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Magnetic resonance imaging; Predictive model; Prostate cancer Imatges per ressonància magnètica; Model predictiu; Càncer de pròstata Imágenes por resonancia magnética; Modelo predictivo; Cáncer de próstata MRI can identify suspicious lesions, providing the semi-quantitative risk of csPCa through the Prostate Imaging-Report and Data System (PI-RADS). Predictive models of clinical variables that individualise the risk of csPCa have been developed by adding PI-RADS score (MRI-PMs). Our objective is to analyse the current developed MRI-PMs and define their clinical usefulness. A systematic review was performed after a literature search performed by two independent investigators in PubMed, Cochrane, and Web of Science databases, with the Medical Subjects Headings (MESH): predictive model, nomogram, risk model, magnetic resonance imaging, PI-RADS, prostate cancer, and prostate biopsy. This review was made following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) criteria and studied eligibility based on the Participants, Intervention, Comparator, and Outcomes (PICO) strategy. Among 723 initial identified registers, 18 studies were finally selected. Warp analysis of selected studies was performed with the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Clinical predictors in addition to the PI-RADS score in developed MRI-PMs were age, PCa family history, digital rectal examination, biopsy status (initial vs. repeat), ethnicity, serum PSA, prostate volume measured by MRI, or calculated PSA density. All MRI-PMs improved the prediction of csPCa made by clinical predictors or imaging alone and achieved most areas under the curve between 0.78 and 0.92. Among 18 developed MRI-PMs, 7 had any external validation, and two RCs were available. The updated PI-RADS version 2 was exclusively used in 11 MRI-PMs. The performance of MRI-PMs according to PI-RADS was only analysed in a single study. We conclude that MRI-PMs improve the selection of candidates for prostate biopsy beyond the PI-RADS category. However, few developed MRI-PMs meet the appropriate requirements in routine clinical practice. This research was funded by the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ESP), grant number PI20/01666.

Prostate cancer (PCa) aggressiveness can be assessed from clinical and pathologic surrogate endpoints as the International Society of Uropathology grade group (GG) in prostate biopsies, the type of pathology from surgical specimens, the clinical stage, and the risk of biochemical recurrence after treatment of localised PCa. Low evidence exists about the association between prostate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and PCa aggressiveness beyond the known increased risk of clinically significant PCa (csPCa) as Prostate Imaging and Data Report System (PI-RADS) increase. Therefore, we confirm previous data and generate new evidence from all the previous surrogate endpoints of PCa aggressiveness, confirming that MRI grades the aggressiveness of PCa. We sought to find further evidence showing the increase in PCa aggressiveness as PI-RADS score increases from four surrogates of PCa aggressiveness: i. prostate biopsy GG (≤3 vs. >3), ii. type of pathology in surgical specimens (favourable vs. unfavourable), iii. clinical stage (localised vs. advanced), and risk of recurrence of localised PCa after primary treatment (low-intermediate vs. high). A group of 692 PCa patients were diagnosed after 3-T multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and guided and/or systematic biopsies, showing csPCa (GG ≥ 2) in 547 patients (79%) and insignificant PCa (iPCa) in 145 (21%). The csPCa rate increased from 32.4% in PI-RADS < 3 to 95.5% in PI-RADS 5 (p < 0.001). GG ≥ 3 was observed in 7.6% of PCa with PI-RADS < 3 and 32.6% in those with PI-RADS > 3 (p < 0.001). Unfavourable pathology was observed in 38.9% of PCa with PI-RAD < 3 and 68.3% in those with PI-RADS > 3 (p = 0.030). Advanced disease was not observed in PCa with PI-RADS ≤ 3, while it existed in 12.7% of those with PI-RADS > 3 (p < 0.001). High-risk recurrence localised PCa was observed in 9.5% of PCa with PI-RADS < 3 and 35% in those with PI-RADS > 3 (p = 0.001). The PI-RADS score was an independent predictor of all surrogates of PCa aggressiveness as PSA density. We confirmed that mpMRI grades PCa aggressiveness

Simple Summary Magnetic-resonance-imaging-based predictive models (MRI-PMs) improve the MRI prediction of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) in prostate biopsies. Risk calculators (RC) provide easy individual assessment of csPCa likelihood. MRI-PMs have been analysed in overall populations of men suspected to have PCa, but they have never been analysed according to the prostate imaging-report and data system (PI-RADS) categories. Therefore, the true clinical usefulness of MRI-PMs regarding the specific PI-RADS categories is unknown. A new and externally validated MRI-PM for csPCa was developed in the metropolitan area of Barcelona, and a web-RC designed with the new option of selecting the csPCa probability threshold. The development cohort comprised 1486 men scheduled to undergo a 3-tesla multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and guided and/or systematic biopsies in one academic institution of Barcelona. The external validation cohort comprised 946 men in whom the same diagnostic approach was carried out as in the development cohort, in two other academic institutions of the same metropolitan area. CsPCa was detected in 36.9% of men in the development cohort and 40.8% in the external validation cohort (p = 0.054). The area under the curve of mpMRI increased from 0.842 to 0.897 in the developed MRI-PM (p < 0.001), and from 0.743 to 0.858 in the external validation cohort (p < 0.001). A selected 15% threshold avoided 40.1% of prostate biopsies and missed 5.4% of the 36.9% csPCa detected in the development cohort. In men with PI-RADS

Magnetic resonance imaging; Predictive model; Prostate cancer Imágenes por resonancia magnética; Modelo predictivo; Cáncer de próstata Imatges per ressonància magnètica; Model predictiu; Càncer de pròstata A predictive model including age, PCa family history, biopsy status (initial vs repeat), DRE (normal vs abnormal), serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and DRE prostate volume ca-tegory was developed to stratify initial PCa suspicion in 1486 men with PSA > 3 ng/mL and/or abnormal DRE, in whom mpMRI followed; 2- to 4-core TRUS-guided biopsies where Prostate Imaging Report and Data System (PI-RADS) > 3 lesions and/or 12-core TRUS systematic biopsies were performed in one academic institution between 1 January 2016–31 December 2019. The csPCa detection rate, defined as International Society of Uro-Pathology grade group 2 or higher, was 36.9%. An external validation of designed BCN-RC 1 was carried out on 946 men from two other institutions in the same metropolitan area, using the same criteria of PCa suspicion and diagnostic approach, yielded a csPCa detection rate of 40.8%. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of BCN-RC 1 were 0.823 (95% CI: 0.800–0.846) in the development cohort and 0.837 (95% CI: 0.811–0.863) in the validation cohort (p = 0.447). In both cohorts, BCN-RC 1 exhibited net benefit over performing mpMRI in all men from 8 and 12% risk thresholds, respectively. At 0.95 sensitivity of csPCa, the specificities of BCN-RC 1 were 0.24 (95% CI: 0.22–0.26) in the development cohort and 0.34 (95% CI: 0.31–0.37) in the validation cohort (p < 0.001). The percentages of avoided mpMRI scans were 17.2% in the development cohort and 22.3% in the validation cohort, missing between 1.8% and 2% of csPCa among men at risk of PCa. In summary, BCN-RC 1 can stratify initial PCa suspicion, reducing the demand of mpMRI, with an acceptable loss of csPCa. This research was funded by Instituto de Salut Carlos III (SP) and European Union, grant number PI20/01666.

Diagnosis; Proclarix; Prostate cancer Diagnóstico; Proclarix; Cáncer de próstata Diagnòstic; Proclarix; Càncer de pròstata Purpose To analyze how Proclarix is valuable to appropriately select candidates for multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) and derived biopsies, among men with suspected prostate cancer (PCa). Proclarix is a new marker computing the clinically significant PCa (csPCa) risk, based on serum thosmbospondin-1, cathepsin D, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and percent free PSA, in addition to age, that has been developed in men with serum PSA 2 to 10 ng/mL, prostate volume ≥35 mL, and normal digital rectal examination (DRE). Materials and Methods Proclarix score (0%–100%) is analyzed in a prospective frozen serum collection of 517 correlative men scheduled for guided and/or systematic biopsies after mpMRI. Outcome variables were csPCa detection (grade group ≥2), insignificant PCa (iPCa) overdetection and avoided mpMRIs. Results The area under the curve of Proclarix was 0.701 (95% CI 0.637–0.765) among 281 men with serum PSA 2 to 10 ng/mL, prostate volume ≥35 mL, and -normal DRE, and 0.754 (95% CI 0.701–0.807) in the others, p=0.038. Net benefit of Proclarix existed in all men. After selecting 10% threshold, Proclarix was integrated in an algorithm which also used the serum PSA level and DRE. A reduction of 25.4% of mpMRIs request was observed and 17.7% of prostate biopsies. Overdetection of iPCa was reduced in 18.2% and 2.6% of csPCa were misdiagnosed. Conclusions Proclarix is valuable in all men with suspected PCa. An algorithm integrating Proclarix score, serum PSA, and DRE can avoid mpMRI requests, unnecessary prostate biopsies and iPCa overdetection, with minimal loss of csPCa detection.