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Abstract Objective The aim of this study was to establish and validate a clinical prediction model for assessing the risk of metastasis and patient survival in Ewing's sarcoma (ES). Methods Patients diagnosed with ES from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database for the period 2010-2016 were extracted, and the data after exclusion of vacant terms was used as the training set (n=767). Prediction models predicting patients' overall survival (OS) at 1 and 3 years were created by cox regression analysis and visualized using Nomogram and web calculator. Multicenter data from four medical institutions were used as the validation set (n=51), and the model consistency was verified using calibration plots, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) verified the predictive ability of the model. Finally, a clinical decision curve was used to demonstrate the clinical utility of the model. Results The results of multivariate cox regression showed that age, , bone metastasis, tumor size, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors of ES patients. Internal and external validation results: calibration plots showed that the model had a good agreement for patient survival at 1 and 3 years; ROC showed that it possessed a good predictive ability and clinical decision curve proved that it possessed good clinical utility. Conclusions The tool built in this paper to predict 1- and 3-year survival in ES patients ( https://drwenleli0910.shinyapps.io/EwingApp/ ) has a good identification and predictive power.

Abstract Unsupervised cross‐domain pedestrian detection has attracted attention in recent years. Although some works adopted unsupervised image translation frameworks to generate an intermediate domain to narrow the gap between source and target domains, the images in the intermediate domain tend to be distorted due to the instability of the generation network. In this work, we propose a new framework to improve the image quality of the generated intermediate domain via an end‐to‐end translation framework. First, an image quality assessment index is adopted and adjusted appropriately. The part that controls the image quality is kept, and the part that adversely affects the domain style translation is discarded. Secondly, the adjusted image quality assessment index is integrated into the unsupervised image translation framework, where a new loss with the index's weight is proposed. An end‐to‐end high‐quality‐awareness image translation framework is constructed to generate a high‐quality intermediate domain directly through this process. Finally, the intermediate domain with high‐quality images is applied for cross‐domain pedestrian detection. Experimental results on benchmark datasets show that the proposed framework can effectively improve unsupervised cross‐domain pedestrian detection performance. Compared with some state‐of‐the‐art works, the proposed framework can also achieve superior performance under miss rate metrics.

Abstract Background Percutaneous pedicle screw fixation (PPSF) is the primary approach for single-segment thoracolumbar burst fractures (TLBF). The healing angle at the thoracolumbar junction is one of the most significant criteria for evaluating the efficacy of PPSF. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to analyze the predictors associated with the poor postoperative alignment of the thoracolumbar region from routine variables using a support vector machine (SVM) model. Methods We retrospectively analyzed patients with TLBF operated at our academic institute between March 1, 2014 and December 31, 2019. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed to assess potential statistical differences between all clinical and radiological variables and the adverse events. Based on multivariate logistic results, a series of independent risk factors were fed into the SVM model. Meanwhile, the feature importance of radiologic outcome for each parameter was explored. The predictive performance of the SVM classifier was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy (ACC) and confusion matrices with 10-fold cross-validation, respectively. Results In the recruited 150 TLBFs, unfavorable radiological outcomes were observed in 53 patients (35.33%). The relationship between osteoporosis (p = 0.036), preoperative Cobb angle (p = 0.001), immediate postoperative Cobb angle (p = 0.029), surgically corrected Cobb angle (p = 0.001), intervertebral disc injury (Score 2 p = 0.001, Score 3 p = 0.001), interpedicular distance (IPD) (p = 0.001), vertebral body compression rate (VBCR) (p = 0.010) and adverse events was confirmed by univariate regression. Thereafter, independent risk factors including preoperative Cobb angle, the disc status and IPD and independent protective factors surgical correction angle were identified by multivariable logistic regression. The established SVM classifier demonstrated favorable predictive performance with the best AUC = 0.93, average AUC = 0.88, and average ACC = 0.87. The variables associated with radiological outcomes, in order of correlation strength, were intervertebral disc injury (42%), surgically corrected Cobb angle (25%), preoperative Cobb angle (18%), and IPD (15%). The confusion matrix reveals the classification results of the discriminant analysis. Conclusions Critical radiographic indicators and surgical purposes were confirmed to be associated with an unfavorable radiographic outcome of TLBF. This SVM model demonstrated good predictive ability for endpoints in terms of adverse events in patients after PPSF surgery.

Abstract Purpose The objective of this study is to construct a computer aided diagnosis system for normal people and pneumoconiosis using X-raysand deep learning algorithms. Materials and methods 1760 anonymous digital X-ray images of real patients between January 2017 and June 2020 were collected for this experiment. In order to concentrate the feature extraction ability of the model more on the lung region and restrain the influence of external background factors, a two-stage pipeline from coarse to fine was established. First, the U-Net model was used to extract the lung regions on each sides of the collection images. Second, the ResNet-34 model with transfer learning strategy was implemented to learn the image features extracted in the lung region to achieve accurate classification of pneumoconiosis patients and normal people. Results Among the 1760 cases collected, the accuracy and the area under curve of the classification model were 92.46% and 89% respectively. Conclusion The successful application of deep learning in the diagnosis of pneumoconiosis further demonstrates the potential of medical artificial intelligence and proves the effectiveness of our proposed algorithm. However, when we further classified pneumoconiosis patients and normal subjects into four categories, we found that the overall accuracy decreased to 70.1%. We will use the CT modality in future studies to provide more details of lung regions.

BackgroundLung metastases (LM) have a poor prognosis of osteosarcoma. This study aimed to predict the risk of LM using the nomogram in patients with osteosarcoma.MethodsA total of 1100 patients who were diagnosed as osteosarcoma between 2010 and 2019 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database were selected as the training cohort. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors of osteosarcoma lung metastases. 108 osteosarcoma patients from a multicentre dataset was as valiation data. The predictive power of the nomogram model was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) and calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was utilized to interpret the accurate validity in clinical practice.ResultsA total of 1208 patients with osteosarcoma from both the SEER database(n=1100) and the multicentre database (n=108) were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that Survival time, Sex, T-stage, N-stage, Surgery, Radiation, and Bone metastases were independent risk factors for lung metastasis. We combined these factors to construct a nomogram for estimating the risk of lung metastasis. Internal and external validation showed significant predictive differences (AUC 0.779, 0.792 respectively). Calibration plots showed good performance of the nomogram model.ConclusionsIn this study, a nomogram model for predicting the risk of lung metastases in osteosarcoma patients was constructed and turned out to be accurate and reliable through internal and external validation. Moreover we built a webpage calculator (https://drliwenle.shinyapps.io/OSLM/) taken into account nomogram model to help clinicians make more accurate and personalized predictions.

Abstract Objectives The incidence and adverse events of postoperative blood transfusion in spinal tuberculosis (TB) have attracted increasing attention. Our purpose was to develop a prediction model to evaluate blood transfusion risk after spinal fusion (SF) for spinal TB. Methods Nomogram and machine learning algorithms, support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), multilayer perceptron (MLP), Naive Bayesian (NB), k-nearest neighbors (K-NN) and random forest (RF), were constructed to identified predictors of blood transfusion from all spinal TB cases treated by SF in our department between May 2010 and April 2020. The prediction performance of the models was evaluated by 10-fold cross-validation. We calculated the average AUC and the maximum AUC, then demonstrated the ROC curve with maximum AUC. Results The collected cohort ultimately was consisted of 152 patients, where 56 required allogeneic blood transfusions. The predictors were surgical duration, preoperative Hb, preoperative ABL, preoperative MCHC, number of fused vertebrae, IBL, and anticoagulant history. We obtained the average AUC of nomogram (0.75), SVM (0.62), k-NM (0.65), DT (0.56), NB (0.74), MLP (0.56) and RF (0.72). An interactive web calculator based on this model has been provided ( https://drwenleli.shinyapps.io/STTapp/ ). Conclusions We confirmed seven independent risk factors affecting blood transfusion and diagramed them with the nomogram and web calculator.

Abstract Background This study aimed to develop and validate an individualized nomogram to predict the risk of positive hidden blood loss (HBL) in patients with single-level thoracolumbar burst fracture (TBF) during the perioperative period. Methods We conducted a retrospective investigation including 150 consecutive patients with TBL, and the corresponding patient data was extracted from March 2013 to March 2019. The independent risk factors for positive HBL were screened using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. According to published literature and clinical experience, a series of variables were selected to develop a nomogram prediction model for positive HBL. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), C-index, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the performance of the prediction model. Bootstrapping validation was performed to evaluate the performance of the model. Results Among the 150 consecutive patients, 62 patients were positive for HBL (38.0%). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the six risk factors of age, length of surgical incision, duration of operation, percentage of vertebral height restoration (P1%), preoperative total cholesterol, and preoperative fibrinogen were independent risk factors of positive HBL. The C-index was 0.831 (95% CI 0.740–0.889) and 0.845 in bootstrapping validation, respectively. The calibration curve showed that the predicted probability of the model was consistent with the actual probability. Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the nomogram had clinical utility. Conclusion Overall, we explored the relationship between the positive HBL requirement and predictors. The individualized prediction model for patients with single-level TBF can accurately assess the risk of positive HBL and facilitate clinical decision making. However, external validation will be needed in the future.

Abstract Background The prognosis of lung metastasis (LM) in patients with chondrosarcoma was poor. The aim of this study was to construct a prognostic nomogram to predict the risk of LM, which was imperative and helpful for clinical diagnosis and treatment. Methods Data of all chondrosarcoma patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 was queried from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. In this retrospective study, a total of 944 patients were enrolled and randomly splitting into training sets (n = 644) and validation cohorts(n = 280) at a ratio of 7:3. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the prognostic nomogram. The predictive ability of the nomogram model was assessed by calibration plots and receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) curve, while decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) were applied to measure predictive accuracy and clinical practice. Moreover, the nomogram was validated by the internal cohort. Results Five independent risk factors including age, sex, marital, tumor size, and lymph node involvement were identified by univariate and multivariable logistic regression. Calibration plots indicated great discrimination power of nomogram, while DCA and CIC presented that the nomogram had great clinical utility. In addition, receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) curve provided a predictive ability in the training sets (AUC = 0.789, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.789–0.808) and the validation cohorts (AUC = 0.796, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.744–0.841). Conclusion In our study, the nomogram accurately predicted risk factors of LM in patients with chondrosarcoma, which may guide surgeons and oncologists to optimize individual treatment and make a better clinical decisions. Trial registration JOSR-D-20-02045, 29 Dec 2020.

Abstract Background This study aimed to predict C5 palsy (C5P) after posterior laminectomy and fusion (PLF) with cervical myelopathy (CM) from routinely available variables using a support vector machine (SVM) method. Methods We conducted a retrospective investigation based on 184 consecutive patients with CM after PLF, and data were collected from March 2013 to December 2019. Clinical and imaging variables were obtained and imported into univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses to identify risk factors for C5P. According to published reports and clinical experience, a series of variables was selected to develop an SVM machine learning model to predict C5P. The accuracy (ACC), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and confusion matrices were used to evaluate the performance of the prediction model. Results Among the 184 consecutive patients, C5P occurred in 26 patients (14.13%). Multivariate analyses demonstrated the following 4 independent factors associated with C5P: abnormal electromyogram (odds ratio [OR] = 7.861), JOA recovery rate (OR = 1.412), modified Pavlov ratio (OR = 0.009), and presence of C4–C5 foraminal stenosis (OR = 15.492). The SVM model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.923 and an ACC of 0.918. Additionally, the confusion matrix showed the classification results of the discriminant analysis. Conclusions The designed SVM model presented satisfactory performance in predicting C5P from routinely available variables. However, future external validation is needed.

BackgroundCurrently, the clinical prediction model for patients with osteosarcoma was almost developed from single-center data, lacking external validation. Due to their low reliability and low predictive power, there were few clinical applications. Our study aimed to set up a clinical prediction model with stronger predictive ability, credibility, and clinical application value for osteosarcoma.MethodsClinical information related to osteosarcoma patients from 2010 to 2016 was collected in the SEER database and four different Chinese medical centers. Factors were screened using three models (full subset regression, univariate Cox, and LASSO) via minimum AIC and maximum AUC values in the SEER database. The model was selected by the strongest predictive power and visualized by three statistical methods: nomogram, web calculator, and decision tree. The model was further externally validated and evaluated for its clinical utility in data from four medical centers.ResultsEight predicting factors, namely, age, grade, laterality, stage M, surgery, bone metastases, lung metastases, and tumor size, were selected from the model based on the minimum AIC and maximum AUC value. The internal and external validation results showed that the model possessed good consistency. ROC curves revealed good predictive ability (AUC > 0.8 in both internal and external validation). The DCA results demonstrated that the model had an excellent clinical predicted utility in 3 years and 5 years for North American and Chinese patients.ConclusionsThe clinical prediction model was built and visualized in this study, including a nomogram and a web calculator (https://dr-lee.shinyapps.io/osteosarcoma/), which indicated very good consistency, predictive power, and clinical application value.

Crowd counting is considered as the essential computer vision application that uses the convolutional neural network to model the crowd density as the regression task. However, the vision-based models are hard to extract the feature under low-quality conditions. As we know, visual and audio are used widely as media platforms for human beings to touch the physical change of the world. The cross-modal information gives us an alternative method of solving the crowd counting task. In this case, in order to solve this problem, a model named the Audio-Visual Multi-Scale Network (AVMSN) is established to model the unconstrained visual and audio sources for completing the crowd counting task in this paper. Based on the Feature extraction and Multi-modal fusion module, in order to handle the objects of various sizes in the crowd scene, the Sample Convolutional Blocks are adopted by the AVMSN as the multi-scale Vision-end branch in the Feature extraction module to calculate the weighted-visual feature. Besides, the audio, which is the temporal domain transformed into the spectrogram information and the audio feature is learned by the audio-VGG network. Finally, the weighted-visual and audio features are fused by the Multi-modal fusion module, which adopts the cascade fusion architecture to calculate the estimated density map. The experimental results show the proposed AVMSN achieves a lower mean absolute error than other state-of-art crowd counting models under the low-quality conditions.

BackgroundThis study aims to predict the lymphatic metastasis in Ewing's sarcoma (ES) patients by nomogram. The risk of lymphatic metastasis in patients with ES was predicted by the built model, which provided guidance for the clinical diagnosis and treatment planning.MethodsA total of 929 patients diagnosed with ES were enrolled from the year of 2010 to 2016 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The nomogram was established to determine predictive factors of lymphatic metastasis according to univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The validation of the model performed using multicenter data (n = 51). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves and calibration plots were used to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the nomogram. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was implemented to illustrate the practicability of the nomogram clinical application. Based on the nomogram, we established a web calculator to visualize the risk of lymphatic metastases. We further plotted Kaplan-Meier overall survival (OS) curves to compare the survival time of patients with and without lymphatic metastasis.ResultsIn this study, the nomogram was established based on six significant factors (survival time, race, T stage, M stage, surgery, and lung metastasis), which were identified for lymphatic metastasis in ES patients. The model showed significant diagnostic accuracy with the value of the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.743 (95%CI: 0.714–0.771) for SEER internal validation and 0.763 (95%CI: 0.623–0.871) for multicenter data external validation. The calibration plot and DCA indicated that the model had vital clinical application value.ConclusionIn this study, we constructed and developed a nomogram with risk factors to predict lymphatic metastasis in ES patients and validated accuracy of itself. We found T stage (Tx OR = 2.540, 95%CI = 1.433–4.503, P < 0.01), M stage (M1, OR = 2.061, 95%CI = 1.189–3.573, P < 0.05) and survival time (OR = 0.982, 95%CI = 0.972–0.992, P < 0.001) were important independent factors for lymphatic metastasis in ES patients. Furthermore, survival time in patients with lymphatic metastasis or unclear situation (P < 0.0001) was significantly lower. It can help clinicians make better decisions to provide more accurate prognosis and treatment for ES patients.

ObjectiveIn order to provide reference for clinicians and bring convenience to clinical work, we seeked to develop and validate a risk prediction model for lymph node metastasis (LNM) of Ewing’s sarcoma (ES) based on machine learning (ML) algorithms.MethodsClinicopathological data of 923 ES patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 51 ES patients from multi-center external validation set were retrospectively collected. We applied ML algorithms to establish a risk prediction model. Model performance was checked using 10-fold cross-validation in the training set and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis in external validation set. After determining the best model, a web-based calculator was made to promote the clinical application.ResultsLNM was confirmed or unable to evaluate in 13.86% (135 out of 974) ES patients. In multivariate logistic regression, race, T stage, M stage and lung metastases were independent predictors for LNM in ES. Six prediction models were established using random forest (RF), naive Bayes classifier (NBC), decision tree (DT), xgboost (XGB), gradient boosting machine (GBM), logistic regression (LR). In 10-fold cross-validation, the average area under curve (AUC) ranked from 0.705 to 0.764. In ROC curve analysis, AUC ranged from 0.612 to 0.727. The performance of the RF model ranked best. Accordingly, a web-based calculator was developed (https://share.streamlit.io/liuwencai2/es_lnm/main/es_lnm.py).ConclusionWith the help of clinicopathological data, clinicians can better identify LNM in ES patients. Risk prediction models established in this study performed well, especially the RF model.

BackgroundThis study aimed to develop and validate machine learning (ML)-based prediction models for lung metastasis (LM) in patients with Ewing sarcoma (ES), and to deploy the best model as an open access web tool.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Database from 2010 to 2016 and from four medical institutions to develop and validate predictive models for LM in patients with ES. Patient data from the SEER database was used as the training group (n = 929). Using demographic and clinicopathologic variables six ML-based models for predicting LM were developed, and internally validated using 10-fold cross validation. All ML-based models were subsequently externally validated using multiple data from four medical institutions (the validation group, n = 51). The predictive power of the models was evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The best-performing model was used to produce an online tool for use by clinicians to identify ES patients at risk from lung metastasis, to improve decision making and optimize individual treatment.ResultsThe study cohort consisted of 929 patients from the SEER database and 51 patients from multiple medical centers, a total of 980 ES patients. Of these, 175 (18.8%) had lung metastasis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed with survival time, T-stage, N-stage, surgery, and bone metastasis providing the independent predictive factors of LM. The AUC value of six predictive models ranged from 0.585 to 0.705. The Random Forest (RF) model (AUC = 0.705) using 4 variables was identified as the best predictive model of LM in ES patients and was employed to construct an online tool to assist clinicians in optimizing patient treatment. (https://share.streamlit.io/liuwencai123/es_lm/main/es_lm.py).ConclusionsMachine learning were found to have utility for predicting LM in patients with Ewing sarcoma, and the RF model gave the best performance. The accessibility of the predictive model as a web-based tool offers clear opportunities for improving the personalized treatment of patients with ES.

BackgroundRegional lymph node metastasis is a contributor for poor prognosis in osteosarcoma. However, studies on risk factors for predicting regional lymph node metastasis in osteosarcoma are scarce. This study aimed to develop and validate a model based on machine learning (ML) algorithms.MethodsA total of 1201 patients, with 1094 cases from the surveillance epidemiology and end results (SEER) (the training set) and 107 cases (the external validation set) admitted from four medical centers in China, was included in this study. Independent risk factors for the risk of lymph node metastasis were screened by the multifactorial logistic regression models. Six ML algorithms, including the logistic regression (LR), the gradient boosting machine (GBM), the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), the random forest (RF), the decision tree (DT), and the multilayer perceptron (MLP), were used to evaluate the risk of lymph node metastasis. The prediction model was developed based on the bestpredictive performance of ML algorithm and the performance of the model was evaluatedby the area under curve (AUC), prediction accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. A homemade online calculator was capable of estimating the probability of lymph node metastasis in individuals.ResultsOf all included patients, 9.41% (113/1201) patients developed regional lymph node metastasis. ML prediction models were developed based on nine variables: age, tumor (T) stage, metastasis (M) stage, laterality, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, bone metastases, and lung metastases. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, T and M stage, surgery, and chemotherapy were significantly associated with lymph node metastasis. In the six ML algorithms, XGB had the highest AUC (0.882) and was utilized to develop as prediction model. A homemade online calculator was capable of estimating the probability of CLNM in individuals.ConclusionsT and M stage, surgery and Chemotherapy are independent risk factors for predicting lymph node metastasis among osteosarcoma patients. XGB algorithm has the best predictive performance, and the online risk calculator can help clinicians to identify the risk probability of lymph node metastasis among osteosarcoma patients.

BackgroundBone is a common target of metastasis in kidney cancer, and accurately predicting the risk of bone metastases (BMs) facilitates risk stratification and precision medicine in kidney cancer.MethodsPatients diagnosed with kidney cancer were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to comprise the training group from 2010 to 2017, and the validation group was drawn from our academic medical center. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses explored the statistical relationships between the included variables and BM. Statistically significant risk factors were applied to develop a nomogram. Calibration plots, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, probability density functions (PDF), and clinical utility curves (CUC) were used to verify the predictive performance. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves demonstrated survival differences between two subgroups of kidney cancer with and without BMs. A convenient web calculator was provided for users via “shiny” package.ResultsA total of 43,503 patients were recruited in this study, of which 42,650 were training group cases and 853 validation group cases. The variables included in the nomogram were sex, pathological grade, T-stage, N-stage, sequence number, brain metastases, liver metastasis, pulmonary metastasis, histological type, primary site, and laterality. The calibration plots confirmed good agreement between the prediction model and the actual results. The area under the curve (AUC) values in the training and validation groups were 0.952 (95% CI, 0.950–0.954) and 0.836 (95% CI, 0.809–0.860), respectively. Based on CUC, we recommend a threshold probability of 5% to guide the diagnosis of BMs.ConclusionsThe comprehensive predictive tool consisting of nomogram and web calculator contributes to risk stratification which helped clinicians identify high-risk cases and provide personalized treatment options.

With the advances of liquid biopsy technology, there is increasing evidence that body fluid such as blood, urine, and saliva could harbor the potential biomarkers associated with tumor origin. Traditional correlation analysis methods are no longer sufficient to capture the high-resolution complex relationships between biomarkers and cancer subtype heterogeneity. To address the challenge, researchers proposed machine learning techniques with liquid biopsy data to explore the essence of tumor origin together. In this survey, we review the machine learning protocols and provide corresponding code demos for the approaches mentioned. We discuss algorithmic principles and frameworks extensively developed to reveal cancer mechanisms and consider the future prospects in biomarker exploration and cancer diagnostics.