1. An explainable model of host genetic interactions linked to COVID-19 severity
- Author
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Onoja, Anthony, Picchiotti, Nicola, Fallerini, Chiara, Baldassarri, Margherita, Fava, Francesca, Colombo, Francesca, Chiaromonte, Francesca, Renieri, Alessandra, Furini, Simone, Raimondi, Francesco GEN-COVID Multicenter Study: Francesca Mari, Sergio, Daga, Elisa, Benetti, Mirella, Bruttini, Maria, Palmieri, Susanna, Croci, Sara, Amitrano, Ilaria, Meloni, Elisa, Frullanti, Gabriella, Doddato, Mirjam, Lista, Giada, Beligni, Floriana, Valentino, Kristina, Zguro, Rossella, Tita, Annarita, Giliberti, Maria Antonietta Mencarelli, Caterina Lo Rizzo, Anna Maria Pinto, Francesca, Ariani, Laura Di Sarno, Francesca, Montagnani, Mario, Tumbarello, Ilaria, Rancan, Massimiliano, Fabbiani, Barbara, Rossetti, Laura, Bergantini, Miriana, D'Alessandro, Paolo, Cameli, David, Bennett, Federico, Anedda, Simona, Marcantonio, Sabino, Scolletta, Federico, Franchi, Maria Antonietta Mazzei, Susanna, Guerrini, Edoardo, Conticini, Luca, Cantarini, Bruno, Frediani, Danilo, Tacconi, Chiara Spertilli Raffaelli, Marco, Feri, Alice, Donati, Raffaele, Scala, Luca, Guidelli, Genni, Spargi, Marta, Corridi, Cesira, Nencioni, Leonardo, Croci, Gian Piero Caldarelli, Davide, Romani, Paolo, Piacentini, Maria, Bandini, Elena, Desanctis, Silvia, Cappelli, Anna, Canaccini, Agnese, Verzuri, Valentina, Anemoli, Manola, Pisani, Agostino, Ognibene, Alessandro, Pancrazzi, Maria, Lorubbio, Massimo, Vaghi, Antonella D'Arminio Monforte, Federica Gaia Miraglia, Raffaele, Bruno, Marco, Vecchia, Massimo, Girardis, Sophie, Venturelli, Stefano, Busani, Andrea, Cossarizza, Andrea, Antinori, Alessandra, Vergori, Arianna, Emiliozzi, Stefano, Rusconi, Matteo, Siano, Arianna, Gabrieli, Agostino, Riva, Daniela, Francisci, Elisabetta, Schiaroli, Francesco, Paciosi, Andrea, Tommasi, Umberto, Zuccon, Lucia, Vietri, Pier Giorgio Scotton, Francesca, Andretta, Sandro, Panese, Stefano, Baratti, Renzo, Scaggiante, Francesca, Gatti, Saverio Giuseppe Parisi, Francesco, Castelli, Eugenia, Quiros-Roldan, Melania Degli Antoni, Isabella, Zanella, Matteo Della Monica, Carmelo, Piscopo, Mario, Capasso, Roberta, Russo, Immacolata, Andolfo, Achille, Iolascon, Giuseppe, Fiorentino, Massimo, Carella, Marco, Castori, Filippo, Aucella, Pamela, Raggi, Rita, Perna, Matteo, Bassetti, Antonio Di Biagio, Maurizio, Sanguinetti, Luca, Masucci, Alessandra, Guarnaccia, Serafina, Valente, Oreste De Vivo, Elena, Bargagli, Marco, Mandalà, Alessia, Giorli, Lorenzo, Salerni, Patrizia, Zucchi, Pierpaolo, Parravicini, Elisabetta, Menatti, Tullio, Trotta, Ferdinando, Giannattasio, Gabriella, Coiro, Fabio, Lena, Gianluca, Lacerenza, Domenico, A Coviello, Cristina, Mussini, Enrico, Martinelli, Luisa, Tavecchia, Mary Ann Belli, Lia, Crotti, Gianfranco, Parati, Maurizio, Sanarico, Filippo, Biscarini, Alessandra, Stella, Marco, Rizzi, Franco, Maggiolo, Diego, Ripamonti, Claudia, Suardi, Tiziana, Bachetti, Maria Teresa La Rovere, Simona, Sarzi-Braga, Maurizio, Bussotti, Katia, Capitani, Simona, Dei, Sabrina, Ravaglia, Rosangela, Artuso, Elena, Andreucci, Giulia, Gori, Angelica, Pagliazzi, Erika, Fiorentini, Antonio, Perrella, Francesco, Bianchi, Paola, Bergomi, Emanuele, Catena, Riccardo, Colombo, Sauro, Luchi, Giovanna, Morelli, Paola, Petrocelli, Sarah, Iacopini, Sara, Modica, Silvia, Baroni, Francesco Vladimiro Segala, Francesco, Menichetti, Marco, Falcone, Giusy, Tiseo, Chiara, Barbieri, Tommaso, Matucci, Grassi, Davide, Ferri, Claudio, Marinangeli, Franco, Brancati, Francesco, Antonella, Vincenti, Valentina, Borgo, Lombardi, Stefania, Mirco, Lenzi, Massimo Antonio Di Pietro, Francesca, Vichi, Benedetta, Romanin, Letizia, Attala, Cecilia, Costa, Andrea, Gabbuti, Roberto, Menè, Marta, Colaneri, Patrizia, Casprini, Giuseppe, Merla, Gabriella Maria Squeo, Marcello, Maffezzoni, Stefania, Mantovani, Mario, U Mondelli, Serena, Ludovisi, Onoja, Anthony, Picchiotti, Nicola, Fallerini, Chiara, Baldassarri, Margherita, Fava, Francesca, nbsp, Multicenter Study, GEN-COVID, Colombo, Francesca, Chiaromonte, Francesca, Renieri, Alessandra, Furini, Simone, Raimondi, Francesco, Anthony, O, Nicola, P, Chiara, F, Margherita, B, Francesca, F, Francesca, C, Alessandra, R, Simone, F, Francesco, R, Mari, F, Daga, S, Benetti, E, Bruttini, M, Palmieri, M, Croci, S, Amitrano, S, Meloni, I, Frullanti, E, Doddato, G, Lista, M, Beligni, G, Valentino, F, Zguro, K, Tita, R, Giliberti, A, Antonietta Mencarelli, M, Lo Rizzo, C, Maria Pinto, A, Ariani, F, Di Sarno, L, Montagnani, F, Tumbarello, M, Rancan, I, Fabbiani, M, Rossetti, B, Bergantini, L, D’Alessandro, M, Cameli, P, Bennett, D, Anedda, F, Marcantonio, S, Scolletta, S, Franchi, F, Antonietta Mazzei, M, Guerrini, S, Conticini, E, Cantarini, L, Frediani, B, Tacconi, D, Spertilli Raffaelli, C, Feri, M, Donati, A, Scala, R, Guidelli, L, Spargi, G, Corridi, M, Nencioni, C, Croci, L, Piero Caldarelli, G, Romani, D, Piacentini, P, Bandini, M, Desanctis, E, Cappelli, S, Canaccini, A, Verzuri, A, Anemoli, V, Pisani, M, Ognibene, A, Pancrazzi, A, Lorubbio, M, Vaghi, M, D’Arminio Monforte, A, Gaia Miraglia, F, Bruno, R, Vecchia, M, Girardis, M, Venturelli, S, Busani, S, Cossarizza, A, Antinori, A, Vergori, A, Emiliozzi, A, Rusconi, S, Siano, M, Gabrieli, A, Riva, A, Francisci, D, Schiaroli, E, Paciosi, F, Tommasi, A, Zuccon, U, Vietri, L, Giorgio Scotton, P, Andretta, F, Panese, S, Baratti, S, Scaggiante, R, Gatti, F, Giuseppe Parisi, S, Castelli, F, Quiros-Roldan, E, Degli Antoni, M, Zanella, I, Della Monica, M, Piscopo, C, Capasso, M, Russo, R, Andolfo, I, Iolascon, A, Fiorentino, G, Carella, M, Castori, M, Aucella, F, Raggi, P, Perna, R, Bassetti, M, Di Biagio, A, Sanguinetti, M, Masucci, L, Guarnaccia, A, Valente, S, De Vivo, O, Bargagli, E, Mandalà, M, Giorli, A, Salerni, L, Zucchi, P, Parravicini, P, Menatti, E, Trotta, T, Giannattasio, F, Coiro, G, Lena, F, Lacerenza, G, Coviello, D, Mussini, C, Martinelli, E, Tavecchia, L, Ann Belli, M, Crotti, L, Parati, G, Sanarico, M, Biscarini, F, Stella, A, Rizzi, M, Maggiolo, F, Ripamonti, D, Suardi, C, Bachetti, T, Teresa La Rovere, M, Sarzi-Braga, S, Bussotti, M, Capitani, K, Dei, S, Ravaglia, S, Artuso, R, Andreucci, E, Gori, G, Pagliazzi, A, Fiorentini, E, Perrella, A, Bianchi, F, Bergomi, P, Catena, E, Colombo, R, Luchi, S, Morelli, G, Petrocelli, P, Iacopini, S, Modica, S, Baroni, S, Vladimiro Segala, F, Menichetti, F, Falcone, M, Tiseo, G, Barbieri, C, Matucci, T, Grassi, D, Ferri, C, Marinangeli, F, Brancati, F, Vincenti, A, Borgo, V, Lombardi, S, Lenzi, M, Antonio Di Pietro, M, Vichi, F, Romanin, B, Attala, L, Costa, C, Gabbuti, A, Menè, R, Colaneri, M, Casprini, P, Merla, G, Maria Squeo, G, Maffezzoni, M, Mantovani, S, Mondelli &, M, and Ludovisi, S
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Genetics ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Host (biology) ,COVID-19 ,Medicine (miscellaneous) ,Settore BIO/11 - Biologia Molecolare ,Biology ,Settore MED/07 - MICROBIOLOGIA E MICROBIOLOGIA CLINICA ,Whole Exome Sequencing ,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology ,machine learning ,Phenotype ,Exome Sequencing ,Humans ,Genetic Predisposition to Disease ,Genome-Wide Association Study ,General Agricultural and Biological Sciences ,COVID ,Human - Abstract
We employed a multifaceted computational strategy to identify the genetic factors contributing to increased risk of severe COVID-19 infection from a Whole Exome Sequencing (WES) dataset of a cohort of 2000 Italian patients. We coupled a stratified k-fold screening, to rank variants more associated with severity, with training of multiple supervised classifiers, to predict severity on the basis of screened features. Feature importance analysis from tree-based models allowed to identify a handful of 16 variants with highest support which, together with age and gender covariates, were found to be most predictive of COVID-19 severity. When tested on a follow-up cohort, our ensemble of models predicted severity with good accuracy (ACC=81.88%; ROC_AUC=96%; MCC=61.55%). Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and clustering of patients on important variants orthogonally identified two groups of individuals with a higher fraction of severe cases. Our model recapitulated a vast literature of emerging molecular mechanisms and genetic factors linked to COVID-19 response and extends previous landmark Genome Wide Association Studies (GWAS). It revealed a network of interplaying genetic signatures converging on established immune system and inflammatory processes linked to viral infection response, such as JAK-STAT, Cytokine, Interleukin, and C-type lectin receptor signaling. It also identified additional processes cross-talking with immune pathways, such as GPCR signalling, which might offer additional opportunities for therapeutic intervention and patient stratification. Publicly available PheWAS datasets revealed that several variants were significantly associated with phenotypic traits such as “Respiratory or thoracic disease”, confirming their link with COVID-19 severity outcome. Taken together, our analysis suggests that curated genetic information can be effectively integrated along with other patient clinical covariates to forecast COVID-19 disease severity and dissect the underlying host genetic mechanisms for personalized medicine treatments.
- Published
- 2022
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