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We propose an extension of the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR) model based on q-binomial (or Kemp) random walks, with application to default with logistic failure rates. This model allows us to consider time-dependent switching probabilities varying according to a trend parameter on a non-self-similar binomial tree. In particular, it includes tilt and stretch parameters that control increment sizes. Option pricing formulas are written using q-binomial coefficients, and we study the convergence of this model to a Black-Scholes type formula in continuous time. A convergence rate of order O(N-1/2) is obtained. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We derive normal approximation bounds in the Wasserstein distance for sums of generalized U-statistics, based on a general distance bound for functionals of independent random variables of arbitrary distributions. Those bounds are applied to normal approximation for the combined weights of subgraphs in the Erdős–Rényi random graph, extending the graph counting results of Barbour et al. (A central limit theorem for decomposable random variables with applications to random graphs, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 47(2) (1989), pp. 125–145) to the setting of weighted graphs. Our approach relies on a general stochastic analytic framework for functionals of independent random sequences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We establish an integration by parts formula for the random functionals of a continuous-time Markov chain, based on partial differentiation with respect to jump times. In comparison with existing methods, our approach does not rely on the Girsanov theorem and it imposes less restrictions on the choice of directions of differentiation, while assuming additional continuity conditions on the considered functionals. As an application we compute sensitivities (Greeks) using stochastic weights in an asset price model with Markovian regime switching. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

We derive sufficient conditions for the mixing of all orders of interacting transformations of a spatial Poisson point process, under a zero-type condition in probability and a generalized adaptedness condition. This extends a classical result in the case of deterministic transformations of Poisson measures. The approach relies on moment and covariance identities for Poisson stochastic integrals with random integrands. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

We provide closed-form expressions for bond prices in interest rate models based on compact Lie groups. Our approach uses a Doob transform technique and PDE solutions by the Mathieu periodic functions. As a by-product, we derive formulas for bond option prices as well as new identities for the Laplace transform of periodic functionals of Brownian motion and Brownian diffusion processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]