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1. Modelling and measurement of carbon emissions under Arctic snow

Author

Rutter, N., Dutch, V., Mann, P., Wake, L., Derksen, C., Walker, B., Hould Gosselin, G., Sonnentag, O., Roy, A., Mavrovic, A., Essery, R., Voigt, C., Marsh, P., and Boike, J.

Abstract

Arctic carbon dioxide emissions during the winter months are frequently omitted from global carbon budgets, due to prior assumptions that their contribution is largely insignificant compared to other sources and seasons. This paradigm has recently been challenged, amid a growing awareness of the impact snow-ecosystem interactions have on respiration from high-latitude soils and overall carbon budgets. Through field measurements at Trail Valley Creek, NWT, Canada, and simulations using the Community Land Model 5.0, here we: consider how the representation of snow thermal conductivity in a Terrestrial Biosphere Model impacts simulated near-surface soil temperatures and net ecosystem exchange,report on new low-cost in-situ measurement techniques that aim to quantify carbon dioxide concentrations and fluxes within Arctic snowpacks.We anticipate new measurement techniques will help evaluate rates of production of carbon dioxide from frozen soils during winter months and address discrepancies between observed and simulated carbon dioxide emissions. Increased confidence in future simulations is important in a region that is highly characteristic of the high latitude critical zone, susceptible to permafrost thaw, and is warming two to three times as fast as the global average since the late twentieth century., The 28th IUGG General Assembly (IUGG2023) (Berlin 2023)

Published
2023
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2. New recommendations for snow water equivalent products: results from the international snow products intercomparison and evaluation exercise (SnowPEx+)

Author

Mudryk, L., Mortimer, C., Derksen, C., Cho, E., and Vuyovich, C.

Abstract

The SnowPEx+ initiative is a continuation of the original International Snow Products Intercomparison and Evaluation Exercise (SnowPEx), an international effort carried out under the umbrella of Global Cryosphere Watch / WMO and funded by the European Space Agency. We present the latest results concerning historical snow water equivalent products (SWE), which characterize climatological snow mass and snow mass trends.We assess a wide variety of products ranging from those based strictly on remote sensing information, blended Earth-observation products that include assimilation of ground measurements, reanalysis products of varying complexity, and snow models forced by reanalysis meteorology. We first provide a statistical assessment of product performance using two fully independent reference data sets. We demonstrate that we can robustly validate SWE product estimates in non-mountain regions where the evaluation statistics are comparable for both reference datasets. In mountainous regions, validation is complicated by systematic elevation-related biases between reference data and the assessed products, but we demonstrate that we can partially account for these biases in order to provide consistent product rankings. Secondly, we perform an intercomparison of product snow mass trends for various Northern Hemisphere subregions over the 1981-2020 period. We demonstrate good agreement among selected products. For blended Earth-observation products in particular, their agreement depends strongly on the period analyzed and is suggestive of discontinuities (related to both satellite and surface measurements) occurring during 1987 and 2008. Based on the combined validation and intercomparison results, we make recommendations for appropriate use for individual products on a case by case basis., The 28th IUGG General Assembly (IUGG2023) (Berlin 2023)

Published
2023
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3. Exploiting optical remote sensing of tundra snow cover in evaluating climate models

Author

Essery, R., Derksen, C., Marsh, P., Nagler, T., Schwaizer, G., Tutton, R., and Walker, B.

Abstract

Seasonal snow cover extent is an essential climate variable that is, in principle, easy to measure with optical remote sensing because of the high contrast in albedo between snow and snow-free ground. In practice, however, the amount of information is severely limited by cloud cover globally and seasonal darkness at high latitudes. The European Space Agency snow cci project has now generated long-term global, daily snow cover products from AVHRR (1982-2018 at 5 km resolution) and MODIS (2000-2020 at 1 km resolution). To investigate the information content of these products and the level of uncertainty in gap filling with data assimilation for Arctic tundra snow, we take advantage of newly available in situ 1991-2022 meteorological time series for Trail Valley Creek, Northwest Territories, Canada. As a contribution to the ESM-SnowMIP project, we evaluate the ability of snow cover observations with and without gap filling to discriminate between climate model simulations submitted for CMIP6., The 28th IUGG General Assembly (IUGG2023) (Berlin 2023)

Published
2023
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4. Winter CO2 emissions at an Arctic tundra site under bias-corrected NA-CORDEX RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 conditions

Author

Wake, L., Rutherford, J., Rutter, N., Cannon, A., Qu, B., Dutch, V., Mann, P., Derksen, C., Walker, B., Gosselin, G., Sonnentag, O., Roy, A., Voigt, C., Marsh, P., and Boike, J.

Abstract

Arctic permafrost soils are estimated to contain 1700 Gt of carbon and a warming climate signals more rapid release of CO2 from these environments, further exacerbating the warming effect of greenhouse gases. CO2 emissions from Arctic soils during the cold season were previously thought to be negligible; this is not the case and their contribution to the overall annual carbon budget is expected to increase in a warming world.Few observational and modelling studies have been directed at Arctic cold season carbon cycling processes, ultimately making any future projections of CO2 release unreliable. This unreliability is compounded by uncertainty in (1) the land component of Earth System Models regarding the parameterizations of biogeophysical and biogeochemical processes driving CO2 release during winter and (2) projections of future climate in the Arctic.Here, we use the CLM5.0 model in point mode for Trail Valley Creek near Inuvik NT, forced by ERA5 reanalysis to evaluate the performance of CLM5.0 for present-day conditions using flux tower measurements of net ecosystem CO2 exchange as model constraints. We then apply a bias-corrected NA-CORDEX ensemble of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios to quantify the variability in future winter CO2 emissions due to (1) model uncertainty in future climate conditions and (2) parameter uncertainty in CLM5.0 relating to the temperature sensitivity of soil respiration (Q10), the moisture threshold for soil decomposition and the thermal conductivity scheme for the snow layer. The latter is a strong control on the thermal evolution of soil temperature, and therefore soil respiration during the winter., The 28th IUGG General Assembly (IUGG2023) (Berlin 2023)

Published
2023
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6. State of the climate in 2017

Author

Abernethy, R, Ackerman, SA, Adler, R, Albanil Encarnación, A, Aldeco, LS, Alfaro, EJ, Aliaga-Nestares, V, Allan, RP, Allan, R, Alves, LM, Amador, JA, Anderson, J, Andreassen, LM, Argüez, A, Armitage, C, Arndt, DS, Avalos, G, Azorin-Molina, C, Báez, J, Bardin, MY, Barichivich, J, Baringer, MO, Barreira, S, Baxter, S, Beck, HE, Becker, A, Bedka, KM, Behe, C, Bell, GD, Bellouin, N, Belmont, M, Benedetti, A, Bernhard, GH, Berrisford, P, Berry, DI, Bhatt, US, Bissolli, P, Bjerke, J, Blake, ES, Blenkinsop, S, Blunden, J, Bolmgren, K, Bosilovich, MG, Boucher, O, Bouchon, M, Box, JE, Boyer, T, Braathen, GO, Bromwich, DH, Brown, R, Buehler, S, Bulygina, ON, Burgess, D, Calderón, B, Camargo, SJ, Campbell, EC, Campbell, JD, Cappelen, J, Carrea, L, Carter, BR, Castro, A, Chambers, DP, Cheng, L, Christiansen, HH, Christy, JR, Chung, ES, Clem, KR, Coelho, CAS, Coldewey-Egbers, M, Colwell, S, Cooper, OR, Copland, L, Costanza, C, Covey, C, Coy, L, Cronin, T, Crouch, J, Cruzado, L, Daniel, R, Davis, SM, Davletshin, SG, De Eyto, E, De Jeu, RAM, De La Cour, JL, De Laat, J, De Gasperi, CL, Degenstein, D, Deline, P, Demircan, M, Derksen, C, Dewitte, B, Dhurmea, R, Di Girolamo, L, Diamond, HJ, Dickerson, C, Dlugokencky, EJ, Dohan, K, Dokulil, MT, Dolman, AJ, and Domingues, CM

Abstract

In 2017, the dominant greenhouse gases released into Earth's atmosphere-carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide-reached new record highs. The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration at Earth's surface for 2017 was 405.0 ± 0.1 ppm, 2.2 ppm greater than for 2016 and the highest in the modern atmospheric measurement record and in ice core records dating back as far as 800 000 years. The global growth rate of CO2 has nearly quadrupled since the early 1960s. With ENSO-neutral conditions present in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean during most of the year and weak La Niña conditions notable at the start and end, the global temperature across land and ocean surfaces ranked as the second or third highest, depending on the dataset, since records began in the mid-to-late 1800s. Notably, it was the warmest non-El Niño year in the instrumental record. Above Earth's surface, the annual lower tropospheric temperature was also either second or third highest according to all datasets analyzed. The lower stratospheric temperature was about 0.2°C higher than the record cold temperature of 2016 according to most of the in situ and satellite datasets. Several countries, including Argentina, Uruguay, Spain, and Bulgaria, reported record high annual temperatures. Mexico broke its annual record for the fourth consecutive year. On 27 January, the temperature reached 43.4°C at Puerto Madryn, Argentina-the highest temperature recorded so far south (43°S) anywhere in the world. On 28 May in Turbat, western Pakistan, the high of 53.5°C tied Pakistan's all-time highest temperature and became the world-record highest temperature for May. In the Arctic, the 2017 land surface temperature was 1.6°C above the 1981-2010 average, the second highest since the record began in 1900, behind only 2016. The five highest annual Arctic temperatures have all occurred since 2007. Exceptionally high temperatures were observed in the permafrost across the Arctic, with record values reported in much of Alaska and northwestern Canada. In August, high sea surface temperature (SST) records were broken for the Chukchi Sea, with some regions as warm as +11°C, or 3° to 4°C warmer than the longterm mean (1982-present). According to paleoclimate studies, today's abnormally warm Arctic air and SSTs have not been observed in the last 2000 years. The increasing temperatures have led to decreasing Arctic sea ice extent and thickness. On 7 March, sea ice extent at the end of the growth season saw its lowest maximum in the 37-year satellite record, covering 8% less area than the 1981-2010 average. The Arctic sea ice minimum on 13 September was the eighth lowest on record and covered 25% less area than the long-term mean. Preliminary data indicate that glaciers across the world lost mass for the 38th consecutive year on record; the declines are remarkably consistent from region to region. Cumulatively since 1980, this loss is equivalent to slicing 22 meters off the top of the average glacier. Antarctic sea ice extent remained below average for all of 2017, with record lows during the first four months. Over the continent, the austral summer seasonal melt extent and melt index were the second highest since 2005, mostly due to strong positive anomalies of air temperature over most of the West Antarctic coast. In contrast, the East Antarctic Plateau saw record low mean temperatures in March. The year was also distinguished by the second smallest Antarctic ozone hole observed since 1988. Across the global oceans, the overall long-term SST warming trend remained strong. Although SST cooled slightly from 2016 to 2017, the last three years produced the three highest annual values observed; these high anomalies have been associated with widespread coral bleaching. The most recent global coral bleaching lasted three full years, June 2014 to May 2017, and was the longest, most widespread, and almost certainly most destructive such event on record. Global integrals of 0-700-m and 0-2000-m ocean heat content reached record highs in 2017, and global mean sea level during the year became the highest annual average in the 25-year satellite altimetry record, rising to 77 mm above the 1993 average. In the tropics, 2017 saw 85 named tropical storms, slightly above the 1981-2010 average of 82. The North Atlantic basin was the only basin that featured an above-normal season, its seventh most active in the 164-year record. Three hurricanes in the basin were especially notable. Harvey produced record rainfall totals in areas of Texas and Louisiana, including a storm total of 1538.7 mm near Beaumont, Texas, which far exceeds the previous known U.S. tropical cyclone record of 1320.8 mm. Irma was the strongest tropical cyclone globally in 2017 and the strongest Atlantic hurricane outside of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean on record with maximum winds of 295 km h-1. Maria caused catastrophic destruction across the Caribbean Islands, including devastating wind damage and flooding across Puerto Rico. Elsewhere, the western North Pacific, South Indian, and Australian basins were all particularly quiet. Precipitation over global land areas in 2017 was clearly above the long-term average. Among noteworthy regional precipitation records in 2017, Russia reported its second wettest year on record (after 2013) and Norway experienced its sixth wettest year since records began in 1900. Across India, heavy rain and flood-related incidents during the monsoon season claimed around 800 lives. In August and September, above-normal precipitation triggered the most devastating floods in more than a decade in the Venezuelan states of Bolívar and Delta Amacuro. In Nigeria, heavy rain during August and September caused the Niger and Benue Rivers to overflow, bringing floods that displaced more than 100 000 people. Global fire activity was the lowest since at least 2003; however, high activity occurred in parts of North America, South America, and Europe, with an unusually long season in Spain and Portugal, which had their second and third driest years on record, respectively. Devastating fires impacted British Columbia, destroying 1.2 million hectares of timber, bush, and grassland, due in part to the region's driest summer on record. In the United States, an extreme western wildfire season burned over 4 million hectares; the total costs of $18 billion tripled the previous U.S. annual wildfire cost record set in 1991. ispartof: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society vol:99 issue:8 pages:Si-S310 status: published

Published
2018

7. State of the climate in 2016

Author

Aaron-Morrison, A. P., Ackerman, S. A., Adams, N. G., Adler, R. F., Albanil, A., Alfaro, E. J., Allan, R., Alves, L. M., Amador, J. A., Andreassen, L. M., Arendt, A., Arévalo, J., Arndt, D. S., Arzhanova, N. M., Aschan, M. M., Azorin-Molina, C., Banzon, V., Bardin, M. U., Barichivich, J., Baringer, M. O., Barreira, S., Baxter, S., Bazo, J., Becker, A., Bedka, K. M., Behrenfeld, M. J., Bell, G. D., Belmont, M., Benedetti, A., Bernhard, G., Berrisford, P., Berry, D. I., Bettolli, M. L., Bhatt, U. S., Bidegain, M., Bill, B. D., Billheimer, S., Bissolli, P., Blake, E. S., Blunden, J., Bosilovich, M. G., Boucher, O., Boudet, D., Box, J. E., Boyer, T., Braathen, G. O., Bromwich, D. H., Brown, R., Bulygina, O. N., Burgess, D., Calderón, B., Camargo, S. J., Campbell, J. D., Cappelen, J., Carrasco, G., Carter, B. R., Chambers, D. P., Chandler, E., Christiansen, H. H., Christy, J. R., Chung, D., Chung, E. S., Cinque, K., Clem, K. R., Coelho, C. A., Cogley, J. G., Coldewey-Egbers, M., Colwell, S., Cooper, O. R., Copland, L., Cosca, C. E., Cross, J. N., Crotwell, M. J., Crouch, J., Davis, S. M., Eyto, E., Jeu, R. A. M., Laat, J., Degasperi, C. L., Degenstein, D., Demircan, M., Derksen, C., Destin, D., Di Girolamo, L., Di Giuseppe, F., Diamond, H. J., Dlugokencky, E. J., Dohan, K., Dokulil, M. T., Dolgov, A. V., Dolman, A. J., Domingues, C. M., Donat, M. G., Dong, S., Dorigo, W. A., Dortch, Q., Doucette, G., Drozdov, D. S., Ducklow, H., Dunn, R. J. H., Durán-Quesada, A. M., Dutton, G. S., Ebrahim, A., Elkharrim, M., Elkins, J. W., Espinoza, J. C., Etienne-Leblanc, S., Evans, T. E., Famiglietti, J. S., Farrell, S., Fateh, S., Fausto, R. S., Fedaeff, N., Feely, R. A., Feng, Z., Fenimore, C., Fettweis, X., Fioletov, V. E., Flemming, J., Fogarty, C. T., Fogt, R. L., Folland, C., Fonseca, C., Fossheim, M., Foster, M. J., Fountain, A., Francis, S. D., Franz, B. A., Frey, R. A., Frith, S. M., Froidevaux, L., Ganter, C., Garzoli, S., Gerland, S., Gobron, N., Goldenberg, S. B., Gomez, R. S., Goni, G., Goto, A., Grooß, J. U., Gruber, A., Guard, C. C., Gugliemin, M., Gupta, S. K., Gutiérrez, J. M., Hagos, S., Hahn, S., Haimberger, L., Hakkarainen, J., Hall, B. D., Halpert, M. S., Hamlington, B. D., Hanna, E., Hansen, K., Hanssen-Bauer, I., Harris, I., Heidinger, A. K., Heikkilä, A., Heil, A., Heim, R. R., Hendricks, S., Hernández, M., Hidalgo, H. G., Hilburn, K., Ho, S. P. B., Holmes, R. M., Hu, Z. Z., Huang, B., Huelsing, H. K., Huffman, G. J., Hughes, C., Hurst, D. F., Ialongo, I., Ijampy, J. A., Ingvaldsen, R. B., Inness, A., Isaksen, K., Ishii, M., Jevrejeva, S., Jiménez, C., Jin, X., Johannesen, E., John, V., Johnsen, B., Johnson, B., Johnson, G. C., Jones, P. D., Joseph, A. C., Jumaux, G., Kabidi, K., Kaiser, J. W., Kato, S., Kazemi, A., Keller, L. M., Kendon, M., Kennedy, J., Kerr, K., Kholodov, A. L., Khoshkam, M., Killick, R., Kim, H., Kim, S. J., Kimberlain, T. B., Klotzbach, P. J., Knaff, J. A., Kobayashi, S., Kohler, J., Korhonen, J., Korshunova, N. N., Kovacs, K. M., Kramarova, N., Kratz, D. P., Kruger, A., Kruk, M. C., Kudela, R., Kumar, A., Lakatos, M., Lakkala, K., Lander, M. A., Landsea, C. W., Lankhorst, M., Lantz, K., Lazzara, M. A., Lemons, P., Leuliette, E., L’heureux, M., Lieser, J. L., Lin, I. I., Liu, H., Liu, Y., Locarnini, R., Loeb, N. G., Lo Monaco, C., Long, C. S., López Álvarez, L. A., Lorrey, A. M., Loyola, D., Lumpkin, R., Luo, J. J., Luojus, K., Lydersen, C., Lyman, J. M., Maberly, S. C., Maddux, B. C., Malheiros Ramos, A., Malkova, G. V., Manney, G., Marcellin, V., Marchenko, S. S., Marengo, J. A., Marra, J. J., Marszelewski, W., Martens, B., Martínez-Güingla, R., Massom, R. A., Mata, M. M., Mathis, J. T., May, L., Mayer, M., Mazloff, M., Mcbride, C., Mccabe, M. F., Mccarthy, M., Mcclelland, J. W., Mcgree, S., Mcvicar, T. R., Mears, C. A., Meier, W., Meinen, C. S., Mekonnen, A., Menéndez, M., Mengistu Tsidu, G., Menzel, W. P., Merchant, C. J., Meredith, M. P., Merrifield, M. A., Metzl, N., Minnis, P., Miralles, D. G., Mistelbauer, T., Mitchum, G. T., Monselesan, D., Monteiro, P., Montzka, S. A., Morice, C., Mote, T., Mudryk, L., Mühle, J., Mullan, A. B., Nash, E. R., Naveira-Garabato, A. C., Nerem, R. S., Newman, P. A., Nieto, J. J., Noetzli, J., O’neel, S., Osborn, T. J., Overland, J., Oyunjargal, L., Parinussa, R. M., Park, E. H., Parker, D., Parrington, M., Parsons, A. R., Pasch, R. J., Pascual-Ramírez, R., Paterson, A. M., Paulik, C., Pearce, P. R., Pelto, M. S., Peng, L., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., Perovich, D., Petropavlovskikh, I., Pezza, A. B., Phillips, D., Pinty, B., Pitts, M. C., Pons, M. R., Porter, A. O., Primicerio, R., Proshutinsky, A., Quegan, S., Quintana, J., Rahimzadeh, F., Rajeevan, M., Randriamarolaza, L., Razuvaev, V. N., Reagan, J., Reid, P., Reimer, C., Rémy, S., Renwick, J. A., Revadekar, J. V., Richter-Menge, J., Riffler, M., Rimmer, A., Rintoul, S., Robinson, D. A., Rodell, M., Rodríguez Solís, J. L., Romanovsky, V. E., Ronchail, J., Rosenlof, K. H., Roth, C., Rusak, J. A., Sabine, C. L., Sallée, J. B., Sánchez-Lugo, A., Santee, M. L., Sawaengphokhai, P., Sayouri, A., Scambos, T. A., Schemm, J., Schladow, S. G., Schmid, C., Schmid, M., Schmidtko, S., Schreck, C. J., Selkirk, H. B., Send, U., Sensoy, S., Setzer, A., Sharp, M., Shaw, A., Shi, L., Shiklomanov, A. I., Shiklomanov, N. I., Siegel, D. A., Signorini, S. R., Sima, F., Simmons, A. J., Smeets, C. J. P. P., Smith, S. L., Spence, J. M., Srivastava, A. K., Stackhouse, P. W., Stammerjohn, S., Steinbrecht, W., Stella, J. L., Stengel, M., Stennett-Brown, R., Stephenson, T. S., Strahan, S., Streletskiy, D. A., Sun-Mack, S., Swart, S., Sweet, W., Talley, L. D., Tamar, G., Tank, S. E., Taylor, M. A., Tedesco, M., Teubner, K., Thoman, R. L., Thompson, P., Thomson, L., Timmermans, M. L., Maxim Timofeyev, Tirnanes, J. A., Tobin, S., Trachte, K., Trainer, V. L., Tretiakov, M., Trewin, B. C., Trotman, A. R., Tschudi, M., As, D., Wal, R. S. W., A, R. J., Schalie, R., Schrier, G., Werf, G. R., Meerbeeck, C. J., Velicogna, I., Verburg, P., Vigneswaran, B., Vincent, L. A., Volkov, D., Vose, R. S., Wagner, W., Wåhlin, A., Wahr, J., Walsh, J., Wang, C., Wang, J., Wang, L., Wang, M., Wang, S. H., Wanninkhof, R., Watanabe, S., Weber, M., Weller, R. A., Weyhenmeyer, G. A., Whitewood, R., Wijffels, S. E., Wilber, A. C., Wild, J. D., Willett, K. M., Williams, M. J. M., Willie, S., Wolken, G., Wong, T., Wood, E. F., Woolway, R. I., Wouters, B., Xue, Y., Yamada, R., Yim, S. Y., Yin, X., Young, S. H., Yu, L., Zahid, H., Zambrano, E., Zhang, P., Zhao, G., Zhou, L., Ziemke, J. R., Love-Brotak, S. E., Gilbert, K., Maycock, T., Osborne, S., Sprain, M., Veasey, S. W., Ambrose, B. J., Griffin, J., Misch, D. J., Riddle, D. B., Young, T., Macias Fauria, M, Blunden, J, Arndt, D, Earth and Climate, Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, Clinical Developmental Psychology, Climate Change and Landscape Dynamics, and Molecular Cell Physiology

Subjects
Meteor (satellite), Atmospheric Science, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, 0208 environmental biotechnology, 02 engineering and technology, 01 natural sciences, 020801 environmental engineering, Geography, 13. Climate action, Climatology, SDG 13 - Climate Action, SDG 14 - Life Below Water, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Abstract

In 2016, the dominant greenhouse gases released into Earth's atmosphere-carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide-continued to increase and reach new record highs. The 3.5 +/- 0.1 ppm rise in global annual mean carbon dioxide from 2015 to 2016 was the largest annual increase observed in the 58-year measurement record. The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration at Earth's surface surpassed 400 ppm (402.9 +/- 0.1 ppm) for the first time in the modern atmospheric measurement record and in ice core records dating back as far as 800000 years. One of the strongest El Nino events since at least 1950 dissipated in spring, and a weak La Nina evolved later in the year. Owing at least in part to the combination of El Nino conditions early in the year and a long-term upward trend, Earth's surface observed record warmth for a third consecutive year, albeit by a much slimmer margin than by which that record was set in 2015. Above Earth's surface, the annual lower troposphere temperature was record high according to all datasets analyzed, while the lower stratospheric temperature was record low according to most of the in situ and satellite datasets. Several countries, including Mexico and India, reported record high annual temperatures while many others observed near-record highs. A week-long heat wave at the end of April over the northern and eastern Indian peninsula, with temperatures surpassing 44 degrees C, contributed to a water crisis for 330 million people and to 300 fatalities. In the Arctic the 2016 land surface temperature was 2.0 degrees C above the 1981-2010 average, breaking the previous record of 2007, 2011, and 2015 by 0.8 degrees C, representing a 3.5 degrees C increase since the record began in 1900. The increasing temperatures have led to decreasing Arctic sea ice extent and thickness. On 24 March, the sea ice extent at the end of the growth season saw its lowest maximum in the 37-year satellite record, tying with 2015 at 7.2% below the 1981-2010 average. The September 2016 Arctic sea ice minimum extent tied with 2007 for the second lowest value on record, 33% lower than the 1981-2010 average. Arctic sea ice cover remains relatively young and thin, making it vulnerable to continued extensive melt. The mass of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which has the capacity to contribute similar to 7 m to sea level rise, reached a record low value. The onset of its surface melt was the second earliest, after 2012, in the 37-year satellite record. Sea surface temperature was record high at the global scale, surpassing the previous record of 2015 by about 0.01 degrees C. The global sea surface temperature trend for the 21st century-to-date of +0.162 degrees C decade(-1) is much higher than the longer term 1950-2016 trend of +0.100 degrees C decade(-1). Global annual mean sea level also reached a new record high, marking the sixth consecutive year of increase. Global annual ocean heat content saw a slight drop compared to the record high in 2015. Alpine glacier retreat continued around the globe, and preliminary data indicate that 2016 is the 37th consecutive year of negative annual mass balance. Across the Northern Hemisphere, snow cover for each month from February to June was among its four least extensive in the 47-year satellite record. Continuing a pattern below the surface, record high temperatures at 20-m depth were measured at all permafrost observatories on the North Slope of Alaska and at the Canadian observatory on northernmost Ellesmere Island. In the Antarctic, record low monthly surface pressures were broken at many stations, with the southern annular mode setting record high index values in March and June. Monthly high surface pressure records for August and November were set at several stations. During this period, record low daily and monthly sea ice extents were observed, with the November mean sea ice extent more than 5 standard deviations below the 1981-2010 average. These record low sea ice values contrast sharply with the record high values observed during 2012-14. Over the region, springtime Antarctic stratospheric ozone depletion was less severe relative to the 1991-2006 average, but ozone levels were still low compared to pre-1990 levels. Closer to the equator, 93 named tropical storms were observed during 2016, above the 1981-2010 average of 82, but fewer than the 101 storms recorded in 2015. Three basins-the North Atlantic, and eastern and western North Pacific-experienced above-normal activity in 2016. The Australian basin recorded its least active season since the beginning of the satellite era in 1970. Overall, four tropical cyclones reached the Saffir-Simpson category 5 intensity level. The strong El Nino at the beginning of the year that transitioned to a weak La Nina contributed to enhanced precipitation variability around the world. Wet conditions were observed throughout the year across southern South America, causing repeated heavy flooding in Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay. Wetter-than-usual conditions were also observed for eastern Europe and central Asia, alleviating the drought conditions of 2014 and 2015 in southern Russia. In the United States, California had its first wetter-than-average year since 2012, after being plagued by drought for several years. Even so, the area covered by drought in 2016 at the global scale was among the largest in the post-1950 record. For each month, at least 12% of land surfaces experienced severe drought conditions or worse, the longest such stretch in the record. In northeastern Brazil, drought conditions were observed for the fifth consecutive year, making this the longest drought on record in the region. Dry conditions were also observed in western Bolivia and Peru; it was Bolivia's worst drought in the past 25 years. In May, with abnormally warm and dry conditions already prevailing over western Canada for about a year, the human-induced Fort McMurray wildfire burned nearly 590000 hectares and became the costliest disaster in Canadian history, with $3 billion (U.S. dollars) in insured losses.

Published
2017

10. The HOPE (Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation) Study: The design of a large, simple randomized trial of an angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor (ramipril) and vitamin E in patients at high risk of cardiovascular events

Author

Mindlen, F., Nordaby, R., Ruiz, M., Zavala, A., Guzman, L., Martinez, F., Diaz, Rr, Mackey, C., Marino, M., Romero, G., Zapata, G., Cuneo, C., Kawamura, T., Coelho, O., Massayochi, O., Braga, J., Labrunie, A., Bodanese, L., Manenti, E., Vitola, D., Nicolau, J., Amodeo, C., Armaganijan, D., Bertolami, M., Caramelli, B., Carvalho, A., Cirenza, C., Fichino, M., Franken, R., Ghorayeb, N., Kadri, T., Leao, P., Malheiros, F., Pavanello, R., Ramires, F., Ramires, J., Savioli, F., Sousa, A., Tanajura, L., Topps, D., Korner, L., Martinez, V., Baptie, B., Basinger, M., Baylis, B., Beresford, P., Edwards, A., Giannaccaro, P., Groenewoud, Y., Grose, M., Kellen, J., Lam, S., Lesoway, R., Ma, P., Meldrum, D., Mitchell, D., Mitchell, Lb, Roth, D., Shumak, S., Simon, M., Stone, J., Warnica, W., Wyse, D., Neffgen, C., Neffgen, J., Armstrong, F., Armstrong, W., Bell, N., Black, W., Brass, N., Brenneis, F., Brownoff, R., Chaytors, G., Debanne, D., Derksen, C., Donoff, M., Dzavik, V., Goeres, M., Greenwood, P., Gulamhusein, S., Hui, W., Hutchison, K., Kasian, L., Kasza, L., Krikke, E., Kvill, L., Lakhani, Z., Linklater, D., Mackel, J., Martin, S., Montague, T., Moores, D., Musseau, A., Muzyka, T., Paradis, J., Prosser, A., Ryan, E., Senaratne, M., Stenerson, P., Talibi, T., Teo, K., Young, C., Zuk, V., White, R., Browne, K., Browne, M., Happel, K., Irving, A., Plesko, A., Donnelly, R., Radomsky, N., Felker, P., Larsen, D., Morse, J., Rowntree, C., Thompson, J., Wedel, R., Bloomberg, G., Chomin, G., Dahl, M., Leong, W., Moy, V., Heath, J., Marshall, J., Terwiel, M., Kenefick, G., Kuritzky, R., Stevens, K., Weddings, K., Barban, K., Imrie, J., Woo, K., Ashton, T., Calvert, K., Bishop, W., Sweeney, R., Breakwell, L., Kornder, J., Pearce, S., Polasek, P., Richardson, P., Ghosh, S., Rielly, M., Wagner, K., Bemstein, V., Dawson, K., Lee, P., Lewis, J., Macdonald, K., Mcgee, L., Thompson, C., Hilton, D., Illott, K., Klinke, P., Mcconnell, J., Rabkin, S., Ong, A., Ong, G., Bedard, D., Hoeschen, R., Mehta, P., Mohammad, I., Morris, A., Bessoudo, R., Dobbins, N., Mclellan, L., Milton, J., Davis, R., Okeefe, D., Smith, R., Joyce, C., Parsons, M., Skanes, J., Sussex, B., Tobini, M., Ravalia, M., Sherman, G., Worrall, G., Atkinson, A., Hatheway, R., Johnson, B., Barnhill, S., Bata, I., Cosseet, J., Johnstone, D., Macfarlane, M., Sheridan, W., Crossman, L., Folkins, D., Shirley, M., Machel, T., Morash, J., Gupta, M., Mayich, M., Vakani, T., Baitz, T., Macphee, E., Turton, E., Turton, M., Chan, N., Misterski, J., Raco, D., Curnew, G., Fallen, E., Finkelstein, L., Gerstein, H., Hardman, P., Lawand, S., Lonn, E., Magi, W., Mcqueen, M., Panju, A., Patterson, R., Sullivan, B., Sullivan, H., Sullivan, M., Taylor, K., Worron, I., Yusuf, S., Cameron, W., Noseworthy, C., Houlden, R., Lavalle, T., Fowlis, R., Janzen, I., Arnold, M., Cann, M., Carroll, S., Dumaresq, S., Edmonds, M., Furlong, P., Geddes, C., Graham, E., Harris, K., Hramiak, I., Kennedy, R., Kostuk, W., Krupa, M., Lent, B., Lovell, M., Maclean, C., Massel, D., Mcmanus, R., Mcsherry, J., Munoz, C., Occhipinti, J., Oosterveld, L., Pflugfelder, P., Powers, S., Southern, R., Spence, D., Squires, P., Wetmore, S., Willing, J., Wisenberg, G., Wolfe, B., Kannampuzha, P., Rebane, T., Sluzar, V., Hess, A., Chan, Y., Thomson, D., Baigrie, R., Dubbin, J., Liuni, C., Tan, Kw, Brankston, E., Hewson, P., Hrycyshyn, B., Kapusta, W., Knox, L., Lockner, C., Whitsitt, P., Baird, M., Conroy, D., Davies, Ra, Davies, Rf, Fraser, M., Hagar, S., Hierlihy, P., Keely, E., Khan, S., Lau, Dgw, Marois, L., Nemeth, K., Reeves, E., Turek, M., Vexler, R., Young, D., Kumar, G., Kuruvilla, G., Kuruvilla, P., Lowe, D., Kwok, K., Blakely, J., Styling, S., Bozek, B., Charles, J., Fell, D., Fell, Da, Goode, E., Grossman, Ld, Matthews, E., Nitkin, R., Ricci, J., Selby, A., Singh, N., Swan, J., Emmett, J., Weingert, M., Ganjavi, F., Hill, D., Nawaz, S., Hessian, R., Kwiatkowski, K., Lai, C., Mulaisho, C., Okeefe, H., Smith, H., Weeks, A., Andrews, J., Barnie, A., Drobac, M., Hacker, P., Hanna, A., Iwanochko, M., Kenshole, A., Langer, A., Liu, P., Maclean, S., Moe, G., Sasson, Z., Sternberg, L., Trachuk, C., Walters, J., Zinman, B., Cheung, M., Cina, C., Yao, L., Man, K., Fulop, J., Glanz, A., Sibbick, M., Carter, P., Hickey, J., Mcmillian, E., Dion, D., Sthilaire, R., Coutu, D., Damours, G., Starra, R., Brooks, J., Dechamps, P., Kiwan, G., Kouz, S., Laforest, M., Remillard, C., Bellamy, D., Brossoit, R., Carrier, S., Houde, A., Labonte, I., Belanger, A., Kandalaft, N., Quenneville, L., Sandi, M., Auger, P., Bilodeau, N., Delage, F., Dumont, F., Giroux, R., Loisel, R., Poirier, C., Saulnier, D., Carmichael, P., Lemay, C., Lenis, J., Arisjilwan, N., Bedard, H., Casavant, C., Chiasson, J., Dagenais, D., Fitchett, D., Gossard, D., Halle, H., Hamel, N., Joyal, M., Magnan, O., Methe, M., Pedneault, L., Pilon, C., Poisson, D., Primeau, L., Rondeau, C., Roy, C., Ruel, M., Serpa, A., Sestier, F., Smilovitch, M., Theroux, P., Beaudoin, J., Boudreault, Jr, D Amours, D., Douville, T., Giguere, G., Houde, G., Labbe, R., Lachance, S., Lessard, L., Mercier, G., Noel, Hp, Talbot, P., Tremblay, J., Karabatsos, A., Maclellan, K., Wilson, P., Bogaty, P., Laforge, D., Langlais, M., Leblanc, M., Samson, M., Turcotte, J., Campeau, J., Dupuis, R., Lauzon, C., Ouimet, F., Pruneau, G., Desmaris, C., Frechetto, I., Gervais, P., James Brophy, Leroux, S., Bester, S., Meunier, L., Sayeed, M., Hart, M., Moumne, I., Thomasse, G., Walker, J., Walker, M., Ahmed, S., Habib, Nm, Kuny, P., Lopez, J., Klein, W., Grisold, M., Heyndrickx, L., Fiasse, A., Degaute, Jp, Mockel, J., Duprez, D., Chaudron, Jm, Bodson, A., Krzentowski, G., Boland, J., Kolendorf, K., Winther, B., Juhl, H., Hamalainen, T., Siitonen, O., Gin, H., Rigalleau, V., Hensen, J., Riel, R., Oehmenbritsch, R., Schulzeschleppinghoff, B., Hopf, R., Moller, A., Rosak, C., Wetzel, H., Hasslacher, C., Martin, T., Stein, J., Erdmann, E., Bohm, M., Hartmann, D., Breidert, M., Fritzen, R., Scherbaum, W., Mann, J., Maus, J., Schroeder, C., Henrichs, H., Unger, H., Ickenstein, G., Kromer, E., Riegger, G., Schunkert, H., Basan, B., Hampel, R., Crean, P., Garadah, T., White, U., Marini, N., Paciaroni, E., Saccomano, G., Diluzio, S., Magnani, B., Mantovani, B., Pareschi, P., Stucchi, N., Nanni, D., Rusticali, F., Simoni, C., Brunelli, C., Caponnetto, S., Gatto, E., Mazzantini, A., Molinari, O., Morello, R., Degiorgio, L., Imparato, C., Barbaresi, F., Cotogni, A., Pasqualini, M., Frigeni, G., Landoni, M., Polese, A., Cernigoi, A., Merni, M., Tortul, C., Velussi, M., Aina, F., Cernigliaro, C., Dellavesa, P., Dejoannon, U., Pierfranceschi, G., Zavaroni, D., Emilia, R., Manicardi, E., Minelli, E., Penazzoli, F., Portioli, I., Rossi, E., Giani, P., Roccaforte, R., Casaccia, M., Larovere, R., Miglierina, E., Repetto, S., Centofante, P., Vincenzi, M., Nieuwenhuijzen, Ac, Sels, J., Wolffenbuttel, Bhr, Kip, J., Mantingh, L., Mulder, H., Vandoorn, Lg, Hjerkinn, E., Reikvam, A., Cardona, M., Sanz, G., Karoni, A., Bescos, Ll, Albert, X., Masia, R., Alvarez, A., Saenz, L., Astrom, L., Press, R., Sjostedt, P., Tabrizi, F., Bergbom, I., Hansson, P., Held, C., Kahan, T., Ryden, B., Andersson, O., Wysocki, M., Karlsson, E., Sartor, G., Smith, L., Katzman, P., Ljungdahl, L., Noren, P., Hallberg, A., Olsson, Po, Asbrink, S., Molgaard, J., Nilsson, V., Nystrom, F., Ohman, P., Andersson, C., Ekholm, L., Svensson, Ka, Torebo, E., Fagher, B., Svenstam, I., Thulin, T., Ericsson, Ub, Ahnberg, K., Henning, R., Jacobsson, L., Taghavi, A., Ahlstrom, P., Rosenqvist, U., Ericson, C., Gertow, O., Kristensson, Be, Stahl, L., Bergsten, L., Harden, R., Jagren, C., Leijd, B., Lennerhagen, P., Ostergrens, J., Sandstrom, V., Sundelin, R., Hagg, A., Morlin, C., Pettersson, F., Wanders, A., Bjorkman, H., Karlsson, G., Larsson, H., Lonndahl, Y., Weber, P., Cozzi, R., Gerber, P., Moccetti, T., Safwan, E., Sessa, F., Binder, T., Boman, P., Kiowski, W., Lehman, R., Lull, B., Spinas, G., Jamieson, A., Kennedy, Ja, Kesson, C., Gryczka, R., Parker, P., Sidiki, S., Small, M., Struthers, S., Manns, J., Smithurst, H., Begg, A., Fisher, Bm, Bedford, C., Heller, S., Marlow, S., Munoz, Ec, Garcia, Hh, Ruiz, Ro, Meaney, E., Flores, Mi, Brown, E., Perry, G., Patel, G., Sarma, R., Szlachcic, Y., Dorman, J., Singh, B., Bailey, G., Clegg, L., Horwitz, L., Leahy, J., Rashkow, A., Hudson, M., Miller, A., Umberger, J., Zoble, R., Orander, P., Sridharan, M., Defrancisco, G., Davidson, M., Islam, N., Mathew, J., Rajanahally, R., French, D., Wickemeyer, W., Effron, M., Goldstein, M., Utley, K., Pierpont, G., Weigenant, J., Farkouh, M., Kubly, V., Rich, M., Wisneski, L., Abrams, J., Garcia, D., Bonora, M., Kohn, R., Muffoletto, E., Brink, D., Lader, E., Singler, A., Pande, P., Powers, J., Hoogwerf, B., Moore, J., Yanak, F., Gupta, S., Williams, D., Danisa, K., Kirk, C., Wescott, B., Grover, J., Mackenzie, M., Amidi, M., Bell, M., Farmer, J., Kingry, C., Young, J., Harms, V., Kennedy, Jw, Letterer, R., Heller, C., and Mack, R.

11. State of the Climate in 2012 INTRODUCTION

Author

Achberger, Christine, Ackerman, Stephen A., Albanil, Adelina, Alexander, P., Alfaro, Eric J., Allan, Rob, Alves, Lincoln M., Amador, Jorge A., Ambenje, Peter, Andrianjafinirina, Solonomenjanahary, Antonov, John, Aravequia, Jose A., Arendt, A., Arevalo, Juan, Arndt, Derek S., Ashik, I., Atheru, Zachary, Banzon, Viva, Baringer, Molly O., Barreira, Sandra, Barriopedro, David E., Beard, Grant, Becker, Andreas, Behrenfeld, Michael J., Bell, Gerald D., Benedetti, Angela, Bernhard, Germar, Berrisford, Paul, Berry, David I., Bhatt, U., Bidegain, Mario, Bindoff, Nathan, Bissolli, Peter, Blake, Eric S., Blunden, Jessica, Booneeady, Raj, Bosilovich, Michael, Box, J. E., Boyer, Tim, Braathen, Geir O., Bromwich, David H., Brown, R., Brown, L., Bruhwiler, Lori, Bulygina, Olga N., Burgess, D., Burrows, John, Calderon, Blanca, Camargo, Suzana J., Campbell, Jayaka, Cao, Y., Cappelen, J., Carrasco, Gualberto, Chambers, Don P., Chang A, L., Chappell, Petra, Chehade, Wissam, Cheliah, Muthuvel, Christiansen, Hanne H., Christy, John R., Ciais, Phillipe, Coelho, Caio A. S., Cogley, J. G., Colwell, Steve, Cross, J. N., Crouch, Jake, Cunningham, Stuart A., Dacic, Milan, Jeu, Richard A. M., Dekaa, Francis S., Demircan, Mesut, Derksen, C., Diamond, Howard J., Dlugokencky, Ed J., Dohan, Kathleen, Dolman, A. Johannes, Domingues, Catia M., Dong Shenfu, Dorigo, Wouter A., Drozdov, D. S., Duguay, Claude R., Dunn, Robert J. H., Duran-Quesada, Ana M., Dutton, Geoff S., Ehmann, Christian, Elkins, James W., Euscategui, Christian, Famiglietti, James S., Fang Fan, Fauchereau, Nicolas, Feely, Richard A., Fekete, Balazs M., Fenimore, Chris, Fioletov, Vitali E., Fogarty, Chris T., Fogt, Ryan L., Folland, Chris K., Foster, Michael J., Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Franz, Bryan A., Frith, Stacey H., Frolov, I., Ganter, Catherine, Garzoli, Silvia, Geai, M. -L, Gerland, S., Gitau, Wilson, Gleason, Karin L., Gobron, Nadine, Goldenberg, Stanley B., Goni, Gustavo, Good, Simon A., Gottschalck, Jonathan, Gregg, Margarita C., Griffiths, Georgina, Grooss, Jens-Uwe, Guard, Charles Chip, Gupta, Shashi K., Hall, Bradley D., Halpert, Michael S., Harada, Yayoi, Hauri, C., Heidinger, Andrew K., Heikkila, Anu, Heim, Richard R., Heimbach, Patrick, Hidalgo, Hugo G., Hilburn, Kyle, Ho, Shu-Peng, Hobbs, Will R., Holgate, Simon, Hovsepyan, Anahit, Hu Zeng-Zhen, Hughes, P., Hurst, Dale F., Ingvaldsen, R., Inness, Antje, Jaimes, Ena, Jakobsson, Martin, James, Adamu I., Jeffries, Martin O., Johns, William E., Johnsen, Bjorn, Johnson, Gregory C., Johnson, Bryan, Jones, Luke T., Jumaux, Guillaume, Kabidi, Khadija, Kaiser, Johannes W., Kamga, Andre, Kang, Kyun-Kuk, Kanzow, Torsten O., Kao, Hsun-Ying, Keller, Linda M., Kennedy, John J., Key, J., Khatiwala, Samar, Pour, H. Kheyrollah, Kholodov, A. L., Khoshkam, Mahbobeh, Kijazi, Agnes, Kikuchi, T., Kim, B. -M, Kim, S. -J, Kimberlain, Todd B., Knaff, John A., Korshunova, Natalia N., Koskela, T., Kousky, Vernon E., Kramarova, Natalya, Kratz, David P., Krishfield, R., Kruger, Andries, Kruk, Michael C., Kumar, Arun, Lagerloef, Gary S. E., Lakkala, K., Lander, Mark A., Landsea, Chris W., Lankhorst, Matthias, Laurila, T., Lazzara, Matthew A., Lee, Craig, Leuliette, Eric, Levitus, Sydney, L Heureux, Michelle, Lieser, Jan, Lin, I-I, Liu, Y. Y., Liu, Y., Liu Hongxing, Liu Yanju, Lobato-Sanchez, Rene, Locarnini, Ricardo, Loeb, Norman G., Loeng, H., Long, Craig S., Lorrey, Andrew M., Luhunga, P., Lumpkin, Rick, Luo Jing-Jia, Lyman, John M., Macdonald, Alison M., Maddux, Brent C., Malekela, C., Manney, Gloria, Marchenko, S. S., Marengo, Jose A., Marotzke, Jochem, Marra, John J., Martinez-Gueingla, Rodney, Massom, Robert A., Mathis, Jeremy T., Mcbride, Charlotte, Mccarthy, Gerard, Mcvicar, Tim R., Mears, Carl, Meier, W., Meinen, Christopher S., Menendez, Melisa, Merrifield, Mark A., Mitchard, Edward, Mitchum, Gary T., Montzka, Stephen A., Morcrette, Jean-Jacques, Mote, Thomas, Muehle, Jens, Muehr, Bernhard, Mullan, A. Brett, Mueller, Rolf, Nash, Eric R., Nerem, R. Steven, Newlin, Michele L., Newman, Paul A., Ng Ongolo, H., Nieto, Juan Jose, Nishino, S., Nitsche, Helga, Noetzli, Jeannette, Oberman, N. G., Obregon, Andre, Ogallo, Laban A., Oludhe, Christopher S., Omar, Mohamed I., Overland, James, Oyunjargal, Lamjav, Parinussa, Robert M., Park, Geun-Ha, Park, E-Hyung, Parker, David, Pasch, Richard J., Pascual-Ramirez, Reynaldo, Pelto, Mauri S., Penalba, Olga, Peng, L., Perovich, Don K., Pezza, Alexandre B., Phillips, David, Pickart, R., Pinty, Bernard, Pitts, Michael C., Purkey, Sarah G., Quegan, Shaun, Quintana, Juan, Rabe, B., Rahimzadeh, Fatemeh, Raholijao, Nirivololona, Raiva, I., Rajeevan, Madhavan, Ramiandrisoa, Voahanginirina, Ramos, Alexandre, Ranivoarissoa, Sahondra, Rayner, Nick A., Rayner, Darren, Razuveav, Vyacheslav N., Reagan, James, Reid, Phillip, Renwick, James, Revedekar, Jayashree, Richter-Menge, Jacqueline, Rivera, Ingrid L., Robinson, David A., Rodell, Matthew, Romanovsky, Vladimir E., Ronchail, Josyane, Karen Rosenlof, Sabine, Christopher L., Salvador, Mozar A., Sanchez-Lugo, Ahira, Santee, Michelle L., Sasgen, I., Sawaengphokhai, P., Sayouri, Amal, Scambos, Ted A., Schauer, U., Schemm, Jae, Schlosser, P., Schmid, Claudia, Schreck, Carl, Semiletov, Igor, Send, Uwe, Sensoy, Serhat, Setzer, Alberto, Severinghaus, Jeffrey, Shakhova, Natalia, Sharp, M., Shiklomanov, Nicolai I., Siegel, David A., Silva, Viviane B. S., Silva, Frabricio D. S., Sima, Fatou, Simeonov, Petio, Simmonds, I., Simmons, Adrian, Skansi, Maria, Smeed, David A., Smethie, W. M., Smith, Adam B., Smith, Cathy, Smith, Sharon L., Smith, Thomas M., Sokolov, V., Srivastava, A. K., Stackhouse, Paul W., Stammerjohn, Sharon, Steele, M., Steffen, Konrad, Steinbrecht, Wolfgang, Stephenson, Tannecia, Su, J., Svendby, T., Sweet, William, Takahashi, Taro, Tanabe, Raymond M., Taylor, Michael A., Tedesco, Marco, Teng, William L., Thepaut, Jean-Noel, Thiaw, Wassila M., Thoman, R., Thompson, Philip, Thorne, Peter W., Timmermans, M. -L, Tobin, Skie, Toole, J., Trewin, Blair C., Trigo, Ricardo M., Trotman, Adrian, Tschudi, M., Wal, Roderik S. W., Werf, Guido R., Vautard, Robert, Vazquez, J. L., Vieira, Goncalo, Vincent, Lucie, Vose, Russ S., Wagner, Wolfgang W., Wahr, John, Walsh, J., Wang Junhong, Wang Chunzai, Wang, M., Wang Sheng-Hung, Wang Lei, Wanninkhof, Rik, Weaver, Scott, Weber, Mark, Werdell, P. Jeremy, Whitewood, Robert, Wijffels, Susan, Wilber, Anne C., Wild, J. D., Willett, Kate M., Williams, W., Willis, Joshua K., Wolken, G., Wong, Takmeng, Woodgate, R., Worthy, D., Wouters, B., Wovrosh, Alex J., Xue Yan, Yamada, Ryuji, Yin Zungang, Yu Lisan, Zhang Liangying, Zhang Peiqun, Zhao Lin, Zhao, J., Zhong, W., Ziemke, Jerry, and Zimmermann, S.

12. State of the climate in 2017

Author

Abernethy, R., Ackerman, S. A., Adler, R., Albanil Encarnación, A., Aldeco, L. S., Alfaro, E. J., Aliaga-Nestares, V., Allan, R. P., Allan, R., Alves, L. M., Amador, J. A., Anderson, J., Andreassen, L. M., Argüez, A., Armitage, C., Arndt, D. S., Avalos, G., Azorin-Molina, C., Báez, J., Bardin, M. Yu, Barichivich, J., Baringer, M. O., Barreira, S., Baxter, S., Beck, H. E., Becker, A., Bedka, K. M., Behe, C., Bell, G. D., Bellouin, N., Belmont, M., Benedetti, A., Bernhard, G. H., Berrisford, P., Berry, D. I., Bhatt, U. S., Bissolli, P., Bjerke, J., Blake, E. S., Blenkinsop, S., Blunden, J., Bolmgren, K., Bosilovich, M. G., Boucher, O., Bouchon, M., Box, J. E., Boyer, T., Braathen, G. O., Bromwich, D. H., Brown, R., Buehler, S., Bulygina, O. N., Burgess, D., Calderón, B., Camargo, S. J., Campbell, E. C., Campbell, J. D., Cappelen, J., Carrea, L., Carter, B. R., Castro, A., Chambers, D. P., lijing cheng, Christiansen, H. H., Christy, J. R., Chung, E. -S, Clem, K. R., Coelho, C. A. S., Coldewey-Egbers, M., Colwell, S., Cooper, O. R., Copland, L., Costanza, C., Covey, C., Coy, L., Cronin, T., Crouch, J., Cruzado, L., Daniel, R., Davis, S. M., Davletshin, S. G., Eyto, E., Jeu, R. A. M., La Cour, J. L., Laat, J., Gasperi, C. L., Degenstein, D., Deline, P., Demircan, M., Derksen, C., Dewitte, B., Dhurmea, R., Di Girolamo, L., Diamond, H. J., Dickerson, C., Dlugokencky, E. J., Dohan, K., Dokulil, M. T., Dolman, A. J., Domingues, C. M., Domingues, R., Donat, M. G., Dong, S., Dorigo, W. A., Drozdov, D. S., Dunn, R. J. H., Durre, I., Dutton, G. S., Eakin, C. M., El Kharrim, M., Elkins, J. W., Epstein, H. E., Espinoza, J. C., Famiglietti, J. S., Farmer, J., Farrell, S., Fauchald, P., Fausto, R. S., Feely, R. A., Feng, Z., Fenimore, C., Fettweis, X., Fioletov, V. E., Flemming, J., Fogt, R. L., Folland, C., Forbes, B. C., Foster, M. J., Francis, S. D., Franz, B. A., Frey, R. A., Frith, S. M., Froidevaux, L., Ganter, C., Geiger, E. F., Gerland, S., Gilson, J., Gobron, N., Goldenberg, S. B., Gomez, A. M., Goni, G., Grooß, J. U., Gruber, A., Guard, C. P., Gugliemin, M., Gupta, S. K., Gutiérrez, D., Haas, C., Hagos, S., Hahn, S., Haimberger, L., Hall, B. D., Halpert, M. S., Hamlington, B. D., Hanna, E., Hansen, K., Hanssen-Bauer, L., Harris, I., Hartfield, G., Heidinger, A. K., Heim, R. R., Helfrich, S., Hemming, D. L., Hendricks, S., Hernández, R., Hernández, S. M., Heron, S. F., Heuzé, C., Hidalgo, H. G., Ho, S. -P, Hobbs, W. R., Horstkotte, T., Huang, B., Hubert, D., Hueuzé, C., Hurst, D. F., Ialongo, I., Ibrahim, M. M., Ijampy, J. A., Inness, A., Isaac, V., Isaksen, K., Ishii, M., Jacobs, S. J., Jeffries, M. O., Jevrejeva, S., Jiménez, C., Jin, X., John, V., Johns, W. E., Johnsen, B., Johnson, B., Johnson, G. C., Johnson, K. S., Jones, P. D., Jumaux, G., Kabidi, K., Kaiser, J. W., Karaköylü, E. M., Kato, S., Kazemi, A., Keller, L. M., Kennedy, J., Kerr, K., Khan, M. S., Kholodov, A. L., Khoshkam, M., Killick, R., Kim, H., Kim, S. -J, Klotzbach, P. J., Knaff, J. A., Kohler, J., Korhonen, J., Korshunova, N. N., Kramarova, N., Kratz, D. P., Kruger, A., Kruk, M. C., Krumpen, T., Ladd, C., Lakatos, M., Lakkala, K., Lander, M. A., Landschützer, P., Landsea, C. W., Lankhorst, M., Lavado-Casimiro, W., Lazzara, M. A., Lee, S. -E, Lee, T. C., Leuliette, E., L Heureux, M., Li, T., Lieser, J. L., Lin, I. -I, Mears, C. A., Liu, G., Li, B., Liu, H., Locarnini, R., Loeb, N. G., Long, C. S., López, L. A., Lorrey, A. M., Loyola, D., Lumpkin, R., Luo, J. -J, Luojus, K., Luthcke, S., Macias-Fauria, M., Malkova, G. V., Manney, G. L., Marcellin, V., Marchenko, S. S., Marengo, J. A., Marín, D., Marra, J. J., Marszelewski, W., Martens, B., Martin, A., Martínez, A. G., Martínez-Güingla, R., Martínez-Sánchez, O., Marsh, B. L., Lyman, J. M., Massom, R. A., May, L., Mayer, M., Mazloff, M., Mcbride, C., Mccabe, M. F., Mccarthy, M., Meier, W., Meijers, A. J. S., Mekonnen, A., Mengistu Tsidu, G., Menzel, W. P., Merchant, C. J., Meredith, M. P., Merrifield, M. A., Miller, B., Miralles, D. G., Mitchum, G. T., Mitro, S., Moat, B., Mochizuki, Y., Monselesan, D., Montzka, S. A., Mora, N., Morice, C., Mosquera-Vásquez, K., Mostafa, A. E., Mote, T., Mudryk, L., Mühle, J., Mullan, A. B., Müller, R., Myneni, R., Nash, E. R., Nerem, R. S., Newman, L., Newman, P. A., Nielsen-Gammon, J. W., Nieto, J. J., Noetzli, J., Noll, B. E., O Neel, S., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, E., Overland, J., Oyunjargal, L., Park, T., Pasch, R. J., Pascual-Ramírez, R., Pastor Saavedra, M. A., Paterson, A. M., Paulik, C., Pearce, P. R., Peltier, A., Pelto, M. S., Peng, L., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., Perovich, D., Petropavlovskikh, I., Pezza, A. B., Phillips, C., Phillips, D., Phoenix, G., Pinty, B., Pinzon, J., Po-Chedley, S., Polashenski, C., Purkey, S. G., Quispe, N., Rajeevan, M., Rakotoarimalala, C., Rayner, D., Raynolds, M. 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Subjects
Meteor (satellite), Atmospheric Science, Climate Research, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, Climate change, 010501 environmental sciences, 01 natural sciences, SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities, Klimatforskning, El Niño Southern Oscillation, 13. Climate action, Climatology, ComputingMethodologies_DOCUMENTANDTEXTPROCESSING, Environmental science, SDG 14 - Life Below Water, GeneralLiterature_REFERENCE(e.g.,dictionaries,encyclopedias,glossaries), 0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Abstract

In 2017, the dominant greenhouse gases released into Earth's atmosphere-carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide-reached new record highs. The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration at Earth's surface for 2017 was 405.0 ± 0.1 ppm, 2.2 ppm greater than for 2016 and the highest in the modern atmospheric measurement record and in ice core records dating back as far as 800 000 years. The global growth rate of CO2 has nearly quadrupled since the early 1960s. With ENSO-neutral conditions present in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean during most of the year and weak La Niña conditions notable at the start and end, the global temperature across land and ocean surfaces ranked as the second or third highest, depending on the dataset, since records began in the mid-to-late 1800s. Notably, it was the warmest non-El Niño year in the instrumental record. Above Earth's surface, the annual lower tropospheric temperature was also either second or third highest according to all datasets analyzed. The lower stratospheric temperature was about 0.2°C higher than the record cold temperature of 2016 according to most of the in situ and satellite datasets. Several countries, including Argentina, Uruguay, Spain, and Bulgaria, reported record high annual temperatures. Mexico broke its annual record for the fourth consecutive year. On 27 January, the temperature reached 43.4°C at Puerto Madryn, Argentina-the highest temperature recorded so far south (43°S) anywhere in the world. On 28 May in Turbat, western Pakistan, the high of 53.5°C tied Pakistan's all-time highest temperature and became the world-record highest temperature for May. In the Arctic, the 2017 land surface temperature was 1.6°C above the 1981-2010 average, the second highest since the record began in 1900, behind only 2016. The five highest annual Arctic temperatures have all occurred since 2007. Exceptionally high temperatures were observed in the permafrost across the Arctic, with record values reported in much of Alaska and northwestern Canada. In August, high sea surface temperature (SST) records were broken for the Chukchi Sea, with some regions as warm as +11°C, or 3° to 4°C warmer than the longterm mean (1982-present). According to paleoclimate studies, today's abnormally warm Arctic air and SSTs have not been observed in the last 2000 years. The increasing temperatures have led to decreasing Arctic sea ice extent and thickness. On 7 March, sea ice extent at the end of the growth season saw its lowest maximum in the 37-year satellite record, covering 8% less area than the 1981-2010 average. The Arctic sea ice minimum on 13 September was the eighth lowest on record and covered 25% less area than the long-term mean. Preliminary data indicate that glaciers across the world lost mass for the 38th consecutive year on record; the declines are remarkably consistent from region to region. Cumulatively since 1980, this loss is equivalent to slicing 22 meters off the top of the average glacier. Antarctic sea ice extent remained below average for all of 2017, with record lows during the first four months. Over the continent, the austral summer seasonal melt extent and melt index were the second highest since 2005, mostly due to strong positive anomalies of air temperature over most of the West Antarctic coast. In contrast, the East Antarctic Plateau saw record low mean temperatures in March. The year was also distinguished by the second smallest Antarctic ozone hole observed since 1988. Across the global oceans, the overall long-term SST warming trend remained strong. Although SST cooled slightly from 2016 to 2017, the last three years produced the three highest annual values observed; these high anomalies have been associated with widespread coral bleaching. The most recent global coral bleaching lasted three full years, June 2014 to May 2017, and was the longest, most widespread, and almost certainly most destructive such event on record. Global integrals of 0-700-m and 0-2000-m ocean heat content reached record highs in 2017, and global mean sea level during the year became the highest annual average in the 25-year satellite altimetry record, rising to 77 mm above the 1993 average. In the tropics, 2017 saw 85 named tropical storms, slightly above the 1981-2010 average of 82. The North Atlantic basin was the only basin that featured an above-normal season, its seventh most active in the 164-year record. Three hurricanes in the basin were especially notable. Harvey produced record rainfall totals in areas of Texas and Louisiana, including a storm total of 1538.7 mm near Beaumont, Texas, which far exceeds the previous known U.S. tropical cyclone record of 1320.8 mm. Irma was the strongest tropical cyclone globally in 2017 and the strongest Atlantic hurricane outside of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean on record with maximum winds of 295 km h-1. Maria caused catastrophic destruction across the Caribbean Islands, including devastating wind damage and flooding across Puerto Rico. Elsewhere, the western North Pacific, South Indian, and Australian basins were all particularly quiet. Precipitation over global land areas in 2017 was clearly above the long-term average. Among noteworthy regional precipitation records in 2017, Russia reported its second wettest year on record (after 2013) and Norway experienced its sixth wettest year since records began in 1900. Across India, heavy rain and flood-related incidents during the monsoon season claimed around 800 lives. In August and September, above-normal precipitation triggered the most devastating floods in more than a decade in the Venezuelan states of Bolívar and Delta Amacuro. In Nigeria, heavy rain during August and September caused the Niger and Benue Rivers to overflow, bringing floods that displaced more than 100 000 people. Global fire activity was the lowest since at least 2003; however, high activity occurred in parts of North America, South America, and Europe, with an unusually long season in Spain and Portugal, which had their second and third driest years on record, respectively. Devastating fires impacted British Columbia, destroying 1.2 million hectares of timber, bush, and grassland, due in part to the region's driest summer on record. In the United States, an extreme western wildfire season burned over 4 million hectares; the total costs of $18 billion tripled the previous U.S. annual wildfire cost record set in 1991.

13. State of the climate in 2011:Special supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Author

Arndt, D. S., Blunden, J., Willett, K. M., Dolman, A. J., Hall, B. D., Thorne, P. W., Gregg, M. C., Newlin, M. L., Xue, Y., Hu, Z., Kumar, A., Banzon, V., Smith, T. M., Rayner, N. A., Jeffries, M. O., Richter-Menge, J., Overland, J., Bhatt, U., Key, J., Liu, Y., Walsh, J., Wang, M., Fogt, R. L., Scambos, T. A., Wovrosh, A. J., Barreira, S., Sanchez-Lugo, A., Renwick, J. A., Thiaw, W. M., Weaver, S. J., Whitewood, R., Phillips, D., Achberger, C., Ackerman, S. A., Ahmed, Farid H., Albanil-Encarnacion, Adelina, Alfaro, E. J., Alves, L. M., Allan, Rob, Amador, Jorge A., Ambenje, Peter, Antoine, M. D., Antonov, John, Arevalo, Juan, Arndt, Derek S., Ashik, I., Atheru, Zachary, Baccini, Alessandro, Baez, Julian, Banzon, Viva, Baringer, Molly O., Barreira, Sandra, Barriopedro, D. E., Bates, J. J., Becker, Andreas, Behrenfeld, Michael J., Bell, Gerald D., Benedetti, Angela, Bernhard, Germar, Berrisford, Paul, Berry, David I., Beszczynska-Moeller, A., Bhatt, U. S., Bidegain, Mario, Bieniek, P., Birkett, Charon, Bissolli, Peter, Blake, Eric S., Blunden, Jessica, Boudet-Rouco, Dagne, Box, Jason E., Boyer, Tim, Braathen, Geir O., Brackenridge, G. Robert, Brohan, Philip, Bromwich, David H., Brown, Laura, Brown, R., Bruhwiler, Lori, Bulygina, O. N., Burrows, John, Calderon, Blanca, Camargo, Suzana J., Cappellen, John, Carmack, E., Carrasco, Gualberto, Chambers, Don P., Christiansen, Hanne H., Christy, John, Chung, D., Ciais, P., Coehlo, Caio A. S., Colwell, Steve, Comiso, J., Cretaux, Jean-Francois, Crouch, Jake, Cunningham, Stuart A., Jeu, Richard A. M., Demircan, M., Derksen, C., Diamond, Howard J., Dlugokencky, Ed J., Dohan, Kathleen, Dolman, A. Johannes, Dorigo, Wouter A., Drozdov, D. S., Duguay, Claude, Dutton, Ellsworth, Dutton, Geoff S., Elkins, James W., Epstein, H. E., Famiglietti, James S., Fanton D Andon, Odile Hembise, Feely, Richard A., Fekete, Balazs M., Fenimore, Chris, Fernandez-Prieto, D., Fields, Erik, Fioletov, Vitali, Fogt, Ryan L., Folland, Chris, Foster, Michael J., Frajka-Williams, Eleanor, Franz, Bryan A., Frey, Karen, Frith, Stacey H., Frolov, I., Frost, G. V., Ganter, Catherine, Garzoli, Silvia, Gitau, Wilson, Gleason, Karin L., Gobron, Nadine, Goldenberg, Stanley B., Goni, Gustavo, Gonzalez-Garcia, Idelmis, Gonzalez-Rodriguez, Nivaldo, Good, Simon A., Goryl, Philippe, Gottschalck, Jonathan, Gouveia, C. M., Gregg, Margarita C., Griffiths, Georgina M., Grigoryan, Valentina, Grooss, Jens-Uwe, Guard, Chip, Guglielmin, Mauro, Hall, Bradley D., Halpert, Michael S., Heidinger, Andrew K., Heikkila, Anu, Heim, Jr, Hennon, Paula A., Hidalgo, Hugo G., Hilburn, Kyle, Ho, Shu-Peng, Hobbs, Will R., Holgate, Simon, Hook, Simon J., Hovsepyan, Anahit, Hu, Zeng-Zhen, Hugony, Sebastien, Hurst, Dale F., Ingvaldsen, R., Itoh, M., Jaimes, Ena, Jeffries, Martin, Johns, William E., Johnsen, Bjorn, Johnson, Bryan, Johnson, Gregory C., Jones, L. T., Jumaux, Guillaume, Kabidi, Khadija, Kaiser, Johannes W., Kang, Kyun-Kuk, Kanzow, Torsten O., Kao, Hsun-Ying, Keller, Linda M., Kendon, Mike, Kennedy, John J., Kervankiran, Sefer, Khatiwala, Samar, Kholodov, A. L., Khoshkam, M., Kikuchi, T., Kimberlain, Todd B., King, Darren, Knaff, John A., Korshunova, Natalia N., Koskela, Tapani, Kratz, David P., Krishfield, R., Kruger, Andries, Kruk, Michael C., Kumar, Arun, Lagerloef, Gary, Lakkala, Kaisa, Lammers, Richard B., Lander, Mark A., Landsea, Chris W., Lankhorst, Matthias, Lapinel-Pedroso, Braulio, Lazzara, Matthew A., Leduc, Sharon, Lefale, Penehuro, Leon, Gloria, Leon-Lee, Antonia, Leuliette, Eric, Levitus, Syndney, L Heureux, Michelle, Lin, I. I., Liu, Hongxing, Liu, Yanju, Liu, Yi, Lobato-Sanchez, Rene, Locarnini, Ricardo, Loeb, Norman G., Loeng, H., Long, Craig S., Lorrey, Andrew M., Lumpkin, Rick, Myhre, Cathrine Lund, Luo, Jing-Jia, Lyman, John M., Maccallum, Stuart, Macdonald, Alison M., Maddux, Brent C., Manney, Gloria, Marchenko, S. S., Marengo A, Jose, Maritorena, Stephane, Marotzke, Jochem, Marra, John J., Martinez-Sanchez, Odayls, Maslanik, J., Massom, Robert A., Mathis, Jeremy T., Mcbride, Charlotte, Mcclain, Charles R., Mcgrath, Daniel, Mcgree, Simon, Mclaughlin, F., Mcvicar, Tim R., Mears, Carl, Meier, W., Meinen, Christopher S., Menendez, Melisa, Merchant, Chris, Merrifield, Mark A., Miller, Laury, Mitchum, Gary T., Montzka, Stephen A., Moore, Sue, Mora, Natalie P., Morcrette, Jean-Jacques, Mote, Thomas, Muhle, Jens, Mullan, A. Brett, Muller, Rolf, Myhre, Cathrine, Nash, Eric R., Nerem, R. Steven, Newlin, Michele L., Newman, Paul A., Ngari, Arona, Nishino, S., Njau, Lenoard N., Noetzli, Jeannette, Oberman, N. G., Obregon, Andre, Ogallo, Laban, and Oludhe, Christopher

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