Currently, the direction of hydrological research, highlighting certain aspects of the influenceof climatic factors on the average annual water discharge of river basins, is changing due to climate change,which is a function of annual atmospheric precipitation and average annual air temperature that characterizeevaporation, that is, hydrometeorological components of the geographical landscape reflecting that is theratio of heat and moisture, which is characteristic of the geographical area. One of the most importanttasks in the field of hydrological research is to study the genesis of long-term fluctuations in the averageannual water discharge and climatic indicators of the catchment area of river basins, and to identify theirregional patterns, modern geographic information systems and algorithms have been developed that makeit possible to quickly and efficiently solve this problem. On the basis of them, a research base was formedcovering the period 1934-2020, which is based on information and analytical materials of the reference andinformation portal «Weather and Climate», the RSE «Kazhydromet», the World Meteorological Organization(WMO) and the RSU «Tobol-Torgay Basin Inspection on the regulation of the use and protection of waterresources». The cyclical nature of the average annual water discharge, average annual air temperatures andannual atmospheric precipitation for the catchment area of the Tobol River basin manifests itself unequallyin separate periods at a particular phase of development, i.e. modeling linear trends and differential integralcurves. To assess the degree of synchronicity of average annual water discharge and average annual air temperatures and atmospheric precipitation, methodological support was developed, implemented in thecatchments of the Tobol River basin, which showed that in the steppe zone of Northern Kazakhstan, theirdegree of synchronicity is low, since the main source of runoff formation in the considered territory the snowcover of the previous year accumulated over the winter, that is, atmospheric precipitation at the end of theautumn and the beginning of the winter period, which are not taken into account when determining the degreeof synchronicity of a real year, which requires the need to clarify the structure of the calculated year, takinginto account the determining conditions for the formation of river flow.