1. Fractional model of COVID-19 applied to Galicia, Spain and Portugal
- Author
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Juan J. Nieto, Iván Area, Faïçal Ndaïrou, Delfim F. M. Torres, and Cristiana J. Silva
- Subjects
Fractional differential equations ,2019-20 coronavirus outbreak ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) ,General Mathematics ,Applied Mathematics ,Mathematical modelling of COVID-19 pandemic ,Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE) ,Fractional model ,General Physics and Astronomy ,Statistical and Nonlinear Physics ,34A08 ,Spain and Portugal case studies ,Article ,Galicia ,Transmissibility (vibration) ,FOS: Biological sciences ,92D30 ,Numerical simulations ,Applied mathematics ,26A33, 34A08, 92D30 ,26A33 ,Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution ,Mathematics - Abstract
A fractional compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease is proposed. Special focus has been done on the transmissibility of super-spreaders individuals. Numerical simulations are shown for data of Galicia, Spain, and Portugal. For each region, the order of the Caputo derivative takes a different value, that is not close to one, showing the relevance of considering fractional models., This is a preprint of a paper whose final and definite form is published by 'Chaos Solitons Fractals' (ISSN: 0960-0779). Paper Submitted 04/June/2020; Revised 22/July/2020 and 02/Aug/2020; Accepted 04/Jan/2021
- Published
- 2021
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