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The importance and vulnerability of municipalities in the eastern Amazon led to the evaluation of the distribution of seasonal precipitation and extreme events over protected and deforested sites along the Carajás Railroad (EFC) based on three datasets: Brazilian Daily Weather Gridded Data (BR-DWGD), European Reanalysis (ERA5-Land), and Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS). The main purpose is the understanding of the relationship between local land use change and the occurrence of extreme climate events. Results suggested that large-scale deforestation has a regional impact occasionally outweighing local effect. Significant trends reveal a general pattern of drought that has been more intense in the north of the study area, regardless of land cover, whether preserved or deforested. Moreover, the dry season is getting drier, but the wet season is not getting wetter over the entire area, as Carajás National Forest and Curionópolis (southern sector) deliver positive and accentuated trends in the rainy season. Extreme events are becoming more frequent. The number of consecutive dry days has increased in the north revealing an extension of dry periods, whereas, the maximum one-day precipitation has soared in the south indicating the intensification of rainfall. CHIRPS provides stronger correlations with the standard dataset (BR-DWGD), as both furnish primary data based on rain gauges observations. It also outperforms ERA5-Land in annual and seasonal analyses, which does not invalidate the latter as a great alternative to use in data-poor locations. Ultimately, further research and technology implementation were recommended to improve reforestation efforts given the reported results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Representative weather data are fundamental to characterizing a place and determining ideal design approaches. This is particularly important for large countries like Brazil, whose extension and geographical position contribute to defining diverse climatic conditions along the territory. In this context, this study intends to characterize the Brazilian territory based on a 15-year weather record (2008–2022), providing a climatic assessment based on a climatic and bioclimatic profile for the whole country. The climate analysis was focused on temperature, humidity, precipitation, and solar radiation, followed by a bioclimatic analysis guided by the Givoni chart and the natural ventilation potential assessment. In both situations, the results were analyzed using three resolutions: country-level, administrative division, and bioclimatic zones. This study also identified representative locations for the Brazilian bioclimatic zones for a building-centered analysis based on the thermal and energy performance of a single-family house with different envelope configurations. The results proved that most Brazilian territories increased above 0.4 °C in the dry bulb temperature and reduced relative humidity. The precipitation had the highest reduction, reaching more than 50% for some locations. The warmer and drier conditions impacted also the Köppen–Geiger classification, with an increase in the number of Semi-Arid and Arid locations. The bioclimatic study showed that ventilation is the primary strategy for the Brazilian territory, as confirmed by the natural ventilation potential results, followed by passive heating strategies during the year's coldest months. Finally, building performance simulation underlined that, in colder climates, indoor thermal comfort conditions and air-conditioning demands are less affected by solar absorptance for constructions with low U-values, while in warmer climates, low solar absorptance with intermediary U-values is recommended. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study examines the effects of extreme temperature events, defined explicitly as the 98th percentile temperature for heat, in Tanzania from 1981 to 2023. The study utilises percentile analysis, z-score calculations, and trend mapping to highlight the prevalence of extreme temperatures. The z-score analysis examines the occurrence of extreme temperatures and their distribution in terms of frequency and space. It identified Tanzania’s mid-eastern and north-western regions as areas with a high concentration of extreme temperatures over the previous 43 years. The study analyses the length of extreme occurrences and reveals changing patterns. In 2020, the events were shorter, while in 2021 and 2022, they became longer-lasting, and there was a notable concentration of extended anomalies near the northern coastline. In 2023, the highest temperatures ever recorded were observed, with more than half of the regions seeing prolonged periods of extreme temperatures lasting for a week and significant deviations from the norm staying for four weeks or more. This was particularly notable in the southern regions of Lindi and Mtwara. The harmonic trend analysis of temperature shows an upward temperature trend noticeably in regions such as Arusha, Kilimanjaro, Kagera, Morogoro, Simiyu, and Shinyanga and is somewhat inconspicuous in most areas.

Reanalysis datasets provide a continuous picture of the past climate for every point on Earth. They are especially useful in areas with few direct observations, such as Siberia. However, to ensure these datasets are sufficiently accurate they need to be validated against readings from meteorological stations. Here, we analyse how values of six climate variables—the minimum, mean and maximum 2‐metre air temperature, snow depth (SD), total precipitation and wind speed (WSP)—from three reanalysis datasets—ERA‐Interim, ERA5 and ERA5‐Land—compare against observations from 29 meteorological stations across Siberia and the Russian Far East on a daily timescale from 1979 to 2019. All three reanalyses produce values of the mean and maximum daily 2‐metre air temperature that are close to those observed, with the average absolute bias not exceeding 1.54°C. However, care should be taken for the minimum 2‐metre air temperature during the summer months—there are nine stations where correlation values are <0.60 due to inadequate night‐time cooling. The reanalysis values of SD are generally close to those observed after 1992, especially ERA5, when data from some of the meteorological stations began to be assimilated, but the reanalysis SD should be used with caution (if at all) before 1992 as the lack of assimilation leads to large overestimations. For low daily precipitation values the reanalyses provide good approximations, however they struggle to attain the extreme high values. Similarly, for the 10‐metre WSP; the reanalyses perform well with speeds up to 2.5 ms−1 but struggle with those above 5.0 ms−1. For these variables, we recommend using ERA5 over ERA‐Interim and ERA5‐Land in future research. ERA5 shows minor improvements over ERA‐Interim, and, despite an increased spatial resolution, there is no advantage to using ERA5‐Land. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Understanding the spatial and temporal variability of heatwaves is crucial for climate change adaptation. This study examines heatwaves in Argentina from 1950 to 2022, analyzing temporal and spatial changes using four metrics: number of events (E), duration (D), mean intensity (MnI), and maximum intensity (MxI). It investigates seasonal variations (Warm and Cold Seasons—CS, WS) and the influence of different phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Data from ERA5-LAND Reanalysis for 2 m daytime (Tx) and nighttime (Tn) temperatures are utilized. Our findings reveal regions with significantly higher heatwave intensities (Tx) in the North, east of Cuyo, west of Centro, and Southern Patagonia. Conversely, significant heatwave intensities (Tn) were observed, particularly in the north of the Litoral and Southern Patagonia. The Andes region (center and north) exhibited significant intensities for Tn. Both D and E exhibited similar significant trends for both Tn and Tx, except for the central zone. During the WS, the North-West and South Patagonia exhibit significant increasing trends for across most metrics. In contrast, during the CS, a higher number of significant increases in the studied metrics were observed in relation to Tx. El Niño amplifies heatwave intensities nationwide, except in Patagonia, where this occurs during the cold phase. In this phase, E and D of events increase in most Argentinian regions, resulting in a decoupling of intensity and duration, which increases in opposite periods. This study contributes to existing research by providing a detailed understanding of heatwave behavior with high spatial resolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The fifth generation European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis on global land surface (ERA5‐Land), the Multi‐Source Weighted‐Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP), and the Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) are three representative precipitation estimates with quasi‐global coverage, high‐resolution and long‐term record. This study concentrates on investigating, for the first time, the long‐term spatiotemporal accuracy and regional applicability of these precipitation estimates at a daily scale in the Yellow River basin (YRB) using 39 complete years of data record (1981–2019), with a special focus on their capability on monitoring the extreme precipitation events with short duration and the continuous heavy precipitation events. Results indicate that MSWEP generally performs better than ERA5‐Land and CHIRPS in almost all seasons and subregions, with the highest Pearson correlation coefficient and critical success index, lowest root mean square error and false alarm ratio. ERA5‐Land presents a severe overestimation of precipitation amount, particularly in the plateau climate region (BIAS = 52.27%), but well reflects its spatial–temporal patterns in the YRB. As for the detecting capability, MSWEP shows the best accuracy in detecting extreme precipitation, particularly in maximum consecutive 5‐day precipitation (RX5day). The MSWEP better represents the spatial distribution of maximum 1‐day precipitation and maximum consecutive 5‐day precipitation in the YRB, but it shows a significant overestimation in zone Southern Qinghai. MSWEP and CHIRPS have better performance of temporal variation consistency in annual precipitation with ground reference than ERA5‐Land, while ERA5‐Land performs well in capturing extreme precipitation temporal variation, especially for continuous heavy precipitation events. This study can provide useful guidance when choosing long‐term precipitation products for hydrometeorological applications and climate‐related studies in the YRB. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study focuses on the statistical downscaling of ERA5-Land reanalysis data using the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM) to generate climate change scenarios for the Spree catchment. Linear scaling was used to reduce the biases of the Global Climate Model for precipitation and temperature. The statistical analyses demonstrated that this method is a promising and straightforward way of correcting biases in climate data. SDSM was used to generate climate change scenarios, which considered three emission scenarios: RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. The results indicated that higher precipitation is expected under higher emission scenarios. Specifically, the summer and autumn seasons were projected to experience up to 50 mm more rainfall in the next 80 years, and the temperature was projected to increase by up to 1∘C by 2100. These projections of climate data for different scenarios are useful for assessing water management studies for agricultural and hydrologic applications considering changing climate conditions. This study highlights the importance of statistical downscaling and scenario generation in understanding the potential impacts of climate change on water resources. The results of this study can provide valuable insights into water resource management, especially on adapting to changing climate conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study focuses on the statistical downscaling of ERA5-Land reanalysis data using the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM) to generate climate change scenarios for the Spree catchment. Linear scaling was used to reduce the biases of the Global Climate Model for precipitation and temperature. The statistical analyses demonstrated that this method is a promising and straightforward way of correcting biases in climate data. SDSM was used to generate climate change scenarios, which considered three emission scenarios: RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. The results indicated that higher precipitation is expected under higher emission scenarios. Specifically, the summer and autumn seasons were projected to experience up to 50 mm more rainfall in the next 80 years, and the temperature was projected to increase by up to 1∘C by 2100. These projections of climate data for different scenarios are useful for assessing water management studies for agricultural and hydrologic applications considering changing climate conditions. This study highlights the importance of statistical downscaling and scenario generation in understanding the potential impacts of climate change on water resources. The results of this study can provide valuable insights into water resource management, especially on adapting to changing climate conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hydrological modeling is essential for runoff simulations in line with climate studies, especially in remote areas with data scarcity. Advancements in climatic precipitation datasets have improved the accuracy of hydrological modeling. This research aims to evaluate the APHRODITE, PERSIANN-CDR, and ERA5-Land climatic precipitation datasets for the Hablehroud watershed in Iran. The datasets were compared with interpolated ground station precipitation data using the inverse distance weighted (IDW) method. The variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model was utilized to simulate runoff from 1992 to 1996. The results revealed that the APHRODITE and PERSIANN-CDR datasets demonstrated the highest and lowest accuracy, respectively. The sensitivity of the model was analyzed using each precipitation dataset, and model calibration was performed using the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). The evaluation of daily runoff simulation based on observed precipitation indicated a KGE value of 0.78 and 0.76 during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. The KGE values at the daily time scale were 0.64 and 0.77 for PERSIANN-CDR data, 0.62 and 0.75 for APHRODITE precipitation data, 0.50 and 0.66 for ERA5-Land precipitation data during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. These results indicate that despite varying sensitivity, climatic precipitation datasets present satisfactory performance, particularly in poorly gauged basins with infrequent historical datasets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Permafrost in Mongolia is located in the transition zone between high-latitude and high-altitude permafrost regions of the Northern Hemisphere, with large temperature differences and complex subsurface characteristics. In this study, the reliability of the skin temperature data from the ERA5-Land product covering Mongolia is assessed via site observations. The ERA5-Land skin temperature dataset shows a cold bias, which is more pronounced in the cold season. Following calibration based on elevation differences, significant improvements are observed at both the annual scale (92 % improvement in RMSE (root mean square error) and 98 % improvement in MBE (mean bias error)) and the seasonal scale (78 % improvement in RMSE and 82 % improvement in MBE). Additionally, the spatial variations in the surface freezing index (SFI) and surface thawing index (STI) are most pronounced in the central and northeastern Mongolia. The SFI exhibits a significant decreasing trend of 7.16 °C·d/year, while the STI shows a significant increasing trend of 4.49 °C·d/year. Furthermore, the permafrost extent in Mongolia is simulated from 1950 to 2022 using the frost number (Fn) model and the temperature on top of permafrost (TTOP) model. The validated results indicate that the accuracy of the Fn model is relatively high, with an overall accuracy of 0.9 and a Kappa coefficient of 0.47. The permafrost extent in Mongolia has declined from 734.7 × 103 km2 in the 1950 s to 480.1 × 103 km2 in the 2010 s, with a prominent decrease of 3.2 × 103 km2/decade after 1994. According to the variations in permafrost extent during past 72 years, the Hovsgol and Khentii Mountain ranges have experienced significant permafrost degradation.

Properly understanding solar irradiance can help accurately quantify the solar energy resource and guide sustainable development projects, particularly where measured solar data are scarce or suffer from detrimental data quality issues. This study aims to assess and improve solar global horizontal irradiance (GHI) data from a diverse range of global reanalysis datasets by utilizing measured data from two ground weather stations located in Somaliland. A comprehensive evaluation framework is employed, combining various statistical and regression error metrics, whereas bias correction methods are implemented. The comparative study covers several analytical facets such as the hourly, daily and monthly data analysis before and after correction along with analyzing the seasonal variations, clear-sky and all-sky conditions. The analysis revealed pattern of an overall underestimation of GHI with varying degrees of accuracy in the estimated GHI datasets before and after correction. The annual ranges for rMBE, rMAE, rRMSE and R2 extend from 3–31%, 12–33%, 19–53% and 0.797–0.979, respectively, across all datasets for six-hourly data in the two observed stations. Following bias correction, the ranges for rMBE, rMAE, rRMSE reduce to is 0%, 8–31%, 11–34% and R2 increase to 0.897–0.984 respectively. While certain datasets such as MERRA-2 and SARAH-2 demonstrate close alignment with ground data before correction, other especially ERA5-Land exhibit exceptional improvement after the bias correction.

Using the global climate model outputs without any adjustment may bring errors in water resources and climate change investigations. This study tackles the critical issue of bias correction temperature in ERA5-Land reanalysis for 10 ground stations in northern Italy using nine machine learning (ML) techniques. Among standalone ML models, XGBoost regression emerged as the most effective standalone ML model, outperforming others across 6 out of 10 stations, while random forest regression, Gaussian process regression, and support vector regression obtained the second to fourth places. In contrast, AdaBoost regression (ABR) achieved the least favorable performance. Furthermore, nine ensemble ML models are proposed to correct bias of the reanalysis of temperature data. The results indicated that the K-nearest neighbors-based ensemble model excelled and secured the top rank in 7 out of 10 stations, while the multiple linear regression-based ensemble model achieved the highest precision in 4 out of 10 stations. Furthermore, other ML-based ensemble models displayed satisfactory results. On the other hand, the ABR-based ensemble model exhibited the lowest accuracy among ML-based ensemble models. The findings highlight the potential of ML-based ensemble models in effectively addressing bias correction in climate data. HIGHLIGHTS Proposing nine ensemble ML models for bias correction.; Introducing nine standalone ML models for bias correction.; Correcting temperature data of ERA5-Land for a case study in northern Italy.; Comparison of different ML-based models for bias correction.; Correcting data of climate data can enhance studying climate change impact assessment.;

Numerical simulations of dust emission processes are essential for dust cycle modeling and dust‐atmosphere interactions. Models have coarse spatial resolutions which, without tackling sub‐grid scale heterogeneity, bias finely resolved dust emission. Soil surface wind friction velocity (us*) drives dust emission non‐linearly with increasing model resolution, due mainly to thresholds of sediment entrainment. Albedo is area‐integrated, scales linearly with resolution, is related to us* and hence represents its sub‐grid scale heterogeneity. Calibrated albedo‐based global dust emission estimates decreased by only 2 Tg y−1 (10.5%) upscaled from 0.5 to 111 km, largely independent of resolution. Without adjusting wind fields, this scaling uncertainty is within recent estimates of global dust emission model uncertainty (±14.9 Tg y−1). This intrinsic scaling capability of the albedo‐based approach offers considerable potential to reduce resolution dependency of dust cycle modeling and improve the representation of local dust emission in Earth system models and operational air quality forecasting. Plain Language Summary: Global computer models for atmospheric dust were developed to understand the global dust cycle. However, these coarse resolution global dust models cannot accurately represent small‐scale dust emission processes and partly cause different dust emission estimations between the models. Using our new approach based on satellite products, we show that global dust emission estimation is largely independent of model resolution. Key Points: Wind friction velocity calibrated to linearly upscaled albedo was largely independent of model resolution between 0.5 and 111 kmWithout modifying wind fields, global dust emissions decreased by only 10.5% (within model uncertainty) from 0.5 to 111 km model resolutionSub‐grid scale heterogeneity is necessary to accurately represent grain‐scale sediment supply and entrainment in large scale modeling [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

It is necessary to further investigate the spatial considerations, temporal characteristics, and drivers of change affecting the beginning and end of soil freezing and thawing, including the maximum depth of the seasonal freezing (MDSF) and the active layer thickness (ALT) in Northeast China. Hourly soil temperature, among other data, from 1983–2022 were investigated, showing a delay of about 6 days in freezing. In contrast, thawing and complete thawing advanced by about 26 and 20 d, respectively. The freezing period and total freeze-thaw days decreased by about 29 and 23 days, respectively. The number of complete thawing period days increased by about 22 days, while the MDSF decreased by about 25 cm. The ALT increased by about 22 cm. Land Surface Temperature (LST) is the main factor influencing the beginning and end of soil freezing and thawing, MDSF and ALT changes in Northeast China; air temperature, surface net solar radiation, and volumetric soil water content followed. The influence of the interacting factors was greater than the single factors, and the interactive explanatory power of the LST and surface net solar radiation was highest when the soil started to freeze (0.858). The effect of the LST and the air temperature was highest when the soil was completely thawed (0.795). LST and the volumetric soil water content interacted to have the first explanatory power for MDSF (0.866) and ALT (0.85). The results of this study can provide scientific reference for fields such as permafrost degradation, cold zone ecological environments, and agricultural production in Northeast China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This research examines the intricate changes in the number of occurrences and cumulative rainfall of exceptional events in Portugal spanning 42 hydrological years (from 1981/1982 to 2022/2023). The study has two primary objectives: assessing the hydrological spatial dynamics of a region susceptible to climate-induced variations in exceptional rainfall and evaluating the proficiency of a ERA5-Land reanalysis rainfall dataset in capturing exceptional rainfall. Confronting methodological and data-related challenges (e.g., incomplete record series), the investigation uses continuous daily ERA5-Land rainfall series. Validation against the Sistema Nacional de Informação de Recursos Hídricos (SNIRH) and the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) ensures the reliability of ERA5-Land data. Empirical non-exceedance probability curves reveal a broad consensus between reanalysis data and observational records, establishing the dataset's suitability for subsequent analysis. Spatial representations of occurrences, cumulative rainfall, and rainfall intensity of events above thresholds throughout the overall 42-year period and two subperiods (late: 1981/1982–2001/2002; and recent: 2002/2003–2022/2023) are presented, illustrating spatial and temporal variations. A noteworthy shift in the spatial distribution of intense events from south to north is observed, emphasising the dynamism of such hydrological processes. The study introduces a novel dimension with a severity heat map, combining some key findings from the occurrences and cumulative rainfall through subperiods. This study significantly contributes to the understanding of hydrological dynamics in Portugal, providing valuable insights for risk management and the development of sustainable strategies tailored to the evolving patterns of exceptional rainfall. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-resolution air temperature distribution data are of crucial significance for studying climate change and agriculture in the Yellow River Basin. Obtaining accurate and high-resolution air temperature data has been a persistent challenge in research. This study selected the Yellow River Basin as its research area and assessed multiple variables, including the land surface temperature (LST), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Digital Elevation Model (DEM), slope, aspect, longitude, and latitude. We constructed three downscaling models, namely, ET, XGBoost, and LightGBM, and applied a stacking ensemble learning algorithm to integrate these three models. Through this approach, ERA5-Land reanalysis air temperature data were successfully downscaled from a spatial resolution of 0.1° to 1 km, and the downscaled results were validated using observed data from meteorological stations. The results indicate that the stacking ensemble model significantly outperforms the three independent machine learning models. The integrated model, combined with the selected set of multiple variables, provides a feasible approach for downsizing ERA5 air temperature data. The stacking ensemble model not only effectively enhances the spatial resolution of ERA5 reanalysis air temperature data but also improves downscaled results to a certain extent. The downscaled air temperature data exhibit richer spatial texture information, better revealing spatial variations in air temperature within the same land class. This research outcome provides robust technical support for obtaining high-resolution air temperature data in meteorologically sparse or topographically complex regions, contributing significantly to climate, ecosystem, and sustainable development research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paper evaluates the usability of remote satellite-based and proximal ground-based agrometeorological data sources for precision agriculture and crop production in Croatia. The compared agrometeorological datasets stem from the open-access data sources Copernicus CDS and the Agri4Cast portal, and commercial in situ agrometeorological stations (PinovaMeteo) which monitor environmental parameters relevant to the physiological state of crops. The study compares relevant parameters for 10 different locations in Croatia for three consecutive years (2019, 2020, and 2021) to investigate whether model-based data from ERA5-Land and Agri4Cast are well-correlated with ground measurements from independent in situ stations (PinovaMeteo) for specific agrometeorological parameters (air and soil temperature, and precipitation). Our results indicate the following: both the ERA5-Land and Agri4Cast datasets show mostly strong positive correlations with ground observations for air temperature, modest correlations for soil temperature, but modest or even low correlations for precipitation. Analysis of the residuals indicates higher overall residual values, especially in areas with complex topography and near large bodies of water or the sea, and deviations of residuals that may limit the usability of satellite- and model-based data for decision-making in agriculture. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the scarcity of meteorological stations on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), owing to the high altitude and harsh climate, studies often resort to satellite, reanalysis, and merged multi-source precipitation data. This necessitates an evaluation of TP precipitation data applicability. Here, we assess the following three high-resolution gridded precipitation datasets: the China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD), the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis V5-Land (ERA5-Land), and Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) during TP summers. Using observations from the original 133 China Meteorological Administration stations on the TP as a reference, the evaluation yielded the following conclusions: (1) In summer, from 2000 to 2018, discrepancies among the datasets were largest in the western TP. The CMFD showed the smallest deviation from the observations, and the annual summer precipitation was only overestimated by 12.3 mm. ERA5-Land had the closest trend (0.41 mm/y) to the annual mean summer precipitation, whereas it overestimated the highest precipitation (>150 mm). (2) The reliability of the three datasets at annual and monthly scales was in the following order: CMFD, ERA5-Land, and IMERG. The daily scales exhibited a lower accuracy than the monthly scales (correlation coefficient CC of 0.51, 0.38, and 0.26, respectively). (3) The CMFD assessments, referencing the 114 new stations post-2016, had a notably lower accuracy and precipitation capture capability at the daily scale (CC and critical success index (CSI) decreased by 0.18 and 0.1, respectively). These results can aid in selecting appropriate datasets for refined climate predictions on the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Flash droughts feature rapid onsets of soil moisture drought events and result in severe impacts and damages, especially on agricultural and ecological systems. How the flash drought regime across China varies on multitemporal scales with climate change is not fully clear yet. In this study, we extended the flash drought definition to apply to arid regions by adding an absolute soil moisture variation criterion. Then, we detected flash drought events across China during 1981–2021 and characterized their frequency, duration, and affected area changes on seasonal, annual, and decadal scales, using soil moisture data from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts climate reanalysis-Land. Results show that flash drought hotspots appeared in North China and the Yangtze River Basin. During 1981–2021, the hotspots, even nationwide, underwent significant increases in frequencies, durations, and affected areas of flash droughts. The increases held in the extremely high values of the frequencies and durations in the decadal comparisons. Especially, North China saw the most extensive and rapid increases. Seasonally, flash drought frequencies and durations intensified more during spring and autumn, and seasonal hotspots in eastern China shifted in phase with spatial patterns of soil moisture loss balanced by precipitation and evapotranspiration. Thus, flash droughts tended to amplify atmospheric aridity. These findings on the hotspot regions and the spatiotemporal evolutions of flash droughts across China would pinpoint soil moisture responses to climate change and prepare for climate change impacts on local ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In West Africa, the validation of distributed models is limited by the quality and availability of point station data measured in-situ. ERA5 is a climate reanalysis produced by European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and suggested to overcome this constraint. This study assessed and compared over the Benin basins at spatial and monthly time scale, the quality of ERA5 and its variant ERA5-Land (namely LAND). ERA5 relies on the single-levels version with 0.25° x 0.25° resolution while LAND is the land surface version with 0.1° x 0.1° resolution. Four variables were collected including runoff, evapotranspiration (ETR), water table depth (WTD), and soil water content (SWC). Point station data were analyzed using the correlation performance evaluators, Mean Absolute Error (m) and Relative Mean Absolute Error (r). The results showed that LAND simulates well the peaks of mean runoff. It showed the best runoff performance in terms of correlation (~0.61) compared with ERA5 (correlation ~0.49). Both reanalysis showed high correlations (generally > 0.80) for SWC, but the correlations obtained from ETR are slightly lower (ERA5~0.58 vs. ERA5-Land~0.54). Correlations were below 0.5 on both reanalyses for WTD with slight overestimation (m=4.73 m for ERA5 vs. m=3.13 m for LAND). This study does not identify any reanalysis that is better than another, both spatially and monthly scale. Nevertheless, this study indicated that the choice of reanalyses must rely on their performance and the given water cycle element. Correcting the variables of these reanalysis could also improve their performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In regions with limited precipitation information, like Peru, many studies rely on precipitation data derived from satellite products (SPP) and model reanalysis. These products provide near-real-time information and offer global spatial coverage, making them attractive for various applications. However, it is essential to consider their uncertainties when conducting hydrological simulations, especially in a key region like the Pacific drainage (Pd), where 56% of the Peruvian population resides (including the capital, Lima). This study, for the first time, assessed the performance of two bottom-up Satellite-based Precipitation Products (SPP), GPM + SM2RAIN and SM2RAIN-ASCAT, and one top-down approach SPP, ERA5-Land, for runoff simulation in the Pacific drainage of Peru. Hydrological modeling was conducted on 30 basins distributed across the Pd, which were grouped into 5 regions (I–V, ordered from south to north). The results showed that SM2RAIN-ASCAT performed well in regions I-III-IV, ERA5-Land in region II, and GPM + SM2RAIN in region V. The hydrological model GR4J was tested, and better efficiency criteria were obtained with SM2RAIN-ASCAT and GPM + SM2RAIN when comparing the simulated versus observed streamflows. The hydrological modeling using SM2RAIN-ASCAT and GPM + SM2RAIN demonstrated satisfactory efficiency metrics (KGE > 0.75; NSE > 0.65). Additionally, ten hydrological signatures were quantified to assess the variability of the simulated streamflows in each basin, with metrics such as Mean Flow (Q mean), 5th Quantile Flow (Q5), and 95th Quantile Flow (Q95) showing an overall better performance. Finally, the results of this study demonstrate the reliability of using bottom-up satellite products in Pd basins. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Study region: The source region of Yangtze River (SRYR) Study focus: Better understanding the influence of soil freeze/thaw (F/T) activity on runoff production is vital for cold regions like the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. While global reanalysis products offer full spatial coverage and fine temporal resolution for runoff estimates, their accuracy in depicting runoff dynamics within permafrost-dominated regions remains uncertain. To address this gap, a thorough assessment of the ERA5-Land runoff products within the SRYR was undertaken to determine their effectiveness in representing specific permafrost hydrological mechanisms. New hydrological insights for the region: Our analysis reveals that ERA5-Land adequately captures the intra-annual variability of runoff, but tends to overestimate runoff coefficients while underestimate runoff recession rates. The monthly runoff coefficient fluctuates during the thaw season, showing decreasing trends from May to increasing trends after July. The runoff recession rate generally shifts from acceleration to retardation during the freezing period (October-March), influenced significantly by snow cover and soil F/T dynamics. There's a discernible delay in the observed transition time (0.3 days/a) of runoff recession from 1980 to 2020, closely linked (R>0.35, p

Increases in air temperature lead to increased dryness of the air and potentially develops increased dryness in the soil. Extreme dryness (in the soil and/or in the atmosphere) affects the capacity of ecosystems for functioning and for modulating the climate. Here, we used long-term high temporal resolution (daily) soil moisture (SM) and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) data of high spatial resolution (∼0.1° × 0.1°) to show that compared to the reference period (1950–1990), the overall frequency of extreme soil dryness, extreme air dryness, and extreme compound dryness (i.e., co-occurrence of extreme soil dryness and air dryness) has increased by 1.2-fold [0.8,1.6] (median [10th,90th percentile], 1.6-fold [1,2.3], and 1.7-fold [0.9,2.5], respectively, over the last 31 years (1991–2021) across Europe. Our results also indicate that this increase in frequency of extreme compound dryness (between reference and 1991–2021 period) is largely due to increased SM-VPD coupling across Northern Europe, and due to decreasing SM and/or increasing VPD trend across Central and Mediterranean Europe. Furthermore, under the RCP8.5 (Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5) emission scenario, this increase in frequency of extreme compound dryness would be 3.3-fold [2.0,5.8], and 4.6-fold [2.3,11.9] by mid-21st century (2031–2065) and late-21st century (2066–2100), respectively. Additionally, we segregated the changes in frequency of extreme dryness across the most recent (year 2021) land cover types in Europe to show that croplands, broadleaved forest, and urban areas have experienced more than twice as much extreme dryness during 1990–2021 compared to the reference period of 1990–2021, which based on the future projection data will increase to more than three-fold by mid 21st century. Such future climate-change induced increase in extreme dryness could have negative implications for functioning of ecosystems and compromise their capacity to adapt to rapidly rising dryness levels.

Study region: The study was carried out in three karst catchments in Southwest China. These catchments, Sancha, Liuzhou and Qianjiang, are located in the middle reaches of the Pearl River Basin with the catchment area of 17067 km², 46166 km², and 134137 km², respectively. Study focus: Satellite or reanalysis precipitation data are potential alternatives that can be used in hydrological models for streamflow forecasting in data-sparse catchments. This study aims to investigate the performance of two widely used precipitation datasets, IMERG and ERA5-Land, as well as their fusion data with rain gauge measurements by the Geographically Weighted Regression method, in three karst catchments of southwest China. New hydrological insights for the region: The results indicate that compared to IMERG, ERA5-Land has a higher correlation coefficient and a better detection rate for daily precipitation with the gauge-based data. However, ERA5-Land overestimates annual precipitation in all three catchments. Merging ERA5-Land and IMERG with rain gauge data can further improve its precipitation detection rate, but does not effectively mitigate its overestimation. Meanwhile, the model calibration through the parameter adjustment can partly compensate for the precipitation error to improve the discharge simulation accuracy, it cannot fully cover the overestimation of ERA5-Land in the two catchments. Therefore, ERA5-Land and its fusion data consistently perform badly in streamflow simulation. In contrast, IMERG demonstrates good agreement with gauge-based precipitation data and shows comparable or even slightly superior performance in streamflow prediction in all catchments. Additionally, the calibrated parameters in the model driven by IMERG closely resemble those driven by gauge-based precipitation data. These results suggest that IMERG can serve as a viable precipitation alternative for hydrological models in discharge simulations in the study region.

Representative weather data are fundamental to characterizing a place and determining ideal design approaches. This is particularly important for large countries like Brazil, whose extension and geographical position contribute to defining diverse climatic conditions along the territory. In this context, this study intends to characterize the Brazilian territory based on a 15-year weather record (2008–2022), providing a climatic assessment based on a climatic and bioclimatic profile for the whole country. The climate analysis was focused on temperature, humidity, precipitation, and solar radiation, followed by a bioclimatic analysis guided by the Givoni chart and the natural ventilation potential assessment. In both situations, the results were analyzed using three resolutions: country-level, administrative division, and bioclimatic zones. This study also identified representative locations for the Brazilian bioclimatic zones for a building-centered analysis based on the thermal and energy performance of a single-family house with different envelope configurations. The results proved that most Brazilian territories increased above 0.4 °C in the dry bulb temperature and reduced relative humidity. The precipitation had the highest reduction, reaching more than 50% for some locations. The warmer and drier conditions impacted also the Köppen–Geiger classification, with an increase in the number of Semi-Arid and Arid locations. The bioclimatic study showed that ventilation is the primary strategy for the Brazilian territory, as confirmed by the natural ventilation potential results, followed by passive heating strategies during the year’s coldest months. Finally, building performance simulation underlined that, in colder climates, indoor thermal comfort conditions and air-conditioning demands are less affected by solar absorptance for constructions with low U-values, while in warmer climates, low solar absorptance with intermediary U-values is recommended.

Low snow levels over the past few decades and predictions of a low‐to‐no snow future have spurred research into snow droughts, which pose a threat to water security and management. Systematic data‐model comparisons of snow drought have been lacking, hindering our understanding of the drivers of snow drought in the past. To address this gap, we analyzed snow drought events using standardized snow water equivalent index derived from monthly results of four numerical experiments using the E3SM Land Model (ELM) and ERA5‐Land data during the period of 1980–2014. Additionally, we compared snow drought duration calculated from models with those from the ERA5‐Land data during selected El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) years. The numerical experiments were conducted with ELM driven by two prescribed atmospheric forcings, and with the coupled land‐atmosphere configuration of E3SM with and without plant hydraulics scheme feedback. Analysis reveals that 20%–30% of snow droughts occur due to factors other than above‐normal temperature and low snowfall, such as low soil moisture, warm soil temperature, and low relative humidity, etc., especially in high latitudes (50° North). Furthermore, our study highlights the exacerbating effect of ENSO events on snow drought conditions in various regions, despite some discrepancies between model and ERA5‐Land results. We also identified limitations of the coupled land‐atmosphere models in our current configuration in capturing the spatial patterns of snow droughts. This study underscores the challenge of predicting and mitigating snow drought and the need for a comprehensive understanding of the factors contributing to snow drought. Plain Language Summary: The decrease in snow levels over the past few decades and predictions for future snow droughts threaten water security and management. While there are various observational data products and model simulations available, a comparison between them has been lacking. This study conducted a comparison between different numerical experiments using the Energy Exascale Earth System Model and reference data from ERA5‐Land to understand the drivers of snow droughts in 1980–2014. The findings revealed that factors other than above‐normal temperature and low snowfall, such as low soil moisture, warm soil temperature, and low relative humidity, etc., can also contribute to snow droughts. The study also highlights the exacerbating effect of ENSO events on snow drought conditions in various regions. However, there are some discrepancies between the models and ERA5‐Land data, which may be attributed to factors such as model resolution, parameterization, and uncertainties in forcing data. The study underscores the complexity of predicting and mitigating snow drought and the need for a comprehensive understanding of the factors contributing to snow drought. Key Points: Snow droughts in Northern Hemisphere land are predominantly driven by low snowfall, warm temperature, or bothHowever, 20%–30% of snow droughts are driven by factors such as anomalous soil moisture and temperatureEl Niño‐Southern Oscillation events can exacerbate snow drought conditions in various regions, despite some discrepancies between model results [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Photovoltaic Geographical Information System (PVGIS) is a web application that provides free access to solar radiation and temperature data, typical meteorological year (TMY) data, and to photovoltaic performance assessment tools for any place in most parts of the world. The PVGIS was originally developed over 20 years ago, and since then, it has been under continuous development. At present, there are two versions of the PVGIS online—the older version 5.1 and the newest version 5.2. PVGIS 5.2 includes substantial improvements compared to the previous version, e.g., the update of the underlying data sets both in terms of quality, resolution, and geographical coverage and the extension of the time period used. This paper focuses on comparing the TMYs (and more specifically the TMY time series of air temperature), coming from both PVGIS 5.1 and 5.2, with the TMY produced on the basis of ground station meteorological data and with the ground station data itself. The results show that whereas overall the errors and biases for most locations are within the expected range (mean stationRMSE 4.27), these differences increase in places with complicated topography, e.g., in the Alps (maximum stationRMSE 9.50). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Heatwaves have caused significant damage to human health, infrastructure, and economies in recent decades, and the occurrences of heatwaves are becoming more frequent and severe across the globe under climate change. The previous studies on heatwaves have primarily focused on air temperature, neglecting other variables like wind speed, relative humidity, and radiation, which could lead to a serious underestimation of the adverse effects of heatwaves. To address this issue, this study proposed to the use of more sophisticated thermal indices, such as universal thermal climate index (UTCI) and apparent temperature (AT), to define heatwaves and carry out a comprehensive heatwave assessment over mainland southeast Asia (MSEA) from 1961 to 2020. The traditional temperature-based method was also compared. The results of the study demonstrate that the annual maximum temperature in heatwave days (HWA) and the annual average temperature in heatwave days (HWM) are significantly underestimated if only air temperature is considered. However, UTCI and AT tend to predict a lower frequency of yearly heatwave occurrences and shorter durations. Trend analysis indicates a general increase in heatwave occurrences across MSEA under all thermal indices in the past six decades, particularly in the last 30 years. This study's approach and findings provide a holistic view of heatwave characteristics based on thermal indices and highlight the risk of intensified heat stress during heatwaves in MSEA. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-accuracy reanalysis products are beneficial to the retrieval and modeling of zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD) in GNSS positioning and the study of GNSS Meteorology. The performance of meteorological parameters and ZTD derived from Copernicus Arctic Regional ReAnalysis (CARRA), ERA5 and ERA5-Land over the Greenland covering the year of 2020 are comprehensively compared and analyzed in this study. Firstly, the accuracies of the atmospheric pressure, temperature and water vapor pressure retrieved from three reanalysis data are compared with the observations obtained from 6 radiosondes and 30 automatic weather stations. The results show that the accuracy of temperature data from ERA5 pressure-level in the height range of 23–30 km is higher than that of CARRA pressure-level. The atmospheric pressure, temperature and water vapor pressure from CARRA single-level are superior to those of ERA5 single-level and ERA5-Land. Secondly, the ZTD derived from CARRA, ERA5 and ERA5-Land are compared with GNSS final ZTD data from 37 UNAVCO stations. The Root Mean Square error (RMS) values of ERA5 pressure-level ZTD is 6.7 mm, showing slightly better accuracy than CARRA pressure-level ZTD of 10.7 mm. The RMS values of ZTD derived from CARRA single-level, ERA5 single-level and ERA5-Land based on the Saastamoinen model are 11.9 mm, 13.4 mm and 22.7 mm, respectively, which indicates that CARRA single-level ZTD shows best consistency with GNSS ZTD among three single-level reanalysis data. Moreover, the reanalysis-derived ZTD show obviously poorer accuracy in warm-season than that in cold-season. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The variability in soil hydrothermal conditions generally contributes to the diverse distribution of vegetation cover types and growth characteristics. Previous research primarily focused on soil moisture alone or the average values of soil hydrothermal conditions in the crop root zone (0–100 cm). However, it is still unclear whether changes in gross primary productivity (GPP) depend on the hydrothermal conditions at different depths of soil layers within the root zone. In this study, the soil hydrothermal conditions from three different layers, surface layer 0–7 cm (Level 1, L1), shallow layer 7–28 cm (Level 2, L2), and deep layer 28–100 cm (Level 3, L3) in the Qilian Mountains area, northwestern China, are obtained based on ERA5-Land reanalysis data. The Sen-MK trend test, Pearson correlation analysis, and machine learning algorithm were used to explore the influence of these three soil hydrothermal layers on GPP. The results show that soil moisture values increase with soil depth, while the soil temperature values do not exhibit a stratified pattern. Furthermore, the strong correlation between GPP and deep soil hydrothermal conditions was proved, particularly in terms of soil moisture. The Random Forest feature importance extraction revealed that deep soil moisture (SM-L3) and surface soil temperature (ST-L1) are the most influential variables. It suggests that regulations of soil hydrothermal conditions on GPP may involve both linear and nonlinear effects. This study can obtain the temporal and spatial dynamics of soil hydrothermal conditions across different soil layers and explore their regulations on GPP, providing a basis for clarifying the relationship between soil and vegetation in arid mountain systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study evaluates the reliability of ERA5 and ERA5‐Land reanalysis datasets in describing the mean daily air temperature of four climate domains in mainland Portugal. The reanalysis datasets were compared with ground observations from 94 meteorological stations (1980–2021). Overall, the results demonstrated a good degree of correlation between the observed and reanalysis data on both a daily and seasonal scale. Both the latitudinal distribution of the air temperature and the moderating effect of the Atlantic Ocean are well described. However, in the case of Portugal, the ERA5‐Land was shown to be considerably more effective at describing the mean daily air temperature than ERA5. The results also indicated that, in general, the reanalysis methodologies perform better when applied to air temperature simulation in flatter regions as opposed to regions with high‐altitude and complex terrain. The study further suggests that ERA5 and ERA5‐Land reanalysis should be used with caution in the case of short‐term environmental studies. In fact, relevant differences were shown to exist between the reanalyses and the observed daily mean air temperature datasets for certain specific years. Overall, considering the RMSE between the ERA5‐Land reanalysis datasets for mean daily air temperature and the observed datasets there is a 28% probability of locally having a mean RMSE <1.5°C, 52% probability of having a mean RMSE >1.5°C and <2.0°C, and 16% probability of having a RMSE >2.0°C and <3.0°C. These conclusions will hopefully contribute to improving our understanding of the uncertainty sources in relation to ERA5 and ERA5‐Land reanalysis data for different climate domains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Bioclimatic variables (BCVs) are the most widely used predictors within the field of species distribution modeling, but recent studies imply that BCVs alone are not sufficient to describe these limits. Unfortunately, the most popular database, WorldClim, offers only a limited selection of bioclimatological predictors; thus, other climatological datasets should be considered, and, for data consistency, the BCVs should also be derived from the respective datasets. Here, we investigate how well the BCVs are represented by different datasets for the extended Mediterranean area within the period 1970–2020, how different calculation schemes affect the representation of BCVs, and how deviations among the datasets differ regionally. We consider different calculation schemes for quarters/months, the annual mean temperature (BCV‐1), and the maximum temperature of the warmest month (BCV‐5). Additionally, we analyzed the effect of different temporal resolutions for BCV‐1 and BCV‐5. Differences resulting from different calculation schemes are presented for ERA5‐Land. Selected BCVs are analyzed to show differences between WorldClim, ERA5‐Land, E‐OBS, and CRU. Our results show that (a) differences between the two calculation schemes for BCV‐1 diminish as the temporal resolution decreases, while the differences for BCV‐5 increase; (b) with respect to the definition of the respective month/quarter, intra‐annual shifts induced by the calculation schemes can have substantially different effects on the BCVs; (c) all datasets represent the different BCVs similarly, but with partly large differences in some subregions; and (d) the largest differences occur when specific month/quarters are defined by precipitation. In summary, (a) since the definition of BCVs matches different calculation schemes, transparent communication of the BCVs calculation schemes is required; (b) the calculation, integration, or elimination of BCVs has to be examined carefully for each dataset, region, period, or species; and (c) the evaluated datasets provide, except in some areas, a consistent representation of BCVs within the extended Mediterranean region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High spatial–temporal resolution surface net radiation (RN) data are of great significance to the study of climate, ecology, hydrology and cryosphere changes on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), but the verification of the surface net radiation products on the plateau is not sufficient. In this study, the China Meteorological Administration Global Land Surface Reanalysis Products (CRA/Land) and ECMWF Land Surface Reanalysis version 5 (ERA5-Land) RN data were validated using ground measurements at daily and monthly time scales, and the spatiotemporal patterns were also analyzed. The results indicate the following: (1) CRA/Land overestimated while ERA5-Land underestimated RN, but CRA/Land RN outperformed ERA5-Land in observations at the daily and monthly scale. (2) The CRA/Land RN data had a larger error in the central part and a smaller error in the northeast of the TP, while ERA5-Land showed the opposite. (3) The spatial patterns of RN revealed by CRA/Land and ERA5-Land data showed differences in most regions. The CRA/Land data showed that the RN of the TP had a downward trend during 2000 and 2020 with a slope of −0.112 W·m−2/a, while the ERA5-Land data indicated an upward trend with a change rate of 0.016 W·m−2/a. (4) Downwelling shortwave radiation (DSR), upwelling shortwave radiation (USR), downwelling longwave radiation (DLR) and upwelling longwave radiation (ULR) are the four components of RN, and the evaluation results indicate that the DSR, DLR and ULR recorded via CRA/Land and ERA5-Land are consistent with the observed data, but the consistency between the USR recorded via CRA/Land and ERA5-Land and the observed data is poor. (5) The inconsistency of the USR data is the main reason for the large differences in the spatiotemporal distribution of CRA/Land and ERA5-Land RN data across the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As asphalt binder is a temperature-dependent viscoelastic material, the asphalt pavement performance is affected by the temperature during its service life. Traditionally, selecting the asphalt binder performance grade (PG) is based on long-term meteorological data analysis, but this study used MODIS and ASTER remotely-sensed (RS), reanalysis ERA5-Land, and in-situ meteorological datasets to select the PG. The multiple linear regression (MLR), genetic algorithm (GA), and deep-learning (DL) techniques were used to create models to estimate the maximum air and road pavement surface temperatures, considering the Superpave specifications. Model parameters involved the land surface temperature, vegetation index, elevation, ERA5-Land air temperature, soil moisture, wind speed, thermal radiation, evapotranspiration, latitude, and climate type. Comparative analyses revealed that the DL model yielded the most reliable PG results and the proposed RS-based method was more accurate than conventional approaches and could determine the PG accurately with 1 km resolution independent of distance to meteorological stations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Numerical simulations of dust emission processes are essential for dust cycle modeling and dust‐atmosphere interactions. Models have coarse spatial resolutions which, without tackling sub‐grid scale heterogeneity, bias finely resolved dust emission. Soil surface wind friction velocity (us*) drives dust emission non‐linearly with increasing model resolution, due mainly to thresholds of sediment entrainment. Albedo is area‐integrated, scales linearly with resolution, is related to us* and hence represents its sub‐grid scale heterogeneity. Calibrated albedo‐based global dust emission estimates decreased by only 2 Tg y−1 (10.5%) upscaled from 0.5 to 111 km, largely independent of resolution. Without adjusting wind fields, this scaling uncertainty is within recent estimates of global dust emission model uncertainty (±14.9 Tg y−1). This intrinsic scaling capability of the albedo‐based approach offers considerable potential to reduce resolution dependency of dust cycle modeling and improve the representation of local dust emission in Earth system models and operational air quality forecasting.

Wetlands have rich biological diversity and productivity, and support unique ecological functions. However, wetlands worldwide are under threat owing to the pressures of development and climate change. We analysed the extent and water balance of 21 important wetlands in Iran from 1990 to 2022 based on Landsat 5, 7, 8, and 9, and “Sentinel-2 satellite images” and Era5-land in the “Google Earth Engine (GEE)” platform. We performed morphometric analyses using NKU-MAN and the Mann-Kendall test to estimate the trends for wetland water bodies. Most seasonal water balance maxima occurred in January, followed by February and, in some cases, in the adjacent months, whilst the minima primarily occurred in May (nine wetlands) and June (five wetlands). Most importantly, the results revealed a gradual decrease in the size of the water bodies over the course of the study period, although this trend was not statistically significant for all water bodies. The findings of this study provide information that can be used by policymakers, planners, scientists, and residents to assess and manage sustainable water usage in wetland watersheds in a changing climate.

Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) estimation is essential for water resources management. The present research compares four different ETo estimators based on reanalysis data (ERA5-Land) and in situ observations from three different cultivation sites in Greece. ETo based on FAO56-Penman–Monteith (FAO-PM) is compared to ETo calculated from the empirical methods of Copais, Valiantzas and Hargreaves-Samani using both reanalysis and in situ data. The daily and monthly biases of each method are calculated against the FAO56-PM method. ERA5-Land data are also compared to ground-truth observations. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis is conducted on each site for different cultivation periods. The present research finds that the use of ERA5-Land data underestimates ground-truth-based ETo by 35%, approximately, when using the FAO56-PM method. Additionally, the use of other methodologies also shows underestimation of ETo when calculated with ERA5-Land data. On the contrary, the use of the Valiantzas and Copais methodologies with in situ observations shows overestimation of ETo when compared to FAO56-PM, in the ranges of 32–62% and 24–56%, respectively. The sensitivity analysis concludes that solar radiation and relative humidity are the most sensitive variables of the Copais and Valiantzas methodologies. Overall, the Hargreaves-Samani methodology was found to be the most efficient tool for ETo estimation. Finally, the evaluation of the ERA5-Land data showed that only air temperature inputs can be utilized with high levels of confidence.

Hydrological modeling is essential for runoff simulations in line with climate studies, especially in remote areas with data scarcity. Advancements in climatic precipitation datasets have improved the accuracy of hydrological modeling. This research aims to evaluate the APHRODITE, PERSIANN-CDR, and ERA5-Land climatic precipitation datasets for the Hablehroud watershed in Iran. The datasets were compared with interpolated ground station precipitation data using the inverse distance weighted (IDW) method. The variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model was utilized to simulate runoff from 1992 to 1996. The results revealed that the APHRODITE and PERSIANN-CDR datasets demonstrated the highest and lowest accuracy, respectively. The sensitivity of the model was analyzed using each precipitation dataset, and model calibration was performed using the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). The evaluation of daily runoff simulation based on observed precipitation indicated a KGE value of 0.78 and 0.76 during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. The KGE values at the daily time scale were 0.64 and 0.77 for PERSIANN-CDR data, 0.62 and 0.75 for APHRODITE precipitation data, 0.50 and 0.66 for ERA5-Land precipitation data during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. These results indicate that despite varying sensitivity, climatic precipitation datasets present satisfactory performance, particularly in poorly gauged basins with infrequent historical datasets.

The continuous advances in numerical modeling of the atmosphere, computing power and data assimilation techniques entail frequent updates of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models that show improved forecast skill. This circumstance leads to the recurrent delivery of revised reanalysis databases that provide weather estimates for several decades back in time by combining the latest NWP models with observations. Since climate studies and agriculture water management applications require the availability of accurate and reliable weather data, assessing the performance of reanalysis products contributes to informed choices of potential weather proxy of ground-based agrometeorological data. CERRA (Copernicus European Regional ReAnalysis) dataset is the latest regional reanalysis product released by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), in August 2022. CERRA is forced by the global ERA5 reanalysis, and it provides weather data with resolution of 5.5 km for the pan-European territory from 1984. For the first time in literature, this study explores the performance of CERRA data at 38 ground-based weather stations located in Sicily, an Italian region with Mediterranean climate, during the irrigation seasons 2003–2022. The objective of the study lies in evaluating CERRA performance with respect to air temperature, actual vapor pressure, wind speed and solar radiation that are input variables for assessing reference evapotranspiration, ETO, which is a key variable for quantifying irrigation volumes needed for water resources studies. The accuracy of ETO estimates depends on those input variables through the equation provided by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), i.e., the FAO Penman-Monteith equation. Here, it is also evaluated the performance of ETO estimates by using CERRA weather inputs in the FAO Penman-Monteith equation. The results show that the performances of CERRA weather data are excellent, especially for air temperature, and this determines that CERRA ETO estimates present high accuracy and reliability with a mean PBIAS and NRMSE equal to 5.6% and 13%, respectively, over the region. Those outcomes lead to the conclusion that CERRA dataset represents a valid alternative to ground-based agrometeorological measurements and their spatial interpolation for water resource regional studies.

Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) estimation is essential for water resources management. The present research compares four different ETo estimators based on reanalysis data (ERA5-Land) and in situ observations from three different cultivation sites in Greece. ETo based on FAO56-Penman–Monteith (FAO-PM) is compared to ETo calculated from the empirical methods of Copais, Valiantzas and Hargreaves-Samani using both reanalysis and in situ data. The daily and monthly biases of each method are calculated against the FAO56-PM method. ERA5-Land data are also compared to ground-truth observations. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis is conducted on each site for different cultivation periods. The present research finds that the use of ERA5-Land data underestimates ground-truth-based ETo by 35%, approximately, when using the FAO56-PM method. Additionally, the use of other methodologies also shows underestimation of ETo when calculated with ERA5-Land data. On the contrary, the use of the Valiantzas and Copais methodologies with in situ observations shows overestimation of ETo when compared to FAO56-PM, in the ranges of 32–62% and 24–56%, respectively. The sensitivity analysis concludes that solar radiation and relative humidity are the most sensitive variables of the Copais and Valiantzas methodologies. Overall, the Hargreaves-Samani methodology was found to be the most efficient tool for ETo estimation. Finally, the evaluation of the ERA5-Land data showed that only air temperature inputs can be utilized with high levels of confidence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Currently, satellite-based soil moisture (SM) products and land surface model assimilation techniques are widely utilized. However, the presence of systematic errors in the observation process, algorithmic discrepancies between products, and variations in spatial and temporal scales result in diverse accuracy characteristics and applicability. This study evaluates three prominent SM products in China, namely, the Essential Climate Variable Soil Moisture (ECV), the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts' Fifth-Generation Land Surface Reanalysis Data (ERA5-Land), and the Global Land Surface Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). The evaluation was conducted using extended triple collocation (ETC) analysis and in situ validation methods at a monthly scale from 2000 to 2020. The ETC analysis results show that among the three products, GLDAS exhibits the highest correlation coefficient (CC) and the lowest standard deviation of error (ESD), indicating its superior performance in China. ECV and ERA5-Land follow, with slightly lower performance. In the in situ validation results, ERA5-Land displays the highest correlation, capturing the temporal trend of the ground SM well. Comparatively, in terms of overall accuracy, ECV performs the best, with a slightly smaller mean error (ME) and root mean square error (RMSE) than GLDAS, and ERA5-Land has the lowest accuracy. The discrepancy between the in situ validation results and ETC analysis can be attributed to the limited number of sites and their representativeness errors. Notably, ERA5-Land exhibits a highly consistent trend of interannual fluctuations between ESD and precipitation. Furthermore, a strong association is observed between the ME and RMSE of ECV and GLDAS and precipitation. These findings serve as valuable references for future SM studies in China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Assessing and monitoring the spatial extent of drought is of key importance to forecasting the future evolution of drought conditions and taking timely preventive and mitigation measures. A commonly used approach in regional drought analysis involves spatially interpolating meteorological variables (e.g., rainfall depth during specific time intervals, deviation from long-term average rainfall) or drought indices (e.g., Standardized Precipitation Index, Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index) computed at specific locations. While plotting a drought descriptor against the corresponding percentage of affected areas helps visualize the historical extent of a drought, this approach falls short of providing a probabilistic characterization of the severity of spatial drought conditions. That can be overcome by identifying drought Severity-Area-Frequency (SAF) curves over a region, which establishes a link between drought features with a chosen probability of recurrence (or return period) and the corresponding proportion of the area experiencing those drought conditions. While inferential analyses can be used to estimate these curves, analytical approaches offer a better understanding of the main statistical features that drive the spatial evolution of droughts. In this research, a technique is introduced to mathematically describe the Severity-Area-Frequency (SAF) curves, aiming to probabilistically understand the correlation between drought severity, measured through the SPEI index, and the proportion of the affected region. This approach enables the determination of the area's extent where SPEI values fall below a specific threshold, thus calculating the likelihood of observing SAF curves that exceed the observed one. The methodology is tested using data from the ERA5-Land reanalysis project, specifically studying the drought occurrences on Sicily Island, Italy, from 1950 to the present. Overall, findings highlight the improvements of incorporating the spatial interdependence of the assessed drought severity variable, offering a significant enhancement compared to the traditional approach for SAF curve derivation. Moreover, they validate the suitability of reanalysis data for regional drought analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of heatwaves in mainland Portugal from 1 October 1980 to 30 September 2021 (41 hydrological years). It addresses a research gap by providing an updated assessment using high-resolution reanalysis daily minimum and maximum temperature data (Tmin and Tmax) from the gridded ERA5-Land dataset, overcoming the lack of publicly available daily temperature records. To assess the representation of the previous dataset, nine different grid-point locations across the country were considered. By comparing monthly ERA5-Land temperature data to ground-based records from the Portuguese Met Office, a monthly validation of the data was conducted for the longest common period, demonstrating good agreement between the two datasets. The heatwave magnitude index (HWMI) was employed to establish the temperature thresholds and thus identify heatwaves (defined as three or more consecutive days above the threshold). With over 640 Tmin heatwave days recorded at each of the nine ERA5-Land grid-points, data analysis revealed a discernible upward trend in Tmin heatwaves. The grid-point situated in the capital city's urban area, i.e., Lisbon, exhibited the highest number of Tmin heatwave days. With an average of more than 800 Tmax heatwave days over the 41-year period, the northern and interior regions of Portugal had the greatest number of occurrences, reaching up to 916. A kernel rate estimation method was applied to further investigate the annual frequency of Tmin and Tmax heatwave occurrences. Results exhibited clear temperature changes, with a widespread increase in the number of heatwave days over the past two decades, particularly for Tmax. In summary, the occurrence of this phenomenon displayed significant spatial variations, with the southern interior and coastal grid-points experiencing a greater increase in annual Tmax heatwave days, rising from 10 to 30 between 2018 and 2019. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Near-surface air temperature is important for climate change, agriculture, animal husbandry, and ecosystems undergoing climate warming in Inner Mongolia. Land surface reanalysis products feature finer spatial and temporal resolutions, that can provide important data support for the determination of crop growth limits, grassland biomass growth, and desertification research in Inner Mongolia. In this study, 119 in situ observed sites were collected to compare and evaluate the performance of near-surface air temperature in three reanalysis products from 2018 to 2020 in Inner Mongolia. The three reanalysis products included three widely used products derived from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Fifth Generation Land Surface Reanalysis (ERA5-Land), and U.S. Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), as well as the latest reanalysis product from the High-Resolution Land Data Assimilation System reanalysis product by the China Meteorological Administration (HRCLDAS). Results are as follows: (1) The three reanalysis temperature products all reasonably reflect the characteristics of spatial and temporal changes in surface temperature in Inner Mongolia. Compared with ERA5L and GLDAS, HRCLDAS is more consistent with the observed results. (2) For the evaluation period, HRCLDAS has a certain underestimation of temperature, while ERA5-Land and GLDAS have a significant overestimation of temperature. (3) During high-temperature processes, HRCLDAS is more accurate in simulating higher temperatures than ERA5-LNAD and can demonstrate the changes in high-temperature drop zones. The major conclusion of this study is that the HRCLDAS product demonstrates a relatively high reliability, which is of great significance for the study of climate, ecosystem, and sustainable development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, the trend of widely used MODIS MxD11 and MxD21 Land Surface Temperature (LST) and ERA5-Land Skin Temperature (SKT) and 2 m air temperature products were validated using 2 m air temperature trends obtained by ground observations from 266 stations in 2000–2021 over Turkey, known to have complex topography. The results show that colder regions have substantially higher temporal temperature variability than warmer ones. MxD21 and MxD11 products are 4.4 °C and 2.9 °C warmer than ERA5-Land products, respectively, while ERA5-Land products (SKT and 2 m) have nearly similar averages (12.5 °C). The consistency between MODIS and ERA5-Land data is significantly lower over areas with more complex topography and irrigation activities, despite the fact that the products show a high linear relationship over the study area. While February trends are consistently much higher than other months (2.2 and 1.4 °C/decade for MODIS and ERA5-Land, respectively), overall MODIS skin temperature products (0.7 °C/decade) generally exhibit smaller trends than ERA5-Land skin and air temperature trends (0.94 °C/decade). The results suggested that MODIS and ERA5-Land trends, which are highly consistent with observations, might replace observations in the absence of long-term station-based records. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-resolution air temperature data is indispensable for analysing heatwave-related non-accidental mortality. However, the limited number of weather stations in urban areas makes obtaining such data challenging. Multi-source data fusion has been proposed as a countermeasure to tackle such challenges. Satellite products often offered high spatial resolution but suffered from being temporally discontinuous due to weather conditions. The characteristics of the data from reanalysis models were the opposite. However, few studies have explored the fusion of these datasets. This study is the first attempt to integrate satellite and reanalysis datasets by developing a two-step downscaling model to generate hourly air temperature data during heatwaves in London at 1 km resolution. Specifically, MODIS land surface temperature (LST) and other satellite-based local variables, including normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference water index (NDWI), modified normalised difference water index (MNDWI), elevation, surface emissivity, and ERA5-Land hourly air temperature were used. The model employed genetic programming (GP) algorithm to fuse multi-source data and generate statistical models and evaluated using ground measurements from six weather stations. The results showed that our model achieved promising performance with the RMSE of 0.335 °C, R-squared of 0.949, MAE of 1.115 °C, and NSE of 0.924. Elevation was indicated to be the most effective explanatory variable. The developed model provided continuous, hourly 1 km estimations and accurately described the temporal and spatial patterns of air temperature in London. Furthermore, it effectively captured the temporal variation of air temperature in urban areas during heatwaves, providing valuable insights for assessing the impact on human health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ERA5-Land service has been released recently as an integral and operational component of Copernicus Climate Change Service. Within its set of climatological and atmospheric parameters, it provides soil moisture estimates at different soil depths, represeting an important tool for retrieving saturation degree for predicting natural hazards as shallow landslides. This paper represents an innovative attempt aiming to exploit the use of saturation degree derived from ERA5-Land soil moisture products in a data-driven model to predict the daily probability of occurence of shallow landslides. The study was carried out by investigating a multi-temporal inventory of shallow landslides occurred in Oltrepò Pavese (northern Italy). The achieved results follow: (i) ERA5-Land-derived saturation degree reconstructs well field trends measured in the study area until 1 m from ground; (ii) in agreement with the typical sliding surfaces depth, saturation degree values obtained since ERA5-Land 28–100 cm layer represent a significant predictor for the estimation of temporal probability of occurrence of shallow landslides, able especially to reduce overestimation of triggering events; (iii) saturation degree estimated by ERA5-Land 28–100 cm layer allows to detect soil hydrological conditions leading to triggering in the study area, represented by saturation degree in this layer close to complete saturation. Even if other works of research are required in different geological and geomorphological settings, this study demonstrates that ERA5-Land-derived saturation degree could be implemented to identify triggering conditions and to develop prediction methods of shallow landslides, thanks also to its free availability and constantly updating with a delay of 5 days. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Bioclimatic variables (BCVs) are the most widely used predictors within the field of species distribution modeling, but recent studies imply that BCVs alone are not sufficient to describe these limits. Unfortunately, the most popular database, WorldClim, offers only a limited selection of bioclimatological predictors; thus, other climatological datasets should be considered, and, for data consistency, the BCVs should also be derived from the respective datasets. Here, we investigate how well the BCVs are represented by different datasets for the extended Mediterranean area within the period 1970–2020, how different calculation schemes affect the representation of BCVs, and how deviations among the datasets differ regionally. We consider different calculation schemes for quarters/months, the annual mean temperature (BCV‐1), and the maximum temperature of the warmest month (BCV‐5). Additionally, we analyzed the effect of different temporal resolutions for BCV‐1 and BCV‐5. Differences resulting from different calculation schemes are presented for ERA5‐Land. Selected BCVs are analyzed to show differences between WorldClim, ERA5‐Land, E‐OBS, and CRU. Our results show that (a) differences between the two calculation schemes for BCV‐1 diminish as the temporal resolution decreases, while the differences for BCV‐5 increase; (b) with respect to the definition of the respective month/quarter, intra‐annual shifts induced by the calculation schemes can have substantially different effects on the BCVs; (c) all datasets represent the different BCVs similarly, but with partly large differences in some subregions; and (d) the largest differences occur when specific month/quarters are defined by precipitation. In summary, (a) since the definition of BCVs matches different calculation schemes, transparent communication of the BCVs calculation schemes is required; (b) the calculation, integration, or elimination of BCVs has to be examined carefully for each dataset, region, period, or species; and (c) the evaluated datasets provide, except in some areas, a consistent representation of BCVs within the extended Mediterranean region.

This study used the geostatistical Kriging methodology to reduce the spatial scale of a host of daily meteorological variables in the Department of Cauca (Colombia), namely, total precipitation and maximum, minimum, and average temperature. The objective was to supply a high-resolution database from 01/01/2015 to 31/12/2021 in order to support the climate component in a project led by the National Institute of Health (INS) named “Spatial Stratification of dengue based on the identification of risk factors: a pilot study in the Department of Cauca”. The scaling process was applied to available databases from satellite information and reanalysis sources, specifically, CHIRPS (Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station Data), ERA5-Land (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), and MSWX (Multi-Source Weather). The 0.1° resolution offered by both the MSWX and ERA5-Land databases and the 0.05° resolution found in CHIRPS, was successfully reduced to a scale of 0.01° across all variables. Statistical metrics such as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Person Correlation Coefficient (r), and Mean Bias Error (MBE) were used to select the database that best estimated each variable. As a result, it was determined that the scaled ERA5-Land database yielded the best performance for precipitation and minimum daily temperature. On the other hand, the scaled MSWX database showed the best behavior for the other two variables of maximum temperature and daily average temperature. Additionally, using the scaled meteorological databases improved the performance of the regression models implemented by the INS for constructing a dengue early warning system.

Background. Dead fuel moisture content (DFMC) is crucial for quantifying fire danger, fire behaviour, fuel consumption, and smoke production. Several previous studies estimating DFMC employed robust process-based models. However, these models can involve extensive computational time to process long time-series data with multiple iterations, and are not always practical at larger spatial scales. Aims. Our aim was to provide a more time-efficient method to run a previously established process-based model and apply it to Pinus yunnanensis forests in southwest China. Methods. We first determined the minimum processing time the process-based model required to estimate DFMC with a range of initial DFMC values. Then a long time series process was divided into parallel tasks. Finally, we estimated 1-h DFMC (verified with field-based observations) at regional scales using minimum required meteorological time-series data. Key results. The results show that the calibration time and validation time of the model-in-parallel are 1.3 and 0.3% of the original model, respectively. The model-in-parallel can be generalised on regional scales, and its estimated 1-h DFMC agreed well with field-based measurements. Conclusions. Our findings indicate that our model-in-parallel is time-efficient and its application in regional areas is promising. Implications. Our practical model-in-parallel may contribute to improving wildfire risk assessment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]