1. Preventing iatrogenic HCV infection: A quantitative risk assessment based on observational data in an Egyptian hospital
- Author
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Paul Henriot, Wagida Anwar, Maha El Gaafary, Samia Abdo, Mona Rafik, Wafaa Hussein, Dalia Sos, Isis Magdy, Kevin Jean, and Laura Temime
- Abstract
When compliance with infection control recommendations is non-optimal, hospitals may play an important role in hepatitis C (HCV) transmission. However, few studies have analysed HCV acquisition risk based on detailed empirical data in order to identify high-risk patient profiles or transmission hotspots. We used data from a prospective cohort study conducted on 500 patients in the internal medicine and surgery departments of Ain Shams hospital (Cairo, Egypt). We first performed a sequence analysis to describe patient trajectory profiles. Second, we estimated each patient individual risk of HCV acquisition based on ward-specific prevalence and procedures undergone. We then identified within-hospital risk hotspots by computing ward-level risks. A beta regression model was used to highlight upon-admission factors linked to HCV acquisition risk. Finally, ward-focused and patient-focused strategies were assessed for their ability to reduce HCV infection risk. Sequence analysis identified 4 distinct patient profiles. The estimated HCV acquisition risk varied widely between patients and patient profiles. The risk was found to be higher in the internal medicine hospital compared to the surgery hospital (median: 0.188% IQR [0.142%-0.235%] vs. 0.043%, CI 95%: [0.036%-0.050%]). Upon-admission risk predictors included source of admission, age, reason for hospitalization, and history of anti-schistosomiasis treatment, injection and endoscopy. Patient-focused interventions were found to be most effective to reduce HCV infection risk. Our results might help reduce the risk of HCV acquisition during hospitalisation in Egypt by targeting enhanced control measures to ward-level transmission hotspots and to at-risk patients identified upon admission.
- Published
- 2022
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