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In a prospective study of 10,011 men with 815 prostate cancer cases, despite plausible biological mechanisms, neither increasing intake levels of dairy products nor calcium from dairy products (P trend; 0.23 and 0.64, respectively), or calcium supplements was associated with prostate cancer risk (relative risk, 1.05; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.31). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In a study of 32 687 subjects with data on physical activity and body mass index (BMI) collected serially over time, we examined associations with pancreatic cancer mortality (n=212). Despite plausible biologic mechanisms, neither physical activity (multivariate relative risks for increasing levels: 1.00, 0.98, 0.92, and 1.31, respectively) nor BMI (corresponding findings: 1.00, 0.84, 1.08, and 0.99, respectively) significantly predicted pancreatic cancer mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: To examine the associations of physical activity and body size with risk of prostate cancer.Methods: At baseline in 1988, 8922 men (mean age 67 years) completed a health questionnaire which included information on physical activity, body weight, and waist girth. In a subgroup (74% of men), physical activity data also had been provided in 1962 or 1966 and again in 1977. Additionally, body weight measured at age 18 was available for 92% of men. During follow-up from 1988 through 1993, 439 men developed prostate cancer.Results: In multivariate analyses that accounted for potential confounders, the RRs (95% CI) for < 4200, 4200-8399, 8400-12,599, and > or = 12,600 kJ/week of physical activity at baseline were 1.00 (referent), 1.13 (0.84-1.52), 0.96 (0.68-1.35), and 1.04 (0.79-1.38), respectively. For body mass indexes (BMI) of < 22.5, 22.5-24.9, 25.0-27.4, and > or = 27.5 kg/m2 at baseline, corresponding results were 1.00 (referent), 1.27 (0.94-1.71), 1.26 (0.92-1.72), and 1.02 (0.68-1.53), respectively. For waist girths of < or = 86.4, 86.5-91.4, 91.5-96.5, and > 96.5 cm, they were 1.00 (referent), 1.30 (0.96-1.76), 1.31 (0.96-1.80), and 1.19 (0.85-1.65), respectively. Combining physical activity measures from the past, or examining vigorous activities only, did not yield any significant associations. BMI at age 18 also was not related to risk.Conclusion: These findings do not support a role of physical activity or body weight in prostate cancer etiology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Physical activity has been proposed to decrease lung cancer risk; however, few data are available. Further, no studies have examined specific kinds and intensities of activities.Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study among 13 905 male Harvard University alumni (mean age, 58.3 years), free of cancer. Men reported their walking, stair climbing and participation in sports or recreation on baseline questionnaires in 1977, and the occurrence of lung cancer on follow-up questionnaires in 1988 and 1993. Death certificates were obtained for decedents through 1992 to determine lung cancers not previously reported.Results: During follow-up, 245 men developed lung cancer. Adjusting for age, cigarette smoking, and body mass index, the relative risks of lung cancer associated with <4200, 4200-8399, 8400-12 599 and > or =12 600 kJ/week of estimated energy expenditure at baseline were 1.00 (referent), 0.87 (95% CI: 0.64-1.18), 0.76 (95% CI: 0.52-1.11), and 0.61 (95% CI: 0.41-0.89), respectively; P trend = 0.0008. Similar trends were observed among non-smokers or former smokers in 1977 (82.7% of men) as well as among those who smoked >20 cigarettes a day in 1977 (8.0%), although the findings in the latter group were not statistically significant, possibly due to the small number. Walking, climbing stairs and participating in activities of at least moderate intensity (> or =4.5 MET, or multiples of resting metabolic rate) were each inversely associated with lung cancer risk, independent of the other activity components. However, light intensity activities (<4.5 MET) did not predict lung cancer risk.Conclusions: These data indicate that physical activity may be associated with lower risk of lung cancer among men. An energy expenditure of 12 600 kJ/week, achievable by perhaps 6-8 hours of at least moderate intensity physical activity, may significantly lower risk. Further studies are required to confirm these observations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We studied physical fitness and risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in 10,224 men and 3120 women who were given a preventive medical examination. Physical fitness was measured by a maximal treadmill exercise test. Average follow-up was slightly more than 8 years, for a total of 110,482 person-years of observation. There were 240 deaths in men and 43 deaths in women. Age-adjusted all-cause mortality rates declined across physical fitness quintiles from 64.0 per 10,000 person-years in the least-fit men to 18.6 per 10,000 person-years in the most-fit men (slope, -4.5). Corresponding values for women were 39.5 per 10,000 person-years to 8.5 per 10,000 person-years (slope, -5.5). These trends remained after statistical adjustment for age, smoking habit, cholesterol level, systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose level, parental history of coronary heart disease, and follow-up interval. Lower mortality rates in higher fitness categories also were seen for cardiovascular disease and cancer of combined sites. Attributable risk estimates for all-cause mortality indicated that low physical fitness was an important risk factor in both men and women. Higher levels of physical fitness appear to delay all-cause mortality primarily due to lowered rates of cardiovascular disease and cancer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To examine the independent associations of vigorous (> or = 6 resting metabolic rate [MET] score) and nonvigorous (< 6 MET score) physical activity with longevity.Design: Prospective cohort study, following up men from 1962 or 1966 through 1988.Setting/participants: Subjects were Harvard University alumni, without self-reported, physician-diagnosed cardiovascular disease, cancer, or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (n = 17,321). Men with a mean age of 46 years reported their physical activities on questionnaires at baseline.Main Outcome Measure: All-cause mortality (3728 deaths).Results: Total energy expenditure and energy expenditure from vigorous activities, but not energy expenditure from nonvigorous activities, related inversely to mortality. After adjustment for potential confounders, the relative risks of dying associated with increasing quintiles of total energy expenditure were 1.00 (referent), 0.94, 0.95, 0.91 and 0.91, respectively (P [trend] < .05). The relative risks of dying associated with less than 630, 630 to less than 1680, 1680 to less than 3150, 3150 to less than 6300, and 6300 or more kJ/wk expended on vigorous activities were 1.00 (referent), 0.88, 0.92, 0.87, and 0.87, respectively (P [trend] = .007). Corresponding relative risks for energy expended on nonvigorous activities were 1.00 (referent), 0.89, 1.00, 0.98, and 0.92, respectively (P [trend] = .36). Analyses of vigorous and nonvigorous activities were mutually adjusted. Among men who reported only vigorous activities (259 deaths), we observed decreasing age-standardized mortality rates with increasing activity (P = .05); among men who reported only nonvigorous activities (380 deaths), no trend was apparent (P = .99).Conclusions: These data demonstrate a graded inverse relationship between total physical activity and mortality. Furthermore, vigorous activities but not nonvigorous activities were associated with longevity. These findings pertain only to all-cause mortality; nonvigorous exercise has been shown to benefit other aspects of health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To evaluate the relationship between changes in physical fitness and risk of mortality in men.Design: Prospective study, with two clinical examinations (mean interval between examinations, 4.9 years) to assess change or lack of change in physical fitness as associated with risk of mortality during follow-up after the subsequent examination (mean follow-up from subsequent examination, 5.1 years).Setting: Preventive medicine clinic.Study Participants: Participants were 9777 men given two preventive medical examinations, each of which included assessment of physical fitness by maximal exercise tests and evaluation of health status.Main Outcome Measures: All cause (n = 223) and cardiovascular disease (n = 87) mortality.Results: The highest age-adjusted all-cause death rate was observed in men who were unfit at both examinations (122.0/10,000 man-years); the lowest death rate was in men who were physically fit at both examinations (39.6/10,000 man-years). Men who improved from unfit to fit between the first and subsequent examinations had an age-adjusted death rate of 67.7/10,000 man-years. This is a reduction in mortality risk of 44% (95% confidence interval, 25% to 59%) relative to men who remained unfit at both examinations. Improvement in fitness was associated with lower death rates after adjusting for age, health status, and other risk factors of premature mortality. For each minute increase in maximal treadmill time between examinations, there was a corresponding 7.9% (P = .001) decrease in risk of mortality. Similar results were seen when the group was stratified by health status, and for cardiovascular disease mortality.Conclusions: Men who maintained or improved adequate physical fitness were less likely to die from all causes and from cardiovascular disease during follow-up than persistently unfit men. Physicians should encourage unfit men to improve their fitness by starting a physical activity program. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To investigate the nature of the relation between body weight and all-cause mortality.Design: Prospective cohort study, following up men from 1962 or 1966 (1962/1966) through 1988.Setting/participants: Harvard University alumni with a mean age of 46.6 years in 1962/1966 and without self-reported, physician-diagnosed coronary heart disease, stroke, or cancer, who completed questionnaires on weight, height, cigarette smoking habit, and physical activity (n = 19,297). We calculated body mass index (weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters) using self-reported measures.Main Outcome Measure: All-cause mortality (4370 deaths).Results: In multivariate analysis adjusting for age, cigarette smoking habit, and physical activity, we found a J-shaped relation between body mass index and mortality. Relative risks of dying for men with a body mass index of less than 22.5, 22.5 to less than 23.5, 23.5 to less than 24.5, 24.5 to less than 26.0, and 26.0 or greater were 1.00 (referent), 0.99 (95% confidence interval, 0.89 to 1.20), 0.95 (0.87 to 1.05), 1.01 (0.91 to 1.10), and 1.18 (1.08 to 1.28), respectively (P for linear trend = .0008). Among current smokers, the relation between body mass index and mortality was U-shaped, with lowest risk of death at a body mass index of 23.5 to less than 24.5. During early follow-up (1962/1966 through 1974), we also observed a U-shaped curve, this time with lowest mortality risk at a body mass index of 24.5 to less than 26.0. To minimize confounding by cigarette smoking and bias from antecedent disease and early mortality, we conducted analysis only among never smokers and omitted the first 5 years of follow-up (510 deaths). The corresponding relative risks from this analysis, adjusted for age and physical activity, were 1.00, 1.23 (95% confidence interval, 0.90 to 1.67), 1.06 (0.80 to 1.42), 1.27 (0.96 to 1.68), and 1.67 (1.29 to 2.17), respectively (P for linear trend = .0001).Conclusions: In these prospective data, body weight and mortality were directly related. After accounting for confounding by cigarette smoking and bias resulting from illness-related weight loss or inappropriate control for the biologic effects of obesity, we found no evidence of excess mortality among lean men. Indeed, lowest mortality was observed among men weighing, on average, 20% below the US average for men of comparable age and height. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: It is unclear whether physical activity is associated with a reduced risk of breast cancer. Some studies also suggest different effects between pre- and postmenopausal women, and lean and heavy women.Methods: We followed 1,566 University of Pennsylvania alumnae (mean age, 45.5 years), initially free of breast cancer, from 1962 until 1993. Physical activity at baseline was assessed by asking women about stairs climbed, blocks walked, and sports played. We estimated energy expenditure and categorized women into approximate thirds (< 500, 500-999, 1,000+ kcal/wk). We identified 109 breast cancer cases during 35,365 person-years from follow-up questionnaires or from death certificates.Results: After adjustment for age and body mass index (BMI) (kg/m2), the relative risk (RR) of breast cancer was 0.92 (95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 0.58-1.45) among women expending 500-999 kcal/wk and 0.73 (CI = 0.46-1.14) for those expending 1,000+ kcal/wk, compared with women expending < 500 kcal/wk (P trend = 0.17). This association was modified by menopausal status, but not BMI. For postmenopausal women, corresponding RRs were 0.95 (CI = 0.58-1.57) and 0.49 (CI = 0.28-0.86), respectively (P trend = 0.015). Increased physical activity in premenopausal women was not significantly associated with decreased risk of breast cancer.Conclusions: These data support an inverse association between physical activity and breast cancer among postmenopausal women. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Previous studies indicate that physical activity is related inversely to colon cancer risk. However, details regarding that association--whether a dose-response relation exists, whether the relation differs between non-obese and obese persons, the effect of long-term physical activity--are unclear. We examined these issues in the Physicians' Health Study (United States). Physical activity was assessed at baseline among 21,807 men, aged 40 to 84 years, and again 36 months later. Men were followed for an average of 10.9 years (from baseline) during which 217 developed colon cancer. After adjusting for potential confounders (including age, obesity, and alcohol intake), the relative risks for colon cancer associated with vigorous exercise in times per week (< 1, 1, 2-4, 5+, at baseline) were 1.0 (referent); 1.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.7-1.7); 1.2 (CI = 0.8-1.6); and 1.1 (CI = 0.7-1.6), respectively; P trend = 0.6. Physical activity was not associated significantly with colon cancer risk either among non-obese or obese men. When we used physical activity assessments at baseline as well as at 36 months, physical activity again was unrelated to colon cancer risk. These data do not support the hypothesis that physical activity reduces the risk of colon cancer. Plausible alternate explanations for the null finding include misclassification of physical activity and the potential for increased surveillance for colon cancer ('screening effect') among those physically active. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vital exhaustion, defined as a combination of fatigue, lack of energy, feelings of hopelessness, loss of libido, and increased irritability, has been proposed as a risk indicator for the development of coronary heart disease (CHD). It is unclear if the association between vital exhaustion and CHD is independent of sleep behavior, depression, and physical activity. We ascertained sense of exhaustion among 5,053 male college alumni who were free of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease by asking, "How often do you experience sense of exhaustion (except after exercise)?" on a health survey in 1980. Eight hundred fifteen men died during 12 years of follow-up, 25% due to CHD. After adjustment for age, body mass index, smoking status, and history of physician-diagnosed diabetes and hypertension, frequent sense of exhaustion was associated with a twofold increase in CHD mortality (rate ratio 2.07; 95% confidence interval 1.08 to 3.96). After additional adjustment for insomnia, sleep duration, use of sleeping pills and tranquilizers, physical activity, history of physician-diagnosed depression, and alcohol intake, the rate ratio was not appreciably altered; however, the association now was of borderline significance (rate ratio 2.06; 95% confidence interval: 0.98 to 4.36) because there were only 10 deaths from CHD among men who were frequently exhausted. In a prospective observational study, frequent sense of exhaustion appeared to be independently associated with increased risk of CHD mortality in men. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since Hippocrates first advised us more than 2000 years ago that exercise-though not too much of it--was good for health, the epidemiology of physical activity has developed apace with the epidemiological method itself. It was only in the mid-20th century that Professor Jeremy N Morris and his associates used quantitative analyses, which dealt with possible selection and confounding biases, to show that vigorous exercise protects against coronary heart disease (CHD). They began by demonstrating an apparent protection against CHD enjoyed by active conductors compared with sedentary drivers of London double-decker buses. In addition, postmen seemed to be protected against CHD like conductors, as opposed to less active government workers. The Morris group pursued the matter further, adapting classical infectious disease epidemiology to the new problems of chronic, non-communicable diseases. Realizing that if physical exercise were to be shown to contribute to the prevention of CHD, it would have to be accomplished through study of leisure-time activities, presumably because of a lack of variability in intensities of physical work. Accordingly, they chose typical sedentary middle-management grade men for study, obtained 5-minute logs of their activities over a 2-day period, and followed them for non-fatal and fatal diseases. In a subsequent study, Morris et al. queried such executive-grade civil servants by detailed mail-back questionnaires on their health habits and health status. They then followed these men for chronic disease occurrence, as in the earlier survey. By 1973 they had distinguished between 'moderately vigorous' and 'vigorous' exercise. In both of these civil service surveys, they demonstrated strong associations between moderately vigorous or vigorous exercise and CHD occurrence, independent of other associations, in age classes 35-64 years. In the last 30 years, with modern-day computers, a large number of epidemiological studies have been conducted in both sexes, in different ethnic groups, in broad age classes, in a variety of social groups, and on most continents of the world. These studies have extended and amplified those of the Morris group, thereby helping to solidify the cause-and-effect evidence that exercise protects against heart disease and averts premature mortality.

Background: Although many studies suggest that consumption of alcohol increases the risk of several site-specific cancers, the evidence remains unclear for prostate cancer. Few data exist on beverage-specific associations as well as lifetime patterns of alcohol consumption and prostate cancer risk., Methods: We prospectively followed 7612 Harvard alumni (mean age 66.6 years) from 1988 through 1993, during which 366 cases of incident prostate cancer occurred. Self-reported alcohol consumption was assessed at baseline from wine, beer, and liquor intake. Previous assessments during college and in 1977 were also available., Results: Overall, the mean total alcohol consumption in 1988 was 123.1 g/week, of which 28.6% was from wine, 15.8% from beer, and 55.6% from liquor. Compared to men reporting almost never drinking alcohol in 1988, the multivariate relative risks (95% CI) for 1 drink/month to < 3 drinks/week, 3 drinks/week to < 1 drink/ day, 1 to < 3 drinks/day, and > or = 3 drinks/day were 1.33 (0.88-2.01), 1.65 (1.12-2.44), 1.85 (1.29-2.64), and 1.33 (0.86-2.05), respectively. Wine or beer consumption was unassociated with prostate cancer; however, moderate liquor consumption was associated with a significant 61-67% increased risk of prostate cancer (P, non-linear trend < 0.001). Men initiating alcohol consumption between 1977 and 1988 had a twofold increased risk of prostate cancer compared to men with almost no alcohol consumption at both times., Conclusions: In contrast to the majority of previous studies, we found a positive association between moderate alcohol consumption and the risk of prostate cancer. Liquor, but not wine or beer, consumption was positively associated with prostate cancer.

Over the past 50 years or so, many epidemiologic studies have examined the association between physical activity or physical fitness and coronary heart disease (CHD) risk. Their findings have been consistent, showing that physically active or fit men and women experience lower CHD risk than those who are sedentary or unfit. On average, active patients have half the risk of sedentary patients. Data regarding the optimal amount, intensity, and duration of physical activity required to decrease CHD risk have been less clear. It appears that following recent recommendations (at least 30 minutes of moderate-intensity physical activity such as brisk walking on most days) is sufficient.

Background: Physical activity is associated with a decreased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). However, it is unclear whether the duration of exercise episodes is important: Are accumulated shorter sessions as predictive of decreased risk as longer sessions if the same amount of energy is expended?, Methods and Results: In the Harvard Alumni Health Study, we prospectively followed 7307 Harvard University alumni (mean age 66.1 years) from 1988 through 1993. At baseline, men reported their walking, stair climbing, and participation in sports or recreational activities. For each of the latter activities, they also reported the frequency and average duration per episode. During follow-up, 482 men developed CHD. In age-adjusted analysis, a longer duration of exercise episodes predicted lower CHD risk (P: trend=0.04). However, after total energy expended on physical activity and potential confounders was accounted for, duration no longer had an independent effect on CHD risk (P: trend=0.25); that is, longer sessions of exercise did not have a different effect on risk compared with shorter sessions, as long as the total energy expended was similar. In contrast, higher levels of total energy expenditure significantly predicted decreased CHD risk in both age-adjusted (P: trend=0.009) and multivariate (P: trend=0.046) analyses., Conclusions: These data clearly indicate that physical activity is associated with decreased CHD risk. Furthermore, they lend some support to recent recommendations that allow for the accumulation of shorter sessions of physical activity, as opposed to requiring 1 longer, continuous session of exercise. This may provide some impetus for those sedentary to become more active.

The evidence for a protective effect of vegetables, fruits, and legumes against prostate cancer is weak and inconsistent. We examined the relationship of these food groups and their constituent foods to prostate cancer risk in a multicenter case-control study of African-American, white, Japanese, and Chinese men. Cases (n = 1619) with histologically confirmed prostate cancer were identified through the population-based tumor registries of Hawaii, San Francisco, and Los Angeles in the United States and British Columbia and Ontario in Canada. Controls (n = 1618) were frequency-matched to cases on ethnicity, age, and region of residence of the case, in a ratio of approximately 1:1. Dietary and other information was collected by in-person home interview; a blood sample was obtained from control subjects for prostate-specific antigen determination. Odds ratios (OR) were estimated using logistic regression, adjusting for age, geographic location, education, calories, and when indicated, ethnicity. Intake of legumes (whether total legumes, soyfoods specifically, or other legumes) was inversely related to prostate cancer (OR for highest relative to lowest quintile for total legumes = 0.62; P for trend = 0.0002); results were similar when restricted to prostate-specific antigen-normal controls or to advanced cases. Intakes of yellow-orange and cruciferous vegetables were also inversely related to prostate cancer, especially for advanced cases, among whom the highest quintile OR for yellow-orange vegetables = 0.67 (P for trend = 0.01) and the highest quintile OR for cruciferous vegetables = 0.61 (P for trend = 0.006). Intake of tomatoes and of fruits was not related to risk. Findings were generally consistent across ethnic groups. These results suggest that legumes (not limited to soy products) and certain categories of vegetables may protect against prostate cancer.

The authors used the National Death Index and a World Wide Web Internet site that searches the Social Security Administration master files of deaths to determine the mortality status of 1,000 US subjects from the College Alumni Health Study. Subjects were classified as definitely dead, possibly dead, or presumed alive. Of 246 definite deaths pinpointed by the National Death Index, the World Wide Web identified 94.7% of them. Of 438 men presumed alive according to the National Death Index, the World Wide Web identified 97.5% of them. However, the World Wide Web was not useful for identifying deaths of women. This study demonstrated that the World Wide Web may provide an alternative, inexpensive method of determining the mortality status of subjects in relatively small epidemiologic studies.

Physical activity is associated with better health; however, the optimal intensity of activity remains unclear. A total of 13,485 men (mean age, 57.5 years) from the Harvard Alumni Health Study reported their walking, stair climbing, and sports/recreation in 1977. Between 1977 and 1992, 2,539 died. After adjusting for the different activity components, distance walked and storeys climbed independently predicted longevity (p, trend = 0.004 and <0.001, respectively). Light activities (<4 multiples of resting metabolic rate (METs)) were not associated with reduced mortality rates, moderate activities (4-<6 METs) appeared somewhat beneficial, and vigorous activities (> or =6 METs) clearly predicted lower mortality rates (p, trend = 0.72, 0.07, and <0.001, respectively). These data provide some support for current recommendations that emphasize moderate intensity activity; they also clearly indicate a benefit of vigorous activity.

Context: Recent guidelines for treatment of overweight and obesity include recommendations for risk stratification by disease conditions and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, but the role of physical inactivity is not prominent in these recommendations., Objective: To quantify the influence of low cardiorespiratory fitness, an objective marker of physical inactivity, on CVD and all-cause mortality in normal-weight, overweight, and obese men and compare low fitness with other mortality predictors., Design: Prospective observational data from the Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study., Setting: Preventive medicine clinic in Dallas, Tex., Participants: A total of 25714 adult men (average age, 43.8 years [SD, 10.1 years]) who received a medical examination during 1970 to 1993, with mortality follow-up to December 31, 1994., Main Outcome Measures: Cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality based on mortality predictors (baseline CVD, type 2 diabetes mellitus, high serum cholesterol level, hypertension, current cigarette smoking, and low cardiorespiratory fitness) stratified by body mass index., Results: During the study period, there were 1025 deaths (439 due to CVD) during 258781 man-years of follow-up. Overweight and obese men with baseline CVD or CVD risk factors were at higher risk for all-cause and CVD mortality compared with normal-weight men without these predictors. Using normal-weight men without CVD as the referent, the strongest predictor of CVD death in obese men was baseline CVD (age- and examination year-adjusted relative risk [RR], 14.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.4-20.8); RRs for obese men with diabetes mellitus, high cholesterol, hypertension, smoking, and low fitness were similar and ranged from 4.4 (95% CI, 2.7-7.1) for smoking to 5.0 (95% CI, 3.6-7.0) for low fitness. Relative risks for all-cause mortality in obese men ranged from 2.3 (95% CI, 1.7-2.9) for men with hypertension to 4.7 (95% CI, 3.6-6.1) for those with CVD at baseline. Relative risk for all-cause mortality in obese men with low fitness was 3.1 (95% CI, 2.5-3.8) and in obese men with diabetes mellitus 3.1 (95% CI, 2.3-4.2) and as slightly higher than the RRs for obese men who smoked or had high cholesterol levels. Low fitness was an independent predictor of mortality in all body mass index groups after adjustment for other mortality predictors. Approximately 50% (n = 1674) of obese men had low fitness, which led to a population-attributable risk of 39% for CVD mortality and 44% for all-cause mortality. Baseline CVD had population attributable risks of 51% and 27% for CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively., Conclusions: In this analysis, low cardiorespiratory fitness was a strong and independent predictor of CVD and all-cause mortality and of comparable importance with that of diabetes mellitus and other CVD risk factors.

The authors investigated the relation between physical activity and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in women by following 1,564 University of Pennsylvania alumnae (mean age, 45.5 years), initially free of CVD, from 1962 until 1993. Energy expenditure was estimated from the daily number of flights of stairs climbed and blocks walked as well as the sports played and was categorized into approximate thirds (<500, 500-999, > or = 1,000 kcal/week). During 35,021 person-years, 181 CVD cases were identified. After adjustment for coronary risk factors, the relative risks of CVD were 0.99 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69, 1.41) and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.62, 1.25) for women who expended 500-999 and > or = 1,000, respectively, compared with <500 kcal/week (p for trend = 0.45). Only walking was found to be inversely related to CVD risk (p for trend = 0.054). Compared with women who walked <4 blocks/day, the relative risks of CVD were 0.84 (95% CI: 0.59, 1.19) and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.45, 1.01) for women who walked 4-9 and > or = 10 blocks/day, respectively. Finally, an interaction (p = 0.023) between body mass index and physical activity on CVD risk was observed, with an inverse association only for leaner (<23 kg/m2) women. These data showed no overall association of physical activity with CVD risk in women. However, walking > or = 10 blocks/day (approximately 6 miles (9.7 km)/week) was associated with a 33% decreased risk. One explanation for this finding may be that walking was reported more precisely than other kinds of activities.

Purpose: This investigation quantifies the relation between cardiorespiratory fitness levels and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality within strata of other CVD predictors., Methods: Participants included 25,341 male Cooper Clinic patients who underwent a maximal graded exercise test. CVD death rates were determined for low (least fit one-fifth), moderate (next two-fifths), and high (top two-fifths) cardiorespiratory fitness categories by strata of smoking habit, blood cholesterol level, resting blood pressure, and health status. There were 226 cardiovascular deaths during 211,996 man-years of follow-up., Results: For individuals with none of the major CVD predictors (smoking, elevated resting systolic blood pressure, elevated blood cholesterol), there was a strong inverse relation (P = 0.001) between fitness level and CVD mortality. An inverse relation between CVD mortality and fitness level was seen within strata of cholesterol levels and health status. No evidence of a trend (P = 0.60) for decreased mortality was seen across fitness levels for individuals with elevated systolic blood pressure; however, a strong inverse gradient (P < 0.001) was seen across fitness levels for individuals with normal systolic blood pressure. There was a tendency for association between high levels of fitness and decreased CVD mortality in smokers compared with low and moderately fit smokers (P < 0.076). There was no significant association between level of fitness and CVD mortality for individuals with multiple (two or more) predictors (P = 0.325). Approximately 20% of the 226 CVD deaths in the population studied were attributed to low fitness level., Conclusions: Moderate and high levels of cardiorespiratory fitness seem to provide some protection from CVD mortality, even in the presence of well established CVD predictors.

Despite the high prevalence of gallbladder disease in industrialized countries, little is known about the predictors of the disease, especially in men. The authors prospectively studied 16,785 alumni of Harvard University, aged 15-24 years, who were followed for up to 61 years. The health characteristics of these men were ascertained from their college entrance physical examination done in 1916-1950, and updated via mailed questionnaires in 1962 or 1966 (1962/1966). Alumni subsequently self-reported physician-diagnosed gallbladder disease on further mailed questionnaires in 1972 or 1977. Between college time and 1962/1966, 371 gallbladder disease cases occurred. An additional 314 cases occurred after 1962/1966. With respect to college characteristics, after adjustment for potential confounders, the authors found that body mass index (BMI), smoking, physical activity, blood pressure, and consumption of alcohol, coffee, or tea were unrelated to risk. However, BMI in 1962/1966 was directly related to risk of subsequent gallbladder disease, as was BMI gain since college (p, trend = 0.002 and 0.013, respectively). Compared with men with BMI < 22.0, men with BMI > or = 27.0 had a rate ratio of 2.71 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.57-4.66) for risk of contracting the disease. Men who gained > or = 6.0 BMI units since college had a rate ratio of 1.46 (95% CI 0.86-2.46) compared with men who gained -0.9 to +0.9 BMI units. Compared with never smokers, men who smoked pipes or cigars or < 1 pack of cigarettes daily in 1962/1966 had a rate ratio of 1.43 (95% CI 1.00-2.06), while heavier cigarette smokers had a rate ratio of 1.52 (95% CI 1.03-2.24). Neither physical activity nor physician-diagnosed hypertension or diabetes mellitus in 1962/1966 predicted risk.