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Objective : The aim of this study was to identify perioperative risk factors associated with intensive care unit readmission and in-hospital death after cardiac surgery. Design : Retrospective analysis using a multivariable regression model to identify independent risk factors for ICU readmission and in-hospital mortality. Setting : The study was carried out in a single tertiary-care hospital. Participants : This was an analysis of 2789 adult patients. Interventions : All patients underwent cardiac surgery and were admitted to the intensive care unit perioperatively at the General Hospital Vienna. Measurements and Main Results : Among the 2789 patients included in the analysis, 167 (6%) were readmitted to the intensive care unit during the same hospital stay. Preoperative risk factors associated with ICU readmission included end-stage renal failure (odds ratio (OR) 2.80, 95% CI: 1.126-6.964), arrhythmia (OR 1.59, 95% CI: 1.019-2.480), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 1.51, 95% CI: 1.018-2.237), age > 80 (OR 2.55, 95% CI: 1.189-5.466), and EuroSCORE II > 8 (OR 1.40, 95% CI: 1.013-1.940). Readmitted patients were more likely to die than non-readmitted patients (OR 5.3, 95% CI: 3.284-8.558). In-hospital mortality in readmitted patients was 19.2%, whereas that in the non-readmitted study population was 5.1%. Conclusion : Preoperative risk assessment is crucial for identifying cardiac surgery patients at risk of ICU readmission and in-hospital death. The potentially modifiable risk factors pinpointed by our study call for the optimization of care before surgery and after ICU discharge.

Preoperative assessment is essential to prevent inferior alveolar nerve (IAN) injury during surgical extraction of the lower third molar (LM3). Here, we aimed to establish an assessment system to predict IAN injury during surgical extraction of the LM3. We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 115 patients diagnosed as 'high-risk' based on our previous risk assessment method involving three anatomical features of the inferior alveolar canal using computed tomographic (CT) images. We evaluated the occurrence of neurosensory impairment in these high-risk patients, and its association with novel anatomic features based on CT images. Neurosensory impairments were observed in 19 patients (16.5%). The inferior alveolar canal major diameter (p0.0001) and lingual bone thickness (p = 0.0039) were significantly associated with the occurrence of neurosensory impairment during LM3 extraction. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine cut-off values of these quantitative factors to specifically predict IAN injury. Preoperative risk assessment with quantitative factors based on anatomical features observed on CT images may facilitate more appropriate surgical planning for patients at a high risk of IAN injury.

Background: Existing postoperative pancreatic fistula risk scores rely on intraoperative parameters, which limits their value in the preoperative setting. A preoperative predictive model to stratify the risk of developing postoperative pancreatic fistula before pancreatoduodenectomy was built and externally validated. Methods: A regression risk-tree model for preoperative postoperative pancreatic fistula risk stratification was developed in the Verona University Hospital training cohort using preoperative variables and then tested prospectively in a validation cohort of patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy at San Raffaele Hospital of Milan. Results: In the study period 566 (training cohort) and 456 (validation cohort) patients underwent pancreatoduodenectomy. In the multivariable analysis body mass index, radiographic main pancreatic duct diameter and American Society of Anesthesiologists score ≥3 were independently associated with postoperative pancreatic fistula. The regression tree analysis allocated patients into 3 preoperative risk groups with an 8%, 21%, and 32% risk of postoperative pancreatic fistula (all P < .01) based on main pancreatic duct diameter (≥ or

Background Transfemoral access is the most common approach for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). However, a subset of patients require alternative access. This study describes the evolution and outcomes of alternative-access TAVR at Cleveland Clinic. Methods From January 2006 to January 2019, 2446 patients underwent TAVR, 414 (17%) through alternative access (247 transapical, 95 transaortic, 56 transaxillary, 2 transcarotid, 10 transiliac, 4 transcaval). Patients undergoing alternative-access TAVR had high preoperative risk. Propensity-matched comparisons were targeted at comparing transfemoral versus transaxillary approaches since 2012. Results Over time, the favored alternative-access approach shifted from transapical and transaortic to transaxillary. Pacemaker requirement was similar for alternative-access and transfemoral approaches. Compared with transfemoral access, major vascular injuries were higher in the alternative-access group (12 [2.9%] vs 27 [1.3%], P = .02), but minor vascular injuries were lower (13 [3.1%] vs 198 [9.8%], P Conclusions The transaxillary approach has emerged as our preferred alternative-access strategy for TAVR. It is associated with superior operative outcomes compared with transthoracic approaches, and results are comparable with those of the transfemoral approach.

Adult spinal deformity (ASD) comprises a range of aetiologies and pathologies affecting the lumbar, thoracic or thoracolumbar region during the ageing process. Management of ASD is an increasing health-care burden due to its prevalence in patients aged over 65 years and increasing age of populations in developed countries. Non-operative management of ASD has limited benefit, but may be appropriate for patients with a mild spinal deformity, who can cope with their level of symptoms, or those patients too frail for major spinal surgery. Surgical management of ASD is a major undertaking, associated with significant risks. Minimally invasive surgical (MIS) techniques are rapidly evolving and further research is required to determine the most suitable ASD patient profiles and clinical parameters for treatment by MIS, hybrid, or open techniques. Understanding the resources available for preoperative risk stratification, patient optimization and outcomes assessment following surgery can help to personalize risk-benefit discussions with patients and to develop pragmatic patient-specific surgical strategies for patients with ASD to obtain successful outcomes and reduce the risk of complications. This narrative review discusses patient assessment, treatment outcomes, and surgical strategies to manage patients with ASD.

Background/aimsTo compare risk factors for poor visual outcomes in patients undergoing primary rhegmatogenous retinal detachment (RRD) repair and to develop a scoring system.MethodsAnalysis of the Primary Retinal detachment Outcomes (PRO) study, a multicentre interventional cohort of consecutive primary RRD surgeries performed in 2015. The main outcome measure was a poor visual outcome (Snellen VA ≤20/200).ResultsA total of 1178 cases were included. The mean preoperative and postoperative logMARs were 1.1±1.1 (20/250) and 0.5±0.7 (20/63), respectively. Multivariable logistic regression identified preoperative risk factors predictive of poor visual outcomes (≤20/200), including proliferative vitreoretinopathy (PVR) (OR 1.26; 95% CI 1.13 to 1.40), history of antivascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) injections (1.38; 1.11 to 1.71), >1-week vision loss (1.17; 1.08 to 1.27), ocular comorbidities (1.18; 1.00 to 1.38), poor presenting VA (1.06 per initial logMAR unit; 1.02 to 1.10) and age >70 (1.13; 1.04 to 1.23). The data were split into training (75%) and validation (25%) and a scoring system was developed and validated. The risk for poor visual outcomes was 8% with a total score of 0, 17% with 1, 29% with 2, 47% with 3, and 71% with 4 or higher.ConclusionsIndependent risk factors were compared for poor visual outcomes after RRD surgery, which included PVR, anti-VEGF injections, vision loss >1 week, ocular comorbidities, presenting VA and older age. The PRO score was developed to provide a scoring system that may be useful in clinical practice.

AIM Conventional surgical management of colovesical and colovaginal fistulas can be morbid and is contraindicated in many patients. Our aim in this work is to evaluate our experience in the management of colovesical and colovaginal fistulas with endoscopic over-the-scope (OTS) clips. METHOD A retrospective review of all patients who underwent attempted endoscopic OTS clip management of colovesical and colovaginal fistulas between 2013 and 2020 was performed. Preoperative risk factors, operative details and postoperative outcomes are reported. RESULTS Ten patients were identified. Fistula types were: colovesical (five), rectovesical (two), colovaginal (two) and rectovaginal (one). The aetiology of the fistula was diverticular disease in seven (70%) cases and surgical complication of pelvic surgery in three (30%). The mean defect age was 157 ± 98 days, the mean defect diameter was 4.5 mm (range 2-10 mm) and the mean fistula length was 15 mm (range 2-25 mm). In nine (90%) cases, fistula identification and cannulation were performed through the nonenteric lumen of the fistula. Initial management with an OTS clip was technically successful in eight (80%) patients. Of the eight patients who underwent OTS clip placement, long-term success (mean follow-up 218 days, range 25-673 days) was achieved after initial intervention in four (50%) patients. One patient underwent serial OTS clip procedures and achieved long-term success after four interventions; three patients have not undergone a repeat procedure after initial failure. CONCLUSION Endoscopic management of colovesical and colovaginal fistulas with OTS clips offers a promising therapeutic option for patients with contraindications to conventional surgical management. Immediate technical success and long-term success rates are similar to other gastrointestinal tract applications of OTS clips.

This review attempts to illustrate the importance of preoperative risk stratification and prehabilitation in improving post-surgical outcomes in developing countries. It analyzes the unique challenges faced in developing countries and measures required to improve outcomes with limited resources. Preoperative risk stratification has been found to utilize healthcare resources efficiently to those in need. Prehabilitation strategies positively influence baseline functional status of high-risk patients and improve post-surgical outcomes. Healthcare resources in developing countries are strained due to various factors. Since risk assessment and prehabilitation increase efficiency of resource utilization for better outcomes, the duo seems to be extremely relevant in developing countries. Although the advantages of preoperative risk assessment and prehabilitation seem to be obvious, objective structured research on them is lacking in developing countries. Adequately powered large-scale multi-centric studies are required to establish the usefulness of preoperative risk assessment and prehabilitation in developing countries.

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has revolutionised the treatment of severe, symptomatic aortic stenosis and it is now a proven and effective alternative to surgery for patients regardless of preoperative risk stratification. Nevertheless, the consequent expansion towards younger patients with longer life expectancy focuses attention on long-term considerations. In particular, although the prevalence of coronary artery disease has been shown to decrease with the lowering of estimated risk stratification, the chance of requirement of future coronary interventions after TAVI increases dramatically as a function of patients' life expectancy. To date, however, only a few studies have investigated the feasibility and reproducibility of coronary artery cannulation after TAVI. Different conditions related mainly to aortic root anatomy and specific transcatheter aortic valve (TAV) designs and deployment have been associated with impaired coronary access after TAVI. In the present review, we will examine the conditions that may make coronary access after TAVI more challenging or even impossible.

Various risk score calculators used to predict 30-day mortality after treatment of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs) have produced mixed results regarding their usefulness and reproducibility. We prospectively validated the accuracy of our preoperative scoring system in a modern cohort of patients with rAAAs.A retrospective review of all patients wiith rAAAs who had presented to a single academic center from January 2002 to December 2018 was performed. The patients were divided into three cohorts according to when the institutional practice changes had occurred: the pre-endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) era (January 2002 to July 2007), the pre-Harbor View risk score era (August 2007 to October 2013), and the modern era (November 2013 to December 2018). The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality. Our preoperative risk score assigns 1 point for each of the following: age76 years, pH 7.2, creatinine2 mg/dL, and any episode of hypotension (systolic blood pressure 70 mm Hg). The previously reported mortality from a retrospective analysis of the first two cohorts was 22% for 1 point, 69% for 2 points, 78% for 3 points, and 100% for 4 points. The goal of the present study was to prospectively validate the Harborview scoring system in the modern era.During the 17-year study period, 417 patients with rAAAs were treated at our institution. Of the 118 patients treated in the modern era, 45 (38.1%) had undergone open aneurysm repair (OAR), 61 (51.7%) had undergone EVAR, and 12 (10.2%) had received comfort measures only. Excluding the 12 patients without aneurysm repair, we found a statistically significant linear trend between the preoperative risk score and subsequent 30-day mortality for all patients combined (P .0001), for OAR patients alone (P = .0003), and for EVAR patients alone (P .0001). After adjustment for the Harborview risk score, the 30-day mortality was 41.3% vs 31.6% after OAR vs EVAR, respectively (P = .2). For all repairs, the 30-day mortality was 14.6% for a score of 0, 35.7% for a score of 1, 68.4% for a score of 2, and 100% for a score of 3 or 4.Our results, representing one of the largest modern series of rAAAs treated at a single institution, have confirmed the accuracy of a simple 4-point preoperative risk score in predicting 30-day mortality in the modern rAAA patient. Such tools should be used when discussing the treatment options with referring physicians, patients, and their family members to help guide transfer and treatment decision-making.

Background: Chronic postoperative pain following total joint replacement (TJA) is a substantial clinical problem, and poor sleep may affect predictive factors for postoperative pain, such as pain catastrophizing. However, the magnitude of these associations is currently unknown. This exploratory study investigated (1) the relationship between preoperative sleep quality, clinical pain intensity, pain catastrophizing, anxiety, and depression and (2) their associations with chronic postoperative pain following TJA. Methods: This secondary analysis from a larger randomized controlled trial included rest pain intensity (preoperative and 12 months postoperative; visual analogue scale, VAS), preoperative Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS), Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) data from 74 knee and 89 hip osteoarthritis (OA) patients scheduled for TJA. Poor sleepers were identified based on preoperative PSQI scores higher than 5. Results: Poor sleepers demonstrated higher preoperative VAS, pain catastrophizing, anxiety, and depression compared with good sleepers (all p < 0.003). Preoperative PSQI (β = 0.23, p = 0.006), PCS (β = 0.44, p < 0.005), and anxiety (β = 0.18, p = 0.036) were independent factors for preoperative VAS. Preoperative VAS (β = 0.32, p < 0.005), but not preoperative sleep quality (β = −0.06, p = 0.5), was an independent factor for postoperative VAS. Conclusion: The OA patients reporting poor preoperative sleep quality show higher preoperative pain, pain catastrophizing, anxiety, and depression. High preoperative pain intensity, but not poor sleep quality, was associated with higher chronic postoperative pain intensity. Future studies are encouraged to explore associations between sleep and chronic postoperative pain.

Frailty has been widely recognized as a predictor of postoperative outcomes. Given the paucity of standardized frailty measurements in thoracic procedures, this study aimed to determine the impact of coding-based frailty on clinical outcomes and resource use after anatomic lung resection.All adults undergoing elective, anatomic lung resections (segmentectomy, lobectomy, pneumonectomy) from 2005 to 2014 were identified using the National Inpatient Sample. Patients were categorized as either frail or nonfrail on the basis of the presence of any frailty-defining diagnoses defined by the Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups. Multivariable models were used to assess the independent association of frailty with in-hospital mortality, nonhome discharge, complications, duration of stay, and costs.Of an estimated 366,357 hospitalizations for elective lung resection during the study period, 4.4% were in frail patients. Patients who underwent pneumonectomy or were treated at low-volume hospitals were more commonly frail. Relative to nonfrail patients, frailty was associated with increased unadjusted mortality (9.1% vs 1.7%; P.001) and nonhome discharge (44.7% vs 10.5%; P.001). Frail patients had 3.47 increased adjusted odds of mortality across resection types (95% confidence interval, 2.94 to 4.09). Frailty conferred the greatest increase in mortality, complications, and resource use after pneumonectomy relative to lobectomy or segmentectomy, although significant differences were evident for all 3 operations.Frailty exhibits a strong association with inferior clinical outcomes and increased resource use after elective lung resection, particularly pneumonectomy. This readily available tool may improve preoperative risk assessment and allow for better selection of treatment modalities for frail patients with pulmonary disorders.

The Technical Performance Score (TPS) can predict outcomes after congenital cardiac surgery. We sought to validate TPS as a predictor of both short- and long-term outcomes of the Norwood procedure.We conducted a retrospective review of patients who underwent the Norwood procedure from 1997 to 2017. We assigned TPS (class 1, no residua; class 2, minor residua; class 3, major residua or reintervention for major residua before discharge) based on subcomponent scores from discharge echocardiograms or unplanned reinterventions, or both. Multivariable Cox or competing risk analysis, adjusted for preoperative patient- and procedure-related covariates, examined the association of TPS with postoperative hospital length of stay, transplant-free survival, and postdischarge reinterventions.Among 500 patients, 319 (64%) were male, 54 (11%) were premature, 56 (11%) had noncardiac anomalies/syndromes, 146 (29%) had preoperative risk factors, and 480 (96%) were assigned TPS. On multivariable analysis, class 3 had greater hazard for reinterventions in transplant-free survivors (class 3: subdistribution hazard ratio [HR], 2.06; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-3.16; P = .001) and was associated with increased hospital length of stay vs class 1 (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.18-0.34; P.001). Transplant-free survival after Norwood surgery was shorter for both class 2 (HR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.68-3.66; P.001) and class 3 (HR, 3.29; 95% CI, 2.18-4.95; P.001).TPS predicts early and late outcomes after Norwood. Absence of residual lesions results in improved long-term prognosis for single-ventricle patients. TPS may improve outcomes after Norwood by identifying patients warranting closer follow-up and potentially earlier reintervention.

Background The universal Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) prediction models for postoperative adverse outcomes have good accuracy for estimating risk in broad surgical populations and for surgical specialties. The accuracy in individual operations has not yet been assessed. The objective of this study was to evaluate the Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System in predicting adverse outcomes for selected individual operations. Methods The SURPAS models were applied to the top 2 most frequent common procedural terminology codes in 9 surgical specialties and 5 additional common general surgical operations in the 2009 to 2018 database of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP). Goodness of fit statistics were estimated, including c-indices for discrimination, Hosmer-Lemeshow graphs and P values for calibration, overall observed versus expected event rates, and Brier scores. Results The total sample size was 2,020,172, which represented 29% of the 6.9 million operations in the ACS NSQIP database. Average c-indices across 12 outcomes were acceptable (≥0.70) for 13 (56.5%) of the 23 operations. Overall observed-to-expected rates were similar for mortality and overall morbidity across the 23 operations. Hosmer-Lemeshow graphs over quintiles of risk comparing observed-to-expected rates of mortality and overall morbidity were similar for 52% and 70% of operations, respectively. Model performance was better in less complex operations and those done in patients with lower preoperative risk. Conclusion SURPAS displayed accuracy in estimating postoperative adverse events for some of the 23 operations studied, but not all. In the procedures where SURPAS was not accurate, developing disease or operation-specific risk models might be appropriate.

Background The Surgical Risk Preoperative Assessment System (SURPAS) uses eight variables to accurately predict postoperative complications but has not been sufficiently studied in emergency surgery. We evaluated SURPAS in emergency surgery, comparing it to the Emergency Surgery Score (ESS). Methods SURPAS and ESS estimates of 30-day mortality and overall morbidity were calculated for emergency operations in the 2009–2018 ACS-NSQIP database and compared using observed-to-expected plots and rates, c-indices, and Brier scores. Cases with incomplete data were excluded. Results In 205,318 emergency patients, SURPAS underestimated (8.1%; 35.9%) while ESS overestimated (10.1%; 43.8%) observed mortality and morbidity (8.9%; 38.8%). Each showed good calibration on observed-to-expected plots. SURPAS had better c-indices (0.855 vs 0.848 mortality; 0.802 vs 0.755 morbidity), while the Brier score was better for ESS for mortality (0.0666 vs. 0.0684) and for SURPAS for morbidity (0.1772 vs. 0.1950). Conclusions SURPAS accurately predicted mortality and morbidity in emergency surgery using eight predictor variables.

STUDY DESIGN A retrospective study. OBJECTIVE To determine in which case one level proximal to last substantially touching vertebra (LSTV-1) could be a valid lowest instrumented vertebra (LIV), in which case distal fusion should extend to last substantially touching vertebra (LSTV), and to identify risk factors for distal adding-on. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA Posterior thoracic fusion to save more lumbar mobile segments has become the mainstay of operative treatment for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) with Lenke 1A/2A curves. Although previous studies have recommended selecting the LSTV as LIV, good outcomes could still be achieved in some cases when LSTV-1 was selected as LIV. METHODS Ninety-four patients were included in the study with a minimum of 2-year follow-up after posterior thoracic instrumentation, in which LSTV-1 was selected as LIV. Patients were identified with distal adding-on between first erect radiographs and 2-year follow-up based on previously defined parameters. Factors associated with the incidence of adding-on were analyzed. RESULTS The mean follow-up duration was 37.7 ± 15.8 months. Forty patients (42.6%) with LSTV-1 selected as LIV achieved good outcomes at the last follow-up. Several preoperative risk factors significantly associated with distal adding-on were identified, including lower Risser (P = 0.001), longer thoracic curve length (P = 0.005), larger rotation and deviation of LSTV-1 (P

Introduction. The study aimed to evaluate the performance of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) and the Martini model to predict extraprostatic extension (EPE) and biochemical recurrence (BCR) of prostate cancer (PCa). Materials and methods. 61 patients underwent a radical laparoscopic prostatectomy. The preoperative risk of EPE was determined using mpMRI and the Martini model. Results. MpMRI predicts the presence of EPE of PCa with a sensitivity and specificity of 47.4% and 85.7%, respectively (AUC 0.66, 95% CI: 0.51–0.82, p = 0.046). The Martini model’s sensitivity was higher, but the specificity was lower than that of mpMRI and was 84.2% and 66.7%, respectively (AUC 0.78, 95% CI: 0.66–0.89, p < 0.001). Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis indicated that EPE in mpMRI (HR 6.6, 95% CI: 1.8–24.1), and the presence of positive surgical margins (PSM) (HR 7.1, 95% CI: 1.9–26.7) are independent factors increasing the probability of BCR. Conclusions. MpMRI and Martini model are valuable tools in local staging of PCa, managing and predicting the oncological treatment outcomes of patients with PCa.

To determine the preoperative risk factors most predictive of prolonged length of stay (LOS) or admission to a skilled nursing facility (SNF) or inpatient rehabilitation center (IPR) after free flap reconstruction of the head and neck.Retrospective cohort study.Tertiary academic medical center.Retrospective review of 1008 patients who underwent tumor resection and free flap reconstruction of the head and neck at a tertiary referral center from 2002 to 2019.Of 1008 patients (65.7% male; mean age of 61.4 years, SD 14.0 years), 161 (15.6%) were discharged to SNF/IPR, and the median LOS was 7 days. In multiple linear regression analysis, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI;Common tools for assessing frailty and need for additional care may be inadequate in a head and neck reconstructive population. CCI appears to be the best of the aggregate metrics assessed, with significant relationships to both LOS and placement in SNF/IPR.

Objectives The phenomenon of systolic anterior motion (SAM) of the mitral valve (MV) was discovered 50 years ago, but to date only a few studies have identified risk factors for SAM following mitral repair. There are limited data on the necessity of surgical reintervention on the MV once SAM is discovered by intraoperative transesophageal echocardiography. We sought to identify predictors of SAM in a large cohort of consecutive patients, assess the rate of early reintervention on the MV to address SAM, and follow the progression of SAM postdischarge. Methods Analysis of electronically stored echocardiographic exams of adults who underwent MV repair in a recent decade. Results Following MV repair, the incidence of SAM immediately after cardiopulmonary bypass was 13% (98 of 761 patients). Multivariable analysis revealed several preoperative risk factors of SAM development and progression, including a lower ratio of anterior to posterior leaflets heights, younger age, lower end-systolic left ventricular volume, presence of bileaflet prolapse, and male sex. SAM was managed conservatively in 91 patients (93%) and surgically in 7 patients (7%). In a majority of patients (70 of 98 patients [71%]) SAM resolved before hospital discharge. Conclusions Transesophageal echocardiography findings associated with SAM were excessive height of posterior to anterior mitral leaflet, smaller left ventricular end-systolic volume, and bileaflet prolapse. Conservative management of SAM was usually successful, and persistent hemodynamically significant SAM was uncommon. Prophylactic modification of the surgical technique to avoid SAM seems unnecessary for all but those at highest risk for developing SAM.

Aim. Comparative analysis of the effectiveness of keratotopography methods and classical Norn’s test in assessing the stability of the tear film (TF) in patients with myopia before photorefractive surgery. Methods. The study involved 26 patients. All of them were planned for keratorefractive surgery to correct myopic refraction and astigmatism. Their age averaged 32.5±14.5 years (18-47 years). The stability of pre-corneal tear film was assessed using computed keratotopography and Norn’s test - the tear film rupture time (TFRT) was determined. A standard questionnaire was also used to assess the severity of symptoms of dry eye syndrome (DES). A comparison was made of the indicators of tear film, stability obtained by the methods of keratotopography and Norn’s test, with their subsequent comparison with the data of the questionnaire. Results. In 17 patients (65.4 %), TFRT index corresponded to the age norm. In the remaining 9 people (34.6 %), indicators of tear film stability were reduced both by keratotopography (12±4 sec) and by Norn’s test (13.5± 4.5 sec), and there were also subjective signs of dry eye syndrome according to questionnaire data. The data turned out to be comparable. Conclusion. The incidence of impaired stability of the TF and subjective manifestations of DES among patients planned for keratorefractive surgery for myopia and myopic astigmatism was significant and, according to our data, made 34.6 %. To prevent complicated postoperative course of photorefractive surgery, it is necessary to assess the condition of the ocular surface immediately before refractive surgery, to identify the risk group for DES development. Key words: dry eye syndrome; tear film; keratotopography; Norn’s test; tear film rupture time.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS To identify factors that may increase the risk of unplanned admission following elective outpatient endoscopic sinonasal surgery (ESS). STUDY DESIGN Retrospective analysis of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP). METHODS All cases of ESS were extracted from the 2010 to 2018 NSQIP database using Current Procedural Terminology codes. Only cases coded as outpatient, elective, and nonemergent procedures were included. Unplanned admissions were defined as cases with a total hospital stay of 1 day or more. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify variables that independently predicted unanticipated admission. RESULTS A total of 971 cases met inclusion criteria, of which 274 (28.2%) were unanticipated admissions. Patients in the unplanned admission group were more likely to be older (46.8 vs. 41.1 years, P

Prolonged postoperative mechanical ventilation (PPMV) increases length of stay, hospitalization costs, and postoperative complications. Independent risk factors associated with PPMV are not well-known for children.We identified children (18 years) in the ACS NSQIP-P database who underwent a general surgical abdominal operation. We excluded children with preoperative ventilator dependence and mortality within 48 h of surgery. PPMV was defined as cumulative postoperative mechanical ventilation exceeding 72 h. A multivariable logistic regression model identified independent predictors of PPMV.We identified 108,392 children who underwent a general surgical abdominal operation in the ACS NSQIP-P database from 2012 to 2017. We randomly divided the population into a derivation cohort of 75,874(70%) and a validation cohort of 32,518(30%). In the derivation cohort, we identified PPMV in 1,643(2.2%). In the multivariable model, the strongest independent predictor of PPMV was neonatal age (OR:20.66; 95%CI:16.44-25.97). Other independent risk factors for PPMV were preoperative inotropic support (OR:10.56; 95%CI:7.56-14.77), an operative time longer than 150 min (OR:4.30; 95%CI:3.72-4.52), and an American Society of Anesthesiologists classification3 (OR:12.16; 95%CI:10.75-13.75).Independent preoperative risk factors for PPMV in children undergoing a general surgical operation were neonatal age, preoperative ionotropic support, duration of operation, and ASA classification3.

Study Objective To evaluate the diagnostic performance of a Volume and Solid Vascular Tissue Score (VSVTS) for preoperative risk assessment of pediatric and adolescent adnexal masses. Design A retrospective cohort study comprised of all female individuals who presented with an adnexal mass that was managed surgically between April 2011 and March 2016. Setting The Hospital for Sick Children (Toronto, Ontario, Canada). Participants Female individuals 1–18 years of age who presented to a large tertiary pediatric hospital with an adnexal mass that was managed surgically. Main Outcome Measures Main outcome measures included diagnostic performance of the VSVTS for malignancy via sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (LR+), negative likelihood ratio (LR−), and receiver operating characteristic area-under-the-curve (AUC) analysis. Results A total of 179 masses in 169 subjects were included. The malignancy rate was 10.6%. The AUC for the VSTVS was 0.919. A VSTVS cut-off value of 4 achieved a sensitivity of 79% (95% CI 0.54-0.93), specificity of 88% (95% CI 0.82-0.93), PPV of 0.44 (95% CI 0.33-0.56), NPV of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94-0.99), LR+ of 6.77 (95% CI 4.18-10.97), and LR− of 0.24 (95% CI 0.10-0.57). Conclusions A sonographic scoring system based on the volume and presence of solid vascular tissue improves PPV for preoperative risk stratification of adnexal masses in the pediatric and adolescent population compared to existing ultrasound-only approaches. Further prospective research is needed to determine how best to incorporate components of such scoring systems into clinical management algorithms.

The available data on outcomes after transfemoral carotid artery stenting (TFCAS) originate from the early experience with TFCAS. Although most previous studies stratified outcomes according to a symptomatic or asymptomatic presentation, they often did not specify the degree of presenting neurologic injury. We previously reported that the outcomes after carotid endarterectomy differed according to neurologic injury severity, the contemporary perioperative outcomes of TFCAS stratified by the specific presenting symptom status are unknown.Patients with data in the Vascular Quality Initiative database who had undergone TFCAS from 2016 to 2020 were included. We stratified patients according to their preprocedural symptom status as asymptomatic, formerly symptomatic (last symptoms180 days before the procedure), or recently symptomatic (symptoms 180 days before the procedure). The symptoms included stroke, hemispheric transient ischemic attack (TIA), and ocular TIA. We compared the occurrence of in-hospital stroke or death (stroke/death) among the asymptomatic, formerly symptomatic, and specific subtypes of recently symptomatic patients. Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to adjust for the baseline differences among the groups.Of the 9807 included patients, 2650 (27%) had had recent stroke, 842 (9%), recent hemispheric TIA, and 360 (4%), recent ocular TIA. In addition, 795 patients (8%) were formerly symptomatic and 5160 (53%) were asymptomatic. The patients with recent stroke had a perioperative stroke/death rate of 5.5%, higher than that of patients with recent hemispheric TIA (2.4%; P .001) or recent ocular TIA (2.8%; P = .03) and asymptomatic patients (1.4%; P .001). The stroke/death rate was greater for patients with recent ocular TIA than for asymptomatic patients (2.8% vs 1.4%; P = .04). Formerly symptomatic patients had higher stroke/death rates compared with asymptomatic patients (3.5% vs 1.4%; P .001). On multivariable-adjusted analysis, recent stroke was associated with higher stroke/death compared with recent hemispheric TIA (odds ratio [OR], 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-4.3; P .001) and asymptomatic status (OR, 4.1; 95% CI, 3.0-5.6; P .001) and demonstrated a trend toward higher stroke/death compared with recent ocular TIA (OR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.0-3.9; P = .06). Furthermore, asymptomatic status was associated with lower stroke/death compared with formerly symptomatic status (OR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6; P .001).For patients undergoing TFCAS, recent stroke was associated with greater odds of in-hospital stroke/death after TFCAS compared with recent hemispheric TIA. Also, formerly symptomatic status was associated with greater odds of stroke/death compared with asymptomatic status. These findings support further symptom stratification by the degree of the presenting neurologic injury in the preoperative risk assessment.

Biliary atresia is managed surgically by the Kasai portoenterostomy (KP). It has been reported by some groups that the outcomes of patients who have an early failed KP requiring a liver transplant (LTx) within the first year of life are worse than the outcomes of patients who undergo a primary LTx. The aim of this study was to identify preoperative parameters that could help predict what patients are at risk for the early failure of the procedure. We conducted a retrospective chart review of all patients who underwent a KP between January 2008 and May 2018. The following preoperative parameters were analyzed: age at KP, anatomical variant of the biliary atresia, degree of liver fibrosis, CMV status, and PELD score. The main outcome of the study was the early failure of the KP (EF-K), which was defined as the need for LTx before 1 year of age, or BA-related death before 1 year of age. Second, we analyzed the risk factors associated with death without LTx within the first year of life. A total of 58 patients were included in the analysis. The native liver survival (NLS) was 56.5% and 48% at 1 and 5 years post KP, respectively. Overall survival (OS) was 79% and 76% at 1 and 5 years post KP, respectively. Early failure of KP occurred in 23 (39.7%) patients. OS in this group was 47% and 40% at 1 and 5 years, respectively. On the contrary, the OS of the remaining 35 (60.3%) patients was 100% at 1 and 5 years (P 4, and the PELD score. Nevertheless, on multivariate analysis, only PELD score was found as a statistically significant variable. Due to bad prognosis found in EF-K patients, we believe that it could be reasonable to offer them a primary LTx. PELD score was found to be the strongest preoperative parameter that allows predicting which patient will likely have an early failed KP. Further prospective and multicenter studies are needed to reinforce these results.

Introduction The Waterlow score (WS) is used routinely in clinical practice to assess risk of pressure sore development. Recent studies have also suggested its use in preoperative risk stratification. The primary aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the current evidence on the WS in predicting morbidity and mortality in surgical patients. Methods A systematic review was carried out in accordance with PRISMA and SWiM guidelines. A search strategy was conducted on the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases. Quality was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa scale. Findings Overall, 72 papers were identified, of which 7 met inclusion criteria for full text review, and 4 were included for analysis. All studies were cohort in nature and published between 2013 and 2016, encompassing a total of 505 surgical patients. The studies included general, vascular, transplant and orthopaedic surgery. A high WS was demonstrated to have statistically significant association with increased morbidity and mortality as well as need for intensive care unit admission and length of stay. Furthermore, this was a more accurate predictor compared with the P-POSSUM and ASA scoring systems used currently in routine practice. Conclusions The WS is a promising tool for risk stratification of surgical patients. It is already collected routinely by nursing staff throughout hospitals in the UK and would therefore be easy to implement. However, further large prospective studies are required in order to validate these findings prior to its establishment for this role in everyday surgical practice.

INTRODUCTION Despite increasing reports of laparoscopy for strangulated small bowel obstruction (SSBO), there is no consensus on outcomes in patients with SSBO. We evaluated the safety and utility of laparoscopy for SSBO and investigated the preoperative risk factors for laparotomy. METHODS This retrospective study included 107 patients who underwent emergency surgery for SSBO over a period of 6 years. Patients' characteristics and surgical parameters were compared between 27 patients undergoing laparoscopy alone (group L) and 80 patients undergoing laparotomy (group O, including conversion). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine risk factors for laparotomy. RESULTS Compared with group L, group O had significantly shorter operation time (59 vs 115 minutes, P

Machine learning models used to predict postoperative mortality rarely include intraoperative factors. Several intraoperative factors like hypotension (IOH), vasopressor-inotropes, and cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time are significantly associated with postoperative outcomes. The authors explored the ability of machine learning models incorporating intraoperative risk factors to predict mortality after cardiac surgery.Retrospective study.Tertiary hospital.A total of 5,015 adults who underwent cardiac surgery from 2008 to 2016.None.The intraoperative phase was divided into the following: (1) CPB, (2) outside CPB, and (3) total surgery for quantifying IOH only. Phase-specific IOH parameters (area under the curve for mean arterial pressure65 mmHg), vasopressor-inotropes (norepinephrine equivalents), duration, and cross-clamp time, along with preoperative risk factors ,were incorporated into the models. The primary outcome was mortality. The following 5 models were applied to 3 intraoperative phases separately: (1) logistic regression, (2) random forests, (3) neural networks, (4) support vector machines, and (5) extreme gradient boosting (XGB). Mortality was predicted using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Of 5,015 patients included, 112 (2.2%) died. XGB model from the outside-CPB phase predicted mortality better with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.88(0.83-0.94); positive predictive value, 0.10(0.06-0.15); specificity 0.85 (0.83-0.87) and sensitivity 0.75 (0.57-0.90).XGB machine learning model from IOH outside the CPB phase seemed to offer a better discrimination, sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value compared with other models. Machine learning models incorporating intraoperative adverse factors might offer better predictive ability for risk stratification and triaging of patients after cardiac surgery.

Background In patients with early hepatocellular cancer (HCC) and preserved liver function, the choice between transplantation, resection and ablation and which factors to consider is not obvious and guidelines differ. In this national cohort study, we aimed to compare posttreatment survival in patients fulfilling predefined criteria, and to analyse preoperative risk factors that could influence decision. Methods We used data from HCC-patients registered with primary transplantation, resection or ablation 2008–2016 in the SweLiv-registry. In Child A-subgroups, 18–75 years, we compared survival after transplantation or resection, with different tumour criteria; either corresponding to our transplantation criteria (N = 257) or stricter with single tumours ≤50 mm (N = 159). A subgroup with single tumours ≤30 mm, compared all three treatments (N = 193). Results We included 1022 HCC-patients; transplantation n = 223, resection n = 438, ablation n = 361. In the transplant criteria subgroup, differences in five-year survival, adjusted for age and gender, were not significant, with 71.2% (CI 62.3–81.3) after transplantation (n = 109) and 63.5% (CI 54.9–73.5) after resection (n = 148). Good liver function (Child 5 vs. 6, Albumin ≥36), increased the risk after transplantation, but decreased the risk after resection and ablation. Conclusion Even within Child A, detailed liver function assessment is important before treatment decision, and for stratifying survival comparisons.

Introduction: Preoperative risk stratification is crucial for clinical treatment of endometrial cancer (EC). This study aimed to establish a model based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical factors for risk classification of EC. Materials and Methods: A total of 102 patients with pathologically proven Stage I EC were included. Preoperative MRI examinations were performed in all the patients. 720 radiomic features were extracted from T2-weighted images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was performed to reduce irrelevant features. Logistic regression was used to build clinical, radiomic and combined predictive models. A nomogram was developed for clinical application. Results: The radiomic model has a better performance than the model based on clinical and conventional MRI characteristics [AUC of 0.946 (95% CI: 0.882-0.973) vs AUC of 0.756 (95% CI: 0.65, 0.86)]. The combined model consisting of radiomic features and tumor size showed the best predictive performance in the training cohort with AUC of 0.955 in the training and 0.889 in the validation cohorts. Conclusions: MRI-based radiomic model has great potential in prediction of low-risk ECs.

Background: Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy (LDP) is a challenging operation due to technical complexity and tumor-related factors. Aim of this study was to identify preoperative risk factors affecting LDP difficulty. Methods: Consecutive patients who underwent LDP between 2015 and 2018 at San Raffaele Hospital and Policlinico S.Orsola-Malpighi Hospital were enrolled retrospectively. Three variables were used to define surgical difficulty: conversion to open, duration of surgery >3rd quartile and intraoperative blood loss >3rd quartile. The presence of ≥1 of these 3 variables was considered as another measure of difficulty. Results: Overall, 191 patients were included. Conversion to open was required in 25 patients (13%). At multiple regression analysis, tumor proximity to major vessels was the only independent predictor of conversion from laparoscopic to open (p < 0.001). No variables independently predicted an excessive duration of surgery. Male gender (p = 0.033) and increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line (p = 0.018) were independent predictors of excessive blood loss. Increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line (p = 0.014) and tumor proximity to major vessels (p = 0.002) were significant risk factors for the presence of ≥1 outcome of surgical difficulty. Conclusion: Male gender, increasing parenchymal thickness at resection line and tumor proximity to major vessels represent preoperative risk factors of LDP difficulty.

BACKGROUND Pancreaticobiliary malignant diseases are primarily treated by surgical resection. However, the surgical indications for elderly patients, especially for pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), must be carefully considered due to patient compliance. Whether PD can contribute to better prognoses in elderly patients remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the complications, compliance, and survival of elderly and non-elderly patients who underwent PD in our department. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 282 patients who underwent PD from 2000 to 2017 and divided them into non-elderly (aged ≤ 79 years, n = 238) and elderly (aged ≥ 80 years, n = 44) groups. The estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress (E-PASS) system was used to evaluate morbidity and mortality using preoperative risk score (PRS), surgical stress score (SSS), and comprehensive risk score (CRS). RESULTS Preoperative risk score was higher in the elderly group than in the non-elderly group, although SSS and CRS were similar. No significant differences were detected in the occurrence of postoperative complications. In the elderly group, CRS was higher in patients with complications than in those without. Long-term outcomes evaluated by overall and disease-specific survival were not significantly different. CONCLUSIONS In the elderly patients, E-PASS especially CRS can predict the occurrence of complications. The safety and prognoses of elderly patients after PD are comparable with those of non-elderly patients.

Cognitive impairment (CI) is common in geriatric patients. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and impact of CI on outcomes in geriatric patients undergoing emergency general surgery (EGS).We performed a (2017-2018) prospective analysis of patients (age ≥65y) who underwent EGS. Cognition was assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). Patients were stratified into: CI (MoCA score26) and no-CI (MoCA≥26). Outcomes were the prevalence of CI, in-hospital complications, discharged to rehab/skilled nursing facility (SNF), and mortality.A total of 142 patients were enrolled. Overall prevalence of CI was 20%. Patients with CI had higher rates of complications (OR 1.6 [1.4-1.9]; p = 0.01), and discharge to rehab/SNF (OR 2.2 [2.0-2.5]; p = 0.03). There was no difference in mortality (OR 1.1 [0.6-1.8]; p = 0.24) between the 2 groups.One in five geriatric EGS patients has CI. It is associated with higher complications and adverse discharge. Cognitive assessment should be included in preoperative risk stratification.

Coronary artery disease is one of the commonest surgery demanding cardiovascular diseases. Coronary artery bypass graft surgery is practiced all over the world for the treatment of coronary artery disease. Systemic trauma during the surgery is associated with a wide range of complications, some of which are fatal. Preoperative risk factors such as age, previous illness and obesity are common predictors of these adverse events. Advances in therapeutic medicine have allowed timely treatment of these adverse events and co-morbidities. This review summarizes some of the most occurring complications associated with coronary artery bypass graft and corresponding treatment options.

Aim To explore the potentiality of radiomics analysis, performed on 68Ga-DOTATOC and fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/computed tomography (CT) images, in predicting tumour aggressiveness and outcome in patients candidate to surgery for pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (PanNENs). Patients and methods Retrospective study including 61 patients who underwent 68Ga-DOTATOC and 18F-FDG PET/CT before surgery for PanNEN. Semiquantitative variables [SUVmax and somatostatin receptor density (SRD) for 68Ga-DOTATOC PET; SUVmax and MTV for 18F-FDG PET] and texture features [intensity variability, size zone variability (SZV), zone percentage, entropy; homogeneity, dissimilarity and coefficient of variation (Co-V)] have been analysed to evaluate their possible role in predicting tumour characteristics. Principal component analysis (PCA) was firstly performed and then multiple regression analyses were performed by using the extracted principal components. Results Regarding 68Ga-DOTATOC PET, SZV, entropy, intensity variability and SRD were predictive for tumour dimension. Regarding 18F-FDG PET, intensity variability, SZV, homogeneity, SUVmax and MTV were predictive for tumour dimension. Four principal components were extracted from PCA: PC1 correlated with all 18F-FDG variables, while PC2, PC3 and PC4 with 68Ga-DOTATOC variables. PC1 was the only significantly predicting angioinvasion (P = 0.0222); PC4 was the only one significantly predicting lymph nodal involvement (P = 0.0151). All principal components except PC4 significantly predicted tumour dimension (P

With increasing prevalence of chronic diseases, multimorbid patients have become commonplace in the neurosurgical intensive care unit (neuro-ICU), offering unique management challenges. By reducing physiological reserve and interacting with one another, chronic comorbidities pose a greatly enhanced risk of major postoperative medical complications, especially cardiopulmonary complications, which ultimately exert a negative impact on neurosurgical outcomes. These premises underscore the importance of perioperative optimization, in turn requiring a thorough preoperative risk stratification, a basic understanding of a multimorbid patient’s deranged physiology and a proper appreciation of the potential of surgery, anesthesia and neurocritical care interventions to exacerbate comorbid pathophysiologies. This knowledge enables neurosurgeons, neuroanesthesiologists and neurointensivists to function with a heightened level of vigilance in the care of these high-risk patients and can inform the perioperative neuro-ICU management with individualized strategies able to minimize the risk of untoward outcomes. This review highlights potential pitfalls in the intra- and postoperative neuro-ICU period, describes common preoperative risk stratification tools and discusses tailored perioperative ICU management strategies in multimorbid neurosurgical patients, with a special focus on approaches geared toward the minimization of postoperative cardiopulmonary complications and unplanned reintubation.

Background Proximal interphalangeal joint (PIPJ) arthrodesis can provide reliable pain relief and restore hand function in patients with PIPJ arthritis. However, there is a paucity of literature on patient-specific preoperative risk factors that are associated with adverse outcomes after PIPJ arthrodeses. Therefore, the primary purpose of this study was to assess preoperative predictors of nonunion and reoperation after PIPJ arthrodesis. Methods This study identified all patients who underwent PIPJ arthrodesis at a single community practice between 1987 and 2013. The final analysis included 415 PIPJs treated with arthrodesis. The mean follow-up was 1.3 years. Data on preoperative diagnosis, demographics, comorbidities, and operative techniques were recorded, as well as the occurrence of nonunions and reoperations. Logistic regression models were used to identify independent risk factors of nonunion and reoperation. Results There were 40 nonunions (10%) and 62 reoperations (15%). Of the reoperations, there were 39 incidences of isolated hardware removal, 9 irrigation and debridement, 8 amputations, 5 revision arthrodeses, and 1 corrective osteotomy. The highest number of nonunions occurred in the traumatic diagnosis group (37%), followed by the rheumatoid group (23%) and the scleroderma group (15%). The highest number of reoperations occurred within the traumatic joint disorder group (40%), followed by the rheumatoid group (24%) and the scleroderma group (11%). Multivariate analysis revealed that male sex ( P < .01) and hepatic disease ( P = .03) were significant risk factors of nonunion. Male sex was also significantly associated with increased reoperation risk ( P < .01). Conclusion Risks of nonunions and reoperations after PIPJ arthrodeses are low; however, these findings may guide clinicians and patients in the preoperative decision-making process and help with targeted postoperative surveillance to mitigate these risks.

Purpose To present a statistically validated risk classification system for intraoperative complications in cataract surgery. Setting 2nd Department of Ophthalmology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece. Design Prospective observational study. Methods All patients underwent phacoemulsification surgery by experienced, high-volume surgeons for cases with intraoperative complications. The presence of several risk factors was statistically assessed with the help of multiple correspondence analysis to determine the more reliable rank categorization for severity and to calculate a total risk score. Results This study included 1572 consecutive patients. The proposed system had 3 risk groups and a no-risk group and had high statistical reliability. A comparison of this system against a previously asserted empirical system showed higher internal reliability. Conclusions Previous efforts to construct a risk classification system for intraoperative complications in cataract surgery have been empirically defined and tested against practice-as-usual. The system in this study quantified risk more accurately and provided an experienced clinician with a reliable means of assessing the preoperational likelihood of intraoperative complications.

This study was conducted to evaluate preoperative risk factors for development of complications of percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL). All consecutive patients aged ≥ 16 years who underwent PCNL during 2015 were retrospectively reviewed. Non-contrast CT (NCCT) was performed for all patients to evaluate stone complexity. The technique of PCNL was the same for all patients. Intra-operative and postoperative complications were recorded and classified based on modified Clavien system. The differences in preoperative data (patients, renal and stone characteristics including Guy’s and STONE scores) between complicated and uncomplicated cases were compared using univariate and multivariate statistical analyses for detection of independent risk factors. The study included 1178 patients (61% were males). Mean age was 50 ± 12 years, and mean BMI was 30.7 ± 5.7 kg/m2. Complicated group included 166 patients (14.1%). Independent risk factors on multivariate analysis were infected preoperative urine culture (RR: 2.098, P 0.001, 95%CI: 1.380–3.189), largest stones diameter 30 mm or more (RR: 2.481, P > 0.001, 95%CI: 1.697–3.627) and number of calyces affected by the stones (RR: 2.431, P 0.002, 95%CI: 1.400–4.222 for affection of two calyces and RR: 2.778, P 0.005, 95%CI: 1.357–5.684 for affection of three calyces). While two scoring systems (Guy’s and STONE) were not predictive of complications after PCNL, preoperative risk factors were infected preoperative urine culture, distribution of the stones or stone branches in two or three calyceal groups and stone size 30 mm or more.

Background Although most conventional risk prediction models have been based on preoperative information, intra- and post-operative events may be more relevant to mortality after surgery. We sought to develop a mortality risk calculator based on real time characteristics associated with hepatectomy. Methods Patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2014 and 2017 were identified in the ACS-NSQIP dataset. Three prediction models (pre-, intra-, post-operative) were developed and validated using perioperative data. Results Among 14,720 patients, 197 (1.3%) experienced 30-day mortality. The predictive ability of the real-time mortality risk calculator was very good based on only preoperative factors (AUC; training cohort: 0.813, validation cohort: 0.731). Incorporating intra-operative variables into the model increased the AUC (training: 0.838, validation: 0.777), while the post-operative model achieved an AUC of 0.922 in the training and 0.885 in the validation cohorts, respectively. While patients with low preoperative risk had only very small fluctuations in the estimated 30-day mortality risk during the intraoperative (Δ0.4%) and postoperative (Δ0.6%) phases, patients who were already deemed high risk preoperatively had additional increased mortality risk based on factors that occurred in the intraoperative (Δ5.4%) and postoperative (Δ9.3%) periods. Conclusion A real-time mortality risk calculator may better help clinicians identify patients at risk of death at the different stages of the surgical episode.

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: To discuss tear- and patient-related factors that influence the healing potential of rotator cuff tears and to clarify the terminology surrounding this topic. RECENT FINDINGS: Over the last few years, further insight has been gained regarding rotator cuff tear features that are associated with poor healing rates after rotator cuff repair. Some of these features have been incorporated in prediction models developed to accurately predict rotator cuff healing rates utilizing preoperative risk factors weighted by importance. SUMMARY: Rotator cuff tears may be considered functionally irreparable based on their size, chronicity, absence of adequate tendon length, atrophy, and fatty infiltration. Furthermore, advanced age, use of tobacco products, diabetes, and other patient-related factors may impair tendon healing. Careful analysis and discussion of all these factors with patients is essential to determine if surgical repair of a rotator cuff tear should be recommended, or if it is best to proceed with one of the several salvage procedures reviewed in this topical collection, including augmentation of the repair, superior capsular reconstruction, tendon transfers, and other.

Background Informed consent is an ethical imperative of surgical practice. This requires effective communication of procedural risks to patients and is learned during residency. No systematic review has yet examined current risk disclosure. This systematic review aims to use existing published information to assess preoperative provision of risk information by surgeons. Methods Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses as a guide, a standardized search in Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, CINHAL, and PubMed was performed. Three reviewers performed the study screening, with 2-reviewer consensus required at each stage. Studies containing objective information concerning preoperative risk provision in adult surgical patients were selected for inclusion. Studies exclusively addressing interventions for pediatric patients or trauma were excluded, as were studies addressing risks of anesthesia. Results The initial search returned 12,988 papers after deduplication, 33 of which met inclusion criteria. These studies primarily evaluated consent through surveys of providers, record reviews and consent recordings. The most ubiquitous finding of all study types was high levels of intra-surgeon variation in what risk information is provided to patients preoperatively. Studies recording consents found the lowest rates of risk disclosure. Studies using multiple forms of investigation corroborated this, finding disparity between verbally provided information vs chart documentation. Conclusions The wide variance in what information is provided to patients preoperatively inhibits the realization of the ethical and practical components of informed consent. The findings of this review indicate that significant opportunities exist for practice improvement. Future development of surgical communication tools and techniques should emphasize standardizing what risks are shared with patients.

Debate persists over whether surgery to correct pelvic organ prolapse (POP) should be combined with midurethral sling (MUS) insertion. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence of stress urinary incontinence (SUI) up to 12 months after transvaginal mesh surgery, with or without MUS, and to identify risk factors for postoperative SUI. This retrospective single-center study included patients who underwent transvaginal mesh surgery with Uphold™ between October 2010 and December 2017. The primary outcome was the prevalence of SUI at 12 months postoperatively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to identify risks factors for postoperative SUI. Of the 308 women included, 123 (40%) were continent (no SUI), 108 (35%) had SUI, and 76 (25%) had occult SUI. Forty-nine patients (15.9%) had a concomitant MUS procedure. At 12 months after surgery, 35.9% of patients without concomitant MUS had SUI vs 14.3% with (p = 0.003). Thirty-five patients (29%) developed de novo SUI. Postoperative complications were more common in patients with concomitant MUS (30.6% vs 17%; p = 0.003). The best predictor of postoperative SUI was the presence of preoperative SUI (OR 2.52 (1.25–5.09). Concomitant MUS (p

Early findings of superior total knee arthroplasty (TKA) outcomes at high volume centers have been thought to have led to distinct referral patterns. However, the effect of these selective referral processes has not been well assessed. Therefore, this study compared the characteristics of primary TKA patients at high, intermediate, and low volume hospitals.A total of 12,541 primary TKA patients were stratified into risk groups based on age (65 years), body mass index (40), and Charlson Comorbidity Index (≥4). Hospitals were classified as low, intermediate, or high volume based on mean annual TKA volumes (250, 250-499, and500). Multivariate logistic regression models evaluated the relationship between baseline patient characteristics and hospital volume.There was a greater percentage of high risk patients at high volume (19%, n = 853) compared to those at intermediate (16%, n = 899) or low volume (17%, n = 444) hospitals (P.001). Patients with a body mass index40 were more likely to be treated at high compared to intermediate (odds ratio [OR] 1.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-1.6, P.001) and low volume centers (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.7, P.001). Patients with Charlson Comorbidity Index scores ≥4 were also more likely be treated at high compared to intermediate (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3-1.6, P.001) or low (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.0-1.4, P = .002) volume centers.This study found that TKA patients at high volume centers have significantly different baseline characteristics compared to those at lower volume centers. This study highlights the importance of considering hospital volume status and the associated disparity in the preoperative risk of patients when comparing primary TKA outcomes between centers.

Many patients with sickle cell disease (SCD) need surgical management during their lifetime. The best approach for preoperative transfusion in SCD is still to be determined. In this single-center retrospective study, we included HBSS/HBS-Beta