1. Antarctic Futures: An Assessment of Climate-Driven Changes in Ecosystem Structure, Function, and Service Provisioning in the Southern Ocean
- Author
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Alex Rogers, David K. A. Barnes, Gabriel Reygondeau, B A V Frinault, Evgeny A. Pakhomov, Simeon L. Hill, Rebecca Wright, Dieter Wolf-Gladrow, Eileen E. Hofmann, Katrin Linse, Hugh W. Ducklow, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, Ari S. Friedlaender, Rod Downie, Clive R. McMahon, Tom Hart, Iain J. Staniland, and Eugene J. Murphy
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,Food Chain ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Climate Change ,Oceans and Seas ,Fishing ,Species distribution ,Fisheries ,Biodiversity ,Antarctic Regions ,Climate change ,Oceanography ,01 natural sciences ,Ecosystem services ,Water Movements ,Animals ,Humans ,Marine ecosystem ,14. Life underwater ,skin and connective tissue diseases ,Endemism ,Ecosystem ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,biology ,Ecology ,010604 marine biology & hydrobiology ,15. Life on land ,biology.organism_classification ,Antarctic krill ,13. Climate action ,Environmental science ,sense organs - Abstract
In this article, we analyze the impacts of climate change on Antarctic marine ecosystems. Observations demonstrate large-scale changes in the physical variables and circulation of the Southern Ocean driven by warming, stratospheric ozone depletion, and a positive Southern Annular Mode. Alterations in the physical environment are driving change through all levels of Antarctic marine food webs, which differ regionally. The distributions of key species, such as Antarctic krill, are also changing. Differential responses among predators reflect differences in species ecology. The impacts of climate change on Antarctic biodiversity will likely vary for different communities and depend on species range. Coastal communities and those of sub-Antarctic islands, especially range-restricted endemic communities, will likely suffer the greatest negative consequences of climate change. Simultaneously, ecosystem services in the Southern Ocean will likely increase. Such decoupling of ecosystem services and endemic species will require consideration in the management of human activities such as fishing in Antarctic marine ecosystems. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Marine Science Volume 12 is January 3, 2020. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
- Published
- 2020
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