2 results
Search Results
2. Research on an Urban River Water Level Prediction Based on GA-BP Neural Network Model.
- Author
-
JIANG Shuang-lin, WANG Chao, CHEN Yang, and LIAO Wei-hong
- Subjects
WATER levels ,MUNICIPAL water supply ,URBAN research ,GAUSSIAN function ,RAINFALL ,PREDICTION models - Abstract
The prediction of urban river water level is of great significance to the risk management of urban waterlogging. Traditional numerical simulation models have low computational efficiency and are unable to perform real-time calculations. In response to the above issues, this paper proposes a channel water level prediction model based on Gaussian function improved BP neural network, which solves the problems of low prediction accuracy and slow convergence speed in error flat areas of the BP neural network model. This method utilizes the Gaussian function to improve the gradient descent algorithm of the BP neural network, sets different learning rates for different weights and threshold values of the model, and optimizes each parameter accordingly, which can effectively accelerate the training efficiency of the BP neural network model. In response to the problem of slow convergence speed of the model in error flat areas, the paper uses the Gaussian function to increase the learning rate of the gradient descent algorithm in error flat areas, and to control the learning rate of the gradient descent algorithm when the error is serious, which can effectively accelerate the convergence speed of the BP neural network model in error flat areas. This paper takes 6 river water level measurement stations in Jin an District, Fuzhou City as the research object, constructs a GA-BP neural network river water level prediction model for urban river water level prediction, and explores the impact of different rainfall input forms on the accuracy of river water level prediction. The results show that the GA-BP neural network can effectively improve the convergence speed and model prediction accuracy of the BP neural network in error flat areas. The Nash Efficiency Coefficient (NSE) of the experimental set prediction is above 0.8, and the relative error of the predicted peak water level can be controlled within 5%. The input of rainfall in the form of hourly rainfall can increase the predicted NSE to over 0.9. Research has shown that using Gaussian function to improve the BP neural network model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of the model, which is of great significance to improving urban river water level prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
Discovery Service for Jio Institute Digital Library
For full access to our library's resources, please sign in.