17 results on '"Zeka A"'
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2. Excess mortality attributed to heat and cold: a health impact assessment study in 854 cities in Europe
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Achilleos, Souzana, Kyselý, Jan, Indermitte, Ene, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., Ryti, Niilo, Pascal, Mathilde, Katsouyanni, Klea, Analitis, Antonis, Goodman, Patrick, Zeka, Ariana, Michelozzi, Paola, Houthuijs, Danny, Ameling, Caroline, Rao, Shilpa, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, Madureira, Joana, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Tobias, Aurelio, Íñiguez, Carmen, Forsberg, Bertil, Åström, Christofer, Ragettli, Martina S., Surname, First name, Zafeiratou, Sofia, Vazquez Fernandez, Liliana, Monteiro, Ana, Rai, Masna, Zhang, Siqi, Aunan, Kristin, Masselot, Pierre, Mistry, Malcolm, Vanoli, Jacopo, Schneider, Rochelle, Iungman, Tamara, Garcia-Leon, David, Ciscar, Juan-Carlos, Feyen, Luc, Orru, Hans, Urban, Aleš, Breitner, Susanne, Huber, Veronika, Schneider, Alexandra, Samoli, Evangelia, Stafoggia, Massimo, de’Donato, Francesca, Armstrong, Ben, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, and Gasparrini, Antonio
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- 2023
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3. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with short-term temperature variability from 2000–19: a three-stage modelling study
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Wu, Yao, Li, Shanshan, Zhao, Qi, Wen, Bo, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Rao, Shilpa, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S, Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Correa, Patricia Matus, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L, and Guo, Yuming
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- 2022
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4. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with cold spells during 2000–19: a three-stage modelling study
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Gao, Yuan, primary, Huang, Wenzhong, additional, Zhao, Qi, additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Tong, Shilu, additional, Pascal, Mathilde, additional, Urban, Aleš, additional, Zeka, Ariana, additional, Lavigne, Eric, additional, Madureira, Joana, additional, Goodman, Patrick, additional, Huber, Veronika, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Kyselý, Jan, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, Li, Shanshan, additional, Gao, Yuan, additional, Bell, Michelle, additional, Hales, Simon, additional, Honda, Yasushi, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Abrutzky, Rosana, additional, Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, additional, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, additional, Correa, Patricia Matus, additional, Ortega, Nicolás Valdés, additional, Kan, Haidong, additional, Osorio, Samuel, additional, Roye, Dominic, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Schneider, Alexandra, additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Analitis, Antonis, additional, Carlsen, Hanne Krage, additional, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, additional, Roradeh, Hematollah, additional, Raz, Raanan, additional, Michelozzi, Paola, additional, de'Donato, Francesca, additional, Hashizume, Masahiro, additional, Kim, Yoonhee, additional, Alahmad, Barrak, additional, Cauchy, John Paul, additional, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, additional, Arellano, Eunice Elizabeth Félix, additional, Valencia, César De la Cruz, additional, Overcenco, Ala, additional, Houthuijs, Danny, additional, Ameling, Caroline, additional, Rao, Shilpa, additional, Carrasco, Gabriel, additional, Seposo, Xerxes, additional, Chua, Paul Lester Carlos, additional, Silva, Susana das Neves Pereira da, additional, Nunes, Baltazar, additional, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, additional, Cvijanovic, Ivana, additional, Mistry, Malcolm, additional, Scovronick, Noah, additional, Acquaotta, Fiorella, additional, Kim, Ho, additional, Lee, Whanhee, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, Åström, Christofer, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Guo, Yue Leon, additional, Pan, Shih-Chun, additional, Colistro, Valentina, additional, Zanobetti, Antonella, additional, Schwartz, Joel, additional, Dang, Tran Ngoc, additional, and Dung, Do Van, additional
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- 2024
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5. Seasonality of mortality under climate change: a multicountry projection study
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Madaniyazi, Lina, primary, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Mistry, Malcolm N, additional, Bell, Michelle L, additional, Urban, Aleš, additional, Kyselý, Jan, additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Cvijanovic, Ivana, additional, Ng, Chris Fook Sheng, additional, Roye, Dominic, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Tong, Shilu, additional, Lavigne, Eric, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, da Silva, Susana das Neves Pereira, additional, Madureira, Joana, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, Honda, Yasushi, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Hashizume, Masahiro, additional, Abrutzky, Rosana, additional, Acquaotta, Fiorella, additional, Alahmad, Barrak, additional, Analitis, Antonis, additional, Carlsen, Hanne Krage, additional, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, additional, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, additional, Colistro, Valentina, additional, Matus Correa, Patricia, additional, Dang, Tran Ngoc, additional, de'Donato, Francesca, additional, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, additional, Dung, Do Van, additional, Entezari, Alireza, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Goodman, Patrick, additional, Guo, Yue Leon, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, additional, Houthuijs, Danny, additional, Huber, Veronika, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Kan, Haidong, additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Kim, Yoonhee, additional, Kim, Ho, additional, Lee, Whanhee, additional, Li, Shanshan, additional, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, additional, Michelozzi, Paola, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Valdés Ortega, Nicolás, additional, Osorio, Samuel, additional, Overcenco, Ala, additional, Pan, Shih-Chun, additional, Pascal, Mathilde, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Rao, Shilpa, additional, Raz, Raanan, additional, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, additional, Schneider, Alexandra, additional, Schwartz, Joel, additional, Scovronick, Noah, additional, Seposo, Xerxes, additional, De la Cruz Valencia, César, additional, Zanobetti, Antonella, additional, and Zeka, Ariana, additional
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- 2024
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6. Mortality risk attributable to wildfire-related PM2·5 pollution: a global time series study in 749 locations
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Chen, Gongbo, Guo, Yuming, Yue, Xu, Tong, Shilu, Gasparrini, Antonio, Bell, Michelle L, Armstrong, Ben, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Zanobetti, Antonella, Lavigne, Eric, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Kan, Haidong, Royé, Dominic, Milojevic, Ai, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Samoli, Evangelia, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Lei, Yadong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Teixeira, João Paulo, Madureira, Joana, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado-Díaz, Magali, Maasikmets, Marek, Ragettli, Martina S, Hashizume, Masahiro, Stafoggia, Massimo, Pascal, Mathilde, Scortichini, Matteo, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho, Micheline, Valdés Ortega, Nicolás, Ryti, Niilo R I, Scovronick, Noah, Matus, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Garland, Rebecca M, Abrutzky, Rosana, Garcia, Samuel Osorio, Rao, Shilpa, Fratianni, Simona, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Ye, Tingting, Yu, Wenhua, Abramson, Michael J, Samet, Jonathan M, and Li, Shanshan
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- 2021
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7. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019: a three-stage modelling study
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Zhao, Qi, Guo, Yuming, Ye, Tingting, Gasparrini, Antonio, Tong, Shilu, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zanobetti, Antonella, Analitis, Antonis, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Armstrong, Ben, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Dung, Do Van, Royé, Dominic, Indermitte, Ene, Lavigne, Eric, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Acquaotta, Fiorella, de'Donato, Francesca, Di Ruscio, Francesco, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Kan, Haidong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Madureira, Joana, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Ragettli, Martina S, Hashizume, Masahiro, Pascal, Mathilde, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline, Valdés Ortega, Nicolás, Ryti, Niilo, Scovronick, Noah, Michelozzi, Paola, Matus Correa, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Abrutzky, Rosana, Osorio, Samuel, Rao, Shilpa, Fratianni, Simona, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Bell, Michelle L, and Li, Shanshan
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- 2021
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8. All-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone: a multicountry two-stage time series analysis
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Chen, Gongbo, Guo, Yuming, Yue, Xu, Xu, Rongbin, Yu, Wenhua, Ye, Tingting, Tong, Shilu, Gasparrini, Antonio, Bell, Michelle L, Armstrong, Ben, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Lavigne, Eric, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Kan, Haidong, Royé, Dominic, Urban, Aleš, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Tobias, Aurelio, Forsberg, Bertil, Sera, Francesco, Lei, Yadong, Abramson, Michael J, Li, Shanshan, Abrutzky, Rosana, Alahmad, Barrak, Ameling, Caroline, Åström, Christofer, Breitner, Susanne, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Coêlho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Colistro, Valentina, Correa, Patricia Matus, Dang, Tran Ngoc, de'Donato, Francesca, Dung, Do Van, Entezari, Alireza, Garcia, Samuel David Osorio, Garland, Rebecca M., Goodman, Patrick, Guo, Yue Leon, Hashizume, Masahiro, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Honda, Yasushi, Houthuijs, Danny, Hurtado-Díaz, Magali, Íñiguez, Carmen, Katsouyanni, Klea, Kim, Ho, Kyselý, Jan, Lee, Whanhee, Maasikmets, Marek, Madureira, Joana, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Nunes, Baltazar, Orru, Hans, Ortega, Nicol´s Valdés, Overcenco, Ala, Pan, Shih-Chun, Pascal, Mathilde, Ragettli, Martina S., Rao, Shilpa, Ryti, Niilo R.I., Samoli, Evangelia, Schneider, Alexandra, Scovronick, Noah, Seposo, Xerxes, Stafoggia, Massimo, Valencia, César De la Cruz, Zanobetti, Antonella, and Zeka, Ariana
- Abstract
Wildfire activity is an important source of tropospheric ozone (O3) pollution. However, no study to date has systematically examined the associations of wildfire-related O3exposure with mortality globally.
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- 2024
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9. Projections of excess mortality related to diurnal temperature range under climate change scenarios: a multi-country modelling study
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Lee, Whanhee, Kim, Yoonhee, Sera, Francesco, Gasparrini, Antonio, Park, Rokjin, Michelle Choi, Hayon, Prifti, Kristi, Bell, Michelle L, Abrutzky, Rosana, Guo, Yuming, Tong, Shilu, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Lavigne, Eric, Orru, Hans, Indermitte, Ene, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Ryti, Niilo R I, Pascal, Mathilde, Goodman, Patrick, Zeka, Ariana, Hashizume, Masahiro, Honda, Yasushi, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, César Cruz, Julio, Overcenco, Ala, Nunes, Baltazar, Madureira, Joana, Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Tobias, Aurelio, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Ragettli, Martina S, Guo, Yue-Liang Leon, Chen, Bing-Yu, Li, Shanshan, Armstrong, Ben, Zanobetti, Antonella, Schwartz, Joel, and Kim, Ho
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- 2020
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10. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019: a three-stage modelling study
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Qi Zhao, ProfPhD, Yuming Guo, ProfPhD, Tingting Ye, MSc, Antonio Gasparrini, ProfPhD, Shilu Tong, ProfPhD, Ala Overcenco, PhD, Aleš Urban, PhD, Alexandra Schneider, PhD, Alireza Entezari, PhD, Ana Maria Vicedo-Cabrera, PhD, Antonella Zanobetti, PhD, Antonis Analitis, PhD, Ariana Zeka, PhD, Aurelio Tobias, PhD, Baltazar Nunes, PhD, Barrak Alahmad, MPH, Ben Armstrong, ProfPhD, Bertil Forsberg, ProfPhD, Shih-Chun Pan, PhD, Carmen Íñiguez, PhD, Caroline Ameling, BS, César De la Cruz Valencia, MSc, Christofer Åström, PhD, Danny Houthuijs, MSc, Do Van Dung, PhD, Dominic Royé, PhD, Ene Indermitte, PhD, Eric Lavigne, ProfPhD, Fatemeh Mayvaneh, PhD, Fiorella Acquaotta, PhD, Francesca de'Donato, PhD, Francesco Di Ruscio, PhD, Francesco Sera, MSc, Gabriel Carrasco-Escobar, MSc, Haidong Kan, ProfPhD, Hans Orru, PhD, Ho Kim, ProfPhD, Iulian-Horia Holobaca, PhD, Jan Kyselý, PhD, Joana Madureira, PhD, Joel Schwartz, ProfPhD, Jouni J K Jaakkola, ProfPhD, Klea Katsouyanni, ProfPhD, Magali Hurtado Diaz, ProfPhD, Martina S Ragettli, PhD, Masahiro Hashizume, ProfPhD, Mathilde Pascal, PhD, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, PhD, Nicolás Valdés Ortega, MSc, Niilo Ryti, PhD, Noah Scovronick, PhD, Paola Michelozzi, MSc, Patricia Matus Correa, MSc, Patrick Goodman, ProfPhD, Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva, ProfPhD, Rosana Abrutzky, MSc, Samuel Osorio, MSc, Shilpa Rao, PhD, Simona Fratianni, PhD, Tran Ngoc Dang, PhD, Valentina Colistro, MSc, Veronika Huber, PhD, Whanhee Lee, PhD, Xerxes Seposo, PhD, Yasushi Honda, ProfPhD, Yue Leon Guo, ProfPhD, Michelle L Bell, ProfPhD, and Shanshan Li, PhD
- Subjects
Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 - Abstract
Summary: Background: Exposure to cold or hot temperatures is associated with premature deaths. We aimed to evaluate the global, regional, and national mortality burden associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures. Methods: In this modelling study, we collected time-series data on mortality and ambient temperatures from 750 locations in 43 countries and five meta-predictors at a grid size of 0·5° × 0·5° across the globe. A three-stage analysis strategy was used. First, the temperature–mortality association was fitted for each location by use of a time-series regression. Second, a multivariate meta-regression model was built between location-specific estimates and meta-predictors. Finally, the grid-specific temperature–mortality association between 2000 and 2019 was predicted by use of the fitted meta-regression and the grid-specific meta-predictors. Excess deaths due to non-optimal temperatures, the ratio between annual excess deaths and all deaths of a year (the excess death ratio), and the death rate per 100 000 residents were then calculated for each grid across the world. Grids were divided according to regional groupings of the UN Statistics Division. Findings: Globally, 5 083 173 deaths (95% empirical CI [eCI] 4 087 967–5 965 520) were associated with non-optimal temperatures per year, accounting for 9·43% (95% eCI 7·58–11·07) of all deaths (8·52% [6·19–10·47] were cold-related and 0·91% [0·56–1·36] were heat-related). There were 74 temperature-related excess deaths per 100 000 residents (95% eCI 60–87). The mortality burden varied geographically. Of all excess deaths, 2 617 322 (51·49%) occurred in Asia. Eastern Europe had the highest heat-related excess death rate and Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest cold-related excess death rate. From 2000–03 to 2016–19, the global cold-related excess death ratio changed by −0·51 percentage points (95% eCI −0·61 to −0·42) and the global heat-related excess death ratio increased by 0·21 percentage points (0·13–0·31), leading to a net reduction in the overall ratio. The largest decline in overall excess death ratio occurred in South-eastern Asia, whereas excess death ratio fluctuated in Southern Asia and Europe. Interpretation: Non-optimal temperatures are associated with a substantial mortality burden, which varies spatiotemporally. Our findings will benefit international, national, and local communities in developing preparedness and prevention strategies to reduce weather-related impacts immediately and under climate change scenarios. Funding: Australian Research Council and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.
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- 2021
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11. Projections of excess mortality related to diurnal temperature range under climate change scenarios: a multi-country modelling study
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Whanhee Lee, PhD, Yoonhee Kim, PhD, Francesco Sera, MSc, Antonio Gasparrini, ProfPhD, Rokjin Park, ProfPhD, Hayon Michelle Choi, MSc, Kristi Prifti, MPH, Michelle L Bell, ProfPhD, Rosana Abrutzky, PhD, Yuming Guo, ProfPhD, Shilu Tong, ProfPhD, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, PhD, Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva, ProfPhD, Eric Lavigne, ProfPhD, Hans Orru, PhD, Ene Indermitte, PhD, Jouni J K Jaakkola, ProfPhD, Niilo R I Ryti, PhD, Mathilde Pascal, PhD, Patrick Goodman, ProfPhD, Ariana Zeka, ScD, Masahiro Hashizume, ProfPhD, Yasushi Honda, ProfPhD, Magali Hurtado Diaz, ProfPhD, Julio César Cruz, MSc, Ala Overcenco, PhD, Baltazar Nunes, ProfPhD, Joana Madureira, PhD, Noah Scovronick, PhD, Fiorella Acquaotta, PhD, Aurelio Tobias, PhD, Ana Maria Vicedo-Cabrera, PhD, Martina S Ragettli, PhD, Yue-Liang Leon Guo, ProfPhD, Bing-Yu Chen, PhD, Shanshan Li, PhD, Ben Armstrong, ProfPhD, Antonella Zanobetti, PhD, Joel Schwartz, ProfPhD, and Ho Kim, ProfPhD
- Subjects
Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 - Abstract
Summary: Background: Various retrospective studies have reported on the increase of mortality risk due to higher diurnal temperature range (DTR). This study projects the effect of DTR on future mortality across 445 communities in 20 countries and regions. Methods: DTR-related mortality risk was estimated on the basis of the historical daily time-series of mortality and weather factors from Jan 1, 1985, to Dec 31, 2015, with data for 445 communities across 20 countries and regions, from the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network. We obtained daily projected temperature series associated with four climate change scenarios, using the four representative concentration pathways (RCPs) described by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, from the lowest to the highest emission scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5). Excess deaths attributable to the DTR during the current (1985–2015) and future (2020–99) periods were projected using daily DTR series under the four scenarios. Future excess deaths were calculated on the basis of assumptions that warmer long-term average temperatures affect or do not affect the DTR-related mortality risk. Findings: The time-series analyses results showed that DTR was associated with excess mortality. Under the unmitigated climate change scenario (RCP 8.5), the future average DTR is projected to increase in most countries and regions (by −0·4 to 1·6°C), particularly in the USA, south-central Europe, Mexico, and South Africa. The excess deaths currently attributable to DTR were estimated to be 0·2–7·4%. Furthermore, the DTR-related mortality risk increased as the long-term average temperature increased; in the linear mixed model with the assumption of an interactive effect with long-term average temperature, we estimated 0·05% additional DTR mortality risk per 1°C increase in average temperature. Based on the interaction with long-term average temperature, the DTR-related excess deaths are projected to increase in all countries or regions by 1·4–10·3% in 2090–99. Interpretation: This study suggests that globally, DTR-related excess mortality might increase under climate change, and this increasing pattern is likely to vary between countries and regions. Considering climatic changes, our findings could contribute to public health interventions aimed at reducing the impact of DTR on human health. Funding: Korea Ministry of Environment.
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- 2020
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12. Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios
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Gasparrini, Antonio, Guo, Yuming, Sera, Francesco, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Huber, Veronika, Tong, Shilu, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Lavigne, Eric, Matus Correa, Patricia, Valdes Ortega, Nicolas, Kan, Haidong, Osorio, Samuel, Kyselý, Jan, Urban, Aleš, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Ryti, Niilo R I, Pascal, Mathilde, Goodman, Patrick G, Zeka, Ariana, Michelozzi, Paola, Scortichini, Matteo, Hashizume, Masahiro, Honda, Yasushi, Hurtado-Diaz, Magali, Cesar Cruz, Julio, Seposo, Xerxes, Kim, Ho, Tobias, Aurelio, Iñiguez, Carmen, Forsberg, Bertil, Åström, Daniel Oudin, Ragettli, Martina S, Guo, Yue Leon, Wu, Chang-fu, Zanobetti, Antonella, Schwartz, Joel, Bell, Michelle L, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Van, Dung Do, Heaviside, Clare, Vardoulakis, Sotiris, Hajat, Shakoor, Haines, Andy, and Armstrong, Ben
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- 2017
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13. Excess mortality attributed to heat and cold: a health impact assessment study in 854 cities in Europe
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Masselot, Pierre, primary, Mistry, Malcolm, additional, Vanoli, Jacopo, additional, Schneider, Rochelle, additional, Iungman, Tamara, additional, Garcia-Leon, David, additional, Ciscar, Juan-Carlos, additional, Feyen, Luc, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Urban, Aleš, additional, Breitner, Susanne, additional, Huber, Veronika, additional, Schneider, Alexandra, additional, Samoli, Evangelia, additional, Stafoggia, Massimo, additional, de’Donato, Francesca, additional, Rao, Shilpa, additional, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Achilleos, Souzana, additional, Kyselý, Jan, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Pascal, Mathilde, additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Analitis, Antonis, additional, Goodman, Patrick, additional, Zeka, Ariana, additional, Michelozzi, Paola, additional, Houthuijs, Danny, additional, Ameling, Caroline, additional, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, additional, Madureira, Joana, additional, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Åström, Christofer, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Surname, First name, additional, Zafeiratou, Sofia, additional, Vazquez Fernandez, Liliana, additional, Monteiro, Ana, additional, Rai, Masna, additional, Zhang, Siqi, additional, and Aunan, Kristin, additional
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- 2023
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14. Responding to COVID-19 requires strong epidemiological evidence of environmental and societal determining factors
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Zeka, Ariana, primary, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Leonardi, Giovanni, additional, Bianchi, Fabrizio, additional, Lauriola, Paolo, additional, Crabbe, Helen, additional, Vardoulakis, Sotiris, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, Honda, Yasushi, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Hashizume, Masahiro, additional, Vicedo, Ana Maria, additional, Knudsen, Lisbeth E, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, and Ashworth, Matthew, additional
- Published
- 2020
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15. Mortality risk attributable to wildfire-related PM2·5pollution: a global time series study in 749 locations
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Chen, Gongbo, Guo, Yuming, Yue, Xu, Tong, Shilu, Gasparrini, Antonio, Bell, Michelle L, Armstrong, Ben, Schwartz, Joel, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Zanobetti, Antonella, Lavigne, Eric, Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario, Kan, Haidong, Royé, Dominic, Milojevic, Ai, Overcenco, Ala, Urban, Aleš, Schneider, Alexandra, Entezari, Alireza, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Zeka, Ariana, Tobias, Aurelio, Nunes, Baltazar, Alahmad, Barrak, Forsberg, Bertil, Pan, Shih-Chun, Íñiguez, Carmen, Ameling, Caroline, De la Cruz Valencia, César, Åström, Christofer, Houthuijs, Danny, Van Dung, Do, Samoli, Evangelia, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Sera, Francesco, Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel, Lei, Yadong, Orru, Hans, Kim, Ho, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Kyselý, Jan, Teixeira, João Paulo, Madureira, Joana, Katsouyanni, Klea, Hurtado-Díaz, Magali, Maasikmets, Marek, Ragettli, Martina S, Hashizume, Masahiro, Stafoggia, Massimo, Pascal, Mathilde, Scortichini, Matteo, de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho, Micheline, Valdés Ortega, Nicolás, Ryti, Niilo R I, Scovronick, Noah, Matus, Patricia, Goodman, Patrick, Garland, Rebecca M, Abrutzky, Rosana, Garcia, Samuel Osorio, Rao, Shilpa, Fratianni, Simona, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Colistro, Valentina, Huber, Veronika, Lee, Whanhee, Seposo, Xerxes, Honda, Yasushi, Guo, Yue Leon, Ye, Tingting, Yu, Wenhua, Abramson, Michael J, Samet, Jonathan M, and Li, Shanshan
- Abstract
Many regions of the world are now facing more frequent and unprecedentedly large wildfires. However, the association between wildfire-related PM2·5and mortality has not been well characterised. We aimed to comprehensively assess the association between short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2·5and mortality across various regions of the world.
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- 2021
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16. Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with short-term temperature variability from 2000–19: a three-stage modelling study
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Yao Wu, MSc, Shanshan Li, PhD, Qi Zhao, PhD, Bo Wen, MSc, Antonio Gasparrini, ProfPhD, Shilu Tong, ProfPhD, Ala Overcenco, PhD, Aleš Urban, PhD, Alexandra Schneider, PhD, Alireza Entezari, PhD, Ana Maria Vicedo-Cabrera, PhD, Antonella Zanobetti, PhD, Antonis Analitis, PhD, Ariana Zeka, PhD, Aurelio Tobias, PhD, Baltazar Nunes, PhD, Barrak Alahmad, MPH, Ben Armstrong, ProfPhD, Bertil Forsberg, ProfPhD, Shih-Chun Pan, MSc, Carmen Íñiguez, PhD, Caroline Ameling, BS, César De la Cruz Valencia, MSc, Christofer Åström, PhD, Danny Houthuijs, PhD, Do Van Dung, PhD, Dominic Royé, PhD, Ene Indermitte, PhD, Eric Lavigne, ProfPhD, Fatemeh Mayvaneh, MSc, Fiorella Acquaotta, PhD, Francesca de'Donato, PhD, Shilpa Rao, PhD, Francesco Sera, MSc, Gabriel Carrasco-Escobar, MSc, Haidong Kan, ProfPhD, Hans Orru, PhD, Ho Kim, ProfPhD, Iulian-Horia Holobaca, PhD, Jan Kyselý, PhD, Joana Madureira, PhD, Joel Schwartz, ProfPhD, Jouni J K Jaakkola, ProfPhD, Klea Katsouyanni, ProfPhD, Magali Hurtado Diaz, ProfPhD, Martina S Ragettli, PhD, Masahiro Hashizume, ProfPhD, Mathilde Pascal, PhD, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, PhD, Nicolás Valdés Ortega, MSc, Niilo Ryti, PhD, Noah Scovronick, PhD, Paola Michelozzi, MSc, Patricia Matus Correa, MSc, Patrick Goodman, ProfPhD, Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva, ProfPhD, Rosana Abrutzky, MSc, Samuel Osorio, MSc, Tran Ngoc Dang, PhD, Valentina Colistro, MSc, Veronika Huber, PhD, Whanhee Lee, PhD, Xerxes Seposo, PhD, Yasushi Honda, ProfPhD, Yue Leon Guo, ProfPhD, Michelle L Bell, ProfPhD, and Yuming Guo, ProfPhD
- Subjects
Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 - Abstract
Summary: Background: Increased mortality risk is associated with short-term temperature variability. However, to our knowledge, there has been no comprehensive assessment of the temperature variability-related mortality burden worldwide. In this study, using data from the MCC Collaborative Research Network, we first explored the association between temperature variability and mortality across 43 countries or regions. Then, to provide a more comprehensive picture of the global burden of mortality associated with temperature variability, global gridded temperature data with a resolution of 0·5° × 0·5° were used to assess the temperature variability-related mortality burden at the global, regional, and national levels. Furthermore, temporal trends in temperature variability-related mortality burden were also explored from 2000–19. Methods: In this modelling study, we applied a three-stage meta-analytical approach to assess the global temperature variability-related mortality burden at a spatial resolution of 0·5° × 0·5° from 2000–19. Temperature variability was calculated as the SD of the average of the same and previous days’ minimum and maximum temperatures. We first obtained location-specific temperature variability related-mortality associations based on a daily time series of 750 locations from the Multi-country Multi-city Collaborative Research Network. We subsequently constructed a multivariable meta-regression model with five predictors to estimate grid-specific temperature variability related-mortality associations across the globe. Finally, percentage excess in mortality and excess mortality rate were calculated to quantify the temperature variability-related mortality burden and to further explore its temporal trend over two decades. Findings: An increasing trend in temperature variability was identified at the global level from 2000 to 2019. Globally, 1 753 392 deaths (95% CI 1 159 901–2 357 718) were associated with temperature variability per year, accounting for 3·4% (2·2–4·6) of all deaths. Most of Asia, Australia, and New Zealand were observed to have a higher percentage excess in mortality than the global mean. Globally, the percentage excess in mortality increased by about 4·6% (3·7–5·3) per decade. The largest increase occurred in Australia and New Zealand (7·3%, 95% CI 4·3–10·4), followed by Europe (4·4%, 2·2–5·6) and Africa (3·3, 1·9–4·6). Interpretation: Globally, a substantial mortality burden was associated with temperature variability, showing geographical heterogeneity and a slightly increasing temporal trend. Our findings could assist in raising public awareness and improving the understanding of the health impacts of temperature variability. Funding: Australian Research Council, Australian National Health & Medical Research Council.
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- 2022
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17. Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios
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Antonio Gasparrini, PhD, Yuming Guo, PhD, Francesco Sera, MSc, Ana Maria Vicedo-Cabrera, PhD, Veronika Huber, PhD, Shilu Tong, ProfPhD, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, PhD, Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva, ProfPhD, Eric Lavigne, PhD, Patricia Matus Correa, MSc, Nicolas Valdes Ortega, MSc, Haidong Kan, PhD, Samuel Osorio, MSc, Jan Kyselý, PhD, Aleš Urban, PhD, Jouni J K Jaakkola, ProfPhD, Niilo R I Ryti, PhD, Mathilde Pascal, PhD, Patrick G Goodman, ProfPhD, Ariana Zeka, PhD, Paola Michelozzi, MSc, Matteo Scortichini, MSc, Masahiro Hashizume, ProfPhD, Yasushi Honda, ProfPhD, Magali Hurtado-Diaz, ProfPhD, Julio Cesar Cruz, MSc, Xerxes Seposo, PhD, Ho Kim, ProfPhD, Aurelio Tobias, PhD, Carmen Iñiguez, PhD, Bertil Forsberg, ProfPhD, Daniel Oudin Åström, PhD, Martina S Ragettli, PhD, Yue Leon Guo, ProfPhD, Chang-fu Wu, PhD, Antonella Zanobetti, PhD, Joel Schwartz, ProfPhD, Michelle L Bell, ProfPhD, Tran Ngoc Dang, PhD, Dung Do Van, ProfPhD, Clare Heaviside, PhD, Sotiris Vardoulakis, PhD, Shakoor Hajat, PhD, Andy Haines, ProfFMedSci, and Ben Armstrong, ProfPhD
- Subjects
Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 - Abstract
Summary: Background: Climate change can directly affect human health by varying exposure to non-optimal outdoor temperature. However, evidence on this direct impact at a global scale is limited, mainly due to issues in modelling and projecting complex and highly heterogeneous epidemiological relationships across different populations and climates. Methods: We collected observed daily time series of mean temperature and mortality counts for all causes or non-external causes only, in periods ranging from Jan 1, 1984, to Dec 31, 2015, from various locations across the globe through the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network. We estimated temperature–mortality relationships through a two-stage time series design. We generated current and future daily mean temperature series under four scenarios of climate change, determined by varying trajectories of greenhouse gas emissions, using five general circulation models. We projected excess mortality for cold and heat and their net change in 1990–2099 under each scenario of climate change, assuming no adaptation or population changes. Findings: Our dataset comprised 451 locations in 23 countries across nine regions of the world, including 85 879 895 deaths. Results indicate, on average, a net increase in temperature-related excess mortality under high-emission scenarios, although with important geographical differences. In temperate areas such as northern Europe, east Asia, and Australia, the less intense warming and large decrease in cold-related excess would induce a null or marginally negative net effect, with the net change in 2090–99 compared with 2010–19 ranging from −1·2% (empirical 95% CI −3·6 to 1·4) in Australia to −0·1% (−2·1 to 1·6) in east Asia under the highest emission scenario, although the decreasing trends would reverse during the course of the century. Conversely, warmer regions, such as the central and southern parts of America or Europe, and especially southeast Asia, would experience a sharp surge in heat-related impacts and extremely large net increases, with the net change at the end of the century ranging from 3·0% (−3·0 to 9·3) in Central America to 12·7% (−4·7 to 28·1) in southeast Asia under the highest emission scenario. Most of the health effects directly due to temperature increase could be avoided under scenarios involving mitigation strategies to limit emissions and further warming of the planet. Interpretation: This study shows the negative health impacts of climate change that, under high-emission scenarios, would disproportionately affect warmer and poorer regions of the world. Comparison with lower emission scenarios emphasises the importance of mitigation policies for limiting global warming and reducing the associated health risks. Funding: UK Medical Research Council.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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