1. Tracking the progressive spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in Italy, December 2021 to January 2022
- Author
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Stefanelli, Paola, Trentini, Filippo, Petrone, Daniele, Mammone, Alessia, Ambrosio, Luigina, Manica, Mattia, Guzzetta, Giorgio, D'Andrea, Valeria, Marziano, Valentina, Zardini, Agnese, Molina Grane', Carla, Ajelli, Marco, Di Martino, Angela, Riccardo, Flavia, Bella, Antonino, Sane Schepisi, Monica, Maraglino, Francesco, Poletti, Piero, Palamara, Anna Teresa, Brusaferro, Silvio, Rezza, Giovanni, Pezzotti, Patrizio, Merler, Stefano, Mencacci, A, Camilloni, B, and Stefanelli P, Trentini F, Petrone D, Mammone A, Ambrosio L, Manica M, Guzzetta G, d'Andrea V, Marziano V, Zardini A, Molina Grane' C, Ajelli M, Di Martino A, Riccardo F, Bella A, Sane Schepisi M, Maraglino F, Poletti P, Palamara AT, Brusaferro S, Rezza G, Pezzotti P, Merler S, Tramuto F
- Subjects
Base Sequence ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Epidemiology ,COVID–19, SARS–COV–2, DOUBLING TIME, GENOMIC SURVEY, OMICRON, PREVALENCE ,prevalence ,Vaccination ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,COVID-19 ,doubling time ,omicron ,Settore MED/42 - Igiene Generale E Applicata ,genomic survey ,Virology ,SARS–CoV–2 ,COVID–19 ,Humans - Abstract
Background The SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern Omicron was first detected in Italy in November 2021. Aim To comprehensively describe Omicron spread in Italy in the 2 subsequent months and its impact on the overall SARS-CoV-2 circulation at population level. Methods We analyse data from four genomic surveys conducted across the country between December 2021 and January 2022. Combining genomic sequencing results with epidemiological records collated by the National Integrated Surveillance System, the Omicron reproductive number and exponential growth rate are estimated, as well as SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility. Results Omicron became dominant in Italy less than 1 month after its first detection, representing on 3 January 76.9–80.2% of notified SARS-CoV-2 infections, with a doubling time of 2.7–3.3 days. As of 17 January 2022, Delta variant represented Conclusion Estimates suggest a marked growth advantage of Omicron compared with Delta variant, but lower disease severity at population level possibly due to residual immunity against severe outcomes acquired from vaccination and prior infection.
- Published
- 2022