Search

RESUMEN La investigación muestra la complejidad de la relación entre la inversión minera, los conflictos sociales y los niveles de bienestar o pobreza alcanzados en las distintas regiones del Perú en el período 2007-2017 desarrollando un análisis dimensional per cápita sobre los datos de inversión minera real y potencial enseries de tiempo para estimar el bienestar a través del diferencial de pobreza extractiva aplicado a cada región. La investigación demuestra que no existe una correlación significativa entre inversión minera, conflictos y pobreza regional e identifica un conjunto de regiones diferenciadas donde la minería activa la cadena de valor regional con consecuencias económicas y sociales de mediano y largo plazo que requieren ser estudiadas de manera segmentada. ABSTRACT This research shows the complexity of the relationship between mining investment, social conflicts and levels of poverty in the different regions of Peru in the period 2007-2017 developing a per capita dimensional analysis on real and potential mining investment data in time series to estimate the extractive poverty differential applied to each region. The analytical results shows that there is no significant correlation between mining investment, conflicts and regional poverty and identifies a set of differentiated regions where mining activates the regional value chain with medium and long-term economic and social consequences that need to be studied in a segmented.

Coking coal has been on the European list of critical raw materials since 2014 due to its high economic importance and high supply risk. In 2017, coking coal narrowly missed passing the threshold of economic importance. However, out of caution, it remained on the list of critical raw materials, as the steel industry still needs it. It is likely to be phased out of the list below when it does not fully meet the required criteria. As there are no significant alternatives for this energy intensive industry and neither electrification nor material or energy efficiency improvements are yet available at a sufficient level of technological readiness, the European Union remains dependent on coking coal imports. Therefore, any coking coal mining project in Europe is of great importance and an important alternative to solving the problems of providing this raw material. In this study, the Dębieńsko coking coal project in Poland is analyzed using a scientifically proven methodology based on world-class analysis of coking coal projects submitted for financing to financial institutions.

Resource construction employment grew rapidly during the investment phase of the resources boom. However, both investment and employment in the resources sector peaked in 2013 and are expected to decline over coming years. A range of sources suggest that the earlier increase in resource construction employment largely drew on workers with experience in other types of construction, and that demand for their skills from other sectors is expected to be relatively strong in coming years. As a consequence, resource construction workers are generally expected to be able to find employment outside of the resources sector.

Investment by the Australian resources sector has risen steadily since the early 2000s to be at record levels. Most of the investment has been made by publicly listed companies, with contributions split evenly between Australian and foreign listed companies. The funding for this investment has overwhelmingly come from the profits generated by these companies. External funding sources, such as new debt and equity issuance, have played only a limited role.

Business investment is a key driver of economic growth and is currently around record highs in Australia as a share of GDP. In compiling forecasts for business investment, the Reserve Bank uses a variety of different indicators, including information from liaison as well as survey measures of firms’ investment intentions. The most comprehensive survey is the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) quarterly survey of Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure (Capex survey). While firms’ expectations of capital expenditure from the Capex survey are a useful guide for forecasting business investment, the relatively large forecast errors suggest that the Capex expectations data should be used in conjunction with other sources of information

Tez (Yüksek Lisans) -- İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, 2007, Thesis (M.Sc.) -- İstanbul Technical University, Institute of Science and Technology, 2007, Bu tez çalışmasında, teknolojinin ilerlemesiyle birlikte özellikle ulaştırma, inşaat ve ambalaj sektörlerinde kullanımı her geçen gün artan ve 21. yüzyılın vazgeçilmez metali haline gelen Alüminyum metalinin elde edildiği boksit madenciliği yatırımlarının risk analizi yapılmıştır. Uygulama sahası olarak ta, ülkemiz en büyük boksit rezervlerinin bulunduğu Seydişehir bölgesi seçilmiş olup, halen bölgede devam eden yatırımlardan biri olan Doğankuzu boksit madeni sahası ele alınmıştır. Yapılan değerlendirmeler ve hesaplamalar sonucunda; Al2O3 tenörü %57,98 olan 3.755.000 ton rezerve sahip Doğankuzu boksit madeninin açık işletme yöntemiyle işletileceği ve işletme süresinin 19 yıl olacağı anlaşılmıştır. Tüm maliyetler göz önüne alınarak iki ayrı durum için iki farklı nakit akış tablosu düzenlenmiştir. Birinci durumda, toplam yatırım tutarının %100 özsermaye ile karşılanacağı, böylece yatırımın net bugünkü değerinin (NBD) %15 indirgeme oranı ile 31.102.530 $, iç karlılık oranının (İKO) %24,90 ve geri ödeme süresinin (GÖS) ise 7,17 yıl olacağı hesaplanmıştır. İkinci durumda ise toplam yatırım tutarının %50 özsermaye + %50 banka kredisi ile karşılanacağı öngörülmüştür bu durumunda ise yatırımın net bugünkü değerinin yine aynı indirgeme oranı ile 18.907.839 $, iç karlılık oranının %21,15 ve geri ödeme süresinin ise 9,50 yıl olacağı anlaşılmıştır. Yapılan risk analizlerinde ise, simülasyonlar sonucunda; NBD’lerin pozitif olma (0’dan büyük) ve 30 milyon $’dan büyük olma olasılıklarının birinci durumda sırasıyla 0,716 ve 0,422, ikinci durumda ise yine sırasıyla 0,630 ve 0,376 olduğu ortaya çıkmıştır. Benzer şekilde İKO’ların %15’den büyük olma olasılığı birinci durum için 0,81 ve ikinci durum için 0,69, GÖS’lerin ise 10 yıldan küçük olma olasılıkları birinci ve ikinci durum için sırasıyla 0,890 ve 0,838 olarak bulunmuştur., In this thesis, the risk analysis of a bauxite deposit is carried out which Aluminum metal is produced and used heavily in transportation and construction industry in the 21st century. As an example study Dogankuzu bauxite deposit, located in Seydisehir area evaluated, which is the one of biggest bauxite reserve in Turkey is economically. After the evaluation, it is found that Dogankuzu bauxite reserve contains 3.755.000 tonnes of %57.98 Al2O3 and the ore body can be mined in 19 years. For 2 different cases, 2 different cash flow schemes prepared. In the first one, 100% of total investment is financed from company’s own resources and in the second, %50 will be from the internally generated funds and the rest will be depth financed. In the first case, NPV is $ 31.102.530 (at %15 discount rate), IRR is %24.90 and a PP is 7.17 years. As the investment is supported by the bank credit, the NPV calculated as $ 18.907.839, IRR as %21.15 and a payback period as 9.50 years. In the risk analysis, by using Monte Carlo simulations, the probability of NVP to be positive is 0,716 and exceeding 30 million $ is found as 0.422 for the first case, and 0,630 and 0,376 respectively for the second case. Similarly, the probability of IRR are to be higher than %15 are 0.81 and 0.69 for the first and second cases. Another evaluation showed that the probabilities for the PP to be less than 10 years are 0.890 and 0.838., Yüksek Lisans, M.Sc.