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Made available in DSpace on 2020-12-12T01:33:29Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2020-11-01 Eucalyptus plantation productivity has increased 4-fold across Brazil as a result of improved genetic selection and intensive silviculture. However, the rate of productivity improvements is slowing and suggests increased production will require planting in areas that have never been previously planted with Eucalyptus with uncertain impacts on local water supplies. This study compares water use and water use efficiency between a drought resistant (E. grandis × E. camaldulensis) and high productivity Eucalyptus clone (E. urophylla) across three sites (dry, mesic and wet) spanning a two-fold precipitation gradient (~600–1350 mm y−1) in Brazil. Each site included a 30% reduced rainfall treatment for each clone to investigate within site response to reduced precipitation. We found that the drought resistant clone used as much or more water than the high productivity clone at all three sites. The drought resistant clone transpired almost 20% percent more water than the high productivity clone at the dry site (3.7 vs. 3.0 m3 y−1) while water use between clones did not differ at the mesic (4.6 vs 4.0 m3 y−1) and wet site (4.0 vs 4.5 m3 y−1). The high productivity clone transpired 54, 46 and 37% of annual precipitation at the dry, mesic and wet sites respectively while the drought resistant clone consumed 67, 47 and 31% of annual precipitation from the dry to the wet site. Although the rain reduction treatments did not impact annual water use for either clone at the dry and mesic sites, there were some differences at a subannual timescale. Rain reduction treatments at the dry site lowered transpiration in the driest, hottest three months for the high productivity clone by 25–32%. Rainfall reduction led to lower water use by the drought resistant clone for only one month during the dry season (18%). The high productivity clone transpired less water (24–26%) in the rainfall reduction treatment at the mesic site during three months and the drought resistant clone transpired 18 and 20% less water in the rainfall reduction treatment during two months. Rainfall reduction reduced annual transpiration by 59% for the high productivity clone at the wet site. Average water use efficiency of the drought resistant clone was almost 70% lower than the high productivity clone at the dry and mesic sites (~5.2 vs. 1.5 kg m−3 y−1) and was due to the combination of low growth and high water use. Higher than expected growth by the drought resistant clone at the wet site resulted in similar water use efficiency between clones (6.3 vs. 5.8 kg m−3 y−1). We discuss potential implications of our findings and highlight several lines of evidence that suggest the drought resistant clone in this study allocates a greater proportion of gross primary productivity below ground allowing it to access deeper reserves of soil water during dry periods. Our results suggest that decisions to plant drought resistant clones in drought prone areas should be carefully considered and also highlight the need for more research on water use and drought tolerance strategies for Eucalyptus clones bred for more arid areas in Brazil. USDA Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station, 240 West Prospect Road, Fort Collins Forestry Science and Research Institute (IPEF) Department of Forest Sciences University of Lavras (UFLA), Lavras Department of Forest Science São Paulo State University – UNESP Department of Forest Research and Development Klabin SA, Telêmaco Borba Department of Forest Research and Development International Paper, Mogi Guaçu Department of Forest Science São Paulo State University – UNESP

Wildfire is the main disturbance in forested ecosystems of southern Europe and is due to complex interactions between climate-weather, fuels and people. Warmer and drier conditions projected in this region are expected to profoundly affect wildfires, which will impact ecosystems and humans. We review the scientific literature addressing the assessment of climate change impacts on wildfires in southern Europe, with a twofold objective: (i) report the trends in wildfire danger and activity projected under warming climate in southern Europe and (ii) discuss the limitations of wildfire projections under the specific biogeographical context of southern Europe.We identified 22 projection studies that examined future wildfire danger or wildfire activity at local, regional or continental scale. Under the scenario with the highest greenhouse gas emissions, we found that projections studies estimate an increase in future fire danger and burnt areas varying, on average, from 2 to 4 % and from 15 to 25 % per decade, respectively. Fire-prone area expansion to the north and to Mediterranean mountains is a concern, while climate-induced burnt area increase might be limited by fuel availability in the most arid areas. While all studies agreed on the direction of changes, further comparisons on the magnitude of increase remained challenging because of heterogeneous methodological choices between projections studies (climate models, projection period, spatial scale and fire metrics). We then described three main sources of uncertainty that may affect the reliability of wildfire projections: climate projections, climate-fire models, and the influences of fuel load/structure and human related factors on the climate-fire relationships. We finally suggest research directions to address some of these issues for the purpose of refining fire danger and fire activity projections in southern Europe.

Forest management relies on the evaluation of silviculture practices. The increase in natural risk due to climate change makes it necessary to consider evaluation criteria that take natural risk into account. Risk integration in existing software requires advanced programming skills.We propose a user-friendly software to simulate even-aged and monospecific forest at the stand level, in order to evaluate and optimize forest management. The software gives the possibility to run management scenarii with or without considering the impact of natural risk. The control variables are the dates and rates of thinning and the cutting age.The risk model is based on a Poisson processus. The Faustmann approach, including tree damage risk, is used to evaluate future benefits, economic or ecosystem services. It relies on the calculation of expected values, for which a dedicated mathematical development has been done. The optimized criteria used to evaluate the various scenarii are the Faustmann value and the Averaged yield value.We illustrate the approach and the software on two case studies: economic optimization of a beech stand and carbon sequestration optimization of a pine stand.Software interface makes it easy for users to write their own (growth-tree damage-economic) models without advanced programming skills. The possibility to run management scenarii with/without considering the impact of natural risk may contribute improving silviculture guidelines and adapting them to climate change. We propose future lines of research and improvement.