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Testing humans for infectious diseases is often done by assessing the presence or absence of disease-specific antibodies in serum samples. For feasibility and economical reasons, these sera are often tested for more than one antigen. Studying diseases with similar transmission routes can govern new insights for disease dynamics. We use flexible marginal and conditional models to model multisera data on the Varicella-Zoster virus and the Parvo B19-virus in Belgium. Next form the derivation of the age-dependent marginal force of infection (FOI), we introduce new epidemiological parameters: the age-dependent joint and conditional FOI. These parameters allow us to study the association among the occurrence and acquisition of both infections. Furthermore, we show how to test for association and whether the infection-specific age-dependent FOI curves are proportional and consequently whether separable mixing in the population holds. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To evaluate immunogenicity and reactogenicity of primary vaccination with reduced-antigen-content diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis (dTpa) or dTpa-inactivated poliovirus (dTpa-IPV) vaccine compared to diphtheria-tetanus-toxoid vaccines (Td) in adults > or = 40 years of age without diphtheria or tetanus vaccination for 20 years or with an unknown vaccination history.Research Design and Methods: Double-blind, randomized, controlled clinical trial. Primary vaccination with either three doses of dTpa, one dose of dTpa-IPV followed by two doses of Td, or three doses of Td vaccine (control) administered in a 0-1-6-month schedule.Main Outcome Measures: Blood samples were collected before commencement and 1 month after each dose. Local and general symptoms were solicited for 15 days after each dose.Results: A total of 460 adults were enrolled, of whom over 48% did not have protective antibody concentrations against diphtheria and tetanus. One month after dose 3 > 99% had seroprotective anti-diphtheria and tetanus antibodies. Three doses were required to maximize anti-diphtheria seroprotection rates. A vaccine response to pertussis antigens was observed in > 92% of dTpa and dTpa-IPV recipients after dose 1. One month after dTpa-IPV, > 98.4% had seroprotective anti-polio titres. No statistically significant differences in local or general symptoms between groups were observed.Conclusions: dTpa and dTpa-IPV can provide primary vaccination of adults. Combinations of dTpa or dTpa-IPV can be used to replace Td and provide booster vaccination against pertussis and polio simultaneously with diphtheria and tetanus, even in situations where the primary vaccination history is unknown. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Vaccination schedules for under-five children in the EU member states differ markedly, mainly as a consequence of differences in programme organization, decision making and history, and to a limited extent by epidemiological differences. There is little willingness towards unification since little evidence exists to prefer one schedule over the others, but the differences might impact on public confidence. Monitoring key determinants influencing individual decision making on immunization (‘soft impacts’) is thus as important as other existing monitoring systems of the ‘hard’ impacts of immunization programmes, and both should focus on the impact of these schedule differences. Harmonization of vaccination schedules is not the main issue, but the reasons behind the differences should be explained in an understandable and coherent way to the public. Scientists and advisory bodies should look over the country borders and communicate any crucial information, in order to improve scientific consensus on immunization schedules and programmes. These were the main conclusions of a members’ experts panel of the European network of independent science advisory bodies on health (EuSANH), at a workshop in November 2012. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection is endemic worldwide but its seroprevalence varies widely. The goal of this study was to estimate the age-specific seroprevalence of CMV infection in Belgium based on two cross-sectional serological datasets from 2002 and 2006. The seroprevalence was estimated relying on diagnostic test results based on cut-off values pre-specified by the manufacturers of the tests as well as relying on mixture models applied to continuous pathogen-specific immunoglobulin G antibody titre concentrations. The age-specific seroprevalence of hepatitis A virus (HAV), based on three Belgian cross-sectional serological datasets from 1993, 2002 and 2006, was used as a comparator since individuals acquire lifelong immunity upon recovery, implying an increasing seroprevalence with age. The age group weighted overall CMV seroprevalence derived from the mixture model was 32% (95% confidence interval (CI) 31-34%) in 2002 and 31% (95% CI 30-32%) in 2006. We demonstrated that CMV epidemiology differs from the immunizing infection HAV. This was the first large-scale study of CMV and HAV serial datasets in Belgium, estimating seroprevalence specified by age and birth cohort. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the context of precision medicine and in response to the highly needed capacity of rapid interventions towards new infectious diseases and pandemic outbreaks, intradermal immunization is gaining increased attention. However, the currently used Mantoux technique for ID injection is difficult to standardize and requires training, especially when used in children. To allow determining the maximum penetration depth and needle characteristics for the development of a platform of medical devices suited for intradermal injection, VAX-ID® and to ensure an accurate ID injection in children, the epidermal and dermal thickness at the proximal ventral and dorsal forearm (PVF & PDF) and at the deltoid region in children aged 8 weeks to 18 years were assessed. The lateral part of the upper leg was assessed as well in children aged 8 weeks to 2 years since it is a commonly used injection site in this population. Mean thickness of the PVF, PDF, lateral part of the upper leg and deltoid were measured using high-frequency ultrasound. Association with gender, age and BMI was assessed using Mann-Whitney U Test, Spearman correlation and Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test, respectively. Results showed an overall mean skin thickness of 0.99 mm (SD: 0.14 mm) at the PVF, 1.20 mm (SD: 0.17) at the PDF, 1.28 mm (SD: 0.16) at the lateral part of the upper leg and increasing to 1.32 mm (0.25) at the deltoid region. Age and BMI correlated significantly (p < 0.001) with skin thickness at all investigated body sites. Gender did not affect skin thickness in the investigated population. Significant differences in skin thickness at the PVF, PDF and deltoid region were seen according to age and BMI. An optimal needle length of 0.7 mm is advised to guarantee intradermal injection in children at all investigated injection sites. (NCT02727114). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Background Although intramuscular (IM) injection is still the most preferred method for vaccination, intradermal (ID) delivery may have several advantages over intramuscular and subcutaneous (SC), including an improved immune response and antigen dose sparing effect. However it is currently limited due to the difficulty in standardizing the injection technique often based on the Mantoux technique. Difficulties encountered using the Mantoux technique could be overcome by the use of alternative ID delivery systems that confer more uniform and standardized procedures. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of a newly developed intradermal injection device, VAX-ID™, via a proof-of-concept to assess the immunogenicity of a commercially available hepatitis B booster vaccination in healthy hepatitis B pre-immunised subjects. Additionally, device safety and tolerability was evaluated. Materials and methods Three different routes of administration were compared over 4 groups, each receiving hepatitis B vaccine antigen: (1) standard IM injection in the deltoid region (HBVAXPRO® 10 µg/1 ml), (2) ID injection in the proximal posterior area of the forearm according to the Mantoux technique, (3) with VAX-ID™ in one forearm, or (4) with VAX-ID™ in both forearms. For ID injections 0.11 cc, of which 0.01 cc is overfill, was drawn from a vial containing HBVAXPRO® 40 µg/1 ml. Immunogenicity and safety were followed-up at day 0, 14, 30 and 210. Results A total of 48 subjects were included. All subjects showed an anamnestic response at 14 days post booster vaccination. Elevated titres persisted until end of follow-up at day 210. For the ID groups a 3 fold higher immune response at day 14 and day 30 was recorded compared to IM group. Local adverse events were more reported for ID compared to IM. Conclusions The investigated ID injection device VAX-ID™ proves to be a good alternative to offer ID vaccination. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate age-specific measles susceptibility in Australia and 17 European countries. METHODS: As part of the European Sero-Epidemiology Network 2 (ESEN2), 18 countries collected large national serum banks between 1996 and 2004. These banks were tested for measles IgG and the results converted to a common unitage to enable valid intercountry comparisons. Historical vaccination and disease incidence data were also collected. Age-stratified population susceptibility levels were compared to WHO European Region targets for measles elimination of < 15% in those aged 2-4 years, < 10% in 5-9-year-olds and < 5% in older age groups. FINDINGS: Seven countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Luxembourg, Spain, Slovakia, Slovenia and Sweden) met or came very close to the elimination targets. Four countries (Australia, Israel, Lithuania and Malta) had susceptibility levels above WHO targets in some older age groups indicating possible gaps in protection. Seven countries (Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, England and Wales, Ireland, Latvia and Romania) were deemed to be at risk of epidemics as a result of high susceptibility in children and also, in some cases, adults. CONCLUSION: Although all countries now implement a two-dose measles vaccination schedule, if the WHO European Region target of measles elimination by 2010 is to be achieved higher routine coverage as well as vaccination campaigns in some older age cohorts are needed in some countries. Without these improvements, continued measles transmission and outbreaks are expected in Europe. Copyright © 2008 World Health Organization [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

OBJECTIVE: To standardize serological surveillance to compare rubella susceptibility in Australia and 16 European countries, and measure progress towards international disease-control targets. METHODS: Between 1996 and 2004, representative serum banks were established in 17 countries by collecting residual sera or community sampling. Serum banks were tested in each country and assay results were standardized. With a questionnaire, we collected information on current and past rubella vaccination programmes in each country. The percentage of seronegative (< 4 IU/ml) children (2-14 years of age) was used to evaluate rubella susceptibility, and countries were classified by seronegativity as group I (< 5%), group II (5-10%) or group III (> 10%). The proportion of women of childbearing age without rubella protection (< or = 10 IU/ml) was calculated and compared with WHO targets of < 5%. FINDINGS: Only Romania had no rubella immunization programme at the time of the survey; the remaining countries had a two-dose childhood schedule using the measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine. The percentage of susceptible children defined five countries as group I, seven as group II and four as group III. Women of childbearing age without rubella protection were < 5% in only five countries. CONCLUSION: Despite the low reported incidence in many countries, strengthening the coverage of the routine two-dose of MMR vaccine among children is needed, especially in group III countries. Catch-up campaigns in older age groups and selective targeting of older females are needed in many countries to ensure necessary levels of protective immunity among women of childbearing age. Copyright © 2008 World Health Organization [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae has become increasingly important as a causative agent of invasive diseases following vaccination against H. influenzae type b. The emergence of antibiotic resistance underscores the necessity to investigate typeable non-b carriage and non-typeable H. influenzae (NTHi) in children., Methods: Nasopharyngeal swab samples were taken over a three-year period (2016-2018) from 336 children (6-30 months of age) attending daycare centers (DCCs) in Belgium, and from 218 children with acute otitis media (AOM). Biotype, serotype, and antibiotic resistance of H. influenzae strains were determined phenotypically. Mutations in the ftsI gene were explored in 129 strains that were resistant or had reduced susceptibility to beta-lactam antibiotics. Results were compared with data obtained during overlapping time periods from 94 children experiencing invasive disease., Results: Overall, NTHi was most frequently present in both carriage (DCC, AOM) and invasive group. This was followed by serotype "f" (2.2%) and "e" (1.4%) in carriage, and "b" (16.0%), "f" (11.7%), and "a" (4.3%) in invasive strains. Biotype II was most prevalent in all studied groups, followed by biotype III in carriage and I in invasive strains. Strains from both groups showed highest resistance to ampicillin (26.7% in carriage vs. 18.1% in invasive group). A higher frequency of ftsI mutations were found in the AOM group than the DCC group (21.6 vs. 14.9% - p  = 0.056). Even more so, the proportion of biotype III strains that carried a ftsI mutation was higher in AOM compared to DCC (50.0 vs. 26.3% - p  < 0.01) and invasive group., Conclusion: In both groups, NTHi was most frequently circulating, while specific encapsulated serotypes for carriage and invasive group were found. Biotypes I, II and III were more frequently present in the carriage and invasive group. The carriage group had a higher resistance-frequency to the analyzed antibiotics than the invasive group. Interestingly, a higher degree of ftsI mutations was found in children with AOM compared to DCC and invasive group. This data helps understanding the H. influenzae carriage in Belgian children, as such information is scarce., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Ekinci, Willen, Rodriguez Ruiz, Maertens, Van Heirstraeten, Serrano, Wautier, Deplano, Goossens, Van Damme, Beutels, Malhotra-Kumar, Martiny and Theeten.)

Background: Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) effectively reduce infection and asymptomatic carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae vaccine serotypes. In 2016, Belgium replaced its infant PCV13 program by a 4-year period of PCV10. Concomitantly, S. pneumoniae serotype carriage was monitored together with the carriage of other nasopharyngeal pathogens in children attending day-care centers., Methods: From 2016 to 2019, a total of 3459 nasopharyngeal swabs were obtained from children aged 6-30 months. Culture and qPCR were used for the identification of S. pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, Moraxella catarrhalis, and Staphylococcus aureus and for serotyping and antimicrobial susceptibility assessment of S. pneumoniae strains., Results: S. pneumoniae colonization was frequent and stable over the study years. H. influenzae and M. catarrhalis were more frequently carried (P < .001) than S. pneumoniae, by, respectively, 92.3% and 91.0% of children. Prevalence of all PCV13 serotypes together increased significantly over time from 5.8% to 19.6% (P < .001) and was attributable to the increasing prevalence of serotype 19A. Coincidently, non-vaccine serotype 6C increased (P < .001) and the overall pneumococcal non-susceptibility to tetracycline and erythromycin. Non-susceptibility to cotrimoxazole decreased (P < .001)., Conclusions: The switch to a PCV program no longer covering serotypes 19A, 6A, and 3 was associated with a sustained increase of serotypes 19A and 6C in healthy children, similarly as in invasive pneumococcal disease. This resulted in a re-introduction of the 13-valent conjugate vaccine during the summer of 2019., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society.)

Introduction: Long term care facilities for elderly (LTCFs) in Europe encountered a high disease burden at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, these facilities were the first to receive COVID-19 vaccines in many European countries. A limited COVID-19 vaccine supply early 2021 resulted in a majority of residents and healthcare workers (HCWs) in LTCFs being vaccinated compared to a minority in the general population. This study exploits this imbalance to assess the efficiency of COVID-19 vaccination in containing outbreaks in LTCFs., Methods: Exploratory statistics were performed using data from a COVID-19 surveillance system covering all 842 LTCFs in Flanders (the northern region of Belgium). The number and size of COVID-19 outbreaks in LTCFs were compared (1) before and after introducing vaccines and (2) with the status of the pandemic in the general population. Based on individual data from 15 LTCFs, the infection rate and symptoms of vaccinated and unvaccinated residents and HCWs were compared during a COVID-19 outbreak., Results: 95.8% of the residents and 90.9% of the HCWs in Flemish LTCFs were vaccinated before May 30, 2021. Before vaccine introduction, residents in LTCFs were 10 times more likely to test positive for COVID-19 than the general population of Flanders. This ratio reversed after vaccination. Furthermore, after vaccination fewer and shorter outbreaks were observed involving fewer residents. During these outbreaks, vaccinated and unvaccinated residents were equally likely to test positive, but positive vaccinated residents were less likely to develop severe symptoms. In contrast, unvaccinated HCWs were more likely to test positive., Conclusion: In the first half of 2021, two-dose vaccination was highly efficient in preventing and containing outbreaks in LTCFs, reducing COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths. The high likelihood of unvaccinated HCWs to be involved in COVID-19 outbreaks in vaccinated LTCFs emphasizes the importance of vaccinating HCWs., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: The universities of Hasselt and Antwerp received funding for grants from GSK Biologicals, Pfizer, Merck and J&J, outside the submitted work., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

After switching from 13-valent to 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) (2015-2016) for children in Belgium, we observed rapid reemergence of serotype 19A invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). Whole-genome sequencing of 166 serotype 19A IPD isolates from children (n = 54) and older adults (n = 56) and carriage isolates from healthy children (n = 56) collected after the vaccine switch (2017-2018) showed 24 sequence types (STs). ST416 (global pneumococcal sequence cluster [GPSC] 4) and ST994 (GPSC146) accounted for 75.9% of IPD strains from children and 65.7% of IPD (children and older adults) and carriage isolates in the PCV10 period (2017-2018). These STs differed from predominant 19A IPD STs after introduction of PCV7 (2011) in Belgium (ST193 [GPSC11] and ST276 [GPSC10]), which indicates that prediction of emerging strains cannot be based solely on historical emerging strains. Despite their susceptible antimicrobial drug profiles, these clones spread in carriage and IPD during PCV10 use.

Vaccine-preventable diseases, such as measles, have been re-emerging in countries with moderate to high vaccine uptake. It is increasingly important to identify and close immunity gaps and increase coverage of routine childhood vaccinations, including two doses of the measles-mumps-rubella vaccine (MMR). Here, we present a simple cohort model relying on a Bayesian approach to evaluate the evolution of measles seroprevalence in Belgium using the three most recent cross-sectional serological survey data collections (2002, 2006 and 2013) and information regarding vaccine properties. We find measles seroprevalence profiles to be similar for the different regions in Belgium. These profiles exhibit a drop in seroprevalence in birth cohorts that were offered vaccination at suboptimal coverages in the first years after routine vaccination has been started up. This immunity gap is observed across all cross-sectional survey years, although it is more pronounced in survey year 2013. At present, the COVID-19 pandemic could negatively impact the immunization coverage worldwide, thereby increasing the need for additional immunization programs in groups of children that are impacted by this. Therefore, it is now even more important to identify existing immunity gaps and to sustain and reach vaccine-derived measles immunity goals., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: Niel Hens reports financial support was provided by European Research Council. Julie Schenk reports financial support was provided by European Research Council. Niel Hens reports a relationship with GSK. Niel Hens reports a relationship with Pfizer Inc. Niel Hens reports a relationship with Johnson & Johnson. Heidi Theeten reports a relationship with Pfizer Inc., (Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)

Presence of SARS-CoV-2 was monitored in nasopharyngeal samples from young children aged 6-30 months attending day-care centres (DCCs) in Belgium from May 2020-February 2022. SARS-CoV-2 carriage among DCC children was only detected from November 2021, after emergence of Delta and Omicron variants, in 9 of the 42 DCCs screened. In only one DCC, two children tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 at the same sampling time point, suggesting limited transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Belgian DCCs among young children during the studied period.

BackgroundTo control epidemic waves, it is important to know the susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 and its evolution over time in relation to the control measures taken.AimTo assess the evolving SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and seroincidence related to the first national lockdown in Belgium, we performed a nationwide seroprevalence study, stratified by age, sex and region using 3,000-4,000 residual samples during seven periods between 30 March and 17 October 2020.MethodsWe analysed residual sera from ambulatory patients for IgG antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 S1 protein with a semiquantitative commercial ELISA. Weighted seroprevalence (overall and by age category and sex) and seroincidence during seven consecutive periods were estimated for the Belgian population while accommodating test-specific sensitivity and specificity.ResultsThe weighted overall seroprevalence initially increased from 1.8% (95% credible interval (CrI): 1.0-2.6) to 5.3% (95% CrI: 4.2-6.4), implying a seroincidence of 3.4% (95% CrI: 2.4-4.6) between the first and second collection period over a period of 3 weeks during lockdown (start lockdown mid-March 2020). Thereafter, seroprevalence stabilised, however, significant decreases were observed when comparing the third with the fifth, sixth and seventh period, resulting in negative seroincidence estimates after lockdown was lifted. We estimated for the last collection period mid-October 2020 a weighted overall seroprevalence of 4.2% (95% CrI: 3.1-5.2).ConclusionDuring lockdown, an initially small but increasing fraction of the Belgian population showed serologically detectable signs of exposure to SARS-CoV-2, which did not further increase when confinement measures eased and full lockdown was lifted.

BackgroundCOVID-19 mortality, excess mortality, deaths per million population (DPM), infection fatality ratio (IFR) and case fatality ratio (CFR) are reported and compared for many countries globally. These measures may appear objective, however, they should be interpreted with caution.AimWe examined reported COVID-19-related mortality in Belgium from 9 March 2020 to 28 June 2020, placing it against the background of excess mortality and compared the DPM and IFR between countries and within subgroups.MethodsThe relation between COVID-19-related mortality and excess mortality was evaluated by comparing COVID-19 mortality and the difference between observed and weekly average predictions of all-cause mortality. DPM were evaluated using demographic data of the Belgian population. The number of infections was estimated by a stochastic compartmental model. The IFR was estimated using a delay distribution between infection and death.ResultsIn the study period, 9,621 COVID-19-related deaths were reported, which is close to the excess mortality estimated using weekly averages (8,985 deaths). This translates to 837 DPM and an IFR of 1.5% in the general population. Both DPM and IFR increase with age and are substantially larger in the nursing home population.DiscussionDuring the first pandemic wave, Belgium had no discrepancy between COVID-19-related mortality and excess mortality. In light of this close agreement, it is useful to consider the DPM and IFR, which are both age, sex, and nursing home population-dependent. Comparison of COVID-19 mortality between countries should rather be based on excess mortality than on COVID-19-related mortality.

Streptococcus pneumoniae is an important and frequently carried respiratory pathogen that has the potential to cause serious invasive diseases, such as pneumonia, meningitis, and sepsis. Young children and older adults are among the most vulnerable to developing serious disease. With the arrival of the COVID-19 pandemic and the concomitant restrictive measures, invasive disease cases caused by respiratory bacterial species, including pneumococci, decreased substantially. Notably, the stringency of the containment measures as well as the visible reduction in the movement of people appeared to coincide with the drop in invasive disease cases. One could argue that wearing protective masks and adhering to social distancing guidelines to halt the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, also led to a reduction in the person-to-person transmission of respiratory bacterial species. Although plausible, this conjecture is challenged by novel data obtained from our nasopharyngeal carriage study which is performed yearly in healthy daycare center attending children. A sustained and high pneumococcal carriage rate was observed amid periods of stringent restrictive measures. This finding prompts us to revisit the connection between nasopharyngeal colonization and invasion and invites us to look closer at the nasopharyngeal microbiome as a whole., Competing Interests: SD and HT received an investigator-initiated research grant from Pfizer. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2022 Willen, Ekinci, Cuypers, Theeten and Desmet.)

Background: Streptococcus pneumoniae (Sp) is a major cause of acute otitis media (AOM). Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) programs have altered pneumococcal serotype epidemiology in disease and carriage. In this study, we used samples collected during a cross-sectional study to examine if the clinical picture of acute otitis media (AOM) in young children exposed to the PCV program in Belgium was related to the carried pneumococcal strains, and if their carriage profile differed from healthy children attending daycare centers. Material/Methods: In three collection periods from February 2016 to May 2018, nasopharyngeal swabs and background characteristics were collected from children aged 6-30 months either presenting at their physician with AOM (AOM-group) or healthy and attending day care (DCC-group). Clinical signs of AOM episodes and treatment schedule were registered by the physicians. Sp was detected, quantified, and characterized using both conventional culture analysis and real-time PCR analysis. Results: Among 3,264 collected samples, overall pneumococcal carriage and density were found at similar rates in both AOM and DCC. As expected non-vaccine serotypes were most frequent: 23B (AOM: 12.3%; DCC: 17.4%), 11A (AOM: 7.5%; DCC: 7.4%) and 15B (AOM: 7.5%; DCC: 7.1%). Serotypes 3, 6C, 7B, 9N, 12F, 17F, and 29 were more often found in AOM than in DCC ( p -value < 0.05), whereas 23A and 23B were less often present in AOM ( p -value < 0.05). Antibiotic non-susceptibility of Sp strains was similar in both groups. No predictors of AOM severity were identified. Conclusion: In the present study, overall carriage prevalence and density of S. pneumoniae were found similar in young children with AOM and in healthy children attending day-care centers in Belgium. Certain serotypes not currently included in the PCV vaccines were found to be carried more often in children with AOM than in DCC, a finding that might suggest a relationship between these serotypes and AOM., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2021 Ekinci, Desmet, Van Heirstraeten, Mertens, Wouters, Beutels, Verhaegen, Malhotra-Kumar, Theeten and NPcarriage Group.)

Chronic otitis media with effusion (OME) has been associated with a shift in microbiome composition and microbial interaction in the upper respiratory tract (URT). While most studies have focused on potential pathogens, this study aimed to find bacteria that could be protective against OME through a case-control microbiome study and characterization of isolates from healthy subjects. The URT and ear microbiome profiles of 70 chronic OME patients and 53 controls were compared by 16S rRNA amplicon sequencing. Haemophilus influenzae was the most frequent classic middle ear pathobiont. However, other taxa, especially Alloiococcus otitis , were also frequently detected in the ear canal of OME patients. Streptococci of the salivarius group and Acinetobacter lwoffii were more abundant in the nasopharynx of healthy controls than in OME patients. In addition to the microbiome analysis, 142 taxa were isolated from healthy individuals, and 79 isolates of 13 different Streptococcus species were tested for their pathobiont-inhibiting potential. Of these, Streptococcus salivarius isolates showed a superior capacity to inhibit the growth of H. influenzae , Moraxella catarrhalis , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Streptococcus pyogenes , Staphylococcus aureus , A. otitis , and Corynebacterium otitidis S. salivarius strains thus show potential as a probiotic for prevention or treatment of OME based on their overrepresentation in the healthy nasopharynx and their ability to inhibit the growth of respiratory pathobionts. (This study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under registration no. NCT03109496.) IMPORTANCE The majority of probiotics marketed today target gastrointestinal health. This study searched for bacteria native to the human upper respiratory tract, with a beneficial potential for respiratory and middle ear health. Comparison of the microbiomes of children with chronic otitis media with effusion (OME) and of healthy controls identified Streptococcus salivarius as a health-associated and prevalent inhabitant of the human nasopharynx. However, beneficial potential should be assessed at strain level. Here, we also isolated specific S. salivarius strains from the healthy individuals in our study. These isolates showed a beneficial safety profile and efficacy potential to inhibit OME pathogens in vitro These properties will now have to be evaluated and confirmed in human clinical studies., (Copyright © 2021 Jörissen et al.)

To gain knowledge about the role of young children attending daycare in the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic, a random sample of children (n = 84) aged between 6 and 30 months attending daycare in Belgium was studied shortly after the start of the epidemic (February 29th) and before the lockdown (March 18th) by performing in-house SARS-CoV-2 real-time polymerase chain reaction. No asymptomatic carriage of SARS-CoV-2 was detected, whereas common cold symptoms were common (51.2%). Our study shows that in Belgium, there was no sign of early introduction into daycare centers at the moment children being not yet isolated at home, although the virus was clearly circulating. It is clear that more evidence is needed to understand the actual role of young children in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and their infection risk when attending daycare., (© 2020 Wiley Periodicals LLC.)

Background: Despite the universal use of the two-dose trivalent measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine in the past two decades, outbreaks of these diseases still occur in countries with high vaccine uptake, giving rise to concerns about primary and secondary failure of MMR vaccine components. We aimed to provide seroconversion and waning rate estimates for the measles, mumps, and rubella components of MMR vaccines., Methods: In this systematic review and meta-analysis we searched PubMed (including MEDLINE), Web of Science, and Embase for randomised controlled trials, cohort studies, or longitudinal studies reporting the immunogenicity and persistence of MMR vaccines, published in English from database inception to Dec 31, 2019. Studies were included if they investigated vaccine-induced immunity in healthy individuals who received a trivalent MMR vaccine, including different dosages and timepoints of vaccine administration. Studies featuring coadministration of MMR with other vaccines, maternal immunity to the MMR vaccine, or non-trivalent formulations of the vaccine were excluded. Pooled seroconversion and waning rates were estimated by random-effects meta-analyses. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42019116705., Findings: We identified 3615 unique studies, 62 (1·7%) of which were eligible for analysis. Estimated overall seroconversion rates were 96·0% (95% CI 94·5-97·4; I 2 =91·1%) for measles, 93·3% (91·1-95·2; I 2 =94·9%) for mumps when excluding the Rubini strain, 91·1% (87·4-94·1; I 2 =96·6%) for mumps when including the Rubini strain, and 98·3% (97·3-99·2; I 2 =93·0%) for rubella. Estimated overall annual waning rates were 0·009 (95% CI 0·005-0·016; I 2 =85·2%) for measles, 0·024 (0·016-0·039; I 2 =94·7%) for mumps, and 0·012 (0·010-0·014; I 2 =93·3%) for rubella., Interpretation: Our meta-analysis provides estimates of primary and secondary vaccine failure, which are essential to improve the accuracy of mathematical and statistical modelling to understand and predict the occurrence of future measles, mumps, and rubella outbreaks in countries with high vaccine uptake., Funding: European Research Council., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

In this first serosurvey among psychiatric healthcare providers, only 3.2% of a sample of 431 staff members of a Belgian University Psychiatric Centre, screened 3-17 June 2020, had SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin G antibodies, which is considerably lower compared with both the general population and other healthcare workers in Belgium. The low seroprevalence was unexpected, given the limited availability of personal protective equipment and the high amount of COVID-19 symptoms reported by staff members. Importantly, exposure at home predicted the presence of antibodies, but exposure at work did not. Measures to prevent transmission from staff to patients are warranted in psychiatric facilities.

Background: Changes in serotype distribution have been described after the switch from the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) to the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) in Belgium., Aim: To describe serotype's invasive disease potential and the detailed evolution of serotype distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility of pneumococcal isolates (carriage and IPD) in children up to 30 months of age over a period during and after the vaccine switch (2015-2018)., Methods: S. pneumoniae strains isolated from the nasopharynx of healthy children attending day-care centres (DCCs) and strains from normally sterile sites of children with IPD were serotyped (Quellung-reaction) and antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed. Invasive disease potential was defined as the serotype-specific odds ratio (OR)., Results: The highly invasive (OR > 1) serotypes 12F, 1, 3, 24A/B/F, 33F, 19A, and 9N were not frequently carried (<7.5% of carriage strains). Different serotypes dominated in carriage (23B, 23A, 11A, 15B) versus IPD (12F, 19A, 10A, 33F). PCV13 vaccine serotypes increased in carriage (5.4% (25/463) in period 1 vs 10.3% (69/668) in period 3) and in IPD (7.3% (8/110 in period 1 vs 23.9% (34/142) in period 3) due to an increase (p < 0.01) in serotype 19A. The penicillin non-susceptibility of 19A was lower (p = 0.02) in carriage (6.8%) than in IPD (23.5%). Erythromycin and tetracycline non-susceptibility were more frequent (p < 0.01) in IPD (26.0%; 23.0%) compared to carriage strains (18.2%; 14.5%) and penicillin non-susceptibility increased over the three year study period (carriage: 13.4%, 19.8%, 18.5%, p = 0.05; IPD: 11.8%, 15.0%, 20.4%, p = 0.02)., Conclusion: Only some of the serotypes with high invasive disease potential (serotype 1, 3, 19A) in Belgium are included in PCV10 and/or PCV13. This reinforces the need for continuous monitoring, both in healthy children as in children with IPD, to better understand the dynamics of pneumococcal disease, to optimise the composition and implementation of PCVs., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Starting from historic reflections, the current SARS-CoV-2 induced COVID-19 pandemic is examined from various perspectives, in terms of what it implies for the implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, the modeling and monitoring of the epidemic, the development of early-warning systems, the study of mortality, prevalence estimation, diagnostic and serological testing, vaccine development, and ultimately clinical trials. Emphasis is placed on how the pandemic had led to unprecedented speed in methodological and clinical development, the pitfalls thereof, but also the opportunities that it engenders for national and international collaboration, and how it has simplified and sped up procedures. We also study the impact of the pandemic on clinical trials in other indications. We note that it has placed biostatistics, epidemiology, virology, infectiology, and vaccinology, and related fields in the spotlight in an unprecedented way, implying great opportunities, but also the need to communicate effectively, often amidst controversy., (Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Recent European studies suggest an emergence of hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection. We evaluated trends in birth cohort-specific HEV seroprevalence and regional differences in Belgium. HEV IgG seroprevalence was analysed on national serum banks (1579 and 2087 samples for 2006 and 2014, respectively. Hepatitis E virus antigen was tested on positive samples. Observed data were modelled using a generalized additive model with a complementary log-log link. No significant differences between birth cohorts or sexes were found. Modelling identified the individual's age and province as relevant factors. The probability of HEV seropositivity increases significantly with age. An estimated total of 434 819 (yearly rate of 54,352) (sero-)infections were found between 2006 and 2014. Overall, HEV IgG seroprevalences were 4.1% (64/1579, 95% CI 3.1-5.1) and 5.8% (121/2087, CI 4.8-6.9) in 2006 and 2014, respectively. Observed HEV antigen seroprevalence was 0.027% (1/3666) for the entire cohort. These results show stable HEV IgG seroprevalence in Belgium., (© 2020 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

BackgroundThe current carriage study was set up to reinforce surveillance during/after the PCV13-to-PCVC10 switch in Belgium.AimThis observational study monitored carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae (Sp) serotypes, particularly those no longer covered (3, 6A, 19A), as well as Haemophilus influenzae (Hi), because PCV10 contains the non-typeable Hi protein D.MethodsA total of 2,615 nasopharyngeal swabs from children (6-30 months old) attending day care were collected in three periods over 2016-2018. Children's demographic and clinical characteristics and vaccination status were obtained through a questionnaire. Sp and Hi were identified by culture and PCR. Pneumococcal strains were tested for antimicrobial (non-)susceptibility by disc diffusion and serotyped by Quellung-reaction (Quellung-reaction and PCR for serotypes 3, 6A, 19A).ResultsThe carriage prevalence of Sp (> 75%) remained stable over the successive periods but that of Hi increased (87.4%, 664 Hi-carriers/760 in 2016 vs 93.9%, 895/953 in 2017-2018). The proportion of non-PCV13 vaccine serotypes decreased (94.6%, 438 isolates/463 in 2016 vs 89.7%, 599/668 in 2017-2018) while that of PCV13-non-PCV10 vaccine serotypes (3 + 6A + 19A) increased (0.9%, 4 isolates/463 in 2016 vs 7.8%, 52/668 in 2017-2018), with serotype 19A most frequently identified (87.9%, 58/66 isolates). Non-susceptibility of pneumococci against any of the tested antibiotics was stable over the study period (> 44%).ConclusionsDuring and after the PCV13-to-PCV10 vaccine switch, the proportion of non-PCV13 serotypes decreased, mainly due to a serotype 19A carriage prevalence increase. These results complement invasive pneumococcal disease surveillance data, providing further basis for pneumococcal vaccination programme policy making.

Background: Our work was motivated by the need to, given serum availability and/or financial resources, decide on which samples to test in a serum bank for different pathogens. Simulation-based sample size calculations were performed to determine the age-based sampling structures and optimal allocation of a given number of samples for testing across various age groups best suited to estimate key epidemiological parameters (e.g., seroprevalence or force of infection) with acceptable precision levels in a cross-sectional seroprevalence survey., Methods: Statistical and mathematical models and three age-based sampling structures (survey-based structure, population-based structure, uniform structure) were used. Our calculations are based on Belgian serological survey data collected in 2001-2003 where testing was done, amongst others, for the presence of Immunoglobulin G antibodies against measles, mumps, and rubella, for which a national mass immunisation programme was introduced in 1985 in Belgium, and against varicella-zoster virus and parvovirus B19 for which the endemic equilibrium assumption is tenable in Belgium., Results: The optimal age-based sampling structure to use in the sampling of a serological survey as well as the optimal allocation distribution varied depending on the epidemiological parameter of interest for a given infection and between infections., Conclusions: When estimating epidemiological parameters with acceptable levels of precision within the context of a single cross-sectional serological survey, attention should be given to the age-based sampling structure. Simulation-based sample size calculations in combination with mathematical modelling can be utilised for choosing the optimal allocation of a given number of samples over various age groups.

Background: A three year pneumococcal carriage study was set up in Belgium when the vaccination programme switched from a 13-valent (PCV13) to a 10-valent (PCV10) vaccine. We compared the first follow-up period (October 2016 - June 2017, year 2, Y2) for nasopharyngeal carriage, serotype distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility of S. pneumoniae with the baseline (January-July 2016, year 1, Y1)., Materials/methods: A single nasopharyngeal swab was taken in children (6-30 months), either attending one of the 112 day-care centres (DCCs), or visiting one of the 21 physicians for an acute otitis media (AOM). S. pneumoniae were cultured, screened for antimicrobial susceptibility, and serotyped., Results: In Y2, 1218 samples were collected. The majority of the Y2-children (>85%) was vaccinated appropriately for their age. Children in Y2 received either PCV13 only (DCC: 23.5%; AOM: 24.6%), PCV10 only (DCC: 29.8%; AOM: 37.7%), or a mix of both vaccines (DCC: 31.9%; AOM: 25.4%). Pneumococcal carriage rates were high (Y2, DCC: 68.2%; AOM: 64.8%). Among carriers, prevalence of PCV13 serotypes was low (Y2 vs Y1, DCC: 3.5% vs 5.4%; AOM: 7.6% vs 7.7%). Although prevalence of PCV13-non-PCV10 serotypes did not increase significantly compared to Y1 (Y2 vs Y1, DCC: 1.6% vs 0.9%; Y2 vs Y1, AOM: 5.1% vs 0.0%), the proportion of serotypes 3, 6A, 19A among PCV13 serotype carriers in DCC was significantly higher in Y2 (46.2% vs Y1: 16.0%, p-value = 0.034). Serotypes 23B and 15B were the predominant non-vaccine serotypes (Y2). Among detected strains, non-susceptibility to at least one of five antibiotics tested (penicillin, tetracycline, erythromycin, levofloxacin, cotrimoxazole) was comparable to Y1 (Y2 vs Y1, DCC: 41.3% vs 42.4%; AOM: 49.4% vs 48.1%)., Conclusion: After completion of the PCV13-to-PCV10 vaccine switch in Belgium, the proportion of PCV13-non-PCV10 serotypes (mainly 19A) significantly increased among PCV13 serotype carriers in DCC, stressing the need for strengthened surveillance as the PCV10-vaccinated population grows., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: Vietnam is implementing hepatitis B (HBV) birth dose (BD) vaccination since 2003 but coverage remains low, especially in the Mekong River Delta. This study aimed to determine the coverage of the HBV BD vaccination, to identify socio-demographic factors influencing HBV BD, and to assess reasons for non-immunization of neonates., Methods: A cross-sectional survey was conducted in 2015-2016. Mothers from 526 children aged 6-11 months living in 3 provinces in the Mekong River Delta - representing respectively urban, rural and remote area - were interviewed at home and infant vaccination documents were checked. The three-stage sampling method was adapted from WHO 30-cluster sampling. Predictors of HBV BD administration were identified with multiple regression analysis., Results: The overall HBV BD coverage (within 24 h) was 46.6% (compared to 44.5% for BCG) and was significantly higher in remote or rural than in urban area (OR 1.87 and 3.36, respectively), and in children whose father had a higher educational level (OR 2.76; 2.29 and 1.86, respectively, for master degree, bachelor and secondary school) as compared to a lower level. Main reasons for not having received HBV BD mentioned by parents were vaccines not offered by health care workers (53.0%), and illness of the infant (27.2%)., Conclusion: Although Vietnam started HBV BD vaccination more than 10 years ago, the coverage and timeliness need to improve to reach WHO targets (95% within 24 h after birth). Better training and information of health care workers, and better protocols ensuring timely HBV BD could address these vaccine administration thresholds., (Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)

The Belgian strategic plan to eliminate measles contains several vaccination strategies including routine immunisation programmes and catch-up campaigns. A new expanded programme on immunisation-based survey (2016) assessed the uptake of the recommended measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine in three different cohorts: toddlers, adolescents and parents of toddlers. A two-stage cluster sampling technique was used to select 875 toddlers (age 18-24 months) and 1250 adolescents (born in 2000) from 107 municipalities in Flanders. After consent of the parent(s), 746 (85.2%) families of toddlers and 1012 (81.0%) families of adolescents were interviewed at home. Measles vaccination coverage was high at 18-24 months (96.2%) and 81.5% were vaccinated at recommended age. Toddlers who had two siblings or a non-working mother or changed vaccinator were more at risk for not being vaccinated. Coverage of the teenager dose reached 93.5% and was lower in adolescents with educational underachievement or whose mother was part-time working or with a non-Belgian background. Only 56.0% of mothers and 48.3% of fathers remembered having received at least one measles-containing vaccine. Although measles vaccination coverage in toddlers meets the required standards for elimination, administration of the teenager dose of MMR vaccine and parent compliance to the recent measles catch-up campaign in Flanders leave room for improvement.

Streptococcus pneumoniae causes a high disease burden including pneumonia, meningitis and septicemia. Both a polysaccharide vaccine targeting 23 serotypes (PPV23) and a 13-valent conjugate vaccine (PCV13) are indicated for persons aged over 50 years. We developed and parameterized a static multi-cohort model to estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness and budget-impact of these vaccines at different uptake levels. Using three different vaccine efficacy scenarios regarding non-invasive pneumococcal pneumonia and extensive uni- and multivariate sensitivity analyses, we found a strong preference for PPV23 over PCV13 in all age groups at willingness to pay levels below €300 000 per quality adjusted life year (QALY). PPV23 vaccination would cost on average about €83 000, €60 000 and €52 000 per QALY gained in 50-64, 65-74 and 75-84 year olds, whereas for PCV13 this is about €171 000, €201 000 and €338 000, respectively. Strategies combining PPV23 and PCV13 vaccines were most effective but generally less cost-effective. When assuming a combination of increased duration of PCV13 protection, increased disease burden preventable by PCV13 and a 75% reduction of the PCV13 price, PCV13 could become more attractive in <75 year olds, but would remain less attractive than PPV23 from age 75 years onwards. These observations are independent of the assumption that PPV23 has 0% efficacy against non-invasive pneumococcal pneumonia. Pneumococcal vaccination would be most cost-effective in Belgium, when achieving high uptake with PPV23 in 75-84 year olds, as well as by negotiating a lower market-conform PPV23 price to improve uptake and cost-effectiveness.

Background: In Flanders, Belgium, pertussis vaccination is recommended since 2013 and available free-of-charge in every pregnancy between 24 and 32 weeks of gestation. Influenza vaccination is recommended for more than 10 years with a co-payment system in the second or third trimester of pregnancy, when pregnancy coincides with the influenza season. This study aims to estimate the coverage of pertussis and influenza vaccination during pregnancy in 2016 and to determine predictors for missing vaccination., Methods: Postpartum women were visited at home for a vaccination coverage survey using an Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI)-based two-stage cluster sampling design. Predictors for missed vaccination were identified using a multiple logistic regression model., Results: Among 481 participating women, 69.3% were vaccinated against pertussis and 47.2% were vaccinated against influenza. Moreover, 65.3% of pertussis vaccine recipients and 96.9% of influenza vaccine recipients were vaccinated within the recommended gestational window. Surprisingly, among women who were completely informed (i.e. on disease-associated risks, maternal vaccination costs and recommendations), still 12.4% were unvaccinated against pertussis and 23.9% against influenza. In the final models, the only common predictor of missing maternal pertussis and influenza vaccination was multiparity. Significant predictors of maternal pertussis vaccination were family income (less likely if unknown or low (< €3000) than if moderate (€3001-€4000)) and hospital of delivery (less likely if >800 annual deliveries than <800). Significant predictors of maternal influenza vaccination, though with less straight-forward associations, were maternal ethnicity and educational level, involvement of a gynaecologist in pregnancy follow-up, and characteristics of the hospital of delivery., Conclusion: In Flanders, more than two-third of pregnant women receives pertussis vaccination but less than half of them receives the influenza vaccine. Further improvement for both maternal vaccination programs can be achieved by targeting the underserved populations and diminishing vaccination hurdles., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Pertussis is a vaccine-preventable respiratory disease that may cause death mainly in infants. The schedules for primary pertussis vaccination are set in each country by the local health authorities. Several different schedules meet World Health Organization recommendations, 2-4-6 months, 6-10-14 weeks, 2-3-4 months and 3-4-5 months being the most commonly used worldwide. In this work, we analyze the benefits of changing the vaccination schedule to control the disease., Methods: We used an age-structured deterministic mathematical model for pertussis transmission to compute the incidences for the 4 above-mentioned schedules. Different vaccination coverages and vaccine effectiveness levels were considered. Immunization data from Argentina and Belgium were used., Results: The highest reduction in incidence was obtained by adopting the 6-10-14 weeks schedule, reaching about a 36% reduction of 0-1-year incidence with respect to the 2-4-6 months schedule. We show the dependence of this reduction on both vaccine effectiveness and coverage. The severe pertussis incidence decreased significantly when the first dose of the 2-4-6 months schedule was accelerated to 6 weeks. Finally, we estimated that the communication campaign adopted in Flanders (Belgium) to improve compliance with the vaccine schedule could lead to a reduction of 16% in severe pertussis incidence and about 7% in total incidence in infants., Conclusions: Our work highlights the use of mathematical modeling to quantify the benefits of the existing vaccination schedules and the strategies that could be implemented to improve their compliance. Our results indicated that the 6-10-14 weeks is the best schedule option and that the Belgium vaccination campaign significantly reduced the incidence of severe cases.