we believe that the deep learning framework will be a solution for generating a more up-to-date and dependable dataset for LMRB research.

When raindrops collide with the topsoil surface, they cause soil detachment, which can be estimated by measuring the kinetic energy (KE) of the raindrops. Considering their direct measurements on terrestrial surfaces are challenging, empirical equations are commonly utilized for estimating the KE from rainfall intensity (Ir), which has a great influence on soil loss and can be easily obtained. However, establishing the optimal relationship between KE and Ir is difficult. In this study, we used a laser-based instrument (OTT Parsivel2 Optical disdrometer) to collect datasets in Sangju City (South Korea) between June 2020 and December 2021 to examine the characteristics of KE–Ir relationships. We derived two different expressions for KE–Ir: KE expenditure (KEexp; J m−2h−1) and KE content (KEcon; J m−2mm−1), using 37 rainfall events. Subsequently, the 37 rainfall events were categorized into three groups based on the magnitude of the mean rainfall intensity of each event. Overall, the KE values estimated through the equations derived based on 37 events were higher than those estimated by the equations derived based on the three rainfall event groups. Our findings should facilitate the development of more suitable physics-based soil erosion models at event scales.

Recently, deep learning (DL) models, especially those based on long short-term memory (LSTM), have demonstrated their superior ability in resolving sequential data problems. This study investigated the performance of six models that belong to the supervised learning category to evaluate the performance of DL models in terms of streamflow forecasting. They include a feed-forward neural network (FFNN), a convolutional neural network (CNN), and four LSTM-based models. Two standard models with just one hidden layer—LSTM and gated recurrent unit (GRU)—are used against two more complex models—the stacked LSTM (StackedLSTM) model and the Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) model. The Red River basin—the largest river basin in the north of Vietnam—was adopted as a case study because of its geographic relevance since Hanoi city—the capital of Vietnam—is located downstream of the Red River. Besides, the input data of these models are the observed data at seven hydrological stations on the three main river branches of the Red River system. This study indicates that the four LSTM-based models exhibited considerably better performance and maintained stability than the FFNN and CNN models. However, the complexity of the StackedLSTM and BiLSTM models is not accompanied by performance improvement because the results of the comparison illustrate that their respective performance is not higher than the two standard models—LSTM and GRU. The findings of this study present that LSTM-based models can reach impressive forecasts even in the presence of upstream dams and reservoirs. For the streamflow-forecasting problem, the LSTM and GRU models with a simple architecture (one hidden layer) are sufficient to produce highly reliable forecasts while minimizing the computation time.

Abstract Climate change currently affects the resilience and aquatic ecosystem. Climate change alters rainfall patterns which have a great impact on river flow. Annual flooding is an important hydrological characteristic of the Mekong River Basin (MRB) and it drives the high productivity of the ecosystem and biodiversity in the Tonle Sap floodplain and the Mekong Delta. This study aims to assess the impacts of climate change on river flow in the MRB and flood inundation in the Lower Mekong Basin (LMB). The changing impacts were assessed by a two-dimensional rainfall-runoff and inundation model (RRI model). The present climate (1979–2003) and future projected climate (2075–2099) datasets from MRI-AGCM3.2H and MRI-AGCM3.2S models were applied with a linear scaling bias correction method before input into the RRI model. The results of climate change suggested that flood magnitude in the LMB will be severer than the present climate by the end of the twenty-first century. The increment of precipitation between 6.6 and 14.2% could lead to increase extreme flow (Q5) 13–30%, peak inundation area 19–43%, and peak inundation volume 24–55% in the LMB for ranging of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) and sea surface temperature (SST) scenarios while there is no significant change on peak flood timing.

Satellite-based precipitation (SP) data are gaining scientific interest due to their advantage in producing high-resolution products with quasi-global coverage. However, since the major reliance of precipitation data is on the distinctive geographical features of each location, they remain at a considerable distance from station-based data. This paper examines the effectiveness of a convolutional autoencoder (CAE) architecture in pixel-by-pixel bias correction of SP products for the Mekong River Basin (MRB). Two satellite-based products (TRMM and PERSIANN-CDR) and a gauge-based product (APHRODITE) are gridded rainfall products mined in this experiment. According to the estimated statistical criteria, the CAE model was effective in reducing the gap between SP products and benchmark data both in terms of spatial and temporal correlations. The two corrected SP products (CAE_TRMM and CAE_CDR) performed competitively, with CAE TRMM appearing to have a slight advantage over CAE CDR, however, the difference was minor. This study’s findings proved the effectiveness of deep learning-based models (here CAE) for bias correction of SP products. We believe that this technique will be a feasible alternative for delivering an up-to-current and reliable dataset for MRB studies, given that the sole available gauge-based dataset for this area has been out of date for a long time.

Calculating rainfall erosivity, which is the capacity of rainfall to dislodge soil particles and cause erosion, requires the measurement of the rainfall kinetic energy (KE). Direct measurement of KE has its own challenges, owing to the high cost and complexity of the measuring instruments involved. Consequently, the KE is often approximated using empirical equations derived from rainfall intensity (Ir) inputs in the absence of such instruments. However, the KE–Ir equations strongly depend on local climate patterns and measurement methods. Therefore, this study aims to compare and evaluate the efficacy of 27 KE–Ir equations with observed data. Based on a re-analysis, we also propose an exponential KE–Ir equation for the entire Korean site, and the spatial distribution of its parameter in the equation is also discussed. In this investigation, we used an optical disdrometer (OTT Parsivel2) to gather data in Sangju City (Korea) between June 2020 and December 2021. The outputs of this study are shown as follows: (1) The statistically most accurate estimates of KE expenditure and KE content in Sangju City are obtained using power-law equations given by Sanchez-Moreno et al. and exponential equations published by Lee and Won, respectively. (2) The suggested KE–Ir equation applied to the entire Korean site exhibits a comparable general correlation with the observed data. The parameter maps indicate a high variance in geography.

Precipitation is a crucial component of the water cycle and plays a key role in hydrological processes. Recently, satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) have provided grid-based precipitation with spatiotemporal variability. However, SPPs contain a lot of uncertainty in estimated precipitation, and the spatial resolution of these products is still relatively coarse. To overcome these limitations, this study aims to generate new grid-based daily precipitation based on a combination of rainfall observation data with multiple SPPs for the period of 2003–2017 across South Korea. A Random Forest (RF) machine-learning algorithm model was applied for producing a new merged precipitation product. In addition, several statistical linear merging methods have been adopted to compare with the results achieved from the RF model. To investigate the efficiency of RF, rainfall data from 64 observed Automated Synoptic Observation System (ASOS) installations were collected to analyze the accuracy of products through several continuous as well as categorical indicators. The new precipitation values produced by the merging procedure generally not only report higher accuracy than a single satellite rainfall product but also indicate that RF is more effective than the statistical merging method. Thus, the achievements from this study point out that the RF model might be applied for merging multiple satellite precipitation products, especially in sparse region areas.

Spatiotemporal precipitation data is one of the essential components in modeling hydrological problems. Although the estimation of these data has achieved remarkable accuracy owning to the recent advances in remote-sensing technology, gaps remain between satellite-based precipitation and observed data due to the dependence of precipitation on the spatiotemporal distribution and the specific characteristics of the area. This paper presents an efficient approach based on a combination of the convolutional neural network and the autoencoder architecture, called the convolutional autoencoder (ConvAE) neural network, to correct the pixel-by-pixel bias for satellite-based products. The two daily gridded precipitation datasets with a spatial resolution of 0.25° employed are Asian Precipitation-Highly Resolved Observational Data Integration towards Evaluation (APHRODITE) as the observed data and Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) as the satellite-based data. Furthermore, the Mekong River basin was selected as a case study, because it is one of the largest river basins, spanning six countries, most of which are developing countries. In addition to the ConvAE model, another bias correction method based on the standard deviation method was also introduced. The performance of the bias correction methods was evaluated in terms of the probability distribution, temporal correlation, and spatial correlation of precipitation. Compared with the standard deviation method, the ConvAE model demonstrated superior and stable performance in most comparisons conducted. Additionally, the ConvAE model also exhibited impressive performance in capturing extreme rainfall events, distribution trends, and described spatial relationships between adjacent grid cells well. The findings of this study highlight the potential of the ConvAE model to resolve the precipitation bias correction problem. Thus, the ConvAE model could be applied to other satellite-based products, higher-resolution precipitation data, or other issues related to gridded data.

In Korea, landslide damage areas have increased significantly from the 1990s to the 2000s owing to increases in rainfall intensity and the number of rainy days in addition to indiscriminate land development. This study was conducted to predict shallow landslide-prone areas by using the transient rainfall infiltration and grid-based regional slope-stability model (TRIGRS). A landslide event that occurred on July 27, 2011, in Mt. Umyeon, Seoul, was modeled, and the stability results were compared with 140 observed landslide points in both time and location to evaluate the performance of TRIGRS. Simulated outcomes from five different raster cells of 5, 10, 15, 20, and 25 m with the same background information were compared to identify the ultimate grid scale. The results revealed that in location estimation, smaller grid size resulted in more accurate results. However, the 10 and 15 m grid sizes gave better results in the timing assessment When the best grid size was considered TRIGRS overestimated the unstable area, but it gave impressive results in location prediction with approximately 78% of the observed points accurately predicted by an approximately 76% chance of including slope failure. However, the timing estimation was less reliable with approximately 40% of the observed landslide locations well predicted. Despite some limitations of data acquisition, TRIGRS is a strong tool for shallow landslide estimation, particularly in large areas where input data for simulation is not fully available. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study aims to propose a method for effectively recognising and evaluating model structural uncertainty. It began with a comparative assessment of various model structures that have differing features regarding the rainfall-runoff mechanism and DEM spatial resolution. The assessment applied a multi-objective optimisation method (MOSCEM-UA) with two objective functions (simple least-squares and the heteroscedastic maximum likelihood estimator), and focused on five historical flood events. The study was based on the assumptions that a structurally sound model assures improved prediction results (either minimized or maximized model performance measure), allows constant model performance with regard to objective functions (a small Pareto solution set), and yields good applicability of a calibrated parameter set to various events (good parameter stability). The results indicated that KWMSS, a distributed model, was superior to SFM, a simple lumped model, when estimating a Pareto solution set and assessing parameter stability for the applied events. In addition, three different spatial resolutions (250 m, 500 m, and 1 km) were compared to assess the structural uncertainty due to changes in the topographical representation in distributed rainfall-runoff modelling. The results indicated that the 250 and 500 m models were Pareto-equivalent, containing similar Pareto fronts, and both produced Pareto results superior to the 1 km model. Both models also yielded parameter stability values that were much more superior to the model based on a 1 km DEM. As the topographic representation became more detailed, the model showed a tendency to have less structural uncertainty in terms of guarantying better performance, better parameter stability, and a smaller Pareto solution set. On the other hand, the output of a spatially detailed model was likely to be insensitive to the variation of model parameters (i.e. equifinality). Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]