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The article examines the essential features, deep causes and main forms of inflation as a multifactorial phenomenon that inevitably accompanies the economic development of almost all countries of the world. It is shown that the sources and consequences of inflation are not only of a monetary nature, but rather are deeply rooted in structural problems and affect directly and indirectly the totality of social relations. It is noted that the nature of inflation is rooted in the social conflict regarding the distribution of the social product between different social groups of the society. It is justified that inflation itself is complex and heterogeneous in its causes of origin, general features of the inflationary process, its mechanism of action, and consequences. It is argued that inflation is a monetary phenomenon, as it is caused by an excess of money in circulation. However, it should be noted that non-monetary factors can also be the cause of inflation. Regardless of the area in which inflation originates – monetary or non-monetary – monetary and non-monetary factors are interdependent, as they interact in a reproductive process. It is emphasized that one of the driving forces of the inflationary mechanism is the unevenness of price increases, as a result of which some economic subjects are interested in the existence of inflation. It is found that the nature of the national economy and the market has a significant impact on the inflationary process. The dominance of monopolistic structures of the economy, the majority of imperfect competition in the markets is a favorable environment in which inflationary tendencies are quite easily picked up and become strengthened. It is identified that inflationary processes of the national economy can also arise as a result of international exchange, through the price mechanism of foreign trade, when the increase in the price of imported resources creates an impulse for inflationary costs within the country.

Monetary support of the economy represents a necessary prerequisite for ensuring sustainable economic development, which is a priority strategic direction of public policy of any State. The purpose of the article is to identify the features and trends of monetary provision of the world economy in general and in terms of groups of countries, which will contribute to a better understanding of the relationship between economic development and the process of monetization of the economy. The concept of «monetization of the economy» is distinguished as a state and as a process. In the context of management, the monetization of the economy should be considered as a process that is a product of a reaction to the measures of public policies to manage the supply and demand for money, which is expressed in the remonetization and demonetization of the economy, while the state of monetization of the economy is proposed to be considered as a criterion for the adequacy of monetary provision to the economy. It is noted that a sufficient level of monetary provision of the economy has a positive impact on economic development, the dominant component of which is defined as economic growth. The analysis of the monetization of the world economy in the dynamics for 2000-2020 reveals a general trend towards monetary expansion of world economies. Based on data for 133 countries, the article identifies an increasing correlation between the level of monetization of the economy and economic development in the years of 2000, 2010 and 2020, which shows the importance of ensuring the processes of remonetization of economies for the economic development of the global economy. It is determined that the monetization of the world economy has a general upward trend, which intensifies after the passage of economic crises. The hypothesis that there is a link between the level of monetary support of the economy and economic development in other countries is justified. The existence of a positive relationship over the past 20 years, which has been strengthening over time, has been revealed. Several countries have a generally high level of monetization, but do not have tangible progress in economic development, which is primarily due to the non-monetary features of the development of these countries.

Monetary support of the economy represents a necessary prerequisite for ensuring sustainable economic development, which is a priority strategic direction of public policy of any State. The purpose of the article is to identify the features and trends of monetary provision of the world economy in general and in terms of groups of countries, which will contribute to a better understanding of the relationship between economic development and the process of monetization of the economy. The concept of «monetization of the economy» is distinguished as a state and as a process. In the context of management, the monetization of the economy should be considered as a process that is a product of a reaction to the measures of public policies to manage the supply and demand for money, which is expressed in the remonetization and demonetization of the economy, while the state of monetization of the economy is proposed to be considered as a criterion for the adequacy of monetary provision to the economy. It is noted that a sufficient level of monetary provision of the economy has a positive impact on economic development, the dominant component of which is defined as economic growth. The analysis of the monetization of the world economy in the dynamics for 2000- 2020 reveals a general trend towards monetary expansion of world economies. Based on data for 133 countries, the article identifies an increasing correlation between the level of monetization of the economy and economic development in the years of 2000, 2010 and 2020, which shows the importance of ensuring the processes of remonetization of economies for the economic development of the global economy. It is determined that the monetization of the world economy has a general upward trend, which intensifies after the passage of economic crises. The hypothesis that there is a link between the level of monetary support of the economy and economic development in other countries is justified. The existence of a positive relationship over the past 20 years, which has been strengthening over time, has been revealed. Several countries have a generally high level of monetization, but do not have tangible progress in economic development, which is primarily due to the non-monetary features of the development of these countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article is devoted to defining the influence of monetary policy on the development of national production and substantiating the prospects for its monetary regulation. It has been established that in recent years the monetary policy of Ukraine has been unfavourable for the industrial development in Ukraine. The NBU, which adheres to the monetary regime of inflation targeting, pursues a relatively strict policy, in particular, maintaining the real key rate at a level above neutral and low growth rates of the real money supply. As a result, for many years the national industry has been operating in conditions of a chronic shortage of working capital and investments, which exacerbates the problems of its development. To establish the nature and strength of the influence of monetary factors on long-term economic growth in Ukraine, a new economic and mathematical model based on production functions has been developed. Its parameterization showed that national output directly depends on the increase in invested labour, and vice versa - on the increase in Hryvnia exchange rate to U.S. Dollar (discourages exports) and U.S. Dollar Index (worsens the foreign economic situation). The impact on the increase in the real money supply can also have a positive impact on the economy, but its strength depends on the growth rate of broad money (with controlled inflation). At moderate rates, typical for the basic scenario of long-term development of the Ukrainian economy, investments are not increasing as vigorously as it is necessary for accelerated growth of real GDP and incomes of citizens. An increase in the growth rate of the real money supply (up to about 15% per year), set forth in the accelerated development scenario, can provide better results. It is proved that despite the importance of monetary variables, the key factors influencing the links in the chain "real money supply - investment - industrial growth" should be sought outside the monetary sphere proper. Stable expansion of the monetary base and growth of the real money supply do matter, but they are not able to solve the fundamental problems of modernization of economic institutions, structural restructuring of the economy and overcoming technological gaps with industrialized countries. It follows from this that in Ukrainian economy in the long run it is important for the regulator to maintain stable growth of the real money supply and controlled inflation, but this will be of fundamental importance for solving the accumulated problems only if the policies of the regulator and the government are coordinated, which should create favourable conditions and form appropriate institutions to reduce the dependence of the economy on raw material exports, accelerate national technical and technological development and increase its overall level. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article is devoted to topical issues of studying the operation of fiscal and monetary levers of economic development of the country, the peculiarities of their implementation in modern transformational conditions in relation to macroeconomic indicators. Monetary policy in combination with fiscal regulation instruments forms the basis of the country's stabilization policy. Monetary impulses, passing through a number of transmission channels, contribute to the achievement of the main general economic goals: sustainable economic growth, a moderate level of inflation and balance of payments. The study of existing and the search for new effective tools and forms of implementation of fiscal and monetary policy, changing the basic conditions of the functioning of the national economy of Ukraine becomes a challenge for improving the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary regulation. The main indicators for assessing the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary instruments of Ukraine are determined. The importance of monetary and fiscal instruments for macroeconomic stability is analysed, in particular by indicators: GDP, budget expenditures, tax revenues, discount rate and money supply. An economic and mathematical model for analysing the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary levers on the economic development of Ukraine is constructed. Ways to improve the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary levers of economic development in Ukraine are proposed based on the obtained main modelling results.

Industrialization, which is currently taking place in the world under new technological conditions, guarantees successful economic development. In this regard, analysts, entrepreneurs, government officials, politicians at the local and national levels are interested in timely and reliable information about the state and prospects for the development of the national industry. To get signals about changes in economic activity in the near future, economists use leading indicators -- dynamic data series that demonstrate a fairly stable connection with the basic data series of the macroeconomic development cycle in a particular country. However, in connection with the peculiarities of development, each state has to find its own solutions in this subject area. The article focuses on leading indicators of industry development. The objectives of the work are to generalize the accumulated experience in the field of short-term forecasting of industry based on the use of the dynamics of indicators that have a leading connection with industrial production, and to substantiate recommendations regarding the possibilities of their use for short-term forecasting of the industrial development of Ukraine. As a result of the generalization of the world experience of using leading indicators, considering the national industrial specifics, two working hypotheses were suggested in the research process. The first one is based on the fact that: when forecasting the turning points of economic activity in the national industry, it is necessary to focus on general and specific leading indicators of countries that are the main partners of Ukraine, especially those to which goods of the industrial group are exported; the list of candidate indicators should include world energy prices, taking into account the significant dependence of national production on hydrocarbon imports; in addition to the real money supply, the dynamics of industrial value added are influenced by other monetary factors, namely -- the hryvnia exchange rate to the dollar and the index of the US dollar, which is explained by the openness of the national economy, its small size, specialization in the export of raw materials and significant dependence on the import of industrial goods, necessary to create products with high value added. For further verification of this hypothesis, it is offered to divide the relevant indicators into four groups: those based on the results of enterprise surveys, indicators of financial activity of enterprises, monetary and socio-economic indicators. At the same time, the availability of data and promptness of updating (at least quarterly) is a key condition for their inclusion in the selection of candidates. The second working hypothesis is that the proposed indicators can serve as ones to provide early signals about the dynamics of the value added created in the industry. In order to verify it in practice, it is necessary to create a database of indicators that can be used to predict the dynamics of gross value added in industry, perform mathematical calculations (build quantitative dependencies of value added on selected indicators considering the time lag), integrate individual indicators into a composite index of industrial development. The subject of further research is solving these problems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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