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Heatwaves and summer droughts across Europe are likely to intensify under anthropogenic global warming thereby affecting ecological and societal systems. To place modern trends and extremes in the context of past natural variability, annually resolved and absolutely dated climate reconstructions are needed. Here, we present a network of 153 yew (Taxus baccata L.) tree-ring width (TRW) series from 22 sites in southern England that cover the past 310 years. Significant positive correlations were found between TRW chronologies and both April–July precipitation totals (r > 0.7) and July drought indices (r > 0.59) back to 1901 CE (p < 0.05). We used a suite of residual and standard TRW chronologies to reconstruct interannual to multi-decadal spring–summer precipitation and mid-summer drought variability over western Europe, respectively. Our yew hydroclimate reconstructions capture the majority of reported summer droughts and pluvials back to 1710 CE. Clusters of severe drought spells occurred in the second half of the 18th and mid-twentieth century. Our study suggests that the frequency and intensity of recent hydroclimate extremes over western Europe are likely still within the range of past natural variability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Key message: The temperature sensitivity of maximum latewood density measurements in pine trees from a high-elevation site in the Spanish Pyrenees increases with tree age. Detrending modulates the intensity of the effect. Tree-rings are the prime archive for high-resolution climate information over the past two millennia. However, the accuracy of annually resolved reconstructions from tree-rings can be constrained by what is known as climate signal age effects (CSAE), encompassing changes in the sensitivity of tree growth to climate over their lifespans. Here, we evaluate CSAE in Pinus uncinata from an upper tree line site in the Spanish central Pyrenees, Lake Gerber, which became a key location for reconstructing western Mediterranean summer temperatures at annual resolution. We use tree-ring width (TRW) and maximum latewood density (MXD) measurements from 50 pine trees with individual ages ranging from 7 to 406 years. For MXD, temperature sensitivity increases significantly (p < 0.01) with tree age from r = 0.31 in juvenile rings with a cambial age < 100 years to r = 0.49 in adult rings > 100 years. Similar CSAE are not detected in TRW, likely affected by the overall lower temperature signal (rTRW = 0.45 vs. rMXD = 0.81 from 1951 to 2020). The severity of CSAE is influenced by the approach used to remove ontogenetic trends, highlighting the need to assess and consider potential biases during tree-ring standardization. Our findings reveal CSAE to add uncertainty in MXD-based climate reconstructions in the Mediterranean. We recommend studying CSAE by sampling diverse age classes in dendroclimatic field campaigns. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Qin and Western Han dynasties (221 BCE to 24 CE) represent an era of societal prosperity in China. However, due to a lack of high-resolution paleoclimate records it is still unclear whether the agricultural boost documented for this period was associated with more favorable climatic conditions. Here, multiparameter analysis of annually resolved tree-ring records and process-based physiological modeling provide evidence of stable and consistently humid climatic conditions during 270 to 77 BCE in northern China. Precipitation in the Asian summer monsoon region during the Qin-Western Han Dynasties was ~18 to 34% higher compared to present-day conditions. In shifting agricultural and pastoral boundaries ~60 to 100 km northwestward, possibility up to 200 km at times, persistently wetter conditions arguably increased food production, contributing to the socioeconomic prosperity around 2,200 y ago. A gradual wetting trend in the western part of arid northwestern China since the 1980s resembles the historical climate analogue, suggesting that similar benefits for regional environmental and agricultural systems may reoccur under current climate change, at least in the near term. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fallen leaves and their decomposition directly deposit leaf wax n-alkanes into sediments, which can be used to identify local flora. These n-alkanes are important for studying past vegetation and climate, but their distribution in sediments must be known. Aeolian sand n-alkanes are particularly important for understanding paleoclimates in arid regions, despite the challenges of extraction due to their extremely low abundance. To investigate the preservation of plant leaf wax n-alkanes in deserts, we analyzed n-alkanes in aeolian sands from the Northern Ulan Buh Desert (UBD), China, and compared them to the surrounding vegetation. We calculated the total n-alkane concentration (ΣALK), average chain length (ACL21–35), and carbon preference index (CPI21–35). In the Northern UBD, aeolian sand n-alkanes have lower ΣALK, indicating microbial degradation. The eastern aeolian sand has lower CPI21–35 and ACL21–35 than the adjacent vegetation, whereas the western sand values are consistent with the plants, likely due to the transport of plant-derived materials by wind and water from the nearby mountains. Our study shows that sedimentary n-alkane signatures are not only determined by local vegetation but also influenced by environmental factors like temperature and precipitation. Additionally, local deposition processes play a significant role in determining the properties of these n-alkanes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Background Tree rings play an important role in reconstructing past climate. Growth differences among individual trees due to microclimatic conditions and local disturbances are averaged in developing tree-ring chronologies. Here, we addressed the problem of averaging by investigating growth synchrony in individual trees. We used tree-ring data of 1046 juniper trees from 32 sites on the Tibetan Plateau and 538 pine trees from 20 sites in the subtropical region of eastern China and calculated the tree-growth synchrony index (TGS). Results Our results showed that both the TGS index and tree-ring index could be indicators of interannual variation of climatic factors. The TGS index identified 20% more climatic extremes than tree-ring index over the last 50 years that high synchrony indicates extreme climate forcing in controlling forest growth. Conclusions The TGS index can identify extreme climatic events effectively than tree-ring index. This study provides a novel perspective for climate reconstruction, especially in the realm of tree growth response to extreme climate. Our findings contribute to understanding of the spatiotemporal dynamics and the causes of historical climate extremes and provide guidance for protecting trees from climate extremes in the future.

Advances in reconstructing the East Asian monsoon have provided important insights into the natural climate variability in Asia during the pre-instrumental period. However, there are still unresolved paleoclimate issues that necessitate the use of geological proxy data to further our understanding of past climate changes. This study focused on core B13, located in the muddy area of the North Yellow Sea (NYS), to investigate the evolutionary history over the past 1500 years and reconstruct the records of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and Yellow Sea warm current (YSWC). The mean grain size of sediment ranged from 4.2 Φ to 5.6 Φ, with the sorting coefficient ranging from 1.9 to 2.2, indicating poor sorting. The C–M pattern showed a limited range of values, with the M values being between 33 and 83 μm and the C values being between 165 and 287 μm, suggesting uniform-suspension transport. The L* index ranged from 40.41 to 44.12, while the a* and b* indexes ranged from 0.55 to 1.78 and 2.86 to 5.94, respectively. A stable and relatively strong sedimentary environment is indicated through a comprehensive analysis of the C–M plot, triangular plot, the relationship between the mean grain size and sorting, and the changes in grain-size and color parameters. The sedimentary evolution in the muddy area of the NYS over the past 1500 years can be categorized into three distinct stages. In this study, proxies for the EASM and YSWC were extracted using the VPCA method from the sediment grain size and diffuse spectral reflectance (DSR) data, respectively. The reliability of these proxies has been confirmed through comparison with other validated proxies. The results indicated that the strength of the EASM and YSWC also exhibited three stages, corresponding to the Dark Ages Cold Period (DACP), Medieval Warm Period (MWP), and Little Ice Age (LIA), respectively. On a centennial scale, the correlation between the EASM and YSWC was predominantly negative. This research validates the reliability of the VPCA method for paleoclimate reconstruction, contributes important climate records in a special muddy area, and provides a new perspective on how to eliminate temporal errors in verifying the correlation between the two climate systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Tree rings play an important role in reconstructing past climate. Growth differences among individual trees due to microclimatic conditions and local disturbances are averaged in developing tree-ring chronologies. Here, we addressed the problem of averaging by investigating growth synchrony in individual trees. We used tree-ring data of 1046 juniper trees from 32 sites on the Tibetan Plateau and 538 pine trees from 20 sites in the subtropical region of eastern China and calculated the tree-growth synchrony index (TGS). Results: Our results showed that both the TGS index and tree-ring index could be indicators of interannual variation of climatic factors. The TGS index identified 20% more climatic extremes than tree-ring index over the last 50 years that high synchrony indicates extreme climate forcing in controlling forest growth. Conclusions: The TGS index can identify extreme climatic events effectively than tree-ring index. This study provides a novel perspective for climate reconstruction, especially in the realm of tree growth response to extreme climate. Our findings contribute to understanding of the spatiotemporal dynamics and the causes of historical climate extremes and provide guidance for protecting trees from climate extremes in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Europe experienced severe heat waves during the last decade, which impacted ecological and societal systems and are likely to increase under projected global warming. A better understanding of pre-industrial warm-season changes is needed to contextualize these recent trends and extremes. Here, we introduce a network of 352 living and relict larch trees (Larix decidua Mill.) from the Matter and Simplon valleys in the Swiss Alps to develop a maximum latewood density (MXD) chronology calibrating at r = 0.8 (p > 0.05, 1901–2017 CE) against May–August temperatures over Western Europe. Machine learning is applied to identify historical wood samples aligning with growth characteristics of sites from elevations above 1900 m asl to extend the modern part of the chronology back to 881 CE. The new Alpine record reveals warmer conditions in the tenth century, followed by an extended cold period during the late Medieval times, a less-pronounced Little Ice Age culminating in the 1810s, and prolonged anthropogenic warming until present. The Samalas eruption likely triggered the coldest reconstructed summer in Western Europe in 1258 CE (-2.32 °C), which is in line with a recently published MXD-based reconstruction from the Spanish Pyrenees. Whereas the new Alpine reconstruction is potentially constrained in the lowest frequency, centennial timescale domain, it overcomes variance biases in existing state-of-the-art reconstructions and sets a new standard in site-control of historical samples and calibration/ verification statistics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reconstructing historical climate change from deep ground temperature measurements in cold regions is often complicated by the presence of permafrost. Existing methods are typically unable to account for latent heat effects due to the freezing and thawing of the active layer. In this work, we propose a novel method for reconstructing historical ground surface temperature (GST) from borehole temperature measurements that accounts for seasonal thawing and refreezing of the active layer. Our method couples a recently developed fast numerical modeling scheme for two‐phase heat transport in permafrost soils with an ensemble‐based method for approximate Bayesian inference. We evaluate our method on two synthetic test cases covering both cold and warm permafrost conditions as well as using real data from a 100 m deep borehole on Sardakh Island in northeastern Siberia. Our analysis of the Sardakh Island borehole data confirms previous findings that GST in the region have likely risen by 5–9°C between the pre‐industrial period of 1750–1855 and 2012. We also show that latent heat effects due to seasonal freeze‐thaw have a substantial impact on the resulting reconstructed surface temperatures. We find that neglecting the thermal dynamics of the active layer can result in biases of roughly −1°C in cold conditions (i.e., mean annual ground temperature below −5°C) and as much as −2.6°C in warmer conditions where substantial active layer thickening (>200 cm) has occurred. Our results highlight the importance of considering seasonal freeze‐thaw in GST reconstructions from permafrost boreholes. Plain Language Summary: Long‐term changes in the temperature of the atmosphere are recorded in the solid Earth due to the insulating properties of soil and rock. As a result, it is possible to estimate past changes in temperature at the interface between the ground and the atmosphere by measuring ground temperatures deep below Earth's surface. In cold regions, the presence of permafrost, that is, ground that remains frozen throughout the year, complicates such analyses due to the effects of water freezing and thawing in the soil. In this work, we present a new method for reconstructing past changes in ground surface temperature from boreholes situated in permafrost using a computational model of heat flow that accounts for these effects. We evaluate our method on both synthetic test cases as well as real data from a 100 m deep borehole in northeastern Siberia. Our results demonstrate that annual freezing and thawing of water near the surface has a substantial impact on the reconstructed ground surface temperature (GST), especially in regions where permafrost is thawing. The proposed method is the first to be widely applicable to ground temperatures measured in permafrost and thus constitutes a valuable new tool for understanding past and present climate change in cold regions. Key Points: We propose a new method to estimate historical ground surface temperatures from boreholes in permafrost using Bayesian inverse modelingWe evaluate our method on both synthetic test cases for cold and warm conditions as well as real data from a 100 m deep borehole in SiberiaWe find that seasonal freezing and thawing of the active layer has a significant impact on the reconstructed ground surface temperatures [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Speleothem fluorescence can provide insights into past vegetation dynamics and stalagmite chronology. However, its origin and especially the formation of fluorescent laminations in stalagmites are poorly understood. We conducted a year-long monthly monitoring of drip water fluorescence in La Vallina Cave (northern Iberian Peninsula) and compared the results to drip water chemistry and active speleothems from the same sites. Drip waters were analyzed using fluorescence spectroscopy and parallel factor analysis (PARAFAC). The resulting five-component model indicates contributions from vegetation, microbial activity, and bedrock. Intra-site fluorescence variability is mainly influenced by changes in overlying vegetation, water reservoir time, and respiration rates. Contrary to prevailing views, we find no systematic increase in drip water fluorescence during rainy conditions across drip sites and seasonal variations in drip water fluorescence are absent at a location where present-day speleothem layers form. Our findings challenge the notion of a higher abundance of humic-like fluorescence during the rainy season as the primary cause for layer formation and suggest additional controls on drip water fluorescence, such as bedrock interaction and microbial reprocessing. We also propose that growth rate may control the dilation of the fluorescence signal in stalagmites, indicating other potential mechanisms for fluorescent layer formation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fallen leaves and their decomposition directly deposit leaf wax n-alkanes into sediments, which can be used to identify local flora. These n-alkanes are important for studying past vegetation and climate, but their distribution in sediments must be known. Aeolian sand n-alkanes are particularly important for understanding paleoclimates in arid regions, despite the challenges of extraction due to their extremely low abundance. To investigate the preservation of plant leaf wax n-alkanes in deserts, we analyzed n-alkanes in aeolian sands from the Northern Ulan Buh Desert (UBD), China, and compared them to the surrounding vegetation. We calculated the total n-alkane concentration (ΣALK), average chain length (ACL21–35), and carbon preference index (CPI21–35). In the Northern UBD, aeolian sand n-alkanes have lower ΣALK, indicating microbial degradation. The eastern aeolian sand has lower CPI21–35 and ACL21–35 than the adjacent vegetation, whereas the western sand values are consistent with the plants, likely due to the transport of plant-derived materials by wind and water from the nearby mountains. Our study shows that sedimentary n-alkane signatures are not only determined by local vegetation but also influenced by environmental factors like temperature and precipitation. Additionally, local deposition processes play a significant role in determining the properties of these n-alkanes.

Long-term climate records which help decipher past climate variability and its impact are scarce in the tough terrain of the Himalayan region. Therefore, in order to fill the climate data gap and understand the glacier climate linkage, we developed a 231 year long (1785–2015 CE) March–June temperature record using ring-width chronology of Himalayan fir (Abies pindrow (Royle ex D.Don) Royle) for the Din Gad valley, Dokriani glacier region, Uttarkashi, Uttarakhand, in the Western Himalaya. The Din Gad, originating from the Dokriani glacier, is a meltwater river contributing to Bhagirathi catchment in the headwaters of the socio-economically vital Ganga River. The 21-year running mean of the temperature record showed 1978–1998 CE as the coldest period followed by 1925–1945 CE, and 1890–1910 CE as the warmest period followed by 1946–1966 CE over the entire time series. The reconstruction matches well with tree-ring based temperature records available from the Garhwal Himalaya. It also shows similarity to tree-ring based temperature reconstructions from the Western Himalaya, Nepal, Tibetan Plateau and Bhutan, thus displaying a regional scale climate signal. The low frequency fluctuation patterns of the March–June temperature also matches with Asia and Northern hemisphere temperature records. Reconstructed March–June temperature record showed a statistically negligible warming temperature trend during 1901–1989 CE in the 20th century. It, however, captured a warming spike from 1990s CE which continues rising into the 21st century, which is also evident in the Northern hemisphere temperature record. Moreover, temperature rise is not anomalous in the past 231 years and well within range of the rest of the series. The present temperature record exclusively from the glacier region revealed a strong linkage with the benchmark Dokriani glacier's winter mass balance (November–April) revealing mass loss (gain) episodes occurred in warm (cool) phases. This first such record from the glacier valleys in Ganga headwaters would be of great value at providing insight into past climate variability and glacier behaviour with respect to climate change in long term perspective, and thus would provide valuable information for water resource management in light of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The longleaf pine (Pinus palustris Mill.) and related ecosystem is an icon of the southeastern United States (US). Once covering an estimated 37 million ha from Texas to Florida to Virginia, the near-extirpation of, and subsequent restoration efforts for, the species has been well-documented over the past ca. 100 years. Although longleaf pine is one of the longest-lived tree species in the southeastern US—with documented ages of over 400 years—its use has not been reviewed in the field of dendrochronology. In this paper, we review the utility of longleaf pine tree-ring data within the applications of four primary, topical research areas: climatology and paleoclimate reconstruction, fire history, ecology, and archeology/cultural studies. Further, we highlight knowledge gaps in these topical areas, for which we introduce the Longleaf Tree-Ring Network (LTRN). The overarching purpose of the LTRN is to coalesce partners and data to expand the scientific use of longleaf pine tree-ring data across the southeastern US. As a first example of LTRN analytics, we show that the development of seasonwood chronologies (earlywood width, latewood width, and total width) enhances the utility of longleaf pine tree-ring data, indicating the value of these seasonwood metrics for future studies. We find that at 21 sites distributed across the species' range, latewood width chronologies outperform both their earlywood and total width counterparts in mean correlation coefficient (RBAR = 0.55, 0.46, 0.52, respectively). Strategic plans for increasing the utility of longleaf pine dendrochronology in the southeastern US include [1] saving remnant material (e.g., stumps, logs, and building construction timbers) from decay, extraction, and fire consumption to help extend tree-ring records, and [2] developing new chronologies in LTRN spatial gaps to facilitate broad-scale analyses of longleaf pine ecosystems within the context of the topical groups presented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Annually resolved temperature records spanning the past few centuries are limited in Southwest China. In this paper, we present a robust 250-year winter minimum temperature reconstruction based on the tree rings of Abies georgei Orr from Luoji Mountain, Southwest China. The tree rings exhibit significant correlations with winter minimum temperatures (Tmin) from the previous November to the current March (pNov–cMar). Based on this relationship, we reconstructed pNov-cMar Tmin from 1765 to 2014. This reconstruction accounts for 37.8% of the Tmin variance during the instrumental 1960–2014 period. Our reconstruction reveals five warm periods (1765–1785, 1795–1804, 1827–1883, 1901–1907, 1989–2014) and four cold periods (1786–1794, 1805–1826, 1884–1900, 1908–1988) over the past 250 years. Spectral analyses revealed several significant interannual (2.3–2.4a, 3.9–4.2a, 8.9–9.7a) and interdecadal (23.0–28.9a) cycles in our reconstruction series. Both spatial correlation analysis and the inter-comparison of paleoclimate records revealed that the winter Tmin reconstruction had significant positive correlations with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), with relatively consistent warm and cold periods in their variations over the past 250 years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Global warming has exacerbated the instability of the climate and has led to the frequent occurrence of extreme cold and warm events. The complex geography of the high-latitude region of China's monsoon-continental transition zone makes it extremely sensitive to climate response, understanding temperature changes over long periods of time is crucial to revealing trends in climate change trends. In this study, we constructed a standardized tree-ring width chronology of Korean spruce growing in this area from 1845 to 2016 and used it to analyzed the response of the radial growth of Korean spruce to climatic factors such as temperature and precipitation. The results show that the annual mean temperature was the dominant climatic factor affecting the growth of Korean spruce. Hence, we reconstructed the annual mean temperature series of this region spanning the past 172 years. The analysis results show that the study area experienced five warm periods and five cold periods in the past 172 years. Cold years were dominant before 1960s, while temperature continuously rose and changed drastically in the early twenty-first century. The reconstructed annual mean temperature series has variability cycles of 3a, 7a, 10–12a, 15–22a and 30–40a. The results of this reconstruction enrich the tree-ring database in the representative regions of the monsoon-continental climate transition zone in China and provide a reference for systematically understanding the climate change patterns in the representative regions of the transition zone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study assessed the climate conditions that caused the tropical Zongo Glacier (16° S, Bolivia) to reach its Little Ice Age (LIA) maximum extent in the late 17th century. We carried out sensitivity analyses of the annual surface mass balance to different physically coherent climate scenarios constrained by information taken from paleoclimate proxies and sensitivity studies of past glacier advances. These scenarios were constrained by a 1.1 K cooling and a 20% increase in annual precipitation compared to the current climate. Seasonal precipitation changes were constructed using shuffled input data for the model: measurements of air temperature and relative humidity, precipitation, wind speed, incoming short and longwave radiation fluxes, and assessed using a distributed energy balance model. They were considered plausible if conditions close to equilibrium glacier-wide mass balance were obtained. Results suggest that on top of a 1.1 K cooling and ${\sim }$20% increase in annual precipitation, only two seasonal precipitation patterns allow LIA equilibrium: evenly distributed precipitation events across the year and an early wet season onset.

Stable isotope ratio analysis of tree rings has been widely and successfully applied in recent decades for climatic and environmental reconstructions. These studies were mostly conducted at an annual resolution, considering one measurement per tree ring, often focusing on latewood. However, much more information could be retrieved with high-resolution intra-annual isotope studies, based on the fact that the wood cells and the corresponding organic matter are continuously laid down during the growing season. Such studies are still relatively rare, but have a unique potential for reconstructing seasonal climate variations or short-term changes in physiological plant properties, like water-use efficiency. The reason for this research gap is mostly technical, as on the one hand sub-annual, manual splitting of rings is very tedious, while on the other hand automated laser ablation for high-resolution analyses is not yet well established and available. Here, we give an update on the current status of laser ablation research for analysis of the carbon isotope ratio (δ13C) of wood, describe an easy-to-use laser ablation system, its operation and discuss practical issues related to tree core preparation, including cellulose extraction. The results show that routine analysis with up to 100 laser shot-derived δ13C-values daily and good precision and accuracy (ca. 0.1‰) comparable to conventional combustion in an elemental analyzer are possible. Measurements on resin-extracted wood is recommended as most efficient, but laser ablation is also possible on cellulose extracted wood pieces. Considering the straightforward sample preparation, the technique is therefore ripe for wide-spread application. With this work, we hope to stimulate future progress in the promising field of high-resolution environmental reconstruction using laser ablation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The western United States (US) is a hotspot for snow drought. The Oregon Cascade Range is highly sensitive to warming and as a result has experienced the largest mountain snowpack losses in the western US since the mid‐20th century, including a record‐breaking snow drought in 2014–2015 that culminated in a state of emergency. While Oregon Cascade snowpacks serve as the state's primary water supply, short instrumental records limit water managers' ability to fully constrain long‐term natural snowpack variability prior to the influence of ongoing and projected anthropogenic climate change. Here, we use annually‐resolved tree‐ring records to develop the first multi‐century reconstruction of Oregon Cascade April 1st Snow Water Equivalent (SWE). The model explains 58% of observed snowpack variability and extends back to 1688 AD, nearly quintupling the length of the existing snowpack record. Our reconstruction suggests that only one other multiyear event in the last three centuries was as severe as the 2014–2015 snow drought. The 2015 event alone was more severe than nearly any other year in over three centuries. Extreme low‐to‐high snowpack "whiplash" transitions are a consistent feature throughout the reconstructed record. Multi‐decadal intervals of persistent below‐the‐mean peak SWE are prominent features of pre‐instrumental snowpack variability, but are generally absent from the instrumental period and likely not fully accounted for in modern water management. In the face of projected snow drought intensification and warming, our findings motivate adaptive management strategies that address declining snowpack and increasingly variable precipitation regimes. Key Points: Decadal low‐snow intervals, particularly during the 19th century, are part of the natural Oregon Cascade snowpack variabilitySnow "whiplash" events are a common although variable feature of the Oregon Cascades' reconstructed recordIn our 331‐year record, only one other event matches the severity of the Oregon Cascades 2014–2015 snow drought [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Data assimilation techniques are becoming increasingly popular for climate reconstruction. They benefit from estimating past climate states from both observation information and from model simulations. The first monthly global paleo‐reanalysis (EKF400) was generated over the 1600 and 2005 time period, and it provides estimates of several atmospheric fields. Here we present a new, considerably improved version of EKF400 (EKF400v2). EKF400v2 uses atmospheric‐only general circulation model simulations with a greatly extended observational network of early instrumental temperature and pressure data, documentary evidences and tree‐ring width and density proxy records. Furthermore, new observation types such as monthly precipitation amounts, number of wet days and coral proxy records were also included in the assimilation. In the version 2 system, the assimilation process has undergone methodological improvements such as the background‐error covariance matrix is estimated with a blending technique of a time‐dependent and a climatological covariance matrices. In general, the applied modifications resulted in enhanced reconstruction skill compared to version 1, especially in precipitation, sea‐level pressure and other variables beside the mostly assimilated temperature data, which already had high quality in the previous version. Additionally, two case studies are presented to demonstrate the applicability of EKF400v2 to analyse past climate variations and extreme events, as well as to investigate large‐scale climate dynamics.

Tree radial growth is characterized by not only the annual ring-width increment but also shifts in the tree-ring geometric center (TRGC) if subjected to asymmetric external forcing, such as gravity downslope or prevailing winds. Previous dendrochronological studies have used the asymmetric growth derived from tree-ring widths to reconstruct wind speed changes. Here we propose a novel method that uses quantitative TRGC measurements to estimate wind speed. We investigated TRGC shifts in northeast China, where the prevailing westerly winds are strong and persistent. We found that the TRGC showed significant correlations (r ​= ​0.64, p ​

Extant caimanines include the six modern species of caimans, which occur predominantly in South and Central America and are mostly medium-sized crocodylians. Nevertheless, the fossil record of the group reveals a significantly higher diversity, with remarkable body size variation. In particular, the giants Purussaurus and Mourasuchus , from the Miocene western Amazonian region, are two of the most prominent representatives. Previous work has demonstrated a correlation between the body size of crocodylians and abiotic factors throughout the Cenozoic; however, this relationship is poorly understood, particularly within the Caimaninae lineage. Here, we explore evolutionary body size patterns within Caimaninae, investigating the potential influence of climatic factors. Using a phylogenetically-informed method, we estimated the body size of 33 caimanine specimens, coupled with climatic variables from a General Circulation Model to reconstruct deep-time patterns. Our results indicate that giant Miocene caimanines are restricted to warmer conditions, with significantly less seasonal temperature variation. This suggests that the unmatching climatic conditions of the Miocene western Amazonian region possibly allowed the emergence of unique palaeoecosystems, favouring the sustenance of these very large crocodylians. • The reconstructed ancestral body size of Caimaninae exhibited small sizes. • The correlation between size and temperature explains largest caimanines. • Changes in the ecosystem in the Miocene played a pivotal role in the diversity. • Climatic conditions and evolutionary processes underscore the history of the group. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of this work is to reconstruct the 1812–1864 period of the Padua precipitation series at the daily level, using a local precipitation Log. Missing readings, cumulative amounts, and gaps often affect early precipitation series, as observers did not follow a precise protocol. Therefore, the daily amount and frequency reported in the register of observations are not homogeneous with other periods, neither comparable with other contemporary series, and need a correction. The correction methodology has been based on the daily weather notes written in the Log in parallel to the readings. Taking advantage of periods in which both weather observations and instrumental readings were regularly taken, the terms used to describe the precipitation type and intensity have been classified, analyzed statistically, calibrated, and transformed into numerical values. The weather notes enable the distribution of precipitation to be determined based on the cumulative amounts collected on consecutive rainy days into the likely precipitation that occurred on every single rainy day. In the case of missing readings, the presence of weather notes enables the missing amounts to be estimated using the relationships found previously. Finally, the recovery of additional contemporary documents made it possible to fill some gaps in this period. Using this approach, 52 years of the long Padua precipitation series have been corrected: precipitation collected for two or more rainy days has been distributed according to the actual rainy days; the rain amount fully recovered and most of the missing values reconstructed; the false extreme events corrected. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study presents a new stable oxygen isotope chronology, covering the years 800–2000 AD, constructed using modern and subfossil wood derived from trees growing around Lake Schwarzensee in Austria. The climatic signal imparted in the chronology is conditioned mainly by the direct influence of environmental factors on the isotopic signature of source water, which in turn is regulated by evaporation and condensation mechanisms. The second driver of stable oxygen isotope is the physiological response of trees to changing weather conditions, most importantly rates of transpiration. The chronology of stable oxygen isotopes corresponds well with both temperature (r = 0.485; p < 0.05) and total precipitation (r = −0.548; p < 0.05) during the growing season (May–September). This mixed signal results from the fact that the relationship between the content of stable oxygen isotopes and the influence of climate is multifactorial. Moreover, the effect exerted by meteorological conditions on stable isotope ratio changes over time. This is most probably linked to interannual variation in climatic and environmental factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO) is the second leading mode of the sea surface height (SSH) of the North Pacific Ocean, playing a key role in causing regional ecosystem changes and large‐scale climate anomalies. However, its long‐term evolution prior to the industrial era is largely unknown. This study provides a reconstruction of the NPGO from 1596 onwards from 19 NPGO‐sensitive tree‐ring chronologies in the Himalayan Mountains, the Rocky Mountains, the Coastal Mountains and the Alaskan Mountain Range, which explained 57.1% of the observed NPGO variations. The selected tree‐ring chronologies showed strong linkages with the NPGO but weak or no correlations with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), another leading mode of the North Pacific Ocean. The reconstruction revealed that the NPGO variance and amplitude are not only the strongest towards recent in the instrumental period but also in the reconstruction period. The linkages between the NPGO and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) became strengthened towards recent, which may be attributed to the increased occurrence of central Pacific ENSO during the anthropogenic warming period. In addition, close linkages were found between the NPGO and the multidecadal Pacific variability (MPV), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) at the interannual and multidecadal scales, indicative of strong teleconnections between the ocean–atmosphere modes of the Pacific and Atlantic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Changes to the Amazon hydrological cycle have important consequences for world's largest tropical forest, and the biodiversity it contains. However, a scarcity of long‐term climate data in the region makes it hard to contextualize recent observed changes in Amazon hydrology. Here, we explore to what extent tree‐ring oxygen isotope (δ18OTR) chronologies can inform us about hydrological changes in the Amazon over the past two centuries. Two δ18OTR records from northern Bolivia and the Ecuadorian Andes are presented. The Ecuador record spans 1799–2012 (n = 16 trees) and the Bolivia record spans 1860–2014 (n = 32 trees), making them the longest δ18OTR records from the Amazon, and among the most highly‐replicated δ18OTR records from the tropics to date. The two chronologies correlate well at interannual and decadal timescales, despite coming from sites more than 1,500 km apart. Both δ18OTR records are strongly related to interannual variation in Amazon River discharge measured at Óbidos, and accumulated upwind precipitation, suggesting a common climatic driver. In both records a strong increase in δ18OTR was observed up until approximately 1950, consistent with positive trends in the few other existing δ18O proxy records from across the Amazon. Considering all possible drivers of this long‐term increase, a reduction in rainout fraction over the basin driven by rising sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic is suggested as the most likely cause. The upward trend in δ18OTR reverses over the past 1–2 decades, consistent with the observed strengthening of the Amazon hydrological cycle since approximately 1990. Plain Language Summary: Long‐term climate measurements from the Amazon are few and far between, so information about the climate in the past needs to come from alternative sources. This is essential to provide context for current climate variability such as the strengthening of the Amazon water cycle since the 1990s. One way we can reconstruct historical climate is using stable oxygen isotopes recorded in tree rings. Previous work has shown that tree‐ring oxygen isotopes from the western Amazon can tell you about the amount of rainfall over the entire basin. Here, we present tree‐ring isotope records from Ecuador and Bolivia that span the past two centuries, making them the longest tree‐ring oxygen isotope records from the region to date. We find that the two records are very similar to one another, despite coming from sites that are more than 1,500 km apart, suggesting they are both influenced by the same climatic factors. We explore the climate signals that these records contain, including interpreting a long‐term positive trend in the isotope record until around 1950. We conclude that the most likely cause of this trend is a long‐term reduction in the fraction of incoming water vapor that falls as rainfall over the Amazon. Key Points: We present two well‐replicated tree‐ring oxygen isotope (δ18OTR) records from tropical South America spanning the past two centuriesThese records capture important large‐scale climate signals, including interannual variation in Amazon basin‐wide precipitationA multi‐decadal long‐term increase in δ18OTR is interpreted as being primarily driven by a long‐term reduction in rainout fraction [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of the present study was to estimate the range of climate variability in Central Poland during the Eemian Interglacial (MIS 5e). High resolution pollen records are available for all seven RPAZs typical of this interglacial in Central Europe. These pollen records were used to estimate total annual precipitation and mean annual temperature, as well as the mean temperatures of the warmest and the coldest months based on the plant indicator method and the modern analogue technique. The reconstructions indicate that the combination of these two methods provides a much clearer insight into the climate changes of the Eemian optimum. The results confirmed no drastic drop in temperature in the Middle Eemian, with high total precipitation in the hazel phase, and that this was followed by a decrease in temperature in the Late Eemian (fir-spruce and pine phases). A drop in precipitation occurred during the youngest part of the Carpinus phase, while coincided with a marked lowering of the water level in lakes and their transformation into peatbogs. The last part of the Eemian is characterized by decreasing temperature, particularly during the coldest month, rising water levels due to a combination of lower evaporation and higher air humidity, and a transition to glacial conditions. Principal Component Analysis found all investigated sites to follow the same pattern of changes. Mean winter temperature, annual temperature and precipitation were found to have a strong positive correlation with the occurrence of thermophilus temperate broadleaved trees (hazel, linden, and ash) typical for the mid-Eemian optimum. These three factors also have a negative correlation with the presence of cold tolerant boreal trees (birch and pine) and open land taxa characteristic of the beginning and end of the interglacial. Mean July temperature was found to be positively correlated with the occurrence of temperate broadleaved trees (oak, ash and elm) typical for early stages of the Eemian and negatively with that of coniferous trees (fir and spruce) characteristic for later stages of the interglacial. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of this work is to analyse and compare different methodologies to fill gaps in early precipitation series, and to evaluate which time resolution is reachable, i.e. monthly or daily one. The following methods are applied and tested to fill the 1764–1767 gap in the precipitation series of Padua: (1) using a relationship between monthly amounts and frequencies; (2) transforming a daily log with visual observations into numerical values through analysis, classification, and calibration; (3) substituting the missing values with an instrumental record from a nearby, contemporary station in the same climatic area. To apply the second method, the descriptions reported in the Morgagni Logs are grouped in 37 classes and transformed into numerical values, using for calibration the observed amounts in the Poleni record over the 24-year common period. As a third method, the series of Temanza and Pollaroli in Venice is used to fill the gap, and the application of a factor scale based on the ratio Padua/Venice tempted. The results of these three methods are discussed and commented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Data assimilation techniques are becoming increasingly popular for climate reconstruction. They benefit from estimating past climate states from both observation information and from model simulations. The first monthly global paleo‐reanalysis (EKF400) was generated over the 1600 and 2005 time period, and it provides estimates of several atmospheric fields. Here we present a new, considerably improved version of EKF400 (EKF400v2). EKF400v2 uses atmospheric‐only general circulation model simulations with a greatly extended observational network of early instrumental temperature and pressure data, documentary evidences and tree‐ring width and density proxy records. Furthermore, new observation types such as monthly precipitation amounts, number of wet days and coral proxy records were also included in the assimilation. In the version 2 system, the assimilation process has undergone methodological improvements such as the background‐error covariance matrix is estimated with a blending technique of a time‐dependent and a climatological covariance matrices. In general, the applied modifications resulted in enhanced reconstruction skill compared to version 1, especially in precipitation, sea‐level pressure and other variables beside the mostly assimilated temperature data, which already had high quality in the previous version. Additionally, two case studies are presented to demonstrate the applicability of EKF400v2 to analyse past climate variations and extreme events, as well as to investigate large‐scale climate dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The snow cover extent (SCE) on the southeastern Tibet Plateau (SETP) has an important impact on the dynamics of the East Asian winter monsoon and the runoff changes of the first and third largest rivers in Asia, namely, the Yangtze River and the Yarlung Zangbo River. Unfortunately, the shortness of instrumental SCE data of a few decades limits our ability to understand its long-term variability before the industrial era. Here, we developed Abies faxoniana tree-ring total ring width (TRW), early-wood width (EWW), and late-wood width (LWW) chronologies for the past four centuries at Little Qamdo Village (XQDV), Markam County, on the SETP. The most significant positive correlation (r = 0.62, p < 0.01) was found between the EWW chronology and SCE from March to May (SCE3–5). The SCE would affect the onset of the growing season through soil moisture, restricting the early-wood growth of trees. Thus, we presented a reconstruction of SCE3–5via EWW chronology since AD 1660 for SETP. We observed two abrupt changes from low to high around the years 1685 and 1998 for our reconstructed SCE3–5. In addition, we found that the positive anomalies of the reconstructed SCE3–5 after 1988 cohered with the distinct increase of the East Asian winter monsoon.

Eurasian loess-paleosol sequences provide continuous records of global change in mid-latitude Northern Eurasia. The loess-paleosol sequence of West Siberia located in the central part of the mid-latitude Eurasian loess belt extending from West Europe to Yakutia is an outstanding paleoclimate archive in Northern Asia. The stratigraphy has been best documented on the left bank of the Ob River, in the so-called Ob Loess Plateau. This study focuses on the stratigraphy of the most complete Middle-Late Pleistocene loess-paleosol sequence at the Belovo section. The suggested high-resolution model of the Belovo Late Pleistocene stratigraphy is based on magnetic and sedimentological proxies and is correlated with other Eurasian loess records and with the global marine δ18O stratigraphy. The enviromagnetic signal at Belovo Loess-paleosol sequences shows a transitional pattern comparable with both typical Eurasian loess magnetic records. Detailed paleopedological interpretations of the magnetic and sedimentological data from the Belovo section have important implications for appropriate linking different Late Pleistocene climates and environments of other the well-known Eurasian loess provinces. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate reconstructions by data assimilation need to accommodate for sensitivities to proxies and prior estimates because models are uncertain and proxies are spatiotemporally limited. This study examines these sensitivities using multiple climate model simulations and different combinations of proxies (i.e., corals, ice cores, and tree‐ring cellulose). Experiments were conducted using an offline data assimilation approach; the results showed annual variations in the global distribution of surface air temperature and precipitation amount from 850 to 2000. Standard deviations of surface air temperature and precipitation amount during the entire period differed by up to 36% due to prior estimates. Experiments with different types of proxies showed that the El Niño‐like distribution of positive anomalies in the central to eastern tropical Pacific may only be adequately reproduced in experiments with corals, and not experiments without corals. The correlation coefficient of the NINO.3 index from 1971 to 2000 between experiments with corals and the Japanese 55‐year Reanalysis (JRA‐55) was 0.81 at maximum. By contrast, the correlation coefficient between experiments without corals and JRA‐55 was a maximum of 0.19. Key Points: Climate reconstruction by data assimilation illustrates annual variations in surface air temperature and precipitation from 850 to 2,000Spatiotemporal differences in climate reconstruction were compared based on prior estimatesThe impact of proxies on the results of past reproduced El Niño cases from 1971 to 2000 was validated [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

One way of deducing vertical shifts in the altitudinal distribution of Colombian high-altitude páramo environments is by inferring fluctuations in the height of the local freezing level. In our research, we are implementing two complementary approaches to reconstruct Late Pleistocene to Holocene changes in the freezing level height (FLH) in two of the most extensively glacier-covered areas of the northern Andes. We combined remote sensing and field-based geomorphological mapping with time-series reconstruction of changes in the altitude of the 0°C isotherm. Changes in the FLH were based on already-published ∼30 kyr paleo-reconstructions of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of the eastern tropical Pacific and the western tropical Atlantic, as well as on reconstructed long-term sea level changes and empirical orthogonal functions of present-day (historical) Indo-Pacific and tropical Atlantic SST anomalies. We also analyzed the probability distribution of air-sea temperature differences and the spatial distribution of grid points with SSTs above the minimum threshold necessary to initiate deep convection. We considered available historical near-surface and free air temperature data of ERA-Interim reanalysis products, General Circulation Model (GCM) simulations, weather stations, and (deployed by our group) digital sensors, to assess the normal Environmental Lapse Rates (ELRs) at the regional to local scale. The combined maps of glacial landforms and our reconstructed FLHs provided us with a well-founded inference of potential past glacier advances, narrowing down the coarse resolution of ice margins suggested by previous research efforts. The extent of the areas with temperatures below the freezing point suggested here for the summits of our main study site exceeds in magnitude the corresponding glacier icecaps and front advances proposed by previous studies. Conversely, our average lowest altitudes of the FLH for our comparative site are consistently above the main glacier-front advances previously suggested. Our results indicate that, compared to the maximum upward changes that likely took place over the past ca. observed (present-day) upward shifts of the FLH have occurred at a rate that significantly surpasses our inferred rates. Our study helps fill the gaps in understanding past climatic changes and present trends in the region of interest and provides some insights into analyzing the signals of natural and anthropogenic climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Core samples taken from the bottom sediments of the glacial Lake Kucherla (Gorny Altai, Russia) clearly show annual layers represented by glacial clays. In our study, age-depth modeling is based the varve chronology and Cs-137, Pb-210 and C-14 isotope data. Our model is a highly accurate and reliable demonstration of the annual sedimentation history within the past 1400 years. The time series of geochemical indicators of climate change were obtained by synchrotron radiation micro X-ray fluorescence (SR-μXRF) core scanning. Instrumental meteorological observations from 1940 to 2016 were used to construct transfer functions for the average annual temperatures and atmospheric precipitation amounts. A geochemical trace of a catastrophic seismic event, the Mongolian earthquake of 1761, was found in the cross-section of the bottom sediments.

The research clarifies which climatic factors induce annual and intra-annual ring formation in merkus pine (Pinus merkusii) growing in the low lying plains of central Thailand and reconstructs the past climate by using climate modelling derived from climate-growth response. Not only are climate variations longer than a century in central Thailand explained, but the study alsoexplores for the first time the variability in climate using the formation of intra-annual rings in Thai merkus pines. The tree-ring analysis of wood core samples indicated that the pine stand was more than 150 years old with the oldest tree being 191 years old. The annual variation in tree growth significantly correlated with local climate variables, the number of rainy days in each year (r=0.520, p

Successful conservation of threatened species and ecosystems in a rapidly changing world requires scientifically sound decision-making tools that are readily accessible to conservation practitioners. Physiological applications that examine how plants and animals interact with their environment are now widely used when planning, implementing and monitoring conservation. Among these tools, stable-isotope physiology is a potentially powerful, yet under-utilized cornerstone of current and future conservation efforts of threatened and endangered plants. We review the underlying concepts and theory of stable-isotope physiology and describe how stable-isotope applications can support plant conservation. We focus on stable isotopes of carbon, hydrogen, oxygen and nitrogen to address plant ecophysiological responses to changing environmental conditions across temporal scales from hours to centuries. We review examples from a broad range of plant taxa, life forms and habitats and provide specific examples where stable-isotope analysis can directly improve conservation, in part by helping identify resilient, locally adapted genotypes or populations. Our review aims to provide a guide for practitioners to easily access and evaluate the information that can be derived from stable-isotope signatures, their limitations and how stable isotopes can improve conservation efforts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The West Antarctic climate has witnessed large changes during the second half of the twentieth century including a strong and widespread continental warming, important regional changes in sea-ice extent and snow accumulation, as well as a major mass loss from the melting of some ice shelves. However, the potential links between those observed changes are still unclear and instrumental data do not allow determination of whether they are part of a long-term evolution or specific to the recent decades. In this study, we analyze the climate variability of the past two centuries in the West Antarctic sector by reconstructing the key atmospheric variables (atmospheric circulation, near-surface air temperature and snow accumulation) as well as the sea-ice extent at the annual timescale using a data assimilation approach. To this end, information from Antarctic ice core records (snow accumulation and δ 18 O ) and tree-ring width records situated in the mid-latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere are combined with the physics of climate models using a data assimilation method. This ultimately provides a complete spatial reconstruction over the West Antarctic region. Our reconstruction reproduces well the main characteristics of the observed changes over the instrumental period. We show that the observed sea-ice reduction in the Bellingshausen-Amundsen Sea sector over the satellite era is part of a long-term trend, starting at around 1850 CE, while the sea-ice expansion in the Ross Sea sector has only started around 1950 CE. Furthermore, according to our reconstruction, the Amundsen Sea Low pressure (ASL) displays no significant linear trend in its strength or position over 1850–1950 CE but becomes stronger and shifts eastward afterwards. The year-to-year sea-ice variations in the Ross Sea sector are strongly related to the ASL variability over the past two centuries, including the recent trends. By contrast, the link between ASL and sea-ice in the Bellingshausen-Amundsen Sea sector changes with time, being stronger in recent decades than before. Our reconstruction also suggests that the continental response to the variability of the ASL may not be stationary over time, being significantly affected by modification of the mean atmospheric circulation. Finally, we show that the widespread warming since 1958 CE in West Antarctica is unusual in the context of past 200 years and is explained by both the deeper ASL and the positive phase of the Southern Annular Mode. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Tree-ring widths (TRW) of historical and archeological wood provide crucial proxies, frequently used for high-resolution multi-millennial paleoclimate reconstructions. Former growing conditions of the utilized trees, however, are largely unknown. Potential influences of historical forest management practices on climatic information, derived from TRW variability need to be considered but have not been assessed so far. Here, we examined the suitability of TRW series from traditionally managed oak forests (Quercus spp.) for climate reconstructions. We compared the climate signal in TRW chronologies of trees originating from high forests and coppice-with-standards (CWS) forests, a silvicultural management practice widely used in Europe for most of the common era. We expected a less distinct climate control in CWS due to management-induced growth patterns, yet an improved climate-growth relationship with TRW data from conventionally managed high forests. CWS tree rings showed considerably weaker correlations with hydroclimatic variables than non-CWS trees. The greatest potential for hydroclimate reconstructions was found for a large dataset containing both CWS and non-CWS trees, randomly collected from lumber yards, resembling the randomness in sources of historical material. Our results imply that growth patterns induced by management interventions can dampen climate signals in TRW chronologies. However, their impact can be minimized in well replicated, randomly sampled regional chronologies.

The Pirro Nord quarry (Apricena, Foggia, southern Italy, 41°48′6″N, 15°23′5″ E) is a well-known palaeontological and archaeological locality comprising an abundant and diverse Early Pleistocene vertebrate assemblage of mammals, birds, amphibians, and reptiles related to the Late Villafranchian and Early Biharian mammal ages. In this study, we describe the small mammal assemblages (insectivores, rodents, and bats) excavated between 2010 and 2022 to reconstruct the palaeoenvironment surrounding the site using Habitat Weighting and the Bioclimatic model methods. The rodent assemblage comprises mostly Allophaiomys cf. ruffoi , Apodemus sp., and Hystrix refossa , whereas Eliomys cf. intermedius was reported for the first time. Insectivores includes Talpa gr. minor-caeca ; Asoriculus sp.; Erinaceus praeglacialis ; and Sorex sp. Bats are represented by Rhinolophus ferrumequinum , Rhinolophus gr. euryale-mehelyi , Myotis gr. myotis-blythii , Myotis sp., and Miniopterus schreibersii. Landscape reconstruction attested to the presence of a rich and diverse environment with open areas and forest patches surrounding the Pirro Nord 13 site. The climate was slightly colder than that of current times in the same area, with higher precipitation. The presence of different ecosystems near the sites constituted suitable conditions for the first human dispersion in Europe, as already revealed by evidence from Barranco León D, Atapuerca TE7–14, and Fuente Nueva 3 elsewhere on the Iberian Peninsula. The study of small mammal assemblages improves our understanding of the chronological boundaries of the human occupation of Pirro Nord 13, adding important information in the context of the first peopling of the Mediterranean region between 1.6 and 1.3 million years ago. • New data on climate and landscape of early human arrival in Europe. • Allophaiomys cf. ruffoi dominates Pirro Nord 13 assemblage. • Biochronological position of Pirro Nord 13 is confirmed by the small mammals. • Pirro Nord 13 had open and forested habitats with Mediterranean climate. • Human arrival at Pirro Nord could match milder climatic phase. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Constructing suitable tree ring width (TRW) proxy system models (PSMs) is an emerging research focus in paleoclimate data assimilation (PDA). Currently, however, it is unknown as to which TRW PSMs are optimal for practical PDA applications. This study proposes an artificial neural networks (ANN)‐based TRW PSM and compares its performance with those of existing TRW PSMs, including linear univariate model, linear multivariate model, and physically based VS‐Lite model. The results show that ANN‐based TRW PSM is more suitable for practical PDA applications than other three TRW PSMs in terms of performance and universality. Overall, the performances of the four TRW PSMs in PDA can be ranked as follows (from best to worst): ANN, linear multivariate model, linear univariate model, and physically based VS‐Lite model. In addition, the results of our study not only indicate that the ANN model is a really effective tool for constructing TRW PSM in practical PDA applications but also imply that the ANN model has the potential to provide new insights into the construction of other types of PSMs (e.g., speleothem δ18O PSM) when physics of the climate‐proxy relationships cannot be described fully in advance.

The northern edge of the East Asian monsoon region is also a transition zone of temperate continental and monsoon climate, which is a sensitive zone of global climate and ecological environment change. It is an urgent problem to find out the long-term climate change rules of this region. Using 101 tree core samples obtained from 54 trees, a 343-year tree-ring width chronology of the Platycladus orientalis (L.) Franco (1673–2016) in the Wula Mountains, Inner Mongolia, China was established. The analysis shows that the radial growth of P. orientalis is closely related to hydrothermal conditions, the average minimum temperature and relative humidity are the main factors that determine the growth of P. orientalis. Based on the strong correlation between the tree-ring indices and the annual average minimum temperature (r = −0.870, p < 0.001), we reconstructed an average annual minimum temperature series from 1673 to 2016 using a linear regression equation, and the reconstructed equation can explain 75.724% of the variance, respectively. According to the data from the past 343 years, the changes in the annual average minimum temperature series had the cycles of 58.6-, 7.7-, 3.4-, 3.1-, 2.2-, and 2.1-years; the series showed three warm periods (1824–1830, 1909–1922, and 1986–2011) and 4 cold periods (1703–1712, 1731–1738, 1754–1763, and 1937–1951). The low temperature periods recorded in the reconstructed series for the 17th and 18th centuries are consistent with the Little Ice Age that occurred in the northern hemisphere, and the heating rate significantly increased at the end of the 20th century. In addition, the cold and warm periods recorded by the reconstruction result is basically consistent with the extreme climate events recorded in the historical documents of the region and the reconstruction results in other regions. In this paper, the world's first chronology of P. orientalis tree ring width was established. A historical sequence of annual average minimum temperature of 343 years was reconstructed in a typical region of the East Asian monsoon climate. It fills in the blank of reconstruction sequence and variation characteristics of mean minimum temperature in the northern edge of East Asian monsoon and transition zone of temperate continental and monsoon climate in recent four centuries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

After India separated from Gondwana, its 9000 km northward voyage from the Southern Hemisphere to its modern position joined with Eurasia took 160 million years. During that journey, India experienced a range of climatic conditions due to secular climate variations and its changing latitudinal position. Documenting India's climate during its trans-equatorial journey allows us to sample climate across the low latitudes, at a time when global temperatures were exceptionally high, such as we might experience in the future. Here, we reconstruct, quantitatively, the palaeoclimate of India during its voyage, focussing on the latest Maastrichtian–earliest Danian, late Paleocene, early Eocene and late Oligocene timeslices. We exploit the relationship between fossil leaf form and climate and use the Climate-Leaf Analysis Multivariate Program to reconstruct 24 individual palaeoclimate parameters, while fossil leaf traits also allow us to identify different monsoon types. We find that throughout the Paleogene India persistently experienced a monsoon climate similar to that of modern Indonesia-Australia; a monsoon system that exists today primarily as a function of seasonal trans-equatorial migrations of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The reconstructed near-equatorial thermal regime of India was cooler, and showed a greater seasonal temperature variation than at similar latitudes today, suggesting a wider seasonal latitudinal migration of the ITCZ throughout the Paleogene. Leaf traits showing adaptation to the South Asia Monsoon only developed after the end of the Paleogene. [Display omitted] • Fossil leaf form is used to reconstruct Paleogene climate as India moved northwards. • An Indonesia-Australia type ITCZ monsoon dominated until the late Oligocene. • The first signs of a South Asia Monsoon (SAM) appear in the late Oligocene. • SAM onset due to mechanical forcing of air flow by the rapidly rising Himalaya. • SAM origins pre-date Tibetan Plateau formation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We use online data assimilation to combine information from a linear inverse model of coupled atmosphere‐ocean dynamics with proxy records to create a new annual‐resolution reconstruction of atmosphere and ocean fields over the last millennium. Instrumental validation of reconstructed sea‐surface temperature and 0–700 m ocean heat content shows broad regions of positive spatial correlations, and high correlations (∼0.6–0.9) for global averages and indices of large‐scale modes of atmospheric variability. Compared to previous reconstructions, the online reconstructions show global and hemispheric averages with little‐to‐no millennial‐scale trend and global‐mean temperatures ∼0.25–0.5 K cooler during early periods (1000–1400 C.E.). The spatial anomaly differences of average temperature between an early (1000–1250 C.E.) and later (1400–1700 C.E.) period show warm anomalies over high‐latitude Europe and cool tropical conditions in partial agreement with previous assessments. The addition of online data assimilation, which provides dynamical memory to climate proxy information, is shown to be crucial for adequately characterizing decadal‐to‐centennial‐scale variability of 0–700 m ocean heat content. Furthermore, the climate forecasts provide model‐based physical constraints for atmosphere–ocean interaction, which become increasingly important during early periods when less proxy information is available for assimilation. Key Points: A new online paleoclimate data assimilation method for atmosphere–ocean reconstruction over the last millennium provides dynamical proxy memoryReconstructed ocean field validation against instrumental products is largely skillful despite a sparse proxy networkOnline data assimilation improves the dynamics and low‐frequency variability of reconstructed coupled fields relative to offline assimilation [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The spatiotemporal variability of precipitation is of vital importance to Mediterranean ecology and economy, but pre‐instrumental changes are not well understood. Here, we present a millennial‐length June–July precipitation reconstruction derived from a network of 22 Pinus heldreichii high‐elevation sites in the Pindus Mountains of northwestern Greece. Tree‐ring width chronologies from these sites cohere exceptionally well over the past several hundred years (r1467–2015 = 0.64) revealing coherence at inter‐annual to centennial timescales across the network. The network mean calibrates significantly against instrumental June–July precipitation over the past 40 years (r1976–2015 = 0.71), even though no high‐elevation observational record is available representing the moist conditions at the treeline above 1,900 m a.s.l. For the final reconstruction, the instrumental target data are adjusted to provide realistic estimates of high‐elevation summer rainfall back to 729 CE. The reconstruction contains substantially more low‐frequency variability than other high‐resolution hydroclimate records from the eastern Mediterranean including extended dry periods from 1,350 to 1,379 CE (39 ± 4.5 mm) and 913 to 942 (40 ± 8.4 mm), and moist periods from 862 to 891 (86 ± 11 mm) and 1,522 to 1,551 (80 ± 3.5 mm), relative to the long‐term mean of 61 mm. The most recent 30‐year period from 1986 to 2015 is characterized by above average June–July precipitation (73 ± 2 mm). Low‐frequency changes in summer precipitation are likely related to variations in the position and persistence of storm tracks steering local depressions and causing extensive rainfall (or lack thereof) in high‐elevation environments of the Pindus Mountains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-resolution pollen analyses were performed on two cores from the western Black Sea and one core from the Marmara Sea, covering the Late Glacial-Holocene transition using 14C chronology. Particular effort was invested in the botanical identification of pollen grains thereby significantly improving our knowledge of regional flora. When interpreted with respect to modern vegetation, pollen records revealed all the major changes caused by climatic fluctuations over the last 20,000 years. The results of this study provide evidence for the occurrence of relict thermophilous-hygrophilous trees (papillate Cupressaceae, Carya, Liquidambar, Zelkova) in certain refugia up to the Holocene. Vegetation dynamics is specified for some taxa (e.g. Cupressus–Juniperus, Fagus, Cedrus) and some ecosystems (e.g. mesophilous forests, Mediterranean sclerophyllous populations, steppes). Pollen data enabled palaeoclimatic reconstructions which were compared with available estimates in the region. The use of a powerful pollen ratio between 'thermophilous and steppe taxa' led to fruitful climatostratigraphic relationships with the oxygen isotope curve from the NGRIP core. The Younger Dryas and cooling at 8.2 ka are among the most obvious climatic phases identified in the three cores studied here. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Marked by the expansion of ice sheets in the high latitudes, the intensification of Northern Hemisphere glaciation across the Plio/Pleistocene transition at ~ 2.7 Ma represents a critical interval of late Neogene climate evolution. To date, the characteristics of climate change in North America during that time and its imprint on vegetation has remained poorly constrained because of the lack of continuous, highly resolved terrestrial records. We here assess the vegetation dynamics in northwestern North America during the late Pliocene and early Pleistocene (c. 2.8–2.4 Ma) based on a pollen record from a lacustrine sequence from paleo-Lake Idaho, western Snake River Plain (USA) that has been retrieved within the framework of an International Continental Drilling Program (ICDP) coring campaign. Our data indicate a sensitive response of forest ecosystems to glacial/interglacial variability paced by orbital obliquity across the study interval, and also highlight a distinct expansion of steppic elements that likely occurs during the first strong glacial of the Pleistocene, i.e. Marine Isotope Stage 100. The pollen data document a major forest biome change at ~ 2.6 Ma that is marked by the replacement of conifer-dominated forests by open mixed forests. Quantitative pollen-based climate estimates suggest that this forest reorganisation was associated with an increase in precipitation from the late Pliocene to the early Pleistocene. We attribute this shift to an enhanced moisture transport from the subarctic Pacific Ocean to North America, confirming the hypothesis that ocean-circulation changes were instrumental in the intensification of Northern Hemisphere glaciation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]