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Synthesizing bare soil pictures in regions with complex vegetation is challenging, which hinders the accuracy of predicting soil organic carbon (SOC) in specific areas. An SOC prediction model was developed in this study by integrating the convolutional neural network and long and short-term memory network (CNN-LSTM) algorithms, taking into consideration soil-forming factors such as climate, vegetation, and topography in Hainan. Compared with common algorithmic models (random forest, CNN, LSTM), the SOC prediction model based on the CNN-LSTM algorithm achieved high accuracy (R2 = 0.69, RMSE = 6.06 g kg−1, RPIQ = 1.96). The model predicted that the SOC content ranged from 5.49 to 36.68 g kg−1, with Hainan in the central and southern parts of the region with high SOC values and the surrounding areas with low SOC values, and that the SOC was roughly distributed as follows: high in the mountainous areas and low in the flat areas. Among the four models, CNN-LSTM outperformed LSTM, CNN, and random forest models in terms of R2 accuracy by 11.3%, 23.2%, and 53.3%, respectively. The CNN-LSTM model demonstrates its applicability in predicting SOC content and shows great potential in complex areas where obtaining sample data is challenging and where SOC is influenced by multiple interacting factors. Furthermore, it shows significant potential for advancing the broader field of digital soil mapping. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Mapping the spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) is crucial for monitoring soil health, understanding ecosystem functions, and contributing to global carbon cycling. However, few studies have directly compared the influence of hybrid models and individual models with varying spatial resolutions on SOC prediction at a national scale. In this study, by combining remote sensing data, we utilized the LUCAS 2018 soil dataset to evaluate the potential capacities of hybrid models for predicting SOC content at different spatial resolutions in Germany. The hybrid models PLSRK and RFK consisted of partial least square regression (PLSR) with residual original kriging (OK) models, and random forest (RF) models with residual OK models, respectively. Individual PLSR and RF models were used as reference models. All these models were applied to estimate SOC content at 10 m, 50 m, 100 m, and 200 m spatial resolutions. Sentinel-2 bands, band indices, and topography variables were as predictors. The results revealed that hybrid models had a more accurate prediction of SOC content with higher explanations and lower prediction errors compared with individual models. The RFK model at the spatial resolution of 100 m was the fittest model with R2 = 0.416, RMSE = 0.545, and RPIQ = 1.647, which enhanced 3.74% of explanation compared with the performance of RF model. The results also showed that hybrid models at a relatively coarse resolution (100 m) had better accuracy instead of those at high spatial resolution (10 m, 50 m). Sentinel-2 remote sensing data showed significant predictive capabilities for estimating SOC content. The predicted spatial distribution of SOC content revealed that the high SOC concentrated in the northwest grassland, central and southwestern mountains, and the Alps in Germany. Our study provided a benchmark SOC map in Germany for monitoring the changes resulting from land use and climate impacts, and we illustrated the accuracy of hybrid models and the effects of spatial resolutions on SOC predictions at a national scale.

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is central to the functioning of terrestrial ecosystems, has climate mitigation potential and provides several benefits for soil health. Understanding the spatial distribution of SOC can help formulate sustainable soil management practices. Digital soil mapping (DSM) uses advanced statistical and geostatistical methods to estimate soil properties across large areas. DSM integrates climate data, topographic features, geology, legacy soil maps, land management and remote sensing data. Bare soil spectra may reflect the presence of particular soil components, making satellite derived spectra suitable predictors of SOC. Bare soil spectra derived from Sentinel-2 were used to estimate SOC concentration (SOC%) and granulometric fractions in the plough layer (0–30 cm) of agricultural parcels in northern Belgium. Thereafter, the estimation performance of SOC% was compared for three DSM models: one with bare soil spectra, one with environmental covariates (topography, granulometry and vegetation), and a combined model with bare soil spectra and environmental covariates. The estimation performance of sand, silt and clay fractions using bare soil spectra from the spring seedbed (R2: 0.53–0.74; RPD: 1.49–2.05; RPIQ: 1.52–2.39) was higher than that of SOC% (R2: 0.16; RPD: 1.08; RPIQ: 1.32). The highest estimation performance of SOC% was obtained for a DSM model including all covariates (R2: 0.28; RPD: 1.18; RPIQ: 1.44), but the contribution of spring seedbed spectra to a model containing environmental covariates was small. The results provide valuable insights for refining soil property estimation using DSM with spectral and environmental covariates.

Estimations of the patterns and controls of soil organic carbon (SOC) could provide instructive insights into the potential impact of future global change on soil carbon (C). In this work, we combined GeoDetector and random forest (RF) to estimate SOC stocks in Chinese grassland ecosystems with uncertainty assessments, and identified a network of cross-correlated environmental covariates for determining SOC based on a dataset collected from 813 sampling sites (0–20 cm) collected from 2000 to 2014. We predicted that 17.50 Pg C was stored in Chinese grasslands to a depth of 20 cm and that the average SOC density was 4.69 kg C/m−2(−|−). The effectiveness of using RF to predict SOC was demonstrated by an accuracy assessment based on 10-fold cross-validation, with a ratio of performance to deviation (RPD) of 2.89. The SOC stocks in southern China were lower than those in northern China. A high SOC density was found in northeastern China and on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. Soil properties had the strongest direct effect on SOC. Climate was significantly negatively associated with SOC and indirectly affected SOC via its effect on soil properties. Topography had a significant direct impact on vegetation, but its direct effect on SOC was relatively weak. This study emphasizes the patterns and heterogeneity of SOC stocks as well as the relative significance of climate, vegetation, soil characteristics, topography, and their complex interrelationships in controlling SOC. These results may provide a theoretical foundation for developing sustainable management systems and calibrating C process models.

Abstract Obtaining accurate spatial maps of soil organic carbon (SOC) in farmlands is crucial for assessing soil quality and achieving precision agriculture. The cropping system is an important factor that affects the soil carbon cycle in farmlands, and different agricultural managements under different cropping systems lead to spatial heterogeneity of SOC. However, current research often ignores differences in the main controlling factors of SOC under different cropping systems, especially when the cropping pattern is complex, which is not conducive to farmland zoning management. This study aims to (i) obtain the spatial distribution map of six cropping systems by using multi-phase HJ-CCD satellite images; (ii) explore the stratified heterogeneous relationship between SOC and environmental variables under different cropping systems by using the Cubist model; and (iii) predict the spatial map of SOC. The Xiantao, Tianmen, and Qianjiang cities, which are the core agricultural areas of the Jianghan Plain, were selected as the study area. Results showed that the SOC content in rice–wheat rotation was the highest among the six cropping systems. The Cubist model outperformed random forest, ordinary kriging, and multiple linear regression in SOC mapping. The results of the Cubist model showed that cropping system, climate, soil attributes, and vegetation index were important influencing factors of SOC in farmlands. The main controlling factors of SOC under different cropping systems were different. Specifically, summer crop types had a greater influence on spatial variations in SOC than winter crops. Paddy–upland rotation was more affected by river distance and NDVI, while upland–upland rotation was more affected by irrigation-related factors. This work highlights the differentiated main controlling factors of SOC under different cropping systems and provides data support for farmland zoning management. The Cubist model can improve the prediction accuracy of SOC under complex cropping systems.

Obtaining accurate spatial maps of soil organic carbon (SOC) in farmlands is crucial for assessing soil quality and achieving precision agriculture. The cropping system is an important factor that affects the soil carbon cycle in farmlands, and different agricultural managements under different cropping systems lead to spatial heterogeneity of SOC. However, current research often ignores differences in the main controlling factors of SOC under different cropping systems, especially when the cropping pattern is complex, which is not conducive to farmland zoning management. This study aims to (i) obtain the spatial distribution map of six cropping systems by using multi-phase HJ-CCD satellite images; (ii) explore the stratified heterogeneous relationship between SOC and environmental variables under different cropping systems by using the Cubist model; and (iii) predict the spatial map of SOC. The Xiantao, Tianmen, and Qianjiang cities, which are the core agricultural areas of the Jianghan Plain, were selected as the study area. Results showed that the SOC content in rice–wheat rotation was the highest among the six cropping systems. The Cubist model outperformed random forest, ordinary kriging, and multiple linear regression in SOC mapping. The results of the Cubist model showed that cropping system, climate, soil attributes, and vegetation index were important influencing factors of SOC in farmlands. The main controlling factors of SOC under different cropping systems were different. Specifically, summer crop types had a greater influence on spatial variations in SOC than winter crops. Paddy–upland rotation was more affected by river distance and NDVI, while upland–upland rotation was more affected by irrigation-related factors. This work highlights the differentiated main controlling factors of SOC under different cropping systems and provides data support for farmland zoning management. The Cubist model can improve the prediction accuracy of SOC under complex cropping systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is generally thought to act as a carbon sink; however, in areas with high spatial heterogeneity, using a single model to estimate the SOC of the whole study area will greatly reduce the simulation accuracy. The earth surface unit division is important to consider in building different models. Here, we divided the research area into different habitat patches using partitioning around a medoids clustering (PAM) algorithm; then, we built an SOC simulation model using machine learning algorithms. The results showed that three habitat patches were created. The simulation accuracy for Habitat Patch 1 (R2 = 0.55; RMSE = 2.89) and Habitat Patch 3 (R2 = 0.47; RMSE = 3.94) using the XGBoost model was higher than that for the whole study area (R2 = 0.44; RMSE = 4.35); although the R2 increased by 25% and 6.8%, the RMSE decreased by 33.6% and 9.4%, and the field sample points significantly declined by 70% and 74%. The R2 of Habitat Patch 2 using the RF model increased by 17.1%, and the RMSE also decreased by 10.5%; however, the sample points significantly declined by 58%. Therefore, using different models for corresponding patches will significantly increase the SOC simulation accuracy over using one model for the whole study area. This will provide scientific guidance for SOC or soil property monitoring with low field survey costs and high simulation accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Soil organic carbon (SOC) contents and stocks provide valuable insights into soil health, nutrient cycling, greenhouse gas emissions, and overall ecosystem productivity. Given this, remote sensing data coupled with advanced machine learning (ML) techniques have eased SOC level estimation while revealing its patterns across different ecosystems. However, despite these advances, the intricacies of training reliable and yet certain SOC models for specific end-users remain a great challenge. To address this, we need robust SOC uncertainty quantification techniques. Here, we introduce a methodology that leverages conformal prediction to address the uncertainty in estimating SOC contents while using remote sensing data. Conformal prediction generates statistically reliable uncertainty intervals for predictions made by ML models. Our analysis, performed on the LUCAS dataset in Europe and incorporating a suite of relevant environmental covariates, underscores the efficacy of integrating conformal prediction with another ML model, specifically random forest. In addition, we conducted a comparative assessment of our results against prevalent uncertainty quantification methods for SOC prediction, employing different evaluation metrics to assess both model uncertainty and accuracy. Our methodology showcases the utility of the generated prediction sets as informative indicators of uncertainty. These sets accurately identify samples that pose prediction challenges, providing valuable insights for end-users seeking reliable predictions in the complexities of SOC estimation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although agricultural intensification has generally increased crop yields, it also resulted in a range of environmental issues. These include increased erosion rates and declined soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks. In order to improve our understanding on how erosion impacts the overall SOC storage capacity of croplands, this study analyses the 3D distribution of SOC as a function of water and tillage erosion in a conventionally ploughed field in the Belgian silt loam region. We present a novel methodological framework to integrate the output of an advanced erosion model as a co-variate within a Digital Soil Mapping (DSM) approach with the objective to create detailed SOC maps. More precisely, we combined (i) the Water and Tillage Erosion Model and Sediment Delivery Model (WaTEM/SEDEM), simulating spatial patterns of soil erosion and sediment deposition due to water and tillage erosions, with (ii) a SOC sampling campaign, resulting in a SOC spatial distribution model that considers both types of erosion. The results show that, as compared to plateaus, SOC stocks are nearly half as large along eroding slopes (i.e. convex slope positions affected by tillage erosion and steep slopes affected by water erosion). Yet, they are up to twice as large in areas characterized by sediment deposition (i.e. concave positions due to tillage erosion and foot slope positions due to water erosion). Our results further show that tillage erosion has a significant influence on the SOC stocks in the top 0.7 m and in particular on the top 0.4 m. The influence of water erosion is less strong but mostly significant along the entire depth profile. Overall, this work demonstrates the relevance of considering different erosion processes when aiming to predict spatial patterns of SOC. Considering the top 1 m and a WaTEM/SEDEM application at a resolution of 10 m our 3D SOC modelling approach obtained a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.62, a relative root mean square error (RRMSE) of 30.5 % and a relative mean absolute error (RMAE) of 26.0 %. While future work may likely lead to further improvements e.g. a more detailed SOC sampling network along the foot slopes and thalwegs in order to obtain a more spatially detailed prediction of the area characterized by depositions due to water erosion, we demonstrate the great potential of existing erosion and deposition models in doing so.

Studies on soil organic carbon stocks (SOCS) are increasingly relevant to developing efficient mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change. Reliable information on soil organic carbon (SOC) content, bulk density (BD), and coarse fragments (CF) are required for precise SOCS calculation. The data quality of SOCS‐related variables is important to represent SOCS realistically across different levels of disturbance in the terrestrial ecosystems of Guatemala. The main objective is to develop Guatemala's first national SOC database to support studies of SOCS magnitudes and spatial trends. We identified and collected national sources of variables related to SOCS (SOC, BD, CF) across the country, mainly distributed in the central zone dominated by disturbed ecosystems and agricultural territories. We integrated 910 observations (soil samples and soil profiles) of SOC content (range 1.45–162 g·kg−1), 704 of BD (range 0.42–1.69 g·cm−3), and 8 of CFs (0%–21% weight). This new database represents the edaphic, climatic, and land use variability of Guatemalan territory. The database contains soil observations collected from 1965 to 2010. The year 2010 has the majority of soil observations (41%). SOCS‐related variables are standardized at 0–30 centimetres of depth using mass conservative splines, which are used to represent SOCS and soil depth relationships. We provide new information on SOCS across various ecological and environmental conditions to enable SOC monitoring systems to report reliable and accurate estimates. The new database is appealing for scientific and commercial purposes, such as representing Guatemalan soils in Earth system models or using soil information in the ecosystem services market (e.g., carbon markets). The new database is accessible to all users through the platform of the Environmental Data Initiative https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/8dd15238c604c3ac75daf985548bd05c. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Mapping soil organic carbon (SOC) accurately is essential for sustainable soil resource management. Hyperspectral data, a vital tool for SOC mapping, is obtained through both laboratory and satellite-based sources. While laboratory data is limited to sample point monitoring, satellite hyperspectral imagery covers entire regions, albeit susceptible to external environmental interference. This study, conducted in the Yuncheng Basin of the Yellow River Basin, compared the predictive accuracy of laboratory hyperspectral data (ASD FieldSpec4) and GF-5 satellite hyperspectral imagery for SOC mapping. Leveraging fractional order derivatives (FODs), various denoising methods, feature band selection, and the Random Forest model, the research revealed that laboratory hyperspectral data outperform satellite data in predicting SOC. FOD processing enhanced spectral information, and discrete wavelet transform (DWT) proved effective for GF-5 satellite imagery denoising. Stability competitive adaptive re-weighted sampling (sCARS) emerged as the optimal feature band selection algorithm. The 0.6FOD-sCARS RF model was identified as the optimal laboratory hyperspectral prediction model for SOC, while the 0.8FOD-DWT-sCARS RF model was deemed optimal for satellite hyperspectral prediction. This research, offering insights into farmland soil quality monitoring and strategies for sustainable soil use, holds significance for enhancing agricultural production efficiency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

National soil organic carbon (SOC) maps are essential to improve greenhouse gas accounting and support climate-smart agriculture. Large-scale SOC models based on wall-to-wall soil information from remote sensing remain a challenge due to the high diversity of natural soil conditions and the difficulty of accounting for the spatial location of the soil samples. In this study, we tested if the implementation of local ensemble models (LEM) can be used to improve the SOC predictions from Landsat-based soil reflectance composites (SRC) for Germany. For this, we divided the research area into 30 times 30 km tiles and calculated local generalized linear models (GLM) based on random, nearby observations. Based on the GLMs, local SOC maps were predicted and aggregated using a moving window approach. The local variable importance was analyzed to identify spatial dependencies in the correlation between the SRC and SOC. For the final SOC map, a Random Forest (RF) model was trained using the aggregated local SOC predictions, the SRC, and a full set of training samples from the agricultural soil inventory. The results show that the LEM was able to improve the accuracy (R2 = 0.68; RMSE = 5.6 g kg−1), compared to the maps based on a single, global model (R2 = 0.52; RMSE = 6.8 g kg−1). The local variable importance of the spectral bands showed clear spatial patterns throughout the research area. Differences can be explained by the local soil conditions, influencing the correlation between SOC and the spectral properties. Compared to the widely adopted integration of distance covariates such as geographical coordinates, the LEM was able the reduce the spatial autocorrelation to a greater extent and to improve the prediction accuracy, especially for underrepresented SOC values. The LEM presents a new method to integrate spatial information and increase the interpretability of DSM models.

To improve the accuracy of soil organic carbon (SOC) mapping, an adaptive zoning regression kriging (AZ_RK) framework was proposed, which simultaneously considers spatial heterogeneity and the influence of multiple environmental variables. In AZ_RK, the study area was first adaptively divided into several spatially homogeneous zones. Then, the SOC distribution was mapped in each zone separately considering the relationships between SOC and environmental variables. The results indicated that the influence of environmental variables on SOC in different zones differed. The proposed zoning strategy was proven to be valid, which can account for 36.6% of the spatial variance in SOC. Furthermore, AZ_RK outperformed other methods with the lowest RMSE and the highest R2 ([Formula: see text]= 0.495 and [Formula: see text]= 0.481). We concluded that AZ_RK can effectively cluster spatially homogeneous zones and adaptively map SOC with high estimation accuracy, which can serve as a valuable model reference for precise fertilization in regions characterized by spatial heterogeneity.

Soil organic carbon (SOC) undergoes rapid changes due to human production activities, which have an impact on the land carbon cycle and ultimately global change. As one of the main human production activities, coal mining significantly impacts the soil carbon cycle. However, due to the lack of remote sensing modeling of soil carbon in mining areas, the spatio-temporal changes and driving mechanisms of SOC in mining areas remain unclear. Therefore, this study investigated and determined SOC data from 300 sampling points (depth of 0–20 cm) located in an arid mining area of China. Remote sensing images were then used to established a soil organic carbon density (SOCD) prediction model within the Random Forest (RF) model to achieve digital mapping of soil organic carbon stocks (SOCS). The spatiotemporal changes of SOCS were analyzed using SOCS digital mapping, and the influencing mechanism of SOCS was revealed using path analysis. The results showed that the constructed SOCD predictive model meets the demand for SOCD prediction (R2 ≥ 0.74, p soil erosion > mining intensity > precipitation > elevation > land use > temperature. The negative impact of coal mining on SOCS was mainly indirect, through disturbance to elevation, vegetation, and soil erosion. The uneven ground subsidence and stretching caused by coal mining contribute to intensified soil erosion and vegetation degradation in the affected area, leading to a reduction in SOCS. However, SOCS did not decrease under high intensity mining, which was related to the increase in vegetation and the reduction in soil erosion in the mining area. In this study, a soil carbon prediction model was established based on remote sensing modeling to evaluate the temporal and spatial distribution of soil carbon in an arid mining area. The results can serve as valuable references for the scientific improvement of the ecological environment in mining areas, the rational planning of mining area construction, as well as low-carbon land reclamation and ecological compensation assessments.

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is generally thought to act as a carbon sink; however, in areas with high spatial heterogeneity, using a single model to estimate the SOC of the whole study area will greatly reduce the simulation accuracy. The earth surface unit division is important to consider in building different models. Here, we divided the research area into different habitat patches using partitioning around a medoids clustering (PAM) algorithm; then, we built an SOC simulation model using machine learning algorithms. The results showed that three habitat patches were created. The simulation accuracy for Habitat Patch 1 (R2 = 0.55; RMSE = 2.89) and Habitat Patch 3 (R2 = 0.47; RMSE = 3.94) using the XGBoost model was higher than that for the whole study area (R2 = 0.44; RMSE = 4.35); although the R2 increased by 25% and 6.8%, the RMSE decreased by 33.6% and 9.4%, and the field sample points significantly declined by 70% and 74%. The R2 of Habitat Patch 2 using the RF model increased by 17.1%, and the RMSE also decreased by 10.5%; however, the sample points significantly declined by 58%. Therefore, using different models for corresponding patches will significantly increase the SOC simulation accuracy over using one model for the whole study area. This will provide scientific guidance for SOC or soil property monitoring with low field survey costs and high simulation accuracy.

Soil organic carbon (SOC) contents and stocks provide valuable insights into soil health, nutrient cycling, greenhouse gas emissions, and overall ecosystem productivity. Given this, remote sensing data coupled with advanced machine learning (ML) techniques have eased SOC level estimation while revealing its patterns across different ecosystems. However, despite these advances, the intricacies of training reliable and yet certain SOC models for specific end-users remain a great challenge. To address this, we need robust SOC uncertainty quantification techniques. Here, we introduce a methodology that leverages conformal prediction to address the uncertainty in estimating SOC contents while using remote sensing data. Conformal prediction generates statistically reliable uncertainty intervals for predictions made by ML models. Our analysis, performed on the LUCAS dataset in Europe and incorporating a suite of relevant environmental covariates, underscores the efficacy of integrating conformal prediction with another ML model, specifically random forest. In addition, we conducted a comparative assessment of our results against prevalent uncertainty quantification methods for SOC prediction, employing different evaluation metrics to assess both model uncertainty and accuracy. Our methodology showcases the utility of the generated prediction sets as informative indicators of uncertainty. These sets accurately identify samples that pose prediction challenges, providing valuable insights for end-users seeking reliable predictions in the complexities of SOC estimation.

Mapping soil organic carbon (SOC) accurately is essential for sustainable soil resource management. Hyperspectral data, a vital tool for SOC mapping, is obtained through both laboratory and satellite-based sources. While laboratory data is limited to sample point monitoring, satellite hyperspectral imagery covers entire regions, albeit susceptible to external environmental interference. This study, conducted in the Yuncheng Basin of the Yellow River Basin, compared the predictive accuracy of laboratory hyperspectral data (ASD FieldSpec4) and GF-5 satellite hyperspectral imagery for SOC mapping. Leveraging fractional order derivatives (FODs), various denoising methods, feature band selection, and the Random Forest model, the research revealed that laboratory hyperspectral data outperform satellite data in predicting SOC. FOD processing enhanced spectral information, and discrete wavelet transform (DWT) proved effective for GF-5 satellite imagery denoising. Stability competitive adaptive re-weighted sampling (sCARS) emerged as the optimal feature band selection algorithm. The 0.6FOD-sCARS RF model was identified as the optimal laboratory hyperspectral prediction model for SOC, while the 0.8FOD-DWT-sCARS RF model was deemed optimal for satellite hyperspectral prediction. This research, offering insights into farmland soil quality monitoring and strategies for sustainable soil use, holds significance for enhancing agricultural production efficiency.

• Sentinel-2 bare soil spectra was used for up-to-date soil organic carbon mapping in croplands. • The predictive capability of single-date versus multitemporal bare soil images was compared. • Performances of single-date prediction models were temporally unstable. • High-dimensional geometric median composite outperformed 11 out of 12 single-date models. • Incorporation of SOC-related spectral indexes further improved the SOC prediction accuracy. Sustainable cropland management requires quantitative and up-to-date information on the spatial pattern of soil organic carbon (SOC) at scales relevant for implementing targeted conservation measures. Spectra-based remote sensing of SOC in croplands is promising, but it requires the extraction of high-quality bare soil pixels that enable spatially continuous coverage. Here, we aim to compare the SOC predictive capability of single-date versus multitemporal compositing of bare soil images in an intensively cultivated region (4,700 km2) of northeast China. A series of 12 bare soil images within 2017–2022 were processed and passed onto three multitemporal compositing approaches (geometric median, and univariate mean and median) to create bare soil mosaics. Both single-date and multitemporal spectral images, together with laboratory-simulated Sentinel-2 benchmark data, were used to develop partial least squares regression, Cubist and random forest models via 100 bootstrapped validations. With Cubist consistently being the best performing algorithm for all three data sources, results show that the 12 single-date images exhibited temporally unstable performance (R2: 0.30–0.67). Among the three compositing approaches, the high-dimensional geometric median composite was the most suitable because of (i) its close resemblance to laboratory reference and robustness to outliers, which yielded a Cubist model (R2: 0.64; RMSE: 2.24 g/kg) outperforming 11 out of 12 single-date models; and (ii) its ability to retain between-band spectral relationships that allowed further incorporation of SOC-relevant bare soil indexes, which led to a further 6.5 % increase in model prediction accuracy. The resultant SOC map highlighted the capability of Sentinel-2 bare soil imaging to reveal field-scale soil degradation patterns. Future work should explore the possibility of extending the purely spectra-based framework to integrated SOC mapping and monitoring with additional soil biophysical and management information. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Higher model performance for granulometry than SOC% using seedbed spectra. • PLSR outperformed other algorithms for SOC% estimation, CR for granulometry. • Low contribution of seedbed spectra to the DSM of SOC% using environmental covariates. Soil organic carbon (SOC) is central to the functioning of terrestrial ecosystems, has climate mitigation potential and provides several benefits for soil health. Understanding the spatial distribution of SOC can help formulate sustainable soil management practices. Digital soil mapping (DSM) uses advanced statistical and geostatistical methods to estimate soil properties across large areas. DSM integrates climate data, topographic features, geology, legacy soil maps, land management and remote sensing data. Bare soil spectra may reflect the presence of particular soil components, making satellite derived spectra suitable predictors of SOC. Bare soil spectra derived from Sentinel-2 were used to estimate SOC concentration (SOC%) and granulometric fractions in the plough layer (0–30 cm) of agricultural parcels in northern Belgium. Thereafter, the estimation performance of SOC% was compared for three DSM models: one with bare soil spectra, one with environmental covariates (topography, granulometry and vegetation), and a combined model with bare soil spectra and environmental covariates. The estimation performance of sand, silt and clay fractions using bare soil spectra from the spring seedbed (R2: 0.53–0.74; RPD: 1.49–2.05; RPIQ: 1.52–2.39) was higher than that of SOC% (R2: 0.16; RPD: 1.08; RPIQ: 1.32). The highest estimation performance of SOC% was obtained for a DSM model including all covariates (R2: 0.28; RPD: 1.18; RPIQ: 1.44), but the contribution of spring seedbed spectra to a model containing environmental covariates was small. The results provide valuable insights for refining soil property estimation using DSM with spectral and environmental covariates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• This study estimated that 17.50 Pg C was stored in Chinese grasslands to a depth of 20 cm, and the average SOC density was 4.69 kg C m−2. • A path network showing interacting effects of climate, topography, soil characteristics, and vegetation on SOC. • The direct effect of topography on SOC was relatively weak, but it did have a significant positive impact on vegetation at a broad geographical scale. Estimations of the patterns and controls of soil organic carbon (SOC) could provide instructive insights into the potential impact of future global change on soil carbon (C). In this work, we combined GeoDetector and random forest (RF) to estimate SOC stocks in Chinese grassland ecosystems with uncertainty assessments, and identified a network of cross-correlated environmental covariates for determining SOC based on a dataset collected from 813 sampling sites (0–20 cm) collected from 2000 to 2014. We predicted that 17.50 Pg C was stored in Chinese grasslands to a depth of 20 cm and that the average SOC density was 4.69 kg C/m−2(−|−). The effectiveness of using RF to predict SOC was demonstrated by an accuracy assessment based on 10-fold cross-validation, with a ratio of performance to deviation (RPD) of 2.89. The SOC stocks in southern China were lower than those in northern China. A high SOC density was found in northeastern China and on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. Soil properties had the strongest direct effect on SOC. Climate was significantly negatively associated with SOC and indirectly affected SOC via its effect on soil properties. Topography had a significant direct impact on vegetation, but its direct effect on SOC was relatively weak. This study emphasizes the patterns and heterogeneity of SOC stocks as well as the relative significance of climate, vegetation, soil characteristics, topography, and their complex interrelationships in controlling SOC. These results may provide a theoretical foundation for developing sustainable management systems and calibrating C process models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Novel approach integrating water erosion and tillage erosion in a Digital Soil Mapping based approach for SOC mapping. • As compared to reference sites "plateau", SOC stocks are half on eroded sites and double on depositional sites. • Tillage erosion affects SOC stocks in the top soil whereas water erosion affects SOC stocks on the entire profile. Although agricultural intensification has generally increased crop yields, it also resulted in a range of environmental issues. These include increased erosion rates and declined soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks. In order to improve our understanding on how erosion impacts the overall SOC storage capacity of croplands, this study analyses the 3D distribution of SOC as a function of water and tillage erosion in a conventionally ploughed field in the Belgian silt loam region. We present a novel methodological framework to integrate the output of an advanced erosion model as a co-variate within a Digital Soil Mapping (DSM) approach with the objective to create detailed SOC maps. More precisely, we combined (i) the Water and Tillage Erosion Model and Sediment Delivery Model (WaTEM/SEDEM), simulating spatial patterns of soil erosion and sediment deposition due to water and tillage erosions, with (ii) a SOC sampling campaign, resulting in a SOC spatial distribution model that considers both types of erosion. The results show that, as compared to plateaus, SOC stocks are nearly half as large along eroding slopes (i.e. convex slope positions affected by tillage erosion and steep slopes affected by water erosion). Yet, they are up to twice as large in areas characterized by sediment deposition (i.e. concave positions due to tillage erosion and foot slope positions due to water erosion). Our results further show that tillage erosion has a significant influence on the SOC stocks in the top 0.7 m and in particular on the top 0.4 m. The influence of water erosion is less strong but mostly significant along the entire depth profile. Overall, this work demonstrates the relevance of considering different erosion processes when aiming to predict spatial patterns of SOC. Considering the top 1 m and a WaTEM/SEDEM application at a resolution of 10 m our 3D SOC modelling approach obtained a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.62, a relative root mean square error (RRMSE) of 30.5 % and a relative mean absolute error (RMAE) of 26.0 %. While future work may likely lead to further improvements e.g. a more detailed SOC sampling network along the foot slopes and thalwegs in order to obtain a more spatially detailed prediction of the area characterized by depositions due to water erosion, we demonstrate the great potential of existing erosion and deposition models in doing so. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• The FOD technique refines soil spectral features, improving SOC mapping. • 3D spectral indices correlate more strongly with SOC compared to 2D indices. • Integrating low-order FOD and 3D indices maximizes SOC prediction accuracy. • ZY1-02D hyperspectral satellite demonstrated advanced soil property prediction. Monitoring soil organic carbon (SOC) content is crucial for climate change mitigation and sustaining ecological balance. Despite the unparalleled advantages of hyperspectral data in capturing nuanced variations in soil properties through its high spectral resolution, effectively extracting useful features from numerous bands via spectral processing techniques remains a formidable challenge. This study proposes an integrated approach combining fractional-order derivative (FOD) technique and optimal band combination algorithm using ZY1-02D satellite hyperspectral data to estimate SOC in Northeast China's Black soil region. Three modeling strategies were compared: (1) FOD-transformed reflectance (FOD spectra), (2) FOD spectra with traditional 2D spectral indices (FOD + 2D SI), and (3) FOD spectra with new 3D spectral indices (FOD + 3D SI). These strategies were implemented using the random forest model with the aim of the optimal SOC prediction. Results showed that the application of FOD technique for spectral transformation effectively addressed the challenges posed by overlapping peaks and baseline drift inherent in the original spectral reflectance. Additionally, FOD transformation enhanced subtle soil spectral features and yielded more pronounced spectral variations with increasing fractional order, as compared to the original spectral data and conventional integer-order derivatives (i.e., first and second-order derivatives). However, as the FOD order continued to increase beyond 1.4, the spectral curve exhibited amplified noise and distortion, thereby adversely impacting subsequent model development. The 3D spectral indices correlate more robustly with SOC than 2D indices. The model that combines 0.6-order FOD and 3D spectral indices achieved the best accuracy (R2 = 0.66, RMSE = 2.99 g/kg and MAE = 2.42 g/kg), significantly outperforming the models built by 0.6-order FOD spectra (R2 = 0.48, RMSE = 3.65 g kg−1, and MAE = 2.93 g kg−1) and 0.8-order FOD + 2D SI modeling strategy (R2 = 0.55, RMSE = 3.54 g kg−1, and MAE = 2.85 g kg−1). These findings indicated that FOD and 3D spectral indices exhibit superior synergistic performance in SOC prediction, demonstrating their feasibility and providing valuable insights for large-scale soil property prediction and mapping using satellite hyperspectral data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• National soil organic carbon maps for cropland based on soil reflectance composite. • Local ensemble model that accounts for spatial dependencies in predictions. • Local variable importance of the spectral bands is attributed to soil properties. • New approach to reduce spatial autocorrelation and increase model interpretability. • Enhancing digital soil mapping in regions with heterogeneous soil conditions. National soil organic carbon (SOC) maps are essential to improve greenhouse gas accounting and support climate-smart agriculture. Large-scale SOC models based on wall-to-wall soil information from remote sensing remain a challenge due to the high diversity of natural soil conditions and the difficulty of accounting for the spatial location of the soil samples. In this study, we tested if the implementation of local ensemble models (LEM) can be used to improve the SOC predictions from Landsat-based soil reflectance composites (SRC) for Germany. For this, we divided the research area into 30 times 30 km tiles and calculated local generalized linear models (GLM) based on random, nearby observations. Based on the GLMs, local SOC maps were predicted and aggregated using a moving window approach. The local variable importance was analyzed to identify spatial dependencies in the correlation between the SRC and SOC. For the final SOC map, a Random Forest (RF) model was trained using the aggregated local SOC predictions, the SRC, and a full set of training samples from the agricultural soil inventory. The results show that the LEM was able to improve the accuracy (R2 = 0.68; RMSE = 5.6 g kg−1), compared to the maps based on a single, global model (R2 = 0.52; RMSE = 6.8 g kg−1). The local variable importance of the spectral bands showed clear spatial patterns throughout the research area. Differences can be explained by the local soil conditions, influencing the correlation between SOC and the spectral properties. Compared to the widely adopted integration of distance covariates such as geographical coordinates, the LEM was able the reduce the spatial autocorrelation to a greater extent and to improve the prediction accuracy, especially for underrepresented SOC values. The LEM presents a new method to integrate spatial information and increase the interpretability of DSM models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

[Display omitted] • We produced a high resolution (30 m) SOC map in cropland of Southern China. • Our produced SOC map has high accuracy with R2 = 0.73 and RMSE = 2.91 g kg−1. • The map accuracy was enhanced by incorporating soil management information. • Soil properties and soil management measures are most relevant to SOC variation in cropland. An accurate and fine map of soil organic carbon (SOC) plays a vital role in understanding the global carbon cycle and achieving soil carbon sequestration potential. Although global and national maps of SOC are already available with various spatial resolutions, limited sample size, and relative coarse resolution hinder its accuracy and application in local regions. Here, we collected 13,424 soil samples and information of 45 environmental covariates from cropland in Jiangxi Province, Southern China during 2012 and 2013. Then, the optimal covariates were selected by a recursive feature elimination algorithm for mapping SOC. After that, we deployed the random forest (RF) to produce a fine map (30 m) of SOC in the cropland of Jiangxi Province and 100 times bootstrapping was performed to calculate the prediction uncertainty. Finally, we determined the impacts of various covariates on SOC variability using RF and partial least squares structural equation modeling. Our results showed that compared with the predictive model without soil management information, introducing soil management information improved the predictability of SOC with an increase in R2 by 7.35 % (0.73 vs 0.68) and decrease in RMSE by 7.03 % (2.91 vs 3.13 g kg−1). Our results well estimated the uncertainty of the predicted result with a PICP of 0.91 for a 90 % prediction interval. Soil properties and soil management activities make the largest contribution for modelling SOC. Specifically, the total nitrogen content, straw return amount, total potassium content, and multi-resolution valley bottom flatness were found as the most important factors for mapping SOC in the cropland of our study area. Overall, this study deepened our knowledge of the variation of SOC and also emphasizes that incorporating soil management information could help us to achieve more accurate predictions of SOC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• This study quantified global soil C research trends and the proportional focus on SOC and SIC pools. • Soil inorganic C is an overlooked pool with only 4% share in global soil C research. • Approximately 40% of the soil C research was dedicated to climate change. • Soil C research is concentrated in few countries with 70% research contributed by 9 countries. • It is imperative to expand research focus on SIC to gain a comprehensive understanding of global C cycle. Soils are a major player in the global carbon (C) cycle and climate change by functioning as a sink or a source of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2). The largest terrestrial C reservoir in soils comprises two main pools: organic (SOC) and inorganic C (SIC), each having distinct fates and functions but with a large disparity in global research attention. This study quantified global soil C research trends and the proportional focus on SOC and SIC pools based on a bibliometric analysis and raise the importance of SIC pools fully underrepresented in research, applications, and modeling. Studies on soil C pools started in 1905 and has produced over 47,000 publications (>1.7 million citations). Although the global C stocks down to 2 m depth are nearly the same for SOC and SIC, the research has dominantly examined SOC (>96 % of publications and citations) with a minimal share on SIC (<4%). Approximately 40 % of the soil C research was related to climate change. Despite poor coverage and publications, the climate change-related research impact (citations per document) of SIC studies was higher than that of SOC. Mineral associated organic carbon, machine learning, soil health, and biochar were the recent top trend topics for SOC research (2020–2023), whereas digital soil mapping, soil properties, soil acidification, and calcite were recent top trend topics for SIC. SOC research was contributed by 151 countries compared to 88 for SIC. As assessed by publications, soil C research was mainly concentrated in a few countries, with only 9 countries accounting for 70 % of the research. China and the USA were the major producers (45 %), collaborators (37 %), and funders of soil C research. SIC is a long-lived soil C pool with a turnover rate (leaching and recrystallization) of more than 1000 years in natural ecosystems, but intensive agricultural practices have accelerated SIC losses, making SIC an important player in global C cycle and climate change. The lack of attention and investment towards SIC research could jeopardize the ongoing efforts to mitigate climate change impacts to meet the 1.5–2.0 °C targets under the Paris Climate Agreement of 2015. This bibliographic study calls to expand the research focus on SIC and including SIC fluxes in C budgets and models, without which the representation of the global C cycle is incomplete. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• SOC inversion models were established for various land-use in an arid mining area. • SOC spatiotemporal variability and its effect factors were analyzed. • Changes in vegetation and soil erosion dominate the spatial distribution of SOC. • Coal mining affects plant, terrain and soil erosion, then weakens SOC accumulation. Soil organic carbon (SOC) undergoes rapid changes due to human production activities, which have an impact on the land carbon cycle and ultimately global change. As one of the main human production activities, coal mining significantly impacts the soil carbon cycle. However, due to the lack of remote sensing modeling of soil carbon in mining areas, the spatio-temporal changes and driving mechanisms of SOC in mining areas remain unclear. Therefore, this study investigated and determined SOC data from 300 sampling points (depth of 0–20 cm) located in an arid mining area of China. Remote sensing images were then used to established a soil organic carbon density (SOCD) prediction model within the Random Forest (RF) model to achieve digital mapping of soil organic carbon stocks (SOCS). The spatiotemporal changes of SOCS were analyzed using SOCS digital mapping, and the influencing mechanism of SOCS was revealed using path analysis. The results showed that the constructed SOCD predictive model meets the demand for SOCD prediction (R2 ≥ 0.74, p < 0.01, RMSE ≤ 1.72 kg/m2). Under the combined influence of coal mining and land reclamation, the total amount of surface SOCS in the mining area exhibited a fluctuating upward trend from 1990 (6.34 Tg) to 2021 (7.73 Tg), with an annual growth rate of 0.038 Tg/a. The spatial distribution of SOCS generally increased from southeast to northwest. Precipitation, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and land use were positively correlated to SOCS spatial distribution, while temperature, elevation, soil erosion, and mining intensity were negatively correlated to SOCS. The impact degree of factors on SOCS was as follows: NDVI > soil erosion > mining intensity > precipitation > elevation > land use > temperature. The negative impact of coal mining on SOCS was mainly indirect, through disturbance to elevation, vegetation, and soil erosion. The uneven ground subsidence and stretching caused by coal mining contribute to intensified soil erosion and vegetation degradation in the affected area, leading to a reduction in SOCS. However, SOCS did not decrease under high intensity mining, which was related to the increase in vegetation and the reduction in soil erosion in the mining area. In this study, a soil carbon prediction model was established based on remote sensing modeling to evaluate the temporal and spatial distribution of soil carbon in an arid mining area. The results can serve as valuable references for the scientific improvement of the ecological environment in mining areas, the rational planning of mining area construction, as well as low-carbon land reclamation and ecological compensation assessments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• SOC content in multiple soil horizons of the Heihe River Basin was mapped. • EL gave satisfactory estimation result with high accuracy and low uncertainty. • MAP showed the highest contribution to the estimation of SOC content. • SOC content of farmland in the A-horizon was higher than that in the O-horizon. Estimating the spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) content is essential for evaluating ecosystem functions and establishing global climate change models. Most of the previous SOC mapping studies have focused on estimating SOC content at fixed depths. However, soils at the same depth are not always belonging to the same soil horizon. Therefore, the characteristics of soil horizons should be considered. In this study, the SOC content of multiple soil horizons in the middle and upper reaches of the Heihe River Basin was estimated using multivariate factors and ensemble learning (EL). The results show that EL obtains the best SOC content estimation performance, where the R2 values are 0.58, 0.57 and 0.69 for the O-horizon, A-horizon, and B-horizon, respectively. Environmental factors show a high degree of contribution to estimate SOC content, and mean annual precipitation (MAP) presents the highest contribution amongst all the factors. For the middle and upper reaches of the Heihe River Basin, the SOC content is high in the southwest and low in the northeast. Amongst the multiple soil horizons, the O-horizon usually showed higher SOC content than the A-horizon and the B-horizon. But the SOC content of the A-horizon is higher than that of the O-horizon for farmland. From 2012 to 2013, the SOC content of forestland and farmland increased in the O-horizon and A-horizon. The application of EL improves the mapping performance of SOC content in different soil horizons, and the involvement of multivariable factors reveals the distribution of SOC content in the Heihe River Basin. This study creates maps of SOC content in different soil horizons and analyses the effect of land covers on SOC content, which provides insights for ecological conservation and regional sustainable development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]