1. Expired-air carbon monoxide as a predictor of 16-year risk of all-cause, cardiovascular and cancer mortality.
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Bérard, Emilie, Bongard, Vanina, Dallongeville, Jean, Arveiler, Dominique, Amouyel, Philippe, Wagner, Aline, Cottel, Dominique, Haas, Bernadette, Ferrières, Jean, and Ruidavets, Jean-Bernard
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CARBON monoxide analysis , *CARDIOVASCULAR diseases , *CANCER-related mortality , *FOLLOW-up studies (Medicine) , *BIOMARKERS - Abstract
Background: Measurement of expired-air carbon monoxide (EACO) is commonly used to ascertain non-smoking status, although it can also reflect exposures not related to smoking. Our aim was to assess 16-year mortality according to EACO measured at baseline, in a general population.Methods: Our analysis was based on the Third French MONICA population survey (1994-1997). Causes of death were obtained 16 years after inclusion, and assessment of determinants of mortality was based on Cox modeling.Results: EACO was measured in 2232 apparently healthy participants aged 35-64. During follow-up, 195 deaths occurred (19% were due to cardio-vascular (CV) causes and 49% to cancer). At baseline, the mean EACO was 11.8 (±7.4)ppm, 4.6 (±2.5)ppm, 4.3 (±2.2)ppm for current, former and never smokers, respectively (P<0.001). After adjustment for main mortality risk factors and smoking, the hazard ratio (HR) for total mortality was 1.03[95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.06] per 1-unit increase in EACO, and it was 1.04[1.01-1.07] for cancer mortality. Adjusted HR for CV mortality was 1.05[1.01-1.10] but did not remain significant after additional adjustment for smoking (0.98[0.91-1.04]). Interactions between EACO and smoking were not significant.Conclusions: In a general population, baseline EACO is an independent predictor of 16-year all-cause and cancer mortality, after adjustment for confounders including smoking. Given that the effect of EACO is similar among smokers and non-smokers, EACO is probably not solely related to smoking but could also be a marker of inhaled ambient carbon monoxide and/or endogenous production. Besides, smoking better predicts CV mortality than EACO. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
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