101. The Response of Energy Demand to Higher Prices: What Have We Learned?
- Author
-
Sweeney, James L.
- Subjects
ENERGY consumption ,ELECTRICITY ,ENERGY industries ,SUPPLY & demand ,GAS prices ,RATES ,GROSS national product - Abstract
In the decades prior to 1973, demand for energy, particularly energy liquids and electricity, expanded exponentially. From 1950 to 1973, U.S. aggregate energy use grew by 3.5 percent per year, roughly matching real GNP growth of 3.7 percent. Demand shifted toward petroleum's 4.3 percent annual growth and electricity and away from 1.0 percent annual growth of coal. These trends, reflected throughout the world, were encouraged by flat or gradually declining energy prices. Since 1973 energy price increases have been pervasive, although increases have differed radically among energy carriers and over time, being largest since 1979. From 1973 to 1982, real gasoline prices to consumers have increased 51 percent, natural gas delivered to households 139 percent, and residential electricity average price only 23 percent. Fuel prices delivered to electric utilities have varied more. Oil increased 175 percent, natural gas, 350 percent, while coal price increased but 85 percent. Energy demand adjustments have been profound. Between 1973 and 1982, U.S. consumption of oil and gas has declined, oil averaging a 1.4 percent annual decline, and natural gas 2.3 percent. Electricity growth has been reduced to 2.1 percent per year. Of the fossil fuels, only coal demand has been encouraged, rising at an average annual rate of 2.6 percent.
- Published
- 1984