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Background: There is currently no clinically validated biomarker to predict respiratory compromise in sudden acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. Cycle threshold time (Ct), absolute lymphocyte count (AL) and neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have been previously evaluated for this purpose. We hypothesized that the combination of these parameters at presentation may be predictive of hypoxia (oxygen saturation <92%)., Methods: Data were collected on 118 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection between May 2020 and April 2021. Demographics, clinical parameters and laboratory and radiological investigation results were recorded. Respiratory compromise (RC) was defined based on symptoms and signs, hypoxia and chest X-ray abnormalities., Results: RC occurred in 61 (51.7%) of patients. The Ct, AL and NLR at median day 3 of illness were significantly different between patients with and without RC (Ct, RC vs not: 19.46±2.64 vs 22.62±3.37, p=0.0001; AL, RC vs not: 531.49±289.09 vs 764.69±481.79, p=0.0001; NLR, RC vs not: 3.42±0.75 vs 2.59±0.55, p=0.0001). Receiver operating characteristics analysis showed that a Ct <19.9, AL <630.8×103/μL and NLR >3.12 at median day 3 of symptoms was predictive of hypoxia on day 7 of illness (area under the curve 0.805, sensitivity 96.7%, specificity 69.1%). The predictive value for the parameters combined was significantly superior to their individual predictive power., Conclusions: Ct, AL and NLR used in combination on day 3 of symptoms are predictive of hypoxia on day 7 of SARS-CoV-2 illness., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene.)

Background: There is a paucity of predictive factors for early recovery from thrombocytopenia related to dengue. The immature platelet fraction (IPF%) is reflective of megakaryopoiesis and may correlate with recovery from dengue-related thrombocytopenia. Our objective was to assess the predictive value of IPF% on days 2 and 3 of illness for recovery from dengue-related thrombocytopenia., Methods: A prospective study was conducted among patients with dengue admitted to our institution (Nawaloka Hospital PLC) from December 2019 to October 2020. Dengue was diagnosed based on positive non-structural antigen 1 or IgM. IPF% data were extracted from the Sysmex-XN-1000 automated hematology analyzer. Clinical data were obtained from electronic medical records. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 20., Results: We included 240 patients. An IPF% on day 2 of illness of >7.15% had a sensitivity of 80.0% and specificity of 70.4% for prediction of platelet recovery (defined as platelet count ≥60×109/L) on day 7 of illness. An IPF% of >7.25% on day 3 of illness had a sensitivity of 88.9% and specificity of 47.1% for predicting platelet recovery >60×109/L on day 8 of illness. The IPF% was significantly lower in patients with severe dengue. Platelet recovery was observed within 48 h after the peak IPF% was reached, regardless of severity., Conclusion: We propose that IPF% values on days 2 and 3 of illness are a promising predictive tool for early recovery from dengue-related thrombocytopenia., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene.)