An accurate runoff prediction is the prerequisite for the optimal allocation and efficient utilization of water resources, and the basis for making flood control and disaster reduction decisions. However, due to the influence of human activities, environment, climate and other actors, runoff series show nonlinear, unsteady and multi-scale changes, which increases the difficulty of accurate runoff prediction. In order to improve the accuracy and credibility of runoff prediction, this paper combines the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) method. Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO), Broad Learning System (BLS) model, a combined runoff prediction model based on CEEEDAN-QPSO-BLS is proposed. Firstly, CEEMDAN method is used to decompose the original runoff signal to obtain several relatively stationary intrinsic mode components. Secondly, the QPSO algorithm is used to optimize the number of node groups in the feature layer, the number of node groups in the enhancement layer and the number of nodes in the group of BLS model, and the optimal topology structure of the width learning network is obtained. Then, the optimal QPSO-BLS is used to predict multiple steady-state components, and the prediction components are reconstructed so as to obtain higher prediction accuracy. In this model, the daily runoff value of Xiaolangdi Reservoir in the Yellow River Basin is used as the experimental data, and EMD-QPSO-BLS and QPSO-BLS are used as the comparison model of CEEMDAN-QPSO-BLS. Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Per centage Error (MAPE) are used to evaluate the reliability and accuracy of the model prediction. The experimental results show that, compared with QPSO-BLS with EMD-QPSO-BLS models, the prediction accuracy of CEEMDAN-QPSO-BLS is improved by 79.87% and 19.80%, and the credibility is improved by 131.2% and 10.98%, respectively. This paper provides decision-making support for flood control and drought relief to protect people s lives and property and sustainable development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]