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Synthesizing bare soil pictures in regions with complex vegetation is challenging, which hinders the accuracy of predicting soil organic carbon (SOC) in specific areas. An SOC prediction model was developed in this study by integrating the convolutional neural network and long and short-term memory network (CNN-LSTM) algorithms, taking into consideration soil-forming factors such as climate, vegetation, and topography in Hainan. Compared with common algorithmic models (random forest, CNN, LSTM), the SOC prediction model based on the CNN-LSTM algorithm achieved high accuracy (R2 = 0.69, RMSE = 6.06 g kg−1, RPIQ = 1.96). The model predicted that the SOC content ranged from 5.49 to 36.68 g kg−1, with Hainan in the central and southern parts of the region with high SOC values and the surrounding areas with low SOC values, and that the SOC was roughly distributed as follows: high in the mountainous areas and low in the flat areas. Among the four models, CNN-LSTM outperformed LSTM, CNN, and random forest models in terms of R2 accuracy by 11.3%, 23.2%, and 53.3%, respectively. The CNN-LSTM model demonstrates its applicability in predicting SOC content and shows great potential in complex areas where obtaining sample data is challenging and where SOC is influenced by multiple interacting factors. Furthermore, it shows significant potential for advancing the broader field of digital soil mapping. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is generally thought to act as a carbon sink; however, in areas with high spatial heterogeneity, using a single model to estimate the SOC of the whole study area will greatly reduce the simulation accuracy. The earth surface unit division is important to consider in building different models. Here, we divided the research area into different habitat patches using partitioning around a medoids clustering (PAM) algorithm; then, we built an SOC simulation model using machine learning algorithms. The results showed that three habitat patches were created. The simulation accuracy for Habitat Patch 1 (R2 = 0.55; RMSE = 2.89) and Habitat Patch 3 (R2 = 0.47; RMSE = 3.94) using the XGBoost model was higher than that for the whole study area (R2 = 0.44; RMSE = 4.35); although the R2 increased by 25% and 6.8%, the RMSE decreased by 33.6% and 9.4%, and the field sample points significantly declined by 70% and 74%. The R2 of Habitat Patch 2 using the RF model increased by 17.1%, and the RMSE also decreased by 10.5%; however, the sample points significantly declined by 58%. Therefore, using different models for corresponding patches will significantly increase the SOC simulation accuracy over using one model for the whole study area. This will provide scientific guidance for SOC or soil property monitoring with low field survey costs and high simulation accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon (SOC) contents and stocks provide valuable insights into soil health, nutrient cycling, greenhouse gas emissions, and overall ecosystem productivity. Given this, remote sensing data coupled with advanced machine learning (ML) techniques have eased SOC level estimation while revealing its patterns across different ecosystems. However, despite these advances, the intricacies of training reliable and yet certain SOC models for specific end-users remain a great challenge. To address this, we need robust SOC uncertainty quantification techniques. Here, we introduce a methodology that leverages conformal prediction to address the uncertainty in estimating SOC contents while using remote sensing data. Conformal prediction generates statistically reliable uncertainty intervals for predictions made by ML models. Our analysis, performed on the LUCAS dataset in Europe and incorporating a suite of relevant environmental covariates, underscores the efficacy of integrating conformal prediction with another ML model, specifically random forest. In addition, we conducted a comparative assessment of our results against prevalent uncertainty quantification methods for SOC prediction, employing different evaluation metrics to assess both model uncertainty and accuracy. Our methodology showcases the utility of the generated prediction sets as informative indicators of uncertainty. These sets accurately identify samples that pose prediction challenges, providing valuable insights for end-users seeking reliable predictions in the complexities of SOC estimation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Mapping soil organic carbon (SOC) accurately is essential for sustainable soil resource management. Hyperspectral data, a vital tool for SOC mapping, is obtained through both laboratory and satellite-based sources. While laboratory data is limited to sample point monitoring, satellite hyperspectral imagery covers entire regions, albeit susceptible to external environmental interference. This study, conducted in the Yuncheng Basin of the Yellow River Basin, compared the predictive accuracy of laboratory hyperspectral data (ASD FieldSpec4) and GF-5 satellite hyperspectral imagery for SOC mapping. Leveraging fractional order derivatives (FODs), various denoising methods, feature band selection, and the Random Forest model, the research revealed that laboratory hyperspectral data outperform satellite data in predicting SOC. FOD processing enhanced spectral information, and discrete wavelet transform (DWT) proved effective for GF-5 satellite imagery denoising. Stability competitive adaptive re-weighted sampling (sCARS) emerged as the optimal feature band selection algorithm. The 0.6FOD-sCARS RF model was identified as the optimal laboratory hyperspectral prediction model for SOC, while the 0.8FOD-DWT-sCARS RF model was deemed optimal for satellite hyperspectral prediction. This research, offering insights into farmland soil quality monitoring and strategies for sustainable soil use, holds significance for enhancing agricultural production efficiency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Unsustainable human management has negative effects on cropland soil organic carbon (SOC), causing a decrease in soil health and the emission of greenhouse gas. Due to contiguous fields, large-scale mechanized operations are widely used in the Northeast China Plain, which greatly improves production efficiency while decreasing the soil quality, especially for SOC. Therefore, an up-to-date SOC map is needed to estimate soil health after long-term cultivation to inform better land management. Using Quantile Regression Forest, a total of 396 soil samples from 132 sampling sites at three soil depth intervals and 40 environmental covariates (e.g., Landsat 8 spectral indices, and WorldClim 2 and MODIS products) selected by the Boruta feature selection algorithm were used to map the spatial distribution of SOC in the cropland of the Northeast Plain at a 90 m spatial resolution. The results showed that SOC increased overall from the southern area to the northern area, with an average of 17.34 g kg−1 in the plough layer (PL) and 13.92 g kg−1 in the compacted layer (CL). At the vertical scale, SOC decreased, with depths getting deeper. The average decrease in SOC from PL to CL was 3.41 g kg−1. Climate (i.e., average temperature, daytime and nighttime land surface temperature, and mean temperature of driest quarter) was the dominant controlling factor, followed by position (i.e., oblique geographic coordinate at 105°), and organism (i.e., the average and variance of net primary productivity in the non-crop period). The average uncertainty was 1.04 in the PL and 1.07 in the CL. The high uncertainty appeared in the area with relatively scattered fields, high altitudes, and complex landforms. This study updated the 90 m resolution cropland SOC maps at spatial and vertical scales, which clarifies the influence of mechanized operations and provides a reference for soil conservation policy-making. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurately mapping soil organic carbon (SOC) is conducive to evaluating carbon storage and soil quality. However, the high spatial heterogeneity of SOC caused by river-related factors and agricultural management brings challenges to digital soil mapping in floodplain farmland. Moreover, current studies focus on the non-linear relationship between SOC and covariates, but ignore the effective range of environmental variables on SOC, which prevents the revelation of the SOC differentiation mechanism. Using the 375 samples collected from the Jiangchang Town near Han River, we aim to determine the main controlling factors of SOC, reveal the effective range of environmental variables, and obtain the spatial map of SOC by using the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) model and partial dependence plots. Linear regression was used as a reference. Results showed that GBDT outperformed linear regression. GBDT results show that the distance from the river was the most important SOC factor, confirming the importance of the Han River to the SOC pattern. The partial dependence plots indicate that all environmental variables have their effective ranges, and when their values are extremely high or low, they do not respond to changes in SOC. Specifically, the influential ranges of rivers, irrigation canals, and rural settlements on SOC were within 4000, 200, and 50 m, respectively. The peak SOC was obtained with high clay (≥31%), total nitrogen (≥1.18 g/kg), and total potassium contents (≥11.1 g/kg), but it remained steady when these covariates further increased. These results highlight the importance of revealing the effective range of environmental variables, which provides data support for understanding the spatial pattern of SOC in floodplain farmland, achieving carbon sequestration in farmland and precision agriculture. The GBDT with the partial dependence plot was effective in SOC fitting and mapping. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Satellite-based soil organic carbon content (SOC) mapping over wide regions is generally hampered by the low soil sampling density and the diversity of soil sampling periods. Some unfavorable topsoil conditions, such as high moisture, rugosity, the presence of crop residues, the limited amplitude of SOC values and the limited area of bare soil when a single image is used, are also among the influencing factors. To generate a reliable SOC map, this study addresses the use of Sentinel-2 (S2) temporal mosaics of bare soil (S2Bsoil) over 6 years jointly with soil moisture products (SMPs) derived from Sentinel 1 and 2 images, SOC measurement data and other environmental covariates derived from digital elevation models, lithology maps and airborne gamma-ray data. In this study, we explore (i) the dates and periods that are preferable to construct temporal mosaics of bare soils while accounting for soil moisture and soil management; (ii) which set of covariates is more relevant to explain the SOC variability. From four sets of covariates, the best contributing set was selected, and the median SOC content along with uncertainty at 90% prediction intervals were mapped at a 25-m resolution from quantile regression forest models. The accuracy of predictions was assessed by 10-fold cross-validation, repeated five times. The models using all the covariates had the best model performance. Airborne gamma-ray thorium, slope and S2 bands (e.g., bands 6, 7, 8, 8a) and indices (e.g., calcareous sedimentary rocks, "calcl") from the "late winter–spring" time series were the most important covariates in this model. Our results also indicated the important role of neighboring topographic distances and oblique geographic coordinates between remote sensing data and parent material. These data contributed not only to optimizing SOC mapping performance but also provided information related to long-range gradients of SOC spatial variability, which makes sense from a pedological point of view. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The problem of salinization/spreading of saline soils is becoming more urgent in many regions of the world, especially in context of climate change. The monitoring of salt-affected soils' properties is a necessary procedure in land management and irrigation planning and is aimed to obtain high crop harvest and reduce degradation processes. In this work, a machine learning method was applied for modeling of the spatial distribution of topsoil (0–20 cm) properties—in particular: soil organic carbon (SOC), pH, and salt content (dry residue). A random forest (RF) machine learning approach was used in combination with environmental variables to predict soil properties in a semi-arid area (Trans-Ural steppe zone). Soil, salinity, and texture maps; topography attributes; and remote sensing data (RSD) were used as predictors. The coefficient of determination (R2) and the root mean square error (RMSE) were used to estimate the performance of the RF model. The cross-validation result showed that the RF model achieved an R2 of 0.59 and an RMSE of 0.68 for SOM; 0.36 and 0.65, respectively, for soil pH; and 0.78 and 1.21, respectively for dry residue prediction. The SOC content ranged from 0.8 to 2.8%, with an average value of 1.9%; soil pH ranged from 5.9 to 8.4, with an average of 7.2; dry residue varied greatly from 0.04 to 16.8%, with an average value of 1.3%. A variable importance analysis indicated that remote sensing variables (salinity indices and NDVI) were dominant in the spatial prediction of soil parameters. The importance of RSD for evaluating saline soils and their properties is explained by their absorption characteristics/reflectivity in the visible and near-infrared spectra. Solonchak soils are distinguished by a salt crust on the land surface and, as a result, reduced SOC contents and vegetation biomass. However, the change in saline and non-saline soils over a short distance with mosaic structure of soil cover requires high-resolution RSD or aerial images obtained from unmanned aerial vehicle/drones for successful digital mapping of soil parameters. The presented results provide an effective method to estimate soil properties in saline landscapes for further land management/reclamation planning of degraded soils in arid and semi-arid regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Traditional land-use systems can be modified under the conditions of climate change. Higher air temperatures and loss of productive soil moisture lead to reduced crop yields. Irrigation is a possible solution to these problems. However, intense irrigation may have contributed to land degradation. This research assessed the ameliorative potential of soil and produced large-scale digital maps of soil properties for arable plot planning for the construction and operation of irrigation systems. Our research was carried out in the southern forest–steppe zone (Southern Ural, Russia). The soil cover of the site is represented by agrochernozem soils (Luvic Chernozem). We examined the morphological, physicochemical and agrochemical properties of the soil, as well as its heavy metal contents. The random forest (RF) non-linear approach was used to estimate the spatial distribution of the properties and produce maps. We found that soils were characterized by high organic carbon content (SOC) and neutral acidity and were well supplied with nitrogen and potassium concentrations. The agrochernozem was characterized by favorable water–physical properties and showed good values for water infiltration and moisture categories. The contents of heavy metals (lead, cadmium, mercury, cobalt, zinc and copper) did not exceed permissible levels. The soil quality rating interpretation confirms that these soils have high potential fertility and are convenient for irrigation activities. The spatial distribution of soil properties according to the generated maps were not homogeneous. The results showed that remote sensing covariates were the most critical variables in explaining soil properties variability. Our findings may be useful for developing reclamation strategies for similar soils that can restore soil health and improve crop productivity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To overcome spatial, spectral and temporal constraints of different remote sensing products, data fusion is a good technique to improve the prediction capability of soil prediction models. However, few studies have analyzed the effects of image fusion on digital soil mapping (DSM) models. This research fused multispectral (MS) and panchromatic Landsat 8 (L8) bands, and MS Sentinel 2 (S2) and panchromatic L8 bands using the Brovey, Intensity–Hue–Saturation and Gram–Schmidt methods in an agricultural area in Yellow River Basin, China. To analyze the effects of image fusion on DSM models, various SOC prediction models derived from remote sensing image datasets were established by the random forest method. Soil salinity indices and spectral reflectance from all the remote sensing data had relatively strong negative correlations with SOC, and vegetation indices and water indices from all the remote sensing data had relatively strong positive correlations with SOC. Soil moisture and vegetation were the main controlling factors of the SOC spatial pattern in the study area. More spectral indices derived from pansharpened L8 and fused S2–L8 images by all three image fusion methods had stronger relationships with SOC compared with those from MS L8 and MS S2, respectively. All the SOC models established by pansharpened L8 and fused S2–L8 images had higher prediction accuracy than those established by MS L8 and MS S2, respectively. The fusion between S2 and L8 bands had stronger effects on enhancing the prediction accuracy of SOC models compared with the fusion between panchromatic and MS L8 bands. It is concluded that digital soil mapping and image fusion can be utilized to increase the prediction performance of SOC spatial prediction models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Thermo-erosion gullies (TGs) are typical thermokarst features in upland permafrost; the soil organic carbon (SOC) of TGs has an important influence on soil quality in cold regions. The objectives of this study were to estimate the spatial distribution of SOC content in a typical TG on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau in China by using soil properties from seven different TGs and covariates from unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) images, and to characterize the SOC content changes in four representative landscape regions (NO-Slumping, Slumping1, Slumping2, and Slumped) within this typical TG. The support vector machine (SVM) was the optimal machine learning algorithm for SOC content prediction, which explained 53.06% (R2) of the SOC content variation. Silt content was the most influential factor which demonstrated a positive relationship with SOC content in different TGs. In addition, the SOC content in the TGs was related to the landscapes. Severe Slumping (Slumping2: 150.79 g·kg−1) had a lower SOC content than NO-Slumped (163.29 g·kg−1) and the initial slumping stage (Slumping1: 169.08 g·kg−1). The results suggested that SVM was an effective algorithm to obtain a profound understanding of the SOC content over space, while future research needs to pay more attention to the SOC content distribution in the different TGs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precise knowledge about the soil organic carbon (SOC) content in cropland soils is one requirement to design and execute effective climate and food policies. In digital soil mapping (DSM), machine learning algorithms are used to predict soil properties from covariates derived from traditional soil mapping, digital elevation models, land use, and Earth observation (EO). However, such DSM models are trained for a specific dataset and region and have so far only allowed limited general statements to be made that would enable the models to be transferred to different regions. In this study, we test the transferability of SOC models for cropland soils using five different covariate groups: multispectral soil reflectance composites (satellite), soil legacy data (soil), digital elevation model derivatives (terrain), climate parameters (climate), and combined models (combined). The transferability was analyzed using data from two federal states in southern Germany: Bavaria and Baden-Wuerttemberg. First, baseline models were trained for each state with combined models performing best in both cases (R2 = 0.68/0.48). Next, the models were transferred and tested with soil samples from the other state whose data were not used during model calibration. Only satellite and combined models were transferable, but accuracy declined in both cases. In the final step, models were trained with samples from both states (mixed-data models) and applied to each state separately. This process significantly improved the accuracies of satellite, terrain, and combined models, while it showed no effect on climate models and decreased the models based on soil covariates. The experiment underlines the importance of EO for the transfer and extrapolation of DSM models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is a critical indicator for the global carbon cycle and the overall carbon pool balance. Obtaining soil maps of surface SOC is fundamental to evaluating soil quality, regulating climate change, and global carbon cycle modeling. However, efficient approaches for obtaining accurate SOC information remain challenging, especially in remote or inaccessible regions of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), which is influenced by complex terrains, climate change, and human activities. This study employed field measurements, SoilGrids250m (SOC_250m, a spatial resolution of 250 m × 250 m), and Sentinel-2 images with different machine learning methods to map SOC content in the QTP. Four machine learning methods including partial least squares regression (PLSR), support vector machines (SVM), random forest (RF), and artificial neural network (ANN) were used to construct spatial prediction models based on 396 field-collected sampling points and various covariates from remote sensing images. Our results revealed that the RF model outperformed the PLSR, SVM, and ANN models, with a higher determination coefficient (R2 of 0.82 is from the training datasets) and the ratio of performance to deviation (RPD = 2.54). The selected covariates according to the variable importance in projection (VIP) were: SOC_250m, B2, B11, Soil-Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), B5, and Soil-Adjusted Total Vegetation Index (SATVI). The predicted SOC map showed an overall decrease in SOC content ranging from 69.30 g·kg−1 in the southeast to 1.47 g·kg−1 in the northwest. Our prediction showed spatial heterogeneity of SOC content, indicating that Sentinel-2 images were acceptable for characterizing the variability of SOC. The findings provide a scientific basis for carbon neutrality in the QTP and a reference for the digital mapping of SOC in the alpine region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon (SOC) storage and redistribution across the landscape (through erosion and deposition) are linked to soil physicochemical properties and can affect soil quality. However, the spatial and temporal variability of soil erosion and SOC remains uncertain. Whether soil redistribution leads to SOC gains or losses continues to be hotly debated. These considerations cannot be modelled using conventional soil carbon models and digital soil mapping. This paper presents a coupled-model combining RothPC-1 which considers soil carbon (C) down to 1 m and a soil redistribution model. The soil redistribution component is based on a cellular automata technique using the multi-direction flow (FD8) algorithm. With the optimized input values based on land use, we simulated SOC changes upon soil profiles to 1 m across the Lower Hunter Valley area (11,300 ha) in New South Wales, Australia from the 1970s to 2016. Results were compared to field observations and showed that erosion was predicted mostly in upslope areas and deposition in low-lying areas. We further simulated SOC trends from 2017 until ~2045 in the area under three climate scenarios and five land use projections. The variation in the magnitude and direction of SOC change with different projections shows that the main factors influencing SOC changes considering soil redistribution are climate change which controlled the trend of SOC stocks, followed by land use change. Neglecting soil erosion in carbon models could lead to an overestimation of SOC stocks. This paper provides a framework for incorporating soil redistribution into the SOC dynamics modelling and also postulates the thinking that soil erosion is not just a removal process by surface runoff. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rapid and accurate mapping of soil organic carbon (SOC) is of great significance to understanding the spatial patterns of soil fertility and conducting soil carbon cycle research. Previous studies have dedicated considerable efforts to the spatial prediction of SOC content, but few have systematically quantified the effects of environmental covariates selection, the spatial scales and the model types on SOC prediction accuracy. Here, we spatially predicted SOC content through digital soil mapping (DSM) based on 186 topsoil (0–20 cm) samples in a typical hilly red soil region of southern China. Specifically, we first determined an optimal covariate set from different combinations of multiple environmental variables, including multi-sensor remote sensing images (Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2), climate variables and DEM derivatives. Furthermore, we evaluated the impacts of spatial resolution (10 m, 30 m, 90 m, 250 m and 1000 m) of covariates and the model types (three linear and three non-linear machine learning techniques) on the SOC prediction. The results of the performance analysis showed that a combination of Sentinel-1/2-derived variables, climate and topographic predictors generated the best predictive performance. Among all variables, remote sensing covariates, especially Sentinel-2-derived predictors, were identified as the most important explanatory variables controlling the variability of SOC content. Moreover, the prediction accuracy declined significantly with the increased spatial scales and achieved the highest using the XGBoost model at 10 m resolution. Notably, non-linear machine learners yielded superior predictive capability in contrast with linear models in predicting SOC. Overall, our findings revealed that the optimal combination of predictor variables, spatial resolution and modeling techniques could considerably improve the prediction accuracy of the SOC content. Particularly, freely accessible Sentinel series satellites showed great potential in high-resolution digital mapping of soil properties. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) serves as critical geographic information for assessing ecosystem services, climate change mitigation, and optimal agriculture management. Digital mapping of SOC is challenging due to the complex relationships between the soil and its environment. Except for the well-known terrain and climate environmental covariates, vegetation that interacts with soils influences SOC significantly over long periods. Although several remote-sensing-based vegetation indices have been widely adopted in digital soil mapping, variables indicating long term vegetation growth have been less used. Vegetation phenology, an indicator of vegetation growth characteristics, can be used as a potential time series environmental covariate for SOC prediction. A CNN-LSTM model was developed for SOC prediction with inputs of static and dynamic environmental variables in Xuancheng City, China. The spatially contextual features in static variables (e.g., topographic variables) were extracted by the convolutional neural network (CNN), while the temporal features in dynamic variables (e.g., vegetation phenology over a long period of time) were extracted by a long short-term memory (LSTM) network. The ten-year phenological variables derived from moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) observations were adopted as predictors with historical temporal changes in vegetation in addition to the commonly used static variables. The random forest (RF) model was used as a reference model for comparison. Our results indicate that adding phenological variables can produce a more accurate map, as tested by the five-fold cross-validation, and demonstrate that CNN-LSTM is a potentially effective model for predicting SOC at a regional spatial scale with long-term historical vegetation phenology information as an extra input. We highlight the great potential of hybrid deep learning models, which can simultaneously extract spatial and temporal features from different types of environmental variables, for future applications in digital soil mapping. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Predicting soil chemical properties such as soil organic carbon (SOC) and available phosphorus (Ava-P) content is critical in areas where different land uses exist. The distribution of SOC and Ava-P is influenced by both natural and anthropogenic factors. This study aimed at (1) predicting SOC and Ava-P in a piedmont plain of Northeast Iran using the Random Forests (RF) and Cubist mathematical models and hybrid models (Regression Kriging), (2) comparing the models' results, and (3) identifying the key variables that influence the spatial dynamics of soil SOC and Ava-P under different agricultural practices. The machine learning models were trained with 201 composite surface soil samples and 24 ancillary data, including climate (C), organism (O), topography- relief (R), parent material (P) and key soil features (S) according to the SCORPAN digital soil mapping framework, which can predictively represent soil formation factors spatially. Clay, one of the most critical soil properties with a well-known relationship to SOC, was the most important predictor of SOC, followed by open-access multispectral satellite images-based vegetation and soil indices. Ava-P had a similar set of effective variables. Hybrid approaches did not improve model accuracy significantly, but they did reduce map uncertainty. In the validation set, Ava-P was calculated using the RF algorithm with a normalized root mean square (NRMSE) of 96.8, while SOC was calculated using the Cubist algorithm with an NRMSE of 94.2. These values did not change when using the hybrid technique for Ava-P; however, they changed just by 1% for SOC. The management of SOC content and the supply of Ava-P in agricultural activities can be guided by SOC and Ava-P digital distribution maps. Produced digital maps in which the soil scientist plays an active role can be used to identify areas where concentrations are high and need to be protected, where uncertainty is high and sampling is required for further monitoring. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon influences several landscape ecological processes, and soils are becoming recognized as a mechanism to mitigate the negative impacts of climate change. There is a need to define methods and technologies for addressing soils' spatial variability as well as the time and cost of sampling soil organic carbon (SOC). Visible and near-infrared spectroscopy have been suggested as a sampling tool to reduce inventory cost. We sampled nineteen ranch properties totaling 17,347 ha across Oklahoma and Texas in 2019 to evaluate the effectiveness and accuracy of a handheld reflectometer (Our Sci, Ann Arbor, MI, USA) (370–940 nm) and existing remote sensing approaches to estimate SOC in semi-arid grazing lands. Our data suggest that the Our Sci Reflectometer estimated soil organic carbon with a precision of approximately (±0.3% SOC); however, it was least accurate at higher carbon concentrations. The Our Sci reflectometer, although consistently accurate at lower SOC concentrations, was still less accurate than a model built using only remote sensing and digital soil map data as predictors. Combining the two data sources was the most accurate means of determining SOC. Our results indicated that the Our Sci handheld Vis-NIR reflectometer tested may have only limited applications for reducing inventory costs at scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the importance of soil organic carbon (SOC) in supporting ecosystem services, accurate SOC assessment is vital for scientific research and decision making. However, most previous studies focused on single soil depth, leading to a poor understanding of SOC in multiple depths. To better understand the spatial distribution pattern of SOC in Northeast and North China Plain, we compared three machine learning algorithms (i.e., Cubist, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Random Forest (RF)) within the digital soil mapping framework. A total of 386 sampling sites (1584 samples) following specific criteria covering all dryland districts and counties and soil types in four depths (i.e., 0–10, 10–20, 20–30 and 30–40 cm) were collected in 2017. After feature selection from 249 environmental covariates by the Genetic Algorithm, 29 variables were used to fit models. The results showed SOC increased from southern to northern regions in the spatial scale and decreased with soil depths. From the result of independent verification (validation dataset: 80 sampling sites), RF (R2: 0.58, 0.71, 0.73, 0.74 and RMSE: 3.49, 3.49, 2.95, 2.80 g kg−1 in four depths) performed better than Cubist (R2: 0.46, 0.63, 0.67, 0.71 and RMSE: 3.83, 3.60, 3.03, 2.72 g kg−1) and XGBoost (R2: 0.53, 0.67, 0.70, 0.71 and RMSE: 3.60, 3.60, 3.00, 2.83 g kg−1) in terms of prediction accuracy and robustness. Soil, parent material and organism were the most important covariates in SOC prediction. This study provides the up-to-date spatial distribution of dryland SOC in Northeast and North China Plain, which is of great value for evaluating dynamics of soil quality after long-term cultivation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon (SOC), as the largest carbon pool on the land surface, plays an important role in soil quality, ecological security and the global carbon cycle. Multisource remote sensing data-driven modeling strategies are not well understood for accurately mapping soil organic carbon. Here, we hypothesized that the Sentinel-2 Multispectral Sensor Instrument (MSI) data-driven modeling strategy produced superior outcomes compared to modeling based on Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) data due to the finer spatial and spectral resolutions of the Sentinel-2A MSI data. To test this hypothesis, the Ebinur Lake wetland in Xinjiang was selected as the study area. In this study, SOC estimation was carried out using Sentinel-2A and Landsat 8 data, combining climatic variables, topographic factors, index variables and Sentinel-1A data to construct a common variable model for Sentinel-2A data and Landsat 8 data, and a full variable model for Sentinel-2A data, respectively. We utilized ensemble learning algorithms to assess the prediction performance of modeling strategies, including random forest (RF), gradient boosted decision tree (GBDT) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithms. The results show that: (1) The Sentinel-2A model outperformed the Landsat 8 model in the prediction of SOC contents, and the Sentinel-2A full variable model under the XGBoost algorithm achieved the best results R2 = 0.804, RMSE = 1.771, RPIQ = 2.687). (2) The full variable model of Sentinel-2A with the addition of the red-edge band and red-edge index improved R2 by 6% and 3.2% over the common variable Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2A models, respectively. (3) In the SOC mapping of the Ebinur Lake wetland, the areas with higher SOC content were mainly concentrated in the oasis, while the mountainous and lakeside areas had lower SOC contents. Our results provide a program to monitor the sustainability of terrestrial ecosystems through a satellite perspective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon (SOC) plays an important role in soil fertility and the global carbon cycle. A better understanding of spatial-temporal changes of SOC content is essential for soil resource management, emission studies, and carbon accounting. In this study, we used a boosted regression trees (BRT) model to map distributions of SOC content in the topsoil (0-20 cm) and evaluated its temporal dynamics from 1990-2010 inWafangdian City, northeast of China. A set of 110 (1990) and 127 (2010) soil samples were collected and nine environment variables (including topography and vegetation) were used. A 10-fold cross-validation was used to evaluate model performance as well as predictive uncertainty. Accuracy assessments showed that R2 of 0.53 and RMSE (Root-mean-square error) of 9.7 g·kg-1 for 1990, and 0.55, and 5.2 g·kg-1 for 2010. Elevation and NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) were the two important variables affecting SOC distribution. Results showed that mean SOC content decreased from 19 ± 14 to 18 ± 8 g·kg-1 over a 20 year period. The maps of SOC represented a decreasing trend from south to north across the study area in both periods. Rapid urbanization and land-use changes were accountable for declining SOC levels. We believe predicted maps of SOC can help local land managers and government agencies to evaluate soil quality and assess carbon sequestration potential and carbon credits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In agronomy, soil organic carbon (SOC) content is important for the development and growth of crops. From an environmental monitoring viewpoint, SOC sequestration is essential for mitigating the emission of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. SOC dynamics in cropland soils should be further studied through various approaches including remote sensing. In order to predict SOC content over croplands in southwestern France (area of 22,177 km²), this study addresses (i) the influence of the dates on which Sentinel-2 (S2) images were acquired in the springs of 2017–2018 as well as the influence of the soil sampling period of a set of samples collected between 2005 and 2018, (ii) the use of soil moisture products (SMPs) derived from Sentinel-1/2 satellites to analyze the influence of surface soil moisture on model performance when included as a covariate, and (iii) whether the spatial distribution of SOC as mapped using S2 is related to terrain-derived attributes. The influences of S2 image dates and soil sampling periods were analyzed for bare topsoil. The dates of the S2 images with the best performance (RPD ≥ 1.7) were 6 April and 26 May 2017, using soil samples collected between 2016 and 2018. The soil sampling dates were also analyzed using SMP values. Soil moisture values were extracted for each sample and integrated into partial least squares regression (PLSR) models. The use of soil moisture as a covariate had no effect on the prediction performance of the models; however, SMP values were used to select the driest dates, effectively mapping topsoil organic carbon. S2 was able to predict high SOC contents in the specific soil types located on the old terraces (mesas) shaped by rivers flowing from the southwestern Pyrénées. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although algorithms are well developed to predict soil organic carbon (SOC), selecting appropriate covariates to improve prediction accuracy is an ongoing challenge. Terrain attributes and remote sensing data are the most common covariates for SOC prediction. This study tested the predictive performance of nine different combinations of topographic variables and multi-season remotely sensed data to improve the prediction of SOC in the cultivated lands of a middle mountain catchment of Nepal. The random forest method was used to predict SOC contents, and the quantile regression forest for quantifying the prediction uncertainty. Prediction of SOC contents was improved when remote sensing data of multiple seasons were used together with the terrain variables. Remote sensing data of multiple seasons capture the dynamic conditions of surface soils more effectively than using an image of a single season. It is concluded that the use of remote sensing images of multiple seasons instead of a snapshot of a single period may be more effective for improving the prediction of SOC in a digital soil mapping framework. However, an image with the right timing of cropping season can provide comparable results if a parsimonious model is preferred. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Wetland ecosystems contain large amounts of soil organic carbon. Their natural environment is often both at the junction of land and water with good conditions for carbon sequestration. Therefore, the study of accurate prediction of soil organic carbon (SOC) density in coastal wetland ecosystems of flat terrain areas is the key to understanding their carbon cycling. This study used remote sensing data to study SOC density potentials of coastal wetland ecosystems in Northeast China. Eleven environmental variables including normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), difference vegetation index (DVI), soil adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), renormalization difference vegetation index (RDVI), ratio vegetation index (RVI), topographic wetness index (TWI), elevation, slope aspect (SA), slope gradient (SG), mean annual temperature (MAT), and mean annual precipitation (MAP) were selected to predict SOC density. A total of 193 soil samples (0–30 cm) were divided into two parts, 70% of the sampling sites data were used to construct the boosted regression tree (BRT) model containing three different combinations of environmental variables, and the remaining 30% were used to test the predictive performance of the model. The results show that the full variable model is better than the other two models. Adding remote sensing-related variables significantly improved the model prediction. This study revealed that SAVI, NDVI and DVI were the main environmental factors affecting the spatial variation of topsoil SOC density of coastal wetlands in flat terrain areas. The mean (±SD) SOC density of full variable models was 18.78 (±1.95) kg m−2, which gradually decreased from northeast to southwest. We suggest that remote sensing-related environmental variables should be selected as the main environmental variables when predicting topsoil SOC density of coastal wetland ecosystems in flat terrain areas. Accurate prediction of topsoil SOC density distribution will help to formulate soil management policies and enhance soil carbon sequestration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil is the largest carbon reservoir on the terrestrial surface. Soil organic carbon (SOC) not only regulates global climate change, but also indicates soil fertility level in croplands. SOC prediction based on remote sensing images has generated great interest in the research field of digital soil mapping. The short revisiting time and wide spectral bands available from Sentinel-2A (S2A) remote sensing data can provide a useful data resource for soil property prediction. However, dense soil surface coverage reduces the direct relationship between soil properties and S2A spectral reflectance such that it is difficult to achieve a successful SOC prediction model. Observations of bare cropland in autumn provide the possibility to establish accurate SOC retrieval models using the S2A super-spectral reflectance. Therefore, in this study, we collected 225 topsoil samples from bare cropland in autumn and measured the SOC content. We also obtained S2A spectral images of the western Guanzhong Plain, China. We established four SOC prediction models, including random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), partial least-squares regression (PLSR), and artificial neural network (ANN) based on 15 variables retrieved from the S2A images, and compared the prediction accuracy using RMSE (root mean square error), R2 (coefficient of determination), and RPD (ratio of performance to deviation). Based on the optimal model, the spatial distribution of SOC was mapped and analyzed. The results indicated that the inversion model with the RF algorithm achieved the highest accuracy, with an R2 of 0.8581, RPD of 2.1313, and RMSE of 1.07. The variables retrieved from the shortwave infrared (SWIR) bands (B11 and B12) usually had higher variable importance, except for the ANN model. SOC content mapped with the RF model gradually decreased with increasing distance from the Wei river, and values were higher in the west than in the east. These results matched the SOC distribution based on measurements at the sample sites. This research provides evidence that soil properties such as SOC can be retrieved and spatially mapped based on S2A images that are obtained from bare cropland in autumn. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As an important evaluation index of soil quality, soil organic carbon (SOC) plays an important role in soil health, ecological security, soil material cycle and global climate cycle. The use of multi-source remote sensing on soil organic carbon distribution has a certain auxiliary effect on the study of soil organic carbon storage and the regional ecological cycle. However, the study on SOC distribution in Ebinur Lake Basin in arid and semi-arid regions is limited to the mapping of measured data, and the soil mapping of SOC using remote sensing data needs to be studied. Whether different machine learning methods can improve prediction accuracy in mapping process is less studied in arid areas. Based on that, combined with the proposed problems, this study selected the typical area of the Ebinur Lake Basin in the arid region as the study area, took the sentinel data as the main data source, and used the Sentinel-1A (radar data), the Sentinel-2A and the Sentinel-3A (multispectral data), combined with 16 kinds of DEM derivatives and climate data (annual average temperature MAT, annual average precipitation MAP) as analysis. The five different types of data are reconstructed by spatial data and divided into four spatial resolutions (10, 100, 300, and 500 m). Seven models are constructed and predicted by machine learning methods RF and Cubist. The results show that the prediction accuracy of RF model is better than that of Cubist model, indicating that RF model is more suitable for small areas in arid areas. Among the three data sources, Sentinel-1A has the highest SOC prediction accuracy of 0.391 at 10 m resolution under the RF model. The results of the importance of environmental variables show that the importance of Flow Accumulation is higher in the RF model and the importance of SLOP in the DEM derivative is higher in the Cubist model. In the prediction results, SOC is mainly distributed in oasis and regions with more human activities, while SOC is less distributed in other regions. This study provides a certain reference value for the prediction of small-scale soil organic carbon spatial distribution by means of remote sensing and environmental factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-precision maps of soil organic carbon (SOC) are beneficial for managing soil fertility and understanding the global carbon cycle. Digital soil mapping plays an important role in efficiently obtaining the spatial distribution of SOC, which contributes to precision agriculture. However, traditional soil-forming factors (i.e., terrain or climatic factors) have weak variability in low-relief areas, such as plains, and cannot reflect the spatial variation of soil attributes. Meanwhile, vegetation cover hinders the acquisition of the direct information of farmland soil. Thus, useful environmental variables should be utilized for SOC prediction and the digital mapping of such areas. SOC has an important effect on crop growth status, and remote sensing data can record the apparent spectral characteristics of crops. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is an important index reflecting crop growth and biomass. This study used NDVI time series data rather than traditional soil-forming factors to map SOC. Honghu City, located in the middle of the Jianghan Plain, was selected as the study region, and the NDVI time series data extracted from Landsat 8 were used as the auxiliary variables. SOC maps were estimated through stepwise linear regression (SLR), partial least squares regression (PLSR), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN). Ordinary kriging (OK) was used as the reference model, while root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) and coefficient of determination of prediction (R2P) were used to evaluate the model performance. Results showed that SOC had a significant positive correlation in July and August (0.17, 0.29) and a significant negative correlation in January, April, and December (−0.23, −0.27, and −0.23) with NDVI time series data. The best model for SOC prediction was generated by ANN, with the lowest RMSEP of 3.718 and highest R2P of 0.391, followed by SVM (RMSEP = 3.753, R2P = 0.361) and PLSR (RMSEP = 4.087, R2P = 0.283). The SLR model was the worst model, with the lowest R2P of 0.281 and highest RMSEP of 3.930. ANN and SVM were better than OK (RMSEP = 3.727, R2P = 0.372), whereas PLSR and SLR were worse than OK. Moreover, the prediction results using single-data NDVI or short time series NDVI showed low accuracy. The effect of the terrain factor on SOC prediction represented unsatisfactory results. All these results indicated that the NDVI time series data can be used for SOC mapping in plain areas and that the ANN model can maximally extract additional associated information between NDVI time series data and SOC. This study presented an effective method to overcome the selection of auxiliary variables for digital soil mapping in plain areas when the soil was covered with vegetation. This finding indicated that the time series characteristics of NDVI were conducive for predicting SOC in plains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The rapid monitoring and accurate estimation of dynamic changes in soil organic carbon (SOC) can make great efforts in understanding the global carbon cycle. Traditional field survey is the main approach to obtain soil data and measure SOC content. However, the limited number of soil samples and the sampling cost hinder the quality of digital soil mapping. This research aims to explore the sensitive of sampling density in digital soil mapping, and then design a suitable soil sampling plan based on a series of sampling indices. Headwall hyperspectral images (400–1700 nm) were used to estimate the SOC map by partial least squares regression (PLSR) and PLSR kriging (PLSRK). Three traditional soil sampling methods (random, grid, and Latin hypercube sampling) with 10 classes of sampling densities (6.26, 2.79, 1.57, 1.01, 0.69, 0.53, 0.39, 0.30, 0.26, and 0.20 ha−1) were designed. The R2, root mean square error (RMSE) and ratio of standard deviation to RMSE (RPD) were used to evaluate the prediction accuracy in digital soil mapping by ordinary kriging. Three new indices, namely, the ratio of sampling efficiency to performance (RSEP), the density of soil samples index and the comprehensive evaluation index of prediction accuracy, were used to select a suitable soil sampling plan. Results showed that (1) the prediction accuracy of PLSRK (RPD = 2.00) was higher by approximately 11.73% than that of PLSR (RPD = 1.79), and the hyperspectral images provided an actual referential SOC map for the study of soil sampling; (2) the grid sampling plan performed better than the random and Latin hypercube sampling methods, and the quality of SOC map improves with the increase of the sampling density, and (3) the computer simulation and field verification indicated that RSEP is one feasible index in designing a suitable soil sampling plan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]