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1. Global Carbon Budget 2022

Author

Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M. W., Andrew, R. M., Gregor, L., Hauck, J., Le Quéré, C., Luijkx, I. T., Olsen, A., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Alkama, R., Arneth, A., Arora, V. K., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., Bittig, H. C., Bopp, L., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Cronin, M., Evans, W., Falk, S., Feely, R. A., Gasser, T., Gehlen, M., Gkritzalis, T., Gloege, L., Grassi, G., Gruber, N., Gürses, Ö., Harris, I., Hefner, M., Houghton, R. A., Hurtt, G. C., Iida, Y., Ilyina, T., Jain, A. K., Jersild, A., Kadono, K., Kato, E., Kennedy, D., Klein Goldewijk, K., Knauer, J., Korsbakken, J. I., Landschützer, P., Lefèvre, N., Lindsay, K., Liu, J., Liu, Z., Marland, G., Mayot, N., McGrath, M. J., Metzl, N., Monacci, N. M., Munro, D. R., Nakaoka, S.-I., Niwa, Y., O'Brien, K., Ono, T., Palmer, P. I., Pan, N., Pierrot, D., Pocock, K., Poulter, B., Resplandy, L., Robertson, E., Rödenbeck, C., Rodriguez, C., Rosan, T. M., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Shutler, J. D., Skjelvan, I., Steinhoff, T., Sun, Q., Sutton, A. J., Sweeney, C., Takao, S., Tanhua, T., Tans, P. P., Tian, X., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Tsujino, H., Tubiello, F., van der Werf, G. R., Walker, A. P., Wanninkhof, R., Whitehead, C., Willstrand Wranne, A., Wright, R., Yuan, W., Yue, C., Yue, X., Zaehle, S., Zeng, J., Zheng, B., Integr. Assessm. Global Environm. Change, Environmental Sciences, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (UMR 8539) (LMD), Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-École des Ponts ParisTech (ENPC)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Département des Géosciences - ENS Paris, École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-École des Ponts ParisTech (ENPC)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Département des Géosciences - ENS Paris, College of Life and Environmental Sciences [Exeter], University of Exeter, Rice University [Houston], Center for International Climate and Environmental Research [Oslo] (CICERO), University of Oslo (UiO), Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics [ETH Zürich] (IBP), Department of Environmental Systems Science [ETH Zürich] (D-USYS), Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich] (ETH Zürich)- Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich] (ETH Zürich), Alfred-Wegener-Institut, Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung (AWI), Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia [Norwich] (UEA), Meteorology and Air Quality Group, Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen] (WUR), Geophysical Institute [Bergen] (GFI / BiU), University of Bergen (UiB), Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR), Department of Biological Sciences [Bergen] (BIO / UiB), University of Bergen (UiB)-University of Bergen (UiB), Meteorology and Air Quality Department [Wageningen] (MAQ), Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (LMU), Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M), Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra] (CSIRO), Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, European Commission - Joint Research Centre [Ispra] (JRC), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma), Environment and Climate Change Canada, Austral, Boréal et Carbone (ABC), Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité), Cycles biogéochimiques marins : processus et perturbations (CYBIOM), Earth Sciences, Amsterdam Sustainability Institute, and Isotope Research

Subjects
WIMEK, [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, SDG 13 - Climate Action, Life Science, General Earth and Planetary Sciences, Luchtkwaliteit, Air Quality
Abstract

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe and synthesize data sets and methodologies to quantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties. Fossil CO2 emissions (EFOS) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, while emissions from land-use change (ELUC), mainly deforestation, are based on land use and land-use change data and bookkeeping models. Atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly, and its growth rate (GATM) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The ocean CO2 sink (SOCEAN) is estimated with global ocean biogeochemistry models and observation-based data products. The terrestrial CO2 sink (SLAND) is estimated with dynamic global vegetation models. The resulting carbon budget imbalance (BIM), the difference between the estimated total emissions and the estimated changes in the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere, is a measure of imperfect data and understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. All uncertainties are reported as ±1σ. For the year 2021, EFOS increased by 5.1 % relative to 2020, with fossil emissions at 10.1 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1 (9.9 ± 0.5 GtC yr−1 when the cement carbonation sink is included), and ELUC was 1.1 ± 0.7 GtC yr−1, for a total anthropogenic CO2 emission (including the cement carbonation sink) of 10.9 ± 0.8 GtC yr−1 (40.0 ± 2.9 GtCO2). Also, for 2021, GATM was 5.2 ± 0.2 GtC yr−1 (2.5 ± 0.1 ppm yr−1), SOCEAN was 2.9 ± 0.4 GtC yr−1, and SLAND was 3.5 ± 0.9 GtC yr−1, with a BIM of −0.6 GtC yr−1 (i.e. the total estimated sources were too low or sinks were too high). The global atmospheric CO2 concentration averaged over 2021 reached 414.71 ± 0.1 ppm. Preliminary data for 2022 suggest an increase in EFOS relative to 2021 of +1.0 % (0.1 % to 1.9 %) globally and atmospheric CO2 concentration reaching 417.2 ppm, more than 50 % above pre-industrial levels (around 278 ppm). Overall, the mean and trend in the components of the global carbon budget are consistently estimated over the period 1959–2021, but discrepancies of up to 1 GtC yr−1 persist for the representation of annual to semi-decadal variability in CO2 fluxes. Comparison of estimates from multiple approaches and observations shows (1) a persistent large uncertainty in the estimate of land-use change emissions, (2) a low agreement between the different methods on the magnitude of the land CO2 flux in the northern extratropics, and (3) a discrepancy between the different methods on the strength of the ocean sink over the last decade. This living data update documents changes in the methods and data sets used in this new global carbon budget and the progress in understanding of the global carbon cycle compared with previous publications of this data set. The data presented in this work are available at https://doi.org/10.18160/GCP-2022 (Friedlingstein et al., 2022b).

Published
2022

2. An assessment of global and regional sea level in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations: a synopsis

Author

Griffies, S. M., Yin, J., Bates, S., Behrens, E., Bentsen, M., Bi, D., Biastoch, A., Böning, C., Bozec, A., Cassou, C., Chassignet, E., Danabasoglu, G., Danilov, S., Domingues, C., Drange, H., Durack, P., Farneti, R., Fernandez, E., Goddard, P., Greatbatch, R., Ilicak, M., Lu, J., Marsland, S., Mishra, A., Lorbacher, K., Nurser, G., Salas y Mélia, D., Palter, J., Samuels, B., Schröter, J., Schwarzkopf, F., Sidorenko, D., Treguier, A.-M., Tseng, Y., Tsujino, H., Uotila, P., Valcke, S., Voldoire, A., Wang, Q., Winton, M., and Zhang, X.

Abstract

There is a growing number of observation-based measures of sea level related patterns with the advent of the Argo floats (since the early 2000s) and satellite altimeters (since 1993). These measures provide a valuable means to evaluate aspects of global model simulations, such as the global ocean-sea ice simulations run as part of the interannual Coordinated Ocean- ice Reference Experiments Griffies et al. (2009), Danabasoglu et al. (2013). In addition, these CORE-II simulations provide a means for evaluating the likely mechanisms causing sea level variations, particularly when models with different skill are compared against each other and observations. We have conducted an assessment of CORE-II simulations from 13 model configurations Griffies et al. (2013), with a focus on their ability to capture observed trends in ocean heat content as well as the corresponding dynamic sea level over the period 1993- 2007. Here, we provide a synopsis of the assessment.

Published
2013

4. Combined Surgical and Intraoperative Endovascular Approach for a Giant Internal Carotid Artery Aneurysm in the High Cervical Region

Author

Masaki H, Hirai M, Naoya Hashimoto, Keigo Matsumoto, Tsujino H, and Mineura K

Subjects
Carotid Artery Diseases, medicine.medical_specialty, medicine.medical_treatment, Aneurysm, medicine.artery, medicine, Humans, cardiovascular diseases, Embolization, Derivation, Ligation, Aged, medicine.diagnostic_test, business.industry, Vascular disease, Angiography, Digital Subtraction, General Medicine, Digital subtraction angiography, Superficial temporal artery, medicine.disease, Embolization, Therapeutic, Surgery, Treatment Outcome, Middle cerebral artery, cardiovascular system, Female, Neurology (clinical), Radiology, business, Vascular Surgical Procedures
Abstract

For the obliteration of a large aneurysm located at the cranial base or high cervical region, several therapeutic strategies including a parent vessel ligation, and endovascular occlusion have been reported, because it is difficult to access the aneurysm itself. We used a combined surgical and endovascular approach for the treatment of a large internal carotid artery aneurysm in the high cervical region. In the present case, we performed superficial temporal artery to middle cerebral artery bypass, then obliterated the aneurysm with distal coil embolization and proximal ligation in one session, using portable digital subtraction angiography. The combined endovascular and surgical approach involves less invasive surgery for complex cerebrovascular lesions.

Published
2002

9. An assessment of Southern Ocean water masses and sea ice during 1988–2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations

Author

Claus W. Böning, Simon J. Marsland, Lavinia Patara, Riccardo Farneti, Maxwell Kelley, A. M. Howard, David A. Bailey, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Jianhua Lu, Helge Drange, Matthew C. Long, Vittorio Canuto, Mats Bentsen, Nikolay Diansky, Stephen M. Griffies, Bonita L. Samuels, Anatoly Gusev, Erik Behrens, A. J. George Nurser, Qiang Wang, Dmitry Sidorenko, Alexandra Bozec, Eric P. Chassignet, Arne Biastoch, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Sergey Danilov, Paul Spence, Antonio Navarra, Simona Masina, Pier Giuseppe Fogli, Petteri Uotila, Mehmet Ilicak, Thomas Jung, Akhilesh Mishra, Daohua Bi, Stephanie M. Downes, Anthony Leboissetier, William G. Large, Stephen Yeager, Downes SM, Farneti R, Uotila P, Griffies SM, Marsland SJ, Bailey D, Behrens E, Bentsen M, Bi DH, Biastoch A, Boning C, Bozec A, Canuto VM, Chassignet E, Danabasoglu G, Danilov S, Diansky N, Drange H, Fogli PG, Gusev A, Howard A, Ilicak M, Jung T, Kelley M, Large WG, Leboissetier A, Long M, Lu JH, Masina S, Mishra A, Navarra A, Nurser AJG, Patara L, Samuels BL, Sidorenko D, Spence P, Tsujino H, Wang Q, and Yeager SG

Subjects
Atmospheric Science, geography, Ocean observations, geography.geographical_feature_category, Mixed layer, Antarctic sea ice, Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology, Oceanography, Southern Ocean, CORE-II experiments, Water masses, Sea ice, Ocean dynamics, Sea ice thickness, Computer Science (miscellaneous), Sea ice, Environmental science, Thermohaline circulation, Ocean heat content
Abstract

We characterise the representation of the Southern Ocean water mass structure and sea ice within a suite of 15 global ocean-ice models run with the Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiment Phase II (CORE-II) protocol. The main focus is the representation of the present (1988-2007) mode and intermediate waters, thus framing an analysis of winter and summer mixed layer depths; temperature, salinity, and potential vorticity structure; and temporal variability of sea ice distributions. We also consider the interannual variability over the same 20 year period. Comparisons are made between models as well as to observation-based analyses where available. The CORE-II models exhibit several biases relative to Southern Ocean observations, including an underestimation of the model mean mixed layer depths of mode and intermediate water masses in March (associated with greater ocean surface heat gain), and an overestimation in September (associated with greater high latitude ocean heat loss and a more northward winter sea-ice extent). In addition, the models have cold and fresh/warm and salty water column biases centred near 50 degrees S. Over the 1933-2007 period, the CORE-II models consistently simulate spatially variable trends in sea-ice concentration, surface freshwater fluxes, mixed layer depths, and 200-700 in ocean heat content. In particular, sea-ice coverage around most of the Antarctic continental shelf is reduced, leading to a cooling and freshening of the near surface waters. The shoaling of the mixed layer is associated with increased surface buoyancy gain, except in the Pacific where sea ice is also influential. The models are in disagreement, despite the common CORE-II atmospheric state, in their spatial pattern of the 20-year trends in the mixed layer depth and sea-ice. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

Published
2015

10. An assessment of Antarctic Circumpolar Current and Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation during 1958–2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations

Author

Simon J. Marsland, Anthony Leboissetier, Steve G. Yeager, Antonio Navarra, Lavinia Patara, Vittorio Canuto, Simona Masina, Daohua Bi, Pier Giuseppe Fogli, Matthew C. Long, Mehmet Ilicak, Stephanie M. Downes, Eric P. Chassignet, Mats Bentsen, A. J. George Nurser, William G. Large, Riccardo Farneti, Petteri Uotila, Sergey Danilov, Anatoly Gusev, Maxwell Kelley, Akhilesh Mishra, Claus W. Böning, Robert Hallberg, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Jianhua Lu, Dmitry Sidorenko, Alexandra Bozec, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Thomas Jung, A. M. Howard, Nikolay Diansky, Stephen M. Griffies, Helge Drange, Bonita L. Samuels, Erik Behrens, Qiang Wang, Arne Biastoch, Farneti R, Downes SM, Griffies SM, Marsland SJ, Behrens E, Bentsen M, Bi DH, Biastoch A, Boning C, Bozec A, Canuto VM, Chassignet E, Danabasoglu G, Danilov S, Diansky N, Drange H, Fogli PG, Gusev A, Hallberg RW, Howard A, Ilicak M, Jung T, Kelley M, Large WG, Leboissetier A, Long M, Lu JH, Masina S, Mishra A, Navarra A, Nurser AJG, Patara L, Samuels BL, Sidorenko D, Tsujino H, Uotila P, Wang Q, and Yeager SG

Subjects
Atmospheric Science, Momentum (technical analysis), Isopycnal, Buoyancy, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, 010505 oceanography, Advection, Mode (statistics), Mesoscale meteorology, Forcing (mathematics), engineering.material, Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology, Oceanography, 01 natural sciences, 13. Climate action, Climatology, Computer Science (miscellaneous), engineering, Thermohaline circulation, 14. Life underwater, Global ocean–sea ice modeling, Model comparisons, Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation, Antarctic Circumpolar Current, Southern Ocean dynamics, Geology, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Abstract

In the framework of the second phase of the Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments (CORE-II), we present an analysis of the representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) and Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation (MOC) in a suite of seventeen global ocean-sea ice models. We focus on the mean, variability and trends of both the ACC and MOC over the 1958-2007 period, and discuss their relationship with the surface forcing. We aim to quantify the degree of eddy saturation and eddy compensation in the models participating in CORE-II, and compare our results with available observations, previous fineresolution numerical studies and theoretical constraints. Most models show weak ACC transport sensitivity to changes in forcing during the past five decades, and they can be considered to be in an eddy saturated regime. Larger contrasts arise when considering MOC trends, with a majority of models exhibiting significant strengthening of the MOC during the late 20th and early 21st century. Only a few models show a relatively small sensitivity to forcing changes, responding with an intensified eddy-induced circulation that provides some degree of eddy compensation, while still showing considerable decadal trends. Both ACC and MOC interannual variabilities are largely controlled by the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). Based on these results, models are clustered into two groups. Models with constant or two-dimensional (horizontal) specification of the eddy-induced advection coefficient K show larger ocean interior decadal trends, larger ACC transport decadal trends and no eddy compensation in the MOC. Eddy-permitting models or models with a threedimensional time varying K show smaller changes in isopycnal slopes and associated ACC trends, and partial eddy compensation. As previously argued, a constant in time or space lc is responsible for a poor representation of mesoscale eddy effects and cannot properly simulate the sensitivity of the ACC and MOC to changing surface forcing. Evidence is given for a larger sensitivity of the MOC as compared to the ACC transport, even when approaching eddy saturation. Future process studies designed for disentangling the role of momentum and buoyancy forcing in driving the ACC and MOC are proposed. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Published
2015

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