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To determine early COVID-19 burden in Malawi, we conducted a multistage cluster survey in 5 districts. During October-December 2020, we recruited 5,010 community members (median age 32 years, interquartile range 21-43 years) and 1,021 health facility staff (HFS) (median age 35 years, interquartile range 28-43 years). Real-time PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence was 0.3% (95% CI 0.2%-0.5%) among community and 0.5% (95% CI 0.1%-1.2%) among HFS participants; seroprevalence was 7.8% (95% CI 6.3%-9.6%) among community and 9.7% (95% CI 6.4%-14.5%) among HFS participants. Most seropositive community (84.7%) and HFS (76.0%) participants were asymptomatic. Seroprevalence was higher among urban community (12.6% vs. 3.1%) and HFS (14.5% vs. 7.4%) than among rural community participants. Cumulative infection findings 113-fold higher from this survey than national statistics (486,771 vs. 4,319) and predominantly asymptomatic infections highlight a need to identify alternative surveillance approaches and predictors of severe disease to inform national response.

Background Information on HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) prevalence in people newly diagnosed with HIV is limited. We implemented a cross-sectional study to estimate HIVDR prevalence among pregnant women recently infected with HIV in Malawi. Methods The HIVDR study was nested within a routine antenatal clinic (ANC) sentinel surveillance survey. Dried blood spot samples were tested for recent infection using a limiting antigen antibody assay together with HIV viral load testing. HIV-1 protease and reverse transcriptase were sequenced using Sanger sequencing. Drug susceptibility was predicted using Stanford HIVdb algorithm (version 8.9). Weighted analysis was performed in Stata 15.1. Results Of the 21,642 pregnant women enrolled in the ANC survey, 8.4% (1826/21,642) tested HIV positive. Of these, 5.0% (92/1826) had recent HIV infection, and 90.2% (83/92) were tested by PCR. The amplification and sequencing success rate was 57.8% (48/83). The prevalence of any HIVDR was 14.6% (5/45) (95% CI: 4.7–36.8%), all of which indicated HIVDR to nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs). HIVDR to nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors was 7.9% (2/45) (95% CI: 1.4–34.6%). Resistance to protease inhibitors currently in use in Malawi was not observed. Conclusions Despite the low number of cases with presumed TDR, our study hints that resistance to NNRTIs was high, above the 10% target for regimen change. Further investigation is needed to establish the exact magnitude of presumed TDR among women recently infected with HIV. These findings support the transition to an integrase inhibitor-based first-line regimen for patients initiating or on ART.

Malawi experienced two waves of COVID-19 between April 2020 and February 2021. A High negative impact of COVID-19 was experienced in the second wave, with increased hospital admissions that overwhelmed the healthcare system. This paper describes a protocol to implement a telephone-based syndromic surveillance system to assist public health leaders in the guidance, implementation, and evaluation of programs and policies for COVID-19 prevention and control in Malawi.This is a serial cross-sectional telephonic-based national survey focusing on the general population and People living with HIV and AIDS.We will conduct a serial cross-sectional telephone survey to assess self-reported recent and current experience of influenza-like illness (ILI)/COVID-19-like-illness (CLI), household deaths, access to routine health services, and knowledge related to COVID-19. Structured questionnaires will be administered to two populations: 1) the general population and 2) people living with HIV (PLHIV) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) at EGPAF-supported health facilities. Electronic data collection forms using secure tablets will be used based on randomly selected mobile numbers from electronic medical records (EMR) for PLHIV. We will use random digit dialing (RDD) for the general population to generate phone numbers to dial respondents. The technique uses computer-generated random numbers, using the 10-digit basic structure of mobile phone numbers for the two existing mobile phone companies in Malawi. Interviews will be conducted only with respondents that will verbally consent. A near real-time online dashboard will be developed to help visualize the data and share results with key policymakers.The designed syndromic surveillance system is low-cost and feasible to implement under COVID-19 restrictions, with no physical contact with respondents and limited movement of the study teams and communities. The system will allow estimation proportions of those reporting ILI/CLI among the general population and PLHIV on ART and monitor trends over time to detect locations with possible COVID-19 transmission. Reported household deaths in Malawi, access to health services, and COVID-19 knowledge will be monitored to assess the burden and impact on communities in Malawi.

Data on long-term HIV-free survival in breastfeeding, HIV-exposed infants (HEIs) are limited. The National Evaluation of Malawi's Prevention of Mother-to-Child Transmission (PMTCT) Program (NEMAPP), conducted between 2014 and 2018, evaluated mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) and infant outcomes up to 24 months postpartum.We enrolled a nationally representative cohort of HEIs at 54 health facilities across four regional strata in Malawi and used multivariable Cox regression analysis to investigate the risk of adverse outcomes (HIV transmission, infant death and loss to follow-up) to 24 months postpartum. Models, controlling for survey design, were fitted for the total cohort (n = 3462) and for a subcohort that received maternal viral load (VL) monitoring (n = 1282).By 24 months, in 3462 HEIs, weighted cumulative MTCT was 4.9% [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.7-6.4%], 1.3% (95% CI 0.8-2.2%) of HEIs had died, 26.2% (95% CI 24.0-28.6%) had been lost to follow-up and 67.5% (95% CI 65.0-70.0%) were alive and HIV-free. Primiparity [weighted adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.6; 95% CI 1.1-2.2; parity 2-3: weighted aHR 1.5; 95% CI 1.2-1.9], the mother not disclosing her HIV status to her partner (no disclosure: weighted aHR 1.3; 95% CI 1.1-1.6; no partner: weighted aHR 0.7; 95% CI 0.5-0.9), unknown maternal ART start (weighted aHR 2.0; 95% CI 1.0-3.9) and poor adherence (missed ≥ 2 days of ART in the last month: weighted aHR 1.7; 95% CI 1.2-2.2; not on ART: weighted aHR 1.7; 95% CI 1.0-2.7) were associated with adverse outcomes by 24 months. In the subcohort analysis, risk of HIV transmission or infant death was higher among HEIs whose mothers started ART post-conception (during pregnancy: weighted aHR 3.2; 95% CI 1.3-7.7; postpartum: weighted aHR 12.4; 95% CI 1.5-99.6) or when maternal viral load at enrolment was 1000 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL (weighted aHR 15.7; 95% CI 7.8-31.3).Infant positivity and infant mortality at 24 months were low for a breastfeeding population. Starting ART pre-conception had the greatest impact on HIV-free survival in HEIs. Further population-level reduction in MTCT may require additional intervention during breastfeeding for women new to PMTCT programmes. Pre-partum diagnosis and linkage to ART, followed by continuous engagement in care during breastfeeding can further reduce MTCT but are challenging to implement.

Background Malawi spearheaded the development and implementation of Option B+ for prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT), providing life-long ART for all HIV-positive pregnant and breastfeeding women. We used data from the 2015–2016 Malawi Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (MPHIA) to estimate progress toward 90-90-90 targets (90% of those with HIV know their HIV-positive status; of these, 90% are receiving ART; and of these, 90% have viral load suppression [VLS]) for HIV-positive women reporting a live birth in the previous 3 years. Methods MPHIA was a nationally representative household survey; consenting eligible women aged 15–64 years were interviewed on pregnancies and outcomes, including HIV status during their most recent pregnancy, PMTCT uptake, and early infant diagnosis (EID) testing. Descriptive analyses were weighted to account for the complex survey design. Viral load (VL) results were categorized by VLS ( Results Of the 3,153 women included in our analysis, 371 (10.1%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.8%–11.3%) tested HIV positive in the survey. Most HIV-positive women (84.2%, 95% CI: 79.9%–88.6%) reported knowing their HIV-positive status; of these, 94.9% (95% CI: 91.7%–98.2%) were receiving ART; and of these, 91.2% (95% CI: 87.4%–95.0%) had VLS. Among the 371 HIV-positive women, 76.0% (95% CI: 70.4%–81.7%) had VLS and 66.5% (95% CI: 59.8%–73.2%) had undetectable VL. Among 262 HIV-exposed children, 50.8% (95% CI: 42.8%–58.8%) received EID testing within 2 months of birth, whereas 17.9% (95% CI: 11.9%–23.8%) did not receive EID testing. Of 190 HIV-exposed children with a reported HIV test result, 2.1% (95% CI: 0.0%–4.6%) had positive results. Conclusions MPHIA data demonstrate high PMTCT uptake at a population level. However, our results identify some gaps in VLS in postpartum women and EID testing.

ObjectivesIn Malawi, a recent infection testing algorithm (RITA) is used to characterise infections of persons newly diagnosed with HIV as recent or long term. This paper shares results from recent HIV infection surveillance and describes distribution and predictors.SettingData from 155 health facilities in 11 districts in Malawi were pooled from September 2019 to March 2020.ParticipantsEligible participants were ≥13 years, and newly diagnosed with HIV. Clients had RITA recent infections if the rapid test for recent infection (RTRI) test result was recent and viral load (VL) ≥1000 copies/mL; if VL was Results13 838 persons consented to RTRI testing and 12 703 had valid RTRI test results and VL results after excluding clients not newly HIV-positive, RTRI negative or missing data (n=1135). A total of 12 365 of the 12 703 were included in the analysis after excluding those whose RTRI results were reclassified as long term (n=338/784 or 43.1%). The remainder, 446/12 703 or 3.5%, met the definition of RITA recent infection. The highest percentage of recent infections was among breastfeeding women (crude OR (COR) 3.2; 95% CI 2.0 to 5.0), young people aged 15–24 years (COR 1.6; 95% CI 1.3 to 1.9) and persons who reported a negative HIV test within the past 12 months (COR 3.3; 95% CI 2.6 to 4.2). Factors associated with recent infection in multivariable analysis included being a non-pregnant female (adjusted OR (AOR) 1.4; 95% CI 1.2 to 1.8), a breastfeeding female (AOR 2.2; 95% CI 1.4 to 3.5), aged 15–24 years (AOR 1.6; 95% CI 1.3 to 1.9) and residents of Machinga (AOR 2.0; 95% CI 1.2 to 3.5) and Mzimba (AOR 2.4; 95% CI 1.3 to 4.5) districts.ConclusionsMalawi’s recent HIV infection surveillance system demonstrated high uptake and identified sub-populations of new HIV diagnoses with a higher percentage of recent infections.

The European Commission has indicated that Euro VII emissions legislation should be the last round of emissions legislation and should aim to ensure vehicles are compliant under all conditions. Unlike previous rounds of legislation this will be set against the background of stringent CO2 improvement requirements, so future technologies must serve to improve both emissions and fuel consumption. Ricardo examine what challenges this will introduce for engine manufacturers and what types of technologies might be adopted. A focus will be given to future exhaust aftertreatment solutions for improved real-world NOx control with minimum fuel consumption penalty. Ricardo conclude it should be possible to meet an aggressive emissions target without EGR or expensive external heating solutions.

It is generally accepted that for some heavy-duty transport primemover or energy-converter applications, battery-electrification is unlikely to meet the required balance of product attributes. This is particularly the case with the attributes of autonomy (range), mass, package volume and cost. In this regard, chemical fuels still have the advantage despite storage challenges for some. Ricardo expects that heavy-duty commercial vehicles will include combustion engines for some time to come, whilst transitioning from fossil diesel to a variety of renewable bio- and electrofuels such as bio-diesel, HVO, ethanol, methane, methanol and hydrogen

As stated by the EU commission, on-road HD vehicles (including busses, lorries and coaches) are responsible for approximately 25% of CO2 emissions from road transport within Europe. This equates to ~6% in total CO2 emissions in Europe and is expected to increase by 9% by 2030. This is despite continued advances in HD vehicle fuel economy. To combat this and help meet the Paris Agreement GHG targets, the EU commission has set performance standards for new HD vehicles to reduce CO2 emissions by 15% for the year 2025 onwards and 30% (subject to review in 2022) for the year 2030 onwards. This reduction is compared to a reference 2019 fleet CO2 figure and is determined using the VECTO simulation tool. For HD OEMs to meet these challenges in the short timeframe, new technologies, some not represented in the current version of VECTO, such as waste heat recovery, alternative fueled engines, predictive control strategies and hybridization will be required.

Within the EU, Heavy-DutyVehicles (HDVs) are a major contributor to on-road CO2 emissions, accounting for 30% thereof [1]. Heavy-Duty Diesel engines currently dominate the HDV sector due to their relatively high thermal efficiency and proven durability. In recent years, advances in engine thermal efficiency within the HDV sector have reduced the per vehicle CO2 emissions.

It is a continuous objective of the transport industry to reduce harmful tailpipe emissions while keeping the total cost of ownership low. A broad range of technologies have been examined throughout the years by Ricardo and/or partners to meet the above objective. Each of the examined technologies have a variety of technical challenges, advantages and disadvantages.

To determine the incidence and risk factors of mortality for all HIV-infected patients receiving antiretroviral treatment at public and private healthcare facilities in the Botswana National HIV/AIDS Treatment Programme.We studied routinely collected data from 226 030 patients enrolled in the Botswana National HIV/AIDS Treatment Programme from 2002 to 2013.A person-years (P-Y) approach was used to analyse all-cause mortality and follow-up rates for all HIV-infected individuals with documented antiretroviral therapy initiation dates. Marginal structural modelling was utilized to determine the effect of treatment on survival for those with documented drug regimens. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of our results.Median follow-up time was 37 months (interquartile range 11-75). Mortality was highest during the first 3 months after treatment initiation at 11.79 (95% confidence interval 11.49-12.11) deaths per 100 P-Y, but dropped to 1.01 (95% confidence interval 0.98-1.04) deaths per 100 P-Y after the first year of treatment. Twelve-month mortality declined from 7 to 2% of initiates during 2002-2012. Tenofovir was associated with lower mortality than stavudine and zidovudine.The observed mortality rates have been declining over time; however, mortality in the first year, particularly first 3 months of antiretroviral treatment, remains a distinct problem. This analysis showed lower mortality with regimens containing tenofovir compared with zidovudine and stavudine. CD4 cell count less than 100 cells/μl, older age and being male were associated with higher odds of mortality.