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This research aims to analyze the influence of digital technology adoption on the performance of women entrepreneurs. This type of research is quantitative with a causal associative type. The population in this study was 394 women entrepreneurs in East Java Province. The sampling technique used purposive sampling to obtain a sample size of 268 respondents. Data collection uses questionnaires and data analysis techniques using PLS-SEM. The research results show that digital technology adoption has a positive and significant effect on the performance of women entrepreneurs in East Java Province. These results provide a practical contribution, namely that women entrepreneurs are encouraged to adopt digital technology so that it can help them improve their business performance.

Pesantren and East Java (Jatim) share a mutualistic, symbiotic relationship in political and cultural spheres. Pesantren is a byproduct of East Javan culture and a voting platform for regional elections. This study aims to ascertain the elements that voters on Madura Island consider when selecting a candidate in the 2018 East Java Governor Election. A mixed method comprising qualitative and quantitative elements and logistic regression data analysis techniques was employed to accomplish these research aims. According to the study’s findings, voters consider four elements: job programs, political parties, pesantren politics, and support from the contemporary Muslim community. Concurrently, these four elements impact the Khofifah-Emil candidate team’s outcome. According to the logistic regression findings, the Khofifah-Emil candidate team’s pesantren political strategy is to increase the number of graduate networks and pesantren support

Urban development, population growth, high traffic jams, and intensive disaster events are indicators of changing the landscape of the eastern area of East Java. Investigating these changes is vital for planning and environmental protection in the future. This study examines changes in land use and land cover (LULC) during the past 50 years in the eastern part of East Java from 1972 to 2021. The changes are examined by contrasting four maps derived from Landsat images (1972, 1997, 2013, and 2021). The following are the main study procedures: (1) data inventory, (2) field survey, (3) image processing and classification, and (4) interpretation of LULC changes. With Google Earth Engine, all photos are downloaded (GEE). Landsat image classification was completed using the maximum likelihood algorithm with an overall Kappa accuracy of>85%. Eight (8) major classifications are therefore produced by the classification: (1) the pavement or urban area (PUA); (2) heterogeneous agricultural land (HAL); (3) bare soil (BS); (4) paddy field (PF); (5) open water body (OWB); (6) vegetation/plantation (VG); (7) shrubland (SL); and (8) wetlands (WL). In the areas with rapid development, the LULC change is more pronounced, i.e., Pasuruan, Jember, and Banyuwangi Regencies. LULC change in and near mid-regency and the rural regions comes next. Over the past fifty years, regional growth has resulted in increases in PUA (+4.4 percent), PF (+12.2 percent), and VG (+17.9 percent). On the other hand, the development has decreased SL, BS, and HAL by 5.8 and 15.9 percent, respectively (-13.1 percent ). LULC alterations for human activities have profoundly altered the natural landscape.

Tourism in Indonesia plays a crucial role as an economic sector with the potential for increasing foreign exchange earnings. Batu City, known as a tourist destination, offers various business opportunities related to tourism. Kampoeng Kidz, an educational land in Batu, holds potential as a sustainable tourism destination with its nature-based learning programs and scenic beauty. However, Kampoeng Kidz faces challenges in digital marketing, particularly during the pandemic, which resulted in a decline in visitor numbers. This research aims to develop a digital marketing strategy, with a focus on social media, to enhance visibility and visits to Kampoeng Kidz. In the context of Law No. 10 of 2009 on Tourism, this study highlights the role of tourism in economic development and provides a rationale for the urgency of digital marketing development. The research employs a qualitative descriptive method with the Branding Gelder theory approach. This approach allows for the reduction of irrelevant information, selecting only interesting, important, and useful information (Sugiyono, 2016). The study was conducted at Kampoeng Kidz using data collection techniques such as interviews, documentation, and observation. Data analysis involves data reduction, data presentation, and drawing conclusions. Tourist visit data to attractions in Batu City in 2020 indicate that Kampoeng Kidz had a relatively low number of visitors compared to other tourist attractions. The focus on educational tourism and its pre-pandemic recognition provide the basis for this research. Kampoeng Kidz needs to strengthen its digital marketing, especially through social media, to reach a wider audience. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The IUCN Red List classifies the green tree frog (Rhacophorus reinwardtii) as a frog that is Least Concern. One study that has never been carried out in Indonesia concerns the spatial distribution of the green tree frog based on Geographic Information System (GIS) applications and the habitat characteristics in East Java. It is vital to map the spatial distribution of the green tree frog in East Java and identify its habitat characteristics because the amphibian diversity surveys that have been conducted so far are the only ones available. This study is quantitative descriptive in design, with studies of pertinent literature as supporting sources. Cruising and the Visual Encounter Survey (VES) method are the techniques employed. A Geographic Information System (GIS) application is utilized in the computational method to create a spatial distribution analysis by gathering information on the locations of interactions with green tree frogs. Based on findings from studies conducted in the Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park Area (TNBTS), the Tancak Kembar Waterfall Area in Bondowoso Regency, and the Ironggolo Waterfall Area in Kediri Regency, there are 16 green tree frog meeting points recorded on the iNaturalist application for the Our Reptile Amphibian Observation Movement (GO-ARK) project and 3 points from the outcomes of field observations. In East Java, environmental factors such as altitude, slope, rainfall, NDVI, land cover, and proximity to rivers have a significant impact on how green tree frogs are distributed spatially. Although green tree frogs in East Java frequently forsake water bodies and choose to live in high-level plant types, they also frequently occupy a variety of water bodies. The green tree frogs discovered at the research location are categorized as favoring continuous habitats with boundaries for colony development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Understanding the population data of a region is crucial for policy development and strategic planning. East Java Province, the second-largest province in Indonesia, has undergone significant population growth from 2021 to 2023. Uneven growth poses challenges in resource and infrastructure management. The K-Means algorithm clusters population data into several groups based on specific characteristics. The Elbow method is used to determine the optimal number of clusters, ensuring the accuracy of the analysis. This research aims to analyze and cluster the population distribution in each city in East Java Province, providing a more detailed and accurate depiction. The research findings reveal three significant clusters. Cluster 0 includes 21 towns, Cluster 1 comprises 4, and Cluster 2 encompasses 13. These findings have important implications for targeted development policy formulation at the city level in East Java Province. Additionally, this study contributes to the development of demographic analysis and population management, using valid methods and consistent results between RapidMiner and manual calculations. In conclusion, this research provides a solid foundation for more effective development policy formulation in East Java Province, offering essential information for sustainable population management.

The National Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMN) for 2015-2019 and RPJMN for 2020-2024 emphasizes infrastructure development as the key to accelerating economic growth, especially through the implementation of a 2,500 km new toll road construction program. This program includes monumental projects such as the Trans Java Merak-Banyuwangi and Cikampek-Palimanan (Cipali) toll roads, which are the longest toll roads in Java. Evaluation of toll road development, in accordance with Government Regulation (PP) No. 39/2006, is a crucial step in assessing the success of public policy. However, PP No. 15/2005 emphasizes that the purpose of highway projects is to support economic growth and equitable development. In-depth research focused on the impact of the Trans Java toll road on economic growth in East Java. The results show the complexity and variation in the impact, with some toll roads increasing economic growth, while others decrease it. While theory suggests that infrastructure can accelerate economic growth, toll road development in East Java does not have an overall positive impact. Factors such as poor accessibility, high toll fees, and a lack of supporting infrastructure may be to blame. This impact is reflected in the decline in East Java's economic growth from 9.87% to 4.34% two years after toll road construction.

Infectious diseases are a problem that is still a challenge and has not been resolved in Indonesia. The number of infectious disease cases continues to increase every year in Indonesia. Infectious diseases that are still a problem in Indonesia include tuberculosis (TB), pneumonia and leprosy (Leprosy). Identification of infectious disease endemic areas is an important issue in the health sector, the average rate of people with physical disabilities and deaths originating from infectious diseases. Indonesia, as a country consisting of 34 provinces, including East Java as one of the provinces that has a high rate of infectious disease cases. Therefore, research was conducted using correspondence analysis which aimed to determine the pattern of infectious disease trends and grouping districts / cities in East Java Province based on similarities between the spread of disease sufferers in each district / city. This type of research uses quantitative methods with secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics of East Java Province. The results of correspondence analysis show that the spread of pneumonia and tuberculosis in East Java Province has a relative tendency to almost all regencies/cities in East Java, while the spread of leprosy is closer to Sampang Regency. From this research, it can be used to supervise and control infectious diseases in districts / cities in East Java Province, so that the government can adjust policy formulation and actions to prevent an increase in infectious disease cases in East Java

Background: Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is one of the endemic diseases throughout the tropics and parts of the subtropics. One of the provinces that felt the impact of the dengue outbreak was East Java. Overall, villages implementing STBM coverage in East Java Province is good but incidence of DHF is still found in all districts or cities in the last 3-year period. Purpose: This study aims to analyze the relationship and the inclination tendency of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever in East Java). Methods: This type of research is an observational study with a cross-sectional study design. The sample population used 38 regencies/cities in East Java Province. The data used are the health profile data of East Java Province in 2018, 2019, and 2020. The data analysis technique used descriptive by utilizing the Health Mapper application version 4.3.0.0 with product version 4.03. Results: The distribution of DHF incidence with the coverage of villages implementing STBM East Java in 2018, 2019, 2020 showed decrease the coverage of villages implementing STBM is also followed by an increase DHF cases every year. The coverage of villages that implement Community Based Total Sanitation (STBM) fluctuates every year. Conclusion: Areas with STBM villages cannot guarantee DHF-free zones but can prevent the transmission of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) by changing hygiene and sanitation behavior through community empowerment to create a good sanitation.

Strongylids are a group of worms that infect the digestive tract of horses consisting of Strongylus vulgaris, Strongylus equinus, Strongylus edentates and Cyathostomes. There is no reported prevalence data on Strongylids infection in horses in East Java. Study on Strongylids is urgently needed because this worm is one of the causes of zoonotic diseases. This study aimed to identify Strongylids that infect horses morphologically. Identification of Strongylids in this study using morphological methods. A total of 65 horse faeces in East Java, i.e. in the cities of Surabaya, Malang, Kediri and Pasuruan were examined microscopically after being fixed in 10% formalin. Three microscopically positive samples showed a prevalence of 4,6% with an average size of 60-70µm x 50-60µm and larvae developed inside the worm eggs.

Purpose: To study and analyze cultural values, interaction, communication, and factors that influence the formation of a strong organizational culture in dance studios in East Java. The objectives of this study also include providing a better understanding of the cultural dynamics of dance studios, contributing to the development of policies and management strategies for cultural organizations, as well as providing input and recommendations to the government, communities, and cultural actors in East Java. Design: This research uses a qualitative approach by involving data collection through interviews, observations, and documentation studies. The collected data is analyzed in depth with a qualitative approach, through data coding, pattern identification, key findings, and emerging themes. The validity and reliability of the study are guaranteed through data triangulation, peer examination, and discussion with cultural experts or related experts. Findings: The results of this study reveal various cultural values embraced by dance studios in East Java, such as gotong royong, local wisdom, the spirit of collaboration, and respect for traditions and customs. These values become a strong foundation for carrying out cultural activities and provide a strong identity for dance studios in East Java. The study also observed that interactions between dance studio members in East Java were characterized by mutual respect, support, and cooperation. Effective and open communication is an important factor in maintaining harmony and smooth cooperation in the dance studio. The success of dance studios in East Java in carrying out cultural tasks and functions depends heavily on the ability of members to interact, communicate, and work together synergistically. In addition, this study identifies several factors that influence the formation of a strong organizational culture, such as inspiring leadership, organizational commitment to culture, recognition of individual contributions, and culture-oriented human resource development practices. These factors play a role in creating an organizational environment that nurtures and encourages a positive and strong culture. Practical implications: This research is expected to provide a deep understanding of organizational culture in dance studios in East Java, as well as contribute to the development of policies and management practices of cultural organizations in the region. The research results will be presented in a structured research report and disseminated to the government, society, cultural actors, and other related parties. Paper type: Research paper

Coronavirus disease (Covid-19) was first discovered in 2019 in Wuhan City, China. The massive spread of the virus has led the World Health Organisation (WHO) to declare the COVID-19 outbreak a pandemic. This brings changes in social life due to the obligation to keep a distance, including getting pharmaceutical services. Online pharmacy services can be a solution to social restrictions imposed during a pandemic. The aim of this study is to find out how to communicate with the public about obtaining pharmaceutical services during a pandemic by implementing physical distancing, knowing the pharmaceutical services that are felt during the implementation of physical distancing, and providing education in order to increase the understanding of the people of East Java regarding online pharmacy services. This research is descriptive with a quantitative approach. Data obtained through a survey using a random sampling technique This research involved 223 respondents who were East Javanese, with the majority being 21 years old. The results showed that respondents had good knowledge regarding physical distancing (98.2%), but lacked awareness to implement it. In pharmaceutical services, respondents felt changes due to the implementation of social restrictions during a pandemic. Most respondents (82.96%) have an interest in using online pharmacy services if they are available. As many as 29.15% of the total respondents had used online pharmacy services. In general, services are obtained through health applications (54.95%) and WhatsApp (35.16%), with a low frequency of use (1-2 times in the last 6 months). Respondents who have used online pharmacy services have the intention of using them again in the future. However, not all pharmacies provide this service. So education on pharmaceutical services is important to support the implementation of physical distancing during the COVID-19 pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Brantas Watershed and its tributaries (approximately 14,103 km2) are essential in supplying water for About 30% of the East Java province population. Management of water resources in this watershed has become a challenging issue. The modelling processes' conformity and results to mimic the existing hydrological processes are still in question. This study aims to analyze sensitive parameters of the SWAT (Soil & Water Assessment Tool) model on the significant watershed. The input model is climate and spatial (DEM, soil layer, LULC) data. The observes the hydrological processes monthly and annually from the model result. Next, Sensitivity analysis using the SWAT-CUP tool and SUFI algorithm shows 18 sensitive parameters. The nine (9) parameters have a more than 50% sensitivity level. The four (4) correlated to the soil layer's runoff generation and water movement. Then, eight (8) parameters are related to baseflow calculation. Simulation results illustrate the strong effect of climate change (especially rainfall) on water yield and sedimentation.

Background: Based on the Global Tuberculosis (TB) Report, Indonesia is one of the countries with a triple burden of TB, and TB disease can attack all age groups, including children. East Java Province in 2019 was ranked third in the highest number of pediatric TB cases in Indonesia. Purpose: This study aims to describe the distribution trend of tuberculosis cases in children in East Java Province in 2017-2018 based on BCG immunization coverage, cases of malnutrition, amount of healthy houses, and households with PHBS. Methods: The research design was a descriptive study with a correlation study design. The populations were all districts/cities in East Java Province, with as many as 38 districts. The data analysis technique to describe the trend distribution of tuberculosis in children was the health mapper software on a computer developed by World Health Organization (WHO). Results: The distribution of the incidence of tuberculosis in children in East Java from 2017 to 2018 tends to increase. The city of Surabaya became the area with the highest incidence of tuberculosis in children from 2017 to 2018. Based on a spatial map, most districts or cities with BCG immunization coverage, cases of malnutrition, several healthy homes, and high PHBS households experience tuberculosis incidence in children is high. Conclusion: Based on the map, spatially, districts or cities with high cases of tuberculosis in children mainly occur in areas with cases of malnutrition, the number of healthy home environments, and high coverage of BCG immunization as well.

Copyright of Jurnal Medik Veterinar is the property of Universitas Airlangga and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Health is a human right that is one of the indicators of welfare that must felt by all people following the ideals of the Indonesian people to realize a high degree of health. The high level of public health is one of the base capital for realization of the implementation of national development. One indicator of policy target evaluation in the health sector is the availability of adequate public health facilities and services. In addition, the level of the number of people suffering from disease complaints needs to be the attention of the government and the community to become the material for evaluating policy targets in the health sector. Based on data on the percentage of the population who have health complaints in 2020 obtained from the BPS of the Republic of Indonesia, East Java Province is ranked 7th, which is 32.8%. While the data in 2021 East Java Province is ranked 8th at 28.55%. This figure is quite high compared to other provinces so the East Java Provincial government needs to pay attention to reducing cases of disease complaints. Therefore, this study aims to analyze and map regencies and cities in East Java Province based on the distribution of the characteristics of the number of disease cases in each regency and city using the Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering method. Based on the value of the cophenetic correlation coefficient, the average linkage method is the best method with the optimal number of clusters formed 4 clusters based on the cluster validation test using the connectivity validity index test, Dunn index, and silhouette. The results of this study can be used as a reference for the government of East Java Province in taking policies to improve national development planning in the health sector to increase the high level of public health

Introduction: Diphtheria is an acute disease that is transmitted through air, saliva, and direct contact with patients. In the Community Lead Total Sanitation (CLTS) targets, air quality in the house is an indicator leading to diphtheria incidence as its bacteria can spread through the air. Efforts can be made to overcome diphtheria by providing DPT-HB-HiB3 immunization to increase body immunity and enforcing the CLTS program to improve air quality. Meanwhile, East Java experienced a decrease in CLTS and DPT-HB-HiB3 coverage in 2020. This study aimed to map the distribution of the disease and describe the correlation between diphtheria and its factors. Methods: This study evaluated diphtheria incidence in 38 regencies/cities in East Java. It used the Spearman correlation test to analyze secondary data from the Health Profile of East Java in 2018-2020. Data processing was done using Health Mapper and SPSS. Results and Discussion: No correlation was found between CLTS coverage and the incidence of diphtheria in 2018 (p = 0.207; OR = 0.201) while there was a correlation between DPT-HB-HiB3 immunization coverage and the incidence of diphtheria in 2018 (p = 0.006 ; OR = 0.441). Conclusion: CLTS coverage was not associated with the incidence of diphtheria in the province rather DPT-HB-HiB3 immunization coverage was. Education for public about the importance of DPT-HB-HiB3 immunization is required and maintaining a clean environment to prevent transmission of diphtheria.

Indonesia has experienced relatively significant and stable economic growth in the last decade. However, Indonesia, a developing country, is still vulnerable to income disparities between regions or regions. It is due to the unequal distribution of natural resources, population, and development concentration. This study aims to examine the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the convergence of economic growth in East Java Province. In this study, per capita Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) data or secondary data with panel type is used which is accessed from the annual report of the Central Statistics Agency in each district or city in East Java for the period 2010 to 2020. By using the -convergence analysis technique and -convergence and considering the spatial dependence between regions, the researchers found no substantial evidence of the occurrence of regional income convergence in East Java. There has been a divergence in regional income before and after the pandemic. But with a more significant divergence coefficient before the pandemic, it means that the existence of a pandemic has reduced the level of divergence even though the catch-up effect is negligible on economic growth. In general, this means a decrease in income inequality due to the pandemic, as rich regions are affected more than poor regions. So that public policy recommendations are needed, especially after the pandemic, through recovery that focuses on improving the economic sector in the affected affluent areas such as Surabaya and others.

The emergence of issues regarding the drug dexamethasone as a prevention of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has made the public look for dexamethasone without exploring the further information. Inappropriate use of dexamethasone drugs can cause side effects such as reduced immunity. This study aims to determine the profile of public knowledge in East Java regarding the function, side effects, and usage of dexamethasone as a therapeutic treatment for COVID-19 patients. This study is a cross-sectional study by collecting data using non-random sampling techniques (accidental sampling) and the research instrument using an online questionnaire. Based on the results of this study, 237 respondents were obtained with characteristics of the gender consisting of 78.9% women and 21.1% men and the ages of 18-23 years (88.61%), 24-28 years (3.66%), and >28 years (7.79%). The results showed that 1.69% of respondents had low knowledge, 54.85% of respondents had moderate knowledge, and 43.46% of respondents had high knowledge regarding the functions, side effects, and use of dexamethasone as a therapeutic treatment for COVID-19 patients. According to the results of this study, it is necessary to increase public knowledge in East Java regarding the functions, side effects, and use of dexamethasone as a therapeutic treatment for COVID-19 patients to prevent misperceptions on the use of dexamethasone as a therapeutic treatment for COVID-19 patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Ar Rehla: Journal of Islamic Tourism, Halal Food, Islamic Traveling, & Creative Economy is the property of Faculty of Islamic Economic & Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Sayyid Ali Rahmatullah Tulungagung and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Study on political elites in sub-national politics in post-1998 Indonesia did not pay much attention to identify the shifting or continuation of structural change in the post-New Order authoritarianism. From a case study in East Java, this article shows the change and continuation of political elite structure. Democratization does not necessarily produce significant changes that shift the position and privilege of the old political elites. Their organizational power might have declined, but their control over patron-client relationship remains strong. This is also finds that the political changes were, institutionally, not strong enough to cause the significant damage to the patron-client relationship developed during the New Order era. The democratization pressure has only caused the partial diversification of elites’ political affiliation while the inter-intra elite power relations model has not changed much. This explanation provides a new contribution to the understandings on the dynamics and changes in the structure of political elites in sub-national politics in the era of democratization in Indonesia.

Animal welfare is life quality aspect of animal that relates to physical and psychological condition, as well as environment where the animals live. Statistically, populations of the dairy cows in East Java in 2017 were 273.881. Objective of the research was to study implementation of animal welfare on dairy cows in East Java. Survey was conducted from May to June 2020. Instruments used in this research were standard Office International des Epizooties (OIE) on Terrestrial Health Code 7.11 that comprised of 8 aspects: behavior, morbidity, mortality and culling, the change of weight; body condition; and dairy production, reproductive efficiency, physical appearance, response of handling, and complication post general procedure. Result for the application of animal welfare using standard Office International des Epizooties on Dairy Cow in East Java was categorized adequate/sufficient by percentage 70.73%. Among 29 indicators of measurement, 1 indicator belongs to the least category. The category showed that an area for exercise with average score was 1.38 (27.57%).

Jawa Timur merupakan salah satu wilayah Indonesia yang memiliki kondisi tektonik yang aktif. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui struktur kerak bumi di wilayah Jawa Timur meliputi: ketebalan kerak bumi, model kecepatan gelombang P dan S. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis fungsi penerima dari gempa teleseismik dengan jarak episenter 30-90° dan magnitudo ≥ 6 yang terekam pada 6 stasiun seismik broadband milik Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika (BMKG) yang berada pada 3 zona geologi utama di Jawa Timur, yaitu: stasiun TBJI dan GRJI di Zona Rembang, Stasiun LUJI dan ABJI di Zona Kendeng, serta stasiun PWJI dan GEJI di Zona Pegunungan Selatan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan ketebalan kerak pada Zona Rembang sekitar 25-28 km pada stasiun TBJI dan 23-27 km pada stasiun GRJI, dengan nilai kecepatan gelombang seismik yang relatif sedang. Pada Zona Cekungan Kendeng di bawah stasiun LUJI dan ABJI, ketebalan kerak lebih tipis yaitu 18-20 km, dengan model kecepatan gelombang seismik relatif rendah. Sedangkan pada Zona Pegunungan Selatan mempunyai ketebalan kerak lebih tebal yaitu 34-37 km di bawah stasiun PWJI dan 37-40 km di bawah stasiun GEJI, dengan kecepatan gelombang seismik lebih tinggi. Adanya penebalan dan penipisan kerak diperkirakan karena adanya efek isostasi.

The processing industry in East Java experienced a contraction due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of this research is to evaluate the performance of the processing industry and determine a strategy for recovering the performance of the processing industry to support the green economy policy in East Java. The analysis tool uses quantitative strategic planning matrix analysis. The results of the analysis are increasing cross-sectoral commitment and coordination, increasing collaboration with multi-stakeholders, improving governance of green industry programs, active communication, increasing campaigns and socialization related to green industry, increasing multi-stakeholder capacity, building a good mindset in industrial society, increasing cross-sectoral roles, and improve the performance of the processing industry. The East Java Provincial Government is expected to carry out several strategies for the development of green industries, with the following strategic sequence: increasing cross-sectoral commitment and coordination, increasing collaboration with multi-stakeholders, improving governance of green industry programs, active communication, increasing campaigns and socialization related to green industries, increasing multi-stakeholder capacity, build a good mindset in the industrial community, increase cross-sectoral roles, and improve the performance of the manufacturing industry.

The research aims to mapping the tsunami-prone areas in Watulimo District using numerical simulation methods and spatial analysis as well as compiling tsunami response planning by determining shelters and evacuation routes in a participatory manner according to the characteristics of residents local wisdom of Watulimo District using weighting analysis and network analysis with ArcGIS. The most prone area to tsunami is Prigi Village because it has the lowest topography compared to the other two villages. Determination of shelter is carried out by considering the building function, number of floors, building area, building capacity, distance from the coastline, location from the road, and building construction. Public facilities with the number of floors >1 such as flat, trade facilities; religious facilities; educational facilities; government facilities; as well as health facilities in Watulimo District can be used as shelters during tsunami. Based on the analysis, the shelters obtained can accommodate the population in tsunami-prone areas. The evacuation route can be determined by considering the distance, road width, road conditions, road class, and travel time to obtain the fastest route from settlement to the nearest shelter. The evacuation routes that can be used in Watulimo District are the existing roads. However, there is a need for road repairs in damaged/ potholed road conditions, road widening, adding new roads to facilitate the evacuation process of disaster victims to the shelter, and carrying out routine road maintenance on roads that will be used as evacuation routes, so that these roads are always in good condition.

Abstract: Musculoskeletal tumors are relatively rare, with 0.2%-0.5% of all malignant tumors in all ages. The geographic distribution of musculoskeletal tumors varies significantly around the world. This study aims to describe the musculoskeletal tumor profile in Saiful Anwar General Hospital. All data were obtained from the department of orthopaedic and traumatology database, Saiful Anwar general hospital. Thus, patients who were diagnosed with either bone tumor or soft tissue tumor between January 2011 to December 2018 were selected for the present study. The clinical-pathological conference (CPC) was carried out to ensure the validity of all the registered data. A total of 577 patients with tumors from January 2011 to December 2018 was obtained. Out of all the cases, 439 (76%) cases are bone tumors, and the remaining 138 (24%) cases are soft tissue tumors. The most frequent locations of the musculoskeletal tumors are the long bones of the thigh and lower leg. This study shows an increasing trend in musculoskeletal tumors incidence, despite decreasing numbers in several years. This result goes along with a rising trend in malignancy cases with a higher amount compared to the benign one. Moreover, MBD and osteosarcoma were found to be the most common tumor and primary bone tumors, respectively. However, the fact that there is some data loss in the study limited the study for a more accurate result. Keywords: Musculoskeletal tumor; Bone tumor; Osteosarcoma; Malang; East Java

Background: Multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDR TB) is a major public health problem marked by the Mycobacterium tuberculosis strain that is resistant to first line anti TB drugs, including rifampicin and isoniazid simultaneously. A patient confirmed as having MDR TB can transmit this form of TB to other individuals. Therefore, treatment success is the main target when addressing MDR TB. Purpose: This study aimed to assess the treatment outcomes of MDR TB patients in East Java Province from 2014 to 2017. Method: This is a quantitative-descriptive study using the secondary data of drug resistant TB patients sourced from the e-TB Manager website in the East Java Province Health Office. Results: The results show that the average MDR TB patients was 47 years old, 57.44% were male, 37.52% had a negative HIV status, 44.87% were relapse patients, 71.95% had undergone two or less previous treatments, and 69.24% had sputum culture conversion. The treatment outcomes included 161 patients (31.14%) confirmed as cured, 27 patients (5.22%) completing treatment, 174 patients (33.65%) defaulting, two patients (0.38%) confirmed as having failed treatment, and 59 patients (11.41%) dying during the treatment period. Conclusion: The treatment success rate was low and the number of defaults was high. Therefore, it is hoped that there will be support from those closest to the patient and health workers who will maintain and increase the patient's motivation to complete the treatment.

Background: Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is an infectious disease caused by the dengue virus which spreads more widely and the morbidity rate increases every year in East Java Province. DHF transmitting vector is widespread in residential areas and in public places, population density, population mobility, increasing urbanization. Purpose: This study aims to describe the number of cases, Incidence Rate (IR), Case Fatality Rate (CFR), and the peak incidence of DHF in East Java Province in 2015-2017. Method: This study is a descriptive approach study with a population that is all East Java residents who are at risk of suffering from dengue. This study uses a total population technique that involves all DHF cases recorded in the East Java Provincial Health Profile for 2015-2017. The data used are secondary data obtained from the Health Profile of East Java Province in 2015-2017, namely the number of DHF cases, gender, morbidity and mortality rates due to DHF. Data were analyzed using IR and CFR formulas. Results: The number of DHF cases in East Java in 2015 to 2017 fluctuated. DHF morbidity rates have increased in 2016 while 2017 has decreased. The mortality rate in East Java in 2015-2017 has decreased. DHF events often occur in male sex. Conclusion: DHF is a vector-borne disease with rapid spread. The occurrence of dengue hemorrhagic fever every year there is an increase in cases and deaths of almost all districts / cities in East Java.

Background: Diarrhea is still a major health problem in Indonesia. The Province of East Java ranks the second-highest number of diarrhea incidence after West Java, which reached 1,048,885 patients. The most dominant factors contributing to diarrheal diseases are water and family latrines. Purpose: This study aims to analyze the relationship between access to drinking water and proper sanitation with the incidence of diarrhea in East Java. Methods: This study was an observational study with a correlation study design. The population used was all people suffering from diarrheal diseases handled by each district in East Java Province in 2017. The method of sampling used aggregate data on the number of cases of diarrhea handled and the number of people with access to drinking water and proper sanitation per district/city in East Java province based on the East Java Health Profile 2017. The variables studied were the number of people who had access to drinking water (feasible), the number of people who had access to proper sanitation facilities (healthy latrines), and the number of diarrhea cases handled in East Java Province, with analysis techniques in the form of pearson correlation. Results: This study showed that there was a relationship between residents who had access to inadequate drinking water (p = 0.00) which had a strong relationship of 0.48 (strong enough) and there was also a relationship between residents with inadequate access to sanitation facilities (not have healthy latrines) (p = 0.00) which had a strong relationship of 0.53 (strong enough). Conclusion: There is a relationship between access to drinking water and sanitation that is not feasible with the incidence of diarrhea found in East Java.

Background: Tuberculosis in children is still found in East Java Province at 2017 with 2,749 cases of paediatric tuberculosis. The Bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) immunisation coverage and healthy houses in East Java Province increase every year. Purpose: This study aims to analyse the correlation between BCG immunisation and healthy houses with paediatric tuberculosis discovery in East Java Province during 2015–17. Methods: This study is observational with a correlation study design. The population in this study were children aged 0–14 years who suffered from tuberculosis in a district or city in East Java Province in 2015–17. Sampling of this study uses aggregate data on paediatric tuberculosis discovered in children aged 0–14 years, coverage of BCG immunisation and coverage of healthy houses in districts/cities in East Java in 2015–17 found in Health Profile of East Java Province 2015–17. The variables studied were paediatric tuberculosis in children aged 0–14 years, BCG immunisation coverage and healthy house; the analysis techniques were the Kolmogorov-Smirnov normality test and Pearson correlation. Results: This study shows that there is correlation between BCG immunisation and paediatric tuberculosis (p = 0.01, p

Background: East Java Province is the second highest province with pneumonia cases among under-five children totalling 69.17% of all the discovery target of pneumonia cases in 2016. One factor causing pneumonia is severe malnutrition (nutritional status with body weight index according to age which is equal to Zscore < -3 SD). Purpose: This study is aimed at analyzing the correlation between severe malnutrition number and pneumonia cases among under five-year old children per regency/city in East Java. Methods: This type of research was an analytical observational study using a population correlational design. This study used the total population of the number of pneumonia cases and severe malnutrition cases among under five-year old children from all regencies/cities in East Java in 2015-2017. The test used was the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test as a data normality test and Spearman's correlation test to determine whether there was a correlation. Results: This study showed a positive correlation between the number of severe malnutrition and the number of pneumonia cases among under five-year old children per regency/city in East Java (p = < 0.01, p < 0.05) with a moderate correlation (Spearman’s correlation = 0.41). Conclusion: The number of severe malnutrition cases has a positive correlation with the number of pneumonia cases among under five-year old children per regency/city in East Java in 2015-2017. Effective countermeasures of severe malnutrition are likely to help reduce the number of pneumonia cases among children under five years of age per regency/city in East Java.

Background: An increase in diphtheria cases has occurred in East Java Province since 2011. The resistance level to diphtheria is considered as the most important cause. Purpose: The study aims analyzed the immunity level immunity to diphtheria in adolescents aged 16-18 years old in Bangkalan and Kediri Districts. Methods: This study was a cross-sectional study, conducted on students in eleven grade of senior high schools (SMAN) from both districts. The inclusion criteria included being 16-18 years old and students in eleven grades of senior high schools in Bangkalan and Kediri. This study was approved by their parents/guardians. The exclusion criteria included immunocompromised students and those who have a history of diphtheria infection. The data were obtained from 204 samples, 89 samples in Bangkalan, and 115 samples in Kediri. The antidiphtheria antibodies examination was carried out by the Vero cell method. The antibodies levels were grouped according to WHO standard, consist of vulnerable, basic, full, and long-term. Further analysis was done with 2 tiers of immunity, consist of immune and vulnerable. Results: The immunization coverage for basic and booster diphtheria vaccine is better in Kediri than in Bangkalan. In contrast, levels of antibodies samples in Bangkalan District is better. The participants who were immune in Bangkalan were higher than those in Kediri (91% vs. 44.3%). Conclusion: The immunity adolescents of Bangkalan is higher than in adolescent Kediri District. The adolescents in Kediri have a greater risk to get infected by the disease

This research intend to discuss about public policy from East Java province government to improve the quality of Islamic religious education. The results of this study were: (1) East Java Provincial Government used policy formulation model in the name "elite deliberative democratic ". A policy formulation model that combines several theories of policy formulation, there are elite, deliberative theory, and democratic theory. (2) The policy formulation was done through several stages: They are reading of the reality; preparation of the general policy of long-term development; arrangement of short-term development policy; the preparation and stipulation of Regional Regulations, and the Governor Regulation on Translation of APBD; (3). The government of East Java province has under graduate Scholarship program (S.1) for Madrasah diniyyah teachers. Abstrak Penelitian ini bermaksud membahas tentang kebijakan publik dari pemerintah provinsi Jawa Timur untuk meningkatkan kualitas pendidikan agama Islam. Hasil penelitian ini adalah: (1) Pemerintah Provinsi Jawa Timur menggunakan model perumusan kebijakan dengan nama "elite deliberative demokratis". Sebuah model perumusan kebijakan yang menggabungkan beberapa teori perumusan kebijakan, ada elit, teori deliberatif, dan teori demokrasi. (2) Perumusan kebijakan dilakukan melalui beberapa tahap: Mereka membaca realitas; persiapan kebijakan umum pembangunan jangka panjang; pengaturan kebijakan pembangunan jangka pendek; persiapan dan penetapan Peraturan Daerah, dan Peraturan Gubernur tentang Penerjemahan APBD; (3) Pemerintah provinsi Jawa Timur memiliki program sarjana (S.1) untuk guru Madrasah diniyyah

Background: Indonesia is the third highest contributor to leprosy in the world. The prevalence of Pausi Basiler (PB) type leprosy in East Java has increased from 2015-2017, but the success rate of treatment is more common in PB leprosy compared to Multi Basiler leprosy (MB). Purpose: This study aimed to analyze the relationship between the numbers of PB type leprosy incidence with the success rate of leprosy treatment in East Java in 2015-2017. Methods: This study was an observational analytic study with cross-sectional design. The population used is leprosy patients who have successfully treated by leprosy therapy in East Java which was recorded from 2015 to 2017. The population sampling technique was performed in this study. Moreover, univariate and bivariate analysis were used. Specifically, Spearman correlation test was part of bivariate analysis. Results: This study showed the success presentation of leprosy treatment in male patients has increased for three consecutive years, namely 59.07% in 2015, 59.74% in 2016, and 63.96% in 2017. Oppositely, the success rate of leprosy in the female group decreased each year. There is a significant relationship between the number of PB type leprosy cases with the success rate of leprosy treatment in East Java from 2015 to 2017 (p= 0.00; p

Background: East Java Province is the top three with the highest number of childhood pneumonia and the highest death from pneumonia in Indonesia. One of the factors that can prevent childhood pneumonia is to provide exclusive breastfeeding. Purpose: This study aimed to analyze the effect of giving exclusive breastfeeding on the incidence of childhood pneumonia in East Java Province in 2016. Methods: The design of this study used cross sectional method. This research is an observational analytic study using secondary data from the Health Profile of East Java Province publication in 2016. The population used is the East Java Province Health Profile data in 2012 to 2016, while the sample is the East Java Province Health Profile data in 2016. Data collection conducted in May 2018. The locations used in this study were 38 districts/ cities in East Java Province. Data analysis used a linear regression test with the dependent variable of childhood pneumonia cases and independent variables exclusive breastfeeding. Results: This study shows that there is an effect of exclusive breastfeeding on the incidence of childhood pneumonia with p value= 0.00 (p< 0.05). Exclusive breastfeeding has an effect of 34.70% on the incidence of childhood pneumonia with a strong moderate relationship. Conclusion: There is an influence between exclusive breastfeeding on the incidence of childhood pneumonia in East Java Province in 2016.

Indonesia Basic Health Research Data in 2018 shows that smokers in the 10-18 years age group increased to 9.1%. The phenomenon of smoking in adolescents in Indonesia has touched on educational institutions such as pesantren, where students are found to have smoked from an early age. This study aims to review the influence of students' perceptions of cigarettes based on smoking habits, cigarette advertisements and the image of cigarette companies to the smoking behaviour in students at Lirboyo Islamic Boarding School. This research is a quantitative study with a cross-sectional study design using 40 students as research samples. We use modified structured questionnaire from the Smoke-Free Agents. Research shows 62.5% of students are active smokers. Based on the bivariate test, we found a relationship between perceptions of smoking habits and perceptions of cigarette advertising (p-value 0.05). This study found a high percentage of students who smoked in the Lirboyo Islamic Boarding School. Students' perceptions of smoking habits and students' perceptions of cigarette advertisements are related to students' smoking behaviour. The denormalization of cigarette products needs to be carried out by Islamic Boarding School Management to control smokers among students and prevent adolescent’s smoker.

Abstract: Primary tumours of musculoskeletal tissues are relatively uncommomn, they represent only 1% of all malignancies in all ages groups, but the incidence is arising each year. Many medical research and experiments were developed to found appropriate methods of treatment for tumor patients. Mortality rates of malignant musculoskeletal tumor patients still higher than benign cases. The aim of this study was to describe the incidence, age and sex distribution, location and histology of benign and malignant musculoskeletal tumors diagnosed and/or treated at a tertiary referral Orthopaedic Department serving the East Java. This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of medical records of all patients diagnosed and/or treated for any type of musculoskeletal tumor at Orthopaedic and Traumatology Department of Saiful Anwar Hospital, in the period from January 2011 to December 2017. This study resulted there were 531 cases of musculoskeletal tumor, within the characteristic: the peak of incidence occurs in the patient older than 60; the highest case was Osteosarcoma (92 cases); and breast metastases (40 cases) distributed highest mortality rates for metastastic bone tumor patients. Result of this study was people at age 60 and older have higher risk for Muskulokeletal Tumor, and Osteosarcoma was the most frequent case. Keywords: Musculoskeletal tumor, data based system, incidence, East Java

ABSTRACT Background: The south-east Asia region had contributed the highest cases of diphtheria in the worldwide, and Indonesia had the second highest insidence of diphtheria in the worldwide after India. In East Java, there were 348 diphtheria cases had been reported with case fatality rate (CFR) of 1.72. Purpose: This study aimed to analyze the influence of immunization and population density on the prevalence of diphtheria in East Java Province in 2016. Methods: The design of this observational study was cross-sectional. The population of this study was all patients diagnosed with diphtheria from 29 districts in 9 cities of East Java. Data were obtained from the health profile of East Java in 2016. The independent variables were complete primary immunization and population density, while the dependent variable was the prevalence of diphtheria. Data were analyzed through multiple linear regression. Results: The prevalence of diphtheria in East Java was low or 8.91 per 1000,000 in 2016. Two factors determined the prevalence of diphtheria, namely complete primary immunization and population density (p=0.01). Conclusion: Both complete primary immunization and population density had a significant influence on the prevalence of diphtheria. Keywords: diphtheria; immunization; east java; population density

ABSTRACT Background: Measles cases in Indonesia amounted to 12.681 cases in 2016 and East Java Province was the region with the highest number of measles, which amounted to 3765 cases. The coverage of measles immunization in infants has met the target, but the coverage of measles immunization in toddlers has not met the target. Purpose: The aim of this study is to analyze the relationship between measles immunization in infants and toddlers with the number of cases of measles per district/city in East Java Province in 2016. Methods: This study was an observational study with cross sectional study design. The population was all people who suffered from measles per district/city in East Java Province. The sampling method was using the total population. The variables studied were the number of measles immunization in infants and toddlers and the number of cases of measles, while analysis technique used Pearson correlation. Results: This research showed that there was a relationship between infant immunization (p = 0,04) who had weak relationship and no relationship between immunization of toddler (p = 0,92) who had weak relationship with number of measles cases. Conclusion: There was a relationship between measles immunization in infants with number of measles case in East Java Province.

East Java as one of the National food barns has been able to contribute substantially in the fulfillment of National food needs through the development of food crops and horticulture sub-sector. With the potential and achievement of agriculture sector owned by East Java Province, it can improve competitiveness and improve farmer’s income. But behind the potential of this great opportunity development in agroindustry in east java still leaves homework for the Government of East Java Province whether it is the problem from theexternal or internal. This research tries to identify problems in agroindustry development inEast java with Analytic Network Proccess (ANP) combined with Delphi method, including strategic solution that try to offer. ANP is a new supermatrix basedmodel developed by Saaty (2001) to map complex issues into a structured framework. Problems and strategies formed consist of several subcriteria related problems: 1) policy 2) market 3) finance 4) infrastructure 5) Research and Development and 6) Production and processing. The results show that the 3 main criteria that are key to agroindustry development in East Java are policy, infrastructure and finance. Therefore, all stakeholders including Bank Indonesia need to be concerned in these 3 issues, in order to achieve the competitive growth of East Java’s global economy.

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Potato Cyst Nematodes (PCN), Globodera rostochiensis has noted to be a devastated pest on potato in Indonesia. It is listed as the A2 pest by Plant Quarantine of Republik Indonesia, and it was also being a highly concerned plant parasitic nematode species worlwide. Therefore, both intensive and extensive surveys should be done to monitor the spread of PCN, especially in East Java as one of the centre of potato plantations in Indonesia. The aim of this study was to study the distribution of PCN in four potato plantations in East Java, i.e. Batu, Magetan, Probolinggo, and Pasuruan which were located between 1,205 to 2,063 m above the sea level. Extraction and isolation of cysts from soil samples was done using Baunacke method, and it was followed by identification of the nematodes using morphological and molecular approaches according to Baldwin and Mundo-Ocampo. The results showed that PCN was found on all sampling sites, i.e. Batu (Sumber Brantas, Jurang Kuali, Tunggangan, Junggo, Brakseng); Magetan (Dadi, Sarangan, Singolangu); Probolinggo (Tukul, Pandansari, Ledokombo, Sumberanom, Wonokerto, Ngadas), Pasuruan (Wonokerto, Tosari, Ledoksari, Ngadiwono). Magetan and Pasuruan were noted as new infested areas in East Java. Both morphological and molecular methods showed that the species found on all sites was Globodera rostochiensis. Intisari Nematoda Sista Kentang (NSK), Globodera rostochiensis telah tercatat sebagai hama yang menghancurkan tanaman kentang di Indonesia. NSK terdaftar sebagai Organisme Pengganggu Tumbuhan Karantina golongan A2 oleh Badan Karantina Pertanian Republik Indonesia, dan juga merupakan spesies nematoda parasit tanaman yang sangat merugikan di seluruh dunia. Oleh karena itu, baik survei intensif maupun ekstensif harus dilakukan untuk memantau penyebaran NSK, terutama di Jawa Timur sebagai salah satu sentra tanaman kentang di Indonesia. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mempelajari distribusi NSK pada empat daerah sentra penanaman kentang di Jawa Timur, yaitu Batu, Magetan, Probolinggo, dan Pasuruan yang terletak antara 1.205 sampai 2.063 m di atas permukaan laut. Ekstraksi dan isolasi sista NSK dari sampel tanah dilakukan dengan metode Baunacke, dan dilanjutkan dengan identifikasi secara morfologi dan molekuler menurut Baldwin dan Mundo-Ocampo. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa NSK ditemukan di semua lokasi pengambilan sampel, yaitu Batu (Sumber Brantas, Jurang Kuali, Tunggangan, Junggo, Brakseng); Magetan (Dadi, Sarangan, Singolangu); Probolinggo (Tukul, Pandansari, Ledokombo, Sumberanom, Wonokerto, Ngadas), Pasuruan (Wonokerto, Tosari, Ledoksari, Ngadiwono). Magetan dan Pasuruan tercatat sebagai daerah sebaran baru di Jawa Timur. Hasil identifikasi secara morfologi dan molekuler menunjukkan bahwa spesies yang ditemukan di semua lokasi adalah Globodera rostochiensis.

The majority of the Indonesian population, especially in East Java live in rural areas, and most are farmers. Then to the economic development of rural farmers as a unity between the agricultural sector and small industrial group aimed at empowering agroindustry. Agroindustry is the best answer, since it relates to the rear (backward linkage) and the linkage to the front (forward linkage) long. Empowerment of agroindustry in itself is not easy, a lot of problems to deal with, among others: (1) the ability of the technology used is not optimal, (2) the quality of human resources (HR), (3) coordination and synchronization institutional program, (4) creation of business climate conducive. The government has implemented fiscal policy to encourage the use of small industrial products in order to export, encouraging the growth of business-incubation as well as the development of “ancillary industries ‘’ through tax relief, monetary policy to support the financing of capital investments and working capital through credit schemes specifically tailor our flexible, development financial institutions, administrative and real for the simplification of licensing procedures and investment, import-export procedures, joint development with major industry in the country and abroad, the implementation of the Small Business Act, especially in managing the trade patterns and the pattern of payments through the backup market. If these four indicators are met and determined government policy will spur the growth of the local economy, so it could eventually resolve the problems in the village.

Research on Local Revenue, General Allocation Fund, and Special Allocation Fund on economic growth, poverty, unemployment, and Gini ratios have often been done. However, there is no research that uses these three funding sources as latent variables that have a simultaneous influence on quality economic growth variables as a latent variable consisting of economic growth, poverty, unemployment and the Gini ratio as constructs. Similarly, capital expenditure as a moderating variable will be seen as influencing the source of funds. East Java is a province with 38 districts/cities where the level of economic growth is quite high and even exceeds the level of national economic growth. But the level of poverty, unemployment, and inequality is also very high. This study aims to look at the effect of decentralized funding sources on Quality Economic Growth in East Java. The data used comes from the Directorate General of Financial Balance of the Ministry of Finance in 2012 - 2015 for realization’s fund, and from the Central Bureau of Statistics for economic growth, poverty, unemployment, and Gini ratios. This study uses Partial Least Squares (PLS) in analyzing data, where quality economic growth becomes endogenous latent variables that are influenced by funding sources as exogenous latent variables and capital expenditure as a moderating variable. The results of the analysis show that the source of funds does not significantly affect quality economic growth even though the direction is positive. Likewise, capital expenditure cannot strengthen the influence of funding sources on quality economic growth. From this research, it is expected that the regional government can reanalyze the allocation of funds and the realization of regional expenditures which are prioritized for public service spending so that the triple track strategy can be implemented properly and achieve quality economic growth.

This paper aims to find out total productivity factor (TFP) at east java manufacture by using Stochastic Frontier Analysis. By using industrial survey data at firm level between 2009 and 2010, this paper obtains that east java manufacture has slight negative changes (0,0000006). Furthermore, this paper obtains the result of scale and technological efficiency changes in Cob-Douglas production function for manufacture industry at East Java are 10,13 percent and 3,24 percent, respectively. The average of TFP in east java manufacture industry is 13,4. Textile industry and tobacco industry have lower TFP than other industry, which are 12,8 for each industry. While, metal industry has high TFP than among other industries (15.0). To improve productivity of manufacture industry in East Java, production scale and connectivity between regions need to be lifted up.

East Java province is one of the rice granary and is an important national food buffer. In 2014, East Java targeted to contribute 60% of 10 million tons national surplus in P2NB program. Objective of this research is to predict rice availability in 2013 to 2020 and analyze East Java readiness on achieving the target. Research steps starts from cause-effect diagram, stock and flow diagram, math formulation inside the diagram, verification and validation of the model, and simulation of developed model. Result of dynamical system indicates availability of rice in 2014 is 3,944,377.7 tons. With such availability, East Java target to contribute 60% of 10 million national rice surplus in 2014 cannot be achieved.