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Background and hypothesisThe recently introduced Bayesian quantile regression (BQR) machine-learning method enables comprehensive analyzing the relationship among complex clinical variables. We analyzed the relationship between multiple cardiovascular (CV) risk factors and different stages of coronary artery disease (CAD) using the BQR model in a vessel-specific manner.MethodsFrom the data of 1,463 patients obtained from the PARADIGM (NCT02803411) registry, we analyzed the lumen diameter stenosis (DS) of the three vessels: left anterior descending (LAD), left circumflex (LCx), and right coronary artery (RCA). Two models for predicting DS and DS changes were developed. Baseline CV risk factors, symptoms, and laboratory test results were used as the inputs. The conditional 10%, 25%, 50%, 75%, and 90% quantile functions of the maximum DS and DS change of the three vessels were estimated using the BQR model.ResultsThe 90th percentiles of the DS of the three vessels and their maximum DS change were 41%-50% and 5.6%-7.3%, respectively. Typical anginal symptoms were associated with the highest quantile (90%) of DS in the LAD; diabetes with higher quantiles (75% and 90%) of DS in the LCx; dyslipidemia with the highest quantile (90%) of DS in the RCA; and shortness of breath showed some association with the LCx and RCA. Interestingly, High-density lipoprotein cholesterol showed a dynamic association along DS change in the per-patient analysis.ConclusionsThis study demonstrates the clinical utility of the BQR model for evaluating the comprehensive relationship between risk factors and baseline-grade CAD and its progression.

Machine learning (ML) models of risk prediction with coronary artery calcium (CAC) and CAC characteristics exhibit high performance, but are not inherently interpretable.To determine the direction and magnitude of impact of CAC characteristics on 10-year all-cause mortality (ACM) with explainable ML.We analyzed asymptomatic subjects in the CAC consortium. We trained ML models on 80% and tested on 20% of the data with XGBoost, using clinical characteristics ​+ ​CAC (ML 1) and additional CAC characteristics of CAC density and number of calcified vessels (ML 2). We applied SHAP, an explainable ML tool, to explore the relationship of CAC and CAC characteristics with 10-year all-cause and CV mortality.2376 deaths occurred among 63,215 patients [68% male, median age 54 (IQR 47-61), CAC 3 (IQR 0-94.3)]. ML2 was similar to ML1 to predict all-cause mortality (Area Under the Curve (AUC) 0.819 vs 0.821, p ​= ​0.23), but superior for CV mortality (0.847 vs 0.845, p ​= ​0.03). Low CAC density increased mortality impact, particularly ≤0.75. Very low CAC density ≤0.75 was present in only 4.3% of the patients with measurable density, and 75% occurred in CAC1-100. The number of diseased vessels did not increase mortality overall when simultaneously accounting for CAC and CAC density.CAC density contributes to mortality risk primarily when it is very low ≤0.75, which is primarily observed in CAC 1-100. CAC and CAC density are more important for mortality prediction than the number of diseased vessels, and improve prediction of CV but not all-cause mortality. Explainable ML techniques are useful to describe granular relationships in otherwise opaque prediction models.

Aims To investigate the impact of statins on plaque progression according to high-risk coronary atherosclerotic plaque (HRP) features and to identify predictive factors for rapid plaque progression in mild coronary artery disease (CAD) using serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). Methods and results We analyzed mild stenosis (25–49%) CAD, totaling 1432 lesions from 613 patients (mean age, 62.2 years, 63.9% male) and who underwent serial CCTA at a ≥2 year inter-scan interval using the Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque DetermIned by Computed TomoGraphic Angiography Imaging (NCT02803411) registry. The median inter-scan period was 3.5 ± 1.4 years; plaques were quantitatively assessed for annualized percent atheroma volume (PAV) and compositional plaque volume changes according to HRP features, and the rapid plaque progression was defined by the ≥90th percentile annual PAV. In mild stenotic lesions with ≥2 HRPs, statin therapy showed a 37% reduction in annual PAV (0.97 ± 2.02 vs. 1.55 ± 2.22, P = 0.038) with decreased necrotic core volume and increased dense calcium volume compared to non-statin recipient mild lesions. The key factors for rapid plaque progression were ≥2 HRPs [hazard ratio (HR), 1.89; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02–3.49; P = 0.042], current smoking (HR, 1.69; 95% CI 1.09–2.57; P = 0.017), and diabetes (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.07–2.22; P = 0.020). Conclusion In mild CAD, statin treatment reduced plaque progression, particularly in lesions with a higher number of HRP features, which was also a strong predictor of rapid plaque progression. Therefore, aggressive statin therapy might be needed even in mild CAD with higher HRPs. Clinical trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02803411

Publisher Copyright: © 2022 The Authors Background: Despite a potential role of hemoglobin in atherosclerosis, data on coronary plaque volume changes (PVC) related to serum hemoglobin levels are limited. Objectives: The authors sought to evaluate coronary atherosclerotic plaque burden changes related to serum hemoglobin levels using serial coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA). Methods: A total of 830 subjects (age 61 ± 10 years, 51.9% male) who underwent serial CCTA were analyzed. The median interscan period was 3.2 (IQR: 2.5-4.4) years. Quantitative assessment of coronary plaques was performed at both scans. All participants were stratified into 4 groups based on the quartile of baseline hemoglobin levels. Annualized total PVC (mm3/year) was defined as total PVC divided by the interscan period. Results: Baseline total plaque volume (mm3) was not different among all groups (group I [lowest]: 34.1 [IQR: 0.0-127.4] vs group II: 28.8 [IQR: 0.0-123.0] vs group III: 49.9 [IQR: 5.6-135.0] vs group IV [highest]: 34.3 [IQR: 0.0-130.7]; P = 0.235). During follow-up, serum hemoglobin level changes (Δ hemoglobin; per 1 g/dL) was related to annualized total PVC (β = −0.114) in overall participants (P < 0.05). After adjusting for age, sex, traditional risk factors, baseline hemoglobin and creatinine levels, baseline total plaque volume, and the use of aspirin, beta-blocker, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker, and statin, Δ hemoglobin significantly affected annualized total PVC in only the composite of groups I and II (β = −2.401; P = 0.004). Conclusions: Serial CCTA findings suggest that Δ hemoglobin has an independent effect on coronary atherosclerosis. This effect might be influenced by baseline hemoglobin levels. (Progression of Atherosclerotic Plaque Determined by Computed Tomographic Angiography Imaging [PARADIGM]; NCT02803411) publishersversion published

Objectives This study sought to investigate the impact of low tube voltage scanning heterogeneity of coronary luminal attenuation on plaque quantification and characterization with coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). Background The impact of low tube voltage and coronary luminal attenuation on quantitative coronary plaque remains uncertain. Methods A total of 1,236 consecutive patients (age: 60 ± 9 years; 41% female) who underwent serial CCTA at an interval of ≥2 years were included from an international registry. Patients with prior revascularization or nonanalyzable coronary CTAs were excluded. Total coronary plaque volume was assessed and subclassified based on specific Hounsfield unit (HU) threshold: necrotic core, fibrofatty plaque, and fibrous plaque and dense calcium. Luminal attenuation was measured in the aorta. Results With increasing luminal HU ( 500 HU), percent calcified plaque was increased (16%, 27%, and 40% in the median; P Conclusions Low tube voltage usage affected plaque morphology, mainly through an increase in luminal HU with a resultant increase in calcified plaque and a reduction in fibrofatty and necrotic core. These findings should be considered as CCTA-based plaque measures are being used to guide medical management and, in particular, when being used as a measure of treatment response. (Progression of Atherosclerotic Plaque Determined by Computed Tomographic Angiography Imaging [PARADIGM]; NCT02803411 )

Although acute coronary syndrome culprit lesions occur more frequently in the proximal coronary artery, whether the proximal clustering of high-risk plaque is reflected in earlier-stage atherosclerosis remains unclarified. We evaluated the longitudinal distribution of stable atherosclerotic lesions on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in 1,478 patients (mean age, 61 years; men, 58%) enrolled from a prospective multinational registry of consecutive patients undergoing serial CCTA. Of 3,202 coronary artery lesions identified, 2,140 left lesions were classified (based on the minimal lumen diameter location) into left main (LM, n = 128), proximal (n = 739), and other (n = 1,273), and 1,062 right lesions were classified into proximal (n = 355) and other (n = 707). Plaque volume (PV) was the highest in proximal lesions (median, 26.1 mm3), followed by LM (20.6 mm3) and other lesions (15.0 mm3, p

Aims The magnitude of alterations in which coronary arteries remodel and narrow over time is not well understood. We aimed to examine changes in coronary arterial remodelling and luminal narrowing by three-dimensional (3D) metrics from serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). Methods and results From a multicentre registry of patients with suspected coronary artery disease who underwent clinically indicated serial CCTA (median interscan interval = 3.3 years), we quantitatively measured coronary plaque, vessel, and lumen volumes on both scans. Primary outcome was the per-segment change in coronary vessel and lumen volume from a change in plaque volume, focusing on arterial remodelling. Multivariate generalized estimating equations including statins were calculated comparing associations between groups of baseline percent atheroma volume (PAV) and location within the coronary artery tree. From 1245 patients (mean age 61 ± 9 years, 39% women), a total of 5721 segments were analysed. For each 1.00 mm3 increase in plaque volume, the vessel volume increased by 0.71 mm3 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63 to 0.79 mm3, P < 0.001] with a corresponding reduction in lumen volume by 0.29 mm3 (95% CI −0.37 to −0.21 mm3, P < 0.001). Serial 3D arterial remodelling and luminal narrowing was similar in segments with low and high baseline PAV (P ≥ 0.496). No differences were observed between left main and non-left main segments, proximal and distal segments and side branch and non-side branch segments (P ≥ 0.281). Conclusions Over time, atherosclerotic coronary plaque reveals prominent outward arterial remodelling that co-occurs with modest luminal narrowing. These findings provide additional insight into the compensatory mechanisms involved in the progression of coronary atherosclerosis.

The three most common mechanisms of thrombosis in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are plaque rupture, plaque erosion and calcified nodule. Plaque erosion occurs over an intact fibrous cap, commonly over pathological intimal thickening (PIT) rather than thin cap fibroatheroma (TCFA), and is more common among younger and female patients.1 A very rare mechanism of ACS is spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD), resulting from the formation of an intramural hematoma and/or intimal disruption.2 We present a case of sudden coronary death with the appearance of SCAD on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA).

Coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) provides a wealth of clinically meaningful information beyond anatomic stenosis alone, including the presence or absence of nonobstructive atherosclerosis and high-risk plaque features as precursors for incident coronary events. There is, however, no uniform agreement on how to identify and quantify these features or their use in evidence-based clinical decision-making. This statement from the Society of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography and North American Society of Cardiovascular Imaging addresses this gap and provides a comprehensive review of the available evidence on imaging of coronary atherosclerosis. In this statement, we provide standardized definitions for high-risk plaque (HRP) features and distill the evidence on the effectiveness of risk stratification into usable practice points. This statement outlines how this information should be communicated to referring physicians and patients by identifying critical elements to include in a structured CCTA report - the presence and severity of atherosclerotic plaque (descriptive statements, CAD-RADS (TM) categories), the segment involvement score, HRP features (e.g., low attenuation plaque, positive remodeling), and the coronary artery calcium score (when performed). Rigorous documentation of atherosclerosis on CCTA provides a vital opportunity to make recommendations for preventive care and to initiate and guide an effective care strategy for at-risk patients. (C) 2020 Published by Elsevier Inc. on behalf of Society of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography.

Background The baseline coronary plaque burden is the most important factor for rapid plaque progression (RPP) in the coronary artery. However, data on the independent predictors of RPP in the absence of a baseline coronary plaque burden are limited. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the predictors for RPP in patients without coronary plaques on baseline coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) images. Methods A total of 402 patients (mean age: 57.6 ± 10.0 years, 49.3% men) without coronary plaques at baseline who underwent serial coronary CCTA were identified from the Progression of Atherosclerotic Plaque Determined by Computed Tomographic Angiography Imaging (PARADIGM) registry and included in this retrospective study. RPP was defined as an annual change of ≥ 1.0%/year in the percentage atheroma volume (PAV). Results During a median inter-scan period of 3.6 years (interquartile range: 2.7–5.0 years), newly developed coronary plaques and RPP were observed in 35.6% and 4.2% of the patients, respectively. The baseline traditional risk factors, i.e., advanced age (≥ 60 years), male sex, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and current smoking status, were not significantly associated with the risk of RPP. Multivariate linear regression analysis showed that the serum hemoglobin A1c level (per 1% increase) measured at follow-up CCTA was independently associated with the annual change in the PAV (β: 0.098, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.048–0.149; P Conclusion In this retrospective case–control study, the glycemic control status was strongly associated with the risk of RPP in patients without a baseline coronary plaque burden. This suggests that regular monitoring of the glycemic control status might be helpful for preventing the rapid progression of coronary atherosclerosis irrespective of the baseline risk factors. Further randomized investigations are necessary to confirm the results of our study. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02803411.

Sudden death is the most abrupt clinical presentation of acute coronary syndrome. The presence of acute luminal thrombosis is the histopathological hallmark of sudden coronary death. There are 3 main etiologies that can give rise to an acute luminal thrombus: plaque rupture, plaque erosion and, less frequently, eruptive calcified nodules. Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) has the ability to identify high-risk plaque features of coronary artery disease that are associated with future adverse cardiac events. In this report, we illustrate 2 cases of suspected sudden coronary death with a thorough description of how CCTA can be employed to detect high-risk plaque features using histopathology as a gold standard.

Objectives This study designed and evaluated an end-to-end deep learning solution for cardiac segmentation and quantification. Background Segmentation of cardiac structures from coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) images is laborious. We designed an end-to-end deep-learning solution. Methods Scans were obtained from multicenter registries of 166 patients who underwent clinically indicated CCTA. Left ventricular volume (LVV) and right ventricular volume (RVV), left atrial volume (LAV) and right atrial volume (RAV), and left ventricular myocardial mass (LVM) were manually annotated as ground truth. A U-Net-inspired, deep-learning model was trained, validated, and tested in a 70:20:10 split. Results Mean age was 61.1 ± 8.4 years, and 49% were women. A combined overall median Dice score of 0.9246 (interquartile range: 0.8870 to 0.9475) was achieved. The median Dice scores for LVV, RVV, LAV, RAV, and LVM were 0.938 (interquartile range: 0.887 to 0.958), 0.927 (interquartile range: 0.916 to 0.946), 0.934 (interquartile range: 0.899 to 0.950), 0.915 (interquartile range: 0.890 to 0.920), and 0.920 (interquartile range: 0.811 to 0.944), respectively. Model prediction correlated and agreed well with manual annotation for LVV (r = 0.98), RVV (r = 0.97), LAV (r = 0.78), RAV (r = 0.97), and LVM (r = 0.94) (p Conclusions A deep-learning model rapidly segmented and quantified cardiac structures. This was done with high accuracy on a pixel level, with good agreement with manual annotation, facilitating its expansion into areas of research and clinical import.

Background The utility of a given pretest probability score in predicting obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) is population dependent. Previous studies investigating the additive value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) on pretest probability scores were predominantly limited to Western populations. This retrospective study seeks to evaluate the CAD Consortium (CAD2) model in a mixed Asian cohort within Singapore with stable chest pain and to evaluate the incremental value of CAC in predicting obstructive CAD. Methods and Results Patients who underwent cardiac computed tomography and had chest pain were included. The CAD2 clinical model comprised of age, sex, symptom typicality, diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and smoking status and was compared with the CAD2 extended model that added CAC to assess the incremental value of CAC scoring, as well as to the corresponding locally calibrated local assessment of the heart models. A total of 522 patients were analyzed (mean age 54±11 years, 43.1% female). The CAD2 clinical model obtained an area under the curve of 0.718 (95% CI, 0.668–0.767). The inclusion of CAC score improved the area under the curve to 0.896 (95% CI, 0.867–0.925) in the CAD2 models and from 0.767 (95% CI, 0.721–0.814) to 0.926 (95% CI, 0.900–0.951) in the local assessment of the heart models. The locally calibrated local assessment of the heart models showed better discriminative performance than the corresponding CAD2 models ( P Conclusions The CAD2 model was validated in a symptomatic mixed Asian cohort and local calibration further improved performance. CAC scoring provided significant incremental value in predicting obstructive CAD.

Aim Obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in proximal coronary segments is associated with a poor prognosis. However, the relative importance of plaque location regarding the risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with non-obstructive CAD has not been well defined. Methods and results From the Coronary CT Angiography Evaluation for Clinical Outcomes: An International Multicenter (CONFIRM) registry, 4644 patients without obstructive CAD were included in this study. The degree of stenosis was classified as 0 (no) and 1–49% (non-obstructive). Proximal involvement was defined as any plaque present in the left main or the proximal segment of the left anterior descending artery, left circumflex artery, and right coronary artery. Extensive CAD was defined as segment involvement score of >4. During a median follow-up of 5.2 years (interquartile range 4.1–6.0), 340 (7.3%) MACE occurred. Within the non-obstructive CAD group (n = 2065), proximal involvement was observed in 1767 (85.6%) cases. When compared to non-obstructive CAD patients without proximal involvement, those with proximal involvement had an increased MACE risk (log-rank P = 0.033). Multivariate Cox analysis showed when compared to patients with no CAD, proximal non-obstructive CAD was associated with increased MACE risk [hazard ratio (HR) 1.90, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.47–2.45, P < 0.001] after adjusting for extensive CAD and conventional cardiovascular risk factors; however, non-proximal non-obstructive CAD did not increase MACE risk (HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.79–2.01, P = 0.339). Conclusions Independent of plaque extent, proximal coronary involvement was associated with increased MACE risk in patients with non-obstructive CAD. The plaque location information by coronary computed tomography angiography may provide additional risk prediction over CAD extent in patients with non-obstructive CAD.

Absence of subclinical atherosclerosis is considered safe to defer statin therapy in general population. However, impact of statins on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in patients with diabetes stratified by coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores and extent of non-obstructive CAD on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) has not been evaluated.CONFIRM (Coronary CT Angiography EvaluatioN For Clinical Outcomes: An InteRnational Multi-center Registry) study enrolled consecutive adults 18 years of age between 2005 and 2009 who underwentA total of 7247 patients (Mean age 56.8 years) with a median follow up of 5 years were included. For DM patients, baseline statin therapy significantly reduced MACE for patients with CAC ≥100 (HR: 0.24; 95 % CI 0.07-0.87; p = 0.03) and SIS≥3 (HR: 0.23; 95 % CI 0.06-0.83; p = 0.024) compared to those not on statin therapy. Among Diabetics with lower CAC (100) and SIS (≤3) scores, MACE was similar in statin and non-statin groups. In contrast, among non-DM patients, MACE was similar in statin and no statin groups irrespective of baseline CAC (1-99 or ≥100) and SIS.In this large multicenter cohort of patients, the presence and extent of subclinical atherosclerosis as assessed by CAC and SIS identified patients most likely to derive benefit from statin therapy.

Women with angina and no obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) have worse cardiovascular prognosis than asymptomatic women. Limitation in myocardial perfusion caused by coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) is one of the proposed mechanisms contributing to the adverse prognosis. The aim of this study was to assess myocardial perfusion in symptomatic women with no obstructive CAD suspected for CMD compared with asymptomatic sex-matched controls using static CT perfusion (CTP). We performed a semi-quantitative assessment of the left ventricular myocardial perfusion and myocardial perfusion reserve (MPR), using static CTP with adenosine provocation, in 105 female patients with angina and no obstructive CAD (

The 2018 American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) cholesterol management guideline recommends risk enhancers in the borderline-risk and statin recommended/intermediate-risk groups. We determined the risk reclassification by the presence and severity of coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA)-visualized coronary artery disease (CAD) according to statin eligibility groups. Of 35,281 individuals who underwent CCTA, 1,303 asymptomatic patients (age 59, 65% male) were identified. Patients were categorized as low risk, borderline risk, statin recommended/intermediate risk or statin recommended/high risk according to the guideline. CCTA-visualized CAD was categorized as no CAD, nonobstructive, or obstructive. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were defined as a composite outcome of all-cause mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and late coronary revascularization (>90 days). We tested a reclassification wherein no CAD reclassifies downward, and the presence of any CAD reclassifies upward. During a median follow-up of 2.9 years, 93 MACE events (7.1%) were observed. Among the borderline-risk and statin-recommended/intermediate-risk groups eligible for risk enhancers, the presence or absence of any CCTA-visualized CAD led to a net increase of 2.3% of cases and 22.4% of controls correctly classified (net reclassification index [NRI] 0.27, 95% CI 0.13 to 0.41, p = 0.0002). The NRI was not significant among low- or statin-recommended/high-risk patients (all p > 0.05). The presence or absence of CCTA-visualized CAD, including both obstructive and nonobstructive CAD, significantly improves reclassification in patients eligible for risk enhancers in 2018 ACC/AHA guidelines. Patients in low- and high-risk groups derive no significant improvement in risk reclassification from CCTA. (C) 2019 Published by Elsevier Inc.

Non-invasive atherosclerosis findings have been demonstrated to provide incremental diagnostic and predictive values for ischemia, acute coronary syndrome, and cardiovascular outcomes. The challenge is to translate research findings to a clinical role. Here, we review the current utility of atherosclerotic imaging and the incremental value of plaque imaging. We also evaluate future clinical and research implications for three patient populations: asymptomatic prevention, stable chest pain, and acute chest pain.

Objectives This study compared the safety and diagnostic yield of a selective referral strategy using coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) compared with a direct referral strategy using invasive coronary angiography (ICA) as the index procedure. Background Among patients presenting with signs and symptoms suggestive of coronary artery disease (CAD), a sizeable proportion who are referred to ICA do not have a significant, obstructive stenosis. Methods In a multinational, randomized clinical trial of patients referred to ICA for nonemergent indications, a selective referral strategy was compared with a direct referral strategy. The primary endpoint was noninferiority with a multiplicative margin of 1.33 of composite major adverse cardiovascular events (blindly adjudicated death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, stroke, urgent and/or emergent coronary revascularization or cardiac hospitalization) at a median follow-up of 1-year. Results At 22 sites, 823 subjects were randomized to a selective referral and 808 to a direct referral strategy. At 1 year, selective referral met the noninferiority margin of 1.33 (p = 0.026) with a similar event rate between the randomized arms of the trial (4.6% vs. 4.6%; hazard ratio: 0.99; 95% confidence interval: 0.66 to 1.47). Following CCTA, only 23% of the selective referral arm went on to ICA, which was a rate lower than that of the direct referral strategy. Coronary revascularization occurred less often in the selective referral group compared with the direct referral to ICA (13% vs. 18%; p Conclusions In stable patients with suspected CAD who are eligible for ICA, the comparable 1-year major adverse cardiovascular events rates following a selective referral and direct referral strategy suggests that both diagnostic approaches are similarly effective. In the selective referral strategy, the reduced use of ICA was associated with a greater diagnostic yield, which supported the usefulness of CCTA as an efficient and accurate method to guide decisions of ICA performance. (Coronary Computed Tomographic Angiography for Selective Cardiac Catheterization [CONSERVE]; NCT01810198)

Objectives This study sought to compare the performance of history-based risk scores in predicting obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) among patients with stable chest pain from the SCOT-HEART study. Background Risk scores for estimating pre-test probability of CAD are derived from referral-based populations with a high prevalence of disease. The generalizability of these scores to lower prevalence populations in the initial patient encounter for chest pain is uncertain. Methods We compared 3 scores among patients with suspected CAD in the coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA) randomized arm of the SCOT-HEART study for the outcome of obstructive CAD by coronary CTA: the updated Diamond-Forrester score (UDF), CAD Consortium clinical score (CAD2), and CONFIRM risk score (CRS). We tested calibration with goodness-of-fit, discrimination with area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC), and reclassification with net reclassification improvement (NRI) to identify low-risk patients. Results In 1,738 patients (age 58 ± 10 years and 44.0% women), overall calibration was best for UDF, with underestimation by CRS and CAD2. Discrimination by AUC was highest for CAD2 at 0.79 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.77 to 0.81) than for UDF (0.77 [95% CI: 0.74 to 0.79]) or CRS (0.75 [95% CI: 0.73 to 0.77]) (p Conclusions In this multicenter clinic-based cohort of patients with suspected CAD and uniform CAD evaluation by coronary CTA, CAD2 provided the best discrimination and classification, despite overestimation of obstructive CAD as evaluated by coronary CTA. CRS exhibited intermediate performance followed by UDF for discrimination and reclassification.

Aims The relationship between AtheroSclerotic CardioVascular Disease (ASCVD) risk and vessel-specific plaque evaluation using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), focusing on plaque extent and composition, has not been examined. To evaluate differences in quantified plaque characteristics (using CCTA) between the three major coronary arteries [left anterior descending (LAD), right coronary (RCA), and left circumflex (LCx)] among subgroups of patients with varying ASCVD risk. Methods and results Patients were included from a prospective, international registry of consecutive patients who underwent CCTA for evaluation of coronary artery disease. ASCVD risk groups were Conclusion Among patients with varying risk of ASCVD, plaque in the LCx is decidedly less and is comprised of less non-calcified plaque supporting prior evidence of the lower rates of acute coronary events in this vessel.

Background: Virtual functional assessment index (vFAI), an alternative approach for assessing hemodynamic significance of stenosis has been shown to enhance the diagnostic performance of coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) based on evaluating the area under pressure drop-flow curve for a stenosis. Previously, this was assessed via computational fluid dynamics. We investigated the evaluation of vFAI from CCTA images using 3D printing and an in vitro flow loop and its efficacy as compared to the invasively measured fractional flow reserve (FFR). Methods and Results: Eighteen patients with varying degrees of coronary artery disease who underwent non-invasive CCTA scans and invasive FFR of their left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) were included. The LAD artery was segmented and reconstructed using Mimics (Materialise inc.,). The segmented models were then 3D printed using Carbon 3D printer (Carbon Inc.,) with rigid resins. An in vitro flow circulation system representative of invasive measurements in a cardiac catheterization laboratory was developed to experimentally evaluate the hemodynamic parameters of pressure and flow (Fig A). For each model, a range of physiological flow rates was applied by a peristaltic steady flow pump and titrated by a flow sensor. The pressure drop and the pressure ratio (Pd/Pa) were assessed for patient-specific aortic pressure and differing flow rates. vFAI was evaluated as the normalized area under the P d /P a vs Q curve from 0 to 240 mL/min. There was a strong correlation between vFAI and FFR, (R = 0.83, p < 0.001; Fig B) and a very good agreement between the two parameters by Bland-Altman analysis. The mean difference of measurements from the two methods was 0.06 (SD = 0.08, p=0.0063; Fig C), indicating a small systematic overestimation of the FFR by vFAI. Conclusions: vFAI can be effectively derived from 3D CTCA datasets using 3D-printed in vitro models, based on evaluation over a range of hemodynamic conditions.

Background Mismatches between the severity of coronary stenosis and the presence of ischemia by invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR) are frequently reported. Purpose To investigate whether plaque characteristics as evaluated with coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) may explain this discordance in nonobstructive versus obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods From the CREDENCE trial, 612 patients with suspected CAD at 13 sites (64±10 years, 70% men) underwent CCTA with semi-automated whole heart quantification and invasive coronary angiography with 3-vessel FFR measurements. Obstructive CAD was visually defined as ≥50% stenosis. The primary endpoint of coronary vessel-specific ischemia was defined as FFR ≤0.80. Generalized estimating equations were calculated to evaluate the effect of plaque characteristics on coronary vessel-specific ischemia. Interactions were tested by obstructive CAD, adjusted for age. Results Among 1,686 vessels, ischemia was present in 436 (26%) vessels. In both nonobstructive and obstructive CAD, the majority of plaque characteristics were associated with coronary vessel-specific ischemia (p≤0.005, Figure 1). In nonobstructive CAD, odds for ischemia were significantly higher for total percent atheroma volume (PAV, p Conclusion Our findings reveal that ischemia by FFR is documented in the setting of both nonobstructive and obstructive CAD on CCTA. Detection of atherosclerotic plaque characteristics associated with ischemia can potentially improve diagnostic certainty and guide management of symptomatic patients with nonobstructive CAD. Figure 1. Odds ratios for ischemia. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Institutes of Health - National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute

Background Evolving evidence suggests unique sex-specific mechanisms underlying coronary artery disease (CAD). However, it remains unknown if certain coronary atherosclerotic features confer a higher risk for ischemia in women versus men. Purpose To determine the association between coronary atherosclerotic features on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and ischemia by invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR) in women versus men. Methods Secondary analysis of the CREDENCE trial, including patients referred for nonemergent invasive coronary angiography (ICA). All patients underwent CCTA with semi-automatic quantification of coronary atherosclerosis, as well as ICA with FFR interrogation of all major epicardial arteries ≥2 mm. Generalized estimating equations were calculated to assess the association between coronary atherosclerotic features and invasive vessel-specific ischemia (FFR ≤0.80). Sex interactions were tested, adjusted for age. Results From 612 patients (mean age 64±10 years, 30% women) with 1,686 analyzed vessels, a total of 436 (26%) vessels were ischemic. Women were significantly older than men (p30% stenosis (p=0.030), noncalcified PAV Conclusion Our results support a prominent influence of coronary atherosclerotic features that uniquely impact ischemic risk among women more so than men. These data support the role of CCTA for providing valuable information to guide management of symptomatic women. Figure 1. Ischemic risk in women vs. men Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Institutes of Health - National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute

Background Atherosclerotic plaques in the left circumflex artery (LCx) are associated with a lower risk of future events than plaques in the right coronary artery (RCA) and left anterior descending artery (LAD). High risk plaque subtypes including necrotic core and fibrofatty plaque can be evaluated on computed coronary tomography angiography (CCTA) by Hounsfield Unit (HU) density. To date, little is known regarding differences in high risk plaque composition between major epicardial vessels. Purpose The aim of this analysis was to compare plaque extent and composition between the three coronary arteries. Methods This is a secondary analysis of baseline scans from the PARADIGM study which enrolled consecutive patients with suspected coronary artery disease undergoing serial CCTA at a scan interval of ≥2 years. Plaque quantification by composition was performed in the three coronary arteries based on fixed HU thresholds: high risk subtypes consisting of necrotic core ( Results From 1,271 patients (mean age 60.3±9.3 years; 57% men; median ASCVD score 9.3%), 3,813 vessels were analyzed. The prevalence of any plaque was lowest in the LCx, as was the prevalence of high risk plaque (Figure; P Conclusion Prevalence of any plaque as well as high risk plaque subtypes was significantly higher in the LAD and RCA than in the LCx. Also, high risk plaque subtypes made up significantly the lowest proportion in the LCx, whereas calcified plaque made up the largest proportion in the LCx. These data support a different atherogenic milieu contributing to the variable risk patterns between the epicardial coronary arteries. Figure 1. Prevalence of (high risk) plaque Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): This work was supported by the Leading Foreign Research Institute Recruitment Program through the National Research Foundation (NRF) of Korea funded by the Ministry of Science and ICT (MSIT) (Grant no. 2012027176).

Background It is unclear whether the annual progression of aortic valve calcification (AVC) is associated with the progression of coronary atherosclerosis. Purpose We explored the association between AVC and the total and compositional plaque volume (PV) progression. Methods We performed a prospective multinational registry of consecutive patients who underwent serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) at ≥2-year intervals. AVC, and total and compositional PV at baseline and follow-up were quantitatively analyzed. Multivariate linear regression models were constructed. Results Overall, 594 patients (56% male, 61.5±9.7 years old) were included (mean coronary CTA interval, 3.9±1.5 years). At baseline, AVC was 30.9±117.3. Normalized total PV at baseline was 122.3±219.4mm3, encompassing 41.9±116.8mm3 of calcified PV and 80.4±131.5mm3 of non-calcified PV. After adjustment of age, sex, clinical risk factors, and drug use, AVC at baseline was independently associated with total and all compositional PVs (all p0.05) (Table, Figure). Conclusion The overall burden of coronary atherosclerosis is associated with AVC at baseline. However, the progression of AVC is associated only with the progression of calcified PV but not with that of total and non-calcified PV. Representative case Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): The National Research Foundation (NRF) of Korea funded by the Ministry of Science and ICT (MSIT)

Background The current study aimed to examine the independent prognostic value of whole-heart atherosclerosis progression by serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Methods The multi-center PARADIGM study includes patients undergoing serial CCTA for symptomatic reasons, ≥2 years apart. Whole-heart atherosclerosis was characterized on a segmental level, with co-registration of baseline and follow-up CCTA, and summed to per-patient level. The independent prognostic significance of atherosclerosis progression for MACE (non-fatal myocardial infarction [MI], death, unplanned coronary revascularization) was examined. Patients experiencing interval MACE were not omitted. Results The study population comprised 1166 patients (age 60.5 ​± ​9.5 years, 54.7% male) who experienced 139 MACE events during 8.2 (IQR 6.2, 9.5) years of follow up (15 death, 5 non-fatal MI, 119 unplanned revascularizations). Whole-heart percent atheroma volume (PAV) increased from 2.32% at baseline to 4.04% at follow-up. Adjusted for baseline PAV, the annualized increase in PAV was independently associated with MACE: OR 1.23 (95% CI 1.08, 1.39) per 1 standard deviation increase, which was consistent in multiple subpopulations. When categorized by composition, only non-calcified plaque progression associated independently with MACE, while calcified plaque did not. Restricting to patients without events before follow-up CCTA, those with future MACE showed an annualized increase in PAV of 0.93% (IQR 0.34, 1.96) vs 0.32% (IQR 0.02, 0.90), P ​ Conclusions Whole-heart atherosclerosis progression examined by serial CCTA is independently associated with MACE, with a prognostic threshold of 1.0% increase in PAV per year.

Key PointsQuestionAre atherosclerotic plaque measurements associated with physiologic measures of invasive fractional flow reserve? FindingsIn this analysis of the CREDENCE clinical trial that included 612 patients, nonobstructive and obstructive measures of atherosclerotic plaque were significantly associated with invasive fractional flow reserve. A comprehensive set of atherosclerotic plaque features improved the accuracy of classifying vessel-specific reduced fractional flow reserve vs rest/stress myocardial perfusion imaging measurements. MeaningUsing coronary computed tomographic angiography for detection of atherosclerotic plaque features associated with coronary physiology may improve diagnostic certainty and guide clinical management of symptomatic patients.ImportanceStress imaging has been the standard for diagnosing functionally significant coronary artery disease. It is unknown whether novel, atherosclerotic plaque measures improve accuracy beyond coronary stenosis for diagnosing invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR) measurement. ObjectiveTo compare the diagnostic accuracy of comprehensive anatomic (obstructive and nonobstructive atherosclerotic plaque) vs functional imaging measures for estimating vessel-specific FFR. Design, Setting, and ParticipantsControlled clinical trial of diagnostic accuracy with a multicenter derivation-validation cohort of patients referred for nonemergent invasive coronary angiography. A total of 612 patients (64 [10] years; 30% women) with signs and symptoms suggestive of myocardial ischemia from 23 sites were included. Patients were recruited from 2014 to 2017. Data analysis began in August 2018. InterventionsPatients underwent invasive coronary angiography with measurement of invasive FFR, coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) quantification of atherosclerotic plaque and FFR by CT (FFR-CT), and semiquantitative scoring of rest/stress myocardial perfusion imaging (by magnetic resonance, positron emission tomography, or single photon emission CT). Multivariable generalized linear mixed models were derived and validated calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve. Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary end point was invasive FFR of 0.80 or less. ResultsOf the 612 patients, the mean (SD) age was 64 (10) years, and 426 (69.9%) were men. An invasive FFR of 0.80 or less was measured in 26.5% of 1727 vessels. In the derivation cohort, CCTA vessel-specific factors associated with FFR 0.80 or less were stenosis severity, percentage of noncalcified atheroma volume, lumen volume, the number of lesions with high-risk plaque (>= 2 of low attenuation plaque, positive remodeling, napkin ring sign, or spotty calcification), and the number of lesions with stenosis greater than 30%. Fractional flow reserve-CT was not additive to this model including stenosis and atherosclerotic plaque. Significant myocardial perfusion imaging predictors were the summed rest and difference scores. In the validation cohort, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were 0.81 for CCTA vs 0.67 for myocardial perfusion imaging (P

To determine whether the assessment of individual plaques is superior in predicting the progression to obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) on serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) than per-patient assessment. From a multinational registry of 2252 patients who underwent serial CCTA at a ≥ 2-year inter-scan interval, patients with only non-obstructive lesions at baseline were enrolled. CCTA was quantitatively analyzed at both the per-patient and per-lesion level. Models predicting the development of an obstructive lesion at follow up using either the per-patient or per-lesion level CCTA measures were constructed and compared. From 1297 patients (mean age 60 ± 9 years, 43% men) enrolled, a total of 3218 non-obstructive lesions were identified at baseline. At follow-up (inter-scan interval: 3.8 ± 1.6 years), 76 lesions (2.4%, 60 patients) became obstructive, defined as > 50% diameter stenosis. The C-statistics of Model 1, adjusted only by clinical risk factors, was 0.684. The addition of per-patient level total plaque volume (PV) and the presence of high-risk plaque (HRP) features to Model 1 improved the C-statistics to 0.825 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.823-0.827]. When per-lesion level PV and the presence of HRP were added to Model 1, the predictive value of the model improved the C-statistics to 0.895 [95% CI 0.893-0.897]. The model utilizing per-lesion level CCTA measures was superior to the model utilizing per-patient level CCTA measures in predicting the development of an obstructive lesion (p

BACKGROUND: The association of age with coronary plaque dynamics is not well characterized by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). METHODS: From a multinational registry of patients who underwent serial CCTA, 1153 subjects (61 ± 5 years old, 61.1% male) were analyzed. Annualized volume changes of total, fibrous, fibrofatty, necrotic core, and dense calcification plaque components of the whole heart were compared by age quartile groups. Clinical events, a composite of all-cause death, acute coronary syndrome, and any revascularization after 30 days of the initial CCTA, were also analyzed. Random forest analysis was used to define the relative importance of age on plaque progression. RESULTS: With a 3.3-years' median interval between the two CCTA, the median annual volume changes of total plaque in each age quartile group was 7.8, 10.5, 10.8, and 12.1 mm3/year and for dense calcification, 2.5, 4.6, 5.4, and 7.1 mm3/year, both of which demonstrated a tendency to increase by age (p-for-trend = 0.001 and

Aims In patients without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), we examined the prognostic value of risk factors and atherosclerotic extent. Methods and results Patients from the long-term CONFIRM registry without prior CAD and without obstructive (≥50%) stenosis were included. Within the groups of normal coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) (N = 1849) and non-obstructive CAD (N = 1698), the prognostic value of traditional clinical risk factors and atherosclerotic extent (segment involvement score, SIS) was assessed with Cox models. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or late revascularization. In total, 3547 patients were included (age 57.9 ± 12.1 years, 57.8% male), experiencing 460 MACE during 5.4 years of follow-up. Age, body mass index, hypertension, and diabetes were the clinical variables associated with increased MACE risk, but the magnitude of risk was higher for CCTA defined atherosclerotic extent; adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for SIS >5 was 3.4 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.3–4.9) while HR for diabetes and hypertension were 1.7 (95% CI 1.3–2.2) and 1.4 (95% CI 1.1–1.7), respectively. Exclusion of revascularization as endpoint did not modify the results. In normal CCTA, presence of ≥1 traditional risk factors did not worsen prognosis (log-rank P = 0.248), while it did in non-obstructive CAD (log-rank P = 0.025). Adjusted for SIS, hypertension and diabetes predicted MACE risk in non-obstructive CAD, while diabetes did not increase risk in absence of CAD (P-interaction = 0.004). Conclusion Among patients without obstructive CAD, the extent of CAD provides more prognostic information for MACE than traditional cardiovascular risk factors. An interaction was observed between risk factors and CAD burden, suggesting synergistic effects of both.

Contains fulltext : 220894.pdf (Publisher’s version ) (Closed access) AIMS: We aimed to compare semiquantitative coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) risk scores - which score presence, extent, composition, stenosis and/or location of coronary artery disease (CAD) - and their prognostic value between patients with and without diabetes mellitus (DM). Risk scores derived from general chest-pain populations are often challenging to apply in DM patients, because of numerous confounders. METHODS: Out of a combined cohort from the Leiden University Medical Center and the CONFIRM registry with 5-year follow-up data, we performed a secondary analysis in diabetic patients with suspected CAD who were clinically referred for CCTA. A total of 732 DM patients was 1:1 propensity-matched with 732 non-DM patients by age, sex and cardiovascular risk factors. A subset of 7 semiquantitative CCTA risk scores was compared between groups: 1) any stenosis ≥50%, 2) any stenosis ≥70%, 3) stenosis-severity component of the coronary artery disease-reporting and data system (CAD-RADS), 4) segment involvement score (SIS), 5) segment stenosis score (SSS), 6) CT-adapted Leaman score (CT-LeSc), and 7) Leiden CCTA risk score. Cox-regression analysis was performed to assess the association between the scores and the primary endpoint of all-cause death and non-fatal myocardial infarction. Also, area under the receiver-operating characteristics curves were compared to evaluate discriminatory ability. RESULTS: A total of 1,464 DM and non-DM patients (mean age 58 ± 12 years, 40% women) underwent CCTA and 155 (11%) events were documented after median follow-up of 5.1 years. In DM patients, the 7 semiquantitative CCTA risk scores were significantly more prevalent or higher as compared to non-DM patients (p ≤ 0.022). All scores were independently associated with the primary endpoint in both patients with and without DM (p ≤ 0.020), with non-significant interaction between the scores and diabetes (interaction p ≥ 0.109). Discriminatory ability of the Leiden CCTA risk score in DM patients was significantly better than any stenosis ≥50% and ≥70% (p = 0.003 and p = 0.007, respectively), but comparable to the CAD-RADS, SIS, SSS and CT-LeSc that also focus on the extent of CAD (p ≥ 0.265). CONCLUSION: Coronary atherosclerosis scoring with semiquantitative CCTA risk scores incorporating the total extent of CAD discriminate major adverse cardiac events well, and might be useful for risk stratification of patients with DM beyond the binary evaluation of obstructive stenosis alone.

Background The association between triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and coronary atherosclerotic change remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the association between TyG index and coronary plaque progression (PP) using serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). Methods A total of 1143 subjects (aged 60.7 ± 9.3 years, 54.6% male) who underwent serial CCTA with available data on TyG index and diabetic status were analyzed from The Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque DetermIned by Computed TomoGraphic Angiography IMaging (PARADIGM) registry. PP was defined as plaque volume (PV) (mm3) at follow-up minus PV at index > 0. Annual change of PV (mm3/year) was defined as PV change divided by inter-scan period. Rapid PP was defined as the progression of percent atheroma volume (PV divided by vessel volume multiplied by 100) ≥ 1.0%/year. Results The median inter-scan period was 3.2 (range 2.6–4.4) years. All participants were stratified into three groups based on TyG index tertiles. The overall incidence of PP was 77.3%. Baseline total PV (group I [lowest]: 30.8 (0.0–117.7), group II: 47.2 (6.2–160.4), and group III [highest]: 57.5 (8.4–154.3); P Conclusion TyG index is an independent predictive marker for the progression of coronary atherosclerosis. Clinical registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02803411

Background and aims The Agatston coronary artery calcium score (CACS) method may fail to identify small or less dense coronary calcification that can be detected on coronary CT angiography (CCTA). We investigated the prevalence and prognostic importance of subtle calcified plaques on CCTA among individuals with CACS 0. Methods From the prospective multicenter CONFIRM registry, we evaluated patients without known CAD who underwent CAC scan and CCTA. CACS was categorized as 0, 1–10, 11–100, 101–400, and >400. Patients with CACS 0 were stratified according to the visual presence of coronary plaques on CCTA. Plaque composition was categorized as non-calcified (NCP), mixed (MP) and calcified (CP). The primary outcome was a major adverse cardiac event (MACE) which was defined as death and myocardial infarction. Results Of 4049 patients, 1741 (43%) had a CACS 0. NCP and subtle calcified plaques (MP or CP) were detected by CCTA in 110 patients (6% of CACS 0) and 64 patients (4% of CACS 0), respectively. During a 5.6 years median follow-up (IQR 5.1–6.2 years), 413 MACE events occurred (13%). Patients with CACS 0 and MP/CP detected by CCTA had similar MACE risk compared to patients with CACS 1–10 (p = 0.868). In patients with CACS 0, after adjustment for risk factors and symptom, MP/CP was associated with an increased MACE risk compared to those with entirely normal CCTA (HR 2.39, 95% CI [1.09–5.24], p = 0.030). Conclusions A small, but non-negligible proportion of patients with CACS 0 had identifiable coronary calcification, which was associated with increased MACE risk. Modifying CAC image acquisition and/or scoring methods could improve the detection of subtle coronary calcification.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the current study was to explore the impact of plaque calcification in terms of absolute calcified plaque volume (CPV) and in the context of its percentage of the total plaque volume at a lesion and patient level on the progression of coronary artery disease. BACKGROUND: Coronary artery calcification is an established marker of risk of future cardiovascular events. Despite this, plaque calcification is also considered a marker of plaque stability, and it increases in response to medical therapy. METHODS: This analysis included 925 patients with 2,568 lesions from the PARADIGM (Progression of Atherosclerotic Plaque Determined by Computed Tomographic Angiography Imaging) registry, in which patients underwent clinically indicated serial coronary computed tomography angiography. Plaque calcification was examined by using CPV and percent CPV (PCPV), calculated as (CPV/plaque volume) × 100 at a per-plaque and per-patient level (summation of all individual plaques). RESULTS: CPV was strongly correlated with plaque volume (r = 0.780; p < 0.001) at baseline and with plaque progression (r = 0.297; p < 0.001); however, this association was reversed after accounting for plaque volume at baseline (r = -0.146; p < 0.001). In contrast, PCPV was an independent predictor of a reduction in plaque volume (r = -0.11; p < 0.001) in univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses. Patient-level analysis showed that high CPV was associated with incident major adverse cardiac events (hazard ratio: 3.01: 95% confidence interval: 1.58 to 5.72), whereas high PCPV was inversely associated with major adverse cardiac events (hazard ratio: 0.529; 95% confidence interval: 0.229 to 0.968) in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Calcified plaque is a marker for risk of adverse events and disease progression due to its strong association with the total plaque burden. When considered as a percentage of the total plaque volume, increasing PCPV is a marker of plaque stability and reduced risk at both a lesion and patient level. (Progression of Atherosclerotic Plaque Determined by Computed Tomographic Angiography Imaging [PARADIGM]; NCT02803411).

OBJECTIVES:This study sought to describe the impact of statins on individual coronary atherosclerotic plaques. BACKGROUND:Although statins reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events, their long-term effects on coronary atherosclerosis remain unclear. METHODS:We performed a prospective, multinational study consisting of a registry of consecutive patients without history of coronary artery disease who underwent serial coronary computed tomography angiography at an interscan interval of ≥2 years. Atherosclerotic plaques were quantitatively analyzed for percent diameter stenosis (%DS), percent atheroma volume (PAV), plaque composition, and presence of high-risk plaque (HRP), defined by the presence of ≥2 features of low-attenuation plaque, positive arterial remodeling, or spotty calcifications. RESULTS:Among 1,255 patients (60 ± 9 years of age; 57% men), 1,079 coronary artery lesions were evaluated in statin-naive patients (n = 474), and 2,496 coronary artery lesions were evaluated in statin-taking patients (n = 781). Compared with lesions in statin-naive patients, those in statin-taking patients displayed a slower rate of overall PAV progression (1.76 ± 2.40% per year vs. 2.04 ± 2.37% per year, respectively; p = 0.002) but more rapid progression of calcified PAV (1.27 ± 1.54% per year vs. 0.98 ± 1.27% per year, respectively; p 50% DS were not different (1.0% vs. 1.4%, respectively; p > 0.05). Statins were associated with a 21% reduction in annualized total PAV progression above the median and 35% reduction in HRP development. CONCLUSIONS:Statins were associated with slower progression of overall coronary atherosclerosis volume, with increased plaque calcification and reduction of high-risk plaque features. Statins did not affect the progression of percentage of stenosis severity of coronary artery lesions but induced phenotypic plaque transformation. (Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque DetermIned by Computed TomoGraphic Angiography Imaging [PARADIGM]; NCT02803411).

Background This study examines the relationship between epicardial fat volume (EFV) and lesion-specific ischemia by fractional flow reserve (FFR). Methods In a study of 173 patients (63.0 ± 8.3 years) undergoing FFR, EFV was determined using cardiac computed tomography. Relationships between EFV and FFR were assessed using multivariable linear and logistic regression. Results Using multivariable linear and logistic regression, no association between EFV and FFR was observed (β [SE] = −0.001 [0.003], P = 0.6, OR [95% CI]: 1.02 [0.94–1.11], P = 0.64, respectively). Conclusion In patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease undergoing invasive angiography, EFV was not associated with FFR.

Our objective was to assess the prognostic value of symptom typicality in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), determined by coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA). We identified 4215 patients without prior history of CAD and without obstructive CAD (

Objectives The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a simple-to-use nomogram for prediction of 5-, 10-, and 15-year survival among asymptomatic adults. Background Simple-to-use prognostication tools that incorporate robust methods such as coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) for predicting near-, intermediate- and long-term mortality are warranted. Methods In a consecutive series of 9,715 persons (mean age: 53.4 ± 10.5 years; 59.3% male) undergoing CACS, we developed a nomogram using Cox proportional hazards regression modeling that included: age, sex, smoking, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, family history of coronary artery disease, and CACS. We developed a prognostic index (PI) summing the number of risk points corresponding to weighted covariates, which was used to configure the nomogram. Validation of the nomogram was assessed by discrimination and calibration applied to a separate cohort of 7,824 adults who also underwent CACS. Results A total of 936 and 294 deaths occurred in the derivation and validation sets at a median follow-up of 14.6 years (interquartile range: 13.7 to 15.5 years) and 9.4 years (interquartile range: 6.8 to 11.5 years), respectively. The developed model effectively predicted 5-, 10-, and 15-year probability of survival. The PI displayed high discrimination in the derivation and validation sets (C-index 0.74 and 0.76, respectively), indicating suitable external performance of our nomogram model. The predicted and actual estimates of survival in each dataset according to PI quartiles were similar (though not identical), demonstrating improved model calibration. Conclusions A simple-to-use nomogram effectively predicts 5-, 10- and 15-year survival for asymptomatic adults undergoing screening for cardiac risk factors. This nomogram may be considered for use in clinical care.

Objectives This study sought to assess clinical outcomes associated with the novel Coronary Artery Disease–Reporting and Data System (CAD-RADS) scores used to standardize coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) reporting and their potential utility in guiding post-coronary CTA care. Background Clinical decision support is a major focus of health care policies aimed at improving guideline-directed care. Recently, CAD-RADS was developed to standardize coronary CTA reporting and includes clinical recommendations to facilitate patient management after coronary CTA. Methods In the multinational CONFIRM (COronary CT Angiography EvaluatioN For Clinical Outcomes: An InteRnational Multicenter) registry, 5,039 patients without known coronary artery disease (CAD) underwent coronary CTA and were stratified by CAD-RADS scores, which rank CAD stenosis severity as 0 (0%), 1 (1% to 24%), 2 (25% to 49%), 3 (50% to 69%), 4A (70% to 99% in 1 to 2 vessels), 4B (70% to 99% in 3 vessels or ≥50% left main), or 5 (100%). Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox models were used to estimate all-cause mortality or myocardial infarction (MI). Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare CAD-RADS to the Duke CAD Index and traditional CAD classification. Referrals to invasive coronary angiography (ICA) after coronary CTA were also assessed. Results Cumulative 5-year event-free survival ranged from 95.2% to 69.3% for CAD-RADS 0 to 5 (p Conclusions CAD-RADS effectively identified patients at risk for adverse events. Frequent ICA use was observed among patients without severe CAD, many of whom were asymptomatic or not taking antianginal drugs. Incorporating CAD-RADS into coronary CTA reports may provide a novel opportunity to promote evidence-based care post-coronary CTA.

Background and aims Studies evaluating the relationship between dense coronary calcium (DC) and myocardial ischemia have had incongruent results. We sought to clarify whether DC, as detected by computed coronary tomographic angiography (CCTA), is an independent predictor of ischemia as measured by invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR). Methods In total, 249 (399 lesions) stable patients undergoing CCTA and invasive FFR were enrolled for this post-hoc analysis. DC was defined as plaque with ≥350 HU using quantification software, and ischemia was defined as FFR ≤0.80. We evaluated the relationship of dense calcium volume (DCV), lesion plaque volume (LPV), non-calcified plaque volume (NCV), and area stenosis (AS) with ischemia using logistic regression reporting odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Results Mean age was 63.0 ± 8.6 years, and 73 (29.3%) were female. Mean DCV was higher in lesions with FFR ≤0.80 (57.0 ± 54.7 mm 3 vs. 37.6 ± 49.5 mm 3 , [ p p p p = 0.69) was independently associated with ischemia. Conclusions Dense calcium is not an independent predictor of ischemia, but rather a marker of aggregate LPV, which in turn, is predictive of ischemia.

Background Although coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) has shown promise as a “gatekeeper” to invasive coronary angiography (ICA) in longitudinal cohort studies, it remains unknown whether the strategy of selective ICA by initial performance of CCTA is either safe or effective when compared with a direct ICA strategy in patients with an American Heart Association (AHA)/American College of Cardiology (ACC) guideline–directed indication for ICA. Objectives The CONSERVE trial is a prospective randomized multicenter trial to determine the clinical effectiveness of “selective catheterization” vs “direct catheterization” strategies for stable patients with suspected but without known coronary artery disease, who meet AHA/ACC guideline indication for ICA. Methods Patients being referred for clinically indicated nonemergent ICA with an AHA/ACC class II guideline indication for ICA will be randomized to either direct catheterization or selective catheterization strategy. Patients in the direct catheterization arm will proceed directly to ICA as planned, whereas patients in the select catheterization arm will undergo initial CCTA, followed by ICA at the discretion of the site physician. All CCTAs and ICAs will be interpreted on site. Follow-up testing and/or therapy after CCTA or ICA will be at the discretion of the site physician. Results This trial will report a primary clinical end point of noninferiority rates of major adverse cardiac events, as defined by the composite of death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina, stroke, urgent or emergent coronary revascularization, or cardiac hospitalization. Conclusion The CONSERVE trial will determine whether selective catheterization strategy, based on initial CCTA in patients being referred to ICA, is safe and effective.

Background and aims Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) permits effective identification of diffuse CAD and atherosclerotic plaque characteristics (APCs). We sought to examine the usefulness of diffuse CAD beyond luminal narrowing and APCs by CCTA to detect vessel-specific ischemia. Methods 407 vessels (n = 252 patients) from the DeFACTO diagnostic accuracy study were retrospectively analyzed for percent plaque diffuseness (PD). Percent plaque diffuseness (PD) was obtained on per-vessel level by summation of all contiguous lesion lengths and divided by total vessel length, and was logarithmically transformed (log percent PD). Additional CCTA measures of stenosis severity including minimal lumen diameter (MLD), and APCs, such as positive remodeling (PR) and low attenuation plaque (LAP), were also included. Vessel-specific ischemia was defined as fractional flow reserve (FFR) ≤0.80. Multivariable regression, discrimination by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and category-free net reclassification improvement (cNRI) were assessed. Results Backward stepwise logistic regression revealed that for every unit increase in log percent PD, there was a 58% (95% CI: 1.01–2.48, p = 0.048) rise in the odds of having an abnormal FFR, independent of stenosis severity and APCs. The AUC indicated no further improvement in discriminatory ability after adding log percent PD to the final parsimonious model of MLD, PR, and LAP (AUC difference: 0.003, 95% CI: −0.003–0.010, p = 0.33). Conversely, adding log percent PD to the base model of MLD, PR, and LAP improved cNRI by 0.21 (95% CI: 0.01–0.41, p Conclusions Accounting for diffuse CAD may help improve the accuracy of CCTA for detecting vessel-specific ischemia.

Item does not contain fulltext OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to assess the prognostic value of a new comprehensive coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) score compared with the stenosis severity component of the Coronary Artery Disease-Reporting and Data System (CAD-RADS). BACKGROUND: Current risk assessment with coronary CTA is mainly focused on maximal stenosis severity. Integration of plaque extent, location, and composition in a comprehensive model may improve risk stratification. METHODS: A total of 2,134 patients with suspected but without known CAD were included. The predictive value of the comprehensive CTA score (ranging from 0 to 42 and divided into 3 groups: 0 to 5, 6 to 20, and >20) was compared with the CAD-RADS combined into 3 groups (0% to 30%, 30% to 70% and >/=70% stenosis). Its predictive performance was internally and externally validated (using the 5-year follow-up dataset of the CONFIRM [Coronary CT Angiography Evaluation for Clinical Outcomes: An International Multicenter Registry], n = 1,971). RESULTS: The mean age of patients was 55 +/- 13 years, mean follow-up 3.6 +/- 2.8 years, and 130 events (myocardial infarction or death) occurred. The new, comprehensive CTA score showed strong and independent predictive value using the Cox proportional hazard analysis. A model including clinical variables plus comprehensive CTA score showed better discrimination of events compared with a model consisting of clinical variables plus CAD-RADS (0.768 vs. 0.742, p = 0.001). Also, the comprehensive CTA score correctly reclassified a significant proportion of patients compared with the CAD-RADS (net reclassification improvement 12.4%, p < 0.001). Good predictive accuracy was reproduced in the external validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The new comprehensive CTA score provides better discrimination and reclassification of events compared with the CAD-RADS score based on stenosis severity only. The score retained similar prognostic accuracy when externally validated. Anatomic risk scores can be improved with the addition of extent, location, and compositional measures of atherosclerotic plaque. (Comprehensive CTA risk score calculator is available at: http://18.224.14.19/calcApp/).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS:Different methodologies to report whole-heart atherosclerotic plaque on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) have been utilized. We examined which of the three commonly used plaque burden definitions was least affected by differences in body surface area (BSA) and sex. METHODS:The PARADIGM study includes symptomatic patients with suspected coronary atherosclerosis who underwent serial CCTA >2 years apart. Coronary lumen, vessel, and plaque were quantified from the coronary tree on a 0.5mm cross-sectional basis by a core-lab, and summed to per-patient. Three quantitative methods of plaque burden were employed: (1) total plaque volume (PV) in mm3, (2) percent atheroma volume (PAV) in % [which equaled: PV/vessel volume * 100%], and (3) normalized total atheroma volume (TAVnorm) in mm3 [which equaled: PV/vessel length * mean population vessel length]. Only data from the baseline CCTA were used. PV, PAV, and TAVnorm were compared between patients in the top quartile of BSA vs the remaining, and between sexes. Associations between vessel volume, BSA, and the three plaque burden methodologies were assessed. RESULTS:The study population comprised 1479 patients (age 60.7±9.3 years, 58.4% male) who underwent CCTA. A total of 17,649 coronary artery segments were evaluated with a median of 12 (IQR 11-13) segments per-patient (from a 16-segment coronary tree). Patients with a large BSA (top quartile), compared with the remaining patients, had a larger PV and TAVnorm, but similar PAV. The relation between larger BSA and larger absolute plaque volume (PV and TAVnorm) was mediated by the coronary vessel volume. Independent from the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk (ASCVD) score, vessel volume correlated with PV (P&nbsp

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) is the optimal non-invasive test to rule out coronary artery disease (CAD). Decisions to perform coronary revascularization have traditionally been based upon ischemia testing. This review summarizes the latest observations and trials evaluating the suitability of CCTA to select patients for invasive coronary angiography (ICA) and subsequent revascularization. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent data shows that beyond stenosis, whole-heart quantification and characterization of coronary atherosclerotic plaque improves the estimation of myocardial ischemia. This comprehensive evaluation of the coronary artery tree has greater diagnostic accuracy for invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR) than conventional stress tests. Further, clinical trials have demonstrated that the performance of CCTA in patients with a clinical indication for ICA results in more effective patient care and significantly lower costs. SUMMARY: Besides the excellent ability to rule out CAD, recent data shows that quantification and characterization of the coronary artery tree results in high accuracy for ischemia and that CCTA-guided care to select patients for ICA and revascularization is effective. Trials evaluating revascularization based on CCTA findings may be needed.