Search

A framework for traffic congestion prediction and visualization based on machine learning and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation named MF-TCPV is proposed in this paper. The framework uses DataX and DataV to implement the integration of multi-source heterogeneous traffic data and the visualization of congestion prediction results. A deep prediction model named LSTM-SPRVM based on deep learning algorithms, machine learning algorithms, and Spark parallelization technology for the prediction of traffic congestion features in the future is proposed. In MF-TCPV, traffic congestion is divided into six levels based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and traffic congestion features such as average speed, road occupancy rate, and traffic flow density. MF-TCPV is validated based on the real data of Whitemud Drive in Canada. The experimental results demonstrate that MF-TCPV is capable of predicting the traffic congestion accurately and displaying prediction results visually. LSTM-SPRVM is better than other existing deep learning models in terms of prediction accuracy, and MF-TCPV can intuitively visualize the prediction results of traffic congestion.

Traffic flow exhibits different magnitudes of temporal patterns, such as short-term (daily and weekly) and long-term (monthly and yearly). Existing research into road traffic flow prediction has focused on short-term patterns; little research has been done to determine the effect of different long-term patterns on road traffic flow prediction. Providing more temporal contextual information through the use of different temporal data segments could improve prediction results. In this paper, we have investigated different magnitudes of temporal patterns, such as short-term and long-term, through the use of different temporal data segments to understand how contextual temporal data can improve prediction. Furthermore, to learn temporal patterns dynamically, we have proposed a novel online dynamic temporal context neural network framework. The framework uses different temporal data segments as input features, and during online learning, the updating scheme dynamically determines how useful a temporal data segment (short and long-term temporal patterns) is for prediction, and weights it accordingly for use in the regression model. Therefore, the framework can include short-term and relevant long-term patterns in the regression model leading to improved prediction results. We have conducted a thorough experimental evaluation with a real dataset containing daily, weekly, monthly and yearly data segments. The experiment results show that both short and long-term temporal patterns improved prediction accuracy. In addition, the proposed online dynamical framework improved predication results by 10.8% when compared with a deep gated recurrent unit model.