1. ALTERNATIVA PROBABILÍSTICA BAYESIANA PARA UNA ESTIMACIÓN MEJOR DEL COEFICIENTE DE CULTIVO BASADO EN ÍNDICES DE VEGETACIÓN.
- Author
-
Salas-Aguilar, Víctor Manuel, Torres-Olave, María Elena, Rojas-Villalobos, Hugo Luis, Alatorre-Cejudo, Luis Carlos, and Bravo-Peña, Luis Carlos
- Subjects
- *
WATER requirements for crops , *NORMALIZED difference vegetation index , *DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) , *WATER management , *SAMPLE size (Statistics) - Abstract
The robust and operative estimation of water requirements in crops is a premise that water management specialists must fulfill. The aim of this study was to implement the Bayesian approach (EB) to estimate the crop coefficient (Kc) from the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and to compare them to the frequentist approaches, general and specific equations for a crop. The Bayesian model was developed based on probability distributions of parameters (a and b) a priori, gathered from 18 studies, which estimated the linear relation (Kc-NDVI). In the first stage, the approaches were compared in seven sample sizes (TM) (5, 10, 30, 60, 90, 120 and 150), in which 1000 repetitions were carried out without replacements. In order to validate the adjustments of each TM, a base of 156 experimental data from Kc-NDVI were used. In the second stage, the EB was evaluated regarding equations adjusted to specific crops, and the first and second quartiles of the data were added to perform validation. Results first showed that the EB surpassed the frequentist methods and general equations in all TM. EB obtained low uncertainties with only five TM, unlike the other methods, which needed more than 30 records to obtain similar results. The comparison between EB and specific equations corroborated that five random data gathered in the first quartile were enough to obtain low uncertainties. This proposed methodology is operative and the Kc data can be estimated from the first phenological stages with a high certainty and few NDVI data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF