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A database of 168 904 hauls covering the period from 1965 to 2019, from 46 surveys containing both fisheries-dependent (fishing vessels) and -independent data (scientific surveys) were collated from across the eastern Atlantic (Greater North Sea, Celtic Sea, Bay of Biscay and Iberian coast) and Metropolitan French Mediterranean waters. Data on diadromous fish (the European sturgeon (Acipenser sturio), allis shad (Alosa alosa), twait shad (Alosa fallax), Mediterranean twaite shad (Alosa agone), European eel (Anguilla anguilla), thinlip mullet (Chelon ramada), river lamprey (Lampetra fluviatilis), sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus), smelt (Osmerus eperlanus), European flounder (Platichthys flesus), Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and the sea trout (Salmo trutta)) presence-absence was extracted and cleaned. The gear type and gear category which caught these species, their spatial location, and the date of capture (year and month), were also cleaned and standardised. Very little is known about diadromous fish at-sea and modelling data-poor and poorly detectable species such as diadromous fish is challenging for species conservation. Furthermore, databases which contain both scientific surveys and fisheries-dependent data on data-poor species at the temporal and geographical scale of this database are uncommon. This data could therefore be used to improve knowledge of diadromous fish spatial and temporal trends, and modelling techniques for data-poor species.

Providing generic and cost effective modelling approaches to reconstruct and forecast freshwater temperature using predictors as air temperature and water discharge is a prerequisite to understanding ecological processes underlying the impact of water temperature and of global warming on continental aquatic ecosystems. Using air temperature as a simple linear predictor of water temperature can lead to significant bias in forecasts as it does not disentangle seasonality and long term trends in the signal. Here, we develop an alternative approach based on hierarchical Bayesian statistical time series modelling of water temperature, air temperature and water discharge using seasonal sinusoidal periodic signals and time varying means and amplitudes. Fitting and forecasting performances of this approach are compared with that of simple linear regression between water and air temperatures using i) an emotive simulated example, ii) application to three French coastal streams with contrasting bio-geographical conditions and sizes. The time series modelling approach better fit data and does not exhibit forecasting bias in long term trends contrary to the linear regression. This new model also allows for more accurate forecasts of water temperature than linear regression together with a fair assessment of the uncertainty around forecasting. Warming of water temperature forecast by our hierarchical Bayesian model was slower and more uncertain than that expected with the classical regression approach. These new forecasts are in a form that is readily usable in further ecological analyses and will allow weighting of outcomes from different scenarios to manage climate change impacts on freshwater wildlife.

Age estimates, typically determined by counting periodic growth increments in calcified structures of vertebrates, are the basis of population dynamics models used for managing exploited or threatened species. In fisheries research, the use of otolith growth rings as an indicator of fish age has increased considerably in recent decades. However, otolith readings include various sources of uncertainty. Current ageing methods, which converts an average count of rings into age, only provide periodic age estimates in which the range of uncertainty is fully ignored. In this study, we describe a hierarchical model for estimating individual ages from repeated otolith readings. The model was developed within a Bayesian framework to explicitly represent the sources of uncertainty associated with age estimation, to allow for individual variations and to include knowledge on parameters from expertise. The performance of the proposed model was examined through simulations, and then it was coupled to a two-stanza somatic growth model to evaluate the impact of the age estimation method on the age composition of commercial fisheries catches. We illustrate our approach using the sagittal otoliths of yellowfin tuna of the Indian Ocean collected through large-scale mark-recapture experiments. The simulation performance suggested that the ageing error model was able to estimate the ageing biases and provide accurate age estimates, regardless of the age of the fish. Coupled with the growth model, this approach appeared suitable for modeling the growth of Indian Ocean yellowfin and is consistent with findings of previous studies. The simulations showed that the choice of the ageing method can strongly affect growth estimates with subsequent implications for age-structured data used as inputs for population models. Finally, our modeling approach revealed particularly useful to reflect uncertainty around age estimates into the process of growth estimation and it can be applied to any study relying on age estimation.