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Multi-energy industrial parks, composed of the district energy supply system and terminal industrial loads, are dominant energy consumers with over 50% occupation of total energy consumption. Considering the energy conversion in the district energy supply system and adjustment of production subtasks in terminal industrial loads, the industrial parks could provide considerable flexibility for utility multi-energy systems to deal with contingencies. However, industrial parks may have multiple uncertainties originating from the production subtasks' variability, distributed renewable energy's fluctuation, and random failures of equipment. These uncertainties could make the flexibility assessment of industrial parks unreliable, which may further exacerbate utility system risks. To address the problem, this paper innovatively proposes the concept of probabilistic integrated flexible regions and corresponding characterization approaches, which can effectively describe the credible multi-energy adjustment ability of industrial parks. First, the energy-material flows in the industrial park are modeled considering multiple uncertainties while subject to constraints such as operating limits of equipment, energy and material balancing, and production targets. Then, the modeling and calculation methods of probabilistic integrated flexible regions are given. These regions are labeled with certain probability requirements and visualized in the input multi-energy space. Using a real-world test system that produces air conditioning equipment in China, the results show that the proposed model can effectively reflect the probability characteristics of the integrated flexibility under multiple uncertainties. For this test system, the area of a highly credible integrated flexibility, represented by the probabilistic integrated flexible region with 99% probability, is about half of that obtained by the deterministic model. That is, half of the integrated flexibility evaluated by the deterministic method in the test system may not be practically utilized considering the impacts of uncertainties. Therefore, the proposed method could provide a credible and comprehensive evaluation of the multi-energy industrial park's flexibility considering multiple uncertainties. • Exploiting the multi-energy(integrated) flexibility of industrial parks • Describing the probability characteristics of the integrated flexibility • Uncertainties in industrial parks shrink their integrated flexibility • Facilitating the interaction between demand and utility side in energy systems [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• In this simulation, the isolation valves of helium cooling system are assumed to be closed in the loss of off-site power accident, which is the worst scenario. The feasibility of removal of decay heat by thermal radiation after LOSP is investigated. • The effect of natural circulation in primary loop during accident, the influence of different power and available time of class III power supply (safety class) are analyzed separately, which provides data for the following design process. Helium Cooled Ceramic Breeder Test Blanket System (HCCB TBS) is proposed by China, which will be tested in ITER facility to validate the tritium breeding blanket technology. Test Blanket Module (TBM) is the core component associated with its helium cooling system (HCS) and other ancillary systems. The accident analysis is necessary during the preliminary design process, and the results obtained provide safety feedback to the following design work. Loss of Off-site Power (LOSP) is one of the design basis accidents (DBA), and is simulated using the best estimated code RELAP5 MOD3.4. For the safety simulation, besides the thermal conductive and convective model, the radiation model is adopted as well. The influence of the natural circulation of the HCS primary loop and the necessity of the Class III power supply (safety class) are discussed. The simulation results show that the peak temperature of the structure material exceeds the design temperature (550 °C) for short duration, which has almost no impact on the structure. In the meantime, the duration of the temperature over 550 °C drops sharply while the natural circulation and the Class III Power are considered. The results verify the integrity and the safety of the HCS primary loop during the LOSP accident. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]