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The first signs of influenza activity during the 2007/'08 influenza season in the Netherlands were sporadic isolations of influenza viruses between week 40 and week 52 of 2007. The frequency of virus isolations and clinical influenza activity increased after week 1 of 2008 and peaked around week 9. In this week, 7.2 patients with influenza-like illness were recorded per 10,000 inhabitants. The influenza epidemic was caused primarily by influenza A/H1N1 viruses and influenza B viruses. Two antigenically distinct variants of influenza A/H1N1 viruses were isolated, which resembled the 2007/'08 vaccine reference strain A/Solomon Islands/3/06 and the new vaccine reference strain A/Brisbane/59/07, respectively. The most remarkable finding was that 27% of the A/H1N1 viruses isolated in the Netherlands during the 2007/'08 epidemic were resistant to the neuraminidase inhibitor oseltamivir. The isolated influenza B viruses originated from the B/Yamagata/16/88 lineage and did not match the vaccine strain, which originated from a different and antigenically distinct lineage of influenza B viruses (B/Victoria/2/87). Only a small number of influenza A/H3N2 viruses was isolated, which were related to the vaccine strain for this subtype (A/Wisconsin/67/05). Thus in contrast to previous influenza seasons, A/H3N2 viruses did not play a major role in the 2007/'08 influenza season in the Netherlands. For the 2008/'09 influenza season, the World Health Organization has recommended the following vaccine composition: A/Brisbane/59/07 (H1N1), A/Brisbane/10/07 (H3N2) and B/Florida/4/06.

The influenza epidemic of 2006/'07 began late in the season, like the two previous influenza epidemics. In week 8 a peak of modest height was reached. As usual, the causal strains were mainly A/H3N2 viruses and to a lesser extent A/H1N1 and B viruses. A new A/H1N1 virus variant has emerged, an event that on average takes place only every 10 years. However, almost all A/H1N1 virus isolates belonged to the old variant and were similar to the vaccine virus. The A/H3N2 virus isolates appeared to deviate from the vaccine strain, but after antigenic cartographic analysis and correction for low avidity they proved also closely related to the vaccine strain. The few type B virus isolates belonged to the B/Yamagata/16/88 lineage, whereas the used B vaccine virus had been chosen from the B/Victoria/2/87 lineage. The vaccine therefore will have provided almost optimal protection against the circulating influenza A/H1N1 and A/H3N2 viruses but not against the influenza B viruses. For the 2007/'08 influenza season the World Health Organization has recommended the following vaccine composition: A/Solomon Islands/3/06 (H1N1) (new), A/Wisconsin/67/05 (H3N2), and B/Malaysia/2506/04.

The first sign of influenza activity in the Netherlands during the 2005-2006 influenza season was the isolation of influenza viruses in the last week of 2005. From Week 1 of 2006 onwards, an increase in clinical influenza activity was also observed that did not return to baseline levels until Week 15. Two waves of influenza activity were observed with peak incidences of 13.8 and 9.8 influenza-like illnesses per 10,000 inhabitants on Weeks 7 and 12, respectively. The first wave of influenza was caused primarily by influenza B viruses, whereas the second wave was caused predominantly by influenza A/H3N2 viruses. The influenza B viruses appeared to belong to two different phylogenetic lineages and were antigenically distinguishable from the vaccine strain. The isolated influenza A/H3N2 viruses were closely related to the vaccine strain for this subtype and only minor antigenic differences with the vaccine strain were observed for a limited number of isolates. Only a small number of influenza A/H1N1 viruses were isolated, which all closely resembled the H1N1 vaccine strain. For the 2006-2007 influenza season, the World Health Organization has recommended the following vaccine composition: A/Wisconsin/67/05 (H3N2), A/New Caledonia/20/99 (H1N1) and B/Malaysia/2506/05.

In the Netherlands, the influenza epidemic of the 2004/'05 season started late. The background value of 3 cases of an influenza-like illness per 10,000 inhabitants per week was exceeded from week 1 until week 14 of 2005. The magnitude of the epidemic was the largest of the last 5 years, namely 104 per 10,000 inhabitants. As usual, the epidemic was caused mainly by influenza-A viruses of subtype H3N2 and to a lesser degree by A/H1N1 and B viruses. The H3N2-virus isolates belonged to the newly emerged variant A/California/7/04, which deviated slightly from the vaccine strain used for the 2004/'05 season. The influenza-B and H1N1 viruses matched the corresponding vaccine viruses well. For the 2005/'06 season, the World Health Organization has recommended the following vaccine composition: A/California/7/04 (H3N2), A/New Caledonia/20/99 (HiNI), and B/Shanghai/361/02.

In February 2003, the highly pathogenic avian influenza-A virus, subtype H7N7, was the causative agent of a large outbreak of fowl plague in the Netherlands. Two days after visiting a poultry farm that was infected by fowl plague, a 57-year-old male veterinarian developed malaise, headache and fever. After 8 days he was admitted to hospital with signs of pneumonia. Five days later, his condition deteriorated alarmingly. Despite extensive pharmacotherapy he died 4 days later of acute pneumonia. Influenza-A virus, subtype H7N7, was identified by means of reverse transcriptase/PCR in broncho-alveolar washings that had been obtained earlier; routine virus culture yielded the isolate A/Nederland/219/03, which differs by 14 amino-acid substitutions from the first isolate in a chicken (A/kip/Nederland/1/03). Partly as a result of this case, the preventive measures were then adjusted; people who came into contact with infected poultry were given increased possibilities for vaccination and the administration of oseltamivir.

In contrast to the three previous influenza seasons, the influenza epidemic of the 2003/2004 season started early in week 49 of 2003. The epidemic was predominantly caused by influenza-A viruses of the H3N2 subtype. All isolated influenza-A viruses were antigenically related to influenza virus A/Fujian/411/02, which was already detected in the influenza season 2002/2003 and that deviated from the vaccine-reference strain A/Moscow/10/99 to a certain extent. The magnitude of the epidemic was limited despite the fact that it was caused by influenza-A H3N2-virus-drift variants. Immunity caused by natural infection with influenza viruses during previous seasons or vaccination has possibly provided sufficient cross protection against these new H3N2-drift variant. No influenza-A viruses of the H1N1 or H1N2 subtypes were detected in the influenza season 2003/2004. Only a small number of influenza-B viruses were isolated, which all belonged to the B/Yamagata/16/88 lineage, which was temporarily replaced by the B/Victoria2/87 lineage in the previous influenza season. On the basis of epidemiological and serological data the World Health Organization has recommended the following vaccine composition for the 2004/2005 influenza season: A/Fujian/411/02 (H3N2), A/New Caledonia/20/99 (H1N1) and B/Shanghai/361/02.

Recently two new neuraminidase inhibitors zanamivir and oseltamivir have been marketed. They appear to considerably reduce morbidity and mortality from influenza. Their adverse effects are infrequent and mild and the chance of development of pathogenically significant resistant mutants appears to be small. During the first six months of a pandemic, neuraminidase inhibitors are the only defence against the virus. It is therefore important to stockpile in each country sufficient quantities of these drugs. During the usual influenza epidemics the main value of neuraminidase inhibitors lies in their use for therapy, prophylaxis and post-exposure prophylaxis in long-term care institutions for the elderly (for prophylaxis only oseltamivir is licensed). Although data on the effectiveness against complications of influenza and on the effect on people with an increased risk of (fatal) complications as a result of an influenza virus infection are limited, the available information on the effects of the neuraminidinase inhibitors indicates that these drugs will also protect against complications and that high-risk groups will benefit from the rapid deployment of these products. The cost-effectiveness of treatment and post-exposure prophylaxis with neuraminidinase inhibitors is probably not favourable for healthy children and adults but seems to be favourable for the high-risk groups (vaccinated or not) in winter.

As in the 2000/2001 and 2001/2002 seasons, the influenza epidemic in the 2002/2003 season started late (week 7 of 2003) and was only moderate in size. Influenza A (H3N2) and B viruses were detected in equal numbers among patients of general practitioners and these two viruses were therefore equally responsible for the epidemic. However, H3N2 viruses dominated isolates taken from hospitals. In haemagglutination-inhibition (HI) assays most of the H3N2 viruses proved highly reactive with antiserum to the vaccine-reference strain A/Moscow/10/99. This was also true for a number of isolates, including those obtained from nursing home residents, closely related to the reference strain A/Finland/170/03. However, an estimated 4% of the H3N2 isolates belonged to the variant A/Fujian/411/02 from China, which constituted the majority of the H3N2 viruses isolated in Europe in the later phase of the season. This variant reacted poorly with antiserum to A/Moscow/10/99. In H1 tests all influenza A(H1N1)-virus isolates and all B-virus isolates were closelyrelated to the corresponding vaccine-reference strains. Taking this data into consideration, the World Health Organization has advised the same vaccine composition for the 2003/2004 season as for the 2002/2003 season, namely: A/Moscow/10/99 (H3N2), A/New Caledonia/20/99 (H1N1) and B/Hong Kong/330/01. There is the possibility of a mismatch occurring between the H3N2-vaccine strain and the circulating H3N2 viruses in the coming influenza season. In March and April 2003 there was an outbreak of influenza-A (H7N7) fowl plague in the Netherlands. A special monitoring survey revealed that 91 people who had handled infected poultry became infected with the H7N7 virus. One of these later died as a result of this. None of the avian and human H7N7-virus isolates examined contained human or porcine influenza-A virus genes.

The epidemic in the influenza season 2001/2002 was of moderate activity just like in 2000/2001. The influenza epidemic started in week 2 of 2002 when the clinical influenza activity reported by the general practitioner network of the Netherlands Institute of Primary Health Care (NIVEL) increased. This was caused by influenza A viruses of the H3N2 subtype in particular. All influenza A viruses of this subtype were closely related to the vaccine strain for this subtype, A/Moscow/10/99. Influenza B viruses and influenza A/H1 viruses isolated this season had surprising features. The influenza B viruses originated from two lineages. Viruses of the B/Yamagata/16/88 lineage have been circulating for more than twelve years. The vaccine reference strain B/Sichuan/379/99 belongs to this lineage. The B/Victoria/2/87 lineage reappeared again after an absence in Europe of more than ten years and accounted for 50% of the influenza B viruses that were isolated in the Netherlands. Therefore the vaccine will have provided only partial protection against influenza B. The only influenza A/H1 virus that was isolated appeared to be of a new subtype H1N2. The H1 hemagglutinin of this virus was closely related to that of the vaccine strain A/New Caledonia/20/99. The N2 neuraminidase originated from recent human influenza A/H3N2 viruses. Therefore the vaccine probably provided good protection against the new H1N2 subtype. Based in part on these data, the World Health Organization has advised that the vaccines for the season 2002/2003 should contain the following or comparable influenza-virus strains: A/Moscow/10/99 (H3N2), A/New Caledonia/20/99 (H1N1) and B/Hong Kong/330/01, the latter being an influenza B virus of the B/Victoria/2/87 lineage.

In the 2000/01 season, the size of the influenza epidemic in the Netherlands was exceptionally small. Since the start of the Continuous Morbidity Registration of the Netherlands Institute of Primary Health Care (NIVEL) in 1970, the peak incidence of influenza-like illnesses has never been so low. The aetiology of the epidemic was also unusual. Most remarkable was the relatively extensive circulation of subtype H1N1 and the low activity of subtype H3N2. The epidemic started in week 1 of 2001 and ended in week 8. The antigenic properties of the influenza A (H1N1) viruses closely resembled those of the vaccine strain A/New Caledonia/20/99. This new variant of subtype H1N1 was first isolated in Asia in 1995 and was only (sporadically) detected in the Netherlands in the 1999/2000 season. Phylogenetic analysis showed that these viruses represent a new line of subtype H1N1. Following the influenza-activity caused by H1N1 viruses in the 2000/01 season, a small number of B and H3N2 viruses were also isolated up to week 19. Antigenically, these viruses were identical to those obtained in the previous years. On the basis of the antigenetic analyses presented, it can be concluded that the vaccine provided good protection against the circulating influenza viruses in the 2000/01 season. The World Health Organization recommends that influenza vaccines intended for use in the 2001/02 season of the northern hemisphere should contain the following, or antigenically similar, strains: A/Moscow/10/99 (H3N2), A/New Caledonia/20/99 (H1N1), and B/Sichuan/379/99.

The first signs of influenza activity in the Netherlands during the 1999/2000 influenza season were the isolation of an influenza A (H3N2) virus in week 40 and of two more in week 43 of 1999. From week 50 onwards, a strong increase of the clinical influenza activity was observed which reached its peak in weeks 1 and 2 of 2000 and then rapidly declined. The clinical influenza activity was associated with the isolation of predominantly influenza A (H3N2) viruses. Near the end of the epidemic, influenza A (H1N1) and influenza B viruses were isolated sporadically. The antigenic properties of the influenza A (H3N2) viruses resembled those of the epidemic strains isolated in the previous season and the vaccine strain A/Sydney/5/97. This influenza season, influenza B viruses did not play a significant role and they matched the vaccine strain B/Yamanashi/166/98. In addition, a small number of influenza A (H1N1) viruses were isolated. Some of these viruses resembled the old variant of influenza A (H1N1) viruses, A/Bayern/7/95, whilst others showed a close antigenic relationship with the vaccine strain recommended for the next influenza season, A/New Caledonia/20/99. For the influenza season 2000/'01, it is recommended by the World Health Organization that the vaccines contain the following (or similar) virus strains: A/Moscow/10/99 (H3N2), A/New Caledonia/20/99 (H1N1) and B/Beijing/184/93.

The first indication of influenza activity in the Netherlands in the 1998/'99 season was the isolation of an influenza B virus in week 47 of 1998. In subsequent weeks influenza activity slowly increased, reaching a peak in week 6 of 1999. After a gradual decline for three weeks a second peak was reached in week 8 of 1999. The first wave of influenza activity was primarily caused by influenza B viruses, whereas during the second wave predominantly influenza A viruses of the A/H3N2 subtype were isolated. The antigenic properties of the influenza A viruses resembled those of the viruses isolated in the previous season and the vaccine strain A/Sydney/5/97. The influenza B viruses did not completely match with B/Harbin/7/94 which is most commonly used for vaccine production. The vaccine, however, did provide good protection against the epidemic strains of influenza. This season influenza A/H1N1 viruses did not play a significant part and only a small number of viruses of this subtype were isolated at the end of the season. For the influenza season 1999/2000 it is recommended by the World Health Organization that the vaccines contain the following (or similar) virus strains: A/Sydney/5/97 (H3N2), A/Beijing/262/95 (H1N1) and B/Beijing/184/93.

The circulation of numerous influenza virus subtypes in water birds constitutes a continuous threat with respect to emergence of a future influenza pandemic. The interspecies barrier is high but has already been breached 3 times this century, notably in 1918, 1957 and 1968. Still, it is impossible to predict when another pandemic will occur. Continuous and intensive surveillance of influenza viruses in man, pigs, and birds, especially in China, may provide the opportunity to prepare a vaccine timely in sufficient amounts, at least for the industrialised countries.