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1. Polygenic risk modeling for prediction of epithelial ovarian cancer risk

Author

Dareng, Eileen O., Tyrer, Jonathan P., Barnes, Daniel R., Jones, Michelle R., Yang, Xin, Aben, Katja K. H., Adank, Muriel A., Agata, Simona, Andrulis, Irene L., Anton-Culver, Hoda, Antonenkova, Natalia N., Aravantinos, Gerasimos, Arun, Banu K., Augustinsson, Annelie, Balmaña, Judith, Bandera, Elisa V., Barkardottir, Rosa B., Barrowdale, Daniel, Beckmann, Matthias W., Beeghly-Fadiel, Alicia, Benitez, Javier, Bermisheva, Marina, Bernardini, Marcus Q., Bjorge, Line, Black, Amanda, Bogdanova, Natalia V., Bonanni, Bernardo, Borg, Ake, Brenton, James D., Budzilowska, Agnieszka, Butzow, Ralf, Buys, Saundra S., Cai, Hui, Caligo, Maria A., Campbell, Ian, Cannioto, Rikki, Cassingham, Hayley, Chang-Claude, Jenny, Chanock, Stephen J., Chen, Kexin, Chiew, Yoke-Eng, Chung, Wendy K., Claes, Kathleen, Colonna, Sarah, Lesueur, Fabienne, Mebirouk, Noura, Engel, Christoph, Schmutzler, Rita K., Davies, Eleanor, Eccles, Diana M., Evans, D. Gareth, Cook, Linda S., Couch, Fergus J., Daly, Mary B., Dao, Fanny, de la Hoya, Miguel, de Putter, Robin, Dennis, Joe, DePersia, Allison, Devilee, Peter, Diez, Orland, Ding, Yuan Chun, Doherty, Jennifer A., Domchek, Susan M., Dörk, Thilo, du Bois, Andreas, Dürst, Matthias, Eliassen, Heather A., Evans, Gareth D., Fasching, Peter A., Flanagan, James M., Fortner, Renée T., Machackova, Eva, Friedman, Eitan, Ganz, Patricia A., Garber, Judy, Gensini, Francesca, Giles, Graham G., Glendon, Gord, Godwin, Andrew K., Goodman, Marc T., Greene, Mark H., Gronwald, Jacek, Hahnen, Eric, Haiman, Christopher A., Håkansson, Niclas, Hamann, Ute, Hansen, Thomas V. O., Harris, Holly R., Hartman, Mikael, Heitz, Florian, Hildebrandt, Michelle A. T., Høgdall, Estrid, Høgdall, Claus K., Hopper, John L., Huang, Ruea-Yea, Huff, Chad, Hulick, Peter J., Huntsman, David G., Imyanitov, Evgeny N., Chenevix-Trench, Georgia, van der Hout, Annemieke H., Isaacs, Claudine, Jakubowska, Anna, James, Paul A., Janavicius, Ramunas, Jensen, Allan, Johannsson, Oskar Th., John, Esther M., Jones, Michael E., Kang, Daehee, Karlan, Beth Y., Karnezis, Anthony, Kelemen, Linda E., Khusnutdinova, Elza, Kiemeney, Lambertus A., Kim, Byoung-Gie, Kjaer, Susanne K., Komenaka, Ian, Kupryjanczyk, Jolanta, Kurian, Allison W., Kwong, Ava, Lambrechts, Diether, Larson, Melissa C., Lazaro, Conxi, Le, Nhu D., Leslie, Goska, Lester, Jenny, Levine, Douglas A., Li, Lian, Li, Jingmei, Loud, Jennifer T., Lu, Karen H., Lubiński, Jan, Mai, Phuong L., Manoukian, Siranoush, Marks, Jeffrey R., Matsuno, Rayna Kim, Matsuo, Keitaro, May, Taymaa, McGuffog, Lesley, McLaughlin, John R., McNeish, Iain A., Menon, Usha, Miller, Austin, Milne, Roger L., Minlikeeva, Albina, Modugno, Francesmary, Montagna, Marco, Moysich, Kirsten B., Munro, Elizabeth, Nathanson, Katherine L., Neuhausen, Susan L., Nevanlinna, Heli, Yie, Joanne Ngeow Yuen, Nielsen, Henriette Roed, Nielsen, Finn C., Nikitina-Zake, Liene, Odunsi, Kunle, Offit, Kenneth, Olah, Edith, Olbrecht, Siel, Olopade, Olufunmilayo I., Olson, Sara H., Olsson, Håkan, Osorio, Ana, Papi, Laura, Park, Sue K., Parsons, Michael T., Pathak, Harsha, Pedersen, Inge Sokilde, Peixoto, Ana, Pejovic, Tanja, Perez-Segura, Pedro, Permuth, Jennifer B., Peshkin, Beth, Peterlongo, Paolo, Piskorz, Anna, Prokofyeva, Darya, Radice, Paolo, Rantala, Johanna, Riggan, Marjorie J., Risch, Harvey A., Rodriguez-Antona, Cristina, Ross, Eric, Rossing, Mary Anne, Runnebaum, Ingo, Sandler, Dale P., Santamariña, Marta, Soucy, Penny, Setiawan, V. Wendy, Shan, Kang, Sieh, Weiva, Simard, Jacques, Singer, Christian F., Sokolenko, Anna P., Song, Honglin, Southey, Melissa C., Steed, Helen, Stoppa-Lyonnet, Dominique, Sutphen, Rebecca, Swerdlow, Anthony J., Tan, Yen Yen, Teixeira, Manuel R., Teo, Soo Hwang, Terry, Kathryn L., Terry, Mary Beth, Thompson, Pamela J., Thomsen, Liv Cecilie Vestrheim, Titus, Linda, Trabert, Britton, Travis, Ruth, Tworoger, Shelley S., Valen, Ellen, van Altena, Anne M., Van Nieuwenhuysen, Els, Edwards, Digna Velez, Vierkant, Robert A., Wang, Frances, Webb, Penelope M., Weinberg, Clarice R., Wentzensen, Nicolas, White, Emily, Whittemore, Alice S., Winham, Stacey J., Wolk, Alicja, Woo, Yin-Ling, Wu, Anna H., Yan, Li, Yannoukakos, Drakoulis, Zheng, Wei, Ziogas, Argyrios, Lawrenson, Kate, deFazio, Anna, Ramus, Susan J., Pearce, Celeste L., Monteiro, Alvaro N., Cunningham, Julie M., Goode, Ellen L., Schildkraut, Joellen M., Berchuck, Andrew, Gayther, Simon A., Pharoah, Paul D. P., Claes, Kathleen B. M., Thomassen, Mads, Thull, Darcy L., Tischkowitz, Marc, Toland, Amanda E., Torres, Diana, Tung, Nadine, van Rensburg, Elizabeth J., Vega, Ana, Wappenschmidt, Barbara, Weitzel, Jeffrey N., Zavaglia, Katia M., Zorn, Kristin K., Sellers, Thomas A., Antoniou, Antonis C., Kleibl, Zdenek, Easton, Douglas, DeFazio, Anna, Cunningham, Julie, GEMO Study Collaborators, [missing], GC-HBOC Study Collaborators, [missing], EMBRACE Collaborators, [missing], OPAL Study Group, [missing], AOCS Group, [missing], KConFab Investigators, [missing], HEBON Investigators, [missing], The OCAC Consortium, [missing], The CIMBA Consortium, [missing], Clinicum, Department of Pathology, HUSLAB, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, HUS Gynecology and Obstetrics, Faculteit Medische Wetenschappen/UMCG, Institut Català de la Salut, [Dareng EO, Barnes DR, Yang X] University of Cambridge, Centre for Cancer Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Cambridge, UK. [Tyrer JP] University of Cambridge, Centre for Cancer Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Oncology, Cambridge, UK. [Jones MR] Center for Bioinformatics and Functional Genomics, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA. [Aben KKH] Radboud University Medical Center, Radboud Institute for Health Sciences, Nijmegen, The Netherlands. Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation, Utrecht, The Netherlands. [Balmaña J] Hereditary cancer Genetics Group, Vall d’Hebron Institute of Oncology (VHIO), Barcelona, Spain. Servei d’Oncologia Mèdica, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Universitari, Barcelona, Spain. [Diez O] Oncogenetics Group, Vall d’Hebron Institute of Oncology (VHIO), Barcelona, Spain. Àrea de Genètica Clínica i Molecular, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Universitari, Barcelona, Spain, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Ovarian Cancer Action, and National Institute for Health Research

Subjects
Male, Biochemistry & Molecular Biology, OCAC Consortium, Genetic Phenomena::Genotype::Genetic Predisposition to Disease [PHENOMENA AND PROCESSES], Breast Neoplasms, Ovaris - Càncer - Aspectes genètics, Carcinoma, Ovarian Epithelial, SUSCEPTIBILITY, Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide, GEMO Study Collaborators, Risk Factors, OPAL Study Group, Other subheadings::Other subheadings::/genetics [Other subheadings], Medicine and Health Sciences, Genetics, Ovaris - Càncer - Propensió, Humans, Genetic Predisposition to Disease, Prospective Studies, EMBRACE Collaborators, GC-HBOC Study Collaborators, Genetics (clinical), HEBON Investigators, fenómenos genéticos::genotipo::predisposición genética a la enfermedad [FENÓMENOS Y PROCESOS], Medicinsk genetik, Ovarian Neoplasms, Genetics & Heredity, 0604 Genetics, Science & Technology, Otros calificadores::Otros calificadores::/genética [Otros calificadores], 1184 Genetics, developmental biology, physiology, Neoplasms::Neoplasms::Neoplasms by Site::Endocrine Gland Neoplasms::Ovarian Neoplasms::Carcinoma, Ovarian Epithelial [DISEASES], 1103 Clinical Sciences, Bayes Theorem, AOCS Group, neoplasias::neoplasias::neoplasias por localización::neoplasias de las glándulas endocrinas::neoplasias ováricas::carcinoma epitelial de ovario [ENFERMEDADES], Women's cancers Radboud Institute for Health Sciences [Radboudumc 17], Carcinoma, Ovarian Epithelial/genetics, Urological cancers Radboud Institute for Health Sciences [Radboudumc 15], CIMBA Consortium, 1182 Biochemistry, cell and molecular biology, Female, KConFab Investigators, Ovarian Neoplasms/epidemiology, Medical Genetics, Life Sciences & Biomedicine
Abstract

Clinical genetics; Genetic markers; Risk factors Genética clínica; Marcadores genéticos; Factores de riesgo Genètica clínica; Marcadors genètics; Factors de risc Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) have the potential to improve risk stratification. Joint estimation of Single Nucleotide Polymorphism (SNP) effects in models could improve predictive performance over standard approaches of PRS construction. Here, we implemented computationally efficient, penalized, logistic regression models (lasso, elastic net, stepwise) to individual level genotype data and a Bayesian framework with continuous shrinkage, “select and shrink for summary statistics” (S4), to summary level data for epithelial non-mucinous ovarian cancer risk prediction. We developed the models in a dataset consisting of 23,564 non-mucinous EOC cases and 40,138 controls participating in the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium (OCAC) and validated the best models in three populations of different ancestries: prospective data from 198,101 women of European ancestries; 7,669 women of East Asian ancestries; 1,072 women of African ancestries, and in 18,915 BRCA1 and 12,337 BRCA2 pathogenic variant carriers of European ancestries. In the external validation data, the model with the strongest association for non-mucinous EOC risk derived from the OCAC model development data was the S4 model (27,240 SNPs) with odds ratios (OR) of 1.38 (95% CI: 1.28–1.48, AUC: 0.588) per unit standard deviation, in women of European ancestries; 1.14 (95% CI: 1.08–1.19, AUC: 0.538) in women of East Asian ancestries; 1.38 (95% CI: 1.21–1.58, AUC: 0.593) in women of African ancestries; hazard ratios of 1.36 (95% CI: 1.29–1.43, AUC: 0.592) in BRCA1 pathogenic variant carriers and 1.49 (95% CI: 1.35–1.64, AUC: 0.624) in BRCA2 pathogenic variant carriers. Incorporation of the S4 PRS in risk prediction models for ovarian cancer may have clinical utility in ovarian cancer prevention programs.

Published
2022

2. Polygenic Risk Modelling for Prediction of Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Risk

Author

Dareng, Eileen O, Tyrer, Jonathan, Barnes, Daniel, Jones, Michelle R, Yang, Xin, Aben, Katja KH, Adank, Muriel A, Agata, Simona, Andrulis, Irene L, Anton-Culver, Hoda, Antonenkova, Natalia N, Aravantinos, Gerasimos, Arun, Banu K, Augustinsson, Annelie, Balma��a, Judith, Bandera, Elisa V, Barkardottir, Rosa B, Barrowdale, Daniel, Beckmann, Matthias W, Beeghly-Fadiel, Alicia, Benitez, Javier, Bermisheva, Marina, Bernardini, Marcus Q, Bjorge, Line, Black, Amanda, Bogdanova, Natalia V, Bonanni, Bernardo, Borg, Ake, Brenton, James, Budzilowska, Agnieszka, Butzow, Ralf, Buys, Saundra S, Cai, Hui, Caligo, Maria A, Campbell, Ian, Cannioto, Rikki, Cassingham, Hayley, Chang-Claude, Jenny, Chanock, Stephen J, Chen, Kexin, Chiew, Yoke-Eng, Chung, Wendy K, Claes, Kathleen BM, Colanna, Sarah, Cook, Linda S, Couch, Fergus J, Daly, Mary B, Dao, Fanny, Davies, Eleanor, De La Hoya, Miguel, Putter, Robin De, Dennis, Joe, DePersia, Allison, Devilee, Peter, Diez, Orland, Ding, Yuan Chun, Doherty, Jennifer A, Domchek, Susan M, D��rk, Thilo, Bois, Andreas Du, D��rst, Matthias, Eccles, Diana M, Eliassen, Heather A, Engel, Christoph, Evans, D Gareth, Fasching, Peter A, Flanagan, James M, Foretova, Lenka, Fortner, Ren��e T, Friedman, Eitan, Ganz, Patricia A, Garber, Judy, Gensini, Francesca, Giles, Graham G, Glendon, Gord, Godwin, Andrew K, Goodman, Marc T, Greene, Mark H, Gronwald, Jacek, Hahnen, Eric, Haiman, Christopher A, H��kansson, Niclas, Hamann, Ute, Hansen, Thomas VO, Harris, Holly R, Hartman, Mikael, Heitz, Florian, Hildebrandt, Michelle AT, H��gdall, Estrid, H��gdall, Claus K, Hopper, John L, Huang, Ruea-Yea, Huff, Chad, Hulick, Peter J, Huntsman, David G, Imyanitov, Evgeny N, Isaacs, Claudine, Jakubowska, Anna, James, Paul A, Janavicius, Ramunas, Jensen, Allan, Johannsson, Oskar Th, John, Esther M, Jones, Michael E, Kang, Daehee, Karlan, Beth Y, Karnezis, Anthony, Kelemen, Linda E, Khusnutdinova, Elza, Kiemeney, Lambertus A, Kim, Byoung-Gie, Kjaer, Susanne K, Komenaka, Ian, Kupryjanczyk, Jolanta, Kurian, Allison W, Kwong, Ava, Lambrechts, Diether, Larson, Melissa C, Lazaro, Conxi, Le, Nhu D, Leslie, Goska, Lester, Jenny, Lesueur, Fabienne, Levine, Douglas A, Li, Lian, Li, Jingmei, Loud, Jennifer T, Lu, Karen H, Lubi��ski, Jan, Machackova, Eva, Mai, Phuong L, Manoukian, Siranoush, Marks, Jeffrey R, Matsuno, Rayna Kim, Matsuo, Keitaro, May, Taymaa, McGuffog, Lesley, McLaughlin, John R, McNeish, Iain A, Mebirouk, Noura, Menon, Usha, Miller, Austin, Milne, Roger L, Minlikeeva, Albina, Modugno, Francesmary, Montagna, Marco, Moysich, Kirsten B, Munro, Elizabeth, Nathanson, Katherine L, Neuhausen, Susan L, Nevanlinna, Heli, Yie, Joanne Ngeow Yuen, Nielsen, Henriette Roed, Nielsen, Finn C, Nikitina-Zake, Liene, Odunsi, Kunle, Offit, Kenneth, Olah, Edith, Olbrecht, Siel, Olopade, Olufunmilayo I, Olson, Sara H, Olsson, H��kan, Osorio, Ana, Papi, Laura, Park, Sue K, Parsons, Michael T, Pathak, Harsha, Pedersen, Inge Sokilde, Peixoto, Ana, Pejovic, Tanja, Perez-Segura, Pedro, Permuth, Jennifer B, Peshkin, Beth, Peterlongo, Paolo, Piskorz, Anna, Prokofyeva, Darya, Radice, Paolo, Rantala, Johanna, Riggan, Marjorie J, Risch, Harvey A, Rodriguez-Antona, Cristina, Ross, Eric, Rossing, Mary Anne, Runnebaum, Ingo, Sandler, Dale P, Santamari��a, Marta, Soucy, Penny, Schmutzler, Rita K, Setiawan, V Wendy, Shan, Kang, Sieh, Weiva, Simard, Jacques, Singer, Christian F, Sokolenko, Anna P, Song, Honglin, Southey, Melissa C, Steed, Helen, Stoppa-Lyonnet, Dominique, Sutphen, Rebecca, Swerdlow, Anthony J, Tan, Yen Yen, Teixeira, Manuel R, Teo, Soo Hwang, Terry, Kathryn L, Terry, Mary Beth, Thomassen, Mads, Thompson, Pamela J, Vestrheim Thomsen, Liv Cecilie, Thull, Darcy L, Tischkowitz, Marc, Titus, Linda, Toland, Amanda E, Torres, Diana, Trabert, Britton, Travis, Ruth, Tung, Nadine, Tworoger, Shelley S, Valen, Ellen, Van Altena, Anne M, Van Der Hout, Annemieke H, Van Nieuwenhuysen, Els, Van Rensburg, Elizabeth J, Vega, Ana, Edwards, Digna Velez, Vierkant, Robert A, Wang, Frances, Wappenschmidt, Barbara, Webb, Penelope M, Weinberg, Clarice R, Weitzel, Jeffrey N, Wentzensen, Nicolas, White, Emily, Whittemore, Alice S, Winham, Stacey J, Wolk, Alicja, Woo, Yin-Ling, Wu, Anna H, Yan, Li, Yannoukakos, Drakoulis, Zavaglia, Katia M, Zheng, Wei, Ziogas, Argyrios, Zorn, Kristin K, Easton, Douglas, Lawrenson, Kate, DeFazio, Anna, Sellers, Thomas A, Ramus, Susan J, Pearce, Celeste L, Monteiro, Alvaro N, Cunningham, Julie, Goode, Ellen L, Schildkraut, Joellen M, Berchuck, Andrew, Chenevix-Trench, Georgia, Gayther, Simon A, Antoniou, Antonis C, and Pharoah, Paul DP

Subjects
3. Good health
Abstract

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) have the potential to improve risk stratification. Joint estimation of Single Nucleotide Polymorphism (SNP) effects in models could improve predictive performance over standard approaches of PRS construction. Here, we implemented computationally-efficient, penalized, logistic regression models (lasso, elastic net, stepwise) to individual level genotype data and a Bayesian framework with continuous shrinkage, ���select and shrink for summary statistics��� (S4), to summary level data for epithelial non-mucinous ovarian cancer risk prediction. We developed the models in a dataset consisting of 23,564 non-mucinous EOC cases and 40,138 controls participating in the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium (OCAC) and validated the best models in three populations of different ancestries: prospective data from 198,101 women of European ancestry; 7,669 women of East Asian ancestry; 1,072 women of African ancestry, and in 18,915 BRCA1 and 12,337 BRCA2 pathogenic variant carriers of European ancestry. In the external validation data, the model with the strongest association for non-mucinous EOC risk derived from the OCAC model development data was the S4 model (27,240 SNPs) with odds ratios (OR) of 1.38(95%CI:1.28���1.48,AUC:0.588) per unit standard deviation, in women of European ancestry; 1.14(95%CI:1.08���1.19,AUC:0.538) in women of East Asian ancestry; 1.38(95%CI:1.21-1.58,AUC:0.593) in women of African ancestry; hazard ratios of 1.37(95%CI:1.30���1.44,AUC:0.592) in BRCA1 pathogenic variant carriers and 1.51(95%CI:1.36-1.67,AUC:0.624) in BRCA2 pathogenic variant carriers. Incorporation of the S4 PRS in risk prediction models for ovarian cancer may have clinical utility in ovarian cancer prevention programs.

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