1. A limited sampling strategy based on maximum a posteriori Bayesian estimation for a five-probe phenotyping cocktail
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Alain Pruvost, Thu Thuy Nguyen, Natacha Lenuzza, Henri Benech, Laboratoire d'analyse des données et d'intelligence des systèmes (LADIS), Département Métrologie Instrumentation & Information (DM2I), Laboratoire d'Intégration des Systèmes et des Technologies (LIST), Direction de Recherche Technologique (CEA) (DRT (CEA)), Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Direction de Recherche Technologique (CEA) (DRT (CEA)), Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université Paris-Saclay-Laboratoire d'Intégration des Systèmes et des Technologies (LIST), Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université Paris-Saclay, Laboratoire d'Etude du Métabolisme des Médicaments (LEMM), Service de Pharmacologie et Immunoanalyse (SPI), Médicaments et Technologies pour la Santé (MTS), Université Paris-Saclay-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)), Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Université Paris-Saclay-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)), Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Médicaments et Technologies pour la Santé (MTS), Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), CEA program 'Technologies pour la santé', Laboratoire d'Intégration des Systèmes et des Technologies (LIST (CEA)), and Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université Paris-Saclay-Laboratoire d'Intégration des Systèmes et des Technologies (LIST (CEA))
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PHARMACOKINETICS ,PREDICTION ,CYP1A2 ,Pilot Projects ,Dextromethorphan ,030226 pharmacology & pharmacy ,Bayes' theorem ,Maximum a posteriori Bayesian estimation ,0302 clinical medicine ,Statistics ,Drug Interactions ,Pharmacology (medical) ,Mathematics ,[STAT.AP]Statistics [stat]/Applications [stat.AP] ,Bayes estimator ,education.field_of_study ,PLASMA ,DRIED BLOOD SPOTS ,Sampling (statistics) ,General Medicine ,MIDAZOLAM ,3. Good health ,Phenotype ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Outlier ,MIXED EFFECTS MODELS ,symbols ,Omeprazole ,Tolbutamide ,Bayesian probability ,Population ,Models, Biological ,03 medical and health sciences ,symbols.namesake ,[SDV.SP.MED]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Pharmaceutical sciences/Medication ,Caffeine ,Maximum a posteriori estimation ,Humans ,Computer Simulation ,Phenotyping cocktail ,Fisher information ,education ,DRUG DEVELOPMENT ,Pharmacology ,CYTOCHROME-P450 ,Bayes Theorem ,[INFO.INFO-MO]Computer Science [cs]/Modeling and Simulation ,Nonlinear mixed effect models ,Limited sampling strategy ,HEALTHY-VOLUNTEERS - Abstract
International audience; Purpose: Cocktail approach using a combination of probes to phenotype several cytochromes P450 or transporters is of high interest in anticipating drug-drug interactions and personalized medicine. Its clinical use remains however limited by the intensive sampling scheme required to obtain phenotyping indexes (PI) which consists in calculating the area under the concentration-time curves. We proposed to use maximum a posteriori Bayesian estimation (MAPBE) that incorporates available information from the whole population to derive PI from a few individual observations. The performance of a limited sampling strategy (LSS) based on MAPBE was evaluated for a five-probe cocktail. Methods: The studied cocktail included midazolam, tolbutamide, caffeine, dextromethorphan, omeprazole and their relevant metabolites. Prior information for MAPBE was obtained by nonlinear mixed-effect modelling of data from a pilot study. Sampling times were chosen based on optimal design theory using the Bayesian Fisher information matrix. Through a simulation study, we investigated the predicted PI in terms of bias and imprecision for varying number and timing of samples. Results: Some three-point Bayesian designs gave mean prediction errors in [-5 %, 5 %], root mean square errors below 30 % for all probes, except dextromethorphan whose model should be consolidated further with additional data. This approach gave overall less outlier predicted values than single-point metrics and was more flexible to the timing of the latest sampling. Conclusions: MAPBE is accurate for predicting simultaneously several PI while being flexible in terms of integrating clinical constraints. Therefore, LSS based on MAPBE could help reduce the time of presence in hospital for individuals to be phenotyped.
- Published
- 2015
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