1. Analysis and Prospect of China's Power Supply and Demand Situation in 2021
- Author
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Guoqiang JI, Shanshan WU, Xiandong TAN, and Baoguo SHAN
- Subjects
power demand ,power supply ,power supply and demand situation ,Applications of electric power ,TK4001-4102 ,Production of electric energy or power. Powerplants. Central stations ,TK1001-1841 ,Science - Abstract
There are more and more uncertain factors affecting the power supply and demand situation in China. Studying and judging the power supply and demand situation in 2021 is of great significance to ensure the stable and healthy development of China's economy and society. Therefore, this paper combed the main factors affecting China's power demand and power supply in 2021, and analyzed the impact on power supply and demand from the aspects of international economy, domestic economy, key industries, climate and temperature, and power substitution. The economic trend, power demand and power supply of China in 2021 were forecasted, and on this basis, the national and regional power supply and demand situation were comprehensively studied and judged. It is estimated that the power consumption of the whole society in China will reach 8.22 trillion kW·h in 2021, and the growth rate will rebound significantly. By the end of 2021, the installed capacity of power generation in China is expected to reach 2.37 billion kW, of which the installed capacity of new energy is expected to account for more than 1/4. Moreover, the power supply and demand situation of China will be generally balanced in 2021, and there may be power supply and demand tension during peak hours in Central China and other regions.
- Published
- 2021
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