Search

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of the so-called heatwaves with a trend that is expected to worsen in the next years due to global warming. The growing intensity and duration of these extreme weather events are leading to a significant number of power system failures, especially in urban areas. This is drastically affecting the reliability and normal operation of power distribution grids around the world, with high financial costs and huge negative impacts on people's life. Typically, the response to these failure events is approached by post-event analysis, aimed at identifying the grid areas that require resources to increase the resilience of the system and prevent future outages. Nevertheless, understanding the nature of heatwaves and forecasting their impact on power distribution systems can be useful to anticipate them and accelerate a reaction, possibly avoiding negative impacts on power systems and customers. In this study, a structured method to predict distribution grid disruptions caused by heatwaves is defined. The proposed method relies on machine learning to analyze previous failure data and forecast power grid outages using operational and meteorological information. The method is evaluated using real failure data from a large power distribution network located in southern Italy.

This article proposes a novel methodology for multistage, multiproduct, multi-item, and closed-loop Supply Chain Network (SCN) design under uncertainty. The method considers that multiple products are manufactured by the SCN, each composed by multiple items, and that some of the sold products may require repair, refurbishing, or remanufacturing activities. We solve the two main decisions that take place in the medium-/short-term planning horizon, namely partners’ selection and allocation of the received orders among them. The partners’ selection problem is solved by a cross-efficiency fuzzy Data Envelopment Analysis technique, which allows evaluating the efficiency of each SCN member and ranking them against multiple conflicting objectives under uncertain data on their performance. Then, according to the estimated customers’ demand, the order allocation problem is solved by a fuzzy bargaining game problem, where each SCN actor behaves to simultaneously maximize both its own profit and the service level of the overall SCN in terms of efficiency, costs, and lead time. An illustrative example from the literature is finally presented. Note to Practitioners —We present a decision tool to address the optimal design, performance evaluation, and continuous improvement of modern cooperative SCNs. We propose an effective method to jointly solve the members’ selection and the orders’ allocation, considering the complex structure of modern SCNs, the multiobjective nature of the problems, and the uncertainty characterizing economic markets. Competition within SCNs stages and cooperation along the chain are considered, with the aim to improve both financial and environmental sustainability, while ensuring the highest service levels to customers.

This paper proposes a stochastic non-linear model predictive controller to support policy-makers in determining robust optimal non-pharmaceutical strategies to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic waves. First, a time-varying SIRCQTHE epidemiological model is defined to get predictions on the pandemic dynamics. A stochastic model predictive control problem is then formulated to select the necessary control actions (i.e., restrictions on the mobility for different socio-economic categories) to minimize the socio-economic costs. In particular, considering the uncertainty characterizing this decision-making process, we ensure that the capacity of the healthcare system is not violated in accordance with a chance constraint approach. The effectiveness of the presented method in properly supporting the definition of diversified non-pharmaceutical strategies for tackling the COVID-19 spread is tested on the network of Italian regions using real data. The proposed approach can be easily extended to cope with other countries' characteristics and different levels of the spatial scale. Postprint accepted for pubblication in IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering (T-ASE) How to cite: P. Scarabaggio, R. Carli, G. Cavone, N. Epicoco and M. Dotoli, (2021) "Non-Pharmaceutical Stochastic Optimal Control Strategies to Mitigate the COVID-19 Spread," in IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering. DOI: http://doi.org/10.1109/TASE.2021.3111338 © 2021 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.

One of the key enabling technologies that has made Industry 4.0 a concrete reality is without doubt collaborative robotics, which is also evolving as a fundamental pillar of the next revolution, the so-called Industry 5.0. The improvement of safety and employees' well-being, together with the increment of profitability and productivity, are indeed the main goals of human-robot collaboration (HRC) in the industrial setting. The robotic controller design and the analysis of existing decision and control techniques are crucially needed to develop innovative models and state-of-the-art methodologies for a safe, ergonomic, and efficient HRC. To this aim, this article presents an accurate review of the most recent and relevant papers in the related field, focusing on the control perspective. All the surveyed works are carefully selected and categorized by target (i.e., safety, ergonomics, and efficiency), and then by problem and type of control, in presence or absence of optimization. Finally, the discussion of the achieved results and the analysis of the emerging challenges in this research field are reported, highlighting the identified gaps and promising future developments in the context of the digital evolution.

The recent trends of the COVID-19 research have been devoted to disease transmission modeling, with the aim of investigating the effects of different mitigation strategies mainly through scenario-based simulations. In this context we propose a novel non-linear time-varying model that effectively supports policy-makers in predicting and analyzing the dynamics of COVID-19 secondary waves. Specifically, this paper proposes an accurate SIRUCQTHE epidemiological model to get reliable predictions on the pandemic dynamics. Differently from the related literature, in the fitting phase, we make use of the google mobility reports to identify and predict the evolution of the infection rate. The effectiveness of the presented method is tested on the network of Italian regions. First, we describe the Italian epidemiological scenario in the COVID-19 second wave of contagions, showing the raw data available for the Italian scenario and discussing the main assumptions on the system parameters. Then, we present the different steps of the procedure used for the dynamical fitting of the SIRUCQTHE model. Finally, we compare the estimation results with the real data on the COVID-19 secondary waves in Italy. Provided the availability of reliable data to calibrate the model in heterogeneous scenarios, the proposed approach can be easily extended to cope with other scenarios.

For high-density metro traffic, nowadays the time-variant passenger flow is the main cause of train delays and stranded passengers. Typically, the main objective of automatic metro traffic regulation methods is to minimize the delay time of trains while passengers' satisfaction is not considered. Instead, in this work, a novel framework that integrates a passenger flow module (PFM) and a train operation module (TOM) is proposed with the aim of simultaneously minimizing traffic delays and passengers' discomfort. In particular, the PFM is devoted to the optimization of the headway time in case of platform overcrowding, so as to reduce the passengers waiting time at platforms and increase the load rate of trains; while the TOM is devoted to the minimization of trains' delays. The two modules interact with each other so that the headway time is automatically adjusted when a platform is overcrowded, and the train traffic is immediately regulated according to the new headway time. As a result, the number of passengers on the platform and their total waiting time can be significantly reduced. Numerical results are provided to show the effectiveness of the proposed method in improving the operation performance while minimizing the passengers' discomfort., Comment: This work has been submitted to the 2021 IEEE International Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference (ITSC)

In the automotive sector the cold forming of metal sheets is one of the main production activities. However, it is also one of the main source of production wastes. The generally adopted strategy to reduce the number of abnormal stamped parts is the feedback control of the stamping press (i.e., the machine control), while the feedback control of the stamping process is rarely considered. The process control, differently from the press control, can allow the monitoring of the state of the stamped part during the formation phase and the provision of corrective actions in case of abnormal behaviors of the metal sheet, thus ensuring a more precise control of the process. In this context, this paper presents a novel methodology for the cold metal forming process control based on Model Predictive Control (MPC). Firstly, a dynamical model of the system is defined that describes the draw-in of $n$ critical points of the metal sheet as a function of the Blank Holder Force (BHF) and the punch stroke. Then, two different MPC-based real-time controllers are built for two different types of press configuration: the monolithic and the differential one. In the first case, a mono-MPC control system evaluates the draw-in of $n$ critical points and computes a single couple of control signals (i.e., the BHF and the punch stroke). In the second case, a multi-MPC control system computes $n$ different couples of control signals, i.e., one for each monitored draw-in. Finally, a case study is presented with the aim to test both the architectures, considering several simulation scenarios (with or without external disturbances on the plant), in order to make a control system architectures comparison in terms of tracking errors and workpiece quality.

New technologies, such as Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), are transforming facilities and vehicles into intelligent systems that will significantly modify logistic deliveries in any organization. With the appearance of automated vehicles, drones offer multiple new technological solutions that might trigger different delivery networks or boost new delivery services. Differently from the related works, where a single specific delivery system model is typically addressed, this paper deals with the use of UAVs for logistic deliveries focusing on a multi-criteria analysis of trendy drone-based system architectures. In particular, using the cross-efficiency Data Envelopment Analysis approach, a comparative analysis among three different delivery systems is performed: the classic system based on trucks only, the drone-only system using a fleet of drones, and the hybrid truck and drone system combining trucks and drones. The proposed technique constitutes an effective decision-making tool aimed at helping delivery companies in selecting the optimal delivery system architecture according to their specific needs. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology is shown by a simulation analysis based on a realistic data case study that pertains to the main logistic service providers. info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

The COVID-19 outbreak is deeply influencing the global social and economic framework, due to restrictive measures adopted worldwide by governments to counteract the pandemic contagion. In multi-region areas such as Italy, where the contagion peak has been reached, it is crucial to find targeted and coordinated optimal exit and restarting strategies on a regional basis to effectively cope with possible onset of further epidemic waves, while efficiently returning the economic activities to their standard level of intensity. Differently from the related literature, where modeling and controlling the pandemic contagion is typically addressed on a national basis, this paper proposes an optimal control approach that supports governments in defining the most effective strategies to be adopted during post-lockdown mitigation phases in a multi-region scenario.Based on the joint use of a non-linear Model Predictive Control scheme and a modified Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)-based epidemiological model, the approach is aimed at minimizing the cost of the so-called non-pharmaceutical interventions (that is, mitigation strategies), while ensuring that the capacity of the network of regional healthcare systems is not violated. In addition, the proposed approach supports policy makers in taking targeted intervention decisions on different regions by an integrated and structured model, thus both respecting the specific regional health systems characteristics and improving the system-wide performance by avoiding uncoordinated actions of the regions.The methodology is tested on the COVID-19 outbreak data related to the network of Italian regions, showing its effectiveness in properly supporting the definition of effective regional strategies for managing the COVID-19 diffusion.

The COVID-19 outbreak is deeply influencing the global social and economic framework, due to restrictive measures adopted worldwide by governments to counteract the pandemic contagion. In multi-region areas such as Italy, where the contagion peak has been reached, it is crucial to find targeted and coordinated optimal exit and restarting strategies on a regional basis to effectively cope with possible onset of further epidemic waves, while efficiently returning the economic activities to their standard level of intensity. Differently from the related literature, where modeling and controlling the pandemic contagion is typically addressed on a national basis, this paper proposes an optimal control approach that supports governments in defining the most effective strategies to be adopted during post-lockdown mitigation phases in a multi-region scenario.Based on the joint use of a non-linear Model Predictive Control scheme and a modified Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)-based epidemiological model, the approach is aimed at minimizing the cost of the so-called non-pharmaceutical interventions (that is, mitigation strategies), while ensuring that the capacity of the network of regional healthcare systems is not violated. In addition, the proposed approach supports policy makers in taking targeted intervention decisions on different regions by an integrated and structured model, thus both respecting the specific regional health systems characteristics and improving the system-wide performance by avoiding uncoordinated actions of the regions.The methodology is tested on the COVID-19 outbreak data related to the network of Italian regions, showing its effectiveness in properly supporting the definition of effective regional strategies for managing the COVID-19 diffusion.

The railway sector is currently experiencing a rapid evolution from fully manual towards automatic rail traffic control systems, due to the growth of transport demand and networks complexity. One of the main issues is to automatically and effectively reschedule the railway traffic in case of unexpected events, thus avoiding dramatic drops in the system performance. In the literature, the majority of contributions aims at automatically minimizing the train delays or optimizing the railway system performance (e.g., energy consumption). However, such strategies are not always able to ensure satisfaction of passengers that in many cases experience the side-effects of the rescheduling actions (e.g., cancellation of train runs, cancellation of coincidences, rerouting of trains, etc.). In this paper, we propose a demand-oriented train rescheduling automatic technique that minimizes simultaneously the train delays and the discomfort perceived by passengers. When an unexpected event occurs, the rescheduling problem is set, based on the current state and nominal timetable of the system and its passengers flows. Hence, the problem is solved providing the control actions necessary to minimize both the delays and number of passengers subject to severe side-effects. The rescheduling is here formulated as a mixed integer linear programming problem, where the operating rules of the railway network are represented by linear equality and inequality constraints, while the objective is a linear function to be minimized. The possible control actions consist in re-timing the rail traffic and modifying the connections among lines. The proposed technique is preliminarily evaluated on a test case and a discussion is provided on the outcomes.

Nowadays, developing coordinated optimal charging strategies for large-scale electric vehicle (EV) fleets is crucial to ensure the reliability and efficiency of power grids. This paper presents a novel fully distributed control strategy for the optimal charging of large-scale EV fleets aiming at the minimization of the aggregated charging cost and battery degradation, while satisfying the EVs' individual load requirements and the overall grid congestion limits. We formulate the optimization problem as a convex quadratic programming problem where all the EVs' decisions are coupled both via the objective function and some grid resource sharing constraints. Based on the distributed waterfilling approach, the proposed resolution algorithm requires a minimal shared information between EVs that communicate only with their neighbors without relying on a central aggregator, thus guaranteeing the EV users' privacy. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated through numerical experiments to validate its effectiveness in achieving a global optimum while respecting the grid constraints with a favorable computational efficiency.

Multiple Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (multi-UAVs) applications are recently growing in several fields, ranging from military and rescue missions, remote sensing, and environmental surveillance, to meteorology, logistics, and farming. Overcoming the limitations on battery lifespan and on-board processor capabilities, the coordinated use of multi-UAVs is indeed more suitable than employing a single UAV in certain tasks. Hence, the research on swarm of UAVs is receiving increasing attention, including multidisciplinary aspects, such as coordination, aggregation, network communication, path planning, information sensing, and data fusion. The focus of this paper is on defining novel control strategies for the deployment of multi-UAV systems in a distributed time-varying set-up, where UAVs rely on local communication and computation. In particular, modeling the dynamics of each UAV by a discrete-time integrator, we analyze the main swarm intelligence strategies, namely flight formation, swarm tracking, and social foraging. First, we define a distributed control strategy for steering the agents of the swarm towards a collection point. Then, we cope with the formation control, defining a procedure to arrange agents in a family of geometric formations, where the distance between each pair of UAVs is predefined. Subsequently, we focus on swarm tracking, defining a distributed mechanism based on the so-called leader-following consensus to move the entire swarm in accordance with a predefined trajectory. Moreover, we define a social foraging strategy that allows agents to avoid obstacles, by imposing on-line a time-varying formation pattern. Finally, through numerical simulations we show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.

We present an automatic rescheduling algorithm for the real-time control of large-scale railway networks in case of disturbances and disruptions. The algorithm consists of four main steps, one for the offline configuration and the remaining three for the real-time control of the railway traffic. The on-line control is performed using a Model Predictive Control strategy combined with a distributed optimization algorithm and a bilevel heuristics based on MILP modelling. The method is preliminarily tested on the national Dutch railway traffic network.

We present a design approach for multi-stage Supply Chains (SCs) that allows selecting candidates and assigning them orders under uncertainty. A bargaining game model in its extensive form (i.e., with a time sequencing of moves) and in a fuzzy setting is proposed. The product quantities that each actor requires from the previous SC stage are determined modelling the real behavior of SC stakeholders, which on the one hand act to maximize their own profit, on the other hand cooperate to maximize the overall efficiency of the SC and minimize production costs and lead times. Assignments are determined taking into account stock levels, uncertain production or warehouse capacities, and customers' demand. Thus, the method supports the decision making process providing an agile, cooperative, and resource-efficient design of multi-stage SCs under uncertain parameters. A literature SC is used as a test case to evaluate the effectiveness of the technique.

In this paper, we show how first-order hybrid Petri nets can be efficiently used to model and manage intermodal freight transport terminals. The proposed formalism enables the terminal decision maker to choose the speeds associated with continuous transitions in order to optimize the terminal performance by two alternative control policies: the container flows maximization and the minimization of the residual containers in the storage area. The approach may be used either offline, to take decisions on the terminal resources, or online, to solve congestions/malfunctions. A real case study is modeled and managed by the proposed optimal control policies.