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The teleconnection between the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex, or the Holton–Tan (HT) relationship, may change in a warmer climate or one with stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI) compared to the present-day climate (PDC). Our results from an Earth system model indicate that, under both global warming (based on RCP8.5 emission scenario) and SAI scenarios, the HT relationship weakens in early winter (November–December), although it is closer to PDC under SAI than under the RCP8.5 scenario. In contrast, the HT relationship in the middle to late winter period (January–February) does not change considerably in response to either RCP8.5 or SAI scenarios compared to PDC. While the weakening of the HT relationship under the RCP8.5 scenario is likely due to the weaker QBO wind amplitudes at the Equator, another physical mechanism must be responsible for the weaker HT relationship under SAI scenarios, since the amplitude of the QBO wind is comparable to the PDC. The strength of the polar vortex does not change under the RCP8.5 scenario compared to PDC, but it becomes stronger under SAI; we attribute the weakening of the HT relationship under SAI to a stronger polar vortex. In general, the changes in the HT relationship cannot be explained by changes to the critical line; the changes in the residual circulation (particularly due to the gravity wave contributions) are important in explaining the changes in the HT relationship under RCP8.5 and SAI scenarios.

We analyse sporadic E (ES) layer occurrence rates (OR) obtained from ionospheric GPS radio occultation measurements by the FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC constellation. Maximum OR are seen at 95–105 km altitude. Midlatitude ES layers are mainly due to wind shear in the presence of tides, and the strongest signals are the migrating diurnal and semidiurnal components. Especially in the Southern Hemisphere, nonmigrating components such as a diurnal westward wave 2 and a semidiurnal westward wave 1 are also visible, especially at higher latitudes. Near the equator, a strong diurnal eastward wavenumber 3 component and a semidiurnal eastward wavenumber 2 component occur in summer and autumn. Terdiurnal and quarterdiurnal components are weaker than the diurnal and semidiurnal ones.

Solar EUV radiation is the dominant driver for upper atmosphere ionization. Ionospheric variations that affect radio signal propagation and thus affect technical systems such as satellite-based positioning systems. One significant time scale for the solar variability is the solar 27-day rotation period that causes a corresponding response in ionospheric observables like the height-dependent electron density (Ne) or the integrated total electron content (TEC). To enhance our understanding of the processes within the ionosphere we investigate a combination of observations and physical models, namely the Coupled Thermosphere Ionosphere Plasmasphere electrodynamics (CTIPe) model and the Thermosphere Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM), are analyzed to identify differences in Ne, TEC data and ionized oxygen (O+ and O2+). Furthermore, the model results are compared to ground-based ionosonde Ne measurements with regard to the spatial and temporal response of the ionosphere to the 27-day solar rotation period. Modeled Ne correlates strongly with the observed Ne at mid-latitudes, but at low-latitudes the modeled TEC distribution follows the geomagnetic coordinates more strictly when compared to the observational data. Local TEC and F2 layer peak Ne are well represented by CTIPe, whereas TIE-GCM represents the global TEC and F2 layer peak height well.

Winds at the mesosphere and lower thermosphere have been measured by partial reflection radars and specular meteor radars for almost two decades (2004-2022) over Germany and Norway (i.e., middle and high latitudes, respectively). Continuous wind measurements during the mentioned period are important to understand their long-term behavior. The zonal mean wind climatology displays an eastward wind during the winter months and a westward summer jet below ~85km at middle latitudes (~90km at high latitudes). Above the mentioned height, an eastward wind jet is observed. In the meridional wind component, the southward summer wind displays amplitudes between 4 and 5 times less intense than the westward jet. We studied the intensity of the summer wind components, the long-term variability and the possible connection to external forcing (i.e. El Niño-Southern Oscillation, and quasi-biennial oscillation, solar activity and geomagnetic activity). Analyzing the summer winds for low and high geomagnetic activity classified with the Ap index, there is a significant difference between both cases suggesting disturbances in the wind due to high geomagnetic activity. The long-term study shows significant trends at middle latitudes in the monthly summer values of the westward summer jet. As a consequence of the increase in the westward wind, a decrease in the southward component is observed at the same latitudes. While at high latitudes the eastward jet shows a decreasing velocity during July.

The thermosphere-ionosphere system changes significantly on various temporal scales due to the forcings from solar and geomagnetic processes, and the lower atmosphere. The 27-day variation caused by solar rotation is one of the most important modulating factors in the ionosphere. A robust feature in this context is the ionospheric lag of about 1-2 days in ionospheric parameters such as total electron content (TEC) and F2 layer peak electron density with respect to solar variations at the 27-day solar rotation period. Here, the ionospheric TEC provided by the International GNSS Service (IGS) and the Coupled Thermosphere Ionosphere Plasmasphere electrodynamics (CTIPe) model were used to understand the delayed ionospheric response and the underlying physics. The O/N2 measurements from the imaging ultraviolet spectrograph Global-Scale Observations of the Limb and Disk (GOLD), the Global Ultraviolet Imager (GUVI), were also analyzed during the 2019-2021 period of low solar activity. The comparative study shows that the model successfully reproduces the delayed response of the ionosphere during low solar activity. The observed and modeled O/N2 ratio was found to be positively correlated with the solar EUV proxy (GOLD QEUV), with a lag of about 2 days, indicating a contribution to the ionospheric lag in TEC.Furthermore, the CTIPe model simulations show that the ionospheric time delay is significantly affected by various physical processes such as diffusion, photodissociation, solar and geomagnetic activities, and wave dynamics.

This study investigates the response of the semidiurnal tide (SDT) to the 2013 major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event using meteor radar wind observations and mechanistic tidal model simulations. In the model, the background atmosphere is constrained to meteorological fields from the Navy Global Environmental Model - High Altitude analysis system. The solar (thermal) and lunar (gravitational) SDT components are forced by incorporating hourly global temperature tendency fields from the ERA5 forecast model, and by specifying the M2 and N2 lunar gravitational potentials, respectively. The simulated SDT response is compared against meteor wind observations from the CMOR (43.3◦N, 80.8◦W), Collm (51.3◦N, 13.0◦E), and Kiruna (67.5◦N, 20.1◦E) radars, showing close agreement with the observed amplitude and phase variability. Numerical experiments investigate the individual roles of the solar and lunar SDT components in shaping the net SDT response. Further experiments isolate the impact of changing propagation conditions through the zonal mean background atmosphere, non-linear wave-wave interactions, and the SSW-induced stratospheric ozone redistribution. Results indicate that between 80-97 km altitude in the northern hemisphere mid-to-high latitudes the net SDT response is driven by the solar SDT component, which itself is shaped by changing propagation conditions through the zonal mean background atmosphere and by non-linear wave-wave interactions. In addition, it is demonstrated that as a result of the rapidly varying solar SDT during the SSW the contribution of the lunar SDT to the total measured tidal field can be significantly overestimated.

The teleconnection between the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex, or the Holton-Tan (HT) relationship may change in a warmer climate or one with stratospheric aerosol intervention (SAI) as compared to present day climate (PDC). Our results from an Earth system model indicate that, under both global warming (based on RCP8.5 emission scenario) and SAI scenarios, the HT relationship weakens, although it is closer to PDC under SAI than under the RCP8.5 scenario. Such weakening of the HT relationship is more pronounced in early winter (Nov–Dec) compared to the mid-late winter period (Jan–Feb). While the high-latitude responses of temperature to the QBO anomalies are statistically significant under PDC, the responses are not statistically significant in the RCP8.5 and SAI scenarios. While the weakening of the HT relationship under RCP8.5 scenario is likely due to the weaker QBO wind amplitudes at the equator, another physical mechanism must be responsible for the weaker HT relationship under SAI scenario, since the amplitude of the QBO wind is comparable to the PDC. The strength of the polar vortex does not change under the RCP8.5 scenario compared to PDC, but it becomes stronger under SAI; we attribute the weakening of the HT relationship under SAI to such stronger polar vortex. In general, the changes in the HT relationship cannot be solely explained by changes to the critical line; the changes in the residual circulation (particularly due to the gravity wave contributions) are important too in explaining the changes in the HT relationship under RCP8.5 and SAI scenarios.

The temporal and spatial variation of the upper transition height ( H T ) is studied using the measurements of the Incoherent Scatter Radar (ISR) at Arecibo Observatory ( 18.35 ° N , 66.75 ° W ) , Puerto Rico (magnetic latitude 30 ° N ). Observed ion compositions, electron densities, electron and ion temperatures are analysed to understand the diurnal and seasonal variations of H T at low and high solar activity covering solar cycles 23 and 24. The results show that during the low solar activity conditions, the mean H T is very low (around 750 km during the daytime and 500 km at night), while during high solar activity conditions, it reaches about 1600 km. Under very quiet geomagnetic conditions, the mean H T is about 700 km during day time and 500 km during night time. The obtained results are compared with the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) model predictions using the TBT15 model ion composition option. During low and moderate solar activity conditions, the TBT15 model overestimates about 5–10% at night and 15–20% in the afternoon. Furthermore, from the current investigation using the IRI’s TBT15 and DY85 model ion composition options, it is found that the newer TBT15 model option is more appropriate to investigate H T variations as compared to the DY85 model option.

The Draconid meteor shower shows strong bursts of activity at irregular intervals, with nearly no activity in intervening years. Five outbursts of the Draconid meteor shower were observed with specular meteor radars in Canada and Europe between 1999 and 2018. The outbursts generally lasted between 6 and 8 h, and most were not fully visible at a single geographical site, emphasizing the need for observations at multiple longitudes for short-duration shower outbursts. There is at least a factor of two difference in the peak flux as measured on different radars; the initial trail radius effect is undercorrected for Draconid meteors, which are known to be fragile.

The data sets and regression models presented here are related to the article "Point and interval estimation of decomposition error in discrete-time open tandem queues" [1]. The data sets are the first to analyze the approximation quality of the discrete-time decomposition approach and contain independent and dependent (explanatory) variables for the analysis of decomposition error, which were obtained using discrete-time queueing models and discrete-event simulation. Independent variables are the utilization parameters of the queues, and variability parameters of the service and arrival processes. Dependent variables are decomposition error with respect to the expected value and 95-percentile of the waiting time distribution at the downstream queue. This article presents multiple linear regression and quantile regression to explain the variance of the dependent variables for tandem queues with equal traffic intensity at both queues and for tandem queues with downstream bottlenecks, respectively.

The instability of the Northern Hemisphere polar vortex is mainly caused by the breaking of planetary-scale (Rossby) waves (RWs). However, gravity waves (GWs) may also play an important role in polar vortex preconditioning before breakdown events. Moreover, GWs affect dynamics in the stratosphere by altering the upward propagation of RWs at short time scales and therefore indirectly influence polar vortex stability. Due to the coarse spatial resolution of global chemistry-climate models, current efforts in climate research rely on simulations where the majority of the GW spectrum is parameterized. In the present study, we apply a recently developed method for detecting strong orographic gravity wave (OGW) drag events in the lower stratosphere above the Himalayas. For this, we use a specified dynamics simulation of the chemistry-climate model CMAM (Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model) spanning the period 1979–2010. We show that strong OGW drag events above the Himalayas are associated with anomalously increased upward RW propagation in the stratosphere. This, in turn, is associated with an increase of the refractive index in the mid-latitude lower stratosphere, a region where the OGW drag dominates. Our results also illustrate that OGW strong events have the potential to alter ozone variability via changes of mixing in the surf zone and advection from lower latitudes. Altogether, we detail a preconditioning process of the polar vortex morphology by GWs above the Himalayas and how this relates to the proximity to polar vortex breakdown.

When orographic gravity waves (OGWs) break, they dissipate their momentum and energy and thereby influence the thermal and dynamical structure of the atmosphere. This OGW forcing mainly takes place in the middle atmosphere. It is zonally asymmetric and strongly intermittent. So-called OGW hotspot regions have been shown to exert a large impact on the total wave forcing, in particular in the lower stratosphere (LS). Motivated by this we investigate the asymmetrical distribution of the three-dimensional OGW drag (OGWD) for selected hotspot regions in the specified dynamics simulation of the chemistry-climate model CMAM (Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model) for the period 1979–2010. As an evaluation, we first compare zonal mean OGW fluxes and GW drag (GWD) of the model simulation with observations and reanalyses in the northern hemisphere. We find an overestimation of GW momentum fluxes and GWD in the model's LS, presumably attributable to the GW parameterizations which are tuned to correctly represent the dynamics of the southern hemisphere. In the following, we define three hotspot regions which are of particular interest for OGW studies, namely the Himalayas, the Rocky Mountains and East Asia. The GW drags in these hotspot regions emerge as strongly intermittent, a result that can also quantitatively be corroborated with observational studies. Moreover, a peak-detection algorithm is applied to capture the intermittent and zonally asymmetric character of OGWs breaking in the LS and to assess composites for the three hotspot regions. This shows that LS peak OGW events can have opposing effects on the upper stratosphere and mesosphere depending on the hotspot region. Our analysis constitutes a new method for studying the intermittency of OGWs, thereby facilitating a new possibility to assess the effect of particular OGW hotspot regions on middle atmospheric dynamics.

We used a nonlinear mechanistic global circulation model to analyze the migrating quarterdiurnal tide (QDT) in the middle atmosphere with focus on its possible forcing mechanisms: the absorption of solar radiation by ozone and water vapor, nonlinear tidal interactions, and gravity wave–tide interactions. We show a climatology of the QDT amplitudes, and we examine the contribution of the different forcing mechanisms to the QDT amplitude. To this end, we first extracted the QDT from the model tendency terms and then removed the respective QDT contribution from the different tendency terms. We find that the solar forcing mechanism is the most important one for the QDT; however, the nonlinear and gravity wave forcing mechanisms also play a role in autumn and winter, particularly at lower and middle latitudes in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere. Furthermore, destructive interference between the individual forcing mechanisms is observed. Therefore, tidal amplitudes become even larger in simulations with the nonlinear or gravity wave forcing mechanisms removed.

The global warming has been observed to be more severe in the Arctic compared to the rest of the world. This enhanced warming i.e. Arctic Amplification is not just the result of local feedback processes in the Arctic. The stratospheric pathways of Arctic-midlatitude linkages and large-scale dynamical processes can contribute to the Arctic Amplification. The polar stratospheric dynamics crucially depends on the atmospheric waves at all scales. The winter polar vortex can be disturbed by gravity waves in the middle atmosphere. To investigate the sensitivity of the polar vortex dynamics, large-scale dynamical processes, and the stratospheric pathways of the Arctic-midlatitude linkages to the modification of gravity wave drag, we conduct sensitivity experiments using the global atmospheric model ICON-NWP (ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic Model for Numerical Weather Prediction). These sensitivity experiments are performed by imposing a repeated annual cycle of the year 1985 for sea surface temperatures and sea ice as lower boundary conditions and for greenhouse gas concentrations as external forcing. This year is selected as both El-Nino Southern Oscillation and Pacific decadal oscillation were in their neutral phase and no explosive volcanic eruption has occurred. Hence, lower boundary and external forcing conditions in this year can serve as a useful proxy for the multi-year mean condition and an estimate of its internal variability. We performed simulations where in the control simulation the sub-grid parameterization scheme for both orographic and non-orographic gravity wave drags are switched on. The other two experiments are identical to the control simulation except that either orographic or non-orographic gravity wave drags are switched off. Recently, deep learning has extraordinarily progressed our ability to recognize complex patterns in big datasets. Deep neural networks have shown great capabilities to capture the dynamical process of the atmosphere. Applying deep learning algorithms on experiments’ results, the impact of gravity wave drag modifications on large-scale mechanisms of the Arctic Amplification will be analyzed. Special emphasis will be put on the effects of gravity wave drag modifications on the polar vortex dynamics.

Data assimilation schemes blend observational data, with limited coverage, with a short term forecast to produce an analysis, which is meant to be the best estimate of the current state of the atmosphere. Appropriately specifying observation error statistics is necessary to obtain an optimal analysis. Observation error can originate from instrument error as well as the error of representation. While representation error is most commonly associated with unresolved scales and processes, this term is often considered to include contributions from pre-processing or quality control and errors associated with the observation operator. With a focus on practical operational implementation, this chapter aims to define the components of observation error, discusses their sources and characteristics, and provides an overview of current methods for estimating observation error statistics. We highlight the implicit assumptions of these methods, as well as their shortcomings. We will detail current operational practice for diagnosing observation error and accounting for correlated observation error. Finally, we provide a practical methodology for using these diagnostics, as well as the associated innovation-based observation impact, to optimize the assimilation of meteor radar observations in the upper atmosphere.

The gravity waves play a crucial role in driving and shaping the middle atmospheric circulation. The Upper-Atmospheric extension of the ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic (UA-ICON) general circulation model was recently developed with satisfying performances in both idealized test cases and climate simulations, however the sensitivity of the circulation to the parameterized orographic and non-orographic gravity wave drag remains largely unexplored. Using UA-ICON and ICON-NWP, the sensitivity of the dynamics and circulation to both orographic and non-orographic parameterized gravity waves effects are investigated. ICON-NWP stands for the numerical-weather prediction mode of the ICON model (see Zängl et al, 2015, QJRMetSoc), with a model top at about 80 km altitude. The UA-ICON mode differs from ICON-NWP in deep-atmosphere dynamics (instead of shallow-atmosphere dynamics) and upper-atmosphere physics parameterizations being switched on. In addition, the model top is at about 150 km. The sensitivity experiments involve employing repeated annual cycle sea surface temperatures, sea ice, and greenhouse gases under year 1988. This year is selected as both El-Nino southern oscillation and pacific decadal oscillation are in their neutral phase and no explosive volcano eruption has occurred and hence conditions in this year can serve as a useful proxy for the multi-year mean condition and an estimate of its internal variability. For both UA-ICON and ICON-NWP, we perform simulations where in the control (CTL) simulation both orographic and non-orographic gravity wave drags are switched on. The other two experiments are identical to the control simulation except that either orographic (OGWD-off) or b) non-orographic (NGWD-off) gravity wave drags are switched off. The analysis include comparisons between CTL and OGWD-off and NGWD-off simulations and include wave-mean flow interaction diagnostics (Eliassen-Palm flux and its divergence and refractive index of Rossby waves) and mass stream function of the Brewer-Dobson circulation. We also investigate the sudden stratospheric warming frequency and polar vortex morphology in order to understand whether a missing gravity wave forcing can further amplify or curtail the effects of future climate. We present our goal, method as well as first results and discuss possible further analysis.

In the lower ionospheric E region, shallow regions of high electron density are found, which are called sporadic E (ES) layers. ES layers consist of thin clouds of accumulated ions. They occur mainly at middle latitudes, and they are most frequently found during the summer season. ES are generally formed at heights between 90 and 120 km. At midlatitudes, their occurrence can be described through the wind shear theory. According to this theory, ES formation is due to interaction between the metallic ion concentration, the Earth’s magnetic field, and the vertical shear of the neutral wind. Here, we analyze ES occurrence rates (OR) obtained from ionospheric radio occultation measurements by the FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC constellation. To derive information on ES from RO, we use the Signal-to-Noise ratio (SNR) profiles of the GPS L1 phase measurements. If large SNR standard deviation values occur that are concentrated within a layer of less than 10 km thickness, we assume that the respective SNR profile disturbance is owing to an ES layer.Midlatitude ES are found to be mainly connected with a migrating diurnal and semidiurnal component. Especially at high latitudes of the southern hemisphere, nonmigrating components such as a diurnal westward wave 2 and a semidiurnal westward wave 1 are also visible. Near the equator, a strong diurnal eastward wavenumber 3 component and a semidiurnal eastward wavenumber 2 component are found in summer and autumn. Terdiurnal and quarterdiurnal components are weaker than the diurnal and semidiurnal ones. We discuss seasonal and global distributions of migrating and nonmigrating components, and their relation to neutral wind shear derived from ground-based observations and numerical modeling.

Radar observations from two SKiYMET radars at Collm (51°N, 13°E) and Kazan (56°N, 49°E) during 2016-2017 are used to investigate the longitudinal variability of the mesosphere/lower thermosphere (MLT) wind regime over western and eastern Europe. Both of the meteor radars have similar setups and apply the same analysis procedures to correctly compare MLT parameters and validate the simulated winds. The radar observations confirm the established seasonal variability of the wind distribution, but this distribution is not identical for the two stations. The results show good qualitative agreement with global circulations model predictions by the Middle and Upper Atmosphere Model (MUAM) and the Upper Atmosphere ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic model (UA-ICON). The MUAM and UA-ICON models well reproduce the main dynamical features, namely the vertical and temporal distributions of the winds observed throughout the year. However, there are also some differences in the longitudinal wind variability of the models and radar observations. Numerical experiments with modified parameterization settings have also been carried out to study the response of the MLT wind circulation to the gravity waves originating from the lower atmosphere. The MUAM model results show that a decrease/increase in the gravity wave intensity at the lower atmosphere leads to an increase/decrease of the mesospheric zonal wind jet extension and the zonal wind reversal.

In the extratropical atmosphere, Rossby waves (RWs) and internal gravity waves (GWs) propagating from the troposphere mediate a coupling with the middle atmosphere by influencing the dynamics herein. In current generation chemistry-climate models (CCMs), GWs are usually smaller than the model resolution and the majority of their spectrum therefore must be parameterized. From observations, we know that GWs are intermittent and asymmetrically distributed around the globe, which holds to some extent also for the parameterized GW drag (GWD) (in particular for orographic GWD (oGWD)). The GW parameterizations in CCMs are usually tuned to mitigate biases in the zonal mean climatology of particular quantities, but the complex interaction of parameterized GWs with the large- scale circulation and resolved waves in the models remains to date poorly understood. This presentation will combine observational evidence, idealized modeling and dynamical analysis of a CCM output to study both the short-term and long-term model response to the oGWD. Our results demonstrate that the oGW-resolved dynamics interaction is a complex two-way process, with the most prominent oGWD impact being the alteration of propagation of planetary-scale Rossby waves on a time-scale of a few days. The conclusions give a novel perspective on the importance of oGWD for the stratospheric polar vortex and atmospheric transport studies outlining potential foci of future research.

The global warming has been observed to be more severe in the Arctic compared to the rest of the world. This enhanced warming i.e. Arctic Amplification is not just the result of local feedback processes in the Arctic. The stratospheric pathways of Arctic-midlatitude linkages and large-scale dynamical processes can contribute to the Arctic Amplification. The polar stratospheric dynamics crucially depends on the atmospheric waves at all scales. The winter polar vortex can be disturbed by gravity waves in the middle atmosphere. To investigate the sensitivity of the polar vortex dynamics, large-scale dynamical processes, and the stratospheric pathways of the Arctic-midlatitude linkages to the modification of gravity wave drag, we conduct sensitivity experiments using the global atmospheric model ICON-NWP (ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic Model for Numerical Weather Prediction). These sensitivity experiments are performed by imposing a repeated annual cycle of the year 1986 for sea surface temperatures and sea ice as lower boundary conditions and for greenhouse gas concentrations as external forcing. This year is selected as both El-Nino Southern Oscillation and Pacific decadal oscillation were in their neutral phase and no explosive volcanic eruption has occurred. Hence, lower boundary and external forcing conditions in this year can serve as a useful proxy for the multi-year mean condition and an estimate of its internal variability. We performed simulations where in the control simulation the sub-grid parameterization scheme for both orographic and non-orographic gravity wave drags are switched on. The other two experiments are identical to the control simulation except that either orographic or non-orographic gravity wave drags are switched off. Recently, deep learning has extraordinarily progressed our ability to recognize complex patterns in big datasets. Deep neural networks have shown great capabilities to capture the dynamical process of the atmosphere. Applying deep learning algorithms on experiments’ results, the impact of gravity wave drag modifications on large-scale mechanisms of the Arctic Amplification will be analyzed. Special emphasis will be put on the effects of gravity wave drag modifications on the polar vortex dynamics.

In the extratropical atmosphere, Rossby waves (RWs) and internal gravity waves (GWs) propagating from the troposphere mediate a coupling with the middle atmosphere by influencing the dynamics herein. In the current generation chemistry-climate models (CCMs), RW effects are well resolved while GW effects have to be parameterized. Here, we analyze orographic GW (OGW) interaction with resolved dynamics in a comprehensive CCM on the time scale of days. For this, we apply a recently developed method of strong OGW drag event composites for the three strongest northern hemisphere OGW hotspots. We show that locally-strong OGW events considerably alter the properties of resolved wave propagation into the middle atmosphere, which subsequently influences zonal winds and RW transience. Our results demonstrate that the influence of OGWs is critically dependent on the hotspot region, which underlines the OGW-resolved dynamics interaction being a two-way process.

We investigate the forcing mechanisms of the terdiurnal solar tide in the middle atmosphere using a mechanistic global circulation model. In order to quantify their individual contributions, we perform several model experiments and separate each forcing mechanism by switching off the remaining sources. We find that the primary excitation is owing to the terdiurnal component of solar radiation absorption in the troposphere and stratosphere. Secondary sources are nonlinear tide–tide interactions and gravity wave–tide interactions. Thus, although the solar heating clearly dominates the terdiurnal forcing in our simulations, we find that nonlinear tidal and gravity wave interactions contribute in certain seasons and at certain altitudes. By slightly enhancing the different excitation sources, we test the sensitivity of the background circulation to these changes of the dynamics. As a result, the increase of terdiurnal gravity wave drag can strongly affect the middle and upper atmosphere dynamics, including an irregular change of the terdiurnal amplitude, a weakening of neutral winds in the thermosphere, and a significant temperature change in the thermosphere, depending on the strength of the forcing. On the contrary, the influence of nonlinear tidal interactions on the middle atmosphere background dynamics is rather small.

The mid-latitude mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) wind speeds measured by two SKiYMET meteor radars (MRs) at Collm (51°N, 13°E) and Kazan (56°N, 49°E) during 2016–2017 were analyzed to study longitudinal wind structures. The differences between monthly mean prevailing wind speeds and tidal amplitudes were compared with the corresponding differences obtained from TIMED/TIDI satellite winds and gradient wind speeds from the AURA/MLS instrument. It is shown that the MR wind difference between the two sites is statistically significant. The difference of the horizontal prevailing winds can be explained by a superposition of the background zonal flow, which is different at the two latitudes, with stationary planetary waves of different origin. Non-migrating tides contribute significantly to the difference of the semidiurnal tidal winds between the two sites.

Objectives Children after liver transplantation show increased rates of impaired cognitive functioning. We aimed to assess the potential effects of immunosuppressive therapy on executive functioning measured by the Children's Color Trail Test and the cognitive functioning module of the PedsQL (cogPedsQL) in liver transplanted children to explore potential targets for intervention to improve executive functioning. Methods We performed a cross-sectional study in 155 children (78 girls) aged 10.4 (2-18) years at 5.0 (0.1-17) years after liver transplantation, with follow-up at 6 months in n = 114. Executive functioning was assessed by Children's Color Trail Test (ages 8-16) and by patients and parent-proxy cogPedsQL (ages 5-18/2-18, respectively). Results were correlated with clinical parameters. Stability of results over time was compared between n = 23 patients who for clinical reasons switched from twice daily calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) to once-daily slow-release tacrolimus (Tac) during the study period, and patients with unchanged CNI. Results Worse executive functioning was associated with longer stay in the intensive care unit and longer time elapsed since transplantation. No difference was found between users of cyclosporine and Tac. Children on once-daily slow-release Tac performed better than children on twice-daily Tac. In children who switched from twice-daily CNI to once-daily Tac, parent-proxy cogPedsQL improved significantly compared to stable results in the nonswitch group. Conclusions In addition to a strong impact of disease burden around transplantation, executive functioning appears to deteriorate over time. Although there is no clear-cut advantage of any CNI, once-daily Tac appears to be advantageous compared to twice-daily Tac.

Mesospheric winds collected by multiple meteor radars at mid-latitudes in the northern hemispheric are combined to investigate wave activities in June—October 2019. Dual-station approaches are developed and implemented to diagnose zonal wavenumber $m$ of spectral peaks. In September—October, diagnosed are quasi‐10‐ and 6‐day planetary waves (Q10DW and Q6DW, $m=$1), solar semi-diurnal tides with $m=$1, 2, 3 (SW1, SW2, and SW3), lunar semi-diurnal tide, and the upper and lower sidebands (USB and LSB, $m=$ 1 and 3) of Q10DW‐SW2 nonlinear interactions. During June— September, diagnosed are Rossby-gravity modes ($m=$3 and 4 at periods $T=$ 2.1d and 1.7d), and their USBs and LSBs generated from interactions with diurnal, semi-diurnal, ter-diurnal, and quatra-diurnal migrating tides. These results demonstrate that the planetary wave-tide nonlinear interactions significantly increase the variety of waves in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere region (MLT).

A new method is presented to derive spectrally resolved global and local annual changes in the Earth Energy Imbalance (ΔEEI(λ, Δλ)) from measurements of Total and Spectral Solar Irradiance (TSI and SSI) and Total Outgoing Radiation (TOR) and the Spectral Outgoing Radiation (SOR) of the Earth. Since TSI space radiometers provide data with a long-term absolute accuracy -2, the Sun should be used as a TSI referenced radiation source to obtain SSI data using the method of the Solar Auto-Calibrating XUV-IR Spectrometer (SOLACER). By repeatedly calibrating the solar and Earth observation instruments, the degradation should be compensated to accurately determine the outgoing flux Φ(λ, Δλ) entering the instrument. If the instruments on a pointing device are moved within the Angular Range of Sensitivity (ARS) in two angular dimensions through the solar disk, the instruments are also regularly calibrated with regard to their dependence of the angular sensitivity. ARS is independent of the environmental conditions. To improve the accuracy of SOR data, a normalization factor Ωa / ARS is used to extend the annual averaged outgoing flux data Φ(λ, Δλ)a to the SOR(λ, Δλ)a. The strength of the method is demonstrated by describing space-evaluated instruments to be adapted for solar and/or Earth observation from a small satellite. In the spectral range from 120 nm to 3000 nm, spectrometers and highly sensitive photometers with signal-to-noise ratios >1:107 are described to generate data records with high statistical accuracy. Given the compactness of the instruments, more than 20 different data sets should be compiled to complement, verify each other and improve accuracy.

The quasi-two-day wave (Q2DW) is the strongest and most widely-studied planetary wave occurring in the mesosphere. Existing observational analyses are based on either single-satellite or -station approaches, which suffer from temporal and spatial aliasing, respectively. The current work implements and develops dual-station approaches to investigate the mesospheric Q2DWs and their nonlinear interactions with tides using winds from two longitudinal sectors at 53°N latitude. An 8-year composite analysis reveals seasonal and altitude variations of Q2DWs and their secondary waves (SWs) from nonlinear interactions with tides. The Q2DWs maximize in local summer, whereas their 16hr and 9.6hr SWs appear more in winter.

The loss of Arctic sea ice as a consequence of global warming is changing the forcing of the atmospheric large-scale circulation. Areas not covered with sea ice anymore may act as an additional heat source. Associated changes in Rossby wave propagation can initiate tropospheric and stratospheric pathways of Arctic - Mid-latitude linkages. These pathways have the potential to impact on the large-scale energy transport into the Arctic. On the other hand, studies show that the large-scale circulation contributes to Arctic warming by poleward transport of moist static energy. This presentation shows results from research within the Transregional Collaborative Research Center “ArctiC Amplification: Climate Relevant Atmospheric and SurfaCe Processes, and Feedback Mechanisms (AC)3” funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft. Using the ERA interim and ERA5 reanalyses the meridional moist static energy transport during high ice and low ice periods is compared. The investigation discriminates between contributions from planetary and synoptic scale. Special emphasis is put on the seasonality of the modulations of the large-scale energy transport.

Observations of upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere (MLT) wind have been performed at Collm (51°N, 13°E) and Kazan (56°N, 49°E), using two SKiYMET all-sky meteor radars with similar configuration. Daily vertical profiles of mean winds and tidal amplitudes have been constructed from hourly horizontal winds. We analyze the response of mean winds and tidal amplitudes to geomagnetic disturbances. To this end we compare winds and amplitudes for very quiet (Ap ≤ 5) and unsettled/disturbed (Ap ≥ 20) geomagnetic conditions. Zonal winds in both the mesosphere and lower thermosphere are weaker during disturbed conditions for both summer and winter. The summer equatorward meridional wind jet is weaker for disturbed geomagnetic conditions. Tendencies over Collm and Kazan for geomagnetic effects on mean winds qualitatively agree during most of the year. For the diurnal tide, amplitudes in summer are smaller in the mesosphere but greater in the lower thermosphere, but no clear tendency is seen for winter. Semidiurnal tidal amplitudes increase during geomagnetic active days in summer and winter. Terdiurnal amplitudes are slightly reduced in the mesosphere during disturbed days, but no clear effect is visible for the lower thermosphere. Overall, while there is a noticeable effect of geomagnetic variability on the mean wind, the effect on tidal amplitudes, except for the semidiurnal tide, is relatively small and partly different over Collm and Kazan.

We analyze sporadic E (ES) occurrence rates (OR) obtained from ionospheric radio occultation measurements by the FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC constellation. Maximum OR are seen at 95 - 105 km altitude at lower midlatitudes. Midlatitude ES are mainly due to wind shear in the presence of tides, and the strongest signals are a migrating diurnal and semidiurnal com- ponent. Especially at high latitudes of the southern hemisphere, nonmigrating components such as a diurnal westward wave 2 and a semidiurnal westward wave 1 are also visible. Near the equator, a strong diurnal eastward wavenumber 3 component and a semidiurnal eastward wavenumber 2 component is found in summer and autumn. Terdiurnal and quarterdiurnal components are weaker than the diurnal and semidiurnal ones

The ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC) provided by the International GNSS Service (IGS), and the Coupled Thermosphere Ionosphere Plasmasphere Electrodynamics (CTIPe) model simulated TEC have been used to investigate the delayed ionospheric response against solar flux and its trend during the years 2011 to 2013. The analysis of the distinct low and mid-latitudes TEC response over 15° E shows a better correlation of observed TEC and the solar radio flux index F10.7 in the Southern Hemisphere compared to the Northern Hemisphere. Thus, a significant hemispheric asymmetry is observed. The ionospheric delay estimated using model simulated TEC is in good agreement with the delay estimated for observed TEC against Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) EUV Variability Experiment (EVE) measured flux. The average delay for the observed (modeled) TEC is 17(16) h. The average delay calculated for observed and modeled TEC is 1 and 2 h longer in the Southern Hemisphere compared to the Northern Hemisphere. Furthermore, the observed TEC is compared with the modeled TEC simulated using the SOLAR2000 and EUVAC flux models within CTIPe over Northern and Southern Hemispheric grid points. The analysis suggests that TEC simulated using the SOLAR2000 flux model overestimates the observed TEC, which is not the case when using the EUVAC flux model.

In recent years, multistatic specular meteor radars (SMRs) have been introduced to study the Mesosphere and Lower Thermosphere (MLT) dynamics. In this paper, the statistics of mesoscale MLT power spectra are explored through observations from a campaign using the SIMONe (Spread-spectrum Interferometric Multistatic meteor radar Observing Network) approach conducted in northern Germany in 2018 (hereafter SIMONe 2018). The seven-day SIMONe 2018 comprised of fourteen multistatic SMR links and allows to build a substantial database of specular meteor trail events, collecting more than one hundred thousand detections per day within a geographic area of ~ 500 km x 500 km. The two methods we propose to obtain the power spectra in frequency range are (1) Wind field Correlation Function Inversion (WCFI), which utilizes two-point correlations of specular meteor observations, and (2) Mean Wind Estimation (MWE), which determines the MLT winds and gradients from specular meteor observations. Monte Carlo simulations of a gravity wave spectral model were implemented to validate and compare both methods. The simulation analyses suggest that the WCFI is the viable option among them to study the second-order statistics of the MLT winds that helps to capture the energy of small-scale wind fluctuations. Characterization of the spectral slope at different MLT altitudes has been conducted on the SIMONe 2018, and it provides evidence that gravity waves with periods smaller than seven hours and greater than two hours are dominated by waves with horizontal wavelength significantly larger than 500 km, which might be associated to secondary gravity waves. We believe that the presented methods can help us bridge the observational gap between large and small-scale mesospheric wind fluctuations and also improve the capabilities of SMRs.

Atmospheric gravity waves transport energy and momentum trough the different atmospheric layers from the troposphere up to the mesosphere and above. On the one hand this transport has influence on atmospheric circulation patterns and drives for example the meridional circulation in the mesosphere. On the other hand the prevailing wind field selectively influences the vertical propagation conditions of gravity waves of different phase speed and horizontal propagation direction.The OH-airglow layer at ca. 86 km altitude (upper mesosphere / lower thermosphere, UMLT) is well-suited for the investigation of atmospheric dynamics, allowing continuous observations of the night-sky throughout the year. Especially, atmospheric gravity waves are prominent features in the data of airglow imaging systems. Furthermore, this altitude region is known to be a region where wave breaking occurs quite often making it particular interesting for quantifying the amount of energy and momentum released due to gravity waves.Five years of airglow observations with three FAIM (Fast Airglow Imager) systems in and around the Alpine region are analysed regarding high-frequency gravity waves. Prevailing wind fields and tides from meteor radar wind data and ERA5 data are compared with the propagation direction of these waves and show patterns with high correlation. On seasonal timescales, the gravity waves clearly propagate predominantly to the East in summer and to the West in winter regarding the zonal direction. The meridional direction varies between the different years. On diurnal timescales, we find that atmospheric tides significantly impact the main propagation directions of the gravity waves.We further present a case study of a stereoscopic reconstruction using two synchronized airglow-imagers with overlapping field-of-views. This allows deriving the wave amplitude and a 3D visualization of gravity wave patterns within the airglow layer.This work received funding from the Bavarian State Ministry of the Environment and Consumer Protection.

In the atmosphere, internal gravity waves (GWs) are a naturally occurring and ubiquitous, though intermittent phenomenon. In addition, GWs (especially orographic; OGWs) are asymmetrically distributed around the globe. In current generation global climate models (GCMs), GWs are usually smaller than the model grid resolution and the majority of their spectrum therefore must be parameterized. To some extent, the intermittency and asymmetry of a spatial distribution of the resulting OGW drag (OGWD) is present also in GCMs. As the GW parameterization schemes in GCMs are usually tuned to get the zonal mean climatology of particular features right, an important question emerges: what kind of influence do GW parameterizations have on the individual models atmosphere locally? Here we focus on answering this question regarding the impact of spatiotemporally intermittent OGW forcing in the extra-tropical lower stratosphere region (LS). The LS region is characterized by a strong interplay of chemical, physical and dynamical processes. To date, the representation of this dynamically active region in models frequently mismatches observations. Although we can find a climatological maximum of oGWD in the LS, the role of OGW forcing for the transport and composition in this region is poorly understood. We combine observational evidence, idealized modeling and statistical analysis of GCM outputs to study both the short-term and long-term model response to the OGW forcing. The results presented will question the relationship between the advective part of the Brewer- Dobson circulation and the zonally asymmetric GW forcing, and a so-far neglected link between oGWD and large-scale quasi-isentropic stirring will be discussed.

A strong mountain wave, observed over Central Europe on 12 January 2016, is simulated in 2D under two fixed background wind conditions representing opposite tidal phases. The aim of the simulation is to investigate the breaking of the mountain wave and subsequent generation of nonprimary waves in the upper atmosphere. The model results show that the mountain wave first breaks as it approaches a mesospheric critical level creating turbulence on horizontal scales of 8–30 km. These turbulence scales couple directly to horizontal secondary waves scales, but those scales are prevented from reaching the hermosphere by the tidal winds, which act like a filter. Initial secondary waves that can reach the thermosphere range from 60 to 120 km in horizontal scale and are influenced by the scales of the horizontal and vertical forcing associated with wave breaking at mountain wave zonal phase width, and horizontal wavelength scales. Large-scale nonprimary waves dominate over the whole duration of the simulation with horizontal scales of 107–300 km and periods of 11–22 minutes. The thermosphere winds heavily influence the time-averaged spatial distribution of wave forcing in the thermosphere, which peaks at 150 km altitude and occurs both westward and eastward of the source in the 2 UT background simulation and primarily eastward of the source in the 7 UT background simulation. The forcing amplitude is ∼2× that of the primary mountain wave breaking and dissipation. This suggests that nonprimary waves play a significant role in gravity waves dynamics and improved understanding of the thermospheric winds is crucial to understanding their forcing distribution.

The Radar data for each location is identified with its Name and U,V by zonal and meridional winds. In each file, the first column is height and second column onwards wind data from 2017-12-01 to 2018-03-31.

Implementing a nonlinear whole atmosphere gravity wave (GW) parameterization into the Middle and Upper Atmosphere Model extending to the lower thermosphere (160 km), we study the response of the atmosphere in terms of the circulation patterns, temperature distribution, and migrating terdiurnal solar tide activity to the upward propagating small-scale internal GWs originating in the lower atmosphere. We perform three test simulations for the Northern Hemisphere winter conditions in order to assess the effects of variations in the initial GW spectrum on the dynamics of the mesosphere and lower thermosphere. We find that the overall strength of the source level momentum flux has a comparatively small impact on zonal mean dynamics. The tails of the GW source level spectrum, however, are crucial for the lower thermosphere dynamics. With respect to the terdiurnal tide, we find a strong dependence of tidal amplitude on the induced GW drag, generally being larger when GW drag is increased.

The seasonal and interannual variability of the quarterdiurnal tide is analysed using meteor radar wind observations at the two midlatitude sites Collm and Obninsk. Generally tidal amplitudes increase with height. Maximum tidal amplitudes are found in winter. Meridional amplitudes are smaller than zonal ones on an average. Phases mainly differ between summer and winter. Zonal and meridional phases differ by slightly less than 90°. The vertical wavelengths are very long in winter, but shorter and on the order of 20 km in summer. Collm and Obninsk amplitudes and phases agree well, indicating that the migrating quarterdiurnal tide may be responsible for a major part of the observed waves. Observations since 1980 show that the tidal amplitudes have increased on a whole, although the increase is not linear but mainly happening during the late 1990s and the early 2000s.