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Background: Whether genetic factors influence the long-term course of multiple sclerosis (MS) is unresolved. Objective: To determine the influence of HLA-DRB1*1501 on long-term disease course in a homogeneous cohort of clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) patients. Methods: One hundred seven patients underwent clinical and MRI assessment at the time of CIS and after 1, 3, 5 and 15 years. HLA-DRB1*1501 status was determined using Sanger sequencing and tagging of the rs3135388 polymorphism. Linear/Poisson mixed-effects models were used to investigate rates of change in EDSS and MRI measures based on HLA-DRB1*1501 status. Results: HLA-DRB1*1501 -positive ( n = 52) patients showed a faster rate of disability worsening compared with the HLA-DRB1*1501 -negative ( n = 55) patients (annualised change in EDSS 0.14/year vs. 0.08/year, p 2/year, p Interpretation: These findings provide evidence that the HLA-DRB1*1501 allele plays a role in MS severity, as measured by long-term disability worsening and a greater extent of inflammatory disease activity and tissue loss. HLA-DRB1*1501 may provide useful information when considering prognosis and treatment decisions in early relapse-onset MS.

Background: Clinical studies in multiple sclerosis (MS) often require accurate measurement of walking distance. Utilisation of electronic devices could theoretically improve this. Mobile devices have the potential to continuously monitor health by collecting movement data. Popular fitness trackers record steps taken and distance travelled, typically using a fixed-stride length. However, applications using fixed-stride length may be less accurate in those with altered gait patterns. While useful for everyday purposes, medical monitoring requires greater accuracy. Objective: Our aim was to determine the agreement and reliability of using a smartphone application to measure distance walked. Method: A phone application (mSteps) was developed and tested in a pilot study and then a validation study, looking at an indoor and outdoor setting with people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) and a control cohort. Results: In the pilot study, the 95% limits of agreement (LOA) for outdoor tracking in control cohort lay within the a priori defined limit; however, the indoor tracking in both cohorts did not meet the defined limit. The app was then successfully validated outdoors in PwMS. Conclusion: mSteps could be used to accurately measure distance outdoors in PwMS. There is still a need for solutions to accurately and reliably measure distance walked indoors.

Background: As patents for multiple sclerosis (MS) therapies expire, follow-on disease-modifying treatments (FO-DMTs) become available at reduced cost. Concerns exist that cheaper FO-DMTs are used simply to reduce healthcare costs. However, the well-being of people with MS should take priority. Objectives: To identify best practices for FO-DMT development and use by agreeing on principles and consensus statements through appraisal of published evidence. Methods: Following a systematic review, we formulated five overarching principles and 13 consensus statements. Principles and statements were voted on by a multidisciplinary panel from 17 European countries, Argentina, Canada and the United States. Results: All principles and statements were endorsed by >80% of panellists. In brief, FO-DMTs approved within highly regulated areas can be considered effective and safe as their reference products; FO-DMTs can be evaluated case by case and do not always require Phase III trials; long-term pharmacovigilance and transparency are needed; there is lack of evidence for multiple- and cross-switching among FO-DMTs; and education is needed to address remaining concerns. Conclusion: Published data support the use of FO-DMTs in MS. The consensus may aid shared decision-making. While our consensus focused on Europe, the results may contribute to enhanced quality standards for FO-DMTs use elsewhere.

Magnetic resonance imaging; Neurofilament light; Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis Imatge per ressonància magnètica; Llum del neurofilament; Esclerosi múltiple secundària progressiva Imagen por resonancia magnética; Luz de neurofilamento; Esclerosis múltiple secundaria progresiva Background: Cognitive impairment affects 50%–75% of people with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (PwSPMS). Improving our ability to predict cognitive decline may facilitate earlier intervention. Objective: The main aim of this study was to assess the relationship between longitudinal changes in cognition and baseline serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) in PwSPMS. In a multi-modal analysis, MRI variables were additionally included to determine if sNfL has predictive utility beyond that already established through MRI. Methods: Participants from the MS-STAT trial underwent a detailed neuropsychological test battery at baseline, 12 and 24 months. Linear mixed models were used to assess the relationships between cognition, sNfL, T2 lesion volume (T2LV) and normalised regional brain volumes. Results: Median age and Expanded Disability Status Score (EDSS) were 51 and 6.0. Each doubling of baseline sNfL was associated with a 0.010 [0.003–0.017] point per month faster decline in WASI Full Scale IQ Z-score (p = 0.008), independent of T2LV and normalised regional volumes. In contrast, lower baseline volume of the transverse temporal gyrus was associated with poorer current cognitive performance (0.362 [0.026–0.698] point reduction per mL, p = 0.035), but not change in cognition. The results were supported by secondary analyses on individual cognitive components. Conclusion: Elevated sNfL is associated with faster cognitive decline, independent of T2LV and regional normalised volumes. The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship and/or publication of this article: No specific funding was received for this research. T.W. is currently funded by the MS-STAT2 trial grant (NCT03387670). This is funded by the NIHR Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Programme, Multiple Sclerosis Society (UK) and the National Multiple Sclerosis Society (US).

Over the recent years, the treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) has evolved very rapidly and a large number of disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) are now available. However, most DMTs are associated with adverse events, the most frequent of which being infections. Consideration of all DMT-associated risks facilitates development of risk mitigation strategies. An international focused workshop with expert-led discussions was sponsored by the European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis (ECTRIMS) and was held in April 2021 to review our current knowledge about the risk of infections associated with the use of DMTs for people with MS and NMOSD and corresponding risk mitigation strategies. The workshop addressed DMT-associated infections in specific populations, such as children and pregnant women with MS, or people with MS who have other comorbidities or live in regions with an exceptionally high infection burden. Finally, we reviewed the topic of DMT-associated infectious risks in the context of the current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Herein, we summarize available evidence and identify gaps in knowledge which justify further research.

Introduction To evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on (1) number of clinical visits, (2) magnetic resonance (MR) scans, and (3) treatment prescriptions in a multiple sclerosis (MS) referral centre. Methods Retrospective study covering January 2018 to May 2021. Results The monthly mean (standard deviation [SD]) of visits performed in 2020 (814[137.6]) was similar to 2018 (741[99.7]; p = 0.153), and 2019 (797[116.3]; p = 0.747). During the COVID-19 period (2020 year), 36.3% of the activity was performed through telemedicine. The number of MR scans performed dropped by 76.6% during the “first wave” (March 14 to June 21, 2020) compared to the mean monthly activity in 2020 (183.5[68.9]), with a recovery during the subsequent two months. The monthly mean of treatment prescriptions approved in 2020 (24.1[7.0]) was lower than in 2019 (30[7.0]; p = 0.049), but similar to 2018 (23.8[8.0]; p = 0.727). Natalizumab prescriptions increased in the “first wave” and onwards, whereas anti-CD20 prescriptions decreased during the COVID-19 period. Conclusion Maintenance of the number of clinical visits was likely due to telemedicine adoption. Although the number of MR dramatically dropped during the “first wave”, an early recovery was observed. Treatment prescriptions suffered a slight quantitative decrease during 2020, whereas substantial qualitative changes were found in specific treatments.

Background and ObjectivesTo explore whether time to diagnosis, time to treatment initiation, and age to reach disability milestones have changed in patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) according to different multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnostic criteria periods.MethodsThis retrospective study was based on data collected prospectively from the Barcelona-CIS cohort between 1994 and 2020. Patients were classified into 5 periods according to different MS criteria, and the times to MS diagnosis and treatment initiation were evaluated. The age at which patients with MS reached an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score ≥3.0 was assessed by Cox regression analysis according to diagnostic criteria periods. Last, to remove the classic Will Rogers phenomenon by which the use of different MS criteria over time might result in a changes of prognosis, the 2017 McDonald criteria were applied, and age at EDSS score ≥3.0 was assessed by Cox regression.ResultsIn total, 1,174 patients were included. The median time from CIS to MS diagnosis and from CIS to treatment initiation showed a 77% and 82% reduction from the Poser to the McDonald 2017 diagnostic criteria periods, respectively. Patients of a given age diagnosed in more recent diagnostic criteria periods had a lower risk of reaching an EDSS score ≥3.0 than patients of the same age diagnosed in earlier diagnostic periods (reference category Poser period): adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.47 (95% confidence interval 0.24–0.90) for McDonald 2001, aHR 0.25 (0.12–0.54) for McDonald 2005, aHR 0.30 (0.12–0.75) for McDonald 2010, and aHR 0.07 (0.01–0.45) for McDonald 2017. Patients in the early-treatment group displayed an aHR of 0.53 (0.33–0.85) of reaching age at EDSS score ≥3.0 compared to those in the late-treatment group. Changes in prognosis together with early-treatment effect were maintained after the exclusion of possible bias derived from the use of different diagnostic criteria over time (Will Rogers phenomenon).DiscussionA continuous decrease in the time to MS diagnosis and treatment initiation was observed across diagnostic criteria periods. Overall, patients diagnosed in more recent diagnostic criteria periods displayed a lower risk of reaching disability. The prognostic improvement is maintained after the Will Rogers phenomenon is discarded, and early treatment appears to be the most likely contributing factor.

Background and ObjectivesRelapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), aquaporin-4 antibody–positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (AQP4-NMOSD), and myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody–associated disease (MOGAD) may have overlapping clinical features. There is an unmet need for imaging markers that differentiate between them when serologic testing is unavailable or ambiguous. We assessed whether imaging characteristics typical of MS discriminate RRMS from AQP4-NMOSD and MOGAD, alone and in combination.MethodsAdult, nonacute patients with RRMS, APQ4-NMOSD, and MOGAD and healthy controls were prospectively recruited at the National Hospital for Neurology and Neurosurgery (London, United Kingdom) and the Walton Centre (Liverpool, United Kingdom) between 2014 and 2019. They underwent conventional and advanced brain, cord, and optic nerve MRI and optical coherence tomography (OCT).ResultsA total of 91 consecutive patients (31 RRMS, 30 APQ4-NMOSD, and 30 MOGAD) and 34 healthy controls were recruited. The most accurate measures differentiating RRMS from AQP4-NMOSD were the proportion of lesions with the central vein sign (CVS) (84% vs 33%, accuracy/specificity/sensitivity: 91/88/93%,p< 0.001), followed by cortical lesions (median: 2 [range: 1–14] vs 1 [0–1], accuracy/specificity/sensitivity: 84/90/77%,p= 0.002) and white matter lesions (mean: 39.07 [±25.8] vs 9.5 [±14], accuracy/specificity/sensitivity: 78/84/73%,p= 0.001). The combination of higher proportion of CVS, cortical lesions, and optic nerve magnetization transfer ratio reached the highest accuracy in distinguishing RRMS from AQP4-NMOSD (accuracy/specificity/sensitivity: 95/92/97%,p< 0.001). The most accurate measures favoring RRMS over MOGAD were white matter lesions (39.07 [±25.8] vs 1 [±2.3], accuracy/specificity/sensitivity: 94/94/93%,p= 0.006), followed by cortical lesions (2 [1–14] vs 1 [0–1], accuracy/specificity/sensitivity: 84/97/71%,p= 0.004), and retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (RNFL) (mean: 87.54 [±13.83] vs 75.54 [±20.33], accuracy/specificity/sensitivity: 80/79/81%,p= 0.009). Higher cortical lesion number combined with higher RNFL thickness best differentiated RRMS from MOGAD (accuracy/specificity/sensitivity: 84/92/77%,p< 0.001).DiscussionCortical lesions, CVS, and optic nerve markers achieve a high accuracy in distinguishing RRMS from APQ4-NMOSD and MOGAD. This information may be useful in clinical practice, especially outside the acute phase and when serologic testing is ambiguous or not promptly available.Classification of EvidenceThis study provides Class II evidence that selected conventional and advanced brain, cord, and optic nerve MRI and OCT markers distinguish adult patients with RRMS from AQP4-NMOSD and MOGAD.

New clinical activity in multiple sclerosis (MS) is often accompanied by acute inflammation which subsides. However, there is growing evidence that a substantial proportion of lesions remain active well beyond the acute phase. Chronic active lesions are most frequently found in progressive MS and are characterised by a border of inflammation associated with iron-enriched cells, leading to ongoing tissue injury. Identifying imaging markers for chronic active lesions in vivo are thus a major research goal. We reviewed the literature on imaging of chronic active lesion in MS, focussing on ‘slowly expanding lesions’ (SELs), detected by volumetric longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and ‘rim-positive’ lesions, identified by susceptibility iron-sensitive MRI. Both SELs and rim-positive lesions have been found to be prognostically relevant to future disability. Little is known about the co-occurrence of rims around SELs and their inter-relationship with other emerging techniques such as dynamic contrast enhancement (DCE) and positron emission tomography (PET).

Background: The effect of disease-modifying therapies on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccine response is unclear. Objectives: We aim to determine the immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 in multiple sclerosis (MS) and anti-CD20-treated patients with other autoimmune diseases (AID). Methods: Humoral and cellular responses we determined before and 30-90 days after vaccination in patients with MS and anti-CD20-treated patients with other AID in two Catalan centers. Results: 457 patients were enrolled. Findings showed that humoral response decreased under anti-CD20s or sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor modulators (S1PRM) and with longer treatment duration and increased after 4.5 months from the last anti-CD20 infusion. Cellular response decreased in S1PRM-treated. Patients on anti-CD20 can present cellular responses even in the absence of antibodies. Conclusion: Anti-CD20s and S1PRM modify the immunological responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.

Intrathecal production of kappa free light chains occurs in multiple sclerosis and can be measured using the kappa free light chain index. Kappa free light chain index values can be determined more easily than oligoclonal bands detection and seem more sensitive than the immunoglobulin (Ig)G index to diagnose multiple sclerosis. We assessed the value of oligoclonal bands, kappa free light chain index cut-offs 5.9, 6.6 and 10.61, and IgG index to diagnose multiple sclerosis with prospectively acquired data from a clinically isolated syndrome inception cohort. We selected patients with sufficient data to determine oligoclonal bands positivity, MRI dissemination in space and time, IgG index and sufficient quantities of paired CSF and blood samples to determine kappa free light chain indexes (n = 214). We used Kendall’s Tau coefficient to estimate concordance, calculated the number of additional diagnoses when adding each positive index to dissemination in space and positive oligoclonal bands, performed survival analyses for oligoclonal bands and each index with the outcomes second attack and 2017 MRI dissemination in space and time and estimated the diagnostic properties of oligoclonal bands and the different indexes for the previously mentioned outcomes at 5 years. Oligoclonal bands were positive in 138 patients (64.5%), kappa free light chain-5.9 in 136 (63.6%), kappa free light chain-6.6 in 135 (63.1%), kappa free light chain-10.61 in 126 (58.9%) and IgG index in 101 (47.2%). The highest concordance was between oligoclonal bands and kappa free light chain-6.6 (τ = 0.727) followed by oligoclonal bands and kappa free light chain-5.9 (τ = 0.716). Combining dissemination in space plus oligoclonal bands or kappa free light chain-5.9 increased the number of diagnosed patients by 11 (5.1%), with kappa free light chain-6.6 by 10 (4.7%), with kappa free light chain-10.61 by 9 (4.2%) and with IgG index by 3 (1.4%). Patients with positive oligoclonal bands or indexes reached second attack and MRI dissemination in space and time faster than patients with negative results (P < 0.0001 except IgG index in second attack: P = 0.016). In multivariable Cox models [adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval)], the risk for second attack was very similar between kappa free light chain-5.9 [2.0 (0.9–4.3), P = 0.068] and kappa free light chain-6.6 [2.1 (1.1–4.2), P = 0.035]. The highest risk for MRI dissemination in space and time was demonstrated with kappa free light chain-5.9 [4.9 (2.5–9.6), P < 0.0001], followed by kappa free light chain-6.6 [3.4 (1.9–6.3), P < 0.0001]. Kappa free light chains-5.9 and -6.6 had a slightly higher diagnostic accuracy than oligoclonal bands for second attack (70.5, 71.1 and 67.8) and MRI dissemination in space and time (85.7, 85.1 and 81.0). Kappa free light chain indexes 5.9 and 6.6 performed slightly better than oligoclonal bands to assess multiple sclerosis risk and in terms of diagnostic accuracy. Given the concordance between oligoclonal bands and these indexes, we suggest using dissemination in space plus positive oligoclonal bands or positive kappa free light chain index as a modified criterion to diagnose multiple sclerosis.

Disease-modifying drugs are changing the natural history of multiple sclerosis (MS). However, currently available clinical trial data are insufficient to develop accurate personalized treatment algorithms to assign the best possible treatment to each person with MS according to disease features, treatment history, and comorbidities. Such accurate algorithms would require the presence of numerous head-to-head trials of long duration, which is virtually impossible, given the economic costs, required time, and difficulties with attrition. Thus, efforts are being made to compare relative treatment efficacy through observational designs, using large multicenter prospective cohorts or “big MS data,” and network meta-analyses. Although such studies can yield useful information, they are liable to biases and their results should be confirmed in other study populations, including smaller, single-center cohorts, where some of these biases can be minimized. In this View article, we analyze the potential benefits and biases of all these strategies alternative to head-to-head trials in MS. Finally, we propose the combination of all these types of studies to obtain reliable head-to-head drug comparisons in the absence of randomized designs.

Different treatment response scoring systems in treated MS patients exist. The objective was to assess the long-term predictive value of these systems in RRMS patients treated with self-injectable DMTs. RRMS-treated patients underwent brain MRI before the onset of therapy and 12 months thereafter, and neurological assessments every 6 months. Clinical and demographic characteristics were collected at baseline. After the first year of treatment, several scoring systems [Rio score (RS), modified Rio score (MRS), MAGNIMS score (MS), and ROAD score (RoS)] were calculated. Cox-Regression and survival analyses were performed to identify scores predicting long-term disability. We included 319 RRMS patients. Survival analyses showed that patients with RS > 1 and RoS > 3 had a significant risk of reaching an EDSS of 4.0 and 6.0 The score with the best sensitivity (61%) was the RoS, while the MRS showed the best specificity (88%). The RS showed the best positive predictive value (42%) and the best accuracy (81%). The combined measures integrated into different scores have an acceptable prognostic value for identifying patients with long-term disability. Thus, these data reinforce the concept of early treatment optimization to minimize the risk of long-term disability.

Neurografia de ressonància magnètica (MRN); Relació de transferència de magnetització (MTR); Esclerosi múltiple del sistema nerviós perifèric (SNP) Neurografía de resonancia magnética (MRN); Relación de transferencia de magnetización (MTR); Esclerosis múltiple del sistema nervioso periférico (SNP) Magnetic resonance neurography (MRN); Magnetisation transfer ratio (MTR); Multiple sclerosis peripheral nervous system (PNS) Background: Multiple sclerosis (MS) has traditionally been regarded as a disease confined to the central nervous system (CNS). However, neuropathological, electrophysiological, and imaging studies have demonstrated that the peripheral nervous system (PNS) is also involved, with demyelination and, to a lesser extent, axonal degeneration representing the main pathophysiological mechanisms. Aim: The purpose of this study was to assess PNS damage at the lumbar plexus and sciatic nerve anatomical locations in people with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and healthy controls (HCs) in vivo using magnetisation transfer ratio (MTR), which is a known imaging biomarker sensitive to alterations in myelin content in neural tissue, and not previously explored in the context of PNS damage in MS. Method: Eleven HCs (7 female, mean age 33.6 years, range 24-50) and 15 people with RRMS (12 female, mean age 38.5 years, range 30-56) were recruited for this study and underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) investigations together with clinical assessments using the expanded disability status scale (EDSS). Magnetic resonance neurography (MRN) was first used for visualisation and identification of the lumbar plexus and the sciatic nerve and MTR imaging was subsequently performed using identical scan geometry to MRN, enabling straightforward co-registration of all data to obtain global and regional mean MTR measurements. Linear regression models were used to identify differences in MTR values between HCs and people with RRMS and to identify an association between MTR measures and EDSS. Results: MTR values in the sciatic nerve of people with RRMS were found to be significantly lower compared to HCs, but no significant MTR changes were identified in the lumbar plexus of people with RRMS. The median EDSS in people with RRMS was 2.0 (range, 0-3). No relationship between the MTR measures in the PNS and EDSS were identified at any of the anatomical locations studied in this cohort of people with RRMS. Conclusion: The results from this study demonstrate the presence of PNS damage in people with RRMS and support the notion that these changes, suggestive of demyelination, maybe occurring independently at different anatomical locations within the PNS. Further investigations to confirm these findings and to clarify the pathophysiological basis of these alterations are warranted. The UK MS Society and the UCL-UCLH Biomedical Research Centre for ongoing support. CGW-K receives funding from the MS Society (#77), Wings for Life (#169111), BRC (#BRC704/CAP/CGW), UCL Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF), MRC (#MR/S026088/1), Ataxia UK. FP had a non-clinical Postdoctoral Guarantors of Brain fellowship (2017-2020). FP was supported by the National Institute for Health Research, UCL Hospitals Biomedical Research Centre. CT is being funded by a Junior Leader La Caixa Fellowship (fellowship code is LCF/BQ/PI20/11760008), awarded by la Caixa Foundation (ID 100010434). She has also received the 2021 Merck's Award for the Investigation in MS, awarded by Fundación Merck Salud (Spain). In 2015, she received an ECTRIMS Post-doctoral Research Fellowship and has received funding from the UK MS Society. She has also received honoraria from Roche and Novartis, and is a steering committee member of the O'HAND trial and of the Consensus group on Follow-on DMTs. This project has received funding under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 634541 and from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC EP/R006032/1), funding FG. FG was currently supported by PREdICT, a study at the Vall d'Hebron Institute of Oncology in Barcelona funded by AstraZeneca.

ObjectivesTo compare the real-world effectiveness of newer disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) vs injectables in children with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS).MethodsIn this retrospective, multicenter study, from the UK Childhood Inflammatory Demyelination Network, we identified children with RRMS receiving DMTs from January 2012 to December 2018. Clinical and paraclinical data were retrieved from the medical records. Annualized relapse rates (ARRs) before and on treatment, time to relapse, time to new MRI lesions, and change in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score were calculated.ResultsOf 103 children treated with DMTs, followed up for 3.8 years, relapses on treatment were recorded in 53/89 (59.5%) on injectables vs 8/54 (15%) on newer DMTs. The ARR was reduced from 1.9 to 1.1 on injectables (p < 0.001) vs 1.6 to 0.3 on newer DMTs (p = 0.002). New MRI lesions occurred in 77/89 (86.5%) of patients on injectables vs 26/54 (47%) on newer DMTs (p = 0.0001). Children on newer DMTs showed longer time to relapse, time to switch treatment, and time to new radiologic activity than patients on injectables (log-rank p < 0.01). After adjustment for potential confounders, multivariable analysis showed that injectables were associated with 12-fold increased risk of clinical relapse (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 12.12, 95% CI = 1.64–89.87, p = 0.015) and a 2-fold increased risk of new radiologic activity (adjusted HR = 2.78, 95% CI = 1.08–7.13, p = 0.034) compared with newer DMTs. At 2 years from treatment initiation, 38/103 (37%) patients had MRI activity in the absence of clinical relapses. The EDSS score did not change during the follow-up, and only 2 patients had cognitive impairment.ConclusionNewer DMTs were associated with a lower risk of clinical and radiologic relapses in patients compared with injectables. Our study adds weight to the argument for an imminent shift in practice toward the use of newer, more efficacious DMTs in the first instance.Classification of EvidenceThis study provides Class IV evidence that newer DMTs (oral or infusions) are superior to injectables (interferon beta/glatiramer acetate) in reducing both clinical relapses and radiologic activity in children with RRMS.

BACKGROUND: Associations between brain total sodium concentration, disability, and disease progression have recently been reported in multiple sclerosis. However, such measures in spinal cord have not been reported. PURPOSE: To measure total sodium concentration (TSC) alterations in the cervical spinal cord of people with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and a control cohort using sodium MR spectroscopy (MRS). STUDY TYPE: Retrospective cohort. SUBJECTS: Nineteen people with RRMS and 21 healthy controls. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 3 T sodium MRS, diffusion tensor imaging, and 3D gradient echo. ASSESSMENT: Quantification of total sodium concentration in the cervical cord using a reference phantom. Measures of spinal cord cross-sectional area, fractional anisotropy, mean diffusivity, radial diffusivity, and axial diffusivity from 1 H MRI. Clinical assessments of 9-Hole Peg Test, 25-Foot Timed walk test, Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test with 3-second intervals, grip strength, vibration sensitivity, and posturography were performed on the RRMS cohort as well as reporting lesions in the C2/3 area. STATISTICAL TESTS: Multiple linear regression models were run between sodium and clinical scores, cross-sectional area, and diffusion metrics to establish any correlations. RESULTS: A significant increase in spinal cord total sodium concentration was found in people with RRMS relative to healthy controls (57.6 ± 18 mmol and 38.0 ± 8.6 mmol, respectively, P

Black holes; Chronic active lesions; Volumetric MRI Agujeros negros; Lesiones activas crónicas; Resonancia magnética volumétrica Forats negres; Lesions actives cròniques; Ressonància magnètica volumètrica Background Slowly expanding lesions (SELs) are MRI markers of chronic active lesions in multiple sclerosis (MS). T1-hypointense black holes, and reductions in magnetization transfer ratio (MTR) are pathologically correlated with myelin and axonal loss. While all associated with progressive MS, the relationship between these lesion’s metrics and clinical outcomes in relapse-onset MS has not been widely investigated. Objectives To explore the relationship of SELs with T1-hypointense black holes, and longitudinal T1 intensity contrast ratio and MTR, their correlation to brain volume, and their contribution to MS disability in relapse-onset patients. Methods 135 patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) were studied with clinical assessments and brain MRI (T2/FLAIR and T1-weighted scans at 1.5/3 T) at baseline and two subsequent follow-ups; a subset of 83 patients also had MTR acquisitions. Early-onset patients were defined when the baseline disease duration was ≤ 5 years (n = 85). SELs were identified using deformation field maps from the manually segmented baseline T2 lesions and differentiated from the non-SELs. Persisting black holes (PBHs) were defined as a subset of T2 lesions with a signal below a patient-specific grey matter T1 intensity in a semi-quantitative manner. SELs, PBH counts, and brain volume were computed, and their associations were assessed through Spearman and Pearson correlation. Clusters of patients according to low (up to 2), intermediate (3 to 10), or high (more than 10) SEL counts were determined with a Gaussian generalised mixture model. Mixed-effects and logistic regression models assessed volumes, T1 and MTR within SELs, and their correlation with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and confirmed disability progression (CDP). Results Mean age at study onset was 35.5 years (73% female), disease duration 5.5 years and mean time to last follow-up 6.5 years (range 1 to 12.5); median baseline EDSS 1.5 (range 0 to 5.5) and a mean EDSS change of 0.31 units at final follow-up. Among 4007 T2 lesions, 27% were classified as SELs and 10% as PBHs. Most patients (n = 65) belonged to the cluster with an intermediate SEL count (3 to 10 SELs). The percentage of PBHs was higher in SELs than non-SELs (up to 61% vs 44%, p < 0.001) and within-patient SEL volumes positively correlated with PBH volumes (r = 0.53, p < 0.001). SELs showed a decrease in T1 intensity over time (beta = -0.004, 95%CI −0.005 to −0.003, p < 0.001), accompanied by lower cross-sectional baseline and follow-up MTR. In mixed-effects models, EDSS worsening was predicted by the SEL log-volumes increase over time (beta = 0.11, 95%CI 0.03 to 0.20, p = 0.01), which was confirmed in the sub-cohort of patients with early onset MS (beta = 0.14, 95%CI 0.04 to 0.25, p = 0.008). In logistic regressions, a higher risk for CDP was associated with SEL volumes (OR = 5.15, 95%CI 1.60 to 16.60, p = 0.006). Conclusions SELs are associated with accumulation of more destructive pathology as indicated by an association with PBH volume, longitudinal reduction in T1 intensity and MTR. Higher SEL volumes are associated with clinical progression, while lower ones are associated with stability in relapse-onset MS.

Graphical abstract, Highlights • We present SPACE-MS, a tool to assess the spatial distribution of brain lesions. • SPACE-MS metrics mainly reflect caudality and spatial spreading of brain lesions. • More caudal and more widespread brain lesions correlate with worse disability. • SPACE-MS metrics can be automatically obtained using routine anatomical scans. • The usefulness of the SPACE-MS approach should be explored in other conditions., Predicting disability in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) is extremely challenging. Although there is some evidence that the spatial distribution of white matter (WM) lesions may play a role in disability accumulation, the lack of well-established quantitative metrics that characterise these aspects of MS pathology makes it difficult to assess their relevance for clinical progression. This study introduces a novel approach, called SPACE-MS, to quantitatively characterise spatial distributional features of brain MS lesions, so that these can be assessed as predictors of disability accumulation. In SPACE-MS, the covariance matrix of the spatial positions of each patient’s lesional voxels is computed and its eigenvalues extracted. These are combined to derive rotationally-invariant metrics known to be common and robust descriptors of ellipsoid shape such as anisotropy, planarity and sphericity. Additionally, SPACE-MS metrics include a neuraxis caudality index, which we defined for the whole-brain lesion mask as well as for the most caudal brain lesion. These indicate how distant from the supplementary motor cortex (along the neuraxis) the whole-brain mask or the most caudal brain lesions are. We applied SPACE-MS to data from 515 patients involved in three studies: the MS-SMART (NCT01910259) and MS-STAT1 (NCT00647348) secondary progressive MS trials, and an observational study of primary and secondary progressive MS. Patients were assessed on motor and cognitive disability scales and underwent structural brain MRI (1.5/3.0 T), at baseline and after 2 years. The MRI protocol included 3DT1-weighted (1x1x1mm3) and 2DT2-weighted (1x1x3mm3) anatomical imaging. WM lesions were semiautomatically segmented on the T2-weighted scans, deriving whole-brain lesion masks. After co-registering the masks to the T1 images, SPACE-MS metrics were calculated and analysed through a series of multiple linear regression models, which were built to assess the ability of spatial distributional metrics to explain concurrent and future disability after adjusting for confounders. Patients whose WM lesions laid more caudally along the neuraxis or were more isotropically distributed in the brain (i.e. with whole-brain lesion masks displaying a high sphericity index) at baseline had greater motor and/or cognitive disability at baseline and over time, independently of brain lesion load and atrophy measures. In conclusion, here we introduced the SPACE-MS approach, which we showed is able to capture clinically relevant spatial distributional features of MS lesions independently of the sheer amount of lesions and brain tissue loss. Location of lesions in lower parts of the brain, where neurite density is particularly high, such as in the cerebellum and brainstem, and greater spatial spreading of lesions (i.e. more isotropic whole-brain lesion masks), possibly reflecting a higher number of WM tracts involved, are associated with clinical deterioration in progressive MS. The usefulness of the SPACE-MS approach, here demonstrated in MS, may be explored in other conditions also characterised by the presence of brain WM lesions.

Up to very recently, no treatments had proved effective in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). In 2016, four drugs, two tested in phase 3 and two in phase 2 trials, showed a beneficial effect in primary or secondary progressive MS. Although this could indicate a turning point in progressive MS treatment, most of these successes have been modest and mainly restricted to patients with active inflammation, in the context of trials with powerful anti-inflammatory agents. This paper summarises these reasons, particularly focusing on the main lessons learned for the design of future trials. First, a drug’s mechanism of action should tackle the specific pathogenic mechanisms that characterise progressive MS. Second, trial populations where new drugs are to be tested should be carefully chosen, possibly including younger patients with shorter disease durations, which have greater chances of showing active deterioration during the trial, therefore increasing the power to detect treatment effects. Third, outcome measures used in future phase 2 and phase 3 trials should be highly sensitive and be accompanied by smart trial designs.

Background: The usefulness of performing a spinal cord (SC) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in all clinically isolated syndromes (CIS) is controversial. Objective: To assess the value of SC lesions for predicting multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis and disability accrual in CIS. Methods: Concerning SC lesions and MS diagnosis (2010 McDonald), adjusted Cox regression analyses were performed in increasingly specific CIS groups: all cases ( n = 207), non-SC CIS ( n = 143), non-SC CIS with abnormal brain MRI ( n = 90) and non-SC CIS with abnormal brain MRI not fulfilling 2010 MS ( n = 67). For the outcome Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ≥3.0, similar analyses were performed in all cases ( n = 207), non-SC CIS ( n = 143) and SC CIS ( n = 64). Performance at 2 years was assessed for all outcomes. Results: The presence of SC lesions increased MS risk 2.0–2.6 times independently of factors like brain lesions. If considering lesion number, the risk ranged from 1.6 to 2.1 for one lesion to 2.4–3.3 for ≥2. SC lesions increased the short-term disability risk around fivefold, better demonstrated in non-SC CIS. SC lesions were very specific for evolution to MS and showed very high sensitivity for EDSS ≥3.0. Conclusion: SC lesions are independent predictors of MS in all CIS and contribute to short-term disability accrual. SC MRIs in CIS could be useful to estimate their prognosis.

Objective: To investigate the association between activity during interferon-beta (IFNβ) therapy and disability outcomes in patients with relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Methods: A longitudinal study based on two previously described cohorts of IFNβ-treated RRMS patients was conducted. Patients were classified according to clinical activity after 2 years (clinical cohort) or to clinical and radiological activity after 1 year (magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) cohort). Multivariate Cox models were calculated for early disease activity predicting long-term disability. Results: A total of 516 patients from two different cohorts were included in the analyses. Persistent clinical disease activity during the first 2 years of therapy predicted severe long-term disability (clinical cohort). In the MRI cohort, modified Rio score and no or minimal evidence of disease activity (NEDA/MEDA) did not identify patients with risk of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) worsening. However, a Rio score ≥ 2 (hazard ratio (HR): 3.3, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.7–6.4); ≥3 new T2 lesions (HR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.5–5.6); or ≥2 Gd-enhancing lesions (HR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.1–4) were able to identify patients with EDSS worsening. Conclusion: Although early activity during IFNβ therapy is associated with poor long-term outcomes, minimal degree of activity does not seem to be predictive of EDSS worsening over 6.7-year mean follow-up.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether ibudilast has an effect on brain volume and new lesions in progressive forms of multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: A randomized, placebo-controlled, blinded study evaluated ibudilast at a dose of up to 100 mg over 96 weeks in primary and secondary progressive MS. In this secondary analysis of a previously reported trial, secondary and tertiary endpoints included gray matter atrophy, new or enlarging T2 lesions as measured every 24 weeks, and new T1 hypointensities at 96 weeks. Whole brain atrophy measured by structural image evaluation, using normalization, of atrophy (SIENA) was a sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: A total of 129 participants were assigned to ibudilast and 126 to placebo. New or enlarging T2 lesions were observed in 37.2% on ibudilast and 29.0% on placebo (p = 0.82). New T1 hypointense lesions at 96 weeks were observed in 33.3% on ibudilast and 23.5% on placebo (p = 0.11). Gray matter atrophy was reduced by 35% for those on ibudilast vs placebo (p = 0.038). Progression of whole brain atrophy by SIENA was slowed by 20% in the ibudilast group compared with placebo (p = 0.08). CONCLUSION: Ibudilast treatment was associated with a reduction in gray matter atrophy. Ibudilast treatment was not associated with a reduction in new or enlarging T2 lesions or new T1 lesions. An effect on brain volume contributes to prior data that ibudilast appears to affect markers associated with neurodegenerative processes, but not inflammatory processes. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that for people with MS, ibudilast does not significantly reduce new or enlarging T2 lesions or new T1 lesions.

Structural network-based approaches can assess white matter connections revealing topological alterations in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, principal network (PN) organisation and its clinical relevance in MS has not been explored yet. Here, structural networks were reconstructed from diffusion data in 58 relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), 28 primary progressive MS (PPMS), 36 secondary progressive (SPMS) and 51 healthy controls (HCs). Network hubs’ strengths were compared with HCs. Then, PN analysis was performed in each clinical subtype. Regression analysis was applied to investigate the associations between nodal strength derived from the first and second PNs (PN1 and PN2) in MS, with clinical disability. Compared with HCs, MS patients had preserved hub number, but some hubs exhibited reduced strength. PN1 comprised 10 hubs in HCs, RRMS and PPMS but did not include the right thalamus in SPMS. PN2 comprised 10 hub regions with intra-hemispheric connections in HCs. In MS, this subnetwork did not include the right putamen whilst in SPMS the right thalamus was also not included. Decreased nodal strength of the right thalamus and putamen from the PNs correlated strongly with higher clinical disability. These PN analyses suggest distinct patterns of disruptions in MS subtypes which are clinically relevant

Purpose: To translate the recently developed PRO‐QUEST (Progressive saturation for quantifying exchange rates using saturation times) sequence from preclinical 9.4T to 3T clinical magnetic field strength. Methods: Numerical simulations were performed to define the optimal saturation flip angles for PRO‐QUEST saturation pulses at 3T and demonstrate the effect of a ∆T 2 error on the exchange rate (k ex) estimation at various field strengths. Exchange‐dependent relaxation rate (R ex) was measured for glutamate solutions in various pH, healthy volunteers and patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). Additionally, concentration‐independent ratiometric R ex maps were produced to evaluate regional signal variations across the brain of human volunteers. Results: The calculated R ex significantly correlates with pH in glutamate samples, however, k ex values are underestimated as compared to those previously obtained at 9.4T. In the ratiometric R ex map of healthy volunteers, no significant differences are found between grey matter, white matter, and basal ganglia. In patients with MS, white matter lesions are visible in single saturation power R ex maps whereas only a periventricular lesion is apparent in the ratiometric R ex map. Conclusion: We demonstrate that quantification of pH sensitive indices using PRO‐QUEST is feasible at 3T within clinically acceptable acquisition times. Our initial findings in patients with MS show that pH sensitive indices varied with the type of lesion examined whereas no significant difference was found in healthy volunteers between tissue types, suggesting that it would be worthwhile to apply PRO‐QUEST in a larger cohort of patients to better understand its distinct imaging features relative to conventional techniques.

Changes on brain imaging may precede clinical manifestations or disclose disease progression opaque to conventional clinical measures. Where, as in multiple sclerosis, the pathological process has a complex anatomical distribution, such changes are not easily detected by low-dimensional models in common use. This hinders our ability to detect treatment effects, both in the management of individual patients and in interventional trials. Here we compared the ability of conventional models to detect an imaging response to treatment against high-dimensional models incorporating a wide multiplicity of imaging factors. We used fully-automated image analysis to extract 144 regional, longitudinal trajectories of pre- and post- treatment changes in brain volume and disconnection in a cohort of 124 natalizumab-treated patients. Low- and high-dimensional models of the relationship between treatment and the trajectories of change were built and evaluated with machine learning, quantifying performance with receiver operating characteristic curves. Simulations of randomised controlled trials enrolling varying numbers of patients were used to quantify the impact of dimensionality on statistical efficiency. Compared to existing methods, high-dimensional models were superior in treatment response detection (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.890 [95% CI = 0.885-0.895] vs. 0.686 [95% CI = 0.679-0.693]

Objective: To study the contribution of the symptomatic lesion in establishing multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis and prognosis. Methods: We performed an observational study based on a prospective clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) cohort of 1,107 patients recruited for clinical and brain MRI follow-up from 1995 to 2014. Eligible patients (n = 954) were divided into 4 groups according to baseline MRI: patients with a normal MRI (n = 290); patients with a single asymptomatic lesion (n = 18); patients with a single cord/brainstem symptomatic lesion (n = 35); and patients with more than 1 lesion (n = 611). For each group, we studied the risk of second attack, with 2005 McDonald MS and Expanded Disability Status Scale 3.0, using univariable and multivariable regression models adjusted by age, sex, oligoclonal bands, and disease-modifying treatments. We tested the diagnostic performance of a modified dissemination in space (DIS) criterion that includes symptomatic lesions in the total count and compared it to the DIS criteria (at least 1 asymptomatic lesion in at least 2 of the 4 MS characteristic MS locations) for all patients and for the subgroup of patients with brainstem or spinal cord topography. Results: Patients with a cord/brainstem single symptomatic lesion have a higher risk of second attack and disability accumulation than patients with 0 lesions but have a similar risk compared to patients with 1 asymptomatic lesion. Diagnostic properties are reasonably maintained when the symptomatic lesion qualifies for DIS. Conclusions: Despite the recommendations of the 2010 McDonald criteria, symptomatic lesions should be taken into account when considering the diagnosis and prognosis of patients with CIS.

Background: Brain volume loss (BVL) is a key outcome in multiple sclerosis (MS) trials. Natalizumab is highly effective on inflammation with moderate impact on atrophy. Objective: To explore BVL in patients receiving natalizumab with an emphasis on grey matter (GM). Methods: We performed a retrospective post hoc analysis of BVL in 38 patients receiving natalizumab for 3 years using longitudinal voxel-based morphometry (VBM) and FreeSurfer. Results: Significant BVL was observed during first year: brain parenchymal fraction (BPF): −1.12% ( p right fronto-parietal cortex, right > left hippocampus and left caudate. FreeSurfer showed significant volume losses in subcortical GM, brainstem and cerebellum, and cortical thinning in the left insula. In the second year, only WMF decrease (−0.6%; p = 0.015) was observed with no VBM changes, although FreeSurfer detected significant volume loss in thalamus, hippocampus and cerebellum. Baseline gadolinium enhancement influenced WMF and BPF changes during the first year, but not GMF. Patients with confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) worsening at 3 years had lower baseline GMF and left thalamus volume and greater BVL over follow-up. Conclusion: BVL develops mainly during the first year of natalizumab therapy. GM changes are independent of baseline inflammation and correlate with disability.

Background The HLA-DRB*1501 haplotype influences the risk of developing multiple sclerosis (MS), but it is not known how it affects grey matter pathology. Aim To assess HLA-DRB * 1501 effects on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) cortical grey matter pathology. Methods Whole and lesional cortical grey matter volumes, lesional and normal-appearing grey matter magnetization transfer ratio were measured in 85 people with MS and 36 healthy control subjects. HLA-DRB * 1501 haplotype was determined by genotyping (rs3135388). Results No significant differences were observed in MRI measures between the HLA-DRB * 1501 subgroups. Conclusions The HLA-DRB * 1501 haplotype is not strongly associated with MRI-visible grey matter pathology.

Objective To evaluate whether structural brain network metrics correlate better with clinical impairment and information processing speed in multiple sclerosis (MS) beyond atrophy measures and white matter lesions. Methods This cross-sectional study included 51 healthy controls and 122 patients comprising 58 relapsing–remitting, 28 primary progressive and 36 secondary progressive. Structural brain networks were reconstructed from diffusion-weighted MRIs and standard metrics reflecting network density, efficiency and clustering coefficient were derived and compared between subjects’ groups. Stepwise linear regression analyses were used to investigate the contribution of network measures that explain clinical disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS)) and information processing speed (Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT)) compared with conventional MRI metrics alone and to determine the best statistical model that explains better EDSS and SDMT. Results Compared with controls, network efficiency and clustering coefficient were reduced in MS while these measures were also reduced in secondary progressive relative to relapsing–remitting patients. Structural network metrics increase the variance explained by the statistical models for clinical and information processing dysfunction. The best model for EDSS showed that reduced network density and global efficiency and increased age were associated with increased clinical disability. The best model for SDMT showed that lower deep grey matter volume, reduced efficiency and male gender were associated with worse information processing speed. Conclusions Structural topological changes exist between subjects’ groups. Network density and global efficiency explained disability above non-network measures, highlighting that network metrics can provide clinically relevant information about MS pathology.

The role of MRI in the assessment of multiple sclerosis (MS) goes far beyond the diagnostic process. MRI techniques can be used as regular monitoring to help stage patients with MS and measure disease progression. MRI can also be used to measure lesion burden, thus providing useful information for the prediction of long-term disability. With the introduction of a new generation of immunomodulatory and/or immunosuppressive drugs for the treatment of MS, MRI also makes an important contribution to the monitoring of treatment, and can be used to determine baseline tissue damage and detect subsequent repair. This use of MRI can help predict treatment response and assess the efficacy and safety of new therapies. In the second part of the MAGNIMS (Magnetic Resonance Imaging in MS) network's guidelines on the use of MRI in MS, we focus on the implementation of this technique in prognostic and monitoring tasks. We present recommendations on how and when to use MRI for disease monitoring, and discuss some promising MRI approaches that may be introduced into clinical practice in the near future.

Neurodegeneration is thought to be the major cause of ongoing, irreversible disability in progressive stages of multiple sclerosis. Gamma-aminobutyric acid is the principle inhibitory neurotransmitter in the brain. The aims of this study were to investigate if gamma-aminobutyric acid levels (i) are abnormal in patients with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis compared with healthy controls; and (ii) correlate with physical and cognitive performance in this patient population. Thirty patients with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and 17 healthy control subjects underwent single-voxel MEGA-PRESS (MEscher-GArwood Point RESolved Spectroscopy) magnetic resonance spectroscopy at 3 T, to quantify gamma-aminobutyric acid levels in the prefrontal cortex, right hippocampus and left sensorimotor cortex. All subjects were assessed clinically and underwent a cognitive assessment. Multiple linear regression models were used to compare differences in gamma-aminobutyric acid concentrations between patients and controls adjusting for age, gender and tissue fractions within each spectroscopic voxel. Regression was used to examine the relationships between the cognitive function and physical disability scores specific for these regions with gamma-aminobuytric acid levels, adjusting for age, gender, and total N-acetyl-aspartate and glutamine-glutamate complex levels. When compared with controls, patients performed significantly worse on all motor and sensory tests, and were cognitively impaired in processing speed and verbal memory. Patients had significantly lower gamma-aminobutyric acid levels in the hippocampus (adjusted difference = -0.403 mM, 95% confidence intervals -0.792, -0.014, P = 0.043) and sensorimotor cortex (adjusted difference = -0.385 mM, 95% confidence intervals -0.667, -0.104, P = 0.009) compared with controls. In patients, reduced motor function in the right upper and lower limb was associated with lower gamma-aminobutyric acid concentration in the sensorimotor cortex. Specifically for each unit decrease in gamma-aminobutyric acid levels (in mM), there was a predicted -10.86 (95% confidence intervals -16.786 to -4.482) decrease in grip strength (kg force) (P < 0.001) and -8.74 (95% confidence intervals -13.943 to -3.015) decrease in muscle strength (P < 0.006). This study suggests that reduced gamma-aminobutyric acid levels reflect pathological abnormalities that may play a role in determining physical disability. These abnormalities may include decreases in the pre- and postsynaptic components of gamma-aminobutyric acid neurotransmission and in the density of inhibitory neurons. Additionally, the reduced gamma-aminobutyric acid concentration may contribute to the neurodegenerative process, resulting in increased firing of axons, with consequent increased energy demands, which may lead to neuroaxonal degeneration and loss of the compensatory mechanisms that maintain motor function. This study supports the idea that modulation of gamma-aminobutyric acid neurotransmission may be an important target for neuroprotection in multiple sclerosis.See De Stefano and Giorgio (doi:10.1093/brain/awv213) for a scientific commentary on this article.

Natural history studies have identified factors that predict evolution to multiple sclerosis or risk of disability accumulation over time. Although these studies are based on large multicentre cohorts with long follow-ups, they have limitations such as lack of standardized protocols, a retrospective data collection or lack of a systematic magnetic resonance imaging acquisition and analysis protocol, often resulting in failure to take magnetic resonance and oligoclonal bands into account as joint covariates in the prediction models. To overcome some of these limitations, the aim of our study was to identify and stratify baseline demographic, clinical, radiological and biological characteristics that might predict multiple sclerosis development and disability accumulation using a multivariate approach based on a large prospective cohort of patients with clinically isolated syndromes. From 1995 to 2013, 1058 patients with clinically isolated syndromes were included. We evaluated the influence of baseline prognostic factors on the risk for developing clinically definite multiple sclerosis, McDonald multiple sclerosis, and disability accumulation (Expanded Disability Status Scale score of 3.0) based on univariate (hazard ratio with 95% confidence intervals) and multivariate (adjusted hazard ratio with 95% confidence intervals) Cox regression models. We ultimately included 1015 patients followed for a mean of 81 (standard deviation = 57) months. Female/male ratio was 2.1. Females exhibited a similar risk of conversion to multiple sclerosis and of disability accumulation compared to males. Each younger decade at onset was associated with a greater risk of conversion to multiple sclerosis and with a protective effect on disability. Patients with optic neuritis had a lower risk of clinically definite multiple sclerosis [hazard ratio 0.6 (0.5-0.8)] and disability progression [hazard ratio 0.5 (0.3-0.8)]; however, this protective effect remained marginal only for disability [adjusted hazard ratio 0.6 (0.4-1.0)] in adjusted models. The presence of oligoclonal bands increased the risk of clinically definite multiple sclerosis [adjusted hazard ratio 1.3 (1.0-1.8)] and of disability [adjusted hazard ratio 2.0 (1.2-3.6)] independently of other factors. The presence of 10 or more brain lesions on magnetic resonance increased the risk of clinically definite multiple sclerosis [adjusted hazard ratio 11.3 (6.7-19.3)] and disability [adjusted hazard ratio 2.9 (1.4-6.0)]. Disease-modifying treatment before the second attack reduced the risk of McDonald multiple sclerosis [adjusted hazard ratio 0.6 (0.4-0.9)] and disability accumulation [adjusted hazard ratio 0.5 (0.3-0.9)]. We conclude that the demographic and topographic characteristics are low-impact prognostic factors, the presence of oligoclonal bands is a medium-impact prognostic factor, and the number of lesions on brain magnetic resonance is a high-impact prognostic factor.

ObjectiveTo investigate the effect of including optic nerve involvement in dissemination in space (DIS) criteria for diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) in patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS).MethodsWe studied 160 patients with CIS: 129 with optic neuritis (ON) and 31 with non-ON CIS. MRI brain/spinal cord was done at the time of presentation and a follow-up MRI brain after 3–12 months. We evaluated optic nerve involvement clinically or with visual evoked potentials (VEPs, n = 42). We investigated the performance of the McDonald 2017 DIS criteria and modified DIS criteria including optic nerve involvement for development of clinically definite MS after ∼15 years.ResultsIn the ON group, including symptomatic optic nerve involvement identified an additional 15 patients with DIS. The modified DIS criteria that included optic nerve involvement were more sensitive (95% vs 83%) and more accurate (81% vs 78%) than the McDonald 2017 DIS criteria, but less specific (57% vs 68%). In combination with dissemination in time criteria, the modified DIS criteria remained more sensitive (83% vs 74%) and accurate (81% vs 75%), and the specificity was the same (77%). Including asymptomatic optic nerve involvement in DIS the non-ON group did not identify any additional patients and the performance of the McDonald 2017 criteria and the modified criteria was the same.ConclusionThe inclusion of symptomatic optic nerve involvement in DIS in patients with ON improved the overall performance of MS diagnostic criteria. Including asymptomatic optic nerve involvement in DIS in patients with a non-ON CIS may be of limited value.Classification of evidenceThis study provides Class III evidence that for patients with suspected MS, inclusion of symptomatic optic nerve involvement in DIS criteria improves the overall performance of diagnostic criteria for MS.

We consider the problem of reconstructing brain networks in a longitudinal study, where diffusion-weighted and T1-weighted magnetic resonance images have been acquired at multiple time-points for the same subject. We introduce a method for registering diffusion-weighted and structural scans in a subject-specific half-way space and we demonstrate that half-way network metrics are strongly correlated with native network metrics. We also report sufficient agreement between the two techniques in a cohort comprising of healthy controls (n = 12) and multiple sclerosis patients (n = 12). The results remained unaffected when the analyses were evaluated in controls and patients separately. These study findings might be of particular interest in longitudinal structural network studies assessing network changes over time in normal and disease conditions.

Purpose Time‐dependence is a key feature of the diffusion‐weighted (DW) signal, knowledge of which informs biophysical modelling. Here, we study time‐dependence in the human spinal cord, as its axonal structure is specific and different from the brain. Theory and Methods We run Monte Carlo simulations using a synthetic model of spinal cord white matter (WM) (large axons), and of brain WM (smaller axons). Furthermore, we study clinically feasible multi‐shell DW scans of the cervical spinal cord (b = 0; b = 711 s mm−2; b = 2855 s mm−2), obtained using three diffusion times (Δ of 29, 52 and 76 ms) from three volunteers. Results Both intra‐/extra‐axonal perpendicular diffusivities and kurtosis excess show time‐dependence in our synthetic spinal cord model. This time‐dependence is reflected mostly in the intra‐axonal perpendicular DW signal, which also exhibits strong decay, unlike our brain model. Time‐dependence of the total DW signal appears detectable in the presence of noise in our synthetic spinal cord model, but not in the brain. In WM in vivo, we observe time‐dependent macroscopic and microscopic diffusivities and diffusion kurtosis, NODDI and two‐compartment SMT metrics. Accounting for large axon calibers improves fitting of multi‐compartment models to a minor extent. Conclusions Time‐dependence of clinically viable DW MRI metrics can be detected in vivo in spinal cord WM, thus providing new opportunities for the non‐invasive estimation of microstructural properties. The time‐dependence of the perpendicular DW signal may feature strong intra‐axonal contributions due to large spinal axon caliber. Hence, a popular model known as “stick” (zero‐radius cylinder) may be sub‐optimal to describe signals from the largest spinal axons.

Objectives: To measure the development of spinal cord (SC) atrophy over 1 year in patients with progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS) and determine the sample sizes required to demonstrate a reduction in spinal cord cross-sectional area (SC-CSA) as an outcome measure in clinical trials. Methods: In total, 44 PMS patients (26 primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS), 18 secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS)) and 29 healthy controls (HCs) were studied at baseline and 12 months. SC-CSA was measured using the three-dimensional (3D) fast field echo sequences acquired at 3T and the active surface model. Multiple linear regressions were used to investigate changes in imaging measurements. Results: PPMS patients had shorter disease duration, lower Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and larger SC-CSA than SPMS patients. All patients together showed a significantly greater decrease in percentage SC-CSA change than HCs, which was driven by the PPMS. All patients deteriorated over 1 year, but no association was found between percentage SC-CSA change and clinical changes. The sample size per arm required to detect a 50% treatment effect over 1 year, at 80% power, was 57 for PPMS and 546 for SPMS. Conclusion: SC-CSA may become an outcome measure in trials of PPMS patients, when they are at an early stage of the disease, have moderate disability and modest SC atrophy.

To investigate if quantitative apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) measurements can predict genetic subtypes of non-gadolinium-enhancing gliomas, comparing whole tumour against single slice analysis. Volumetric T2-derived masks of 44 gliomas were co-registered to ADC maps with ADC mean (ADCmean) calculated. For the slice analysis, two observers placed regions of interest in the largest tumour cross-section. The ratio (ADCratio) between ADCmean in the tumour and normal appearing white matter was calculated for both methods. Isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) wild-type gliomas showed the lowest ADC values throughout (p < 0.001). ADCmean in the IDH-mutant 1p19q intact group was significantly higher than in the IDH-mutant 1p19q co-deleted group (p < 0.01). A volumetric ADCmean threshold of 1201 × 10−6 mm2/s identified IDH wild-type with a sensitivity of 83% and a specificity of 86%; a volumetric ADCratio cut-off value of 1.65 provided a sensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 92% (area under the curve (AUC) 0.9–0.94). A slice ADCratio threshold for observer 1 (observer 2) of 1.76 (1.83) provided a sensitivity of 80% (86%), specificity of 91% (100%) and AUC of 0.95 (0.96). The intraclass correlation coefficient was excellent (0.98). ADC measurements can support the distinction of glioma subtypes. Volumetric and two-dimensional measurements yielded similar results in this study. • Diffusion-weighted MRI aids the identification of non-gadolinium-enhancing malignant gliomas • ADC measurements may permit non-gadolinium-enhancing glioma molecular subtyping • IDH wild-type gliomas have lower ADC values than IDH-mutant tumours • Single cross-section and volumetric ADC measurements yielded comparable results in this study

The perception of multiple sclerosis (MS) severity and risk associated with therapies might influence shared decision making in different countries. We investigated the perception of MS severity and factors associated with risk acceptance in Brazil in 96 patients with relapsing-remitting MS using a standardized questionnaire and compared this with two European cohorts. Multiple sclerosis was perceived as a very severe disease and the risk of developing progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy due to natalizumab was seen as moderate to high. Seventy-six percent considered a risk of 1:1,000, or higher, an impediment for natalizumab use. Older age was the only variable associated with higher risk acceptance and our patients showed a more conservative profile than German and Spanish patients. Our patients perceived MS severity and progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy risk similarly to elsewhere, but their willingness to take risks was more conservative. This should be considered when discussing therapeutic options and it might have an impact on guideline adaptations.

Evidence suggests that development of autonomic dysfunction (AutD) may negatively affect disease course and survival in patients with synucleinopathies. However, the few available studies on Parkinson disease (PD) have conflicting results, comprise a small number of patients, have short follow-up periods, and lack pathologic confirmation of the diagnosis.To examine the association of time of onset of AutD with disease progression and survival in PD.This retrospective review of clinical data from 100 consecutive patients with an autopsy-confirmed diagnosis of PD from the archives of the Queen Square Brain Bank in London, United Kingdom, from January 1, 2006, to June 3, 2016, included patients with PD regularly seen by hospital specialists (neurologists or geriatricians) in the United Kingdom throughout their disease until death. Patients with dementia before or within 1 year after onset of motor symptoms, monogenic forms of PD, comorbidities that affect autonomic function, a coexisting neuropathologic diagnosis, or insufficient clinical information were excluded.Survival and time from diagnosis to specific disease milestones were calculated to assess disease progression. Autonomic dysfunction was defined as autonomic failure at autonomic function testing or 2 of the following symptoms: urinary symptoms, constipation, upper gastrointestinal tract dysfunction, orthostatic hypotension, sweating abnormalities, or erectile dysfunction. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models on the risk of a disease milestone and death were used.A total of 100 patients (60 [60.0%] male; mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 63.9 [10.3] years; mean [SD] disease duration, 14.6 [7.7] years) were studied. Autonomic dysfunction developed in 85 patients (mean [SD] time from diagnosis, 6.7 [7.7] years) and was associated with older age at diagnosis, male sex, poor initial levodopa treatment response, and postural instability and gait difficulty motor PD subtype in linear regression analysis, but staging of α-synuclein pathologic changes was unrelated. Earlier AutD increased the risk of reaching the first milestone (hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.83-0.89; P .001) and shortened survival (hazard ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.88-0.96; P .001). Older age at diagnosis and poorer levodopa treatment response were the other factors associated with shorter survival in adjusted multivariate analysis.Earlier AutD is associated with a more rapid development of disease milestones and shorter survival in patients with PD.

Due to the information overload we are faced with nowadays, personalization services are becoming almost essential, in order to find relevant information tailored to each individual or group of people with common interests. Therefore, it is very important to be able to build efficient and robust personalization techniques to be part of these services. The evaluation step is a crucial stage in their development and improvement, so much more research is needed to overcome this issue. We have proposed an automatic evaluation methodology for personalized information retrieval systems (ASPIRE), which joins the advantages of both system-centred (repeatable, comparable and generalizable results) and user-centred (considers the user) evaluation approaches, and makes the evaluation process easy and fast. Its reliability and robustness have been assessed by means of a user-oriented evaluation. ASPIRE may be considered as an interesting alternative to the costly and difficult user studies, able to discriminate between either different personalization techniques or different parameter configurations of a given personalization method.

At present, three risk factors for the development of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) in natalizumab-treated patients have been identified: the presence of antibodies against JC virus (JCV); the duration of natalizumab treatment, especially if longer than 2 years; and the use of immunosuppressants prior to receiving natalizumab. The most commonly used strategy to assess the individual PML risk includes serum anti-JCV antibody testing. Based on the knowledge on all known risk factors, an algorithm for PML risk stratification has been proposed, where patients with the highest PML risk are those with positive anti-JCV antibodies, treatment duration longer than 2 years, with or without prior history of immunosuppression. These patients would have an approximate incidence of PML of 11.1 (with prior immunosuppression) or 4.6 (without prior immunosuppression) cases per 1,000 patients treated with natalizumab (and treatment duration longer than 2 years). In this review, new data on PML risk factors and possible new strategies for PML risk stratification are discussed.

Objective: Conventional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the multiple sclerosis spinal cord is limited by low specificity regarding the underlying pathological processes, and new MRI metrics assessing microscopic damage are required. We aim to show for the first time that neurite orientation dispersion (i.e., variability in axon/dendrite orientations) is a new biomarker that uncovers previously undetected layers of complexity of multiple sclerosis spinal cord pathology. Also, we validate against histology a clinically viable MRI technique for dispersion measurement (neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging,NODDI), to demonstrate the strong potential of the new marker. Methods: We related quantitative metrics from histology and MRI in four post mortem spinal cord specimens (two controls; two progressive multiple sclerosis cases). The samples were scanned at high field, obtaining maps of neurite density and orientation dispersion from NODDI and routine diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) indices. Histological procedures provided markers of astrocyte, microglia, myelin and neurofilament density, as well as neurite dispersion. Results: We report from both NODDI and histology a trend toward lower neurite dispersion in demyelinated lesions, indicative of reduced neurite architecture complexity. Also, we provide unequivocal evidence that NODDI-derived dispersion matches its histological counterpart (P < 0.001), while DTI metrics are less specific and influenced by several biophysical substrates. Interpretation: Neurite orientation dispersion detects a previously undescribed and potentially relevant layer of microstructural complexity of multiple sclerosis spinal cord pathology. Clinically feasible techniques such as NODDI may play a key role in clinical trial and practice settings, as they provide histologically meaningful dispersion indices.

Background: Investigation of atrophy data from a pivotal natalizumab trial has demonstrated an increased rate of volume loss, compared to placebo, after the first year of therapy. It was considered to be probably due to a pseudoatrophy effect. Objective: To assess grey and white matter volume changes and their relation to global brain volume changes and to baseline inflammation, for patients under natalizumab therapy. Methods: We selected 45 patients on natalizumab therapy for at least 24 months, with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans at baseline, 12 and 24 months. We calculated the percentage brain volume change (PBVC) for the first and second year, using SIENA software. Grey and white matter fractions (GMF and WMF, respectively) for the first year were calculated with SPM5, using lesion masks. After quality checks, six patients were excluded. We studied the predictive variables of change in brain volumes. Results: The PBVC decrease was faster during the first year (−1.10% ± 1.43%), as compared to the second (−0.51% ± 0.96%) ( p = 0.037). These differences were more marked in patients with baseline gadolinium-enhancing lesions ( p = 0.005). Mean GMF and WMF changes during the first year of treatment were +1.15% (n.s.) and −1.72% ( p = 0.017), respectively. The presence of active lesions at baseline MRI predicted PBVC ( p = 0.022) and WMF change ( p = 0.026) during the first year of treatment, after adjusting for age and corticosteroid treatment. No predictors were found for GMF volume changes. Conclusion: Early brain volume loss during natalizumab therapy is mainly due to WMF volume loss and it is related to the inflammatory activity present at the onset of therapy. We found that the pseudoatrophy effect is mostly due to white matter volume changes.