19 results on '"Farmer, Doyne"'
Search Results
2. Getting at Systemic Risk via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market
- Author
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Geanakoplos, John, Axtell, Robert, Farmer, Doyne J., Howitt, Peter, Conlee, Benjamin, Goldstein, Jonathan, Hendrey, Matthew, Palmer, Nathan M., and Yang, Chun-Yi
- Published
- 2012
3. COMPLEX SYSTEMS: Complexity theory and financial regulation
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Battiston, Stefano, Farmer, Doyne J., Flache, Andreas, Garlaschelli, Diego, Haldane, Andrew G., Heesterbeek, Hans, Hommes, Cars, Jaeger, Carlo, May, Robert, and Scheffer, Marten
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- 2016
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4. Qualities, challenges and future of genetic algorithms: a literature review
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Vie, Aymeric, Kleinnijenhuis, Alissa M., and Farmer, Doyne J.
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FOS: Computer and information sciences ,Computer Science - Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing ,Optimization and Control (math.OC) ,FOS: Mathematics ,Computer Science - Neural and Evolutionary Computing ,Neural and Evolutionary Computing (cs.NE) ,Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing (cs.DC) ,Mathematics - Optimization and Control - Abstract
Genetic algorithms, computer programs that simulate natural evolution, are increasingly applied across many disciplines. They have been used to solve various optimisation problems from neural network architecture search to strategic games, and to model phenomena of adaptation and learning. Expertise on the qualities and drawbacks of this technique is largely scattered across the literature or former, motivating an compilation of this knowledge at the light of the most recent developments of the field. In this review, we present genetic algorithms, their qualities, limitations and challenges, as well as some future development perspectives. Genetic algorithms are capable of exploring large and complex spaces of possible solutions, to quickly locate promising elements, and provide an adequate modelling tool to describe evolutionary systems, from games to economies. They however suffer from high computation costs, difficult parameter configuration, and crucial representation of the solutions. Recent developments such as GPU, parallel and quantum computing, conception of powerful parameter control methods, and novel approaches in representation strategies, may be keys to overcome those limitations. This compiling review aims at informing practitioners and newcomers in the field alike in their genetic algorithm research, and at outlining promising avenues for future research. It highlights the potential for interdisciplinary research associating genetic algorithms to pulse original discoveries in social sciences, open ended evolution, artificial life and AI., Early draft, feedback is welcome
- Published
- 2020
5. A US nuclear future?
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Ferguson, Charles D., Marburger, Lindsey E., Farmer, Doyne J., and Makhijani, Arjun
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- 2010
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6. The economy needs agent-based modelling
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Farmer, Doyne J. and Foley, Duncan
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- 2009
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7. Financial complexity: Accounting for fraud--Response
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Battiston, Stefano, Farmer, Doyne, Flache, Andreas, Garlaschelli, Diego, Haldane, Andy, Heesterbeek, Hans, Hommes, Cars, Jaeger, Carlo, May, Robert, Scheffer, Marten, Dep of Animals in Science and Society, Dep Gezondheidszorg Landbouwhuisdieren, LS Theoretische Epidemiologie, and dFAH I&I
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Taverne - Published
- 2016
8. EXPERIMENTAL MATHEMATICS: THE ROLE OF COMPUTATION IN NONLINEAR SCIENCE.
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Campbell, David, Crutchfield, Jim, Farmer, Doyne, and Jen, Erica
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COMPUTERS ,NONLINEAR theories ,MATHEMATICAL programming ,COMPUTER architecture ,MATHEMATICS problems & exercises ,MATHEMATICAL physics - Abstract
The article discusses the role of computers in nonlinear science. The term experimental mathematics has been coined to describe computer-based investigations into nonlinear problems that are inaccessible to analytic methods. The experimental mathematician uses the computer to simulate the solutions of nonlinear equations and thereby to gain insights into their behavior and to suggest directions for future analytic research. Nonlinear science has become a discipline in itself, simply because nature is intrinsically nonlinear. The term nonlinear science, meaning the science of problems that are not linear, may seem odd at first. It seems to suggest that linear problems are the central issue, while in fact precisely the opposite is true. Although simple dynamical systems with low dimensional phase spaces can model much of the real world, the analysis of many physical phenomena requires a somewhat different approach. Digital computers, at both mainframe and minicomputer levels and in the conventional sequential or partially pipelined architecture, remain the general purpose tool of experimental mathematicians.
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- 1985
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9. Intelligent Data Analysis of Intelligent Systems.
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Krakauer, David C., Flack, Jessica C., Dedeo, Simon, Farmer, Doyne, and Rockmore, Daniel
- Abstract
We consider the value of structured priors in the analysis of data sampled from complex adaptive systems. We propose that adaptive dynamics entails basic constraints (memory, information processing) and features (optimization and evolutionary history) that serve to significantly narrow search spaces and candidate parameter values. We suggest that the property of ˵adaptive self-awareness″, when applicable, further constrains model selection, such that predictive statistical models converge on a systems own internal representation of regularities. Principled model building should therefore begin by identifying a hierarchy of increasingly constrained models based on the adaptive properties of the study system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2010
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10. The evolutionary ecology of technological innovations.
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Solée, Ricard V., Valverde, Sergi, Casals, Marti Rosas, Kauffman, Stuart A., Farmer, Doyne, and Eldredge, Niles
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Technological evolution has been compared to biological evolution by many authors over the last two centuries. As a parallel experiment of innovation involving economic, historical, and social components, artifacts define a universe of evolving properties that displays episodes of diversification and extinction. Here, we critically review previous work comparing the two types of evolution. Like biological evolution, technological evolution is driven by descent with variation and selection, and includes tinkering, convergence, and contingency. At the same time, there are essential differences that make the two types of evolution quite distinct. Major distinctions are illustrated by current specific examples, including the evolution of cornets and the historical dynamics of information technologies. Due to their fast and rich development, the later provide a unique opportunity to study technological evolution at all scales with unprecedented resolution. Despite the presence of patterns suggesting convergent trends between man-made systems end biological ones, they provide examples of planned design that have no equivalent with natural evolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2013
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11. POWER SPECTRA AND MIXING PROPERTIES OF STRANGE ATTRACTORS.
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Farmer, Doyne, Crutchfield, James, Froehling, Harold, Packard, Norman, and Shaw, Robert
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- 1980
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12. Infrastructure, the economy and policy
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Huang, Jiashun, Farmer, Doyne, and Hall, Jim W.
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338.951 - Abstract
The role of infrastructure in economic growth and development has been the subject of continued debate, yet no consensus has been achieved in the literature. This thesis examines the economic effect of infrastructure based on new evidence from China. We add to understanding of this complex phenomenon by focussing at micro levels, i.e., firm-level and household level with a focus on three critical infrastructure sectors: transport, renewable energy and information communication technologies. We employ a series of datasets on infrastructure, firm performance, and household economy from China in our examinations. Our first empirical study focuses on the economic effects of city’s ICT infrastructure on firm performance. We have found that the improvement of city’s ICT infrastructure positively improved firm’s profitability, marketing, and innovation. By taking advantage of an exogenous variation of city’s ICT using the telecommunication upgrade as a natural experiment, we establish the causal impact of city’s ICT infrastructure on firm profitability. We also identify the mechanisms in which ICTs impact firm performance, including the firm’s efficiency, firm’s labour, and firm cost. Our second empirical study focuses on the renewable energy sector and its influence on China’s rural household economy over the past two decades. We provide empirical evidence in this under-investigated area of research, and have found that renewable energy, including bioenergy, solar energy, and hydropower energy, indeed improved the rural household economy in China. In the third empirical study, we then focus on the impact of improved transport infrastructure connectivity on the litigation risks of listed firms in China. Based on a natural experiment on China’s highspeed rail system construction, we have found that the improvement of transport infrastructure connectivity reduced firm’s litigation risks. This study shows that the impact of improved transport connectivity on listed firms’ litigation risk stem from the reduction of information asymmetry, and also the increase of external regulations and monitoring. Overall, we have found evidence that transport infrastructure, renewable energy infrastructure and ICT infrastructure played a positive and critical role in the economic development from the perspectives of firm performance and household economy, and also provide in-depth analysis of the underlying mechanisms. The findings in this thesis offer evidence for policymakers that improvement of infrastructure contributes to the productivity, economic growth and social development, and reasonable deployment of infrastructure could pay off.
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- 2020
13. What's evolving in artificial life.
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Farmer, Doyne and Kauffman, Stuart
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- 1988
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14. A phase space analysis of baroclinic flow
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Farmer, Doyne, Hart, John, and Weidman, Patrick
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- 1982
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15. Towards modeling DNA sequences as automata
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Burks, Christian and Farmer, Doyne
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- 1984
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16. Input-output analysis and growth theory
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Savoie, Charles and Farmer, Doyne
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339.2 - Abstract
This thesis studies a theory for the amplification of technological improvement by the production network structure of the economy. The theory is motivated by the idea that, to the extent that inputs and outputs of industries form a chain, improvements are passed down the chain and accumulate multiplicatively. Under a simple model for technological improvement it is possible to compute the overall improvement factor for the general case where the production network has a complicated structure containing cycles. We call this the trophic depth by analogy with ecology. This leads to testable predictions about GDP growth and its variance. We analyse data for 40 countries and 35 industries from 1995 to 2009 and demonstrate that trophic depths are strongly correlated with economic growth. A regression of GDP growth of countries against their trophic depths has a highly statistically significant R-squared equal to 0.38, and when other standard explanatory variables are added to the regression, the trophic depth remains a robust and statistically significant contributor. We perform some statistical analysis to understand the evolution of trophic depths at different stage of the economic development. We identify two growth paths. Along the first growth path, countries are catching up frontier economies while along the second growth path countries are falling behind. This approach allows us to make some forecasts about the evolution of trophic depths and of the wealth of countries. This provides a comprehensive framework to understand the acceleration and deceleration of economic growth. Then, we study another type of technological progress that corresponds to the adoption of new goods in the production chain. This mechanism is related to the dynamic of the production network and for this purpose we perform a link prediction analysis to determine some key factors for new adoptions. Finally, we analyse the relation between stock return comovement and institutional preferences across stocks of various size. A growing literature highlights the role of investors' common asset holdings on market dynamics. While previous studies focused on large stocks we also include small stocks in the sample in order to acknowledge the shift in institutional preferences towards small stocks over the last decades. Moreover, we add the input-output linkages between firms from different industries to our set of explanatory variables.
- Published
- 2017
17. High-frequency dynamics of the microscopial structure in financial markets
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Vicente González, Francisco Javier, Farmer, Doyne, Tapia, Mikel, and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Matemáticas
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Price dynamics ,Non-Gaussian distributions ,Matemáticas ,Financial markets ,Nonequilibrium physical systems - Abstract
In the first part of this thesis, I address the classical problem of asset price dynamics based on a new theoretical framework developed for nonequilibrium physical systems. This problem is mainly relevant for two reasons. First, because understanding the true distribution of returns is important for asset allocation, risk management, and option pricing. Second, because in spite of all the effort in determining the origin of non-Gaussian returns no conclusive result has been achieved yet. The most important result of this part is the demostration that the non-Gaussian shape and stable scaling of the returns distribution are due to slow, but significant, fluctuations in volatility. Futhermore, this result suggests that stock price fluctuations are universal, and that return distributions can be described by one functional form. In the second part, I present an empirical study about the execution of large orders in two stock exchanges: the London Stock Exchange, and the Spanish Stock Exchange. This type of orders can cause a tremendous impact because they are larger than the available liquidity in the order book at a time. For this reason, they are split to minimize transaction costs. Market price impact is the basic factor of these costs, so an accurate description of its functional form is necessary to any optimal execution. The most important result in this part is the empirical determination of this functional form in two markets and the finding of a common behavior in both markets that can be summarized into a concave temporary impact, roughly described by a square root function of the hidden order size, and a price reversion after the completion of the hidden order making permanent impact equal to roughly half of the temporary impact.
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- 2011
18. Financial complexity: Accounting for fraud--Response.
- Author
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Battiston S, Farmer D, Flache A, Garlaschelli D, Haldane A, Heesterbeek H, Hommes C, Jaeger C, May R, and Scheffer M
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- 2016
- Full Text
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19. Generative model for feedback networks.
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White DR, Kejzar N, Tsallis C, Farmer D, and White S
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We propose a model for network formation and study some of its statistical properties. The motivation for the model comes from the growth of several kinds of real networks (i.e., kinship and trading networks, networks of corporate alliances, networks of autocatalytic chemical reactions). These networks grow either by establishing closer connections by adding links in the existing network or by adding new nodes. A node in these networks lacks the information of the entire network. In order to establish a closer connection to other nodes it starts a search in the neighboring part of the network and waits for a possible feedback from a distant node that received the "searching signal." Our model imitates this behavior by growing the network via the addition of a link that creates a cycle in the network or via the addition of a new node with a link to the network. The forming of a cycle creates feedback between the two ending nodes. After choosing a starting node, a search is made for another node at a suitable distance; if such a node is found, a link is established between this and the starting node, otherwise (such a node cannot be found) a new node is added and is linked to the starting node. We simulate this algorithm and find that we cannot reject the hypothesis that the empirical degree distribution is a q-exponential function, which has been used to model long-range processes in nonequilibrium statistical mechanics.
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- 2006
- Full Text
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