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Context: Given the dramatic rise in the incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in recent decades, identifying individuals at increased risk of T2DM and validating methods to reduce their risk of disease progression is important. With more than one-third of US adults having prediabetes, a more precise stratification of absolute risk of T2DM incidence would help in prioritizing prevention efforts. Objective: To develop a simple and clinically useful schema to stratify short-term (2-year) absolute risk of T2DM. Design: Observational study of more than 77,000 adult members (age 18-75 years) from 3 Regions of the Kaiser Foundation Health Plan with prediabetes (hemoglobin A1C [HbA1C] = 5.7%-6.4%). Main Outcome Measures: The 2-year probability for development of diabetes as a function of baseline HbA1C and body mass index (BMI). Results: The 2-year risk of diabetes diagnosis varied widely by HbA1C and BMI. A small subset (5.2%) had a very high risk of T2DM developing within 2 years. Another 13.3% had a moderate 2-year risk of T2DM, whereas most (81.5%) of the population was at much lower risk. Thus, most Kaiser Foundation Health Plan members with prediabetes have only modest risk of progression to T2DM within 2 years. Conclusion: Using HbA1C and BMI, we created a simple stratification scheme to more precisely estimate risk of T2DM incidence. This will enable more efficient assignment of prevention interventions and clinical and laboratory follow-up to the small subset at highest risk, while minimizing the potentially negative effects of overdiagnosis among the majority with prediabetes who are not at high short-term risk of T2DM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Initial findings from the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH)-Sodium Trial demonstrated that reduction of sodium intake in two different diets decreased blood pressure in participants with and without hypertension. Objective: To determine effects on blood pressure of reduced sodium intake and the DASH diet in additional subgroups. Design: Randomized feeding study. Setting: Four clinical centers and a coordinating center. Participants: 412 adults with untreated systolic blood pressure of 120 to 160 mm Hg and diastolic blood pressure of 80 to 95 mm Hg. Intervention: Participants followed the DASH diet or a control (typical U.S.) diet for three consecutive 30-day feeding periods, during which sodium intake (50, 100, and 150 mmol/d at 2100 kcal) varied according to a randomly assigned sequence. Body weight was maintained. Measurements: Systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Results: In all subgroups, the DASH diet and reduced sodium intake were each associated with significant decreases in blood pressure; these two factors combined produced the greatest reductions. Among nonhypertensive participants who received the control diet, lower (vs. higher) sodium intake decreased blood pressure by 7.0/3.8 mm Hg in those older than 45 years of age (P< 0.001) and by 3.7/1.5 mm Hg in those 45 years of age or younger (P< 0.05). Conclusion: The DASH diet plus reduced sodium intake is recommended to control blood pressure in diverse subgroups. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Mount St. Helens eruption on May 18, 1980 with subsequent ash fall, flooding, and potential long-term threat created a unique chance to study the behavioral responses to disaster. Many factors contributed to this scientific opportunity. This was a disaster of significant proportion with potentially serious consequences to life, health, and property, especially in Cowlitz County, Washington, immediately to the west of Mount St. Helens. While a major volcanic eruption is uncommon in the continental U.S., the periodic or persistent threat of flooding became the greatest concern from this event, giving this disaster generic characteristics similar to many others. Since Mount St. Helens and other northwest volcanoes lie in close proximity to major population centers, there was considerable interest in the scientific community to record and study the health effects associated with the eruption. With the funding of the research consortium for the study of Biological Effects of Volcanic Ash, there was an opportunity to investigate the mental health consequences of the Mount St. Helens eruption on a community-wide basis. This article reviews the theoretical model and methodology for this psychiatric disaster study and presents preliminary findings.

Objective: To examine changes in children's albuterol use and out-of-pocket (OOP) costs in response to increased copayments after the Food and Drug Administration banned inhalers with chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) propellants.Setting: Four health maintenance organizations (HMOs), two that increased copayments for albuterol inhalers that went from generic CFC-containing to branded CFC-free versions, and two that retained generic copayments for CFC-free inhalers (controls). We included children with asthma aged 4-17 years with commercial coverage from 2007 to 2010.Design: Interrupted time series with comparison series.Data: We obtained enrollee and plan characteristics from enrollment files, and utilization data from pharmacy and medical claims; OOP expenditures were extracted from pharmacy claims for two HMOs with cost data available.Findings: There were no significant differences in albuterol use between the group with increased cost-sharing and controls with respect to changes after the policy change. There was a postpolicy increase of $6.11 OOP per month per child using albuterol among those with increased cost-sharing versus $0.36 in controls; the difference between groups was significant (p < .01).Conclusions: Increased copayments for brand-name CFC-free albuterol after the CFC ban did not lead to a decrease in children's albuterol use, but it led to a modest increase in OOP costs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Preplanned economic analysis of a pragmatic trial using electronic-medical-record-linked interactive voice recognition (IVR) reminders for enhancing adherence to cardiovascular medications (i.e., statins, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors [ACEIs], and angiotensin receptor blockers [ARBs]).Methods: Three groups, usual care (UC), IVR, and IVR plus educational materials (IVR+), with 21,752 suboptimally adherent patients underwent follow-up for 9.6 months on average. Costs to implement and deliver the intervention (from a payer perspective) were tracked during the trial. Medical care costs and outcomes were ascertained using electronic medical records.Results: Per-patient intervention costs ranged from $9 to $17 for IVR and from $36 to $47 for IVR+. For ACEI/ARB, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for each percent adherence increase was about 3 times higher with IVR+ than with IVR ($6 and $16 for IVR and IVR+, respectively). For statins, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for each percent adherence increase was about 7 times higher with IVR+ than with IVR ($6 and $43 for IVR and IVR+, respectively). Considering potential cost offsets from reduced cardiovascular events, the probability of breakeven was the highest for UC, but the IVR-based interventions had a higher probability of breakeven for subgroups with a baseline low-density lipoprotein (LDL) level of more than 100 mg/dl and those with two or more calls.Conclusions: We found that the use of an automated voice messaging system to promote adherence to ACEIs/ARBs and statins may be cost-effective, depending on a decision maker's willingness to pay for unit increase in adherence. When considering changes in LDL level and downstream medical care offsets, UC is the optimal strategy for the general population. However, IVR-based interventions may be the optimal choice for those with elevated LDL values at baseline. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective To describe the full range of behavior of the visible, noncavitated, early caries lesion in caries-active adults with substantial fluoride exposure, and to consider implications. Methods The data were from the Xylitol for Adult Caries Trial (X- ACT) collected annually for 33 months using condensed ICDAS caries threshold criteria. Individual tooth surfaces having a noncavitated caries lesion were included, and the patterns of transition to each subsequent annual clinical examination to sound, noncavitated or cavitated, filled or crowned were determined. The resulting sets of patterns for an individual tooth surface, looking forward from its first appearance as a noncavitated lesion, were combined into one of four behavior profiles classified as reversing, stable, oscillating, or continuously progressing, or were excluded if not part of the caries continuum. The distributions of profile types were assessed using the Rao-Scott chi-square test, which adjusts for clustering of tooth surfaces within teeth. Results Inter- and intra-examiner kappa scores demonstrated acceptable calibration at baseline and annually. 8084 tooth surfaces from 543 subjects were included. The distribution of profile types differed significantly between coronal and root surfaces. Overall, two-thirds of all coronal noncavitated lesions were first seen at baseline, half reversed, over a fifth were stable, 15% oscillated, and only 8.3% progressed to cavitation, filled, or crowned in 33 months or less (6.3% consistently Progressed plus 2.0% inconsistently, a subset of oscillating, which oscillated before progressing to cavitation). Approximal, smooth, and occlusal coronal surfaces each were significantly different in their individual distributions of profile types. Xylitol showed no significant and consistent effect on this distribution by tooth surface type. This was in keeping with the X- ACT's lack of effect of xylitol at the noncavitated plus cavitated lesion thresholds combined. Conclusions This study demonstrated the full dynamic range of early caries lesion behavior. The great majority were not progressive, and few (8.3%) became cavitated over 33 months in caries-active adults using fluorides. Important caries management implications favoring recorded longitudinal monitoring, prevention of active risks, and minimal restoration only after direct visual determination of cavitation are discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: In 2009, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) mandated a label change for leukotriene inhibitors (LTIs) to include neuropsychiatric adverse events (eg, depression and suicidality) as a precaution. This study investigated how this label change affected the use of LTIs and other asthma controller medications, mental health visits, and suicide attempts. Methods: We analyzed data (2005-2010) from 5 large health plans in the US Population-Based Effectiveness in Asthma and Lung Diseases (PEAL) Network. The study cohort included children and adolescents (n = 30,000), young adults (n = 20,0), and adults (n = 90,000) with asthma. We used interrupted time series to examine changes in rates of LTI dispensings, non-LTI dispensings, mental health visits, and suicide attempts (using a validated algorithm based on a combination of diagnoses of injury or poisoning and psychiatric conditions). Findings: The label change was associated with abrupt reductions in LTI use among all age groups (relative reductions of 8.3%, 15.1%, and 6.0% among adolescents, young adults, and adults, respectively, compared with expected rates at 1 year after the warnings). Although we detected immediate offset increases in non-LTI asthma medication use, these increases were not sustained among adolescents and young adults. There were small increases in mental health visits among LTI users. Implications: The FDA label change for LTIs communicated possible risk of neuropsychiatric events. Communication and enhanced awareness may have increased reporting of mental health symptoms among young adults and adults. It is important to assess intended and unintended consequences of FDA warnings and label changes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives To better understand the effectiveness of xylitol in caries prevention in adults and to attempt improved clinical trial efficiency. Methods As part of the Xylitol for Adult Caries Trial (X- ACT), non cavitated and cavitated caries lesions were assessed in subjects who were experiencing the disease. The trial was a test of the effectiveness of 5 g/day of xylitol, consumed by dissolving in the mouth five 1 g lozenges spaced across each day, compared with a sucralose placebo. For this analysis, seeking trial efficiency, 538 subjects aged 21-80, with complete data for four dental examinations, were selected from the 691 randomized into the 3-year trial, conducted at three sites. Acceptable inter- and intra-examiner reliability before and during the trial was quantified using the kappa statistic. Results The mean annualized noncavitated plus cavitated lesion transition scores in coronal and root surfaces, from sound to carious favoured xylitol over placebo, during the three cumulative periods of 12, 24, and 33 months, but these clinically and statistically nonsignificant differences declined in magnitude over time. Restricting the present assessment to those subjects with a higher baseline lifetime caries experience showed possible but inconsistent benefit. Conclusions There was no clear and clinically relevant preventive effect of xylitol on caries in adults with adequate fluoride exposure when non cavitated plus cavitated lesions were assessed. This conformed to the X- ACT trial result assessing cavitated lesions. Including non cavitated lesion assessment in this full-scale, placebo-controlled, multisite, randomized, double-blinded clinical trial in adults experiencing dental caries did not achieve added trial efficiency or demonstrate practical benefit of xylitol. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.Gov NCT00393055. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Information about several topics discussed at the National Institutes of Health (NIH) State-of-the-Science Conference Statement in the U.S. is presented. Topics include family history for common diseases, health improvement, and medical research. The panel of the conference outlined several guide questions related to the above mentioned topics and concluded that family history plays an important role in medicine practice and can prompt positive lifestyle changes.

Background: The Asthma Impact Survey (AIS-6) is a new six question asthma outcome tool for which information on validity has not been published.Objective: To provide validation for the AIS-6 as a brief asthma-specific quality of life tool.Methods: Surveys were sent to a random sample of members of a large managed care organization who were at least 35 years of age and in the two-year period preceding the survey had either (1) at least one documented asthma-related medical encounter, or (2) at least a 6 months supply of asthma medication dispensed. In addition to the AIS-6, the survey included a validated quality of life tool [the mini-Asthma Quality of Life Questionnaire (AQLQ)]; a validated asthma control questionnaire [the Asthma Therapy Assessment Questionnaire (ATAQ)]; a validated symptom severity scale (AOMS); and information regarding demographics, co-morbidities, asthma severity, and asthma management. The results of the AIS-6 were compared to the results of the other tools by means of correlation and factor analysis. Independent predictors of AIS-6 and AQLQ scores were determined by multiple stepwise linear regression analyses.Results: AIS-6 scores were significantly related to female sex, educational level, income, smoking, body mass index (BMI), COPD, steroid use, and hospitalization history in bivariate analyses. The AIS-6 score significantly correlated (r = - 0.84, p < 0.0001) with the AQLQ total score and loaded on the three factors (activity, symptoms, and concern/bother) reflected by the survey information and on which the AQLQ also loaded. Significant but somewhat smaller correlations were found between the AIS-6 and the ATAQ (r = 0.70, p < 0.0001) and the AOMS (r = 0.55, p < 0.0001). Independent predictors were the same for the AIS-6 and AQLQ and included oral steroid use, COPD history, BMI, female sex, educational level, and hospitalization in the past year.Conclusion: These data support the validity of the short six-question AIS-6 as an asthma-specific quality of life tool. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article focuses on the physical health effects of exposures to ash from Mount St. Helens. Two approaches to evaluating the effects of volcanic ash on the eyes were carried out by researchers. The first of these was a survey of ophthalmologists in the ashfall area of four northwestern states in the U.S., asking for information about the types and frequency of adverse ocular effects attributed to volcanic ash. The second was a comparison of ocular findings between a group of loggers exposed to high concentrations of volcanic ash and a control group of loggers in an ash-free environment. The ophthalmologists reported seeing 1,523 patients with complaints or findings which were considered to be related to the volcanic ash. In the opinion of the ophthalmologists, the majority of the ocular problems were anxiety reactions or foreign body sensation. Approximately half of the patients had developed an irritative conjunctivitis, presumably due to exposure to volcanic ash, but fewer than 20 per cent experienced conjunctival or corneal foreign bodies which required removal. In none of the patients seen was there a major secondary infection in the eyes or significant decrease in vision.