田海荣, 周演武, 钱欢, 黄忠华, 汤仙娥, 吕园园, 余意, 董晓娟, 何婵凤, 周艳娜, 金治娟, 季业, 李自云, 沈英娣, and 刘波
Objective To investigate the predictive effect of oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) blood glucose on gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in the second trimester of pregnancy. Methods A total of 840 pregnant women were prospectively recruited from Jin Shan Branch of Shanghai Sixth Peoples′ Hospital (Zhujing area of Shanghai) between January 1st, 2017 and December 31st, 2018. All subjects received 75 g OGTT test in initial antenatal examination (8-16 gestational week) and received GDM screening in the second trimester. GDM were divided into F‑GDM [only diagnosed by fasting plasma glucose (FPG)] and P‑GDM (diagnosed by OGTT 1hPG or 2hPG). Correlative relationship was analyzed between OGTT FPG, OGTT 2hPG in initial antenatal examination and OGTT FPG, OGTT 1hPG, OGTT 2hPG for GDM screening in the second trimester. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to predict F‑GDM with OGTT FPG and P‑GDM with OGTT 2hPG in initial antenatal examination, the optimal cut‑off points were found respectively. Then the cut‑off points were used as the diagnostic criteria of GDM in the first trimester of pregnancy. Diagnostic characteristics of GDM in initial antenatal examination and GDM in the middle stage were analyzed by four‑fold table. The t test was used for comparison between the two groups, Spearman correlation analysis was used for correlation, Fisher Z transformation method was used for correlation coefficient, and u test was used for comparison. Results (1) FPG in initial antenatal examination was correlated with FPG, OGTT 1hPG or OGTT 2hPG in the second trimester (r1, r2, r3 was 0.461, 0.146, 0.087, respectively, all P<0.05). However, the correlation between FPG in the first trimester of pregnancy and FPG in the second trimester of pregnancy was better (r1 vs r2, r1 vs r3, both P<0.05; r2 vs r3, P>0.05). OGTT 2hPG in initial antenatal examination was correlative with FPG, OGTT 1hPG or OGTT 2hPG in the second trimester (r4, r5, r6 was 0.201, 0.425, 0.436, respectively, all P<0.05). However, the correlation between OGTT 2hPG in initial antenatal examination and OGTT 1hPG or OGTT 2hPG in the second trimester of pregnancy was better (r4 vs r5, r4 vs r6, both P<0.05; r5 vs r6, P>0.05). (2) The maximum area under the ROC curve of F‑GDM predicted by FPG in initial antenatal examination was 0.781 (95%CI: 0.734-0.829, P<0.001), and the optimal cut‑off of FPG was 4.95 mmol / L, the sensitivity was 67.3%, and the specificity was 74.4%. The maximum area under the ROC curve of P‑GDM predicted by OGTT 2hPG in initial antenatal examination was 0.790 (95%CI: 0.742-0.839, P<0.001), the optimal cut‑off of OGTT 2hPG was 7.595 mmol/L, the sensitivity was 67.9%, and the specificity was 80.8%. (3) Compared with GDM in the second trimester, GDM in initial antenatal examination diagnosed with these two cut‑off values, the sensitivity was 78.0%, and the specificity was 60.7%, the positive predictive value was 33.2%, and the negative predictive value was 91.7%. Conclusions OGTT may be used to screen GDM in initial antenatal examination, FPG≥5.0 mmol/L and OGTT 2hPG≥7.6 mmol/L may be used as a reference value for abnormal blood glucose at the beginning of pregnancy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]