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Objective: We have previously established that a logistic regression model, based on maternal demographic characteristics and blood pressure measured at 11-13 weeks' gestation, can identify about 70% of women who develop future chronic hypertension (CH) in the 3 years following pregnancy, at a screen-positive rate of 10%. Furthermore, in midgestation, women who subsequently develop hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) have increased peripheral vascular resistance and mild cardiac functional and morphological alterations and these cardiovascular abnormalities persist for at least 2 years after delivery. In this study, we set out to examine whether use of the first-trimester risk model for subsequent development of CH can help to identify women at high risk for cardiovascular maladaptation in midgestation., Methods: This was a prospective observational study of 3812 women with singleton pregnancy attending for a routine hospital visit at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation and again at 19 + 1 to 23 + 3 weeks at King's College Hospital, London, UK, between December 2019 and August 2020. The first-trimester visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and measurement of systolic and diastolic blood pressure. In midgestation, detailed maternal cardiovascular assessment was carried out. The association between risk for development of CH, determined from first-trimester assessment, and cardiovascular indices in midgestation was examined., Results: Women who were at high risk for development of future CH, compared to those at low risk, had a higher incidence of HDP. In addition, high-risk women had reduced systolic and diastolic function in midgestation. Among women with HDP, those who were at high risk for future CH, compared to those at low risk, had worse cardiac function in midgestation., Conclusions: Use of a model for first-trimester prediction of subsequent development of CH can identify women who show evidence of cardiac maladaptation in midgestation. Further studies are needed to clarify whether women who screen as high risk for future CH, compared to those at low risk, have reduced cardiac function beyond pregnancy. © 2024 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2024 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: First, to evaluate the predictive performance for preterm growth-related neonatal morbidity of a high soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1)/placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio or low PlGF at midgestation and, second, to compare the performance of a high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF with that of the competing-risks model for small-for-gestational age (SGA), utilizing a combination of maternal risk factors, sonographic estimated fetal weight and uterine artery pulsatility index., Methods: This was a prospective observational study in women attending for a routine hospital visit at 19-24 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in England. The visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, carrying out an ultrasound scan and measuring serum PlGF and sFlt-1. The primary outcome was delivery < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th or < 3 rd percentile, combined with neonatal unit (NNU) admission for ≥ 48 h or a composite of major neonatal morbidity. The detection rates in screening by PlGF < 10 th percentile, sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 90 th percentile and the competing-risks model for SGA were estimated and then compared using McNemar's test., Results: In the study population of 40 241 women, prediction of preterm growth-related neonatal morbidity provided by the competing-risks model for SGA was superior to that of screening by low PlGF concentration or high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio. For example, at a screen-positive rate of 10.0%, as defined by the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 90 th percentile, the competing-risks model predicted 70.1% (95% CI, 61.0-79.2%) of SGA < 10 th percentile and 76.9% (95% CI, 67.6-86.3%) of SGA < 3 rd percentile with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h delivered < 32 weeks' gestation. The respective values for SGA with major neonatal morbidity were 73.8% (95% CI, 64.4-83.2%) and 77.9% (95% CI, 68.0-87.8%). These were significantly higher than the respective values of 35.1% (95% CI, 25.6-44.6%), 35.9% (95% CI, 25.3-46.5%), 38.1% (95% CI, 27.7-48.5%) and 39.7% (95% CI, 28.1-51.3%) achieved by the application of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 90 th percentile (all P < 0.0001)., Conclusion: At midgestation, the prediction of growth-related neonatal morbidity by the competing-risks model for SGA is superior to that of a high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: First, to describe the distribution of biomarkers of impaired placentation in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) pregnancies with neonatal morbidity; second, to examine the predictive performance for growth-related neonatal morbidity of a high soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1)/placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio or low PlGF; and, third, to compare the performance of a high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF with that of the competing-risks model for SGA in predicting growth-related neonatal morbidity., Methods: This was a prospective observational study of women attending for a routine hospital visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in England. The visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, an ultrasound scan and measurement of serum PlGF and sFlt-1. The primary outcome was delivery within 4 weeks after assessment and at < 42 weeks' gestation of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th or < 3 rd percentile, combined with neonatal unit (NNU) admission for ≥ 48 h or a composite of major neonatal morbidity. The detection rates in screening by PlGF < 10 th percentile, sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 90 th percentile, sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 38 and the competing-risks model for SGA, using combinations of maternal risk factors and Z-scores of estimated fetal weight (EFW) with multiples of the median values of uterine artery pulsatility index, PlGF and sFlt-1, were estimated. The detection rates by the different methods of screening were compared using McNemar's test., Results: In the study population of 29 035 women, prediction of growth-related neonatal morbidity at term provided by the competing-risks model was superior to that of screening by low PlGF concentration or a high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio. For example, at a screen-positive rate (SPR) of 13.1%, as defined by the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 38, the competing-risks model using maternal risk factors and EFW predicted 77.5% (95% CI, 71.7-83.3%) of SGA < 10 th percentile and 89.3% (95% CI, 83.7-94.8%) of SGA < 3 rd percentile with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h delivered within 4 weeks after assessment. The respective values for SGA with major neonatal morbidity were 71.4% (95% CI, 56.5-86.4%) and 90.0% (95% CI, 76.9-100%). These were significantly higher than the respective values of 41.0% (95% CI, 34.2-47.8%) (P < 0.0001), 48.8% (95% CI, 39.9-57.7%) (P < 0.0001), 37.1% (95% CI, 21.1-53.2%) (P = 0.003) and 55.0% (95% CI, 33.2-76.8%) (P = 0.035) achieved by the application of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 38. At a SPR of 10.0%, as defined by PlGF < 10 th percentile, the competing-risks model using maternal factors and EFW predicted 71.5% (95% CI, 65.2-77.8%) of SGA < 10 th percentile and 84.3% (95% CI, 77.8-90.8%) of SGA < 3 rd percentile with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h delivered within 4 weeks after assessment. The respective values for SGA with major neonatal morbidity were 68.6% (95% CI, 53.1-83.9%) and 85.0% (95% CI, 69.4-100%). These were significantly higher than the respective values of 36.5% (95% CI, 29.8-43.2%) (P < 0.0001), 46.3% (95% CI, 37.4-55.2%) (P < 0.0001), 37.1% (95% CI, 21.1-53.2%) (P = 0.003) and 55.0% (95% CI, 33.2-76.8%) (P = 0.021) achieved by the application of PlGF < 10 th percentile., Conclusion: At 36 weeks' gestation, the prediction of growth-related neonatal morbidity by the competing-risks model for SGA, using maternal risk factors and EFW, is superior to that of a high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To compare morbidity, as measured by length of stay in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), in twin and singleton gestations classified as small-for-gestational age (SGA) according to estimated fetal weight < 10 th percentile on twin or singleton growth charts., Methods: NICU length of stay was compared in 1150 twins and 29 035 singletons that underwent ultrasound assessment between 35 + 0 and 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Estimated fetal weight was obtained from measurements of head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using the Hadlock formula. Gestational age was derived from the first-trimester crown-rump length measurement, using the larger of the two twins. Singletons and twins were compared in terms of NICU admission rate and length of stay according to classification as SGA by the Fetal Medicine Foundation singleton and twin reference distributions., Results: The overall proportions of twins and singletons admitted to NICU were similar (7.3% vs 7.4%), but twins tended to have longer lengths of stay in NICU (≥ 7 days: 2.4% vs 0.8%; relative risk (RR), 3.0 (95% CI, 1.6-4.4)). Using the singleton chart, a higher proportion of twins were classified as SGA compared with singletons (37.6% vs 7.0%). However, the proportion of SGA neonates entering NICU was similar (10.2% for twins and 10.1% for singletons) and the proportion of SGA neonates spending ≥ 7 days in NICU was substantially higher for twins compared with singletons (3.7% vs 1.4%; RR, 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4-4.7))., Conclusions: When singleton charts are used to define SGA in twins and in singletons, there is a greater degree of growth-related neonatal morbidity amongst SGA twins compared with SGA singletons. Consequently, singleton charts do not inappropriately overdiagnose fetal growth restriction in twins and they should be used for monitoring fetal growth in both twins and singletons. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To derive reference distributions of estimated fetal weight (EFW) in twins relative to singletons., Methods: Gestational-age- and chorionicity-specific reference distributions for singleton percentiles and EFW were fitted to data on 4391 twin pregnancies with two liveborn fetuses from four European centers, including 3323 dichorionic (DC) and 1068 monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) twin pregnancies. Gestational age was derived using the larger of the two crown-rump length measurements obtained during the first trimester of pregnancy. EFW was obtained from ultrasound measurements of head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using the Hadlock formula. Singleton percentiles were obtained using the Fetal Medicine Foundation population weight charts for singleton pregnancies. Hierarchical models were fitted to singleton Z-scores with autoregressive terms for serial correlations within the same fetus and between twins from the same pregnancy. Separate models were fitted for DC and MCDA twins., Results: Fetuses from twin pregnancies tended to be smaller than singletons at the earliest gestational ages (16 weeks for MCDA and 20 weeks for DC twins). This was followed by a period of catch-up growth until around 24 weeks. After that, both DC and MCDA twins showed reduced growth. In DC twins, the EFW corresponding to the 50 th percentile was at the 50 th percentile of singleton pregnancies at 23 weeks, the 43 rd percentile at 28 weeks, the 32 nd percentile at 32 weeks and the 22 nd percentile at 36 weeks. In MCDA twins, the EFW corresponding to the 50 th percentile was at the 36 th percentile of singleton pregnancies at 24 weeks, the 29 th percentile at 28 weeks, the 19 th percentile at 32 weeks and the 12 th percentile at 36 weeks., Conclusions: In DC and, to a greater extent, MCDA twin pregnancies, fetal growth is reduced compared with that observed in singleton pregnancies. Furthermore, after 24 weeks, the divergence in growth trajectories between twin and singleton pregnancies becomes more pronounced as gestational age increases. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: First, to examine the predictive performance of maternal serum glycosylated fibronectin (GlyFn) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in screening for delivery with pre-eclampsia (PE) and delivery with gestational hypertension (GH) at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, both within 3 weeks and at any time after the examination. Second, to compare the predictive performance for delivery with PE and delivery with GH of various combinations of biomarkers, including GlyFn, mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1). Third, to compare the predictive performance for delivery with PE and delivery with GH by serum PlGF concentration, sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio and the competing-risks model with different combinations of biomarkers as above. Fourth, to compare the predictive performance of screening at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks vs 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks for delivery with PE and delivery with GH at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation., Methods: This was a case-control study in which maternal serum GlyFn was measured in stored samples from a non-intervention screening study in singleton pregnancies at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation using a point-of-care device. We used samples from women who delivered at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, including 100 who developed PE, 100 who developed GH and 600 controls who did not develop PE or GH. In all cases, MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1 were measured during the routine visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks. We used samples from patients that had been examined previously at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation. Levels of GlyFn were transformed to multiples of the expected median (MoM) values after adjusting for maternal demographic characteristics and elements from the medical history. Similarly, the measured values of MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1 were converted to MoM. The competing-risks model was used to combine the prior distribution of the gestational age at delivery with PE, obtained from maternal risk factors, with various combinations of biomarker MoM values to derive the patient-specific risks of delivery with PE. The performance of screening of different strategies was estimated by examining the detection rate (DR) at a 10% fixed false-positive rate (FPR) and McNemar's test was used to compare the DRs between the different methods of screening., Results: The DR, at 10% FPR, of screening by the triple test (maternal risk factors plus MAP, PlGF and sFlt-1) was 83.7% (95% CI, 70.3-92.7%) for delivery with PE within 3 weeks of screening and 80.0% (95% CI, 70.8-87.3%) for delivery with PE at any time after screening, and this performance was not improved by the addition of GlyFn. The performance of screening by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP, PlGF and GlyFn was similar to that of the triple test, both for delivery with PE within 3 weeks and at any time after screening. The performance of screening by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP, UtA-PI and GlyFn was similar to that of the triple test, and they were both superior to screening by low PlGF concentration (PE within 3 weeks: DR, 65.3% (95% CI, 50.4-78.3%); PE at any time: DR, 56.0% (95% CI, 45.7-65.9%)) or high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio (PE within 3 weeks: DR, 73.5% (95% CI, 58.9-85.1%); PE at any time: DR, 63.0% (95% CI, 52.8-72.4%)). The predictive performance of screening at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for delivery with PE and delivery with GH at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was by far superior to screening at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks., Conclusion: GlyFn is a potentially useful biomarker in third-trimester screening for term PE and term GH, but the findings of this case-control study need to be validated by prospective screening studies. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To compare the predictive performance for delivery with pre-eclampsia (PE) within 2 weeks of assessment in women with chronic hypertension at 24-41 weeks' gestation between serum glycosylated fibronectin (GlyFn) concentration, serum placental growth factor (PlGF) concentration and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) to PlGF concentration ratio., Methods: This was a prospective study of 104 women with a singleton pregnancy and chronic hypertension presenting at 24-41 weeks' gestation. Twenty-six (25.0%) cases developed superimposed PE within 2 weeks of sampling. We compared the predictive performance for superimposed PE between GlyFn, PlGF and the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio at a fixed screen-positive rate of approximately 10%., Results: The median gestational age at sampling was 34.1 (interquartile range, 31.5-35.6) weeks and 84.6% (88/104) of cases were sampled at < 36 weeks. The predictive performance for superimposed PE of the three methods of screening was similar, with detection rates of about 23-27%, at a screen-positive rate of 11% and a false-positive rate of about 5%., Conclusions: Measurement of GlyFn is a simple point-of-care test that can be carried out without need for a laboratory and provide results within 10 min of testing. In this respect, it could potentially replace the angiogenic markers that are used currently in the prediction of imminent PE in high-risk women. However, neither GlyFn nor angiogenic factors are likely to improve the management of women with chronic hypertension because their predictive performance for superimposed PE is poor. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To examine the performance of screening for preterm and term pre-eclampsia (PE) at 11-13 weeks' gestation by maternal factors and combinations of maternal serum glycosylated fibronectin (GlyFn), mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and serum placental growth factor (PlGF)., Methods: This was a case-control study in which maternal serum GlyFn was measured using a point-of-care device in stored samples from a non-intervention screening study of singleton pregnancies at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation. In the same samples, PlGF was measured by time-resolved fluorometry. We used samples from women who delivered with PE at < 37 weeks' gestation (n = 100), PE at ≥ 37 weeks (n = 100), gestational hypertension (GH) at < 37 weeks (n = 100), GH at ≥ 37 weeks (n = 100) and 1000 normotensive controls with no pregnancy complications. In all cases, MAP and UtA-PI had been measured during the routine 11-13-week visit. Levels of GlyFn were transformed to multiples of the expected median (MoM) values after adjusting for maternal demographic characteristics and elements of medical history. Similarly, the measured values of MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF were converted to MoMs. The competing-risks model was used to combine the prior distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE, obtained from maternal characteristics, with various combinations of biomarker MoM values to derive the patient-specific risks of delivery with PE or GH at < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation. Screening performance was estimated by examining the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and detection rate (DR) at 10% fixed false-positive rate (FPR)., Results: The maternal characteristics and elements of medical history with a significant effect on the measurement of GlyFn were maternal age, weight, height, race, smoking status and history of PE. In pregnancies that developed PE, GlyFn MoM was increased and the deviation from normal decreased with increasing gestational age at delivery. The DR and AUC of screening for delivery with PE at < 37 weeks' gestation by maternal factors alone were 50% and 0.834, respectively, and these increased to 80% and 0.949, respectively, when maternal risk factors were combined with MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF (triple test). The performance of the triple test was similar to that of screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and GlyFn (DR, 79%; AUC, 0.946) and that of screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, PlGF and GlyFn (DR, 81%; AUC, 0.932). The performance of screening for delivery with PE at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation was poor; the DR for screening by maternal factors alone was 35% and increased to only 39% with use of the triple test. Similar results were obtained when GlyFn replaced PlGF or UtA-PI in the triple test. The DR of screening for GH with delivery at < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation by maternal factors alone was 34% and 25%, respectively, and increased to 54% and 31%, respectively, with use of the triple test. Similar results were obtained when GlyFn replaced PlGF or UtA-PI in the triple test., Conclusions: GlyFn is a potentially useful biomarker in first-trimester screening for preterm PE, but the findings of this case-control study need to be validated by prospective screening studies. The performance of screening for term PE or GH at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation by any combination of biomarkers is poor. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To compare the performance at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation of screening for delivery with pre-eclampsia (PE) at various timepoints, using one of three approaches: placental growth factor (PlGF) concentration, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) to PlGF concentration ratio, or the competing-risks model, which combines maternal risk factors with biomarkers to estimate patient-specific risk., Methods: This was a prospective observational study of women attending for a routine hospital visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation at one of two maternity hospitals in England between 2016 and 2022. During the visit, maternal demographic characteristics and medical history were recorded and serum PlGF, serum sFlt-1 and mean arterial pressure (MAP) were measured. Detection rates (DRs) were evaluated for delivery with PE (defined as per American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists 2019 criteria) within 1 week, within 2 weeks or at any time after screening, using the following strategies: (i) low PlGF (< 10 th percentile); (ii) high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio (> 90 th percentile); or (iii) the competing-risks model, in which maternal factors were combined with multiples of the median values of PlGF ('single test'), PlGF and sFlt-1 ('double test') or PlGF, sFlt-1 and MAP ('triple test'). Risk cut-offs corresponded to a screen-positive rate of 10%. DRs were compared between tests., Results: Of 34 782 pregnancies, 831 (2.4%) developed PE. In screening for delivery with PE at any time from assessment, the DR at 10% screen-positive rate was 47% by low PlGF alone, 54% by the single test, 55% by high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio, 61% by the double test and 68% by the triple test. In screening for delivery with PE within 2 weeks from assessment, the respective values were 67%, 74%, 74%, 80% and 87%. In screening for delivery with PE within 1 week from assessment, the respective values were 77%, 81%, 85%, 88% and 91%. For prediction of PE at any time, the DR was significantly higher with the triple test compared to PlGF alone or the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio, with a DR difference (95% CI) of 20.1% (16.7-23.0%) and 12.4% (9.7-15.3%), respectively. Similar results were seen for prediction of PE within 2 weeks (20.6% (14.9-26.8%) and 12.9% (7.7-17.5%), respectively) and prediction of PE within 1 week (13.5% (5.4-21.6%) and 5.4% (0.0-10.8%), respectively). The double test was superior to the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio and the single test was superior to PlGF alone in the prediction of PE within 2 weeks and at any time from assessment, but not within 1 week of assessment., Conclusion: At 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, the performance of screening for PE by the competing-risks model triple test is superior to that of PlGF alone or the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio for the development of disease within 1 week, within 2 weeks and at any time from screening. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: First, to investigate the association between adverse neonatal outcomes and birth weight and gestational age at delivery. Second, to describe the distribution of adverse neonatal outcomes within different risk strata derived by a population stratification scheme based on the midgestation risk assessment for small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates using a competing-risks model., Methods: This was a prospective observational cohort study in women with a singleton pregnancy attending a routine hospital visit at 19 + 0 to 23 + 6 weeks' gestation. The incidence of neonatal unit (NNU) admission for ≥ 48 h was evaluated within different birth-weight-percentile subgroups. The pregnancy-specific risk of delivery with SGA < 10 th percentile at < 37 weeks was estimated by the competing-risks model for SGA, combining maternal factors and the likelihood functions of Z-score of sonographically estimated fetal weight and uterine artery pulsatility index multiples of the median. The population was stratified into six risk categories: > 1 in 4, > 1 in 10 to ≤ 1 in 4, > 1 in 30 to ≤ 1 in 10, > 1 in 50 to ≤ 1 in 30, > 1 in 100 to ≤ 1 in 50 and ≤ 1 in 100. The outcome measures were admission to the NNU for a minimum of 48 h, perinatal death and major neonatal morbidity. The incidence of each adverse outcome was estimated in each risk stratum., Results: In the study population of 40 241 women, 0.8%, 2.5%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 19.0% and 56.7% were in the risk strata > 1 in 4, > 1 in 10 to ≤ 1 in 4, > 1 in 30 to ≤ 1 in 10, > 1 in 50 to ≤ 1 in 30, > 1 in 100 to ≤ 1 in 50 and ≤ 1 in 100, respectively. Women in higher-risk strata were more likely to deliver a baby that suffered an adverse outcome. The incidence of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h was highest in the > 1 in 4 risk stratum (31.9% (95% CI, 26.9-36.9%)) and it gradually decreased until the ≤ 1 in 100 risk stratum (5.6% (95% CI, 5.3-5.9%)). The mean gestational age at delivery in SGA cases with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h was 32.9 (95% CI, 32.2-33.7) weeks for risk stratum > 1 in 4 and progressively increased to 37.5 (95% CI, 36.8-38.2) weeks for risk stratum ≤ 1 in 100. The incidence of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h was highest for neonates with birth weight below the 1 st percentile (25.7% (95% CI, 23.0-28.5%)) and decreased progressively until the 25 th to < 75 th percentile interval (5.4% (95% CI, 5.1-5.7%)). Preterm SGA neonates < 10 th percentile had significantly higher incidence of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h compared with preterm non-SGA neonates (48.7% (95% CI, 45.0-52.4%) vs 40.9% (95% CI, 38.5-43.3%); P < 0.001). Similarly, term SGA neonates < 10 th percentile had significantly higher incidence of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h compared with term non-SGA neonates (5.8% (95% CI, 5.1-6.5%) vs 4.2% (95% CI, 4.0-4.4%); P < 0.001)., Conclusions: Birth weight has a continuous association with the incidence of adverse neonatal outcomes, which is affected by gestational age. Pregnancies at high risk of SGA, estimated at midgestation, are also at increased risk for adverse neonatal outcomes. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: The mechanism by which aspirin prevents pre-eclampsia is poorly understood, and its effects on biomarkers throughout pregnancy are unknown. We aimed to investigate the effects of aspirin on mean arterial pressure (MAP) and mean uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) using repeated measures from women at increased risk of preterm pre-eclampsia., Methods: This was a longitudinal secondary analysis of the Combined Multimarker Screening and Randomized Patient Treatment with Aspirin for Evidence-Based Pre-eclampsia Prevention (ASPRE) trial using repeated measures of MAP and UtA-PI. In the trial, 1620 women at increased risk of preterm pre-eclampsia were identified using the Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithm at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks, of whom 798 were randomly assigned to receive 150 mg/day aspirin and 822 were assigned to receive placebo daily from 11-14 weeks to 36 weeks of gestation or delivery, whichever came first. MAP and UtA-PI were measured at baseline and follow-up visits at 19-24, 32-34 and 36 weeks of gestation. Generalized additive mixed models with treatment by gestational age interaction terms were used to investigate the effects of aspirin on MAP and UtA-PI trajectories over time., Results: Among 798 participants in the aspirin group and 822 in the placebo group, there were 5951 MAP and 5942 UtA-PI measurements. Trajectories of raw and multiples of the median (MoM) values of MAP did not differ significantly between the two groups (MAP MoM analysis: P-value for treatment by gestational age interaction, 0.340). In contrast, trajectories of raw and MoM values of UtA-PI showed a significantly steeper decline in the aspirin group than in the placebo group, with the difference mainly driven by a more pronounced reduction before 20 weeks of gestation (UtA-PI MoM analysis: P-value for treatment by gestational age interaction, 0.006)., Conclusions: In women at increased risk of preterm pre-eclampsia, 150 mg/day aspirin initiated in the first trimester does not affect MAP but is associated with a significant decrease in mean UtA-PI, particularly before 20 weeks of gestation. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: To examine the relationship between the English index of multiple deprivation (IMD) and the incidence of stillbirth and assess whether IMD contributes to the prediction of stillbirth provided by the combination of maternal demographic characteristics and elements of medical history., Methods: This was a prospective, observational study of 159 125 women with a singleton pregnancy who attended their first routine hospital visit at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in the UK. The inclusion criterion was delivery at ≥ 24 weeks' gestation of a fetus without major abnormality. Participants completed a questionnaire on demographic characteristics and obstetric and medical history. IMD was used as a measure of socioeconomic status, which takes into account income, employment, education, skills and training, health and disability, crime, barriers to housing and services, and living environment. Each neighborhood is ranked according to its level of deprivation relative to that of other areas into one of five equal groups, with Quintile 1 containing the 20% most deprived areas and Quintile 5 containing the 20% least deprived areas. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether IMD provided a significant independent contribution to stillbirth after adjustment for known maternal risk factors., Results: The overall incidence of stillbirth was 0.35% (551/159 125), and this was significantly higher in the most deprived compared with the least deprived group (Quintile 1 vs Quintile 5). The odds ratio (OR) in Quintile 1 was 1.57 (95% CI, 1.16-2.14) for any stillbirth, 1.64 (95% CI, 1.20-2.28) for antenatal stillbirth and 1.89 (95% CI, 1.23-2.98) for placental dysfunction-related stillbirth. In Quintile 1 (vs Quintile 5), there was a higher incidence of factors that contribute to stillbirth, including black race, increased body mass index, smoking, chronic hypertension and previous stillbirth. The OR of black (vs white) race was 2.58 (95% CI, 2.14-3.10) for any stillbirth, 2.62 (95% CI, 2.16-3.17) for antenatal stillbirth and 3.34 (95% CI, 2.59-4.28) for placental dysfunction-related stillbirth. Multivariate analysis showed that IMD did not have a significant contribution to the prediction of stillbirth provided by maternal race and other maternal risk factors. In contrast, in black (vs white) women, the risk of any and antenatal stillbirth was 2.4-fold higher and the risk of placental dysfunction-related stillbirth was 2.9-fold higher after adjustment for other maternal risk factors., Conclusions: The incidence of stillbirth, particularly placental dysfunction-related stillbirth, is higher in women living in the most deprived areas in South East England. However, in screening for stillbirth, inclusion of IMD does not improve the prediction provided by race, other maternal characteristics and elements of medical history. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: To examine the relationship between the English index of multiple deprivation (IMD) and the incidence of pre-eclampsia (PE), evaluate the distribution of IMD in a cohort of ethnically diverse pregnant women in South East England and assess whether IMD improves the prediction of PE compared with that provided by the 'history-only' competing-risks model (based on maternal characteristics and medical history)., Methods: This was a prospective, observational study of 159 125 women with a singleton pregnancy who attended their first routine hospital visit at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in the UK. The inclusion criteria were delivery at ≥ 24 weeks' gestation of babies without major abnormality. Participants completed a questionnaire on demographic characteristics and obstetric and medical history, which was then reviewed by a doctor together with the woman. Patients were asked to self-identify as white, black, South Asian, East Asian or mixed race. IMD was used as a measure of socioeconomic status, which takes into account income, employment, education, skills and training, health and disability, crime, barriers to housing and services, and living environment. Each neighborhood is ranked according to their level of deprivation relative to that of other areas into one of five equal groups, with Quintile 1 containing the 20% most deprived areas and Quintile 5 containing the 20% least deprived areas. IMD was assigned based on a woman's postcode. Risk factors for PE and its incidence were assessed across IMD using chi-square test or t-test, as appropriate. The relationship between IMD and gestational age at delivery with PE was evaluated by fitting parametric survival models for IMD alone, IMD combined with race and IMD combined with the Fetal Medicine Foundation history-only competing-risks model., Results: The incidence of PE (n = 4088, 2.6%) increased progressively across IMD quintiles, from 2.0% in Quintile 5 (least deprived) to 3.0% in Quintile 1 (most deprived). Compared with white women and those in other racial groups, black women had a higher incidence of PE (4.8%), were less often in IMD Quintiles 4 and 5, and were more often in IMD Quintiles 1 and 2. None of the IMD quintiles improved the prediction of PE compared with that provided by the history-only competing-risks model (which includes race). The history-only competing-risks model with vs without IMD had a similar detection rate for delivery with PE at < 37 weeks' gestation (44.1% (95% CI, 41.1-47.2%) vs 43.9% (95% CI, 40.1-47.0%)) and at any gestational age (35.2% (95% CI, 33.8-36.7%) vs 35.1% (95% CI, 33.7-36.6%)), at a 10% screen-positive rate., Conclusions: The incidence of PE is higher in women living in the most deprived areas in South East England and in black women (vs those of other racial groups), who also live in areas of higher deprivation. However, in screening for PE, inclusion of IMD does not improve the prediction of PE provided by race and other maternal characteristics and elements of medical history. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To evaluate the accuracy of predicting the risk of developing pre-eclampsia (PE) according to first-trimester maternal demographic characteristics, medical history and biomarkers using artificial-intelligence and machine-learning methods., Methods: The data were derived from prospective non-interventional screening for PE at 11-13 weeks' gestation at two maternity hospitals in the UK. The data were divided into three subsets. The first set, including 30 437 subjects, was used to develop the training process, the second set of 10 000 subjects was utilized to optimize the machine-learning hyperparameters and the third set of 20 352 subjects was coded and used for model validation. An artificial neural network was used to predict from the demographic characteristics and medical history the prior risk that was then combined with biomarker values to determine the risk of PE and preterm PE with delivery at < 37 weeks' gestation. An additional network was trained without including race as input. Biomarkers included uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), mean arterial blood pressure (MAP), placental growth factor (PlGF) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A. All markers were entered using raw values without conversion into standardized multiples of the median. The prediction accuracy was estimated using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC). We further computed the detection rate at 10%, 20% and 40% false-positive rates (FPR). The impact of taking aspirin was also added. Shapley values were calculated to evaluate the contribution of each parameter to the prediction of risk. We used a non-parametric test to compare the expected AUC with the one obtained when we randomly scrambled the labels and kept the predictions. For the general prediction, we performed 10 000 permutations of the labels. When the AUC was higher than the one obtained in all 10 000 permutations, we reported a P-value of < 0.0001. For the race-specific analysis, we performed 1000 permutations. When the AUC was higher than the AUC in permutations, we reported a P-value of < 0.001., Results: The detection rate for preterm PE vs no PE, at a 10% FPR, was 53.3% when screening by maternal factors only, and the corresponding AUC was 0.816; these increased to 75.3% and 0.909, respectively, with the addition of biomarkers into the model. Information on race was important for the prediction accuracy; when race was not used to train the model, at a 10% FPR, the detection rate of preterm PE vs no PE decreased to 34.5-45.5% (for different races) when screening by maternal factors only and to 55.0-62.1% when biomarkers were added. The major predictors of PE were high MAP and UtA-PI, and low PlGF. The accuracy of prediction of all PE cases was lower than that for preterm PE. Aspirin use was recommended for cases who were at high risk of preterm PE. The AUC of all PE vs no PE was 0.770 when screening by maternal factors and 0.817 when the biomarkers were added; the respective detection rates, at a 10% FPR, were 41.3% and 52.9%., Conclusions: Screening for PE using a non-linear machine-learning-based approach does not require a population-based normalization, and its performance is similar to that of logistic regression. Removing race information from the model reduces its prediction accuracy, especially for the non-white populations when only maternal factors are considered. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: To develop further a competing-risks model for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate by including sonographically estimated fetal weight (EFW) and biomarkers of impaired placentation at 36 weeks' gestation, and to compare the performance of the new model with that of the traditional EFW < 10 th percentile cut-off., Methods: This was a prospective observational study in 29 035 women with a singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. A competing-risks model for the prediction of a SGA neonate was used. The parameters included in the prior-history model were provided in previous studies. An interaction continuous model was used for the EFW likelihood. A folded plane regression model was fitted to describe likelihoods of biomarkers of impaired placentation. Stratification plans were also developed. The new model was evaluated and compared with EFW percentile cut-offs., Results: The performance of the model was better for predicting SGA neonates delivered closer to the point of assessment. The prediction provided by maternal factors alone was improved significantly by the addition of EFW, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and placental growth factor (PlGF) but not by mean arterial pressure or soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1. At a 10% false-positive rate, maternal factors and EFW predicted 77.6% and 65.8% of SGA neonates < 10 th percentile delivered before 38 and 42 weeks, respectively. The respective figures for SGA < 3 rd percentile were 85.5% and 74.2%. Addition of UtA-PI and PlGF resulted in marginal improvement in prediction of SGA < 3 rd percentile requiring imminent delivery. A competing-risks approach that combines maternal factors and EFW performed better when compared with fixed EFW percentile cut-offs at predicting a SGA neonate, especially with increasing time interval between assessment and delivery. The new model was well-calibrated., Conclusions: A competing-risks model provides effective risk stratification for a SGA neonate at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation and is superior to EFW percentile cut-offs. The use of biomarkers of impaired placentation in addition to maternal factors and fetal biometry results in small improvement of the predictive performance for a neonate with severe SGA. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: The competing-risks model for assessment of risk for pre-eclampsia (PE) at 35-37 weeks' gestation identifies the majority of women who are at high risk of subsequent delivery with PE. We aimed to examine the incidence and relative risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes in patient groups stratified according to the estimated risk of delivery with PE., Methods: This was a prospective non-interventional, observational study in women with a singleton pregnancy attending for a routine hospital visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. The risk of delivery with PE for each patient in the study population was estimated using the competing-risks model, combining the prior distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE and the likelihood from multiples of the median values of mean arterial pressure, placental growth factor and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1. The patients were assigned to one of the following five risk categories: Group A, ≥ 1 in 2; Group B, 1 in 5 to 1 in 3; Group C, 1 in 20 to 1 in 6; Group D, 1 in 50 to 1 in 21; and Group E, < 1 in 50. The outcome measures were delivery with PE, gestational hypertension (GH), small-for-gestational age (SGA) at birth, delivery by Cesarean section, stillbirth, neonatal death, perinatal death and admission to the neonatal unit (NNU) for at least 48 h. In each risk category, the proportion of women with each adverse outcome was determined and relative risks (RR) were calculated as compared with the lowest-risk Group E., Results: In the study population of 29 035 women, 1.6%, 2.7%, 8.2%, 9.8% and 77.8% were categorized into Groups A, B, C, D and E, respectively. Compared with women in Group E, women in the higher-risk groups were more likely to have an adverse outcome. The RR of delivery with PE in Group A compared with Group E was 65.5 (95% CI, 54.1-79.1) and the respective values were 11.9 (95% CI, 9.1-15.5) for GH, 1.8 (95% CI, 1.5-2.1) for delivery by emergency Cesarean section, 1.5 (95% CI, 1.2-1.8) for delivery by elective Cesarean section, 8.9 (95% CI, 7.4-10.8) for SGA with birth weight < 3 rd percentile, 4.8 (95% CI, 4.3-5.4) for SGA with birth weight < 10 th percentile, 5.3 (95% CI, 1.4-20.5) for stillbirth and 3.4 (95% CI, 2.8-4.2) for NNU admission for ≥ 48 h. The RR for these pregnancy complications in higher-risk groups (vs Group E) was particularly high for cases with delivery within 2 weeks after assessment. In terms of SGA, both for birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles, the trend in all cases was stronger than that observed when the analysis was confined to normotensive pregnancies. The rates of neonatal death were too small to allow meaningful comparisons between risk groups., Conclusion: Pregnant women identified by the competing-risks model to be at high risk of PE are also at increased risk of GH, Cesarean section, stillbirth, SGA and NNU admission for ≥ 48 h. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To examine the distribution of birth weight according to gestational age in pregnancies complicated by pre-eclampsia (PE) and assess the potential value of sonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at mid-gestation as a predictor of PE., Methods: The data for this study were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcome in 93 911 women with a singleton pregnancy attending for routine pregnancy care at 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks' gestation in two UK maternity hospitals. This visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, sonographic EFW and measurement of mean arterial pressure (MAP) and uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI). The distribution of birth weight of pregnancies with and those without PE was assessed. The competing-risks model was used to estimate the individual, patient-specific risk of delivery with PE at < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation and at any gestational age. The areas under the receiver-operating-characteristics curves and detection rates (DRs) of delivery with PE, at a 10% false-positive rate (FPR), were assessed for various combinations of maternal risk factors, EFW, MAP and UtA-PI. McNemar's test was used to determine the significance of difference in DR at a 10% FPR between screening with vs without EFW., Results: The study population contained 2843 (3.0%) pregnancies that subsequently developed PE, including 148 (0.2%) that delivered with PE at < 32 weeks' gestation and 654 (0.7%) that delivered with PE at < 37 weeks. Birth weight was < 10 th percentile in 82% of pregnancies with PE delivering at < 32 weeks' gestation and this decreased to 21% of those with PE delivering at ≥ 37 weeks. In screening for delivery with PE at < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation, the DR, at a 10% FPR, achieved by maternal risk factors (51% and 46%, respectively) was improved by addition of EFW (69% and 51%, respectively). Similarly, addition of EFW improved the performance of screening by a combination of maternal risk factors and MAP from 72% to 80% for PE < 32 weeks and from 57% to 60% for PE < 37 weeks. EFW did not improve the predictive performance of screening by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP and UtA-PI., Conclusions: In pregnancies complicated by preterm PE, a high proportion of neonates are small-for-gestational age, and sonographic EFW at mid-gestation can improve the prediction of early and preterm PE provided by maternal risk factors and MAP but not the prediction provided by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP and UtA-PI. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To estimate the risk of fetal loss associated with chorionic villus sampling (CVS) in twin pregnancy, using propensity score analysis., Methods: This was a multicenter cohort study of women with twin pregnancy undergoing ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation, performed in eight fetal medicine units in which the leadership were trained at the Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine in London, UK, and in which the protocols for screening, invasive testing and pregnancy management are similar. The risk of death of at least one fetus was compared between pregnancies that had and those that did not have CVS, after propensity score matching (1:1 ratio). This procedure created two comparable groups by balancing the maternal and pregnancy characteristics that lead to CVS being performed, similar to how randomization operates in a randomized clinical trial., Results: The study population of 8581 twin pregnancies included 445 that had CVS. Death of one or two fetuses at any stage during pregnancy occurred in 11.5% (51/445) of pregnancies in the CVS group and in 6.3% (515/8136) in the non-CVS group (P < 0.001). The propensity score algorithm matched 258 cases that had CVS with 258 non-CVS cases; there was at least one fetal loss in 29 (11.2%) cases in the CVS group and in 35 (13.6%) cases in the matched non-CVS group (odds ratio (OR), 0.81; 95% CI, 0.48-1.35; P = 0.415). However, there was a significant interaction between the risk of fetal loss after CVS and the background risk of fetal loss; when the background risk was higher, the risk of fetal loss after CVS decreased (OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.23-0.90), while, in pregnancies with a lower background risk of fetal loss, the risk of fetal loss after CVS increased (OR, 2.45; 95% CI, 0.95-7.13). The effects were statistically significantly different (P-value of the interaction = 0.005). For a pregnancy in which the background risk of fetal loss was about 6% (the same as in our non-CVS population), there was no change in the risk of fetal loss after CVS, but, when the background risk was more than 6%, the posterior risk was paradoxically reduced, and when the background risk was less than 6%, the posterior risk increased exponentially; for example, if the background risk of fetal loss was 2.0%, the relative risk was 2.8 and the posterior risk was 5.6%., Conclusion: In twin pregnancy, after accounting for the risk factors that lead to both CVS and spontaneous fetal loss and confining the analysis to pregnancies at lower prior risk, CVS seems to increase the risk of fetal loss by about 3.5% above the patient's background risk. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: First, to investigate the additive value of second-trimester placental growth factor (PlGF) for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate. Second, to examine second-trimester contingent screening strategies., Methods: This was a prospective observational study in women with singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19-24 weeks' gestation. We used the competing-risks model for prediction of SGA. The parameters for the prior model and the likelihoods for estimated fetal weight (EFW) and uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) were those presented in previous studies. A folded-plane regression model was fitted in the dataset of this study to describe the likelihood of PlGF. We compared the prediction of screening by maternal risk factors against the prediction provided by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF. We also examined the additive value of PlGF in a policy that uses maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI., Results: The study population included 40 241 singleton pregnancies. Overall, the prediction of SGA improved with increasing degree of prematurity, with increasing severity of smallness and in the presence of coexisting pre-eclampsia. The combination of maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF improved significantly the prediction provided by maternal risk factors alone for all the examined cut-offs of birth weight and gestational age at delivery. Screening by a combination of maternal risk factors and serum PlGF improved the prediction of SGA when compared to screening by maternal risk factors alone. However, the incremental improvement in prediction was decreased when PlGF was added to screening by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI. If first-line screening for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th percentile delivered at < 37 weeks' gestation was by maternal risk factors and EFW, the same detection rate of 90%, at an overall false-positive rate (FPR) of 50%, as that achieved by screening with maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF in the whole population can be achieved by reserving measurements of UtA-PI and PlGF for only 80% of the population. Similarly, in screening for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th percentile delivered at < 30 weeks, the same detection rate of 90%, at an overall FPR of 14%, as that achieved by screening with maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF in the whole population can be achieved by reserving measurements of UtA-PI and PlGF for only 70% of the population. The additive value of PlGF in reducing the FPR to about 10% with a simultaneous detection rate of 90% for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 3 rd percentile born < 30 weeks, is gained by measuring PlGF in only 50% of the population when first-line screening is by maternal factors, EFW and UtA-PI., Conclusions: The combination of maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF provides effective second-trimester prediction of SGA. Serum PlGF is useful for predicting a SGA neonate with birth weight < 3 rd percentile born < 30 weeks after an inclusive assessment by maternal risk factors and biophysical markers. Similar detection rates and FPRs can be achieved by application of contingent screening strategies. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To examine the predictive performance of a previously reported competing-risks model of screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) at 35-37 weeks' gestation by combinations of maternal risk factors, mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) in a validation dataset derived from the screened population of the STATIN study., Methods: This was a prospective third-trimester multicenter study of screening for PE in singleton pregnancies by means of a previously reported algorithm that combines maternal risk factors and biomarkers. Women in the high-risk group were invited to participate in a trial of pravastatin vs placebo, but the trial showed no evidence of an effect of pravastatin in the prevention of PE. Patient-specific risks of delivery with PE were calculated using the competing-risks model, and the performance of screening for PE by maternal risk factors alone and by various combinations of risk factors with MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1 was assessed. The predictive performance of the model was examined by, first, the ability of the model to discriminate between the PE and no-PE groups using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and the detection rate at a fixed false-positive rate of 10%, and, second, calibration by measurements of calibration slope and calibration-in-the-large., Results: The study population of 29 677 pregnancies contained 653 that developed PE. In screening for PE by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP, PlGF and sFlt-1 (triple test), the detection rate at a 10% false-positive rate was 79% (95% CI, 76-82%) and the results were consistent with the data used for developing the algorithm. Addition of UtA-PI did not improve the prediction provided by the triple test. The AUC for the triple test was 0.923 (95% CI, 0.913-0.932), demonstrating very high discrimination between affected and unaffected pregnancies. Similarly, the calibration slope was 0.875 (95% CI, 0.831-0.919), demonstrating good agreement between the predicted risk and observed incidence of PE., Conclusion: The competing-risks model provides an effective and reproducible method for third-trimester prediction of term PE. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To examine the performance of a model combining maternal risk factors, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 19-24 weeks' gestation, for predicting all antepartum stillbirths and those due to impaired placentation, in a training dataset used for development of the model and in a validation dataset., Methods: The data for this study were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcome in women with singleton pregnancy attending for routine pregnancy care at 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks' gestation. The study population was divided into a training dataset used to develop prediction models for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth and a validation dataset to which the models were then applied. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop a model based on a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW Z-score and UtA-PI multiples of the normal median. We examined the predictive performance of the model by, first, the ability of the model to discriminate between the stillbirth and live-birth groups, using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and the detection rate (DR) at a fixed false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%, and, second, calibration by measurements of calibration slope and intercept., Results: The study population of 131 514 pregnancies included 131 037 live births and 477 (0.36%) stillbirths. There are four main findings of this study. First, 92.5% (441/477) of stillbirths were antepartum and 7.5% (36/477) were intrapartum, and 59.2% (261/441) of antepartum stillbirths were observed in association with placental dysfunction and 40.8% (180/441) were unexplained or due to other causes. Second, placental dysfunction accounted for 80.1% (161/201) of antepartum stillbirths at < 32 weeks' gestation, 54.2% (52/96) at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks and 33.3% (48/144) at ≥ 37 weeks. Third, the risk of placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth increased with increasing maternal weight and decreasing maternal height, was 3-fold higher in black than in white women, was 5.5-fold higher in parous women with previous stillbirth than in those with previous live birth, and was increased in smokers, in women with chronic hypertension and in parous women with a previous pregnancy complicated by pre-eclampsia and/or birth of a small-for-gestational-age baby. Fourth, in screening for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI in the validation dataset, the DR at a 10% FPR was 62.3% (95% CI, 57.2-67.4%) and the AUC was 0.838 (95% CI, 0.799-0.878); these results were consistent with those in the dataset used for developing the algorithm and demonstrate high discrimination between affected and unaffected pregnancies. Similarly, the calibration slope was 1.029 and the intercept was -0.009, demonstrating good agreement between the predicted risk and observed incidence of placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth. The performance of screening was better for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth at < 37 weeks' gestation compared to at term (DR at a 10% FPR, 69.8% vs 29.2%)., Conclusions: Screening at mid-gestation by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI can predict a high proportion of placental dysfunction-related stillbirths and, in particular, those that occur preterm. Such screening provides poor prediction of unexplained stillbirth or stillbirth due to other causes. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To explore the possibility of carrying out routine screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) with delivery at < 28, < 32, < 36 weeks' gestation by maternal factors, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and mean arterial pressure (MAP) in all pregnancies and reserving measurements of placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) for only a subgroup of the population., Methods: This was a prospective observational study in two UK maternity hospitals involving women with singleton pregnancy attending for routine assessment at 19-24 weeks' gestation. The improvement in performance of screening for PE, at fixed risk cut-offs, by the addition of serum PlGF and sFlt-1 to screening by maternal factors, UtA-PI and MAP, was estimated. We examined a policy of contingent screening in which biochemical testing was reserved for only a subgroup of the population. The main outcome measures were the additional contribution of PlGF and sFlt-1 to the performance of screening for PE and the proportion of the population requiring measurement of PlGF and sFlt-1 for maximum performance of screening., Results: The study population included 37 886 singleton pregnancies. At each risk cut-off, the highest detection rates for delivery with PE and the lowest screen-positive rates were achieved in screening with maternal factors, UtA-PI, MAP, PlGF and sFlt-1. The maximum performance by such screening was also achieved by contingent screening in which PlGF and sFlt-1 were measured in only about 40% of the population., Conclusion: The performance of screening for PE by a combination of maternal factors, UtA-PI and MAP is improved by measurement of PlGF and sFlt-1 in about 40% of the population. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: We have proposed previously that all pregnant women should have assessment of risk for pre-eclampsia (PE) at 20 and 36 weeks' gestation and that the 20-week assessment should be used to define subgroups requiring additional monitoring and reassessment at 28 and 32 weeks. The objective of this study was to examine the potential improvement in screening at 19-24 weeks' gestation for PE with delivery at < 28, < 32, < 36 and ≥ 36 weeks' gestation by the addition of serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) to the combination of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and mean arterial pressure (MAP)., Methods: This was a prospective, non-intervention study in women attending for an ultrasound scan at 19-24 weeks as part of routine pregnancy care. Patient-specific risks of delivery with PE at < 36 weeks' gestation were calculated using the competing-risks model to combine the prior distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE, obtained from maternal characteristics and medical history, with multiples of the median values of UtA-PI, MAP, PlGF and sFlt-1. Different risk cut-offs were used to vary the proportion of the population stratified into each of four risk categories (very high risk, high risk, intermediate risk and low risk) with the intention of detecting about 80%, 85%, 90% and 95% of cases of delivery with PE at < 28, < 32 and < 36 weeks' gestation. The performance of screening was assessed by plotting the detection rate against the screen-positive rate and calculating the areas under these curves, and by the proportion stratified into a given group for fixed detection rates. Model-based estimates of screening performance for these various combinations of markers were also produced., Results: In the study population of 37 886 singleton pregnancies, there were 1130 (3.0%) that subsequently developed PE, including 160 (0.4%) that delivered at < 36 weeks' gestation. In both the modeled and empirical results, there was incremental improvement in the performance of screening with the addition of PlGF and sFlt-1 to the combination of maternal factors, UtA-PI and MAP. If the objective of screening was to identify about 90% of cases of PE with delivery at < 28, < 32 and < 36 weeks and the method of screening was a combination of maternal factors, UtA-PI and MAP, the respective screen-positive rates would be 3.1%, 8.5% and 19.1%. The respective values for screening by maternal factors, UtA-PI, MAP and PlGF were 0.2%, 0.7% and 10.6%, and for screening by maternal factors, UtA-PI, MAP, PlGF and sFlt-1 they were 0.1%, 0.4% and 9.5%. The empirical results were consistent with the modeled results. There was good agreement between the predicted risk and the observed incidence of PE at < 36 weeks' gestation for all three strategies of screening. Prediction of PE at ≥ 36 weeks was poor for all three screening methods, with the detection rate, at a 10% screen-positive rate, ranging from 33.2% to 38.4%., Conclusions: The performance of screening at 19-24 weeks' gestation for PE with delivery at < 28, < 32 and < 36 weeks' gestation achieved by a combination of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, UtA-PI and MAP is improved by the addition of serum PlGF and sFlt-1. The performance of screening for PE at ≥ 36 weeks' gestation is poor irrespective of the method of screening at 19-24 weeks. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To expand the limited knowledge on cell-free DNA (cfDNA) analysis of maternal blood for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 in twin pregnancy by updating the data from The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) on prospective first-trimester screening and those identified in a systematic review of the literature., Methods: The FMF data were derived from prospective screening for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 in twin pregnancies at 10 + 0 to 14 + 1 weeks' gestation using the Harmony® prenatal test. A search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL (The Cochrane Library), ClinicalTrials.gov and the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (World Health Organization) was carried out to identify all peer-reviewed publications on clinical validation or implementation of maternal cfDNA testing for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 in twin pregnancy, irrespective of gestational age at testing, in which data on pregnancy outcome were provided for at least 85% of the study population. Meta-analysis was performed using the FMF data and data from the studies identified by the literature search. This review was registered in the PROSPERO international database for systematic reviews RESULTS: In the FMF study, cfDNA testing was carried out in 1442 twin pregnancies and a result was obtained, after first or second sampling, in 1367 (94.8%) cases. In 93.1% (1272/1367) of cases, there was prenatal or postnatal karyotyping or birth of phenotypically normal babies; 95 cases were excluded from further analysis either because the pregnancy ended in termination, miscarriage or stillbirth with no known karyotype (n = 56) or there was loss to follow-up (n = 39). In the 1272 pregnancies included in the study, there were 20 cases with trisomy 21, 10 with trisomy 18, two with trisomy 13 and 1240 without trisomy 21, 18 or 13. The cfDNA test classified correctly 19 (95.0%) of the 20 cases of trisomy 21, nine (90.0%) of the 10 cases of trisomy 18, one (50.0%) of the two cases of trisomy 13 and 1235 (99.6%) of the 1240 cases without any of the three trisomies. The literature search identified 12 relevant studies, excluding our papers because their data are included in the current study. In the combined populations of our study and the 12 studies identified by the literature search, there were 137 trisomy-21 and 7507 non-trisomy-21 twin pregnancies; the pooled weighted detection rate (DR) and false-positive rate (FPR) were 99.0% (95% CI, 92.0-99.9%) and 0.02% (95% CI, 0.001-0.43%), respectively. In the combined total of 50 cases of trisomy 18 and 6840 non-trisomy-18 pregnancies, the pooled weighted DR and FPR were 92.8% (95% CI, 77.6-98.0%) and 0.01% (95% CI, 0.00-0.44%), respectively. In the combined total of 11 cases of trisomy 13 and 6290 non-trisomy-13 pregnancies, the pooled weighted DR and FPR were 94.7% (95% CI, 9.14-99.97%) and 0.10% (95% CI, 0.03-0.39%), respectively., Conclusions: In twin pregnancy, the reported DR of trisomy 21 by cfDNA testing is high, but lower than that in singleton pregnancy, whereas the FPR appears to be equally low. The number of cases of trisomy 18 and more so trisomy 13 was too small for accurate assessment of the predictive performance of the cfDNA test. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: There were two objectives of this study. First, to examine the value of uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) at 19-24 weeks' gestation in the prediction of subsequent development of pre-eclampsia (PE) and to compare the performance of screening between the use of, first, fixed cut-offs of UtA-PI, second, percentile cut-offs of UtA-PI adjusted for gestational age, third, a competing-risks model combining maternal demographic characteristics and medical history with UtA-PI, and, fourth, a competing-risks model combining maternal factors with UtA-PI and mean arterial pressure (MAP). Second, to stratify pregnancy care based on the estimated risk of PE at 19-24 weeks' gestation from UtA-PI and combinations of maternal factors with UtA-PI and MAP., Methods: This was a prospective, non-intervention study in women attending for an ultrasound scan at 19-24 weeks as part of routine pregnancy care. Patient-specific risks of delivery with PE at < 36 weeks' gestation were calculated using the competing-risks model to combine the prior distribution of the gestational age at delivery with PE, obtained from maternal characteristics and medical history, with multiples of the median (MoM) values of UtA-PI and MAP. Different risk cut-offs were used to vary the proportion of the population stratified into each risk category (very high risk, high risk, intermediate risk and low risk) with the intention of detecting about 80%, 85%, 90% and 95% of cases of delivery with PE at < 28, < 32 and < 36 weeks' gestation. We also examined the performance of screening by maternal factors and UtA-PI MoM, fixed cut-offs of UtA-PI and percentile cut-offs of UtA-PI adjusted for gestational age. Calibration for risks for PE < 36 weeks' gestation by the combination of maternal factors, UtA-PI MoM and MAP MoM was assessed by plotting the observed incidence of PE against the predicted incidence. Additionally, we developed reference ranges of transabdominal and transvaginal measurement of UtA-PI according to gestational age., Results: In the study population of 96 678 singleton pregnancies, there were 2866 (3.0%) that subsequently developed PE, including 467 (0.5%) that delivered at < 36 weeks' gestation. If the objective of screening was to identify about 90% of cases of delivery with PE at < 28, < 32 and < 36 weeks and the method of screening was a combination of maternal factors, UtA-PI MoM and MAP MoM, the proportion of the population stratified into very high-risk, high-risk, intermediate-risk and low-risk groups would be 2.4%, 3.9%, 17.8% and 75.9%, respectively; the respective values were 6.0%, 3.0%, 21.0% and 70.0% if screening was by maternal factors and UtA-PI MoM, 5.7%, 7.5%, 49.8% and 37.0% if screening was by fixed cut-offs of UtA-PI and 6.9%, 5.2%, 49.0% and 38.9% if screening was by percentile cut-offs of UtA-PI. In the validation of the prediction model based on a combination of maternal factors and MoM values of UtA-PI and MAP, calibration plots demonstrated good agreement between the predicted risk and the observed incidence of PE., Conclusions: All pregnant women should have screening for PE at 20 and 36 weeks' gestation. The findings at 20 weeks can be used to identify the subgroups that require additional monitoring and reassessment at 28 and 32 weeks. The performance of screening by a combination of maternal factors and MoM values of UtA-PI and MAP at 19-24 weeks for delivery with PE at < 28, < 32 and < 36 weeks' gestation is superior to that of screening by a combination of maternal factors and UtA-PI MoM, by fixed cut-offs of UtA-PI or by percentile cut-offs of UtA-PI. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To estimate the chorionic villus sampling (CVS)-related risk of fetal loss in twin pregnancy after adjustment for chorionicity, nuchal translucency thickness (NT), intertwin discordance in crown-rump length (CRL), maternal demographic characteristics and serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG)., Methods: This was a multicenter study from eight fetal medicine units in which the leadership were trained at the Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine in London, UK, and in which the protocols for screening, invasive testing and pregnancy management are similar. Data were obtained prospectively from women with twin pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis with backward stepwise elimination was used to examine whether CVS provided a significant independent contribution to the prediction of risk of fetal loss after adjusting for maternal and pregnancy characteristics, including maternal age, racial origin and weight, method of conception, smoking status, parity, chorionicity, intertwin discordance in CRL, fetal NT ≥ 95 th percentile and free β-hCG and PAPP-A multiples of the median. Similarly, within the CVS group, multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the effect of the number of intrauterine needle insertions and size of the needle on the risk of fetal loss., Results: The study population of 8581 twin pregnancies undergoing ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation included 316 dichorionic and 129 monochorionic twins that had CVS. First, in twin pregnancies undergoing CVS, compared to those not undergoing CVS, there was a 2-fold increased risk of fetal loss at < 24 weeks' gestation and of loss at any stage in pregnancy. Second, the factors providing a significant independent contribution to the prediction of miscarriage or fetal loss in twin pregnancy were increased maternal weight, black racial origin, monochorionicity, and more so monoamnionicity, large intertwin discordance in CRL and increased fetal NT, and, in the case of fetal loss at any stage, there was also a contribution from assisted conception and low serum PAPP-A. Third, after adjustment for maternal and pregnancy characteristics, CVS did not provide a significant contribution to the risk of fetal loss. Fourth, in twin pregnancies that had CVS, there was no significant contribution to fetal loss from the number of intrauterine needle insertions or needle size., Conclusion: The 2-fold increased risk of fetal loss following CVS in twin pregnancy can, to a great extent, be explained by maternal and pregnancy characteristics rather than the invasive procedure itself. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To develop further a new competing-risks model for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate, by including second-trimester ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW)., Methods: This was a prospective observational study in 96 678 women with singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19-24 weeks' gestation. All pregnancies had ultrasound biometry assessment, and EFW was calculated according to the Hadlock formula. We refitted in this large dataset a previously described competing-risks model for the joint distribution of gestational age (GA) at delivery and birth-weight Z-score, according to maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, to obtain the prior distribution. The continuous likelihood of the EFW was fitted conditionally to GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score and modified the prior distribution, according to Bayes' theorem, to obtain individualized distributions for GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score and therefore patient-specific risks for any cut-offs for GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score. We assessed the discriminative ability of the model for predicting SGA with, without or independently of pre-eclampsia occurrence. A calibration study was carried out. Performance of screening was evaluated for SGA defined according to the Fetal Medicine Foundation birth-weight charts., Results: The distribution of EFW, conditional to both GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score, was best described by a regression model. For earlier gestations, the association between EFW and birth weight was steeper. The prediction of SGA by maternal factors and EFW improved for increasing degree of prematurity and greater severity of smallness but not for coexistence of pre-eclampsia. Screening by maternal factors predicted 31%, 34% and 39% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10 th percentile delivered at ≥ 37, < 37 and < 30 weeks' gestation, respectively, at a 10% false-positive rate, and, after addition of EFW, these rates increased to 38%, 43% and 59%, respectively; the respective rates for birth weight < 3 rd percentile were 43%, 50% and 64%. The addition of EFW improved the calibration of the model., Conclusion: In the competing-risks model for prediction of SGA, the performance of screening by maternal characteristics and medical history is improved by the addition of second-trimester EFW. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objectives: First, to validate a previously developed model for screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) by maternal characteristics and medical history in twin pregnancies; second, to compare the distributions of mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) in twin pregnancies that delivered with PE to those in singleton pregnancies and to develop new models based on these results; and, third, to examine the predictive performance of these models in screening for PE with delivery at < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation., Methods: Two datasets of prospective non-intervention multicenter screening studies for PE in twin pregnancies at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation were used. The first dataset was from the EVENTS (Early vaginal progesterone for the preVention of spontaneous prEterm birth iN TwinS) trial and the second was from a previously reported study that examined the distributions of biomarkers in twin pregnancies. Maternal demographic characteristics and medical history from the EVENTS-trial dataset were used to assess the validity of risks from our previously developed model. The combined data from the first and second datasets were used to compare the distributional properties of log 10 multiples of the median (MoM) values of UtA-PI, MAP, PlGF and PAPP-A in twin pregnancies that delivered with PE to those in singleton pregnancies and develop new models based on these results. The competing-risks model was used to estimate the individual patient-specific risks of delivery with PE at < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation. Screening performance was measured by detection rates (DR) and areas under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve., Results: The EVENTS-trial dataset comprised 1798 pregnancies, including 168 (9.3%) that developed PE. In the validation of the prior model based on maternal characteristics and medical history, calibration plots demonstrated very good agreement between the predicted risks and the observed incidence of PE (calibration slope and intercept for PE < 32 weeks were 0.827 and 0.009, respectively, and for PE < 37 weeks they were 0.942 and -0.207, respectively). In the combined data, there were 3938 pregnancies, including 339 (8.6%) that developed PE and 253 (6.4%) that delivered with PE at < 37 weeks' gestation. In twin pregnancies that delivered with PE, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF were, at earlier gestational ages, more discriminative than in singleton pregnancies and at later gestational ages they were less so. For PAPP-A, there was little difference between PE and unaffected pregnancies. The best performance of screening for PE was achieved by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF. In screening by maternal factors alone, the DR, at a 10% false-positive rate, was 30.6% for delivery with PE at < 32 weeks' gestation and this increased to 86.4% when screening by the combined test; the respective values for PE < 37 weeks were 24.9% and 41.1%., Conclusions: In the assessment of risk for PE in twin pregnancy, we can use the same prior model based on maternal characteristics and medical history as reported previously, but in the calculation of posterior risks it is necessary to use the new distributions of log 10 MoM values of UtA-PI, MAP and PlGF according to gestational age at delivery with PE. © 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To develop a new competing-risks model for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate, based on maternal factors and biophysical and biochemical markers at 11-13 weeks' gestation., Methods: This was a prospective observational study in 60 875 women with singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation. All pregnancies had pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A and placental growth factor (PlGF) measurements, 59 001 had uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) measurements and 58 479 had mean arterial pressure measurements; 57 131 cases had complete data for all biomarkers. We used a previously developed competing-risks model for the joint distribution of gestational age (GA) at delivery and birth-weight Z-score, according to maternal demographic characteristics and medical history. The likelihoods of the biophysical markers were developed by fitting folded-plane regression models, a technique that has already been used in previous studies for the likelihoods of biochemical markers. The next step was to modify the prior distribution by the likelihood, according to Bayes' theorem, to obtain individualized distributions for GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score. We used the 57 131 cases with complete data to assess the discrimination and calibration of the model for predicting SGA with, without or independently of pre-eclampsia, by different combinations of maternal factors and biomarkers., Results: The distribution of biomarkers, conditional to both GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score, was best described by folded-plane regression models. These continuous two-dimensional likelihoods update the joint distribution of birth-weight Z-score and GA at delivery that has resulted from a competing-risks approach; this method allows application of user-defined cut-offs. The best biophysical predictor of preterm SGA was UtA-PI and the best biochemical marker was PlGF. The prediction of SGA was consistently better for increasing degree of prematurity, greater severity of smallness, coexistence of PE and increasing number of biomarkers. The combination of maternal factors with all biomarkers predicted 34.3%, 48.6% and 59.1% of all cases of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th percentile delivered at ≥ 37, < 37 and < 32 weeks' gestation, at a 10% false-positive rate. The respective values for birth weight < 3 rd percentile were 39.9%, 53.2% and 64.4%, and for birth weight < 3 rd percentile with pre-eclampsia they were 46.3%, 66.8% and 80.4%. The new model was well calibrated., Conclusions: This study has presented a single continuous two-dimensional model for prediction of SGA for any desired cut-offs of smallness and GA at delivery, laying the ground for a personalized antenatal plan for predicting and managing SGA, in the milieu of a new inverted pyramid of prenatal care. © 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: Pre-eclampsia (PE) is a significant contributor to adverse maternal and perinatal outcome; however, accurate prediction and early diagnosis of this condition remain a challenge. The aim of this study was to compare serum levels of growth-differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) at three different gestational ages between asymptomatic women who subsequently developed preterm or term PE and healthy controls., Methods: This was a case-control study drawn from a prospective observational study on adverse pregnancy outcomes in women attending for their routine second- and third-trimester hospital visits. Serum GDF-15 was determined in 300 samples using a commercial GDF-15 enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay: 120 samples at 19-24 weeks of gestation, 120 samples at 30-34 weeks and 60 samples at 35-37 weeks. Multiple linear regression was applied to logarithmically transformed GDF-15 control values to evaluate the influence of gestational age at blood sampling and maternal characteristics on GDF-15 results. GDF-15 multiples of the normal median (MoM) values, adjusted for gestational age and maternal characteristics, were compared between pregnancies that subsequently developed preterm or term PE and healthy controls., Results: Values of GDF-15 increased with gestational age. There were no significant differences in GDF-15 MoM values between cases of preterm or term PE and normotensive pregnancies at 19-24 or 35-37 weeks of gestation. At 30-34 weeks, GDF-15 MoM values were significantly increased in cases of preterm PE, but not in those who later developed term PE. Elevated GDF-15 MoM values were associated significantly with a shorter interval between sampling at 30-34 weeks and delivery with PE (P = 0.005)., Conclusion: Serum GDF-15 levels at 19-24 or 35-37 weeks of gestation are not predictive of preterm or term PE. At 30-34 weeks, GDF-15 levels are higher in women who subsequently develop preterm PE; however, this difference is small and GDF-15 is unlikely to be useful in clinical practice when used in isolation. Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objectives: To develop a continuous likelihood model for pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), in the context of a new competing-risks model for prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate, and to compare the predictive performance of the new model for SGA to that of previous methods., Methods: This was a prospective observational study of 60 875 women with singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation. The dataset was divided randomly into a training dataset and a test dataset. The training dataset was used for PAPP-A likelihood model development. We used Bayes' theorem to combine the previously developed prior model for the joint Gaussian distribution of gestational age (GA) at delivery and birth-weight Z-score with the PAPP-A likelihood to obtain a posterior distribution. This patient-specific posterior joint Gaussian distribution of GA at delivery and birth-weight Z-score allows risk calculation for SGA defined in terms of different birth-weight percentiles and GA. The new model was validated internally in the test dataset and we compared its predictive performance to that of the risk-scoring system of the UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) and that of logistic regression models for different SGA definitions., Results: PAPP-A has a continuous association with both birth-weight Z-score and GA at delivery according to a folded-plane regression. The new model, with the addition of PAPP-A, was equal or superior to several logistic regression models. The new model performed well in terms of risk calibration and consistency across different GAs and birth-weight percentiles. In the test dataset, at a false-positive rate of about 30% using the criteria defined by NICE, the new model predicted 62.7%, 66.5%, 68.1% and 75.3% of cases of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th percentile delivered at < 42, < 37, < 34 and < 30 weeks' gestation, respectively, which were significantly higher than the respective values of 46.7%, 55.0%, 55.9% and 52.8% achieved by application of the NICE guidelines., Conclusions: Using Bayes' theorem to combine PAPP-A measurement data with maternal characteristics improves the prediction of SGA and performs better than logistic regression or NICE guidelines, in the context of a new competing-risks model for the joint distribution of birth-weight Z-score and GA at delivery. © 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: Serum pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and placental growth factor (PlGF) at 11-13 weeks' gestation are reduced in pregnancies with fetal trisomy and in those that subsequently develop pre-eclampsia (PE). In screening for trisomy, the established biochemical marker is PAPP-A, whereas in screening for PE, the preferred marker is PlGF. The objective of this study was to examine the impact of replacing PAPP-A by PlGF in first-trimester screening for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 by maternal age, fetal nuchal translucency thickness (NT) and free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG)., Methods: This was a prospective screening study in singleton pregnancies for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 by a combination of maternal age, fetal NT and serum PAPP-A and free β-hCG at 11-13 weeks' gestation in which we also measured PlGF. Multiples of the median (MoM) values were calculated for PAPP-A, free β-hCG and PlGF. The dataset was split randomly into training and test datasets of roughly equal size, and the parameters for PlGF obtained from the training dataset were used in risk calculation for the test dataset. Standardized detection rates were computed by obtaining the likelihood ratios for biochemistry and fetal NT for trisomy-21, -18 and -13 pregnancies in the sample and then applying these to each year of maternal age from 12 to 50 to estimate the age-specific detection rates. These were then weighted according to the maternal age distributions of trisomy-21, -18 and -13 pregnancies in England and Wales in 2018. Similarly, standardized false-positive rates (FPR) were computed by obtaining the likelihood ratios for biochemistry and NT, as appropriate, in normal pregnancies in the sample and then applying these to each year of maternal age from 12 to 50 to estimate the age-specific FPRs. A modeling approach was used to assess the performance of screening according to gestational age at biochemical testing., Results: The study population of 71 266 pregnancies included 70 858 (99.4%) with normal fetal karyotype or birth of a phenotypically normal neonate and 263 with trisomy 21, 109 with trisomy 18 and 36 with trisomy 13. There are five main findings of this study. First, the performance of screening for trisomy by the first-trimester combined test or the combined test in which PAPP-A is replaced by PlGF is substantially better at 11 than at 13 weeks' gestation; for example, the detection rates of trisomy 21 by the combined test were 94%, 90% and 84%, at 5% FPR, when testing was carried out at 11, 12 and 13 weeks, respectively, and the corresponding values in screening by a test in which PAPP-A is replaced by PlGF were 90%, 87% and 86%, respectively. Second, in trisomy-21 pregnancies, the deviation of median PAPP-A MoM from normal decreases with increasing gestational age, whereas the deviation in PlGF does not change with gestational age. Third, the performance of screening for trisomy 21 during the 11 th and 12 th gestational weeks is superior if screening includes PAPP-A rather than PlGF, whereas during the 13 th week the performance is slightly higher with the use of PlGF rather than PAPP-A. Fourth, in our population with mean gestational age at testing of 12.7 weeks, screening by maternal age, fetal NT, serum free β-hCG and serum PAPP-A predicted 88%, 96% and 97% of cases of fetal trisomies 21, 18 and 13, respectively, at a FPR of 5%; the respective values in screening by a test in which PAPP-A is replaced by PlGF were 85%, 96% and 96%. Fifth, addition of serum PlGF does not improve the prediction of trisomy provided by maternal age, fetal NT and serum free β-hCG and PAPP-A., Conclusion: In first-trimester screening for trisomy, the preferred biochemical marker is PAPP-A rather than PlGF, especially when biochemical testing is carried out during the 11 th week of gestation or earlier. However, if PlGF was to be used rather than PAPP-A, the same detection rate can be achieved but at a higher FPR. This may be an acceptable compromise to minimize cost and achieve effective screening for both trisomy and PE. © 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2020 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: First-trimester screening for pre-eclampsia (PE) is useful because treatment of the high-risk group with aspirin reduces the rate of early PE with delivery at < 34 weeks' gestation by about 80% and that of preterm PE with delivery at < 37 weeks by 60%. In previous studies, we reported that the best way of identifying the high-risk group is by a combination of maternal factors, mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and serum placental growth factor (PlGF). An alternative biochemical marker is pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), which is used widely as part of early screening for trisomy. The objective of this study was to examine the additive value of PlGF and PAPP-A in first-trimester screening for preterm PE by maternal factors, MAP and UtA-PI and define the risk cut-off and screen-positive rate to achieve a desired detection rate of PE if PAPP-A rather than PlGF was to be used for first-trimester screening., Methods: This was a non-intervention screening study. The data were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcomes in women with singleton pregnancy attending for a routine first-trimester hospital visit. Patient-specific risks of delivery with PE at < 37 weeks' gestation were calculated using the competing-risks model to combine the prior distribution of gestational age at delivery with PE, obtained from maternal characteristics and medical history, with multiples of the median (MoM) values of MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and PAPP-A. The performance of screening in the total population and in subgroups of women of white and black racial origin was estimated. McNemar's test was used to compare the detection rate, for a fixed screen-positive rate, of screening with and without PlGF and PAPP-A. Risk cut-offs and screen-positive rates to achieve desired detection rates of preterm PE were determined in screening with and without PlGF and PAPP-A., Results: The study population was composed of 60 875 singleton pregnancies, including 1736 (2.9%) that developed PE. There are three main findings of this study. First, the performance of first-trimester screening for PE by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF is superior to that of screening by maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PAPP-A; for example, in screening by maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF, at a screen-positive rate of 10%, the detection rate of PE with delivery at < 37 weeks' gestation was 74.1%, which was 7.1% (95% CI, 3.8-10.6%) higher than in screening by maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PAPP-A. Second, addition of serum PAPP-A does not improve the prediction of PE provided by maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF. Third, the risk cut-off and screen-positive rate to achieve a given fixed detection rate of preterm PE vary according to the racial composition of the study population and whether the biomarkers used for screening are MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF or MAP, UtA-PI and PAPP-A. For example, in screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PlGF in white women, if the desired detection rate of preterm PE was 75%, the risk cut-off should be 1 in 136 and the screen-positive rate would be 14.1%; in black women, to achieve a detection rate of 75%, the risk cut-off should be 1 in 29 and the screen-positive rate would be 12.5%. In screening by a combination of maternal factors, MAP, UtA-PI and PAPP-A in white women, if the desired detection rate of preterm PE was 75%, the risk cut-off should be 1 in 140 and the screen-positive rate would be 16.9%; in black women, to achieve a detection rate of 75%, the risk cut-off should be 1 in 44 and the screen-positive rate would be 19.3%., Conclusion: In first-trimester screening for PE, the preferred biochemical marker is PlGF rather than PAPP-A. However, if PAPP-A was to be used rather than PlGF, the same detection rate can be achieved but at a higher screen-positive rate. © 2020 Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology., (© 2020 Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.)

Objective: To examine the association between fetal major heart defects and increased nuchal translucency thickness (NT), tricuspid regurgitation and abnormal flow in the ductus venosus in a large population of singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation., Methods: This was a retrospective study of prospectively collected data from singleton pregnancies attending for a routine ultrasound scan at 11-13 weeks' gestation, which included examination of fetal anatomy, measurement of NT and assessment of blood flow across the tricuspid valve and in the ductus venosus, according to a standardized protocol. The incidence of fetal NT ≥ 95 th and ≥ 99 th percentiles, tricuspid regurgitation and reversed a-wave in the ductus venosus in fetuses with and those without a major heart defect was determined and the performance of each marker and their combination in the detection of major heart defects was calculated., Results: The study population of 93 209 pregnancies with no apparent chromosomal abnormality included 211 (0.23%) with a fetal major heart defect and 92 998 morphologically normal neonates. In 113 (53.6%) cases with a major heart defect, the diagnosis was made at the 11-13-week scan, in 82 (38.9%) at the 18-24-week scan, in 10 (4.7%) at the third-trimester scan and in six (2.8%) postnatally. At the 11-13-week scan, we diagnosed all cases of tricuspid or pulmonary atresia and polyvalvular dysplasia, > 90% of cases of hypoplastic left heart syndrome or atrioventricular septal defect, about 60% of complex heart defects and cases of left atrial isomerism (interrupted inferior vena cava with normal intracardiac anatomy), 30-40% of cases of tetralogy of Fallot and arch abnormalities, 25% of tricuspid valve abnormalities and about 15% of cases of transposition of the great arteries, but none of aortic or pulmonary stenosis or common arterial trunk. Fetal NT ≥ 95 th or ≥ 99 th percentile, tricuspid regurgitation or abnormal ductus venosus flow was observed in 77 (36.5%), 45 (21.3%), 61 (28.9%) and 58 (27.5%) fetuses with a major heart defect, respectively, and in 5678 (6.1%), 857 (0.9%), 1136 (1.2%) and 1644 (1.8%) of those without a heart defect. Any one of NT ≥ 95 th percentile, tricuspid regurgitation or abnormal flow in the ductus venosus was found in 117 (55.5%; 95% CI, 48.5-62.3%) fetuses with a heart defect and in 8166 (8.8%; 95% CI, 8.6-9.0%) of those without a heart defect. Any one of NT ≥ 99 th percentile or the other two markers was found in 99 (46.9%; 95% CI, 40.0-53.9%) fetuses with a heart defect and in 3517 (3.8%; 95% CI, 3.7-3.9%) of those without a heart defect., Conclusion: At 11-13 weeks' gestation, measurement of fetal NT and assessment of flow across the tricuspid valve and in the ductus venosus can lead to early diagnosis of major heart defect. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objectives: First, to compare the incidence of single and double fetal death between monochorionic (MC) and dichorionic (DC) twin pregnancies with two live fetuses at 11-13 weeks' gestation and no major abnormalities. Second, to investigate the relationship between gestational age at single fetal death and interval to delivery of the cotwin. Third, to determine the rate of early preterm birth in DC and MC twin pregnancies with two live fetuses and those with single fetal death., Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data on twin pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation between 2002 and 2019. The outcome measures, which were stratified by chorionicity, were: first, death of both fetuses at presentation or death of one fetus followed by delivery of a live or dead cotwin within the subsequent 3 days at < 34 weeks' gestation; second, in pregnancies with single fetal death at < 34 weeks' gestation and a live cotwin ≥ 3 days later, the subsequent risk of fetal death and gestational-age distribution at birth of the cotwin; and, third, the gestational-age distribution at birth in pregnancies with two live fetuses., Results: The main findings of this study of 4896 DC and 1329 MC twin pregnancies with two live fetuses at 11-13 weeks' gestation were: first, the rate of death of both twins or death of one fetus and delivery of the live or dead cotwin within 3 days was higher in MC than in DC twin pregnancies; second, the rate of single fetal death with a live cotwin ≥ 3 days later was higher in MC than in DC twin pregnancies, but the rate of subsequent cotwin death in MC twin pregnancies was not significantly different from that in DC twin pregnancies; third, in pregnancies with two live fetuses, the rate of early preterm birth was significantly higher in MC than in DC twin pregnancies; fourth, the rate of early preterm birth in pregnancies with single fetal death and a live cotwin ≥ 3 days later was not significantly different between MC and DC twin pregnancies but the rates were substantially higher than in those with two live fetuses; and, fifth, in both MC and DC pregnancies with single fetal death and a live cotwin ≥ 3 days later, there was a significant inverse association between gestational age at death and interval to delivery (mean interval of 19 weeks for death at 15 weeks and mean interval of 2.5 weeks for death at 30 weeks)., Conclusions: First, in MC twin pregnancies, the risk of single or double fetal death is higher than in DC twins. Second, in both MC and DC twin pregnancies, the rate of early preterm birth is higher in those with one fetal death than in those with two live fetuses. Third, in both MC and DC twins with one fetal death, the interval to delivery is related inversely to gestational age at fetal death. These data should be useful in counseling parents as to the likely outcome of their pregnancy after single fetal death and in defining strategies for surveillance in the management of these types of twin pregnancy. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objectives: To examine the performance of the routine 11-13-week scan in detecting fetal defects in twin pregnancies and to examine if, in pregnancies with a fetal defect, compared to those with normal fetuses, there is increased incidence of nuchal translucency thickness (NT) ≥ 95 th and ≥ 99 th percentiles or intertwin discordance in crown-rump length (CRL) ≥ 10% and ≥ 15%., Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data in twin pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination for fetal anatomy, according to standardized protocols, at 11-13 weeks' gestation between 2002 and 2019. Pregnancies with known chromosomal abnormality were excluded. The final diagnosis of fetal defect was based on the results of postnatal examination in cases of live birth and on the findings of the last ultrasound examination in cases of pregnancy termination, miscarriage or stillbirth. The performance of the 11-13-week scan in the detection of fetal defects was determined., Results: The study population of 6366 twin pregnancies with two live fetuses at 11-13 weeks' gestation included 4979 (78.2%) dichorionic (DC) and 1387 (21.8%) monochorionic (MC) twin pregnancies. The main findings were: first, the overall incidence of fetal defects was higher in MC than in DC twins (2.8% vs 1.3%); second, the proportion of defects diagnosed in the first trimester was higher in MC than in DC twins (52.6% vs 27.1%); third, the pattern of defects in relation to detectability at the 11-13-week scan (always detectable, sometimes detectable and never detectable) was similar to that reported previously in singleton pregnancies; fourth, always-detectable defects included acrania, alobar holoprosencephaly, encephalocele, pentalogy of Cantrell, exomphalos, body-stalk anomaly, twin reversed arterial perfusion sequence and conjoined twins; fifth, the incidence of fetal NT ≥ 95 th percentile was higher in those with than in those without a defect (16.5% vs 4.5% in DC twins and 19.2% vs 5.9% in MC twins) and this was also true for NT ≥ 99 th percentile (8.3% vs 1.0% in DC twins and 15.4% vs 2.0% in MC twins); and sixth, the incidence of CRL discordance ≥ 10% was higher in those with than in those without a defect (20.2% vs 7.9% in DC twins and 33.8% vs 9.3% in MC twins) and this was also true for CRL discordance ≥ 15% (10.1% vs 1.9% in DC twins and 28.2% vs 2.8% in MC twins)., Conclusions: First, fetal defects are more common in MC than in DC twin pregnancies. Second, first-trimester detection of fetal defects in DC twin pregnancies is similar to that in singleton pregnancies. Third, first-trimester detectability of defects in MC twins is higher than in DC twins. Fourth, in twin pregnancies with a fetal defect, there is higher intertwin discordance in CRL and incidence of increased NT, but the predictive performance of screening by these markers is poor. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To investigate the value of increased fetal nuchal translucency thickness (NT) at the 11-13-week scan in the prediction of adverse outcome in dichorionic (DC), monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) and monochorionic monoamniotic (MCMA) twin pregnancies., Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data on twin pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation between 2002 and 2019. In pregnancies with no major defects or chromosomal abnormalities, we examined the value of increased NT ≥ 95 th percentile in one or both fetuses in the prediction of, first, miscarriage or death of one or both fetuses at < 20 and < 24 weeks' gestation in DC, MCDA and MCMA twin pregnancies, second, death of one or both fetuses or neonates at ≥ 24 weeks in DC, MCDA and MCMA twin pregnancies, third, development of twin-twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS) or selective fetal growth restriction (sFGR) treated by endoscopic laser surgery at < 20 and ≥ 20 weeks' gestation in MCDA pregnancies, and, fourth, either fetal loss or laser surgery at < 20 weeks' gestation in MCDA pregnancies., Results: The study population of 6225 twin pregnancies included 4896 (78.7%) DC, 1274 (20.5%) MCDA and 55 (0.9%) MCMA pregnancies. The incidence of NT ≥ 95 th percentile in one or both fetuses in DC twin pregnancies was 8.3%; in MCDA twins the incidence was significantly higher (10.4%; P = 0.016), but in MCMA twins it was not significantly different (9.1%; P = 0.804) from that in DC twins. In DC twin pregnancies, the incidence of high NT was not significantly different between those with two survivors and those with adverse outcome. In MCMA twin pregnancies, the number of cases was too small for meaningful assessment of the relationship between high NT and adverse outcome. In MCDA twin pregnancies with at least one fetal death or need for endoscopic laser surgery at < 20 weeks' gestation, the incidence of NT ≥ 95 th percentile was significantly higher than in those with two survivors (23.5% vs 9.8%; P < 0.0001). Kaplan-Meier analysis in MCDA twin pregnancies showed that, in those with NT ≥ 95 th percentile, there was significantly lower survival at < 20 weeks' gestation than in those with NT < 95 th percentile (P = 0.001); this was not the case for survival at ≥ 20 weeks (P = 0.960). The performance of screening by fetal NT ≥ 95 th percentile for prediction of either fetal loss or need for endoscopic laser surgery at < 20 weeks' gestation was poor, with a detection rate of 23.5% at a false-positive rate of 8.9%, and the relative risk, in comparison to fetal NT < 95 th percentile, was 2.640 (95% CI, 1.854-3.758; P < 0.0001). In MCDA twin pregnancies, the overall rate of fetal loss or need for laser surgery at < 20 weeks' gestation was 10.7% but, in the subgroups with NT ≥ 95 th and NT ≥ 99 th percentiles, which constituted 10.4% and 3.3% of the total, the rates increased to 24.1% and 40.5%, respectively., Conclusions: In MCDA twin pregnancies with no major fetal abnormalities, measurement of NT at the 11-13-week scan is a poor screening test for adverse pregnancy outcome. However, the finding in one or both fetuses of NT ≥ 95 th percentile, and more so ≥ 99 th percentile, is associated with a substantially increased risk of fetal loss or need for endoscopic laser surgery at < 20 weeks' gestation. The extent to which closer monitoring and earlier intervention in the high-risk group can reduce these complications remains to be determined. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objectives: To examine multiples of the median (MoM) values of serum free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) in a large series of pregnancies with a vanishing twin, determine the association of these values with the interval between embryonic death and blood sampling, and develop a model that would allow incorporation of these metabolites in first-trimester combined screening for trisomy., Methods: This was a retrospective study comparing maternal serum free β-hCG and PAPP-A levels at 11-13 weeks' gestation in 528 dichorionic pregnancies with a vanishing twin, including 194 (36.7%) with an empty gestational sac and 334 (63.3%) with a dead embryo, with those in 5280 normal singleton pregnancies matched for method of conception and date of examination. In vanishing-twin pregnancies with a dead embryo, marker levels were examined in relation to the estimated time between embryonic death and maternal blood sampling., Results: First, in pregnancies with a vanishing twin, median free β-hCG MoM was not significantly different from that in normal singleton pregnancies (1.000; 95% CI, 0.985-1.016 vs 0.995; 95% CI, 0.948-1.044; P = 0.849). Second, PAPP-A MoM was higher in vanishing-twin pregnancies than in normal singleton pregnancies (1.000; 95% CI, 0.985-1.015), both in the group with an empty gestational sac (1.165; 95% CI, 1.080-1.256; P = 0.0001) and in that with a dead embryo (1.175; 95% CI, 1.105-1.249; P < 0.0001). Third, in vanishing-twin pregnancies with a dead embryo, PAPP-A MoM was related inversely to the interval between estimated gestational age at embryonic demise and blood sampling (P < 0.0001). Fourth, in first-trimester screening for trisomy 21 in singleton pregnancies, the estimated detection rate, at a 5% false-positive rate, was 82% in screening by a combination of maternal age and fetal nuchal translucency thickness, and this increased to 86% with the addition of serum free β-hCG and to 91% with the addition of serum PAPP-A. Fifth, similar performance of screening can be achieved in pregnancies with a vanishing twin, provided the appropriate adjustments are made to the level of PAPP-A for the interval between estimated gestational age at embryonic demise and blood sampling., Conclusions: First-trimester screening for trisomy in pregnancies with a vanishing twin should rely on a combination of maternal age, fetal nuchal translucency thickness and serum free β-hCG, as in singleton pregnancy, without the use of serum PAPP-A. Alternatively, PAPP-A can be included but only after appropriate adjustment for the interval between estimated gestational age at fetal demise and blood sampling. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To investigate the value of intertwin discordance in fetal crown-rump length (CRL) at the 11-13-week scan in the prediction of adverse outcome in dichorionic (DC), monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) and monochorionic monoamniotic (MCMA) twin pregnancies., Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data on twin pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation between 2002 and 2019. In pregnancies with no major abnormalities, we examined the value of intertwin discordance in fetal CRL in DC, MCDA and MCMA twins in the prediction of fetal loss at < 20 and < 24 weeks' gestation, perinatal death at ≥ 24 weeks, preterm delivery at < 32 and < 37 weeks, birth of at least one small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate with birth weight < 5 th percentile and intertwin birth-weight discordance of ≥ 20% and ≥ 25%., Results: First, the study population of 6225 twin pregnancies included 4896 (78.7%) DC, 1274 (20.4%) MCDA and 55 (0.9%) MCMA twin pregnancies. Second, median CRL discordance in DC twin pregnancies (3.2%; interquartile range (IQR), 1.4-5.8%) was lower than in MCDA twins (3.6%; IQR, 1.6-6.2%; P = 0.0008), but was not significantly different from that in MCMA twins (2.9%; IQR, 1.2-5.1%; P = 0.269). Third, compared to CRL discordance in DC twin pregnancies with two non-SGA live births at ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, there was significantly larger CRL discordance in both DC and MCDA twin pregnancies complicated by fetal death at < 20 and < 24 weeks' gestation, perinatal death at ≥ 24 weeks, preterm birth at < 32 and < 37 weeks, birth of at least one SGA neonate and birth-weight discordance ≥ 20% and ≥ 25%, and in MCDA twin pregnancies undergoing endoscopic laser surgery. Fourth, the predictive performance of CRL discordance for each adverse pregnancy outcome was poor, with areas under the receiver-operating-characteristics curves ranging from 0.533 to 0.624. However, in both DC and MCDA twin pregnancies with large CRL discordance, there was a high risk of fetal loss. Fifth, in DC twin pregnancies, the overall rate of fetal loss at < 20 weeks' gestation was 1.3% but, in the small subgroup with CRL discordance of ≥ 15%, which constituted 1.9% of the total, the rate increased to 5.3%. Sixth, in MCDA twin pregnancies, the rate of fetal loss or endoscopic laser surgery at < 20 weeks was about 11%, but, in the small subgroups with CRL discordance of ≥ 10%, ≥ 15% and ≥ 20%, which constituted 9%, < 3% and < 1% of the total, the risk was increased to about 32%, 49% and 70%, respectively. Seventh, in MCMA twin pregnancies, there were no significant differences in CRL discordance for any of the adverse outcome measures, but this may be the consequence of the small number of cases in the study population., Conclusions: In both DC and MCDA twin pregnancies, increased CRL discordance is associated with an increased risk of fetal death at < 20 and < 24 weeks' gestation, perinatal death at ≥ 24 weeks, preterm birth at < 37 and < 32 weeks, birth of at least one SGA neonate and birth-weight discordance ≥ 20% and ≥ 25%, but CRL discordance is a poor screening test for adverse pregnancy outcome. However, in DC twins, CRL discordance of ≥ 15% is associated with an increased risk of fetal loss at < 20 and < 24 weeks' gestation and, in MCDA twins, CRL discordance of ≥ 10%, and more so discordance of ≥ 15% and ≥ 20%, is associated with a very high risk of fetal loss or endoscopic laser surgery at < 20 and < 24 weeks and this information is useful in counseling women and defining the timing for subsequent assessment and possible intervention. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To investigate the potential value of routine ultrasound examination at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the diagnosis of previously unknown fetal abnormalities., Methods: This was a prospective study of 52 400 singleton pregnancies attending for a routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation; all pregnancies had a previous scan at 18-24 weeks and 47 214 also had a scan at 11-13 weeks. We included pregnancies resulting in live birth or stillbirth but excluded those with known chromosomal abnormality. Abnormalities were classified according to the affected major organ system, and the type and incidence of new abnormalities were determined., Results: In the study population, the incidence of fetal abnormality was 1.9% (995/52 400), including 674 (67.7%) that had been diagnosed previously during the first and/or second trimester, 247 (24.8%) that were detected for the first time at 35-37 weeks and 74 (7.4%) that were detected for the first time postnatally. The most common abnormalities that were diagnosed during the first and/or second trimester and that were also observed at 35-37 weeks included ventricular septal defect, talipes, unilateral renal agenesis and/or pelvic kidney, hydronephrosis, duplex kidney, unilateral multicystic kidney, congenital pulmonary airway malformation, ventriculomegaly, cleft lip and palate, polydactyly and abdominal cyst or gastroschisis. The most common abnormalities first seen at 35-37 weeks were hydronephrosis, mild ventriculomegaly, ventricular septal defect, duplex kidney, ovarian cyst and arachnoid cyst. The incidence of abnormalities first seen at 35-37 weeks was 0.5% and those that were detected exclusively for the first time at this examination were ovarian cyst, microcephaly, achondroplasia, dacryocystocele and hematocolpos. The incidence of abnormalities first seen postnatally was 0.1% and the most common were isolated cleft palate, polydactyly or syndactyly and ambiguous genitalia or hypospadias; prenatal examination of the genitalia was not a compulsory part of the protocol., Conclusions: A high proportion of fetal abnormalities are detected for the first time during a routine ultrasound examination at 35-37 weeks' gestation. Such diagnosis and subsequent management, including selection of timing and place for delivery and postnatal investigations, could potentially improve postnatal outcome. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objectives: To report and compare pregnancy outcome in dichorionic (DC), monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) and monochorionic monoamniotic (MCMA) twin pregnancies with two live fetuses at 11-13 weeks' gestation and to examine the impact of endoscopic laser surgery for severe twin-twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS) and/or selective fetal growth restriction (sFGR) on the outcome of MCDA twins., Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data on twin pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 11-13 weeks' gestation between 2002 and 2019. In pregnancies with no major abnormalities, we compared overall survival, fetal loss at < 24 weeks' gestation, perinatal death at ≥ 24 weeks, delivery at < 37 and < 32 weeks, and birth weight < 5 th percentile between DC, MCDA and MCMA twins., Results: The study population of 6225 twin pregnancies with two live fetuses at 11-13 weeks' gestation with no major abnormalities included 4896 (78.7%) DC, 1274 (20.5%) MCDA and 55 (0.9%) MCMA twins. In DC twins, the rate of loss at < 24 weeks' gestation in all fetuses was 2.3%; this rate was higher in MCDA twins (7.7%; relative risk (RR), 3.258; 95% CI, 2.706-3.923) and more so in MCMA twins (21.8%; RR, 9.289; 95% CI, 6.377-13.530). In DC twins, the rate of perinatal death at ≥ 24 weeks in all twins that were alive at 24 weeks was 1.0%; this rate was higher in MCDA twins (2.5%; RR, 2.456; 95% CI, 1.779-3.389) and more so in MCMA twins (9.3%; RR, 9.130; 95% CI, 4.584-18.184). In DC twins, the rate of preterm birth at < 37 weeks' gestation in pregnancies with at least one liveborn twin was 48.6%; this rate was higher in MCDA twins (88.5%; RR, 1.824; 95% CI, 1.760-1.890) and more so in MCMA twins (100%; RR, 2.060; 95% CI, 2.000-2.121). In DC twins, the rate of preterm birth at < 32 weeks was 7.4%; this rate was higher in MCDA twins (14.2%; RR, 1.920; 95% CI, 1.616-2.281) and more so in MCMA twins (26.8%; RR, 3.637; 95% CI, 2.172-6.089). In DC twin pregnancies with at least one liveborn twin, the rate of a small-for-gestational-age neonate among all liveborn twins was 31.2% and in MCDA twins this rate was higher (37.8%; RR, 1.209; 95% CI, 1.138-1.284); in MCMA twins, the rate was not significantly different (33.3%; RR, 1.067; 95% CI, 0.783-1.455). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significant difference in survival in MCDA and MCMA twins, compared to DC twins, for both the interval of 12 to < 24 weeks' gestation (log-rank test, P < 0.0001 for both) and that of ≥ 24 to 38 weeks (log-rank test, P < 0.0001 for both). Endoscopic laser ablation of intertwin communicating placental vessels was carried out in 127 (10.0%) MCDA twin pregnancies for TTTS and/or sFGR and, in 111 of these, surgery was performed at < 24 weeks; both fetuses survived in 62 (55.9%) cases, one fetus survived in 25 (22.5%) cases and there were no survivors in 24 (21.6%) cases. On the extreme assumption that, had laser surgery not been carried out in these cases, all fetuses would have died, the total fetal loss rate at < 24 weeks' gestation in MCDA twins would have been 13.5%., Conclusions: The rates of fetal loss at < 24 weeks' gestation, perinatal death at ≥ 24 weeks and preterm birth are higher in MCDA and more so in MCMA twins than in DC twins. In MCDA twins, the rate of fetal loss may have been reduced by endoscopic laser surgery in those that developed early TTTS and/or sFGR. These data would be useful in counseling parents as to the likely outcome of their pregnancy and in defining strategies for surveillance and interventions in the management of the different types of twin pregnancy. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To examine the performance of the routine 11-13-week scan in detecting fetal non-chromosomal abnormalities., Methods: This was a retrospective study of prospectively collected data from 100 997 singleton pregnancies attending for a routine ultrasound examination of fetal anatomy, performed according to a standardized protocol, at 11-13 weeks' gestation. All continuing pregnancies had an additional scan at 18-24 weeks and 71 754 had a scan at either 30-34 or 35-37 weeks. The final diagnosis of fetal abnormality was based on the results of postnatal examination in cases of live birth and on the findings of the last ultrasound examination in cases of pregnancy termination, miscarriage or stillbirth. The performance of the 11-13-week scan in the detection of fetal abnormalities was determined., Results: The study population contained 1720 (1.7%) pregnancies with a fetal abnormality, including 474 (27.6%) detected on the first-trimester scan, 926 (53.8%) detected on the second-trimester scan and 320 (18.6%) detected in the third trimester or postnatally. At 11-13 weeks' gestation, we diagnosed all cases of acrania, alobar holoprosencephaly, encephalocele, tricuspid or pulmonary atresia, pentalogy of Cantrell, ectopia cordis, exomphalos, gastroschisis and body-stalk anomaly and > 50% of cases of open spina bifida, hypoplastic left heart syndrome, atrioventricular septal defect, complex heart defect, left atrial isomerism (interrupted inferior vena cava with normal intracardiac anatomy), lower urinary tract obstruction, absence of extremities, fetal akinesia deformation sequence and lethal skeletal dysplasia. Common abnormalities that were detected in < 10% of cases at 11-13 weeks included ventriculomegaly, agenesis of the corpus callosum, isolated cleft lip, congenital pulmonary airway malformation, ventricular septal defect, abdominal cysts, unilateral renal agenesis or multicystic kidney, hydronephrosis, duplex kidney, hypospadias and talipes., Conclusions: A routine 11-13-week scan, carried out according to a standardized protocol, can identify many severe non-chromosomal fetal abnormalities. A summary statistic of the performance of the first-trimester scan is futile because some abnormalities are always detectable, whereas others are either non-detectable or sometimes detectable. To maximize prenatal detection of abnormalities, additional scans in both the second and third trimesters are necessary. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: Justification of prenatal screening for small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses near term is based on, first, evidence that such fetuses/neonates are at increased risk of stillbirth and adverse perinatal outcome, and, second, the expectation that these risks can be reduced by medical interventions, such as early delivery. However, there are no randomized studies demonstrating that routine screening for SGA fetuses and appropriate interventions in the high-risk group can reduce adverse perinatal outcome. Before such meaningful studies can be undertaken, it is essential that the best approach for effective identification of SGA neonates is determined, and that the contribution of SGA neonates to the overall rate of adverse perinatal outcome is established. In a previous study of pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, we found that, first, screening by estimated fetal weight (EFW) < 10 th percentile provided poor prediction of SGA neonates and, second, prediction of > 85% of SGA neonates requires use of EFW < 40 th percentile., Objectives: To examine the contribution of SGA fetuses to the overall rate of adverse perinatal outcome and, to propose a two-stage approach for prediction of a SGA neonate at routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation., Methods: This was a prospective study of 45 847 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. First, we examined the relationship between birth-weight percentile and adverse perinatal outcome, defined as stillbirth, neonatal death or admission to the neonatal unit for ≥ 48 h. Second, we used a two-stage approach for prediction of a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome; in the first stage, fetal biometry was used to distinguish between pregnancies at very low risk (EFW ≥ 40 th percentile) and those at increased risk (EFW < 40 th percentile) and, in the second stage, the pregnancies with EFW < 40 th percentile were stratified into high-, intermediate- and low-risk groups based on the results of EFW and pulsatility index in the uterine arteries, umbilical artery and fetal middle cerebral artery. Different percentiles of EFW and Doppler indices were used to define each risk category, and the performance of screening for a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies delivered at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment was determined. We propose that the high-risk group would require monitoring from initial assessment to delivery, the intermediate-risk group would require monitoring from 2 weeks after initial assessment to delivery, the low-risk group would require monitoring from 4 weeks after initial assessment to delivery, and the very low-risk group would not require any further reassessment., Results: First, although in neonates with low birth weight (< 10 th percentile) the risk of adverse perinatal outcome is increased, 84% of adverse perinatal events occur in the group with birth weight ≥ 10 th percentile. Second, in screening by EFW < 10 th percentile, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate is modest for those born at ≤ 2 weeks after assessment (83% and 69% for neonates with birth weight < 3 rd and < 10 th percentiles, respectively), but poor for those born at 2.1-4 weeks (65% and 45%, respectively) and > 4 weeks (40% and 30%, respectively) after assessment. Third, improved performance of screening, especially for those delivered at > 2 weeks after assessment, is potentially achieved by a proposed new approach for stratifying pregnancies into management groups based on findings of EFW and Doppler indices (prediction of birth weight < 3 rd and < 10 th percentiles for deliveries at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment: 89% and 75%, 83% and 74%, and 88% and 82%, respectively). Fourth, the predictive performance for adverse perinatal outcome of EFW < 10 th percentile is very poor (26%, 9% and 5% for deliveries at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment, respectively) and this is improved by the proposed new approach (31%, 22% and 29%, respectively)., Conclusions: This study presents an approach for stratifying pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation into four management groups based on findings of EFW and Doppler indices. This approach potentially has a higher predictive performance for a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome than that of screening by EFW < 10 th percentile. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To investigate intra-abdominal bowel dilation (IABD) in the prediction of complex gastroschisis., Methods: This was a retrospective study of 174 singleton pregnancies with isolated fetal gastroschisis, resulting in live birth and with available ultrasound images from visits at both 20-22 and 30-32 weeks' gestation. IABD was measured as the greatest transverse diameter of the most dilated intra-abdominal bowel segment, by an operator blinded to postnatal outcome. The distribution of IABD measurements in those with complex and those with simple gastroschisis was determined and the best cut-off value to predict complex gastroschisis was selected using receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves. The area under the ROC curve (AUC), detection rate (DR), false-positive rate (FPR), positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were determined., Results: The study population included 39 (22.4%) cases of complex and 135 (77.6%) cases of simple gastroschisis. In the prediction of complex gastroschisis, the AUC at 20-22 weeks' gestation was 0.742 (95% CI, 0.628-0.856) and the respective value for 30-32 weeks was 0.820 (95% CI, 0.729-0.910). At the IABD cut-off of 7 mm at 20-22 weeks, DR, FPR, PPV and NPV for complex gastroschisis were 61.5%, 6.7%, 72.7% and 89.4%, respectively, and at IABD cut-off of 14 mm at 30-32 weeks, the respective values were 64.9%, 5.9%, 75.0% and 90.7%., Conclusion: Measurement of IABD at 20-22 or at 30-32 weeks' gestation is useful in the prediction of complex gastroschisis. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To evaluate and compare the performance of routine ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) and fetal abdominal circumference (AC) at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 and 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate., Methods: This was a prospective study of 21 989 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation and 45 847 undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. In each case, the estimated fetal weight (EFW) from measurements of fetal head circumference, AC and femur length was calculated using the Hadlock formula and expressed as a percentile according to The Fetal Medicine Foundation fetal and neonatal population weight charts. The same charts were used for defining a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles. For each gestational-age window, the screen-positive and detection rates, at different EFW percentile cut-offs between the 10 th and 50 th percentiles, were calculated for prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristics curves (AUC) in screening for a SGA neonate by EFW and AC at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation were compared., Results: First, the AUCs in screening by EFW for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles delivered within 2 weeks and at any stage after screening at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation were significantly higher than those at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks (P < 0.001). Second, at both 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 and 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles born at any stage after screening was significantly higher using EFW Z-score than AC Z-score. Similarly, at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks, but not at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles born within 2 weeks after screening was significantly higher using EFW Z-score than AC Z-score. Third, screening by EFW < 10 th percentile at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation predicted 70% and 84% of neonates with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles, respectively, born within 2 weeks after assessment, and the respective values for a neonate born at any stage after assessment were 46% and 65%. Fourth, prediction of > 85% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10 th percentile born at any stage after screening at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation requires use of EFW < 40 th percentile. Screening at this percentile cut-off predicted 95% and 99% of neonates with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles, respectively, born within 2 weeks after assessment, and the respective values for a neonate born at any stage after assessment were 87% and 94%., Conclusions: The predictive performance for a SGA neonate of routine ultrasonographic examination during the third trimester is higher if, first, the scan is carried out at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation than at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks, second, the method of screening is EFW than fetal AC, third, the outcome measure is birth weight < 3 rd than < 10 th percentile, and, fourth, if delivery occurs within 2 weeks than at any stage after assessment. Prediction of a SGA neonate by EFW < 10 th percentile is modest and prediction of > 85% of cases at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation necessitates use of EFW < 40 th percentile. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objective: To assess the additive value of fetal growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation to the performance of ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for prediction of delivery of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and adverse perinatal outcome., Methods: This was a prospective study of 14 497 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether addition of growth velocity, defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or abdominal circumference (AC) Z-score between the early and late third-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of, first, delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment and, second, a composite of adverse perinatal outcome, defined as stillbirth, neonatal death or admission to the neonatal unit for ≥ 48 h., Results: Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that significant contributors to the prediction of a SGA neonate were EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, fetal growth velocity, by either AC Z-score or EFW Z-score, and maternal risk factors. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) and detection rate (DR), at a 10% screen-positive rate, for prediction of a SGA neonate < 10 th percentile born within 2 weeks after assessment achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks (AUC, 0.938 (95% CI, 0.928-0.947); DR, 80.7% (95% CI, 77.6-83.9%)) were not significantly improved by addition of EFW growth velocity and maternal risk factors (AUC, 0.941 (95% CI, 0.932-0.950); P = 0.061; DR, 82.5% (95% CI, 79.4-85.3%)). Similar results were obtained when growth velocity was defined by AC rather than EFW. Similarly, there was no significant improvement in the AUC and DR, at a 10% screen-positive rate, for prediction of a SGA neonate < 10 th percentile born at any stage after assessment or a SGA neonate < 3 rd percentile born within 2 weeks or at any stage after assessment, achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks by addition of maternal factors and either EFW growth velocity or AC growth velocity. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the only significant contributor to adverse perinatal outcome was maternal risk factors. Multivariable logistic regression analysis in the group with EFW < 10 th percentile demonstrated that significant contribution to prediction of delivery of a neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles and adverse perinatal outcome was provided by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks, but not by AC growth velocity < 1 st decile., Conclusion: The predictive performance of EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for delivery of a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome is not improved by addition of estimated growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objectives: To evaluate the performance of ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of delivery of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and assess the additive value of, first, maternal risk factors and, second, fetal growth velocity between 20 and 36 weeks' gestation in improving such prediction., Methods: This was a prospective study of 44 043 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 + 0 to 23 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether addition of maternal risk factors and growth velocity, the latter defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or fetal abdominal circumference (AC) Z-score between the third- and second-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment., Results: Screening by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation predicted 63.4% (95% CI, 62.0-64.7%) of neonates with birth weight < 10 th percentile and 74.2% (95% CI, 72.2-76.1%) of neonates with birth weight < 3 rd percentile born at any stage after assessment, at a screen-positive rate of 10%. The respective values for SGA neonates born within 2 weeks after assessment were 76.8% (95% CI, 74.4-79.0%) and 81.3% (95% CI, 78.2-84.0%). For a desired 90% detection rate of SGA neonate delivered at any stage after assessment, the necessary screen-positive rate would be 33.7% for SGA < 10 th percentile and 24.4% for SGA < 3 rd percentile. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that, in the prediction of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10 th and < 3 rd percentiles, there was a significant contribution from EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, maternal risk factors and AC growth velocity, but not EFW growth velocity. However, the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve for prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate by screening with maternal risk factors and EFW Z-score was not improved by addition of AC growth velocity., Conclusion: Screening for SGA neonates by EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation and use of the 10 th percentile as the cut-off predicts 63% of affected neonates. Prediction of 90% of SGA neonates necessitates classification of about 35% of the population as being screen positive. The predictive performance of EFW is not improved by addition of estimated growth velocity between the second and third trimesters of pregnancy. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Objectives: To develop gestational age-based reference ranges for the pulsatility index in the umbilical artery (UA-PI) and fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA-PI) and the cerebroplacental ratio (MCA-PI/UA-PI), and to examine the maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements., Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of 72 387 pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 20 + 0 to 22 + 6 weeks' gestation (n = 3712), 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks (n = 29 035), 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks (n = 37 252) or 41 + 0 to 41 + 6 weeks (n = 2388). For the purpose of this study, we included data for only one of the second- or third-trimester visits. The inclusion criteria were singleton pregnancy, dating by fetal crown-rump length at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks' gestation, live birth of a morphologically normal neonate and ultrasonographic measurements by sonographers who had received the Fetal Medicine Foundation Certificate of Competence in Doppler ultrasound. Since the objectives of the study were to establish reference ranges, rather than normal ranges, and to examine factors from maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements, we included all pregnancies having routine ultrasound examinations, irrespective of whether the mother had a pre-existing medical condition, such as diabetes mellitus, or a pregnancy complication, such as pre-eclampsia or suspected fetal growth restriction. Median and SD models were fitted between UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR and gestational age. Assessment of goodness of fit of the models was by inspection of quantile-to-quantile (Q-Q) plots of Z-scores calculated using the mean and SD models. The distributions of MCA-PI, UA-PI and CPR Z-scores were examined in relation to maternal characteristics and medical history., Results: The relationship between the median and gestational age was linear for UA-PI and cubic for MCA-PI and CPR and the SD was log quadratic for all three. MCA-PI and CPR increased with gestational age from 20 weeks' gestation to reach a peak at around 32 and 34 weeks, respectively, and decreased thereafter, whereas UA-PI decreased linearly with gestational age from 20 to 42 weeks. Compared to the general population, significant deviations in multiples of the median values of UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR were observed in subgroups of maternal age, body mass index, racial origin, method of conception and parity., Conclusion: This study established new reference ranges for UA-PI, MCA-PI and CPR, according to gestational age, and reports maternal characteristics and medical history that affect these measurements. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd., (Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)