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Abstract Introduction Three randomised controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated that first-line cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation decreases atrial tachycardia in patients with symptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) compared with antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs). The aim of this study was to develop a cost-effectiveness model (CEM) for first-line cryoablation compared with first-line AADs for the treatment of PAF. The model used a Danish healthcare perspective. Methods Individual patient-level data from the Cryo-FIRST, STOP AF and EARLY-AF RCTs were used to parameterise the CEM. The model structure consisted of a hybrid decision tree (one-year time horizon) and a Markov model (40-year time horizon, with a three-month cycle length). Health-related quality of life was expressed in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Costs and benefits were discounted at 3% per year. Model outcomes were produced using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Results First-line cryoablation is dominant, meaning it results in lower costs (-€2,663) and more QALYs (0.18) when compared to first-line AADs. First-line cryoablation also has a 99.96% probability of being cost-effective, at a cost-effectiveness threshold of €23,200 per QALY gained. Regardless of initial treatment, patients were expected to receive ∼ 1.2 ablation procedures over a lifetime horizon. Conclusion First-line cryoablation is both more effective and less costly (i.e. dominant), when compared with AADs for patients with symptomatic PAF in a Danish healthcare system.

Background Guidelines recommend prioritizing treatment with antiarrhythmic drugs before referral of patients with atrial fibrillation to ablation, delaying a potential subsequent ablation. However, delaying ablation may affect ablation outcomes. We sought to investigate the impact of duration from diagnosis to ablation on the risk of atrial fibrillation recurrence and adverse events. Methods and Results Using Danish nationwide registries, all patients with first‐time ablation for atrial fibrillation were identified and included from 2010 to 2018. Patients were divided into 4 groups by diagnosis‐to‐ablation time: 2.9 years (late ablation). The primary end point was atrial fibrillation recurrence after the 90‐day blanking period, defined by admission for atrial fibrillation, cardioversions, use of antiarrhythmic drugs, or repeat atrial fibrillation ablations. The secondary end point was a composite end point of heart failure, ischemic stroke, or death, and each event individually. The study cohort consisted of 7705 patients. The 5‐year cumulative incidence of atrial fibrillation recurrence in the 4 groups was 42.9%, 54.8%, 55.9%, and 58.4%, respectively. Hazard ratios were 1.20 (95% CI, 1.07–1.35), 1.29 (95% CI, 1.13–1.47), and 1.40 (95% CI, 1.28–1.53), respectively, with the early ablation group as reference. The hazard ratio for the combined secondary end point was 1.22 (95% CI, 1.04–1.44) in the late ablation group compared with the early ablation group. Conclusions In patients undergoing ablation for atrial fibrillation, early ablation was associated with a significantly lower risk of atrial fibrillation recurrence. Furthermore, the associated risk of heart failure, ischemic stroke, or death was significantly lower in early‐compared with late‐ablation patients.

Objectives To describe the population of patients diagnosed with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) in Denmark and determine temporal trends in incidence and patient characteristics over time.Design Nationwide retrospective cohort study.Setting Danish nationwide administrative and clinical registers and databases.Participants All patients aged ≥16 years diagnosed with HCM from 2005 to 2018.Outcomes measures Time trends in HCM diagnosis, patient characteristics, comorbidities and pharmacotherapy were identified and tested for significance using the Cochran-Armitage trend test.Results 3856 HCM patients were included (median age 68 years (IQR 56–78)). Although there were more males (53%), females were older (72 years vs 63 years) and more likely to have their type of HCM classified as obstructive (54% vs 38%). A consistent rise in HCM cases per year was detected and there was a significant decline in prevalence of heart failure (2005: 20% to 2018: 12%, p

Aims Cancer is a well-known risk factor of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Some cancers are believed to be more thrombogenic. The purpose of this study was to investigate the characteristics of patients with incident gastrointestinal cancers (GI) and their associated 1-year risk and timing of venous thromboembolic events and the 1-year mortality.Methods This study was a retrospective cohort study. Through Danish nationwide registries, all patients with first-time GI cancer diagnosis from 2008 to 2018 were identified. Incident VTE events were identified within a 1-year follow-up after GI cancer diagnosis using the Aalen-Johansen estimator. Cox proportional-hazard models were applied to investigate risk factors for VTE events and the impact of VTE on mortality.Results A total of 87 069 patients were included and stratified by cancer types: liver (5.8%), pancreatic (12.0%), gastric (6.9%), small intestinal (1.9%), colorectal (61.8%), oesophageal (7.3%) and gallbladder (3%). Most VTE events happened close to onset of the cancer diagnosis with declining events by time. The 1-year cumulative incidence of VTE differed according to cancer type with pancreatic cancer being most thrombogenic (7.8%), and colorectal and liver cancer being the least (3.6%). Prior VTE, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), liver disease, chronic kidney disease (CKD) and diabetes increased the VTE risk. Overall, the patients with GI cancer had high 1-year mortality of 33.3% with patients with pancreatic cancer having the highest mortality (70.3%).Conclusion We found that most VTE events happen close to onset of the GI cancer diagnosis and thrombogenicity differed by type of GI cancer, ranging from 7.8% in patients with pancreatic cancer to 3.6% in colorectal and patients with liver cancer. Prior VTE, heart failure, COPD, liver disease, CKD and DM were associated with increased risk of VTE.