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Determining which companies are more difficult to value is a topic of significant interest in finance. While prior studies have employed various univariate proxies to classify firms into high- and lowvaluation uncertainty groups, this study proposes a new approach to measuring valuation uncertainty. Specifically, I employ principal component analysis (PCA) to extract the first principal component from 11 valuation uncertainty proxies. The first principal component is proposed as a comprehensive measure of a firm's valuation uncertainty. The findings demonstrate that the PCAderived valuation uncertainty index provides two key benefits over univariate valuation uncertainty proxies. First, integrating multiple valuation uncertainty proxies into a single metric improves our ability to quantify valuation uncertainty. Second, it assists in identifying the proxies that are most informative in measuring a firm's valuation uncertainty. Ultimately, the PCA-derived valuation uncertainty index can better enable market participants to measure a firm's valuation uncertainty. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Research Summary : We provide evidence that investors in U.S. public markets are increasingly discounting firms' expected future cash flows during 1980–2013. This trend is shown not only on average across firms, but also within firms over time after alternative explanations are accounted for. To corroborate a link with firm time horizons, we estimate the relationship between an implied discount rate ("IDR") and factors relevant to firm long‐term strategy. We find that IDR is correlated in expected ways with firm investments, management incentives, financial health, ownership, and external pressures—measures that have been argued to correlate with firm time horizons. This article represents one of the first attempts to document market‐wide evidence of shortening firm time horizons. These changing horizons bear important implications for firm strategy. Managerial Summary : Whether U.S. firms have become more short‐term oriented remains an active debate among managers, investors, researchers, and policymakers. In this study, we report that investors have been increasingly discounting the expected future returns of public firms over the last three decades. We find that a firm's discounting rate is explained by signals of its long‐term strategy, including investment decisions, ownership structure, financial health, executive compensation scheme, and short‐term pressures from the external environment. Our findings indicate a market‐wide contraction of firm time horizons, highlighting firm characteristics that suggest how and why firms differ in their time horizons. These demonstrated relationships may help guide firms in devising investment strategies as well as external communications to attract investors that share a firm's preferred time horizon. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A large literature now reports the evidence for the profitability of contrarian trading strategies. We investigate the stability of such contrarian trading strategies and their ability to generate large, potentially ruinous, losses for their users. Specifically, we ask, are the annual profits earned by contrarian strategies sufficiently stable and loss‐free to keep their adherents in the game and capable of reaping returns to such long‐run trading strategies? We present tests with more statistical power than hitherto, reflecting practical aspects of the operation of contrarian strategies. Specifically, the strategies are implemented only for years in which the mean return of stocks in the buy portfolio exceeds that of the sell portfolio; in addition, for each strategy, we calculate the Calmar ratio as a measure of downside risk. Using the constituents of the S&P 500 index for the years 1990–2017 inclusive, we examine a variety of simple, ratio‐based strategies and more complicated strategies based on formal valuation models. Overall, our evaluation makes us sceptical about the reliability of contrarian strategies as currently formulated. But of those strategies available, those based on discounted cash flow seem most likely to be profitable. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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We develop an intertemporal asset pricing model where cash-flow news, discount-rate news, and their second moments are priced by the market. This model generalizes the market-return decomposition framework, showing that intertemporal considerations imply a decomposition of squared market returns (coskewness risk). Our model accounts for 68% of the return variation across portfolios sorted by size, book-to-market ratio, momentum, investment, and profitability for a modern U.S. sample period. Further, our findings highlight the importance of covariation risk, that is, the risk of simultaneous unfavorable shocks to cash flows and discount rates, in understanding equity risk premia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In order to optimize positioning and associated drug price for both payer and investor, it is for a company essential to forecast the potential market access attractiveness for the new drug for different indications at the early onset of the clinical development program. This analysis must include the constraints from the perspective of the payer, but also the biotech companies, who require a minimum drug price to satisfy their investors. This paper aims to provide an Integrated Valuation Model for payer and investor, bridging concepts from health economics and economic valuation reflecting the perspectives of the payer and the investor for a drug in early clinical development phase. The concept is illustrated for a new hypothetical drug (Product X) in advanced breast cancer in 1-line, 2-line, and 3-line position. The Integrated Valuation Model includes the outcomes of the budget impact model, pricing matrix model, and cost-effectiveness model reflecting the payer's perspective. These models are interacted and linked with a discounted cash flow model in order to reflect also the economic value from the investor's perspective. The maximum price in 1-line position is €269.7 for the payer and the minimum price is €14.7 for the investor, which are unit prices per administration corresponding with treatment regimens for the comparative treatments. In 2-line position, the maximum price is €274.1 for the payer and the minimum price for the investor increases to €184.5 for the investor because of the smaller market size in 2-line position, which leads to a smaller pricing corridor to satisfy both payer and investor. Consequently, Product X has market access attractiveness for both payer and investor in 1-line and 2-line position. However, the minimum price €942.7 in 3-line position for the investor is higher than the maximum price €283.3 for the payer, which means there is no market potential. The practical strategic application of the Integrated Valuation Model is optimization of positioning and price of Product X. Hence, it can be a transparent tool in early-stage development of a compound based on upfront assessment of market access attractiveness for the payer and the investor. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Damages assessment in investor-State dispute settlement (ISDS) entail major financial, behavioural, and political consequences upon host States. In fact, damages unreflecting the actual value of investments in energy assets can over-induce investments on the investors' side and curtail host States' regulatory space against the unfolding climate change crisis. This contribution investigates the practice of ISDS tribunals on damages assessment in cases dealing with the rollback of support schemes for renewable energy infrastructures brought against Italy and Spain. It acknowledges a narrow, yet consistent approach to quantum , which foregoes elements of balancing and equity in applying the general standard of full reparation enshrined under public international law. Hence a change of paradigm is advocated, whereby ISDS tribunals engage deeply with both the inherent elements of renewable energy investments as well as the ongoing regulatory constraints posed by the dire need to adopt more stringent climate policies domestically. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The use of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the transportation sector is increasing, and boil-off gas (BOG) management systems are considered viable options to increase economic efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas emissions at LNG refueling stations. The present study proposed an economically optimized method by investigating four refueling station scenarios, including different BOG management systems. Among the four scenarios, the scenario in which compressed natural gas was produced from BOG had the lowest minimum selling price (MSP) and was the most economical. Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses were conducted for the economically optimal scenario, which identified the factors with the most influential impact and their uncertainties on the MSP. Finally, to determine the feasibility of the business through profitability analysis, the net present value, discounted payback period, and present value ratio due to changes in the discount rate were presented, and the discounted cash flow rate of return was found to be 13.22%. As a result of this study, a BOG management system can contribute to improving the economic feasibility for LNG refueling stations by reliquefying BOG and re-selling it (the most efficient way is scenario 4) and will provide an economical guide for countries with much demand for LNG in the transport sector. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article is devoted to the analysis of the efficiency of higher education funding from the perspective of higher education applicants (cost of education) and from the perspective of the state (budget expenditures, investments in preparation of specialists). The article contains the main indicators of socioeconomic development of the OECD countries and Ukraine. The analysis has shown that in Ukraine the amount of higher education expenditures as a percentage of GDP has an average value compared to the OECD countries, while this amount in monetary terms is significantly lower than in other countries. The efficiency of higher education costs for the individual and expenditures for the state in the OECD countries and in Ukraine have been evaluated. The efficiency of individual costs of higher education is calculated using the discounted cash flow method, applied to the cost of education and the difference in wages between qualified and unqualified personnel. The efficiency of public spending on higher education (investment in the training of specialists) is calculated using the discounted cash flow method applied to the share of public spending on higher education and GDP growth generated by labor with better skills. The results of the calculations have shown that the efficiency of state expenditures on higher education is higher than the efficiency of individual costs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the modern global economy, trade credit financing is typical in business transactions for both sellers and buyers. The seller offers a credit period to attract new buyers or stimulate demand, and the buyer takes the opportunity to accumulate revenue. To obtain this benefit, the seller prefers trade credit policies that are dependent on the quantity ordered, referred to as order-linked trade credit. The buyer can obtain the benefits from a fully delayed payment if their order is sufficiently large. Similarly, the seller can sell many products while granting a credit period. Otherwise, the buyer receives only partial trade credit, and the seller can take the opportunity of both cash and credit payments. In this study, an economic order quantity (EOQ) inventory model for deteriorating products, under default risk control-based trade credit, is formulated using a discounted cash flow approach. The seller offers to the buyer order-linked trade credit with price-and credit-period-dependent demand. The optimal selling price, credit period policies, and replenishment cycle time are determined simultaneously, while maximizing the present value of the seller's total profit. Moreover, this research provides numerical examples and sensitivity analysis to illustrate the theoretical results, solution procedure, and gain managerial insights. 200 words. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study aims to determine the most appropriate alternative fuel technology to comply with possible different imposed emission regulations while ensuring optimal business performance. In this context, the most suitable alternative fuel technology minimizes the required freight rate while maximizing overall performance on technological, environmental, and other criteria. A decision support tool was developed combining the overall performance of alternative fuels based on technological, environmental, and other criteria via a simple multiattribute rating technique model with a financial model based on discounted cash flow analysis. In this model, also an optimization model is implemented to minimize the required freight rate by optimizing for economic vessel speed. This model provides quantified insights into the financial and operational effects of transitioning via either a 'market-based measure' regulatory scenario or an 'emission cap' scenario if current fuels do not reach the zero-emission targets in the future. Based on the analysis, it can be concluded that upgraded bio-oil, Fischer–Tropsch diesel and liquefied bio-methane can be considered the 'most promising' alternative maritime fuels of the future. Current fuels such as Heavy fuel oil and Liquified natural gas remain the 'most probable' to retain dominance without regulations. If there is a transition toward these alternative fuels, this will also lead to a shift toward lower sailing speeds. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Regulation of Next Generation Access Networks (NGANs) has been one of the most debated topics throughout the European Union (EU). Now it seems to be seeking to strike a new balance, between promoting NGANs investments and, simultaneously, preserving the current level of competition. This much-sought reconciliation was attempted with the release of European Commission (EC)'s Recommendation 2013/466/EU on consistent non-discrimination obligations and costing methodologies for the promotion of competition and the enhancement of the broadband investment environment. The Recommendation, among others, defines the use of Economic Replicability Tests (ERTs), on the basis of a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) approach, as the proper methodological tool to determine whether the dominant firm (i.e., incumbent operator) engages in a discriminatory behavior. The aim of this paper is twofold; first to investigate the impact of long-term access pricing agreements on ERT conduct as defined in Recommendation 2013/466/EU; second, in the light of the review of the aforementioned Recommendation, to attempt a non-conventional implementation of the test. The latter manifests itself via the potential use of Real Options Theory (ROT) within the ERT formulation on top of DCF results. The main objective is to investigate whether the fixed part of the wholesale access price - if the latter is seen as a two-part tariff - can actually be included in the calculation process to the contrary of what Jaunaux and Lebourges [39] suggest. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There has been substantial growth in investments for startup firms to develop agricultural technology. Although investing in startups can produce significant returns, the risk of failure is high, and the commercial strategies are largely unknown. Traditional valuation methodologies, such as discounted cash flow (DCF) and multiples, are not well suited for startups. Real options provide a methodology to quantify the value of growth opportunities and managerial flexibility, two critical features of startups. This study develops a model that integrates decision trees and a stochastic binomial lattice to quantify the value of growth opportunities and managerial flexibility in a prerevenue AgTech startup. Utilizing a binomial lattice and decision trees allows for the quantification of private and market risk. The result is a valuation that quantifies the upside optionality that other methodologies disregard. [EconLit Citations: O32, O34, Q140, Q16, C6, G11]. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The adoption of renewable energy resources is in the core of energy transition. However, its implementation can be highly impacted by country policies. A limited number of researches investigated solar photovoltaic investments, comparing net-metering rules for distinctive energy consumption levels and different discounted rates, from the investors' point of view. This paper analyzes the impact of Brazilian net-metering rules on solar photovoltaic investments, considering residential scale. The methodology contemplates the development of a Discounted Cash Flow model to calculate Discounted Payback (DP), Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) of projects. The case studies consider the impact of Brazilian regulation from net-metering rules (previous, considered, and current), energy consumption levels (Low, Middle, and High), and discount rates (5 %, 10 %, 15 %, and 20 %). The results show that from the previous to current rule the return for investor, on average, decreased 5.77 %. However, this reduction would be of 12.81 % if considered rule was adopted. For the 36 studies carried out, even in the worst case the investments remain viable. Therefore, the existing policy is suitable for the current stage of sector development; minimizing the impacts for energy tariff, distribution companies, consumers, and prosumers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Certifications related to sustainability in agribusiness are a crucial tool for promoting agricultural processes with a higher level of socio-environmental responsibility. However, their economic impact on small and medium-sized rural properties remains a topic of discussion. This research, with its comprehensive approach, aims to assess the economic potential generated by Bonsucro certification, an innovation process in sustainability. This process introduces pioneering evaluation criteria to meet the specific sustainability demands in the sugarcane sector on small and medium-sized properties. The approach was quantitative, using the Discounted Cash Flow method supported by Monte Carlo Simulation, where four scenarios were developed considering the small and medium producers without certification and with Bonsucro certification. The results obtained not only allow for obtaining the Economic Value of certified and non-certified producers but also for profiling the modal producer (who possesses traditional characteristics of the region), identifying convergence variables that are common characteristics among them and that impact land management, such as education, average age, investment capacity, among others. The findings demonstrate that small and medium-sized rural properties certified by Bonsucro create more economic-financial and sustainable value than uncertified rural properties. These findings can serve as a powerful motivator for private entities and associations of rural producers to implement certification, thereby empowering small and medium-sized rural producers to address relevant issues that have impacted the sustainability of sugarcane production, bringing significant results in terms of economic viability and socio-environmental impact. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Offshore wind auctions in Europe have recently seen considerable price decreases, with resulting support levels low enough to warrant the question whether project profitabilities are robust enough against changing market prices, or whether project suffer from low returns upon project realisation. This study investigates the development of profitability between auction date and Final Investment Decision, mainly through identifying impacts of changes in electricity prices, using stochastic discounted cash flow analysis. Some projects seem to have experienced adverse market developments. The study employs an explanatory-sequential approach to analyse two strategies to mitigate this risk: Pricing risks into the auction bid and absorbing losses through reduced returns or, alternatively, passing them down to contractors in the supply chain. The study finds indications that post-auction market developments have likely led to diminishing returns of developers, rather than increased price pressure on contractors. The study enhances the understanding of project profitabilities and developers' choices between auction and investment decision, and therewith opens the discussion on post-auction industry dynamics as an increasingly relevant factor to ensure that offshore wind can live up to its envisaged role in the decarbonisation of society. [Display omitted] • Detailed empirical approach to assessing economic viability of projects over time. • Implications of adverse market developments in major European offshore wind projects. • Some developers have experienced diminishing returns from market price changes. • Post-auction industry dynamics as increasingly relevant research field. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The use of renewable energy sources has become strategic in the production of electricity worldwide due to global efforts to increase energy efficiency and achieve a net zero carbon footprint. Hybrid systems can maximize stability and reduce costs by combining multiple energy sources. A conventional metric, such as the levelized cost of energy (LCOE), that is appropriate for assessing the cost-effectiveness of an option may not be appropriate when evaluating the economic feasibility of hybrid systems. This study proposes a stochastic discounted cash flow model (DCF) to assess the economic viability of a hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) in Brazil. The objective is to determine the combinations that will provide the highest 50th percentile internal rate of return (IRR) and the lowest coefficient of variation (CV). Model variables include capital expenditures (CAPEX), operation and maintenance (O&M) costs, sectoral charges, taxes, and long-term energy production metrics. The results demonstrate that the synergies modeled contributed to the higher economic outcomes for the HRES obtained by combining both energy sources rather than opting for a stand-alone configuration. A wind-dominant combination of 60% wind was able to increase the 50th percentile of the IRR, while a solar-dominant combination of 65% solar minimized the CV.

Economic feasibility analysis is essential in the decision-making process regarding investment in photovoltaic projects. Project profitability must be measured based not only on the costs and revenues, but also on the climatic particularities of the different locations. Therefore, performing simulations of technical and economic performance of photovoltaic models is fundamental. Thus, the objective of this study was to analyze deterministic and stochastic models of investments in two types of photovoltaic systems, one incorporated into the enterprise's architecture (a BIPV system) and the other, a conventional one, in different Brazilian locations, covering the predominant climatic factors in the country. The methodological proposal consisted of choosing a city in Brazil with each predominant climate type and compiling its data on irradiation, monthly sunshine hours, and tariffs of the electric power concessionaire, to simulate the electrical generation performance of the proposed photovoltaic systems and their profitability. For the economic analysis, the cumulative probability of positive Net Present Value (NPV) returns was obtained through deterministic simulations in all municipalities. Only the municipality of Pau dos Ferros-RN was chosen to perform 10,000 stochastic simulations, and its cumulative probabilities of positive NPV returns were obtained. In both models of photovoltaic technology analyzed and simulation logics, 100% of the NPVs were positive, indicating profitable cash flows in all scenarios. However, some municipalities obtained better results than others when the climate types favored sunny weather. Moreover, although all cases returned positive NPVs, the conventional model proved to be more economically attractive than BIPV system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Taxes, particularly income tax, may affect how long investors decide to hold on to an investment property. There exists a research gap regarding the implications of a distributed profit-based taxation system for the holding period of an investment asset. As a distributed profit-based taxation system allows investors to postpone income tax liability, it creates an advantage for investors operating under such a system compared to investors operating under other systems of income taxation. In this paper we model optimal holding periods under different systems of income taxation using a specific type of discounted cash flow model. We show that, theoretically, under the distributed profit taxation system, an optimal holding period for an investment property for an individual investor is the longest (ceteris paribus). This is in concordance with the circumstance that the after-tax value of the property for the investor is highest under the distributed profit taxation system. The results suggest that investment and property development projects under distributed profit taxation are not to be treated in the same way as projects under other tax systems with respect to time. Limitations of the study are related to the deterministic setting of the model as well as some restrictive assumptions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Assigning a monetary value to a landscape improves its importance. It helps to realize the magnitude of the benefits that can be obtained and represents the basis for applying protection and improvement policies. As a case study, we considered Marina del Este, located on the Spanish Southern Mediterranean coast, characterized by the presence of protected natural areas of great value and a rugged coastline beautiful to sailors. This study applies the analytic multicriteria valuation method (AMUVAN) to estimate the landscape's economic contribution. This method combines the analytic hierarchy process and discounted cash flow analysis. A total of 16 participants were considered, all with knowledge about the marina, which included areas of the marina management, management organizations with competencies in the marina environment, commercial operation, and university professors. They weighted the importance of landscape concerning the rest of the marina activities, use versus non-use values, and the components of the total economic value (TEV) of the landscape within marinas as a natural asset. Results expressed that the landscape may reach a value of around 16.3 million euros. It represents more than 3000% of the value of the marina's profit and loss account. A detailed analysis of the components of the TEV makes it possible to propose strategies to improve the economic value of the landscape. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Using verbal protocol analysis, this study examines how 21 experienced auditors from four different firms assess the seven key inputs in a discounted cash flow (DCF) model used by management to value goodwill. The analysis compares the auditors' processes against a theoretical model derived from an analysis of accounting and auditing standards and authoritative sources of valuation methodology and identifies systematic omissions and inaccurate applications of key audit steps. It also relates those issues to audit outcomes at the individual input and the overall goodwill evaluation levels. The study's findings can help regulators, standard setters, practitioners and academics to better understand the limitations of auditors' competencies so that they can design strategies for mitigating them. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article proposes discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis as a substitute for, or complement to, event studies in securities class actions. In many contexts, DCF analysis would be more consistent with the principles articulated in the Supreme Court's decision in Goldman as well as the academic literature. DCF analysis also could avoid many problems associated with event studies and provide a more intuitive and precise framework for assessing both price impact and merits issues in securities class actions. The central idea is to shift from the analysis of market prices to the analysis of fundamental value. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The energy economy is continually evolving in response to socio-political factors in the nature of primary energy sources, their conversions to useful forms, such as electricity and heat, and their utilization in different sectors. Nuclear energy has a crucial role to play in the evolution of energy economy due to its clean and non-carbon-emitting characteristics. A techno-economic analysis was undertaken to establish the viability of selling heat along with electricity for an advanced 100 MWth small modular reactor (SMR) and four nuclear hybrid energy system (NHES) configurations featuring the SMR paired with chemical heat pump (ChHP) systems providing a thermal output ranging from 1 to 50 MWth. Net present value, payback period, discounted cash flow rate of return, and levelized cost of energy were evaluated for these systems for different regions of U.S. reflecting a range of electricity and thermal energy costs. The analysis indicated that selling heat to high temperature industrial processes showed profitable outcomes compared to the sale of only electricity. Higher carbon taxes improved the economic parameters of the NHES alternatives significantly. Providing heat to high temperature industries could be very beneficial, helping to cut down the greenhouse gases emission by reducing the fossil fuel consumption. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

UAM is a new concept of mobility that expands the two-dimensional transportation system to three dimensions using a personal air vehicle (PAV). This study explores the economic feasibility of the UAM airport shuttle service from two perspectives. First, this study estimates the fare of UAM services to attract customers. The UAM service should maintain a competitive price to convert existing transportation users into UAM users. This study used Incheon Airport (ICN) ground transportation data to estimate a competitive fare based on the multinomial logit model. The pricing range at which UAM services can obtain users from Seoul Station to ICN is estimated to be 96 to 108 USD, assuming the new service reduces traveling time by 30–40 min compared to taxi service. The comparison with professional institutions indicates that the 96–108 USD price range is feasible. However, according to a simulation based on the discounted cash flow (DCF) method, other approaches to increase economic feasibility are required. Second, this study reviewed operational policies to improve the economic feasibility of UAM shuttle services from two perspectives. The first is a service perspective that introduces new services or enhances the current service level. The internalization of CNS (communications, navigation, and surveillance) and UTM (unmanned traffic management) services can be a new business area, including premium routing. The second is introducing a dynamic pricing policy. Segmented pricing, time-based pricing, and changing market conditions strategies can practically strengthen the economic feasibility. Operating an airport Vertiport providing a dedicated path for UAM passengers can allow UAM operators to charge more on a premium passenger segment by shortening airport procedure time. Because it can avoid the uncertainty of road congestion, there is plenty of incentive to set higher fares during peak times with severe congestion. In addition, by creating a market environment in which multiple operators participate, the operators can share the burden of infrastructure construction and operation, which account for more than 80% of the total operating costs, increasing the economic feasibility of services. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article discusses the use modeling software to quickly evaluate the impact of process uncertainties on the economics of chemical processes during the development stage. Topics include analyze the effect of uncertainties on the economic value metrics that are used in the decision-making process; and demonstrates an approach to uncertainty analysis that includes process variables in addition to economic variables.

This case instructs students through the preparation of a real-world business case with a sustainability theme. The case involves capital expenditure analysis and communication for installing solar panels on roofs of two warehouses in the Super-Savers Supermarkets supply chain. Installing solar panels would save electricity costs from the public grid and save carbon dioxide greenhouse gas emissions. There are insource and outsource scenarios. The business case has three parts: (1) use Excel (including Goal Seek) to prepare a financial model with a discounted cash flow method—to analyze incremental capital expenditures, costs, profit impacts, and carbon dioxide emission savings; (2) prepare a Word report that concisely communicates the financial model and business case; and (3) prepare a PowerPoint presentation that concisely communicates the financial model and business case. A practice financial modeling exercise is included. The case suits undergraduate and graduate management accounting courses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the development of global economy, the investment theory of capital market needs to be further developed in order to provide investors with various references in the process of value investment. Value theory is very important for international investors. Since Graham put forward the theory of value investment, he has always emphasized the importance of discounted cash flow model (DCF model) in investment evaluation. Therefore, the DCF model has great influence on investment. In order to provide some domestic investors with value-added analysis methods when investing, we will investigate the practical theory of improving the DCF model in extreme environment. Based on the theory of value investment, time series analysis is introduced to improve the DCF model. The improved DCF model can estimate the original value of an enterprise by combining the factors that affect the change of enterprise value. In the research of securities investment, considering that the existing DCF model based on the American capital market has some shortcomings in domestic capital market, it needs to be improved. To forecast the future cash flow, the time series analysis method should be used instead of the sales ratio method. American investor Warren Buffett's philosophy and practice of value investment have been paid attention to and studied by the world. Value theory is a series of famous theories put forward by Graham and applied and developed by Buffett. By combining the improved DCF model with Buffett's personal business experience, this paper analyzes and summarizes the relevant contents of Buffett's value investment theory based on the improved DCF model and puts forward some suggestions worthy of reference for Chinese investors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The global market uptake of the fourth generation-Long-Term Evolution (4G-LTE) Mobile Broadband (MoBro) services are steadily rising, leading to higher capital investments by mobile network operators (MNOs) to scale-up their infrastructure for meeting the impending demand for MoBro data the world over. However, MNOs face uncertainties about financial returns from such investments, owing to a host of technological and market-related factors, which impact the enablement of such 4G-LTE MoBro services. These challenges are clearly evident in the Indian market. Firstly, 4G-LTE subscribers in the rural India contribute to less than one-third of the overall market size. Secondly, India performs poorly in terms of minimum capacity requirements of the 4G-LTE MoBro services. Thirdly, the rise in per-user consumption of MoBro data does not translate into a similar rise in the MNOs' revenue. Fourthly, the socio-economic-geographic segregation of India into twenty-two administrative zones (referred to as telecom circles) add to the complexities in the capital investment decisions of MNOs. To address the above challenges, we model various cost and profitability scenarios of a hypothetical MNO providing universal 4G-LTE deployment across the twenty-two telecom circles in India using the available spectrum bands. Our proposed model is firmly established in the "network investment economics" framework for telecom innovations. We adopt a technology diffusion-based approach to forecast the 4G-LTE subscribers in India. We focus on the requirements of 4G-LTE MoBro infrastructure investments, including the spectrum selection decisions by MNOs, and show that, for valuation of the spectrum, the policymakers in India need to take into account the potential of the spectrum in terms of financial returns to an MNO deploying 4G-LTE using that spectrum, as against merely valuing the spectrum based on primarily the technical characteristics of its carrier frequency and benchmarks of prior spectrum auction prices in a particular telecom circle. Finally, we also show that a nationwide 4G-LTE network, which is universal, inclusive, and adhering to the global standards in terms of service quality, can be financially lucrative for MNOs, if enabled by appropriate policies instituting collaborative frameworks for infrastructure sharing, and price rationalization of spectrum bands across the twenty-two telecom circles. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Based on the innovative database, we use a discounted cash flow model to study the rent sharing and the mining tax design in African gold‐producing countries. Two main tax designs emerge: those that favour production‐based taxes in order to secure government's revenues and those that favour profit‐based taxes to support economic efficiency. From the estimation of a panel model regression, we show that tax design depends essentially on the evolution of world prices and not on institutional variables. The recent 'innovations' in mining taxation to introduce more progressivity have had mitigated results. In the best of cases, the regressivity of tax regimes has been reduced. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article describes the approach proposed by the authors to analyze the effectiveness of projects for the introduction of eco-technologies in hotels concerning the risk-return ratio. The net present value (NPV) of the project is used as a criterion for assessing the profitability of the green technology implementation project. The magnitude of the project risk is the second criterion, which can be calculated by various methods. Applying the proposed approach, the authors analyzed the experience of implementing environmental projects by Russian hotels. An illustration of the proposed method is the 'risk-return' diagram for introducing energy-saving technologies in a 3* hotel. The approach combines the advantages of the analysis method for discounted cash flow project efficiency and project risk analysis tools by using two criteria and can be applied for a quick and visual analysis of environmental projects in the hospitality sector. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The issue of how to price options embedded in callable bonds has attracted a lot of interest over the years. The usual bond valuation methods rely on yield curves, risk premium, and other parameters to estimate interest rates used in discounted cash flow calculations. The option to retire the bond is, however, neglected in the standard pricing models, causing a systematic overvaluation of callable bonds. In the event of a decline in interest rates, investors are exposed to the risk of a lower return on investment than indicated by the yield to maturity. We propose a novel approach to valuing the risk that the issuer will use the right to buy back the bond at a specific call price. While prior models are focused on valuing marketable callable bonds, we deliver a unique approach to valuing bonds with an embedded European option (or a multiple option) that are traded solely through private transactions. These can typically be characterized by the lack of historical records on transaction prices. The modular character of calculation we propose allows us to take into account additional information, such as probable behaviour of the issuer, available opportunities for achieving alternative earnings or different estimates in terms of interest rate development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The contribution aims to estimate the quality of determining the general value of the selected company and to determine the most suitable model through the method of discounted cash flows. The general value of the enterprise is an expert's estimate of the most probable price of the assessed property on the day of the assessment at the given place and time. The quality of determining the general value of the enterprise is essentially related to the assessment of the actual situation in the enterprise, which includes obtaining and using funds, fluidity of financial flows, investing in other activities, the ability to repay foreign resources, planning and the current state of the enterprise. In the contribution, we focused on the quality of determining the general value of the company with an emphasis on the revenue potential. We carried out the valuation of the assets of the selected company in a two-phase process, which consisted of the calculation of free cash flows, the average weighted cost of capital, and the calculation of the company's value based on the parametric and Gordon formulas. When determining the general value of a company, it is also essential to consider whether the financial results of the company depend on economic deviations, and it is necessary to monitor the capital market, the development of interest rates on loans provided by banks, and the development of interest rates on government bonds. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Valuation experts have recommended using the finance formula equating real growth in net cash flows (g) to the plowback rate (k) times the real return on investment (r) as a more reasonable basis for estimating plowback in the steady‐state perpetuity period of the standard value‐driver DCF formula. Unfortunately, practitioners make two errors when estimating implied plowback as k = g ÷ r. The first error is to use the incorrect nominal formula k = G ÷ R that is still found in finance and valuation textbooks. The second error arises because there are two ways to define plowback in the value‐driver DCF model. The problematic traditional definition measures plowback ratio as a function of accounting NOPAT (before it has been transformed into cash NOPAT by deducting incremental working capital), thereby including in the numerator not only net new investment, but also changes in incremental working capital. The authors call this accounting plowback, and show why it is generally inappropriate to estimate implied accounting plowback using the formula k = g ÷ r. The authors explain in detail why the cash plowback presented in Bradley Jarrell (2008) is generally appropriate for estimating implied plowback and why accounting plowback is more problematic in this application. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The relevance of market cycles is known in the financial markets and in the context of real estate valuations it manifests itself in the estimate of the "exit value" of the Discounted Cash Flow Analysis. The hypothesis that the market cycle has a behaviour very similar to what happened in the past introduces some risks and uncertainty in the estimated value. To allow a more extensive use of cyclical capitalization in formulating value judgments, this paper proposes two methodological adaptations to the original model: the first, based on the presence of a regular market trend; the second based on the hypothesis of irregular market cycles and therefore more representative of the dynamics to which a specific real estate segment is exposed. In the perspective of a more extensive availability of information, data and extra-data, other application areas are also identified on which further investigations need to be developed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The valuation of a technology or invention patent is an exercise of good sense based on referents of competitive intelligence and experts. The purpose of this article is to establish the monetary value of the invention patent according to the technology situation and under possible commercialization scenarios. First, the conditions and potential of the patent are evaluated through expert analysis, the expectations of the owners of the invention patent and of potential clients or allies. Second, the patent is valued by discounted free cash flow (FCLD) and according to possible commercialization alternatives. The results show that there is an increase in the added value of 2.7 times for the company, in the alternative corresponding to the licensing of energy distributors in the national territory, compared to the alternative of only producing internally and making its own distribution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The societal demand for biomethane production by anaerobic digestion of waste and biomass is rapidly growing to build a circular economy, yet actual efficiency is limited. Biochar addition has been technically shown to enhance methane yields in general, but economics are unknown so far. Here, we evaluated the profitability of adding biochar into orange peel waste using the method of the discounted cash flow. We also studied biochar prices and incentives for biomethane production. Results indicate that adding biochar decreases 17 times the overall economy of the process. This decline is explained by high current prices of biochar. To reach profitability, subsidies should be higher than 20 Eur per MWh of biomethane. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: This paper designs an optimal closed-loop supply chain network with an integrated forward and reverse logistics to examine the possibility of remanufacturing end-of-life (EoL) ships. Design/methodology/approach: Explanatory variables are used to estimate the number of EoL ships available in a closed-loop supply chain network. The estimated number of EoL ships is used as an input in the model and then it is solved by a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model of the closed-loop supply chain network to minimise the total logistic costs. A discounted payback period formula is developed to calculate the length of time to recoup an investment based on the investment's discounted cash flows. Existing ship wrecking industry clusters in the Western region of India are used as the case study to apply the proposed model. Findings: The MILP model has optimised the total logistics costs of the closed-loop supply network and ascertained the optimal number and location of remanufacturing for building EoL ships. The capital and variable costs required for establishing and operating remanufacturing centres are computed. To remanufacture 30 ships a year, the discounted payback period of this project is estimated to be less than two years. Practical implications: Ship manufacturing businesses are yet to re-manufacture EoL ships, given high upfront capital expenditure and operational challenges. This study provides management insights into the costs and benefits of EoL ship remanufacturing; thus, informing the decision-makers to make strategic operational decisions. Originality/value: The design of an optimal close loop supply chain network coupled with a Bayesian network approach and discounted payback period formula for the collection and remanufacturing of EoL ships provides a new integrated perspective to ship manufacturing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]